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At least 505 records · Page 28

Evaluating U.S. Natural Gas Environmental Performance

This work summarizes the U.S. Department of Energy National Energy Technology Laboratory's (NETL) modeling and analysis of natural gas environmental performance. Over the past year, NETL updated its U.S. natural gas supply chain life cycle baseline model to incorporate 2020 data, regionalize the transmission and distribution network into six regions, incorporate improved gathering and boosting stage and distribution stage emissions factors, and assign environmental burdens among the various co-products (i.e., crude oil, natural gas liquids, natural gas) of the natural gas supply chain. The updated natural gas model helps generate more comprehensive and regionalized natural gas profiles, mapping production basins to the relevant transmission and distribution regions downstream. The work incorporates data from multiple peer reviewed measurement-based studies to achieve the objective of providing a comprehensive understanding of emissions from the U.S. natural gas supply chain. This presentation also explores future work by NETL to develop a platform that enables stakeholders to customize key parameters within the natural gas LCA model and observe the corresponding effects on the carbon intensity of the overall supply chain. The platform aims to offer a convenient method for stakeholders to obtain relevant insights from the updated model, without diving deep into the intricacies of the NETL natural gas model with hundreds of parameters and linkages.

Khutal, Harshvardhan↗

Optimizing workplace charging facility deployment and smart charging strategies

This study introduces a workplace charging (WPC) optimization model that maximizes the total satisfied electric miles of employees’ plug-in electric vehicles, subject to a given annual budget. The model optimizes both planning decisions of charger number and power levels and operation decisions of charging spot assignment and charging schedule for the given temporal distribution of charging demands and varied electricity prices. Results of experiments based on national average travel data indicate that the actual WPC strategy varies by budget level. Through optimization, the strategy could reduce impacts of the varied electricity price by shifting charging schedules to periods when electricity prices are low. Also, the model is expanded to study the trade-off between providing WPC and addressing consequence of degraded charging service by including the per-mile shadow cost of unsatisfied charging demand. Finally, we observe that their relative competitiveness mainly depends on the actual shadow cost of WPC.

33 ADVANCED PROPULSION SYSTEMS↗

An improved dataset for predicting mammal infecting viruses from genetic sequence information

There have been several attempts to develop machine learning (ML) models to identify human infecting viruses from their genomic sequences, with varying degrees of success. Direct comparison between models is problematic, because these models are typically trained and evaluated on different datasets with alternative data splitting schemes, features, and model performance metrics. In this paper we present a standardized dataset of mammal infecting and non-infecting viral pathogens, refined from the previous work of Mollentze et al. to include the latest literature evidence, roughly doubling the number of curated host-virus records available to the community, and new host target labels, primate and mammal. The new host labels were included for several reasons, including previous reports that classification performance is better at broader taxonomic ranks and the idea that there may be more data for primate infection that might serve as a suitable proxy for zoonotic potential and avoidance of false positives for human infection due to absence of evidence. On this dataset, we report the performance of eight machine learning models for predicting mammal-infecting viruses from their genomic sequences. We find that randomly assigning cases in our improved dataset to training/testing sets, when compared to the original assignments into training/testing in Mollentze et al., increases the overall average ROC AUC of prediction of human infection from 0.663 ± 0.070 to 0.784 ± 0.013, consistent with the reduction in phylogenetic distance between train and test sets (relative entropy change from 3.00 to 0.08). The broadest host category of mammal infection can be predicted most reliably at 0.850 ± 0.020. We share our improved dataset and code to enable standardized comparisons of machine learning methods to predict human host infections. Overall, we have presented preliminary evidence that classification of virus host infection is more tractable at higher taxonomic ranks, that unsurprisingly reducing the phylogenetic distance between training and test sets can improve predictive performance, that peptide kmer features appear to be harmful to out of sample model performance, and we are left with the question of whether models for virus host prediction can reasonably be expected to perform well in out of sample scenarios given the likelihood that viruses do not share a common ancestor. Consistent with this concern, when the data is resampled such that there is no overlap between viral families in training and test sets (relative entropy > 24), models perform no better than random chance at prediction of human infection regardless of whether kmers are included (ROC AUC 0.50 ± 0.08) or not (ROC AUC 0.50 ± 0.04).

59 BASIC BIOLOGICAL SCIENCES↗

A statistical model for interpreting computerized dynamic posturography data

Computerized dynamic posturography (CDP) is widely used for assessment of altered balance control. CDP trials are quantified using the equilibrium score (ES), which ranges from zero to 100, as a decreasing function of peak sway angle. The problem of how best to model and analyze ESs from a controlled study is considered. The ES often exhibits a skewed distribution in repeated trials, which can lead to incorrect inference when applying standard regression or analysis of variance models. Furthermore, CDP trials are terminated when a patient loses balance. In these situations, the ES is not observable, but is assigned the lowest possible score--zero. As a result, the response variable has a mixed discrete-continuous distribution, further compromising inference obtained by standard statistical methods. Here, we develop alternative methodology for analyzing ESs under a stochastic model extending the ES to a continuous latent random variable that always exists, but is unobserved in the event of a fall. Loss of balance occurs conditionally, with probability depending on the realized latent ES. After fitting the model by a form of quasi-maximum-likelihood, one may perform statistical inference to assess the effects of explanatory variables. An example is provided, using data from the NIH/NIA Baltimore Longitudinal Study on Aging.

NASA Discipline Neuroscience↗

Probabilistic projections of the Amery Ice Shelf catchment, Antarctica, under conditions of high ice-shelf basal melt

Abstract. Antarctica's Lambert Glacier drains about one-sixth of the ice from the East Antarctic Ice Sheet and is considered stable due to the strong buttressing provided by the Amery Ice Shelf. While previous projections of the sea-level contribution from this sector of the ice sheet have predicted significant mass loss only with near-complete removal of the ice shelf, the ocean warming necessary for this was deemed unlikely. Recent climate projections through 2300 indicate that sufficient ocean warming is a distinct possibility after 2100. This work explores the impact of parametric uncertainty on projections of the response of the Lambert–Amery system (hereafter “the Amery sector”) to abrupt ocean warming through Bayesian calibration of a perturbed-parameter ice-sheet model ensemble. We address the computational cost of uncertainty quantification for ice-sheet model projections via statistical emulation, which employs surrogate models for fast and inexpensive parameter space exploration while retaining critical features of the high-fidelity simulations. To this end, we build Gaussian process (GP) emulators from simulations of the Amery sector at a medium resolution (4–20 km mesh) using the Model for Prediction Across Scales (MPAS)-Albany Land Ice (MALI) model. We consider six input parameters that control basal friction, ice stiffness, calving, and ice-shelf basal melting. From these, we generate 200 perturbed input parameter initializations using space filling Sobol sampling. For our end-to-end probabilistic modeling workflow, we first train emulators on the simulation ensemble and then calibrate the input parameters using observations of the mass balance, grounding line movement, and calving front movement with priors assigned via expert knowledge. Next, we use MALI to project a subset of simulations to 2300 using ocean and atmosphere forcings from a climate model for both low- and high-greenhouse-gas-emission scenarios. From these simulation outputs, we build multivariate emulators by combining GP regression with principal component dimension reduction to emulate multivariate sea-level contribution time series data from the MALI simulations. We then use these emulators to propagate uncertainty from model input parameters to predictions of glacier mass loss through 2300, demonstrating that the calibrated posterior distributions have both greater mass loss and reduced variance compared to the uncalibrated prior distributions. Parametric uncertainty is large enough through about 2130 that the two projections under different emission scenarios are indistinguishable from one another. However, after rapid ocean warming in the first half of the 22nd century, the projections become statistically distinct within decades. Overall, this study demonstrates an efficient Bayesian calibration and uncertainty propagation workflow for ice-sheet model projections and identifies the potential for large sea-level rise contributions from the Amery sector of the Antarctic Ice Sheet after 2100 under high-greenhouse-gas-emission scenarios.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗

Genomic Language model for Annotation of Repetitive Elements (GLARE) v1.0

GLARE (Genomic Language model for Annotation of Repetitive Elements) is a tool that classifies transposable elements (TEs)—the mobile, repetitive DNA sequences that make up large fractions of eukaryotic genomes. GLARE fine-tunes the NTv3-650M genomic language model on a harmonized collection of curated TE sequences from the PanTEon and Repbase reference databases, assigning each input sequence to one of 11 orders and 32 superfamilies in a Wicker-compatible taxonomy. Features. From nucleotide FASTA input, GLARE outputs per-sequence predictions, class summaries, composition figures, and an annotated FASTA. It provides calibrated confidence scores with optional abstention and runs on CPU or GPU. Uses. GLARE serves as a classification component in genome-annotation pipelines, downstream of TE discovery, supporting genome annotation and comparative and evolutionary genomics. Advantages. GLARE is the first repeat-element classifier to leverage a pretrained genomic language model. Combined with multi-database training, this approach outperformed all nine classifiers in the PanTEon benchmark, generalized better to unseen taxonomic clades, and remained robust to sequence orientation—a common failure mode of existing tools.

Bruna, Tomas [Lawrence Berkeley National Laborator↗

A Module for Assimilating Hyperspectral Infrared Retrieved Profiles into the Gridpoint Statistical Interpolation System for Unique Forecasting Applications

Hyperspectral infrared sounder radiance data are assimilated into operational modeling systems however the process is computationally expensive and only approximately 1% of available data are assimilated due to data thinning as well as the fact that radiances are restricted to cloud-free fields of view. In contrast, the number of hyperspectral infrared profiles assimilated is much higher since the retrieved profiles can be assimilated in some partly cloudy scenes due to profile coupling other data, such as microwave or neural networks, as first guesses to the retrieval process. As the operational data assimilation community attempts to assimilate cloud-affected radiances, it is possible that the use of retrieved profiles might offer an alternative methodology that is less complex and more computationally efficient to solve this problem. The NASA Short-term Prediction Research and Transition (SPoRT) Center has assimilated hyperspectral infrared retrieved profiles into Weather Research and Forecasting Model (WRF) simulations using the Gridpoint Statistical Interpolation (GSI) System. Early research at SPoRT demonstrated improved initial conditions when assimilating Atmospheric Infrared Sounder (AIRS) thermodynamic profiles into WRF (using WRF-Var and assigning more appropriate error weighting to the profiles) to improve regional analysis and heavy precipitation forecasts. Successful early work has led to more recent research utilizing WRF and GSI for applications including the assimilation of AIRS profiles to improve WRF forecasts of atmospheric rivers and assimilation of AIRS, Cross-track Infrared and Microwave Sounding Suite (CrIMSS), and Infrared Atmospheric Sounding Interferometer (IASI) profiles to improve model representation of tropopause folds and associated non-convective wind events. Although more hyperspectral infrared retrieved profiles can be assimilated into model forecasts, one disadvantage is the retrieved profiles have traditionally been assigned the same error values as the rawinsonde observations when assimilated with GSI. Typically, satellitederived profile errors are larger and more difficult to quantify than traditional rawinsonde observations (especially in the boundary layer), so it is important to appropriately assign observation errors within GSI to eliminate potential spurious innovations and analysis increments that can sometimes arise when using retrieved profiles. The goal of this study is to describe modifications to the GSI source code to more appropriately assimilate hyperspectral infrared retrieved profiles and outline preliminary results that show the differences between a model simulation that assimilated the profiles as rawinsonde observations and one that assimilated the profiles in a module with the appropriate error values.

Berndt, Emily↗

MACAW v1.0

The ability to embed molecules in a numeric space is essential in order to build mathematical and machine-learning models describing molecular properties or other processes affected by molecules. MACAW is a cheminformatic tool that allows embedding small molecules into a multidimensional numeric space. In the embedding, each molecule is assigned a numeric vector that captures information of the molecule in relation to other molecules, and that vector can be used as input to mathematical models. Molecules that are more similar to each other are embedded closer in this numeric space, whereas molecules that are more different are embedded further away. One advantage of the MACAW embedding technology compared to established alterantives is that it is fast and does not require extensive computational resources or expertise. In particular, MACAW embeddings can be used as input to mathematical models without the need for variable cleaning or feature selection, saving time and simplifying their use. On the other hand, MACAW also contains methods to generate new molecules and to recommend new molecules satisfying a desired molecular property. The generation of new molecules can be biased based on an input set of molecules, effectively generating molecular diversity around it. In its turn, MACAW's molecular recommendation tool is a novel method for evolving molecules in silico towards a desired molecular specification. In this method, the biased molecular generator tool is applied iteratively in combination with a molecular selection step. As a result, in each iteration the molecules selected by the software are increasingly closer to the desired specification. Both the molecular generation and the molecular recommendation tools are very fast, efficient, and intuitive to use.

Roger, VincentBlay↗

Optimizing Porous Transport Layer Porosity for Proton Exchange Membrane Water Electrolysis

An empirical model is presented that describes anode-side losses related to porous transport layer (PTL) morphology in proton exchange membrane water electrolysis (PEMWE). The model is based on an advanced voltage breakdown analysis that links various overpotentials to PTL morphology. Custom Ti PTLs, spanning uncommonly low porosities (22 - 31%), were fabricated and analyzed with X-ray CT to obtain pore and particle size distributions. Particle size distributions were consistent across samples with an average particle diameter of 12.0?..mu..m, whereas average pore diameters ranged from 6.0 to 7.0?..mu..m. The PTLs were tested in standard PEMWE cell assemblies with anode catalyst loadings of 0.1 mgIr cm-2 to obtain polarization curves, electrochemical impedance spectra, and augmented Tafel analysis. The PTL-dependent anode side losses were deconvoluted and assigned to excess utilization, concentration, ion transport resistance, and electrical contact resistance overpotentials. The data and model reveal an optimal 20 - 28% PTL porosity region where utilization and contact resistance overpotentials are minimized without triggering concentration and ion transport losses related to water deprivation. The optimal PTL porosity depends on the operating current density and is demonstrated at realistic PEMWE water flow rates to establish PTL design guidance for operation at scale.

08 HYDROGEN↗

Mechanism of Quantum Speedup in Novel Population Transfer Protocol for Binary Optimization Problems

We consider a novel quantum population transfer protocol to solve binary optimization problems that exploits quantum many-body dynamics in the delocalized regime. Hard optimization problems are characterized by energy landscape with a large number of local minima separated by large Hamming distances which scale with the problem size. This landscape gives rise to an interesting computational primitive: given an initial bit-string, we are to produce other bit-strings within certain narrow range of energies around the initial state. We consider a specific model we call "impurity band": a system of n qubits in a transverse field, where a number of bitstrings $M<<2^n$ selected at random are assigned random energies distributed in a narrow window of width $W<<1$ around the mean energy $-n$. We demonstrate the existence of the many-body delocalized regime in this model when the spectrum of the model splits into many-body minibands, and a typical eigenstate wave function is a superposition of peaks centered at a large number of local minima. The typical width of the minibands in energy determines the efficiency of the population transfer protocol. We demonstrate theoretically that the population transfer protocol achieves Grover type speedup in the unstructured impurity band model.

Kechedzhi, Kostyantyn↗

Inverse Calculation of Burden Distribution Matrix Using B-spline Model Based PDF control in Blast Furnace Burden Charging Process

The inverse calculation of burden distribution matrix (BDM) is one of the most important challenges in the blast furnace operation in iron-making processes. In general, blast furnace consumes 65% of the total energy for the whole steel-making. Focusing on this practical challenge, this article proposes a new burden distribution spatial model in calculating burden charging process, and develops a B-spline approximation-based probability density function (PDF) control algorithm to assign the expected thickness distribution of burden layer and, thus, develops a new method for the required inverse calculation of BDM. First, a novel method for the thickness distribution of burden layer is given using B-spline model to produce an expected distribution shape subjected to a desired tracking within a specific spatial constraint. Then, according to the coexistence of continuous and bounded discrete variables in BDM, a novel hybrid optimization control method by combining integer programming and PDF tracking is further established for the effective inverse calculation of BDM. Finally, the proposed PDF-based iterative inverse calculation of BDM using B-spline models are tested using various data from industrial examples. Furthermore, the simulation results show that the proposed method is well suited to solve the BDM inverse calculation problem in practice.

42 ENGINEERING↗

Existence of tidal tails for the globular cluster NGC 5824

Context: Several dynamically cold streams have been associated with certain globular clusters (GCs) based on orbital energies and angular momenta. Some of these streams are surprisingly far apart from their progenitors and one such pair is Triangulum and NGC 5824. Triangulum can be considered as a piece of the leading tail of NGC 5824 since the cluster’s future orbit matches well with the stream’s track. The existence of the leading tail of NGC 5824 is the motivation behind the search for its trailing tail. Aims: Our goal is to confirm the connection between Triangulum and NGC 5824. We also search for the trailing tail of the cluster. Methods: The selection of member stars of Triangulum is made through various cuts in metallicity, proper motions (PMs), radial velocity and a color–magnitude diagram (CMD). The selected members are compared in phase space to a mock stream that models the disruption of NGC 5824. We then try to detect the trailing tail of the cluster based on a modified matched-filter technique. Stars are assigned weights using their color differences from the cluster’s locus in the CMD. These weights are further scaled, based on the stars’ departures from expected PMs of the model stream. Results: A total of 26 member stars for Triangulum are obtained, 16 of which are newly identified. These members are consistent with the mock stream in the phase space, and their metalicity and position on the CMD are in good agreement with NGC 5824. By applying the matched filter, a tenuous trailing tail of the cluster is detected, spanning ~50° long on sky. The signature matches well with the mock stream’s trajectory. Conclusions: Our results support that the Triangulum stream acts as a part of the leading tail for NGC 5824. On the trailing side, we detected a 50° tail extending from the cluster. The existence of both leading and trailing tails for the GC NGC 5824 is verified.

79 ASTRONOMY AND ASTROPHYSICS↗

Compositional analysis of organosolv poplar lignin by using high-performance liquid chromatography/high-resolution multi-stage tandem mass spectrometry

Organosolv treatment is an efficient and environmentally friendly process to degrade lignin into small compounds. The capability of characterizing the individual compounds in the complex mixtures formed upon organosolv treatment is essential for the optimization of the further lignin conversion processes and for the rational genetic engineering of plants used to produce lignin in order to improve lignin properties. In this study, an organosolv poplar lignin sample was initially analyzed by high-resolution mass spectrometry coupled with negative-ion mode electrospray ionization ((-)ESI HRMS). Lignin monomers and dimers were found to constitute the majority of the compounds in the organosolv lignin sample. Larger lignin oligomers, such as trimers and tetramers, and some not lignin-related compounds, were also detected. A high-performance liquid chromatograph/linear quadrupole ion trap/orbitrap mass spectrometer capable of multi-stage high-resolution tandem mass spectrometry experiments (HRMS n ), equipped with an (-)ESI source (HPLC/(-)ESI HRMS n ), was employed to separate the unknown compounds in the organosolv mixture and to obtain structural information for the deprotonated compounds via collision-activated dissociation (CAD) HRMS n experiments. To improve the understanding of the CAD behavior of deprotonated lignin-related compounds, 16 deprotonated model compounds with different functionalities and linkage types were examined. This approach enabled the assignment of likely structures for several lignin monomers, dimers, trimers, and tetramers, and some not lignin-related compounds, most likely fatty acids. Based on the proposed structures, compounds in the organosolv lignin sample contain β-O-4, 5–5, β-5, and possibly also 4-O-5 linkages. Most compounds contain G- and S-monomeric units although a small amount of H-units were also detected.

37 INORGANIC, ORGANIC, PHYSICAL, AND ANALYTICAL CH↗

First identification of resonant states in the {sup 45}V(p, {gamma}){sup 46}Cr reaction and their influence on the production of {sup 44}Ti in Core Collapse Supernovae

The observation of active 44Ti in supernova remnants offers the potential to solve one of the most debated questions in modern astrophysics, the exact underlying explosion mechanism of core collapse supernovae (CCSNe). In particular, a comparison between the predicted synthesized yield of 44Ti and the ejected flux is expected to allow for a determination of the mass cut of the star. Unfortunately, such comparisons are currently severely hindered by large uncertainties in the nuclear reactions governing the production and destruction of 44Ti. On this note, the astrophysical 45Vðp; γÞ46Cr reaction is expected to play a decisive role. We present the first experimental information on resonant states in the 45Vðp; γÞ46Cr reaction. Excitation energies have been measured with high precision for ten previously unknown, low-spin, proton-unbound states in 46Cr, and spin-parity-assignment constraints have been made using observed γ-decay patterns and shell-model calculations. We find that an l ¼ 1 resonance at 714 keV dominates the 45Vðp; γÞ46Cr reaction for the entire temperature range of α-rich freezeout. Moreover, the nominal rate is found to be ∼25–50% of previous estimates for T > 1.2 GK, indicating an increase in 44Ti production in CCSNe of ∼20–35%.

Cousins, C↗

A scheduling model for the aerial relay system

The ability of the Aerial Relay System to handle the U.S. transcontinental large hub passenger flow was analyzed with a flexible, interactive computer model. The model incorporated city pair time of day demand and a demand allocation function which assigned passengers to their preferred flights.

Ausrotas, R. A.↗

The semantics of fuzzy logic

Summarized here are the results of recent research on the conceptual foundations of fuzzy logic. The focus is primarily on the principle characteristics of a model that quantifies resemblance between possible worlds by means of a similarity function that assigns a number between 0 and 1 to every pair of possible worlds. Introduction of such a function permits one to interpret the major constructs and methods of fuzzy logic: conditional and unconditional possibility and necessity distributions and the generalized modus ponens of Zadeh on the basis of related metric relationships between subsets of possible worlds.

Ruspini, Enrique H.↗

The manned transportation system study - Defining human pathways into space

The Manned Transportation System (MTS) Study, conducted by a NASA-Industry Team (NIT), has developed substantiating data for subsequent NASA decisions on the “right” set of manned transportation elements needed for human access to space. It also provides the framework for detailed definition of those manned transportation elements. Including the next manned transportation system, to be developed. Process and product are presented to inform the aerospace community and subject our approach and conclusions to peer review, NASA/JSC lead the NIT, with participation from KSC, LaRC, MSFC, and NASA/Headquarters, along with six aerospace contractor (Boeing, General Dynamics, Lockheed Martin Marietta, McDonnell Douglas, and Rockwell). Each major milestone was archived through team consensus. Our mission model was derived from the FY90 Civil Needs Data Base (CNDB) and included flight assignments for Department of Defense (DOD) missions. Identifying and defining architecture evaluation criteria, i.e. attributes, specified the amount and type of data needed for each concept under consideration. Several architectures, each beginning with today’s transportation systems, were defined using representative systems to explore our future options and address specific questions currently being debated. Our solutions are a function of the level of space activity the nation chooses to follow. However, they all emphasize affordability, safety, routineness, and reliability. Finally, key issues associated with our current business practices were challenged and the impact associated with those practices quantified.

NASA Langley Research Center↗

Global stratigraphy

Attention is given to recent major advances in the definition and documentation of Martian stratigraphy and geology. Mariner 9 provided the images for the first global geologic mapping program, resulting in the recognition of the major geologic processes that have operated on the planet, and in the definition of the three major chronostratigraphic divisions: the Noachian, Hesperian, and Amazonian Systems. Viking Orbiter images permitted the recognition of additional geologic units and the formal naming of many formations. Epochs are assigned absolute ages based on the densities of superposed craters and crater-flux models. Recommendations are made with regard to future areas of study, namely, crustal stratigraphy and structure, the highland-lowland boundary, the Tharsis Rise, Valles Marineris, channels and valley networks, and possible Martian oceans, lakes, and ponds.

Tanaka, Kenneth L.↗