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At least 505 records · Page 28

Runway Configuration Management with Offline Reinforcement Learning

Runway configuration management (RCM) is a challenging task, and it affects the efficiency of the National Airspace System (NAS) and airport surface operations significantly. Each airport, depending on the geometry, capacity, local climate patterns, etc. has multiple configurations for the runway usage for arriving and departing flights. Many factors such as the incoming/outgoing traffic load, wind direction and speed, convective weather, cloud ceiling and other environmental factors might affect the choice of a runway configuration at any point in time. However, other factors such as safety measures and regulations, noise abatement, capacity of each configuration, and preference of the air traffic controllers (ATCs) can also play a significant role in selecting the configuration. A sub-optimal selection of the runway configuration, or delay in making configuration changes might result in significant increase in taxi times for aircraft on the surface of the airport, fuel and energy use of the aircraft, and maintenance costs. It can also lead to safety concerns, such as an aircraft performing one or more go-arounds before being able to land. All these factors make RCM an extremely important and challenging decision-making process for the ATCs. The current state of practice sets the runway configuration by the ATCs based on relevant information available at the time including weather, traffic, noise abatement, safety bounds, etc. This makes the decision-making process subjective based on the accuracy of the available information and the bias in human decision making. Unfortunately, this approach yields poor results (e.g., significant delays) if the predicted outcomes are uncertain and their relative impact is not well understood. This is especially evident when the uncertainty increases the size of possible predicted outcomes (combinatorial explosion in possible scenarios) that cannot be handled by human reasoning. On the other hand, an automated approach based on machine intelligence can make use of historical data and search through all (or significant amount of) possible scenarios under uncertainty and make well-informed decisions.

Milad Memarzadeh↗

Developing Near Optimal Control Sequences for Chiller Plants with Water-side Economizers: A Case Study in a Warm and Marine Climate

Various advanced control sequences for chiller plants with water-side economizers (WSE) have been proposed in literature, but the optimization of those controls is limited. It is possible to maximize energy savings by developing near-optimal control sequences, which are dependent on several factors such as the load profile. To address these gaps, we first identify an advanced control sequence and three key control parameters for chiller plants with WSE. Next, optimizations are performed to minimize energy consumption for seven combinations of control parameters. A chiller plant with WSE system in a warm and marine climate is studied and two load profiles are considered. The system and controls are modeled using the Modelica Buildings library. The results show optimizing the selected control parameters can reduce energy consumption by up to 11% depending on the load profile. Specifically, optimizing the cooling tower efficiency threshold in the condenser water reset control can significantly reduce energy savings for the variable load profile by efficiently shifting the load from the cooling tower to the chiller. This paper provides practical guidance for developing near-optimal control sequences for chiller plant with WSE systems considering impacts such as the load profile.

chiller plant↗

Variability and Diversity Load Model Tool [SWR-20-03]

The motivation for the development of this tool and the underlying algorithms and methods was to enable the development of high-temporal resolution, realistic time-series data for quasi-static time-series (QSTS) analysis of distribution systems. Often, aggregated load profile data for a distribution circuit is available (e.g. feeder loading data collected via SCADA at the utility substation) and, while this data is typically accurate it masks the considerable variability of the 100’s or 1000’s of individual loads connected on the circuit. This tool was developed to model both the increased variability expected for these individual loads (e.g. the load of a single distribution transformer connected to 8-12 houses) and the expected diversity between loads on the circuit. It is important to note that the difference in variability and diversity, in the context of this tool, is that variability modeling only adds representative variability due to disaggregated load characteristics (e.g. the presence in the load profile of loads turning off and on like an air conditioner/oven) while the average energy profile remains the same as the user supplied power profile. Diversity modeling generates multiple individual load profiles which, in aggregate, sum to the user supplied power profile. Diversity is effectively variability in the energy usage over longer periods of time than seen in the variability model. Put another way, variability modeling supplies the expected variability due to the operation of various end-use loads and diversity modeling supplies the usage differences due to human behavior, schedules, etc. This load modeling tool was developed for use in generating data for distribution systems. Modeling is summarized by two major functions: 1) taking low resolution load profiles and adding intra-seconds variability onto the profiles, and 2) taking a user supplied load profile and distribution factors and adding both diversity and variability to the user supplied profile.

Zhu, Xiangqi↗

An empirical stress-intensity factor equation for the surface crack

This paper presents an empirical stress-intensity factor equation for a surface crack as a function of parametric angle, crack depth, crack length, plate thickness and plate width for tension and bending loads. The stress-intensity factors used to develop the equation were obtained from a previous three-dimensional, finite-element analysis of semielliptical surface cracks in finite elastic plates subjected to tension or bending loads. A wide range of configuration parameters was included in the equation. The ratios of crack length to plate thickness and the ratios of crack depth to crack length ranged from 0 to 1.0. The effects of plate width on stress-intensity variations along the crack front were also included. The equation was used to predict patterns of surface-crack growth under tension or bending fatigue loads. The equation was also used to correlate surface-crack fracture data for a brittle epoxy material within + or - 10 percent for a wide range of crack shapes and crack sizes.

Newman, J. C., Jr.↗

Stress-concentration factors for finite orthotropic laminates with a circular hole and uniaxial loading

Stresses were calculated for finite-width orthotropic laminates with a circular hole and remote uniaxial loading using a two-dimensional finite element analysis with both uniform stress and uniform displacement boundary conditions. Five different laminates were analyzed. Computed results are presented for selected combinations of hole diameter/sheet-width ratio d/w and length-to-width ratio L/w. For small L/w values, the stress-concentration factors K sub tn were significantly different for the uniform stress and uniform displacement boundary conditions. Typically, for the uniform stress condition, the K sub tn values were much larger than for the infinite strip reference condition; however, for the uniform displacement condition, they were only slightly smaller than for this reference. The results for long strips are also presented as width correction factors. For d/w less or = 0.33, these width correction factors are nearly equal for all five laminates.

Hong, C. S.↗

Fabrication, thermal analysis, and heavy ion irradiation resistance of epoxy matrix nanocomposites loaded with silane-functionalized ceria nanoparticles

This paper describes a detailed understanding of how nanofillers function as radiation barriers within the polymer matrix, and how their effectiveness is impacted by factors such as composition, size, loading, surface chemistry, and dispersion. Here, we designed a comprehensive investigation of heavy ion irradiation resistance in epoxy matrix composites loaded with surface-modified ceria nanofillers, utilizing tandem computational and experimental methods to elucidate radiolytic damage processes and relate them to chemical and structural changes observed through thermal analysis, vibrational spectroscopy, and electron microscopy. A detailed mechanistic examination supported by FTIR spectroscopy data identified the bisphenol A moiety as a primary target for degradation reactions. Results of computational modeling by the Stopping Range of Ions in Matter (SRIM) Monte Carlo simulation were in good agreement with damage analysis from surface and cross-sectional SEM imaging. All metrics indicated that ceria nanofillers reduce the damage area in polymer nanocomposites, and that nanofiller loading and homogeneity of dispersion are key to effective damage prevention. The results of this study represent a significant pathway for engineered irradiation tolerance in a diverse array of polymer nanocomposite materials. Numerous areas of materials science can benefit from utilizing this facile and effective method to extend the reliability of polymer materials.

37 INORGANIC, ORGANIC, PHYSICAL, AND ANALYTICAL CH↗

Nonlinear Local Bending Response and Bulging Factors for Longitudinal Cracks in Pressurized Cylindrical Shells

Results of a geometrically nonlinear finite element parametric study to determine curvature correction factors or "bulging factors" that account for increased stresses due to curvature for longitudinal cracks in unstiffened pressurized cylindrical shells are presented. Geometric parameters varied in the study include the shell radius, the shell wall thickness, and the crack length. The major results are presented in graphs of the bulging factor as a function of the applied load and as a function of geometric parameters that include the shell radius, the shell thickness and the crack length. The computed bulging factors are compared with solutions based on linear shallow shell theory, and with semi-empirical solutions that approximately account for the nonlinear deformation in the vicinity of the crack. The effect of biaxial loads on the computed bulging factors is also discussed.

Rose, Cheryl A.↗

Validation of Lower-Bound Estimates for Compression-Loaded Cylindrical Shells

The traditional approach used in the design of stability critical thin-walled circular cylin- ders, is to reduce unconservative buckling load predictions with an empirical knockdown factor. An alternative analysis-based approach to determine a lower bound buckling load for cylinders under axial compression is to use a lateral perturbation load to create an initial imperfection and determine the buckling load while that load is applied. This paper describes a preliminary e ort to develop a test capability to verify this approach. Results from tests of three aluminum alloy cylinders are described and compared to nite element predictions.

Haynie, Waddy T.↗

Oversizing and Part-Load Problems

Oversizing, the common engineering practice of specifying devices with capacity exceeding the actual load requirement, is a widespread practice across virtually all building technologies end-use categories, including HVAC, electrical systems, lighting, appliances, and plug loads. This practice, driven by factors like design uncertainty, institutional pressures, and risk aversion, results in wasted capital investment, control difficulties, and excessive energy consumption due to inefficient part-load operation. Part-load operation, where devices run below maximum capacity, is the dominant operating mode in most energy systems and presents a complex design challenge. Solutions to match output to load fall into three broad categories: constraining the output, adjusting the device’s internal behavior, and linking output to energy storage or other waste-heat reuse applications. The energy implications of part-load are critical, as efficiency often drops sharply as load decreases across a wide diversity of devices. To quantify the extent of this problem, we derive a dimensionless Part-Load Metric (PLM) based on device efficiency and its frequency distribution of operating hours at various output levels. The PLM quantifies the deviation of a device's actual efficiency from its maximum design efficiency. This metric also serves as a measure of "capital inefficiency," enabling engineers to compare the impact of different part-load solutions and providing a unified framework for evaluating performance across various devices and systems.

Meier, Alan↗

Climate Influences on Capacity Expansion Planning with Application to the Western U.S

Electric power system planners utilize a variety of planning tools to inform decisions concerning generation and transmission additions to the electric grid, the need for operational changes, and to evaluate potential stressors on the system. Numerous factors contribute to the planning process including projected fuel and technology costs, policy and load profiles. There is also a growing recognition of the interdependency of the electric grid with other natural and engineered systems. Here we explore how future climate change and hydropower operability might influence decisions related to electricity capacity expansion planning and operations. To do so we assemble a multi-model framework. Specifically, water resource modeling is used to simulate climate impacts on future water supply for thermoelectric and hydropower generation. Separately, temperature impacts on electricity load are evaluated. Together, these climate factors spatially constrain a capacity expansion model that projects generation and transmission additions to the grid. The projected new capacity-builds are then evaluated on their operations, reliability, and cost under average and extreme climate conditions using production cost modeling. This coupled framework is demonstrated on the electric grid in the Western U.S., supporting capacity expansion planning by WECC, the North American Electric Reliability Corporation (NERC) regional entity responsible for reliability assurance of the Western Interconnection. This region was selected in part because the West is unique in that it has high potential for renewable penetrations and is experiencing large retirements/displacements of baseload resources, primarily coal, leading to possible operational challenges in terms of changing resource mix and the need for resource flexibility. Toward this challenge, planning scenarios encompass a range of alternative energy, climate and drought futures. In this context we explore answers to two strategic questions: 1) How does changing climate influence electricity expansion planning (generation and transmission) and future operations, including type and capacity of new builds, system reliability, cost and environmental impacts? 2) How does the representation of hydropower in the modeling framework influence the evaluation of bulk power system operations? Results indicate that climate has a measurable influence on recommendations concerning the capacity, type and location of new generation and transmission additions, with up to 17 GW additional capacity needed by 2038 to meet peak loads (~6.6% increase over capacity-builds based on historical climate). The extent of additional infrastructure needs is strongly influenced by future water availability for hydropower and the potential deployment of demand response technologies. Systems designed for future climate conditions were found to maintain high system reliability under a range of electricity and water availability scenarios (including significant drought), with minimal system curtailments. Additional capacity needs due to higher load tend to increase cumulative 20-year investment and operating costs by $\$$5-$\$$17 billion and generation costs increase by 9 to 19%. Finally, changing the representation of hydropower flexibility has a relatively small influence on capacity expansion in the Western Interconnection through 2038, but hydropower flexibility impacts generation costs to a similar extent as climate.

13 HYDRO ENERGY↗

Characterization of composite materials by means of the ultrasonic stress wave factor

The usual approach to nondestructively evaluating a composite structure involves inspection and mechanical analysis of the inspection results. Such an approach has met with only limited success. On the other hand, the ultrasonic stress wave factor technique directly evaluates the material. Despite requiring access to only one surface of the material, the technique interrogates the material in the directions of applied load. Using the stress wave factor technique it is possible to determine the failure location in the material. The correlation of the stress wave factor with stiffness is shown. In addition, the use of the technique for determining the strength or life of composite material structures is discussed.

Duke, J. C., Jr.↗

Sustainable Li-ion anode material from Fe-catalyzed graphitization of paper waste

We report a novel method for the conversion of paper towel waste to biographite anode material is developed and optimized for use in Li-ion batteries. The surge in demand for Li-ion battery anode materials coupled with the unsustainable and inefficient methods of producing battery-grade graphite necessitate alternative carbon feedstocks and graphitization technologies. Paper waste (PW) is identified as a suitable carbon feedstock for iron-catalyzed graphitization due to its sustainability, low cost, low ash content, and ample supply for the intended end use. A Box Behnken experimental design for statistical optimization is pursued for untreated and pre-carbonized PW with factors of temperature (1100-1300 °C), hold time (1-5 h), and iron catalyst loading (0.5-1.5x fixed carbon content) with biographite crystal size as the primary response variable. Temperature and iron catalyst loading are found to be significant factors, whereas hold time is found to be insignificant. Reversible capacities of the biographite anodes are found to be 340-355 mAh g-1 with 99% capacity retention over 100 cycles, indicating good electrochemical performance relative to commercial graphite anodes. The initial Coulombic efficiency of untreated and pre-carbonized biographites, however, are 77% and 75%, respectively, suggesting parasitic reactions including electrolyte decomposition.

25 ENERGY STORAGE↗

Considerations for Short-Term Load Forecasting of Morocco

There are many factors that determine how demand for electricity may change over time. The analysis described in this report is focused on using auto-regressive models and neural networks to examine load-forecasting techniques for the next 24 hours.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗

Structural Analysis Findings of Open Spelter Socket Cable Terminations

A three-dimensional nonlinear finite element model of a representative open spelter socket termination was developed to examine the underlying mechanics of load transfer from a structural cable through the termination, the sensitivity of the joint design to wire brooming, zinc material nonlinearity, contact friction between the zinc and socket, voids within the zinc, and, finally, the effects of repeated loading on the joint. Primary factors affecting open spelter socket design are cast zinc plastic flow, depth of zinc slug seating, and quality of wire brooming. Zinc plasticity and proper brooming allows for efficient load transfer by developing confining pressure on the broomed wires in the narrow part of the socket, which keep the wires from pulling out of the zinc and shift failure to occur outside the socket. Highest wire stresses in the cable occur in the outer ring adjacent to the termination. While industry use of stay cables are typically designed to carry less than half the rated breaking force in aggregate, the constituent stresses within the zinc and the wires have the potential to exceed their respective allowable in operation and should be evaluated for fatigue- and creep-critical applications.

Pavel Babuska↗

Meta-Study of Particulate Detection Losses on Radioactive Air Sample Filters

Several mathematical relationships between air sample filter mass loading and the correlated analytical self-absorption factor were developed using data from other published research in this meta-study. Gross-alpha and -beta applications are addressed for this research. As filter media becomes loaded with particulate matter, there is potential for measurement losses due to self-absorption by mass loading. Components contributing to absorption include particulate dust, radioactive particulates, and filter material. Standards indicate a correction factor should be used when the penetration of radioactive material into the collection media or self-absorption of radiation by the material collected would reduce the detection rate by more than 5%. Previously, losses due to self-absorption have been reported up to 100% over a range up to ~10 mg∙cm -2 mass loading. These absorption losses then can be used to determine a correction factor for sample results. For low mass loadings (e.g., ≤0.1 mg∙cm -2 ) corrections factors in the 0.85 - 1 range have been recommended and used, while at higher mass loadings nearer to 10 mg∙cm -2 correction factors closer to 0 (representing near 100% losses) are used. Based on data from published studies, the different methods for relating percent loss due to self-absorption to mass loading include linear, exponential, quadratic, and trinomial derived functions. Where applicable, both forced zero and non-forced zero results were evaluated. From the derived functions evaluated, the trinomial function provided the best fit. Once the sample filter mass loading is known, the trinomial function can be applied to estimate losses and the corresponding self-absorption factor. When applied to routine operating conditions for radiological facility stacks monitored at the Pacific Northwest National Laboratory for an average sample filter mass loading of 0.09 ± 0.12 (2σ) mg∙cm -2 (excluding negative values and outliers) and a range from 0 - 0.24 mg∙cm -2 , the estimated trinomial function nominal self-absorption losses are less than 5% at 0.09 mg∙cm -2 and less than 10% at 0.24 mg∙cm -2 . The trinomial function is one method that may be used to adjust the activity results of an air sample when the sample-specific mass loading is determined. The application of no correction factor when the ANSI/HPS N13.1-2021 guidance of a 5% threshold for loss is not reached with typical stack sample mass loadings may be reasonable in high-efficiency particulate air filtered systems. For simplicity, it would be conservative in assigning the self-absorption correction factor at the 5% threshold (i.e., 0.95) for general uses but in cases of heavy mass loading to calculate the factor.

air sampling↗

Crack Growth Behavior in the Threshold Region for High Cyclic Loading

The present studies show that fanning in the threshold regime is likely caused by other factors than a plastic wake developed during load shedding. The cause of fanning at low R-values is a result of localized roughness, mainly formation of a faceted crack surface morphology , plus crack bifurcations which alters the crack closure at low R-values. The crack growth behavior in the threshold regime involves both crack closure theory and the dislocation theory of metals. Research will continue in studying numerous other metal alloys and performing more extensive analysis, such as the variation in dislocation properties (e.g., stacking fault energy) and its effects in different materials.

Forman, R.↗

Green's function solution and applications for cracks emanating from a circular hole in an infinite sheet

Stress-intensity factors are obtained for point loaded equal length cracks emanating from a circular hole in an infinite plate. A series approach and the Muskhelishvili formulation in the two-dimensional theory of elasticity are used to derive the solution. The applicability of the solution is demonstrated by using it as a Green's function to obtain stress-intensity factors in the case of (1) biaxial tension and pure shear of an infinite plate and (2) tension and pin loading of a plate with cracks emanating from one hole in a row of holes.

Shivakumar, V.↗