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At least 505 records · Page 28

Velocity- and pressure-based metrics for estimating strike injuries during fish passage through hydro turbines

Hydropower is a crucial source of clean and reliable energy worldwide, and its importance will continue to grow. To enhance the environmental sustainability of hydropower development and operations, it is essential to predict the strike injury rates of fish passing through turbines accurately and cost-effectively. However, conventional experiments involving a large number of live fish are still commonly conducted in practice, and previous attempts mainly focused on the dose-response relationships at an individual level or relative comparisons of biological characterization between different conditions. Thus, this study proposes two novel strike metrics based on velocity and pressure (M V and M P ) measured by the cutting-edge Sensor Fish (SF) technology, designed to quantify the biological effects of strikes and collisions between fish and rigid hydraulic structures. SF measurements and 48-hour survival rates of live fish from a study conducted at the Ice Harbor Dam on the Snake River were used to establish thresholds for the two proposed metrics. These metrics and thresholds were then applied to three additional SF studies conducted at hydropower facilities featuring Kaplan turbines within the Columbia River basin. Results from the application of the strike metrics indicate that the estimated survival rates derived from both metrics agree well with previously reported live fish survival rates. Furthermore, the study identified specific passage regions with elevated risks of fish mortality due to strikes and collisions. Overall, the proposed strike metrics present a reliable and cost-effective approach to reducing reliance on live fish and lowering costs in fish passage studies.

Biological characterization↗

A phenology- and trend-based approach for accurate mapping of sea-level driven coastal forest retreat

The rapid replacement of upland forest by encroaching marshland is a striking manifestation of global sea-level rise (SLR). Timely and high-resolution information on the location and extent of transition forest (the ecotone between upland forest and marsh where tree mortality due to seawater intrusion begins) is fundamental to understanding the processes and patterns of SLR-driven landscape reorganization. Despite its significance, accurate characterization of salt-impacted transition forest remains challenging due to the complexity of coastal environments, scarcity of ground-truth data, and the lack of effective mapping algorithms. Here we use the full archive of Landsat images between 1984 and 2021 to investigate the spectral, temporal, and phenological characteristics of transition forest, and develop a robust framework for monitoring coastal vegetation shifts in the mid-Atlantic U.S., a global SLR hotspot. Here, we found that transition forest exhibits strong negative NDVI trends and a deviation of land surface phenology from marsh and upland forest that distinguishes itself from surrounding vegetation. By integrating temporal trends and land surface phenology, our results demonstrate superior discrimination between marsh and coastal forests to existing map products (e.g. NOAA Coastal Change Analysis Program, National Land Cover Database) that allows a reliable identification of the coastal treeline. We applied the approach to map regional land cover in 1985, 2000 and 2020 (overall classification accuracy >92%) and found that the area of coastal forest decreased by 22.0% from 1985 to 2020, the majority of which transitioned to marshland (92.3%, 5.3 × 10 3 ha). Based upon fine-scale patterns of coastal transgression, we created a practical workflow for spatially explicit quantification of forest retreat rates. Concurrent with rising sea level, coastal forests migrated upslope from 0.63 (± 0.27) m above sea level in 1985 to 0.78 (± 0.32) m above sea level in 2020, and horizontal forest retreat rates accelerated from 3.1 (range of 0–36) m yr -1 during 1985–2000 to 4.7 (0–55) m yr -1 during 2001–2020. As SLR continues to accelerate, our study may serve as a scalable solution for consistent tracking of coastal landscape evolution that is urgently needed for sustainable forest and wetland management.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗

Protein data bank: From two epidemics to the global pandemic to mRNA vaccines and Paxlovid

Structural biologists and the open-access Protein Data Bank (PDB) played decisive roles in combating the COVID-19 pandemic. Global biostructure data were turned into global knowledge, allowing scientists and engineers to understand the inner workings of coronaviruses and develop effective countermeasures. Two mRNA vaccines, initially designed with guidance from PDB structures of the SARS-CoV-1 and MERS-CoV spike proteins, prevented infections entirely or reduced the likelihood of morbidity and mortality for more than five billion individual recipients worldwide. Structure-guided drug discovery by Pfizer, Inc (facilitated by PDB structures), initiated in the 2000s in response to SARS-CoV-1 and resumed in 2020, yielded nirmatrelvir (the active ingredient of Paxlovid) -- a potent, orally-bioavailable inhibitor of the SARS-CoV-2 main protease. You've got to love the Protein Data Bank!

Burley, Stephen K.↗

Microbe-iron interactions control lignin decomposition in soil

Lignin decomposition is critically linked to terrestrial carbon (C) cycle due to the enormous C mass of lignin and its importance in controlling overall rates of litter decomposition. Interactions between lignin and iron (Fe) minerals have been increasingly recognized as key mediators of lignin decomposition in experimental studies. However, we still lack a quantitative understanding of how Fe minerals interact with microbes to control lignin decomposition. Here, we leveraged experimental results from an incubation of Fe-rich soil, in which lignin decomposition rates were measured at aerobic conditions after four levels of pre-treated O2 availability, to examine microbe-Fe (MiFe) interactions in lignin decomposition with a MiFe model. We quantified how Fe redox cycling interacted with microbial activities to control lignin decomposition via data-model integration. Our results showed that the MiFe model with time-dependent growth and mortality functions better represented CO2 release from lignin decomposition (R2 ranging from 0.96 to 0.97) than models assuming either first-order or Michaelis-Menten kinetics. Reduction of Fe(III) to Fe(II) after pre-treatments with lower O2 availability stimu-lated the Fenton reaction to break down macro-molecular lignin into small molecules available to microbes. The small molecules of lignin and necromass bounded with oxidized Fe and were protected from decomposition. After 1-year incubation, the model implied that most of C stabilized with Fe minerals was derived from small molecular lignin C. Our quantitative analysis of microbe-Fe interactions sheds new light on lignin decomposition and preservation and helps improve model prediction of soil C persistence under global change.

Liao, Cuijuan↗

Propagating synthetic populations with dynamic Bayesian networks: a framework for long-horizon demographic forecasting

This study presents a dynamic demographic microsimulator using dynamic Bayesian networks to forecast long–term changes in household and individual life events. Leveraging longitudinal Panel Study of Income Dynamics (PSID) data, two networks for individuals and households were modeled to simulate transitions in employment, income, education, marriage, childbirth, leaving the parental home, home ownership, mortality, and household formation or dissolution. Across 1,000 simulation runs spanning 24 years, household–level outcomes remain highly accurate and individual–level predictions reasonable. Although accuracy naturally declines with projection horizon, performance remains promising at both levels. This study addresses a key limitation of existing population synthesis models, which typically generate only a single static snapshot of the population. In conclusion, by introducing a framework that propagates cross-sectional outputs into the future, the microsimulator enables the tracking of demographic evolution over time, enhances realism in population-based simulations, and supplies credible inputs to agent-based travel demand models.

Demographic modeling↗

Do Cell Wall Esters Facilitate Forest Response to Climate?

Terrestrial ecosystem dynamics are strongly modified by stresses associated with climate change, impacting plant growth and development, mortality, and ecological succession. Finally, we highlight the potential role of plant cell wall esters to link changes in cell wall structure and function with biosphere-atmosphere fluxes of methanol, acetic acid, carbon dioxide (CO 2 ), and water (H 2 O).

59 BASIC BIOLOGICAL SCIENCES↗

HAND transcription factors cooperatively specify the aorta and pulmonary trunk

Congenital heart defects (CHDs) affecting the cardiac outflow tract (OFT) constitute a significant cause of morbidity and mortality. The OFT develops from migratory cell populations which include the cardiac neural crest cells (cNCCs) and secondary heart field (SHF) derived myocardium and endocardium. The related transcription factors HAND1 and HAND2 have been implicated in human CHDs involving the OFT. Although Hand1 is expressed within the OFT, Hand1 NCC-specific conditional knockout mice (H1CKOs) are viable. Here we show that these H1CKOs present a low penetrance of OFT phenotypes, whereas SHF-specific Hand1 ablation does not reveal any cardiac phenotypes. Further, HAND1 and HAND2 appear functionally redundant within the cNCCs, as a reduction/ablation of Hand2 on an NCC-specific H1CKO background causes pronounced OFT defects. Double conditional Hand1 and Hand2 NCC knockouts exhibit persistent truncus arteriosus (PTA) with 100% penetrance. NCC lineage-tracing and Sema3c in situ mRNA expression reveal that Sema3c-expressing cells are mis-localized, resulting in a malformed septal bridge within the OFTs of H1CKO;H2CKO embryos. Interestingly, Hand1 and Hand2 also genetically interact within the SHF, as SHF H1CKOs on a heterozygous Hand2 background exhibit Ventricular Septal Defects (VSDs) with incomplete penetrance. Previously, we identified a BMP, HAND2, and GATA-dependent Hand1 OFT enhancer sufficient to drive reporter gene expression within the nascent OFT and aorta. Using these transcription inputs as a probe, we identify a novel Hand2 OFT enhancer, suggesting that a conserved BMP-GATA dependent mechanism transcriptionally regulates both HAND factors. These findings support the hypothesis that HAND factors interpret BMP signaling within the cNCCs to cooperatively coordinate OFT morphogenesis.

59 BASIC BIOLOGICAL SCIENCES↗

The Health and Climate Benefits of Economic Dispatch in China’s Power System

China’s power system is highly regulated and uses an “equal-share” dispatch approach. However, market mechanisms are being introduced to reduce generation costs and improve system reliability. Here, we quantify the climate and human health impacts brought about by this transition, modeling China’s power system operations under economic dispatch. We find that significant reductions in mortality related to air pollution (11%) and CO 2 emissions (3%) from the power sector can be attained by economic dispatch, relative to the equal-share approach, through more efficient coal-powered generation. Additional health and climate benefits can be achieved by incorporating emission externalities in electricity generation costs. However, the benefits of the transition to economic dispatch will be unevenly distributed across China and may lead to increased health damage in some regions. Our results show the potential of dispatch decision-making in electricity generation to mitigate the negative impacts of power plant emissions with existing facilities in China.

29 ENERGY PLANNING, POLICY, AND ECONOMY↗

Large-Scale Carbon Removal Will Create Public Health, Economic, and Climate Tradeoffs

Economy-wide efforts to achieve net-zero emissions offer both climate and air quality-related public health benefits from reducing fossil fuel combustion. We explore the expected costs and benefits if carbon dioxide removal (CDR) is deployed at scale in support of these efforts. Six leading forms of CDR at two levels of deployment are compared to a scenario with no U.S. climate action. We find that heavy reliance on CDR avoids a $2.5-5.8 trillion USD2020 in climate damages, provides $2.8-6.5 trillion USD2020 public health benefits, returns $5-6 trillion USD2020 in CDR revenues, but requires $11-13 trillion USD2020 CO2 mitigation cost, cumulatively by 2050 in the U.S. In contrast, lower reliance on CDR requires much deeper near-term fossil-fuel reductions, which increases mitigation costs by 52% but also creates 26% higher public health benefits from reductions in particulate matter- and ozone-related mortality and morbidity, preventing about 12,600 premature deaths by mid-century in the U.S.

Javadi, Parisa↗

Pseudomonas aeruginosa Adhesion and Biofilm Formation on Poly(l-lysine)-Tethered Hydrogels: Synergistic Effect of Substrate Stiffness and Positive Charge Density

Infections associated with antibacterial-resistant Pseudomonas aeruginosa (P. aeruginosa) are the major cause of morbidity and mortality of patients, presenting one of the greatest therapeutic challenges for treatment of community-acquired and nosocomial infections. To develop antimicrobial hydrogel coatings to control the adhesion and subsequent biofilm formation of P. aeruginosa, we have used photo-cross-linked poly(ethylene glycol) diacrylate (PEGDA) hydrogels with varied cross-linking densities and covalently grafted poly(l-lysine) (PLL) at different weight compositions (ϕ PLL ). Both surface stiffness and positive charge density of the hydrogels were efficiently tuned over a broad range to investigate their effects on two main strains of P. aeruginosa, PA01 and PA14. We found that both number and viability of attached cells were positively correlated with the hydrogel stiffness, leading to thicker and larger coverage of cell colonies at 72 h postseeding on the stiffer substrates. The dependence of both PA01 and PA14 strains on ϕ PLL , however, was nonmonotonic. Positive charges from dissociated amine groups in the grafted PLL chains significantly promoted initial adhesion and proliferation of both strains at low ϕ PLL and developed into the thickest biofilms on the stiffest hydrogels grafted with ϕ PLL of 1–2%. Nevertheless, on the softest hydrogels grafted with PLL at high ϕ PLL of 7–10%, the bacteria no longer attached or survived. These results not only improved our fundamental understanding of bacteria-material interactions but also provided a series of PLL-grafted PEGDA hydrogels with controlled stiffness and positive charge density as ideal surface coating materials to prevent bacterial infections.

bacteria↗

Antimicrobial Peptides Can Facilitate Whole Blood Safety from Bacteria: A Proof of Concept

With continuous improvements to blood donor deferrals and the availability of sensitive tests for donation screening for infectious agents, bacterial contamination of whole blood (WB) and blood components stored for transfusion is a rare event. Nonetheless, it still occurs and remains a transfusion-associated risk in terms of septic transfusion reactions (STRs) and transfusion-transmitted bacterial infections with morbidity and mortality outcomes. One of the risk mitigation strategies for bacterial contamination is to implement treatment with currently available proactive pathogen reduction technologies (PRTs) for these transfusion products. Here, as a proof of concept, we tested two recently developed unique cationic antimicrobial peptides (AMPs; D-CONGA and D-CONGA-Q7) for WB safety from bacterial contamination. In this study, WB was inoculated with Escherichia coli and Staphylococcus epidermidis and treated with the two peptides to evaluate their bactericidal efficacy. The results demonstrated that D-CONGA and D-CONGA-Q7 exhibit potent inhibitory activity against the bacteria with a minimal inhibitory concentration (MIC) range of 4–8 and 1–8 μM, respectively, depending on the bacterial species tested. Time-kill kinetics further confirmed that the peptides exhibit bactericidal efficacy at 8 μM by achieving a 5-log 10 reduction (99.999%) of the bacterial load in WB with a time-dependent killing profile. Furthermore, even at 20 μM, the AMPs did not negatively impact hemolysis or hemostatic properties. We have further demonstrated using a cationic exchange resin that the cationic AMPs can be separated and removed from WB after the peptide treatments. During 35-day WB storage at 2–8 °C, 4 μM D-CONGA-Q7 one-time treatment prevented S. epidermidis growth and preserved WB quality and integrity. Overall, the results described here provide the first proof of concept that certain AMPs, such as D-CONGA and D-CONGA-Q7, can facilitate WB safety from bacteria during storage.

60 APPLIED LIFE SCIENCES↗

The Novel Carbapenem, JDB/PQ-1-219, Has Potent Broad Spectrum Activity against Multi-Drug Resistant Acinetobacter baumannii

Carbapenem resistance in Acinetobacter baumannii, driven largely by class D, along with class A and class B β- lactamases, has severely compromised the utility of these last resort antibiotics. As a result, infections caused by such pathogens are characterized by extremely high mortality rates. Here we describe the antimicrobial activity of the novel C5 methyl-substituted carbapenem JDB/PQ-1−219 against multidrug resistant A. baumannii and the mechanism of its interaction with its major carbapenemase, OXA-23. JDB/PQ-1-219 exhibits potent antimicrobial activity against A. baumannii producing various carbapenemases, with MICs that are all in the clinically susceptible range. The compound has unrestricted ingress through porins and avoids egress by efflux pumps, a unique property when compared to all commercial carbapenems. Kinetic experiments demonstrated that unlike for other carbapenems, acylation of OXA-23 by JDB/ PQ-1-219 is monophasic, and mass spectrometry studies showed that this results from the conversion of all enzyme into a reversible tetrahedral intermediate which gradually transitions into the stable acyl-enzyme complex. No deacylation of this complex is observed over a physiologically relevant time period, making JDB/PQ-1−219 an extremely potent inhibitor of OXA-23. Time-resolved crystallography revealed fine details of active site dynamics, leading to complete inhibition of the enzyme. Together, these studies identify JDB/PQ-1-219 as a uniquely effective novel carbapenem with clinically significant levels of activity against multidrug resistant A. baumannii.

Acinetobacter baumannii↗

Improving CLM5.0 Biomass and Carbon Exchange Across the Western United States Using a Data Assimilation System

The Western United States is dominated by natural lands that play a critical role for carbon balance, water quality, and timber reserves. This region is also particularly vulnerable to forest mortality from drought, insect attack, and wildfires, thus requiring constant monitoring to assess ecosystem health. Carbon monitoring techniques are challenged by the complex mountainous terrain, thus there is an opportunity for data assimilation systems that combine land surface models and satellite-derived observations to provide improved carbon monitoring. Here, we use the Data Assimilation Research Testbed to adjust the Community Land Model (CLM5.0) with remotely sensed observations of leaf area and above-ground biomass. The adjusted simulation significantly reduced the above-ground biomass and leaf area, leading to a reduction in both photosynthesis and respiration fluxes. The reduction in the carbon fluxes mostly offset, thus both the adjusted and free simulation projected a weak carbon sink to the land. This result differed from a separate observation-constrained model (FLUXCOM) that projected strong carbon uptake to the land. Simulation diagnostics suggested water limitation had an important influence upon the magnitude and spatial pattern of carbon uptake through photosynthesis. We recommend that additional observations important for water cycling (e.g., snow water equivalent, land surface temperature) be included to improve the veracity of the spatial pattern in carbon uptake. Furthermore, the assimilation system should be enhanced to maximize the number of the simulated state variables that are adjusted, especially those related to the recommended observed quantities including water cycling and soil carbon.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗

Wetter Summers Mitigated Temperature Stress on Rocky Mountain Forests During the Last Interglacial Warm Period

Recent droughts have highlighted concerns of how rising summer temperatures will increase tree mortality rates across the western United States. We analyzed subfossil wood samples from Colorado dating to the last interglacial to assess the response of two common conifers to a previous warm period. The trees experienced comparable growth rates and water use efficiency during the interglacial relative to modern despite evidence from model simulations of a ~30% increase in evaporative demand during the peak of the growing season. High-resolution isotopic analysis of the wood samples show an enrichment in the late season cellulosic δ 18 O relative to modern samples, which we find was associated with increased reliance on summer rain. The data are consistent with model simulations showing the interglacial was associated with wetter summers across the western US. Here, we propose enhanced summer rain during this period compensated for drought stress imposed by higher evaporative demand.

58 GEOSCIENCES↗

Impacts of Suppressing Excessive Light Rain on Aerosol Radiative Effects and Health Risks

Global climate models (GCMs) have been used widely to study radiative forcing and health risks of aerosols. A recent study using two GCMs found that light rain plays a dominant role in controlling aerosol loading. However, “too much light rain and too little heavy rain” is a longstanding bias in GCMs. It is unclear how much light rain affects aerosol-cloud-radiation interactions and health risks from air pollution. Here, in this work, we show that, with the correction of the rainfall intensity spectrum in the National Center for Atmospheric Research Community Atmosphere Model version 5.3 by introducing a stochastic deep convection scheme, the reduced frequency of light rain (1–20 mm d -1 ) results in changes of aerosol direct radiative effects (DRE) of up to -0.5 ± 0.03 W/m 2 and aerosol cloud radiative effects (CRE) of up to -0.9 ± 0.03 W/m 2 . The total (CRE + DRE) radiative effects of light rain-mediated aerosol changes exceed the present-day anthropogenic forcing of aerosols relative to preindustrial levels from the Coupled Model Intercomparison Project (CMIP5&6) models. However, the correction of the rainfall intensity spectrum has little effect on anthropogenic aerosol forcing (defined as the radiative perturbation due to changes in aerosol concentrations between the industrial era and preindustrial levels). Due to increased exposure to fine particulates (PM 2.5 ), the estimated global total premature mortality is much higher than previously estimated, by 300,000 ± 60,000 deaths per year, and is more severe in populous regions such as India and China. The findings in this study highlight the need to understand uncertainties in radiative effects and health risks of aerosols due to simulation biases of precipitation in GCMs.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗

Disentangling the Relative Drivers of Seasonal Evapotranspiration Across a Continental-Scale Aridity Gradient

Evapotranspiration (ET) is a significant ecosystem flux, governing the partitioning of energy at the land surface. Understanding the seasonal pattern and magnitude of ET is critical for anticipating a range of ecosystem impacts, including drought, heat-wave events, and plant mortality. Here, in this study, we identified the relative controls of seasonal variability in ET, and how these controls vary among ecosystems. We used overlapping AmeriFlux and PhenoCam time series at a daily timestep from 20 sites to explore these linkages (# site-years >100), and our study area covered a broad climatological aridity gradient in the U.S. and Canada. We focused on disentangling the most important controls of bulk surface conductance (G s ) and evaporative fraction (EF = LE/[H + LE]), where LE and H represent latent and sensible heat fluxes, respectively. Specifically, we investigated how vegetation phenology varied in importance relative to meteorological variables (vapor pressure deficit and antecedent precipitation) as a driver of G s and EF using path analysis, a framework for quantifying and comparing the causal linkages among multiple response and explanatory variables. Our results revealed that the drivers of G s and EF seasonality varied significantly between energy- and water-limited ecosystems. Specifically, precipitation had a much higher effect in water-limited ecosystems, while seasonal patterns in canopy greenness emerged as a stronger control in energy-limited ecosystems. Given that phenology is expected to shift under future climate, our findings provide key information for understanding and predicting how phenology may impact 21st-century hydroclimate regimes and the surface-energy balance.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗

Toward a Realistic Representation of Sucrose Transport in the Phloem of Plants

The significance of phloem hydrodynamics to plant mortality and survival, which impacts ecosystem-scale carbon and water cycling, is not in dispute. The phloem provides the conduits for products of photosynthesis to be transported to different parts of the plant for consumption or storage. The M$\ddot{u}$nch pressure flow hypothesis (PFH) is the leading framework to mathematically represent this transport. It assumes that osmosis provides the necessary pressure differences to drive water and sucrose within the phloem. Mathematical models utilizing the PFH approximate the phloem by a relatively rigid slender semi-permeable tube. However, the phloem consists of living cells that contract and expand in response to pressure fluctuations. The effect of membrane elasticity on osmotically driven sucrose front speed has rarely been considered and frames the scope here. Laboratory experiments were conducted to elucidate the elastic-to-plastic pressure-deformation relation in membranes and their effect on sucrose front speeds. It is demonstrated that membrane elasticity acts to retard the sucrose front speed. The retardation emerges because of two effects: (a) part of the osmotic pressure is diverted to perform mechanical work to expand the membrane instead of pressurizing water, and (b) expansion of the membrane reduces the sucrose concentration driving osmotic potential due to volume increases and concomitant dilution effects. Finally, these results offer a novel perspective about the much discussed presence of sieve plates throughout the phloem acting as structural expansion dampers.

59 BASIC BIOLOGICAL SCIENCES↗

Nutrient Dynamics in a Coupled Terrestrial Biosphere and Land Model (ELM-FATES-CNP)

We present a representation of nitrogen and phosphorus cycling in the Functionally Assembled Terrestrial Ecosystem Simulator, a demographic vegetation model within the Energy Exascale Earth System land model. This representation is modular, and designed to allow testing of multiple hypothetical approaches for carbon-nutrient coupling in plants. Novel model hypotheses introduced in this work include, (a) the controls on plant acquisition of aqueous mineralized nutrients in the soil and (b) fairly straight forward methods of allocating nutrients to specific plant organs and their losses through live plant turnover as well as litter fluxes generated through plant mortality. This combines the new with pre-existing hypotheses (such as nitrogen fixation and soil decomposition) into a system that can accommodate plant-soil dynamics for a large number of size- and functional-type-resolved plant cohorts within a time-since-disturbance-resolved ecosystem. Root uptake of nutrients is governed by fine root biomass, and plants vary in their fine root biomass allocation in order to balance carbon and nutrient limitations to growth. We test the sensitivity of the model to a wide range of parameter variations and structural representations, and in the context of observations at Barro Colorado Island, Panama. A key model prediction is that plants in the high-light-availability canopy positions allocate more carbon to fine roots than plants in low-light understory environments, given the widely different carbon versus nutrient constraints of these two niches within a given ecosystem. This model provides a basis for exploring carbon-nutrient coupling with vegetation demography within Earth system models.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗