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At least 505 records · Page 28

An evaluation of contractor projected and actual costs

GSFC contractors with cost-plus contracts provide cost estimates for each of the next four quarters on a quarterly basis. Actual expenditures over a two-year period were compared to the estimates, and the data were sorted in different ways to answer several questions and give quantification to observations, such as how much does the accuracy of estimates degrade as they are made further into the future? Are estimates made for small dollar amounts more accurate than for large dollar estimates? Other government agencies and private companies with cost-plus contracts may be interested in this analysis as potential methods of contract management for their organizations. It provides them with the different methods one organization is beginning to use to control costs.

Kwiatkowski, K. A.↗

Design considerations for high-altitude, long-endurance, microwave-powered aircraft

The sizing and performance analyses have been conducted in the design of long-endurance, high-altitude airplanes. These airplanes receive power either continuously beamed from a phased array transmitter or intermittently beamed from a dish transmitter. Results are presented for the cases of flight in zero wind speed and nonzero wind speed. Sensitivity studies indicate that the vehicle size is relatively insensitive to changes in the transmitter size. Cost estimates were made using models that excluded the airplane cost. Using a reference payload, results obtained from array and dish configurations were compared. Comparisons showed savings in cost as well as smaller vehicle sizes when an array transmitter was used.

Nguyen, H. Q.↗

Direct broadcast satellite-radio: Portable and mobile reception trade-offs

There has been considerable international effort in the areas of system studies, system development, and regulatory work for a Direct Broadcast Satellite Radio (DBS-R). An important milestone will be the 1992 World Radio Administrative Conference (WARC 1992) consideration of frequency allocation in the 500 - 3000 MHz range for such a service. There is an interagency agreement between Voice of America and the National Aeronautics and Space Administration for a coordinated program in DBS-R. This program includes seven tasks: systems tradeoff studies, propagation measurements, satellite experiment and demonstration, receiver development, market studies, regulatory studies, and WARC preparations. The findings of ongoing work under the first task, systems tradeoff studies, are discussed. Topics covered include digital bit rate and audio quality, propagation considerations and link margin estimates for portable reception, link margin estimates for mobile reception, coverage, and satellite size and cost estimates for a regional DBS-R coverage example.

Golshan, Nasser↗

Parametric Cost Modeling of Space Missions Using the Develop New Projects (DMP) Implementation Process

This paper presents an overview of a parametric cost model that has been built at JPL to estimate costs of future, deep space, robotic science missions. Due to the recent dramatic changes in JPL business practices brought about by an internal reengineering effort known as develop new products (DNP), high-level historic cost data is no longer considered analogous to future missions. Therefore, the historic data is of little value in forecasting costs for projects developed using the DNP process. This has lead to the development of an approach for obtaining expert opinion and also for combining actual data with expert opinion to provide a cost database for future missions. In addition, the DNP cost model has a maximum of objective cost drivers which reduces the likelihood of model input error. Version 2 is now under development which expands the model capabilities, links it more tightly with key design technical parameters, and is grounded in more rigorous statistical techniques. The challenges faced in building this model will be discussed, as well as it's background, development approach, status, validation, and future plans.

Rosenberg, Leigh↗

Launcher Systems Development Cost: Behavior, Uncertainty, Influences, Barriers and Strategies for Reduction

This paper will report on the activities of the IAA Launcher Systems Economics Working Group in preparations for its Launcher Systems Development Cost Behavior Study. The Study goals include: improve launcher system and other space system parametric cost analysis accuracy; improve launcher system and other space system cost analysis credibility; and provide launcher system and technology development program managers and other decisionmakers with useful information on development cost impacts of their decisions. The Working Group plans to explore at least the following five areas in the Study: define and explain development cost behavior terms and concepts for use in the Study; identify and quantify sources of development cost and cost estimating uncertainty; identify and quantify significant influences on development cost behavior; identify common barriers to development cost understanding and reduction; and recommend practical, realistic strategies to accomplish reductions in launcher system development cost.

Shaw, Eric J.↗

An Unmanned Spacecraft Subsystem Cost Model for Advance Mission Planning

This paper reports on the development of a parametric cost model that is being built at JPL to estimate costs of future, deep space, robotic science missions. Because of the changes in the mission implementation process and technology changes, the model is being built in a dramatically different manner than past models which have had access to a data base that drew heavily on the correlation between mass and actual costs.

Parametric↗

Techno-Economic Analysis of a Nuclear Reactor System coupled with a Liquid Metal Battery

There is a need for nuclear reactor systems to become more dynamic as defossilization and renewable energy sources continue to reshape the energy grid. One option to meet these changing demands is to pair the reactor with an energy storage system. This work details a technoeconomic analysis and sensitivity analysis of a high temperature gas cooled microreactor, supercritical carbon dioxide power cycle, and liquid metal battery. Dynamic modeling has shown that these three systems compliment each other to provide load following and black-start capabilities to the grid. Current cost estimates for installing the systems yield a competitive levelized cost of electricity and levelized cost of storage, indicating that such a combined system may be economically viable as technological advances lead to them being technically feasible.

25 ENERGY STORAGE↗

Cost models and economical packaging of LSI's

Report discusses mathematical models used to estimate costs of developing and fabricating microcircuits. Second part discusses LSI packaging using tape chip carrier technology.

Himmel, R. P.↗

Multimodal CO2 Transportation Cost Model

This model provides a cost estimate for transporting CO2 via truck or rail in the United States using commercially available equipment and technologies. The model includes an analysis of direct and indirect CO2 emissions to determine costs per net tonne of CO2 transported. Publicly available data and methods published in the peer-reviewed literature are used to the extent possible; references are available at the bottom of the "Calculations" sheet. Upstream (i.e., liquefaction, buffer storage) and downstream (i.e., buffer storage, reconditioning) activities are included in the model of emissions and costs. All capital and operating expenditures are estimated in the "Calculations" sheet. The cost of financing the project is determined in the "FINEX" sheet. All user inputs are done via drop down menus in on the "User Interface" sheet. Summary results are also provided on the "User Interface" sheet.

Myers, CoreyA↗

H 2 Production Pathways Cost Analysis (2016 - 2021) (Final Report)

This final report documents cost analysis conducted for the Department of Energy over a five year period (2016 to 2021) pertaining to hydrogen production and delivery system components, focusing on the key remaining challenges of the technology pathways within the Hydrogen Production and Delivery sub-program portfolio. A particular focus was placed on electrolysis for the generation of hydrogen. The effort primarily used the H2A discounted cash flow computational model as a tool to project hydrogen cost ($/kgH 2 ) and determine status improvements resulting from technology advancements. The effort also considered cost as a function of production volume, employed error bars to illustrate uncertainties in the cost estimates, and utilized sensitivity analyses to show the potential for cost reductions. The project examined a range of hydrogen production and delivery related systems. These included WireTough wire-wrapped pressure vessels for hydrogen storage, proton exchange membrane (PEM) electrolysis, solid oxide electrolysis (SOE), anion exchange membrane (AEM) electrolysis, photoelectrochemical (PEC) electrolysis, solar thermochemical hydrogen (STCH) production, the cost of energy transmission, and a study on the necessary price of hydrogen to produce competitively-priced electricity via fuel cell conversion.

08 HYDROGEN↗

Supercritical CO2 Recuperators, Presented at The ASME Turbo Expo 2017, June 29, 2017, by Dr. John Kelly, President, Altex Technologies Corporation

Closed Brayton super-critical CO2 power cycles are well suited to waste heat bottoming cycles, due to their increased efficiency and compactness, relative to Rankine steam bottoming cycles. Since waste heat applications would be retrofits, the power system compactness is important. To achieve high efficiency, these power cycles require high pressure recuperative type heat exchangers, of substantial heat duty. Current Printed Circuit Heat Exchangers (PCHE), originally developed for high pressure gas and oil applications, can be used as recuperators, but costs are higher than desired. Altex is developing a purpose-built high pressure and effectiveness recuperator to provide the reliability, compactness, performance and pressure capability of current recuperators, but at a reduced cost. The High Effectiveness Low Cost (HELC) recuperative heat exchanger design yields volume and weight metrics of .0024 m3/UA and 10.2 kg/UA, which are 4% and 77.3% below recuperator target metrics, respectively. A 50 kW test article was designed and fabricated. Performance tests on water and oil showed that the HELC design model could predict heat transfer, to within 10% of the measured value. This model was then used to project HELC performance, when operating on supercritical CO2. Besides performance tests, the test article was hydrostatically tested, for integrity at up to 4,000 psi pressure. At these conditions, some distortion of channels was encountered. To mitigate distortion, the inserts were redesigned and these results were used to project the cost of 500 kW and 5,083 kW HELC units. The cost metric for the 5,083 kW unit was determined to be $1,349/UA, which is 10% lower than the recuperator desired cost metric desired target of $1,500/UA. In addition, the 5,083 kW unit HELC cost of $61.09/kW is 33.6% lower than the $92/kW estimated cost for a PCHE. Hydrostatic pressure tests, at up to 4,000psi, showed that the unit did not leak. However, channels were distorted at this pressure differential. Design updates to minimize stress concentrations and distortion were prepared and analyzed, to show that distortion could be controlled, but to date tests have not been run to prove the design. Project results show the potential of the HELC approach, but more work is required to confirm this potential, at the larger scales of interest.

14 SOLAR ENERGY↗

High Effectiveness, Compact, High Pressure and Low-Cost Recuperator, Presented at The Fifth International Symposium – Super-Critical CO2 Power Cycles, San Antonio, Texas, March 28-31, 2016, by Dr. John Kelly, President, Altex Technologies Corporation

Closed Brayton super-critical CO2 power cycles are well suited to waste heat bottoming cycles, due to their increased efficiency and compactness, relative to Rankine steam bottoming cycles. Since waste heat applications would be retrofits, the power system compactness is important. To achieve high efficiency, these power cycles require high pressure recuperative type heat exchangers, of substantial heat duty. Current Printed Circuit Heat Exchangers (PCHE), originally developed for high pressure gas and oil applications, can be used as recuperators, but costs are higher than desired. Altex is developing a purpose-built high pressure and effectiveness recuperator to provide the reliability, compactness, performance and pressure capability of current recuperators, but at a reduced cost. The High Effectiveness Low Cost (HELC) recuperative heat exchanger design yields volume and weight metrics of .0024 m3/UA and 10.2 kg/UA, which are 4% and 77.3% below recuperator target metrics, respectively. A 50 kW test article was designed and fabricated. Performance tests on water and oil showed that the HELC design model could predict heat transfer, to within 10% of the measured value. This model was then used to project HELC performance, when operating on supercritical CO2. Besides performance tests, the test article was hydrostatically tested, for integrity at up to 4,000 psi pressure. At these conditions, some distortion of channels was encountered. To mitigate distortion, the inserts were redesigned and these results were used to project the cost of 500 kW and 5,083 kW HELC units. The cost metric for the 5,083 kW unit was determined to be $1,349/UA, which is 10% lower than the recuperator desired cost metric desired target of $1,500/UA. In addition, the 5,083 kW unit HELC cost of $61.09/kW is 33.6% lower than the $92/kW estimated cost for a PCHE. Hydrostatic pressure tests, at up to 4,000psi, showed that the unit did not leak. However, channels were distorted at this pressure differential. Design updates to minimize stress concentrations and distortion were prepared and analyzed, to show that distortion could be controlled, but to date tests have not been run to prove the design. Project results show the potential of the HELC approach, but more work is required to confirm this potential, at the larger scales of interest.

14 SOLAR ENERGY↗

High Effectiveness, Compact, High Pressure and Low Cost Recuperator for Super-Critical CO2 Power Cycles, Paper Presented at The Fifth International Symposium – Super-Critical CO2 Power Cycles, San Antonio, Texas, March 28-31, 2016, by Dr. John Kelly, President, Altex Technologies Corporation

Closed Brayton super-critical CO2 power cycles are well suited to waste heat bottoming cycles, due to their increased efficiency and compactness, relative to Rankine steam bottoming cycles. Since waste heat applications would be retrofits, the power system compactness is important. To achieve high efficiency, these power cycles require high pressure recuperative type heat exchangers, of substantial heat duty. Current Printed Circuit Heat Exchangers (PCHE), originally developed for high pressure gas and oil applications, can be used as recuperators, but costs are higher than desired. Altex is developing a purpose-built high pressure and effectiveness recuperator to provide the reliability, compactness, performance and pressure capability of current recuperators, but at a reduced cost. The High Effectiveness Low Cost (HELC) recuperative heat exchanger design yields volume and weight metrics of .0024 m3/UA and 10.2 kg/UA, which are 4% and 77.3% below recuperator target metrics, respectively. A 50 kW test article was designed and fabricated. Performance tests on water and oil showed that the HELC design model could predict heat transfer, to within 10% of the measured value. This model was then used to project HELC performance, when operating on supercritical CO2. Besides performance tests, the test article was hydrostatically tested, for integrity at up to 4,000 psi pressure. At these conditions, some distortion of channels was encountered. To mitigate distortion, the inserts were redesigned and these results were used to project the cost of 500 kW and 5,083 kW HELC units. The cost metric for the 5,083 kW unit was determined to be $1,349/UA, which is 10% lower than the recuperator desired cost metric desired target of $1,500/UA. In addition, the 5,083 kW unit HELC cost of $61.09/kW is 33.6% lower than the $92/kW estimated cost for a PCHE. Hydrostatic pressure tests, at up to 4,000psi, showed that the unit did not leak. However, channels were distorted at this pressure differential. Design updates to minimize stress concentrations and distortion were prepared and analyzed, to show that distortion could be controlled, but to date tests have not been run to prove the design. Project results show the potential of the HELC approach, but more work is required to confirm this potential, at the larger scales of interest.

14 SOLAR ENERGY↗

Roughrider Carbon Storage Hub (Final Report)

The Roughrider Carbon Storage Hub was a 2-year project (October 2023 – September 2025) conducted by the Energy & Environmental Research Center (EERC) focused on advancing the feasibility of a commercial-scale carbon dioxide (CO 2 ) geologic storage hub in McKenzie County, North Dakota. The project’s objective was to investigate the potential that stacked storage complexes (multiple deep saline formations) can safely and economically store at least 50 million tonnes of CO 2 within 30 years. The captured CO 2 would be sourced from industrial emitters including project partner ONEOK, Inc.’s gas-processing plants and a planned gas-to-liquids facility. Drilling of the Roughrider 1 stratigraphic test well (14,979-ft total depth) was completed in November 2024. The wellbore intersected four candidate storage formations: Inyan Kara, Broom Creek, Mission Canyon, and Black Island–Deadwood. Operational challenges, including a stuck drill string, were resolved without long-term impact. A comprehensive logging and coring program was conducted, followed by successful well abandonment and site reclamation. Over 660 ft of 4-in. whole core was retrieved. Core plug samples were processed and analyzed for petrophysical and geochemical properties. Results confirmed promising porosity and permeability in the Inyan Kara and Broom Creek Formations and removal of the Mission Canyon and Black Island–Deadwood horizons from further investigation. Data derived from the logging and coring program were used to improve initial geologic models built from legacy data. CO 2 injection simulations showed that the Inyan Kara alone can feasibly store the target mass of CO 2 . Because of subtle differences in geologic structure and porosity trends between the formations, a stacked storage scenario using the Broom Creek and Inyan Kara Formations resulted in a larger overall plume area than using the Inyan Kara alone. Preliminary CO 2 pipeline routes from the industrial sources were mapped utilizing existing rights of way and evaluated for capacity and cost using U.S. Department of Energy Office of Fossil Energy and Carbon Management/National Energy Technology Laboratory models and U.S. Environmental Protection Agency emissions data. Integrating capture, transport, and storage cost estimates with policy incentives (e.g., 45Q credits) provided a total cost-per-ton analysis. Results indicate that the small scale of the volumes to be transported over the cumulative large distances does not support the project’s financial viability. However, the groundwork laid during this project from geological, regulatory, and social perspectives positions the Roughrider hub site as a promising candidate for commercial carbon storage in North Dakota, especially if the economy of scale is introduced for CO 2 transportation to the hub site.

01 COAL, LIGNITE, AND PEAT↗

Commercial Fishing Port Development in North Florida

The author has identified the following significant results. Seven major counties were examined: Escambia, Bay, Gulf, Franklin, Wakulla, Nassau, and Duval. Population and economic activity were reviewed, along with commercial fishing and port facilities. Recommendations for five northwest Florida counties were based on interpretation of aerial photographs, satellite imagery, an aerial survey site visit, and published data. Major needs in Pensacola included docking, ice supply, and net and engine repair services. Costs for additional docks, an ice plant, and gear storage were estimated at $3,658,600. Port users in Panama City identified additional docking and gear storage as primary needs, along with gear repair and a marine railway. Estimated costs for dock and gear storage were $2,860,000. Added docking, gear storage, and ice supply, as well as gear electronics and diesel repair were needed in Port St. Joe. Costs were calculated at $1,231,500. Franklin County has three ports (Apalachicola - $1,107,000 for docks and gear storage, Eastpoint - $420,000 for additional docks, and Carrabella - $2,824,100 for docks, gear storage, and ice plant).

Mathis, K.↗

Carbon Dioxide Observational Platform System (CO-OPS), feasibility study

The Carbon Dioxide Observational Platform System (CO-OPS) is a near-space, geostationary, multi-user, unmanned microwave powered monitoring platform system. This systems engineering feasibility study addressed identified existing requirements such as: carbon dioxide observational data requirements, communications requirements, and eye-in-the-sky requirements of other groups like the Defense Department, the Forestry Service, and the Coast Guard. In addition, potential applications in: earth system science, space system sciences, and test and verification (satellite sensors and data management techniques) were considered. The eleven month effort is summarized. Past work and methods of gathering the required observational data were assessed and rough-order-of magnitude cost estimates have shown the CO-OPS system to be most cost effective (less than $30 million within a 10 year lifetime). It was also concluded that there are no technical, schedule, or obstacles that would prevent achieving the objectives of the total 5-year CO-OPS program.

Bouquet, D. L.↗