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At least 505 records · Page 28

Reliability Analysis of Power Grids Considering Component Failures of Variable Energy Resources

This paper proposes an improved model for the reliability assessment of power systems considering component failures of variable energy resources (VER). The inherent intermittency of VER such as solar photovoltaic (PV) and wind farms, along with their susceptibility to component failures, present significant challenges to reliable system operation. These issues, combined with power grid operation and network constraints, complicate the reliable operation of VER-integrated power systems. Here, to address these concerns, this paper introduces a reliability assessment framework that considers VER input variability, its impact on component availability, and their resulting impact on overall system reliability. Stochastic models based on discrete Markov processes are developed to incorporate variable irradiance, wind speeds, and their effects on PV and wind component failure rates. A next-event and state transition-based approach is then developed to integrate the stochastic models into a mixed-timing sequential Monte Carlo simulation framework for composite reliability assessment. Case studies on the RTS-GMLC system demonstrate the effectiveness of the proposed model in evaluating the reliability of VER-integrated systems.

Pandit, Dilip [Sandia National Laboratories (SNL-N↗

Ultra-Fast Resonant DC Breaker

This project’s focus was to create an ultra-fast resonant hybrid dc circuit breaker for medium voltage electric systems. Medium voltage DC systems offer higher efficiency, additional resiliency, more controllability, and greater flexibility over comparable AC systems. Although technically, medium voltage DC systems are more attractive than their AC counterparts, no solution exists for the protection of medium voltage DC systems, and thus one cannot build a reliable MVDC system. This research will fill the technology gap, providing a MVDC protection solution, allowing mass adoption and proliferation of MVDC systems. MVDC systems will allow greater integration of renewable energy sources, higher efficiency of transmission and distribution, reduced losses in transmission lines, reduce carbon emissions, and higher electric power reliability.

24 POWER TRANSMISSION AND DISTRIBUTION↗

Grid-Supportive Loads - A New Approach to Increasing Renewable Energy in Power Systems

This paper demonstrates the potential of inverter-based loads to support grid reliability during power system transients thereby enabling reliable integration of renewable energy in power systems. Such loads are referred to in this paper as grid-supportive loads (GSLs). A new GSL model is developed that simulates the transient response capabilities that can be programmed in electronic loads. The model’s design enables it to be easily integrated in widely used commercial power system transient analysis software. Theoretical expressions are derived that explain the workings of the GSL model. The performance, numerical stability, and impact of the GSL model is validated on 9-bus and 2000-bus synthetic power system models using generator tripping and bus fault disturbances. Results on the 2000 bus system show that in the absence of frequency support from wind/solar generation resources, just 20% of loads with grid-supportive capabilities can improve frequency response by up to 2000 MW/0.1 Hz and reduce deviation in frequency at nadir by up to 60% compared to the situation when GSLs are absent. Power system reliability also improves under fault events. Here, it is further shown that GSLs can aid in integrating more renewable generation without degrading the overall transient response of the power system.

24 POWER TRANSMISSION AND DISTRIBUTION↗

Indoor Occupant Counting by RF Backscattering

Building HVAC (heating, ventilation and air conditioning) consumes approximately 13% of all energy consumption in USA. Motion detectors, cameras and user programmable thermostats have been shown to be ineffective for HVAC controls to save energy, mostly due to the user concerns of comfort, reliability and privacy. A new HVAC control system based on real-time occupant counting that is fully automated, highly accurate, economically sensible and preserving privacy and aesthetics can thus bring forth a disruptive impact to this large energy sector. Our indoor occupant monitoring technology is based on the radio-frequency identification system (RFID), deployed in the room, not on the occupants. One reader with four antennas can be deployed on the ceiling or behind the ceiling panels for every thousand square feet in home, office and assisted living, with or without room partitions. The sticker-like passive tag, 10 cents each and maintenance-free, are profusely hidden on the wall or inside the furniture at arbitrary position, preserving privacy and aesthetics. The large number of tags can realize diverse observation points to accommodate arbitrary room layouts, which is impractical by other active units of camera, infrared, radar or lidar. With 20 tags, the system can reliably detect the number of occupants. For 100 tags, occupant posture and location can be known. The technology has been verified in the research labs and test buildings with very high accuracy. When the real-time occupant number can be accurately known without assuming devices on occupants or occupant motion, the building HVAC system can be automated to achieve building energy saving without sacrificing occupant comfort. According to our limited testing in a few types of building models and the simplified cost calculation, the RFID system has low overall cost in production, deployment, operation and maintenance. The signal processing algorithm based on machine learning requires very small number of training cases as most learning is transferrable for various layouts, and very low computational needs during operation, according to our testing in four different room sizes and layouts. In our preliminary estimate from HVAC saving alone, the RFID system can potentially pay for itself within 1.5 years, in addition to the other enhancement in building automation systems (BAS). Our commercialization strategy and business pitch deck focus on venturing this Cornell occupant monitoring technology into BAS and energy management markets. We have identified three broad BAS market segments of senior living, residential buildings, and office buildings. We have put together the minimum viable product characteristics for these identified segments, including analyses on total cost and competing technologies, as well as the fit and technical gaps for these market segments. We intend to bring the technology to market by licensing or partnering with existing BAS vendors. A list of potential collaborators and licensing partner candidates was assembled for different aspects of integrating our technology into a potential product that can be used with BAS.

32 ENERGY CONSERVATION, CONSUMPTION, AND UTILIZATI↗

Data Challenges in Estimating the Capacity Value of Solar Photovoltaics

We examine the robustness of solar capacity-value estimates to three important data issues. The first is the sensitivity to using hourly averaged as opposed to subhourly solar-insolation data. The second is the sensitivity to errors in recording and interpreting load data. The third is the sensitivity to using modeled as opposed to measured solar-insolation data. We demonstrate that capacity-value estimates of solar are sensitive to all three of these factors, with potentially large errors in the capacity-value estimate in a particular year. If multiple years of data are available, the biases introduced by using hourly averaged solar-insolation can be smoothed out. Multiple years of data will not necessarily address the other data-related issues that we examine. Our analysis calls into question the accuracy of a number of solar capacity-value estimates relying exclusively on modeled solar-insolation data that are reported in the literature (including our own previous works). Our analysis also suggests that multiple years' historical data should be used for remunerating solar generators for their capacity value in organized wholesale electricity markets.

14 SOLAR ENERGY↗

Evaluating the Impact of Managed EV Charging for Reliable Operation of Bulk Power Systems with High Non-Dispatchable Generation

The growth of electric vehicles (EVs) and variable-generation (VG) sources introduces new challenges for power-system operations. This study introduces a modeling framework and evaluates five EV charging strategies under projected 2040 grid conditions in the Evergy service territory with high non-dispatchable generation. Using realistic EV behavior and generation models, their impacts on system peak demand, ramp rate, and reserve capacity are evaluated. Results show that only the peak-avoidance strategy effectively reduces system peak demand, while decentralized strategies-particularly cost based dynamic charging-can exacerbate peaks due to synchronized user behavior. However, ramp-rate minimization strategy significantly reduce the stress on dispatchable generation achieving the lowest maximum absolute ramp rate (MARR) (56.81 MW) and lowest reserve requirement (2.39 GW). In contrast, unmanaged and TOU random strategies increase the stress on dispatchable generation sources with increased MARR and reserve requirements. These findings highlight the importance of coordinated, system-aware managed charging strategies to ensure reliable and affordable grid operation in the presence of EVs and VG sources.

14 - SOLAR ENERGY↗

Chisel: reliability- and accuracy-aware optimization of approximate computational kernels

The accuracy of an approximate computation is the distance between the result that the computation produces and the corresponding fully accurate result. The reliability of the computation is the probability that it will produce an acceptably accurate result. Emerging approximate hardware platforms provide approximate operations that, in return for reduced energy consumption and/or increased performance, exhibit reduced reliability and/or accuracy. We present Chisel, a system for reliability- and accuracy-aware optimization of approximate computational kernels that run on approximate hardware platforms. Given a combined reliability and/or accuracy specification, Chisel automatically selects approximate kernel operations to synthesize an approximate computation that minimizes energy consumption while satisfying its reliability and accuracy specification. We evaluate Chisel on five applications from the image processing, scientific computing, and financial analysis domains. The experimental results show that our implemented optimization algorithm enables Chisel to optimize our set of benchmark kernels to obtain energy savings from 8.7% to 19.8% compared to the fully reliable kernel implementations while preserving important reliability guarantees.

97 MATHEMATICS AND COMPUTING↗

Trial Implementation of a Multihazard Risk Assessment Framework for High-Impact Low-Frequency Power Grid Events

The Pacific Northwest National Laboratory developed a risk framework for modeling high-impact, low-frequency power grid events to support risk-informed decisions. In this research article, we briefly recap the framework and demonstrate its implementation for seismic and geomagnetic hazards using a benchmark reliability test system. We describe integration of a collection of models implemented to perform hazard analysis, fragility evaluation, consequence estimation and post-event restoration. We demonstrate the value of the framework as a multi-hazard power grid risk assessment and management tool. The research will benefit transmission planners and emergency planners by improving their ability to maintain a resilient grid infrastructure against impacts from major events.

power grid, risk assessment, seismic hazard, dynam↗

Application of quantitative methods for reliability testing of a nuclear power plant digital rod position indication diagnostic system - 391

Obsolescence, aging, reliability, and performance issues are driving nuclear facilities to replace conventional analog Instrumentation and Control (I and C) systems with digital technologies. In addition, the designs of the next generation of nuclear reactors, including Small Modular Reactors (SMRs), will incorporate digital I and C for most, if not all, of their safety and non-safety related functions. As part of an on-going research and development (R and D) effort under the auspices of the U.S. Department of Energy (DOE), Analysis and Measurement Services Corporation (AMS) is developing a platform to provide automated testing of digital I and C systems and create a standard method of evaluation for reliability assessments. This hands-on R and D effort has produced a Software Reliability Tester (SRT), which is a set of software and hardware tools designed to automate the testing of digital I and C systems to measure and quantify how well the systems perform under normal operating conditions and in the presence of faults. Furthermore, the SRT provides the foundation for a practical tool to automate verification and validation (V and V) activities and reduce the amount of testing time of digital I and C systems. When combined with its capabilities of integrating both reliability and fault tolerance quantification, the SRT can be used to ensure that digital I and C implementations are both safe and cost-effective for the nuclear industry. This paper describes the application of the SRT to perform V and V of a new Digital Rod Position Indication (DRPI) diagnostic system. The DRPI diagnostic system is a digital system that monitors the rod address and rod position data bus voltages of typical DRPI systems in nuclear power plants to detect and diagnose faults. For this application, the SRT was configured to exercise the inputs of the DRPI diagnostic system, and test cases were generated for common system faults such as address and data bit errors, bus voltage, and timing problems. These test cases were applied by the SRT hardware as voltage inputs to the DRPI diagnostic system and the outputs were compared to expected values generated by a model of the DRPI diagnostic system. Included in the paper is a description of the overall design of the SRT including the hardware and software architectures. Methodologies for automating test cases are also described. V and V using the SRT demonstrates the benefits of automated testing and qualification to provide a quantitative assessment of reliability and cost effective implementation of digital I and C in existing and next generation nuclear power plants. (authors)

22 GENERAL STUDIES OF NUCLEAR REACTORS↗

Rapid Characterization and Statistical Analysis of High-Volume Field-Harvested Photovoltaic Connectors

Photovoltaic (PV) installations heavily depend on connectors for efficient module and string interconnections without requiring skilled labor. Yet this seemingly innocuous component of PV systems is a leading cause of module failures, multiple high-profile fires, and lawsuits in the PV industry. This work aims to answer critical questions regarding why connectors fail and the contributing factors to their failure. The study involves collecting and analyzing more than 17,000 field-harvested connectors from various solar installations across the United States. The vast dataset, which includes connector metadata, visual inspections, and resistance measurements, provides unprecedented insight into the state of health of PV connectors across the US, including the geographic locations, connector types, and installation practices most prone to failures. The work presented here describes a novel rapid characterization method for processing large numbers of connectors and is supported by parallel forensic analysis to discern the root causes of failures as well as a levelized cost of lifetime model to determine the economic ramifications of connector failure. Ultimately, the findings may inform PV developers about the best practices to extend connector longevity and lead to more resilient and reliable PV systems.

connectors↗

System Health and Status Reporting is Used to Improve Infrastructure Systems at the Hanford Site - 20449

Reliable physical infrastructure systems are vital to completing the clean-up mission and the start-up and commissioning of new nuclear waste processing facilities at the Hanford Site. Key infrastructure systems at Hanford include water, sewer, and electrical utilities, roads, telecommunications/network systems, and fire systems. All of the infrastructure systems are non-nuclear, General Service systems that are being maintained under formal engineering configuration control and none are specifically credited in any documented safety analysis (DSA). Starting in calendar year 2017, the Hanford Site's infrastructure and services contractor started producing system health and status reports for a total of 15 critical infrastructure systems as means to get a better understanding of each system's health and how it could be improved to ensure better and more reliable service delivery. As the reporting, tracking, and use of the metrics has matured, the number of systems for which reports are being developed has been expanded to a total of 23. Each of the critical infrastructure systems are assigned primary and alternate design authorities that complete qualifications on each assigned system. The design authorities actively manage and maintain configuration control on each of their systems and track metrics associated with availability, maintenance (corrective and preventive), and configuration of the technical baseline. The metrics are based on the principles established in Chapter V of DOE O 420.1C, Facility Safety, [1] and have been tailored as appropriate to each of the key infrastructure systems. An overall assessment of system health is performed and documented on a routine basis (e.g., quarterly). Included in this documentation is a quantitative score for each of the metrics (i.e., availability, maintenance, configuration management) along with results of system walk-downs, description of any permanent design modifications, identification of new or emerging issues and vulnerabilities affecting the system, and an assessment by the design authority of actions necessary to improve the system health score. The overall status scores are calculated using a formula and based on a pre-determined grading scale, a color is assigned for simple presentation. The information gained from developing the reports is being used to (1) assist with making timely and better informed decisions through the use of solid technical bases that are increasing the overall reliability and capabilities of the Site's infrastructure systems as new expense and capital projects in the Reliability Projects Investment Portfolio (RPIP) are prioritized and executed; (2) feed the risk management program, and (3) integrate the technical content of Master Plans that describe the Site's needs for the system and the system's capabilities to meet those future needs. (authors)

12 MANAGEMENT OF RADIOACTIVE AND NON-RADIOACTIVE W↗

Moore vs. Murphy: Tradeoffs between complexity and reliability in distributed energy system scheduling using software-as-a-service

Software-based optimization of building control strategies, including scheduling, has the potential to improve the performance of existing complex heating, ventilation, and air conditioning (HVAC), storage, and other systems—especially if temporally variable energy production, such as solar thermal or photovoltaics, is included. If reductions in energy bills can be achieved using optimized control strategies that take advantage of cost-saving opportunities, such as time-of-use pricing, the additional bill savings can cover further efficiency investment costs. As computer processing becomes cheaper over time (Moore's Law), opportunities to perform complex control optimization become more abundant, and these can be performed remotely as software-as-a-service (SaaS). However, by “perfecting” our control strategies, we run an increased risk that when something unexpected happens (Murphy's Law), the consequences of failure are greater. This study used simulation to explore the potential benefits of HVAC schedule optimization, delivery, and implementation using a SaaS paradigm, at various levels of complexity. Implementing optimal schedules in a model of an efficient building's HVAC system, the study predicts energy cost savings of up to 10% compared to the naïve reference control strategy. Optimizing more system control variables increases the potential energy cost savings; however, these savings could be compromised by failures in communication inherent in delivering schedules via SaaS. The additional cost of energy resulting from the risk of increased demand charges generally increased with increased communication failure to a much larger extent than the risk of increased energy use charges. This work suggests that moderate improvements in performance, achieved at low cost by simple means, may be more effective than highly optimized schemes, which are more susceptible to failure due to their dependence on complex interactions between systems.

42 ENGINEERING↗

Maintaining Balance: The Increasing Role of Energy Storage for Renewable Integration

For nearly a century, global power systems have focused on three key functions: generating, transmitting, and distributing electricity as a real-time commodity. Physics requires that electricity generation always be in real-time balance with load-despite variability in load on time scales ranging from subsecond disturbances to multiyear trends. With the increasing role of variable generation from wind and solar, the retirement of fossil-fuel-based generation, and a changing consumer demand profile, grid operators are using new methods to maintain this balance.

24 POWER TRANSMISSION AND DISTRIBUTION↗

System Study: Emergency Power System 1998–2018

This report presents an unreliability evaluation of the emergency power system (EPS) at 104 U.S. commercial nuclear power plants. Demand, run hours, and failure data from 1998 through 2018 for selected components were obtained from the Institute of Nuclear Power Operations (INPO) Industry Reporting and Information System (IRIS), formerly the INPO Consolidated Events Database (ICES). The unreliability results are trended for the most recent 10 year period while yearly estimates for system unreliability are provided for the entire active period. No statistically significant increasing or decreasing trends were identified in the EPS results.

22 GENERAL STUDIES OF NUCLEAR REACTORS↗

High Performance SOFCs with a Superior Stability for Reliable and Durable Power Systems

Next generation of fuel cells, electrolyzers, and batteries requires higher power, faster kinetics, and larger energy density, which necessitate the use of compositionally complex oxides to achieve multifunctionalities and activity. These compositionally complex oxides may change their phases and structures during an electrochemical process – a so-called “electrochemically driven phase transformation”. The origin for such a phase change has remained obscure. More importantly, there is a need to develop high performance solid oxide fuel cells with an enhanced stability. In this work, the La 0.6 Sr 0.4 Co 0.2 Fe 0.8 O 3 (LSCF) cathode surface is modified by infiltration of Pr 6 O 11 and the power density at 0.8V and 750 °C is improved by 21%. In addition, by replacing the traditional barrier layer Gd 0.2 Ce 0.8 O 1.9 with mixed conducting Pr 0.1 Gd 0.1 Ce 0.8 O 1.9 , the power density increases by 38%. The different mechanism of promotions was investigated by electrochemical impedance spectroscopy. The ohmic resistance is dramatically reduced by applying the PGCO interlayer, and the distribution of relaxation time was used to analyze the mechanism for which the polarization resistance was decreased attributing to the mixed conduction nature in PrO x . An increase of power density at 0.8 V of 0.358 W/cm 2 (71%) is achieved with the implementation of both surface modification and buffer layer engineering. An experimental study and a theoretical analysis were then carried out on phase evolution in praseodymium nickelates. Nickelate-based electrodes show up to 60× greater phase transformation during operation when compared to thermally annealed ones. Theoretical analysis suggests that the presence of a reduced oxygen partial pressure at the interface between the oxygen electrode and the electrolyte is the origin for the phase change in an oxygen electrode. Guided by the theory, an addition of the electronic conduction in the interface layer leads to the significant suppression of phase change, while improving cell performance and performance stability. When an oxygen electrode is under polarization, the oxygen partial pressure at the interface between the oxygen electrode and the electrolyte is lower than that of incoming oxidant. Under a high polarization, the environment at the aforementioned interface may lead to phase transformation of the oxygen electrode. The local oxygen partial pressure is determined by the transport properties at the interfaces. An addition of the electronic conduction in the interface layer, for instance using (Pr,Gd)-doped ceria to replace Gd-doped ceria, results in improved cell performance and performance stability, while the phase transformation is significantly suppressed. This work provides a fundamental understanding of the origin for phase transformation in oxygen electrodes during operation and use this knowledge to develop a high-performance electrode that exhibits improved performance stability.

30 DIRECT ENERGY CONVERSION↗