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Search indexed NASA NTRS and DOE OSTI research on propulsion, heat transfer, battery materials and energy systems. Follow report and document links to the original sources.

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At least 505 records · Page 28

Epidemiologic and Environmental Risk Factors of Rift Valley Fever in Southern Africa from 2008 to 2011

Background: Rift Valley fever (RVF) outbreaks have been associated with periods of widespread and above normal rainfall over several months. Knowledge on the environmental factors influencing disease transmission dynamics has provided the basis for developing models to predict RVF outbreaks in Africa. From 2008 to 2011, South Africa experienced the worst wave of RVF outbreaks in almost 40 years. We investigated rainfall associated environmental factors in southern Africa preceding these outbreaks. Methods: RVF epizootic records obtained from the World Animal Health Information Database (WAHID), documenting livestock species affected, location, and time, were analyzed. Environmental variables including rainfall and satellite-derived normalized difference vegetation index (NDVI) data were collected and assessed in outbreak regions to understand the underlying drivers of the outbreaks. Results: The predominant domestic vertebrate species affected in 2008 and 2009 were cattle, when outbreaks were concentrated in the eastern provinces of South Africa. In 2010 and 2011, outbreaks occurred in the interior and southern provinces affecting over 16,000 sheep. The highest number of cases occurred between January and April but epidemics occurred in different regions every year, moving from the northeast of South Africa toward the southwest with each progressing year. The outbreaks showed a pattern of increased rainfall preceding epizootics ranging from 9 to 152 days; however, NDVI and rainfall were less correlated with the start of the outbreaks than has been observed in eastern Africa. Conclusions: Analyses of the multiyear RVF outbreaks of 2008 to 2011 in South Africa indicated that rainfall, NDVI, and other environmental and geographical factors, such as land use, drainage, and topography, play a role in disease emergence. Current and future investigations into these factors will be able to contribute to improving spatial accuracy of models to map risk areas, allowing adequate time for preparation and prevention before an outbreak occurs.

Rift Valley Fever (RVF)↗

Modeling the Thickness of Perennial Ice Covers on Stratified Lakes of the Taylor Valley, Antarctica

A one-dimensional ice cover model was developed to predict and constrain drivers of long term ice thickness trends in chemically stratified lakes of Taylor Valley, Antarctica. The model is driven by surface radiative heat fluxes and heat fluxes from the underlying water column. The model successfully reproduced 16 years (between 1996 and 2012) of ice thickness changes for west lobe of Lake Bonney (average ice thickness = 3.53 m; RMSE = 0.09 m, n = 118) and Lake Fryxell (average ice thickness = 4.22 m; RMSE = 0.21 m, n = 128). Long-term ice thickness trends require coupling with the thermal structure of the water column. The heat stored within the temperature maximum of lakes exceeding a liquid water column depth of 20 m can either impede or facilitate ice thickness change depending on the predominant climatic trend (temperature cooling or warming). As such, shallow (< 20 m deep water columns) perennially ice-covered lakes without deep temperature maxima are more sensitive indicators of climate change. The long-term ice thickness trends are a result of surface energy flux and heat flux from the deep temperature maximum in the water column, the latter of which results from absorbed solar radiation.

heat fluxes from the underlying water column↗

NASA in Silicon Valley

Whether looking back only a few years or more than a century, our world has been changing. Communication networks are more widespread and interconnected than at any other time in human history. Computing power that was only imagined a generation ago is now widely available and can fit in the palm of a hand. The miniaturization of the integrated circuit has brought us close to the limit of what is possible with silicon as we explore new possibilities in the quantum realm. For over 80 years, NASA’s Ames Research Center in California’s Silicon Valley has held a special place amidst such change. With change, there also is continuity. Since 1939, Ames contributions have fundamentally shaped fields of study related to aeronautics and space. The ingenuity and problem-solving capabilities of personnel at Ames have affected all our lives in numerous ways, from everyday air travel to how we envision the possibility of life on other worlds. This publication is a mere hint at the rich history of Ames, told primarily through images that capture some of the recurring threads that have intertwined over that time. A bibliography points the reader to more detailed histories of Ames published over the years. They are excellent resources and, like all historical work, unavoidably incomplete. Our standing invitation in the present is to preserve what we can to help us understand where we are and how we arrived.

History↗

Reconstructing PM 2.5 Data Record for the Kathmandu Valley Using a Machine Learning Model

This paper presents a method for reconstructing the historical hourly concentrations of particulate matter 2.5 (PM2.5) over the Kathmandu Valley from 1980 to the present. The method uses a machine learning model that is trained using PM2.5 readings from US Embassy (Phora Durbar) as a ground truth, and the meteorological data from Modern-Era Retrospective Analysis for Research and Applications v2 (MERRA2) as input. The Extreme Gradient Boosting (XGBoost) model acquires a credible 10-fold cross-validation (CV) score of ~83.4%, an r2-score of ~84%, a Root Mean Square Error (RMSE) of ~15.82 µg/m3, and a Mean Absolute Error (MAE) of ~10.27 µg/m3. Further demonstrating the model's applicability to years other than those for which truth values are unavailable, the multiple cross-test with an unseen data set offered r2-scores for 2018, 2019, and 2020 ranging from 56% to 67%. The model-predicted data agrees with true values and indicates that MERRA2 underestimates PM2.5 over the region. It strongly agrees with ground-based evidence showing substantially higher mass concentrations in the dry pre- and post-monsoon seasons than in the monsoon months. It also shows a strong anti-correlation between PM2.5 concentration and humidity. The results also demonstrate that none of the years fulfilled the annual mean air quality index (AQI) standards set by the World Health Organization (WHO).

machine learning↗

On-ground Live Fuel Moisture Content Sampling Along California’s Central Coast Santa Lucia Preserve - Carmel Valley, CA

The ratio of water to dry mass within live plants is an important factor when determining the severity and intensity of potential wildfires. Currently, live fuel moisture content (LFMC) samples support wildland fire management, but are limited in number and spatial extent. In Monterey County, the only LFMC data to analyze spatial and temporal trends is collected by CalFire and the Los Padres National Forest Unit of the United States Forest Service across five long-term sampling sites. Our project aims to enhance the spatial coverage of current LFMC data being collected across Monterey County. Here, we share results from the ongoing work to monitor LFMC across Carmel Valley, CA. We evaluate LFMC data by environmental factors such as slope, aspect, topography, and species composition. We also place our LFMC samples in relation to nearby long-term sampling locations. We conclude by interpreting spatial and temporal trends in the preliminary data and discuss logistical challenges of establishing more long-term LFMC sampling sites to better represent the complex topography and vegetation composition of Central California.

On-ground↗

Grand Valley State University Checks Out Energy Savings at New Mary Idema Pew Library

Grand Valley State University (GVSU) partnered with the Department of Energy (DOE) to develop and implement solutions to build new, low-energy buildings that are at least 50% below Standard 90.1-2007 of the American Society of Heating, Refrigerating, and Air-Conditioning Engineers (ASHRAE), the American National Standards Institute (ANSI), and the Illuminating Engineering Society of North America (IESNA) as part of DOE’s Commercial Building Partnerships (CBP) Program.

eem↗

Vectoring into Potential Blind Geothermal Systems in the Granite Springs Valley Area, Western Nevada: Application of the Play Fairway Analysis at Multiple Scales

The Great Basin region of the western USA is capable of generating much greater amounts of geothermal energy than currently produced. Most geothermal resources in this region are blind, and thus the favorable characteristics for geothermal activity must be synthesized and methodologies developed to discover new commercial-grade systems. The geothermal play fairway concept involves integration of multiple parameters indicative of geothermal activity as a means of identifying promising areas for new development. In the Nevada play fairway project, nine geologic, geochemical, and geophysical parameters were initially synthesized to produce a new geothermal potential map of 96,000 km2. Granite Springs Valley in western Nevada is a particularly promising site selected for detailed study. It contains several favorable structural settings, including terminations of major Quaternary normal faults and fault intersections. Geologic, geophysical, and geochemical techniques were employed to define the most likely sites for high permeability and select drilling targets for temperature-gradient holes. Local and intermediate permeability models were revised to reflect results of detailed analyses and generate new detailed play fairway maps of the area. The most promising site lies in the northeastern part of the basin directly east of Adobe Flat, where the horse-tailing termination of a major normal fault (as revealed by new gravity data), opaline sinter deposits, warm shallow wells, and a low-resistivity anomaly are collocated. Geothermometry suggests a blind system with temperatures as high as ~130°C in this area. Four new temperature-gradient holes document temperatures of ~80°C at ~150 m depth. Lessons learned in the detailed studies of this project include: 1) initially identified sites commonly include multiple favorable settings at a finer scale; 2) promising sites in Cenozoic basins cannot be well defined without detailed geophysical surveys; and 3) play fairway analysis is critical at multiple scales, providing a means to select regional prospects as well as vectoring into drilling targets at individual sites.

15 GEOTHERMAL ENERGY↗

Discovery of a Blind Geothermal System in Southern Gabbs Valley, Western Nevada, through Application of the Play Fairway Analysis at Multiple Scales

The Great Basin region is capable of generating much greater amounts of geothermal energy than currently produced. Most geothermal resources in this region are blind, and thus favorable characteristics for geothermal activity must be synthesized and methodologies developed to discover new commercial-grade systems. The geothermal play fairway concept involves integration of multiple parameters indicative of geothermal activity to identify promising areas for new development. In the Nevada play fairway project, geologic, geochemical, and geophysical parameters were initially synthesized to produce a new geothermal potential map of 96,000 km2. Southern Gabbs Valley in western Nevada is a particularly promising site selected for detailed study. It contains favorable structural settings, including Quaternary fault intersections and a displacement transfer zone. Geologic, geophysical, and geochemical techniques were employed to define the most likely sites for high permeability and select targets for temperature-gradient holes. Permeability models were revised to reflect results of detailed analyses and generate new detailed play fairway maps. The most promising site lies in an area of multiple fault intersections in a broader displacement transfer zone directly north of the Petrified Springs dextral fault, as revealed by gravity, magnetic, and MT data. A 2-m temperature anomaly and warm temperature gradient wells (~120oC at ~150 m depth) confirm the presence of a geothermal system and provide initial validation of the play fairway methodology. The system is blind, with no surface hot springs, fumaroles, or paleo-geothermal deposits. Lessons learned in the detailed studies include: 1) initially identified sites commonly include multiple favorable settings at a finer scale; 2) promising sites in Cenozoic basins cannot be recognized without detailed geophysical surveys; and 3) play fairway analysis is critical at multiple scales.

15 GEOTHERMAL ENERGY↗

Obtaining a Special Administrative License Exemption to Ship the West Valley Melter Box - 16327

In order to ship the West Valley Melter Package (WVMP) package to support its disposal, the U.S. Department of Energy (DOE) requested a one-time shipment license exemption from the U.S. Nuclear Regulatory Commission (NRC). Based on content, the previously constructed WVMP, containing residual borosilicate glass and Low Density Cellular Concrete was shown to require a Type B Package. Therefore, Title 10 of the United States Code of Federal Regulations, Part 71 (10 CFR 71) required that radioactive releases under Normal Conditions of Transport (NCT) and Hypothetical Accident Conditions (HAC) would remain less than 1 E-7 A{sub 2}/hour and 1 E-1 A{sub 2}/week, respectively. Although the NRC normal method for demonstrating conformance to the 10CFR71 requirement is through performance of leak rate testing per American National Standards Institute (ANSI) standard N14.5, the WVMP does not contain a pressure vessel; therefore, performance of leak rate testing was not applicable/possible. Instead, an alternate method, adapted from DOE Handbook 3010 was used to show that the maximum allowed 10 CFR 71 radionuclide release rates for NCT and HAC would not be exceeded. Summarizing the effort, this paper provides the technical synopsis for requesting the exemption. (authors)

12 MANAGEMENT OF RADIOACTIVE AND NON-RADIOACTIVE W↗

Ammonia and methane dairy emissions in the San Joaquin Valley of California from individual feedlot to regional scale

Agricultural ammonia (NH 3 ) emissions are highly uncertain, with high spatiotemporal variability and a lack of widespread in situ measurements. Regional NH 3 emission estimates using mass balance or emission ratio approaches are uncertain due to variable NH 3 sources and sinks as well as unknown plume correlations with other dairy source tracers. We characterize the spatial distributions of NH 3 and methane (CH 4 ) dairy plumes using in situ surface and airborne measurements in the Tulare dairy feedlot region of the San Joaquin Valley, California, during the NASA Deriving Information on Surface conditions from Column and Vertically Resolved Observations Relevant to Air Quality 2013 field campaign. Surface NH 3 and CH 4 mixing ratios exhibit large variability with maxima localized downwind of individual dairy feedlots. The geometric mean NH 3 :CH 4 enhancement ratio derived from surface measurements is 0.15 ± 0.03 ppmv ppmv –1 . Individual dairy feedlots with spatially distinct NH 3 and CH 4 source pathways led to statistically significant correlations between NH 3 and CH 4 in 68% of the 69 downwind plumes sampled. At longer sampling distances, the NH 3 :CH 4 enhancement ratio decreases 20–30%, suggesting the potential for NH 3 deposition as a loss term for plumes within a few kilometers downwind of feedlots. Aircraft boundary layer transect measurements directly above surface mobile measurements in the dairy region show comparable gradients and geometric mean enhancement ratios within measurement uncertainties, even when including NH 3 partitioning to submicron particles. Individual NH 3 and CH 4 plumes sampled at close proximity where losses are minimal are not necessarily correlated due to lack of mixing and distinct source pathways. As a result, our analyses have important implications for constraining NH 3 sink and plume variability influences on regional NH 3 emission estimates and for improving NH 3 emission inventory spatial allocations.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗

Remote Sensing of Ground Deformation for Monitoring Groundwater Management Practices: Application to the Santa Clara Valley During the 2012-2015 California Drought

Groundwater management typically relies on water-level data and spatially limited deformation measurements. While interferometric synthetic aperture radar has been used to study hydrological deformation, its limited temporal sampling can lead to biases in rapidly changing systems. Here we use 2011–2017 COSMO-SkyMed data with revisit intervals as short as 1 day to study the response of the Santa Clara Valley (SCV) aquifer in California to the unprecedented 2012–2015 drought. Cross-correlation and independent component analyses of deformation time series enable tracking water through the aquifer system. The aquifer properties are derived prior to and during the drought to assess the success of water-resource management practices. Subsidence due to groundwater withdrawal dominates during 2011–2017, limited to the confined aquifer and west of the Silver Creek Fault, similar to predrought summer periods. Minimum water levels and elevations were reached in mid-2014, but thanks to intensive groundwater management efforts the basin started to rebound in late 2014, during the deepening drought. By 2017, water levels were back to their predrought levels, while elevations had not yet fully rebounded due to the delayed poroelastic response of aquitards and their large elastic compressibility. As water levels did not reach a new lowstand, the drought led to only elastic and recoverable changes in the SCV. The SCV lost 0.09 km 3 during the drought while seasonal variations amount to 0.02 km 3 . As a result, analysis of surface loads due to water mass changes in the aquifer system suggests that groundwater drawdowns could influence the stress on nearby faults.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗

Spatiotemporal variability in water sources of urban soils and trees in the semiarid, irrigated Salt Lake Valley

Plant transpiration is a critical process in ecohydrology and urban water budgets. Urban forests in the semiarid cities of the western United States are composed largely of non-native species sustained by irrigation. Given that the major end use of water in these cities is usually landscape irrigation, the efficiency of irrigation practices is essential in future water conservation measures. The dependence of urban trees on irrigation is driven not only by the availability of alternative water sources (e.g., precipitation) but also by patterns of infiltration and mobility of soil water. In this study, we used hydrogen and oxygen stable isotopes to identify spatiotemporal dynamics of trees, of varied sizes and species, and shallow soil water apportioning of irrigation versus winter snowmelt in urban parks in the semiarid Salt Lake Valley. We estimate for this ecosystem that, on average, >70% of tree transpiration and soil moisture during the summer originate from irrigation, with lower proportions of snowmelt (<30%) from the preceding winter. This implies that a fraction of summer transpiration is originated from out of phase precipitation inputs. Irrigation fractions are dominant throughout the growing season for soil and stem water, but snowmelt fractions increase in stem water towards the end of summer. Tree size, location, and species were not strongly associated with water sources under well-irrigated conditions. These results show that urban tree management practices should consider the impact of both irrigation practices and residual precipitation inputs, highlighting the importance of examining interannual time scales when calculating the local water budget.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗