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At least 505 records · Page 28

Artificial neural network implementation of a near-ideal error prediction controller

A theory has been developed at the University of Virginia which explains the effects of including an ideal predictor in the forward loop of a linear error-sampled system. It has been shown that the presence of this ideal predictor tends to stabilize the class of systems considered. A prediction controller is merely a system which anticipates a signal or part of a signal before it actually occurs. It is understood that an exact prediction controller is physically unrealizable. However, in systems where the input tends to be repetitive or limited, (i.e., not random) near ideal prediction is possible. In order for the controller to act as a stability compensator, the predictor must be designed in a way that allows it to learn the expected error response of the system. In this way, an unstable system will become stable by including the predicted error in the system transfer function. Previous and current prediction controller include pattern recognition developments and fast-time simulation which are applicable to the analysis of linear sampled data type systems. The use of pattern recognition techniques, along with a template matching scheme, has been proposed as one realizable type of near-ideal prediction. Since many, if not most, systems are repeatedly subjected to similar inputs, it was proposed that an adaptive mechanism be used to 'learn' the correct predicted error response. Once the system has learned the response of all the expected inputs, it is necessary only to recognize the type of input with a template matching mechanism and then to use the correct predicted error to drive the system. Suggested here is an alternate approach to the realization of a near-ideal error prediction controller, one designed using Neural Networks. Neural Networks are good at recognizing patterns such as system responses, and the back-propagation architecture makes use of a template matching scheme. In using this type of error prediction, it is assumed that the system error responses be known for a particular input and modeled plant. These responses are used in the error prediction controller. An analysis was done on the general dynamic behavior that results from including a digital error predictor in a control loop and these were compared to those including the near-ideal Neural Network error predictor. This analysis was done for a second and third order system.

Mcvey, Eugene S.↗

Propulsion Investigation for Zero and Near-Zero Emissions Aircraft

As world emissions are further scrutinized to identify areas for improvement, aviation s contribution to the problem can no longer be ignored. Previous studies for zero or near-zero emissions aircraft suggest aircraft and propulsion system sizes that would perform propulsion system and subsystems layout and propellant tankage analyses to verify the weight-scaling relationships. These efforts could be used to identify and guide subsequent work on systems and subsystems to achieve viable aircraft system emissions goals. Previous work quickly focused these efforts on propulsion systems for 70- and 100-passenger aircraft. Propulsion systems modeled included hydrogen-fueled gas turbines and fuel cells; some preliminary estimates combined these two systems. Hydrogen gas-turbine engines, with advanced combustor technology, could realize significant reductions in nitrogen emissions. Hydrogen fuel cell propulsion systems were further laid out, and more detailed analysis identified systems needed and weight goals for a viable overall system weight. Results show significant, necessary reductions in overall weight, predominantly on the fuel cell stack, and power management and distribution subsystems to achieve reasonable overall aircraft sizes and weights. Preliminary conceptual analyses for a combination of gas-turbine and fuel cell systems were also performed, and further studies were recommended. Using gas-turbine engines combined with fuel cell systems can reduce the fuel cell propulsion system weight, but at higher fuel usage than using the fuel cell only.

Snyder, Christopher A.↗

Additive Manufacturing (AM) for Propulsion Component and System Applications

NASA MSFC is developing several areas of additive manufacturing (AM) for propulsion component and system applications. These developments include new AM process and material development, large-scale AM pathfinder component fabrication and hot-fire testing, AM-centric design methodology, modeling and simulation, post-processing advancements, and new design applications of AM in aerospace. Some specific areas NASA has focused is the development and commercial infusion of AM supply chain for materials such as copper-alloy GRCop (Cu-Cr-Nb), Hydrogen-resistant alloys (NASA HR-1, JBK-75), refractory-based alloys (C-103, W, Mo, new formulations), and bimetallic and multi-metallic AM processes. Additional efforts have been focused on large scale AM demonstrating complex thin-wall structures up to 60” diameter using directed energy deposition. Material characterization, properties and component hot-fire testing has been completed using many of these newly developed AM alloys/processes. NASA has also focused on improvements to post-processing including powder removal, surface enhancements, and support removal to further realize cost and schedule benefits to the overall supply chain. These developments are part of the NASA Rapid Analysis and Manufacturing Propulsion Technology (RAMPT), Low Cost Upper Stage Propulsion (LCUSP) and Long Life Additive Manufacturing (LLAMA) projects, in addition to internal IRAD, and external collaborations.

Additive Manufacturing↗

System Validation on the Europa Clipper mission in Early Implementation Phase

NASA’s next flag-ship mission - Europa Clipper, will embark on a journey to Jupiter’s icy moon Europa in 2024 to assess its environment and habitability with a highly capable spacecraft. Post Jupiter-Orbit-Insertion, the spacecraft will be commanded to perform intricate, yet meticulously planned Europa flybys to perform science investigations using a suite of instruments, while withstanding Jupiter’s harsh radiation environment. The success of this mission is dependent on a well-coordinated project and its elements such as the flight hardware and software, the ground support and mission operations teams, procedures and other cross-cutting elements. The Europa Clipper project needs to ensure that these elements are realized at a reasonable confidence level prior to launch and other mission critical events. System Validation test and analysis activities exercise and confirm the integrity of the system of all project elements in the expected flight environment with reasonable stressing conditions. These activities go beyond system design requirements verification and are driven by validation objectives that describe the end-to-end functional and operational capabilities required during nominal and off-nominal flight-like scenarios and critical events. The challenges associated with validating that the Europa Clipper project as a whole can function and perform correctly to meet the intended mission objectives with the as-delivered capabilities of all of its elements are daunting. This paper discusses the systematic methodology established in the early implementation phase of the Europa Clipper project for developing System Validation activities and their validation objectives, and addressing any validation-related challenges on the project. Approaches include decomposition of mission objectives using activity timelines in the Mission Design plan for developing nominal scenarios, use of fault trees for exploring off-nominal cases and system boundaries, and use of Model-based Systems Engineering (MBSE) tools for planning and prioritizing these activities.

Wang, Xu↗

Analysis of Platooning Trucks to Better Understand Dynamic Air Flow

Track testing has shown significant fuel-savings promise for truck platooning strategies but also raised unexpected questions about close following and long-distance following scenarios that could significantly impact savings realized in real-world conditions. The 2017 track test collaboration among NREL, Lawrence Berkeley National Laboratory, NRC Canada, Transport Canada, and others included onboard instrumentation to help the team gain a deeper understanding of the dynamic interaction between multiple vehicles. NREL's approach includes detailed data analysis for additional onboard sensors and J1939 CAN bus data from 2017 track test to investigate following truck air flow and turbulence changes to explain reduced savings at close following distances for the last vehicle in a platoon, define engine-cooling impacts of platooning position in different formations due to reduction of ram air through front grill and generate an understanding of a true in-use "baseline" with other vehicles on the highway. Initial data analysis indicates many of the data trends in wind angle, wind speed, and temperatures show a change in pattern for the closer following distances where fuel savings decrease for the following vehicles was also documented. This is encouraging in that the planned further analysis may yield the desired insights into the cause of the reduced savings. Once analyzed, light-duty vehicle and dynamic scenarios will help us refine the sensitivity of findings from the standard platooning scenarios.

30 DIRECT ENERGY CONVERSION↗

A Hybrid Heavy Duty Diesel Power System for Off-Road Applications—Concept Validation

A multiyear power system R&D program was completed with the objective of developing an off-road hybrid heavy duty diesel engine with front end accessory drive-integrated energy storage. This system was validated to deliver 10.5–25.6% reduction in fuel consumption over current Tier 4 Final-based 18L diesel engines, over various off-road machine application cycles. The power system consisted of a downsized heavy-duty diesel 13L engine containing advanced combustion technologies, capable of elevated peak cylinder pressures and thermal efficiencies, thermal barrier coatings, exhaust waste heat recovery via SuperTurbo™ turbocompounding, and hybrid energy assisting and recovery through both mechanical and electrical systems. Following the concept definition, design, and analysis phases of the program, the final phase focused on building and validating the performance and efficiency in laboratory tests. While aspects of the system such as start/stop and reduced off-road cooling package energy losses were only analytically evaluated, the main 13L concept engine with full hybrid system was successfully built and tested in steady-state and in transient certification and real-world application cycles. Extensive simulations in Caterpillar's DYNASTY™ software environment utilized the validation test data to assess performance more fully and confidently over varied cycles and strategies. An average fuel consumption reduction of 17.9% was realized, and the majority (~13%) of the benefit stemmed from the core concept 13L engine. In conclusion, a total cost of ownership analysis provides context to commercial viability and where adoption focus should be placed.

33 ADVANCED PROPULSION SYSTEMS↗

Mathematical and statistical analysis of the effect of boron on yield parameters of wheat

The main objective of this research is to investigate the effect of foliar applications of boron at different growth stages on yield and yield parameters of wheat. The contribution of boron in achieving yield parameters is described by second degree polynomial equations, with high statistical confidence (p<0.01; F theoretical < F calculated, according to ANOVA test, for Alfa = 0.05). Regression analysis, based on R{sup 2} values obtained, made it possible to evaluate the particular contribution of boron to the realization of yield parameters. This was lower for spike length (R{sup 2} = 0.812), thousand seeds weight (R{sup 2} = 0.850) and higher in the case of the number of spikelets (R{sup 2} = 0.936) and the number of seeds on a spike (R{sup 2} = 0.960). These results confirm that boron plays an important part in achieving the number of seeds on a spike in the case of wheat, as the contribution of this element to the process of flower fertilization is well-known. In regards to productivity elements, the contribution of macroelements to yield quantity is clear, the contribution of B alone being R{sup 2} = 0.868.

60 APPLIED LIFE SCIENCES↗

Towards Real-Time, On-Board, Hardware-Supported Sensor and Software Health Management for Unmanned Aerial Systems

For unmanned aerial systems (UAS) to be successfully deployed and integrated within the national airspace, it is imperative that they possess the capability to effectively complete their missions without compromising the safety of other aircraft, as well as persons and property on the ground. This necessity creates a natural requirement for UAS that can respond to uncertain environmental conditions and emergent failures in real-time, with robustness and resilience close enough to those of manned systems. We introduce a system that meets this requirement with the design of a real-time onboard system health management (SHM) capability to continuously monitor sensors, software, and hardware components. This system can detect and diagnose failures and violations of safety or performance rules during the flight of a UAS. Our approach to SHM is three-pronged, providing: (1) real-time monitoring of sensor and software signals; (2) signal analysis, preprocessing, and advanced on-the-fly temporal and Bayesian probabilistic fault diagnosis; and (3) an unobtrusive, lightweight, read-only, low-power realization using Field Programmable Gate Arrays (FPGAs) that avoids overburdening limited computing resources or costly re-certification of flight software. We call this approach rt-R2U2, a name derived from its requirements. Our implementation provides a novel approach of combining modular building blocks, integrating responsive runtime monitoring of temporal logic system safety requirements with model-based diagnosis and Bayesian network-based probabilistic analysis. We demonstrate this approach using actual flight data from the NASA Swift UAS.

Unmanned Aerial System↗

Stability Analysis of Streaks Induced by Optimized Vortex Generators

Numerical computations are performed to investigate the potential for transition control in an axisymmetric boundary layer via fully realizable, streamwise stationary streaks induced by an azimuthally periodic array of surface mounted vortex generators (VGs). Previous work has shown that suitable streaks of this type can significantly reduce the growth of Mack’s second mode instabilities, but large streak amplitudes can make the flow susceptible to previously absent streak instabilities that can become the leading cause of transition. Here, we use the adjoint capabilities of the SU2 flow solver to optimize the VG shape to maximize the reduction in the growth of second-mode disturbances while also preventing the streak amplitudes from reaching large enough values to precipitate an earlier onset of transition via streak instabilities. The geometry and the freestream flow conditions are selected to match a relevant trajectory lo-cation from the HIFiRE-1 flight experiment. Results show that the optimized VGs can increase the mean streak amplitude by 117% with respect to a manually developed baseline design. The stability of this optimized basic state is analyzed via the plane-marching parabolized stability equations, predicting a fully laminar flow over the entire cone, or equivalently, yielding transition delay of 130% versus the 17% for the baseline VGs.

Boundary layer transition↗

Stability Analysis of Streaks Induced By Optimized Vortex Generators

Numerical computations are performed to investigate the potential for transition control in an axisymmetric boundary layer via fully realizable, streamwise stationary streaks induced by an azimuthally periodic array of surface mounted vortex generators (VGs). Previous work has shown that suitable streaks of this type can significantly reduce the growth of Mack’s second mode instabilities, but large streak amplitudes can make the flow susceptible to previously absent streak instabilities that can become the leading cause of transition. Here, we use the adjoint capabilities of the SU2 flow solver to optimize the VG shape to maximize the reduction in the growth of second-mode disturbances while also preventing the streak amplitudes from reaching large enough values to precipitate an earlier onset of transition via streak instabilities. The geometry and the freestream flow conditions are selected to match a relevant trajectory lo-cation from the HIFiRE-1 flight experiment. Results show that the optimized VGs can increase the mean streak amplitude by 117% with respect to a manually developed baseline design. The stability of this optimized basic state is analyzed via the plane-marching parabolized stability equations, predicting a fully laminar flow over the entire cone, or equivalently, yielding transition delay of 130% versus the 17% for the baseline VGs.

Boundary layer transition↗

FEM Analysis of Hybrid LTS/HTS Cos-Theta Dipole Magnet With Heterogeneous Cable Model

The Lawrence Berkeley National Laboratory (LBNL) and the National High Magnetic Field Laboratory (NHMFL) have published results on Bi-2212 superconductive magnets realized and tested in the canted cosine-theta and solenoid designs, respectively. Fermilab is now preparing for the assembly of the first Bi-2212 stress-managed cosine-theta insert magnet. The insert will be part of the first hybrid cosine-theta magnet made of Nb$_3$Sn outer layers within the US-MDP effort to reach a 20 T bore field. This paper presents the analytical analysis of the cosine-theta Nb$_3$Sn/Bi-2212 hybrid magnet. We report the parameters, logic, and implementation method of the 2D electromagnetic and mechanical FEM analysis of the LTS/HTS hybrid magnet. Results from a detailed heterogeneous model are compared to the homogeneous model implemented in the past. A Python code has been developed to simulate the current degradation due to stresses in the detail-modeled conductor areas. The current degradation has been introduced in the simulation dynamics for the HTS conductor as an iteration process, updating the input load of Lorentz forces of the energization at each step. The magnetic and mechanical analysis results of the 2D cosine-theta LTS/HTS dipole magnet have been described and analyzed.

72 PHYSICS OF ELEMENTARY PARTICLES AND FIELDS↗

Need for Systematic Retrofit Analysis in Multifamily Buildings

Multifamily housing offers high potential for energy savings through retrofits. A comprehensive energy audit with systematic evaluation of alternative energy measures is one of the key steps to realizing the full energy savings potential. However, this potential often remains unrealized when the selection of measures is (1) based on a one-size-fits-all approach originating from accustomed practices, (2) intended merely to meet code-compliance requirements, and/or (3) influenced by owner renter split incentive. In such cases, the benefits of comprehensive energy auditing are disregarded in view of the apparent difficulty in diagnosing multifamily buildings, evaluating alternative measures, and installing customized sets of measures. This paper highlights some of the barriers encountered in a multifamily housing retrofit project in Georgia and demonstrates the merits of systematic retrofit analysis by identifying opportunities for higher energy savings and improved comfort and indoor air quality that were missed in this project. The study uses a whole-building energy analysis conducted for a 10-unit, low-rise, multifamily building of a 110-unit apartment complex. The analysis projected a 24% energy savings from the measures installed in the building with a payback period of 10 years. Further analysis with a systematic evaluation of alternative measures showed that without compromising on the objectives of durability, livability, and appearance of the building, energy savings of up to 34% were achievable with a payback period of 7 years. The paper concludes by outlining recommendations that may benefit future retrofit projects by improving the audit process, streamlining tasks, and achieving higher energy savings.

Malhotra, Mini↗

Quantifying the Mobility and Energy Benefits of Automated Mobility Districts Using Microscopic Traffic Simulation

Connected and automated vehicles (CAVs) are increasingly being discussed as the basis for shared mobility and on-demand services to replace privately owned vehicles. The rapid growth of transportation networking companies (TNCs) and their increasing investment in automated vehicle (AV) technologies attests to this. Combining the concepts of TNCs, with AV and on-demand transit services, the term 'automated mobility district' (AMD) describes a district-scale implementation of CAV technology to realize the full benefits of a shared, fully automated vehicle service within a confined region. This research effort provides a modeling architecture for AMDs along with a preliminary analysis to quantify the mobility and energy benefits of such districts. A customized open-source microscopic mobility simulation toolkit built on the simulation of urban mobility (SUMO) platform is implemented for AMD performance evaluation. Experimental scenarios are tested with different combinations of operational variables to provide insights on energy and mobility gains that can be realized in AMDs.

30 DIRECT ENERGY CONVERSION↗

Modeling and Simulation of Automated Mobility Districts

Connected and automated vehicles (CAVs) are increasingly being discussed as the basis for shared mobility and on-demand services to replace privately owned vehicles. The rapid growth of Transportation Networking Companies (TNCs) and their increasing investment in automated vehicle (AV) technologies attests to this. Combining the concepts of TNCs, with AVs and on-demand transit services, the term 'automated mobility district' (AMD) describes a district-scale implementation of CAV technology to realize the full benefits of a shared, fully automated vehicle service within a confined region. This research effort provides a modeling architecture for AMDs along with a preliminary analysis to quantify the mobility and energy benefits of such districts. A customized open-source microscopic mobility simulation toolkit built on the Simulation of Urban Mobility (SUMO) platform is implemented for AMD performance evaluation. Experimental scenarios are tested with different combinations of operational variables to provide insights on energy and mobility gains that can be realized in AMDs.

33 ADVANCED PROPULSION SYSTEMS↗

Quantifying the Mobility and Energy Benefits of Automated Mobility Districts Using Microscopic Traffic Simulation

Connected and automated vehicles (CAVs) are increasingly being discussed as the basis for shared mobility and on-demand services to replace privately owned vehicles. The rapid growth of transportation networking companies (TNCs) and their increasing investment in automated vehicle (AV) technologies attests to this. Combining the concepts of TNCs, with AV and on-demand transit services, the term “automated mobility district” (AMD) describes a district-scale implementation of CAV technology to realize the full benefits of a shared, fully automated vehicle service within a confined region. This research effort provides a modeling architecture for AMDs along with a preliminary analysis to quantify the mobility and energy benefits of such districts. A customized open-source microscopic mobility simulation toolkit built on the simulation of urban mobility (SUMO) platform is implemented for AMD performance evaluation. Experimental scenarios are tested with different combinations of operational variables to provide insights on energy and mobility gains that can be realized in AMDs.

Zhu, Lei↗

Social Impact Management Plans: Innovation in corporate and public policy

Social Impact Assessment (SIA) has traditionally been practiced as a predictive study for the regulatory approval of major projects, however, in recent years the drivers and domain of focus for SIA have shifted. This paper details the emergence of Social Impact Management Plans (SIMPs) and undertakes an analysis of innovations in corporate and public policy that have put in place ongoing processes – assessment, management and monitoring – to better identify the nature and scope of the social impacts that might occur during implementation and to proactively respond to change across the lifecycle of developments. Four leading practice examples are analyzed. The International Finance Corporation (IFC) Performance Standards require the preparation of Environmental and Social Management Plans for all projects financed by the IFC identified as having significant environmental and social risks. Anglo American, a major resources company, has introduced a Socio-Economic Assessment Toolbox, which requires mine sites to undertake regular assessments and link these assessments with their internal management systems, monitoring activities and a Social Management Plan. In South Africa, Social and Labour Plans are submitted with an application for a mining or production right. In Queensland, Australia, Social Impact Management Plans were developed as part of an Environmental Impact Statement, which included assessment of social impacts. Collectively these initiatives, and others, are a practical realization of theoretical conceptions of SIA that include management and monitoring as core components of SIA. The paper concludes with an analysis of the implications for the practice of impact assessment including a summary of key criteria for the design and implementation of effective SIMPs. -- Highlights: • Social impact management plans are effective strategies to manage social issues. • They are developed in partnership with regulatory agencies, investors and community. • SIMPs link assessment to ongoing management and address social and community issues. • SIMPs clarify responsibilities in the management of impacts, opportunities and risks. • SIMPs demonstrate a shift to include management as a core component of SIA practice.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗

Tracking atomic structure evolution during directed electron beam induced Si-atom motion in graphene via deep machine learning

Using electron beam manipulation, we enable deterministic motion of individual Si atoms in graphene along predefined trajectories. Structural evolution during the dopant motion was explored, providing information on changes of the Si atom neighborhood during atomic motion and providing statistical information of possible defect configurations. The combination of a Gaussian mixture model and principal component analysis applied to the deep learning-processed experimental data allowed disentangling of the atomic distortions for two different graphene sublattices. This approach demonstrates the potential of e-beam manipulation to create defect libraries of multiple realizations of the same defect and explore the potential of symmetry breaking physics. The rapid image analytics enabled via a deep learning network further empowers instrumentation for e-beam controlled atom-by-atom fabrication. Here, the analysis described in the paper can be reproduced via an interactive Jupyter notebook at https://git.io/JJ3Bx.

71 CLASSICAL AND QUANTUM MECHANICS, GENERAL PHYSIC↗

Reliability of solid rocket motor cases and nozzles

A recent article in Aerospace America claims that 'the average success ratio of the current U.S. stable of launch vehicles, including upper stages, is about 92 percent (without upper stages it is close to 95 percent). The 8 percent failure probability implies an expected loss of $12M per flight, not including the lost opportunity costs'. Since payload costs are likely to be much greater than launch costs and even more so for the new launch vehicles for the Advanced Launch Development Program (ALDP), the cost of rocket motor unreliability at the current 8 percent rate can run into billions of dollars if expected increases in demand are realized. At an 8 percent failure rate, it is extremely unlikely that failure will occur during the first few ground tests of a new system. At that time, most of the design, analysis and tooling costs of the program have not expended. Since most systems are expected to be used ten to a hundred or more times, the likelihood of one or more failures is very large, and it can be expected that the above losses will be realized in the future. This will occur unless the problems are addressed and remedied. Recent trends suggest the problem is not being addressed adequately.

Crose, James G.↗