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All sourcesNASA NTRSDOE OSTI
DOE OSTI2021

How different power plant types contribute to electric grid reliability, resilience, and vulnerability: a comparative analytical framework

Abstract This work explores the dependability tradeoffs provided by the most common types of central power plants in the United States. Historically, the electricity sector has lacked consensus on how reliability , resilience , and vulnerability differ and how those metrics change depending on the power plant fleet composition. We propose distinct definitions for these metrics and an analytical framework to evaluate power plant fleet dependability. Using data analysis and literature review, we identify fifteen dependability attributes across which we rank eleven power plant types relative to natural gas combined-cycle (NGCC) plants. We use NGCC as the benchmark because it is common to many locations and is of relatively recent vintage. The framework shows that each power plant type has unique dependability benefits and drawbacks. We provide examples of how researchers may use the framework to evaluate grid dependability qualitatively under different scenarios. We find that assuming all attributes that contribute to grid dependability are equally important and additive, electric grid dependability is best supported when power plant fleets include a mixture of power generation technologies. Then, we discuss scenario characteristics that could alter the prioritization and relationships of attributes. We also find that if current capacity installation trends continue to favor low- and zero-carbon power plants, US power grids may benefit from increased resilience and reduced vulnerability at the cost of decreased reliability. We conclude by recommending methods for adapting the framework and quantifying relationships between attributes in individual scenarios.

Ramirez-Meyers, K. (ORCID:0000000291216952)↗
DOE OSTI2023

Laboratory investigation of hydraulic fracturing in granitic rocks using active and passive seismic monitoring

SUMMARY Knowledge of the fracturing processes can be important for the optimization of pressurized fluid injection operations in the deep underground rock mass. Active and passive seismic monitoring techniques have been used in the field for tracking or mapping the propagating hydraulic fracture. Although both these monitoring techniques provide valuable information about the generated fracture network, it is difficult for either technique to comprehensibly identify the different processes associated with hydraulic fracturing. The combined active and passive monitoring has the potential for better characterization of the complex hydraulic fracturing phenomena. In this study, laboratory hydraulic fracturing experiments with combined active and passive seismic monitoring were conducted on true triaxially loaded Barre granite cubes with different fluid injection rates. The seismic inelastic fracturing was detected by 16 passive acoustic emission sensors, where 3678 and 2370 seismic source events were detected for the high and low injection rate experiments, respectively. For active monitoring, strong variations in the attributes of signals were observed which were transmitted through four source–receiver pairs, placed both perpendicular and parallel to the generated hydraulic fracture. Positive velocity changes were observed for active sensor pairs with ray paths passing through the generated hydraulic fracture indicating fluid permeation, whereas isolated dry deformation was characterized by a slight but permanent velocity decrease. Compared to velocity, the energy of the active signals was 1–2 orders of magnitude more sensitive to different hydraulic fracturing processes. However, the sensitivity and signatures of the active signal attributes were found to be dependent on the frequency range and direction of ray path with respect to the location of the generated fracture network. Using the coupled evaluation of the active and passive signals we were able to systematically identify various hydraulic fracturing processes including: (1) aseismic deformation, (2) fracture initiation and fluid permeation, (3) pressure build-up, (4) fracture propagation and (5) pressure release and leak-off. The results of this study showed that combining the respective advantages of active and passive seismic techniques and using both of them to monitor the failure processes can facilitate a more comprehensive understanding and better control of the hydraulic stimulations in subsurface operations.

Geochemistry & Geophysics↗
DOE OSTI2024

Efficient graph representation framework for chemical molecule similarity tasks

Graph data has emerged in numerous scientific domains and machine learning techniques have been widely used for analysis and learning of diverse data for prediction and decision. Machine learning techniques can readily address complex problems by leveraging their structural information. But graphs cannot be directly used for existing machine learning algorithms unless encoded as vectors. The problem of efficient representation of graphs is a substantial challenge in graph machine learning. In this paper, we propose a novel two-stage framework for the representation of chemical molecule graphs based on the strengths of Graph Isomorphism Networks (GINs) and Siamese autoencoders. In the first stage, the GIN model is constructed and trained using the structural information of chemical molecule graphs. Node attributes, edge attributes, and edge indices are used as input data, while graph attributes are used as labels. The GIN model effectively captures the structural characteristics of graphs and can accurately predict graph attributes, i.e., molecular properties. It also generates Graph Embeddings, represented as vectors that encode the structural information of graphs. In the second stage, Graph Embedding vectors are further optimized for downstream similarity tasks while preserving the graph structural information. The Siamese autoencoder is constructed and trained, which reduces the dimensionality of the Graph Embedding vectors, while maximizing the preservation of structural information in the original high-dimensional vectors. The resulting low-dimensional Graph Embeddings can be effectively utilized for tasks such as approximate nearest neighbor search. The experimental results demonstrate the effectiveness of our proposed framework in accurately predicting graph similarity.

Ma, Jiaji↗
DOE OSTI2020

FeederGAN: Synthetic Feeder Generation via Deep Graph Adversarial Nets

This paper presents a novel, automated, generative adversarial networks (GAN) based synthetic feeder generation mechanism, abbreviated as FeederGAN. FeederGAN digests real feeder models represented by directed graphs via a deep learning framework powered by GAN and graph convolutional networks (GCN). Information of a distribution feeder circuit is extracted from its model input files so that the device connectivity is mapped onto the adjacency matrix and the device characteristics, such as circuit types (i.e., 3-phase, 2-phase, and 1-phase) and component attributes (e.g., length and current ratings), are mapped onto the attribute matrix. Then, Wasserstein distance is used to optimize the GAN and GCN is used to discriminate the generated graphs from the actual ones. A greedy method based on graph theory is developed to reconstruct the feeder using the generated adjacency and attribute matrices. Furthermore, our results show that the GAN generated feeders resemble the actual feeder in both topology and attributes verified by visual inspection and by empirical statistics obtained from actual distribution feeders.

42 ENGINEERING↗
DOE OSTI2023

Effects of forest degradation classification on the uncertainty of aboveground carbon estimates in the Amazon

Tropical forests are critical for the global carbon budget, yet they have been threatened by deforestation and forest degradation by fire, selective logging, and fragmentation. Existing uncertainties on land cover classification and in biomass estimates hinder accurate attribution of carbon emissions to specific forest classes. In this study, we used textural metrics derived from PlanetScope images to implement a probabilistic classification framework to identify intact, logged and burned forests in three Amazonian sites. We also estimated biomass for these forest classes using airborne lidar and compared biomass uncertainties using the lidar-derived estimates only to biomass uncertainties considering the forest degradation classification as well. Our classification approach reached overall accuracy of 0.86, with accuracy at individual sites varying from 0.69 to 0.93. Logged forests showed variable biomass changes, while burned forests showed an average carbon loss of 35%. We found that including uncertainty in forest degradation classification significantly increased uncertainty and decreased estimates of mean carbon density in two of the three test sites. Our findings indicate that the attribution of biomass changes to forest degradation classes needs to account for the uncertainty in forest degradation classification. By combining very high-resolution images with lidar data, we could attribute carbon stock changes to specific pathways of forest degradation. This approach also allows quantifying uncertainties of carbon emissions associated with forest degradation through logging and fire. Both the attribution and uncertainty quantification provide critical information for national greenhouse gas inventories.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗
DOE OSTI2020

Seismic response to paleo-sand dunes in the Nugget Sandstone Formation, southwestern Wyoming

We have analyzed a 3D seismic survey acquired for a carbon sequestration project on top of the Moxa Arch in southwestern Wyoming. We observed a zone of discontinuous reflectors on vertical slices of seismic amplitude volume, whereas, the northwest–southeast lineations were observed on the time slices. We performed a seismic to well tie that suggested that the lineations occur within the Nugget Sandstone. The Nugget Sandstone is an eolian sandstone deposit of Early Jurassic age, deposited as a subtropical dune field, and equivalent to the Navajo Sandstone of southwestern Utah. Petrophysical analysis indicates that the Nugget Sandstone is dominated by clean sandstone (70%–80%), whereas evaporites, including halite and anhydrite, are present in certain zones. Previous outcrop studies on the Navajo Sandstone indicate the wind direction to be predominantly northeast–southwest. Seismic attributes, including coherence and curvature, displayed on stratal slices within the Nugget Sandstone interval indicate the presence of lineations in the northwest–southeast direction with irregular spacing. These lineations are approximately perpendicular to the inferred dominant wind direction. We computed the dominant wind direction from the average azimuth of the lineations as seen on the curvature attribute in the Nugget Sandstone interval. Geological feature: Eolian sand dunes with interdunal evaporites Seismic appearance: Parallel lineations with irregular spacing on seismic attribute horizon slices Alternative interpretations: Canyons at continental slopes; slope failures Features with a similar appearance: Marine bars; contourites Formation: The Nugget Sandstone — equivalent to the Navajo Sandstone Age: Early Jurassic Location: Moxa Arch, Wyoming Seismic data: Obtained by the University of Wyoming with U.S. DOE funding Contributors: Dhruv Agrawal, Brady Lujan, Sumit Verma, Shuvajit Bhattacharya, and Subhashis Mallick Analysis tools: Coherence and curvature attributes; seismic inversion; petrophysical inversion

Geochemistry & Geophysics↗
DOE OSTI2021

Explosion Discrimination Using Seismic Gradiometry and Spectral Filtering of Data

Here, we present a new method to discriminate between earthquakes and buried explosions using observed seismic data. The method is different from previous seismic discrimination algorithms in two main ways. First, we use seismic spatial gradients, as well as the wave attributes estimated from them (referred to as gradiometric attributes), rather than the conventional three-component seismograms recorded on a distributed array. The primary advantage of this is that a gradiometer is only a fraction of a wavelength in aperture compared with a conventional seismic array or network. Second, we use the gradiometric attributes as input data into a machine learning algorithm. The resulting discrimination algorithm uses the norms of truncated principal components obtained from the gradiometric data to distinguish the two classes of seismic events. Using high-fidelity synthetic data, we show that the data and gradiometric attributes recorded by a single seismic gradiometer performs as well as a conventional distributed array at the event type discrimination task.

58 GEOSCIENCES↗
DOE OSTI2019

Regional Feedstock Partnership 2019 Workshop Report

The U.S. Department of Energy (DOE) and the Sun Grant Initiative began the Regional Feedstock Partnership (RFP) in 2007 primarily to address information gaps associated with sustainably and reliably producing a billion-tons of biomass annually by the year 2030 for the U.S. bioenergy industry. The culmination of these efforts were reported in the Sun Grant/DOE Regional Feedstock Partnership Final Technical Report. The same biomass resources used to support these yield and sustainability efforts included analytical characterization data representing biomass quality. Considerable effort has been put into collection, harmonization, and archival of the analytical data, metadata, and physical samples associated with the thousands of samples collected from the RFP field trials. This data provides a unique opportunity to understand the impacts of agronomic and forest production practices, as well as environmental factors, on biomass material attributes relevant to bioenergy production. To more efficiently develop these relationships, this workshop was held to bring together the experts who conducted the RFP field trials and the biomass attribute data analysts. The objectives of the workshop included the following: • Enable face-to-face interactions with field trial experts, allowing for insights into the species and field trials themselves that are not obvious looking at data alone • Fill in metadata and analytical gaps from the RFP for future analyses • Share results from analysis of RFP biomass properties for each species along with associated field experiment observations/results • Discuss the potential to develop biomass quality maps • Discuss preparation of peer-reviewed publications for each species • Discuss outlines for a comprehensive summary report on the evaluation of RFP biomass material attributes for quality determination, focusing on the results of peer-reviewed publications and analysis of compiled RFP biomass attribute datasets

09 BIOMASS FUELS↗
DOE OSTI2019

A simple json format for storing and exchanging code calculation and experimental results

Calculation codes and code systems give their results in a plethora of different formats and/or files. For instance, MCNP gives a user the MCNP specific output file, the mctal file, the ptrac file, etc. while PARTISN has a PARTISN specific output file and a number of binary files with various kinds of information about the calculation. However, the results we are interested in are always the same. These can be single values such as the effective multiplication factor k eff or the effective delayed neutron fraction β eff . It can be histogram data (such as particle spectra, reaction rates, sensitivity profiles, etc.) or even pointwise data (for example the nuclide composition as a function of time, etc.). It is also worthwhile to note that this would also apply to experimental data that we may wish to compare with as well. Calculation and experimental results can basically be split into two components: attributes (or metadata) and the actual result itself. Attributes represent information about the result that are not necessarily required for its’ interpretation but that are still good to have. Often, these attributes are what we will want to filter results on. This means that these attributes are often the answer to specific questions we may have about the result. The following is a non exhaustive list of such basic questions: what type of result is it: e.g. the effective multiplication factor k eff , the effective delayed neutron fraction β eff , etc.; which case does it relate to: e.g. a specific ICSBEP case such as PU-MET-FAST-001-001; which code and version produced this result: e.g. MCNP 6.2, etc.; which nuclear data library was used to obtain the result: e.g. ENDF/B-VIII.0 or JEFF 3.3; which nuclide and reaction does it apply to (for reaction rates and sensitivity profiles); which volume in the geometry was it calculated in? The second component of the calculation or experimental result is the actual numerical data of the result. It is this data that we want to compare, exchange, plot, interpret, etc. It consists of values with optional uncertainties and units. It also includes the underlying structure (if any structure is required to interpret the result). Depending on the type of result, it may be a single value (e.g. the effective multiplication factor), an array of values (e.g. a reaction rate or particle spectrum) or even a multidimensional array. In order to exchange results between different organisations, for instance for benchmarking, people often resort to spreadsheets or custom text files that need to be filled out. While this approach works well if little information is to be exchanged, it can become cumbersome when dealing with large amounts of data (like for instance particle spectra for thousands of cases). In addition, such an approach does not always capture the metadata we may be interested in to allow for automated processing of these files. The purpose of this report is to propose a standardised json structure to store any type of result and present an associated python interface to interact with these results directly. For such a structure to be useful, it must fulfill a specific set of functional requirements that we try to meet with this proposal. The format must allow for the calculation result to stand by itself. This means that we should not have to look in multiple places to be able to understand it. For example, if the result relates to a particle spectrum, the group structure in which the result is given should be stored with it. The format should be code agnostic. This means that we do not need to know where it came from to understand it. The format should be result type agnostic. This means that the format must be generic enough so that we can even use it for results we have not thought of yet. The format should be relatively easy to interact with through different scripting or programming languages (i.e. the machine interface) while still providing a clean structure that can be used directly by any human.

97 MATHEMATICS AND COMPUTING↗
DOE OSTI2022

Bay Area Regional Energy: Network Integrated Commercial Retrofits (BRICR) Project. Final Report

The BRICR project applied large-scale building energy modeling concepts with the aim of reducing the cost of energy efficiency targeting, design, and project development, and measurement of energy savings for energy efficiency programs implemented by local governments that serve small and medium commercial buildings (SMB). The project leveraged the services and resources of existing local government energy programs serving disadvantaged and hard-to-reach SMB customers. In contrast to programs run by utilities, local government programs generally do not have direct access to energy billing records for an entire class of customers in a geographic area, which prior research demonstrated useful for large-scale building energy model baseline development and calibration. , However, local governments are rich in public records that offer important clues about physical attributes and uses that, along with behavior, determine energy use. Relying only on public records, BRICR demonstrated development of credible baseline energy models for 3,792 office, retail, and hotel buildings. Publicly disclosed annual energy use data from a local energy benchmarking program and anonymized data from the Building Performance Database, the nation’s largest dataset about energy-related characteristics of buildings, were utilized to validate and calibrate energy models via an innovative method comparing distributions of energy intensity by fuel type for portfolios of buildings of similar size, vintage, and use. Portfolio calibration does not provide certainty that an energy model fits an individual building; the method is useful when billing data is not accessible – a common situation for researchers, energy service providers and ESCOs, local governments, and any party other than a utility. A software component was developed, the BRICR gem, which automates simulation when relevant data is added or edited by the user to a file saved in the standardized BuildingSync XML schema for energy audit data. The component was demonstrated as a simplified means to generate a mass of energy models corresponding to public records containing basic attributes such as building scale, location, use, year built, and aspect ratio in combination with building energy code prototype data corresponding to use and vintage. The component was also demonstrated as a simplified means to automate energy simulation when attributes are revised; the intention was to enable iterative improvement of the baseline model and energy savings estimates for common energy conservation measures as users revise relevant attributes based on their observations. In the context of institutional change and uncertainty for the participating local government energy programs, 13 whole building retrofits were completed. Impacts were measured by applying the CalTRACK2.0 methods to standardize measurement of normalized metered energy consumption. The GRIDMeter methods of stratified sampling and individual load shape analysis were applied to adjust for impacts of the effect of COVID-19 on retrofitted buildings in the context of all local buildings of similar size and use. Excluding impacts of the pandemic, retrofitted buildings demonstrated between 1.6% and 25.1% reduction in energy use. The project contributed use cases and feedback that helped inform evolution of the software tools and data formats that were combined for the first time in the BRICR project.

29 ENERGY PLANNING, POLICY, AND ECONOMY↗
DOE OSTI2022

DOE COVID-19 Data Curation Effort: Overview of Initial Data Collection Coverage (March - June 2020)

During the COVID-19 pandemic of 2020, major case reporting outlets quickly coalesced around two or three primary vendors. Johns Hopkins University and The New York Times were among the more prominent, and all were of great value to the nation, particularly during the uncertain early stages of the pandemic. They primarily focused on three major attributes: number of new cases, deaths, and recovery, but only at the state level. Recognizing that many states were reporting very detailed data sets (e.g., hospital beds) at a count level or finer, the ORNL Pandemic Modeling team embarked on a major data curation effort from March to June 2020 for the purpose of capturing this wealth of detailed data. The challenge of curating this data was daunting. The number of attributes reported by the states grew on almost on a weekly basis. States were routinely shifting their web tool strategies away from easily parsable HTML-based formatting to new Tableau and ArcGIS content. This growth in the sheer number of attributes combined with the unpredictable shifts in data format meant an aggressive and agile combination of automated scripting and manual scraping was required to capture new daily streams. To keep up, the team had to scale up staff and widen its approach for capture and storage. The DOE COVID-19 data collection effort resulted in over 11 million data points being collected, covering over 13,000 unique geographies and over 2,000 unique attributes that spanned predominantly from early March through the end of June 2020.

96 KNOWLEDGE MANAGEMENT AND PRESERVATION↗
DOE OSTI2024

Machine Learning for Joint Quality Control

The use of lightweight material combinations has been highly demanded in manufacturing automotive structures. However, making robust dissimilar material joints of such lightweight materials is still challenging. A significant barrier to achieving high-quality and repeatable joint performance is a deficient understanding of the relationship between the welding process, joint attributes, and joint performance. In this context, welding factors refer to material, equipment, environment, and process parameters, while joint features comprise specific microstructural attributes of the weld such as nugget size, heat affected zone (HAZ) topology, intermetallic layer thickness, and sheet thickness reduction. Joint performance is quantified in terms of strength (e.g., tensile shear, coach peel, cross-tension), weld size, and hardness, among other factors. While there have been many attempts to establish this process-structure-property relationship by developing a model derived from the associated physics and first principles, the complexity of the joining processes compounded by the complex interactions with different materials in an automotive assembly line environment, has hindered the usefulness of such attempts. The complexity is further exacerbated using different stacking materials, especially comprising dissimilar material combinations. In practice, the common approach has been the laborious process of creating welds, characterizing them, and then physically testing them through experimentation. With the emergence of artificial intelligence (AI) methods, an alternative pathway to eliciting the desired process-structure-property relationship at an accelerated pace is to use a data-driven approach by employing machine-learning (ML) techniques. This approach is benefitted by the availability of large streams of data, generated through years of research and testing by original equipment manufacturers, in the form of material, process, environmental, equipment, microstructural, and bulk-scale performance information from multimodal, multiscale sensors making measurements from laboratory-scale to production-scale processes. During Phase I efforts, which ended in fiscal year (FY) 2021, the Oak Ridge National Laboratory and Pacific Northwest National Laboratory (ORNL/PNNL) team demonstrated the effectiveness of different ML/AI frameworks in modeling complex relationships between resistance spot welding (RSW) process parameters, weld attributes, and joint properties using a subset of data from General Motors (GM). In FY 2022, the project team further refined and expanded their respective ML models to analyze additional welds with new weld stack-ups and materials to enhance the ML model predictive capability. ORNL extended its unified deep neural networks (DNN) ML training and prediction framework with new data streams of process parameters, and PNNL extended its model describing RSW process parameters’ associations with weld attributes. In FY 2023, the project team completed the development of the AI/ML architecture for analyzing aluminum/steel joints manufactured by GM via RSW and transitioned into the inline welding quality monitoring task for steel/steel RSW joints provided by GM.

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗
DOE OSTI2022

Image Analysis for Rapid Assessment and Quality-Based Sorting of Corn Stover

Imaging in the visible spectrum is a low-cost tool that can be readily deployed for in-field or over-belt monitoring of biomass quality for bio-refining operations. Rapid image analysis coupled with innovative preprocessing may reduce the impacts of feedstock variability through identification of contaminants or other material attributes to guide selective sorting and quality management. Image analysis was employed to evaluate the quality of corn stover in red-green-blue (RGB) chromatic space. This study used controlled, bench-scale imaging as a proof-of-concept for rapid quality assessment of corn stover based on variations in material attributes, including chemical and physical attributes, that relate to biological degradation and soil contamination. Additionally, logistic regression-based classification algorithms were used to develop a method for biomass screening as a function of biological degradation or soil contamination. This study demonstrated the use of image analysis to extract features from RGB color space to investigate variations in critical material attributes from chemical composition of corn stover. Fourier transform infrared (FT-IR) suggested a correlation between red band intensity and biological degradation, while detailed surface texture analysis was found to distinguish among variations in ash. These insights offer promise for development of a rapid screening tool that could be deployed by farmers for in-field assessment of biomass quality or biorefinery operators for in-line sorting and process optimization.

09 BIOMASS FUELS↗
NASA NTRS1983

Cloud cover typing from environmental satellite imagery. Discriminating cloud structure with Fast Fourier Transforms (FFT)

The use of two dimensional Fast Fourier Transforms (FFTs) subjected to pattern recognition technology for the identification and classification of low altitude stratus cloud structure from Geostationary Operational Environmental Satellite (GOES) imagery was examined. The development of a scene independent pattern recognition methodology, unconstrained by conventional cloud morphological classifications was emphasized. A technique for extracting cloud shape, direction, and size attributes from GOES visual imagery was developed. These attributes were combined with two statistical attributes (cloud mean brightness, cloud standard deviation), and interrogated using unsupervised clustering amd maximum likelihood classification techniques. Results indicate that: (1) the key cloud discrimination attributes are mean brightness, direction, shape, and minimum size; (2) cloud structure can be differentiated at given pixel scales; (3) cloud type may be identifiable at coarser scales; (4) there are positive indications of scene independence which would permit development of a cloud signature bank; (5) edge enhancement of GOES imagery does not appreciably improve cloud classification over the use of raw data; and (6) the GOES imagery must be apodized before generation of FFTs.

Logan, T. L.↗
NASA NTRS1984

Remote sensing as a mineral prospecting technique

Remote sensing and its application as an alternative technique to mineral resource exploration are reviewed. Emphasis is given here to the analysis of the three basic attributes of remote sensing, i.e., spatial attributes related to regional structural mapping, spectral attributes related to rock discrimination and seasonal attributes related to geobotanic anomalies mapping, all of which are employed in mineral exploration. Special emphasis is given to new developments of the Thematic Mapper of the LANDSAT-5, principally with reference to the application of the bands 1.6 and 2.2 microns to map hydrothermally altered rocks and the band of red and blue shift to geobotanical anomalies mapping.

Meneses, P. R.↗
NASA NTRS1987

Radiation and temperature effects in gallium arsenide, indium phosphide and silicon solar cells

The effects of radiation on performance are determined for both n(+)p and p(+)n GaAs and InP cells and for silicon n(+)p cells. It is found that the radiation resistance of InP is greater than that of both GaAs and Si under 1 MeV electron irradiation. For silicon, the observed decreased radiation resistance with decreased resistivity is attributed to the presence of a radiation induced boron-oxygen defect. Comparison of radiation damage in both p(+)n and n(+)p GaAs cells yields a decreased radiation resistance for the n(+)p cell attributable to increased series resistance, decreased shunt resistance, and relatively greater losses in the cell's p-region. For InP, the n(+)p configuration is found to have greater radiation resistance than the p(+)n cell. The increased loss in this latter cell is attributed to losses in the cell's emitter region. Temperature dependency results are interpreted using a theoretical relation for dVoc/cT which predicts that increased Voc should results in decreased numerical values for dPm/dT. The predicted correlation is observed for GaAs but not for InP a result which is attributed to variations in cell processing.

Weinberg, I.↗
NASA NTRS1987

Stochastic nature of Landsat MSS data

A multiple series generalization of the ARIMA models is used to model Landsat MSS scan lines as sequences of vectors, each vector having four elements (bands). The purpose of this work is to investigate if Landsat scan lines can be described by a general multiple series linear stochastic model and if the coefficients of such a model vary as a function of satellite system and target attributes. To accomplish this objective, an exploratory experimental design was set up incorporating six factors, four representing target attributes - location, cloud cover, row (within location), and column (within location) - and two factors representing system attributes - satellite number and detector bank. Each factor was included in the design at two levels and, with two replicates per treatment, 128 scan lines were analyzed. The results of the analysis suggests that a multiple AR(4) model is an adequate representation across all scan lines. Furthermore, the coefficients of the AR(4) model vary with location, particularly changes in physiography (slope regimes), and with percent cloud cover, but are insensitive to changes in system attributes.

Labovitz, M. L.↗
NASA NTRS1987

Radiation and temperature effects in gallium arsenide, indium phosphide, and silicon solar cells

The effects of radiation on performance are determined for both n+p and p+n GaAs and InP cells and for silicon n+p cells. It is found that the radiation resistance of InP is greater than that of both GaAs and Si under 1-MeV electron irradiation. For silicon, the observed decreased radiation resistance with decreased resistivity is attributed to the presence of a radiation-induced boron-oxygen defect. Comparison of radiation damage in both p+n and n+p GaAs cells yields a decreased radiation resistance for the n+p cell attributable to increased series resistance, decreased shunt resistance, and relatively greater losses in the cell's p-region. For InP, the n+p configuration is found to have greater radiation resistance than the p+n cell. The increased loss in this latter cell is attributed to losses in the cell's emitter region. Temperature dependency results are interpreted using a theoretical relation for dVoc/dT, which predicts that increased Voc should result in decreased numerical values for dPm/dT. The predicted correlation is observed for GaAs but not for InP, a result which is attributed to variations in cell processing.

Weinberg, I.↗