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Search indexed NASA NTRS and DOE OSTI research on propulsion, heat transfer, battery materials and energy systems. Follow report and document links to the original sources.

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At least 505 records · Page 28
All sourcesNASA NTRSDOE OSTI
DOE OSTI2025

Sensing Few Electrons Floating on Helium with High-Electron-Mobility Transistors

We report on low-frequency measurements of few electrons floating on superfluid helium using a bespoke cryogenic cascode amplifier circuit built with off-the-shelf GaAs high-electron-mobility transistors (HEMTs). We integrate this circuit with a charge-coupled device (CCD) to transport the electrons on helium and characterize its performance. Here, we show that this circuit has a signal-to-noise ratio (SNR) of ~ 2 $\frac{e}{√Hz}$ at 102 kHz, an order of magnitude improvement from previous implementations, and provides a compelling alternative to few electron sensing with high-frequency resonators.

Charge-Coupled Devices↗
DOE OSTI2025

Initial Conditions of Planet Formation: Time Constraints from Small Bodies and the Lifetime of Reservoirs in the Solar Protoplanetary Disk

This review explores the timescales of the initial phase of planet formation, from nebular dust (CAIs and chondrules) to planetesimal accretion and differentiation, using evidence from meteorite research. Aluminium-Mg systematics of CAIs indicate either an extended period of CAI formation (∼0.3 Ma) or an initial 26 Al heterogeneity, with evidence supporting a homogeneous 26 Al abundance in the protoplanetary disk. Thermal and aqueous alteration on the parent body can disturb the U-Pb and Al-Mg chronometers in chondrules. Focusing on relatively robust isochron data from plagioclase of pristine (types ≤3.05) chondrites indicates a shift in chondrule formation locations, moving from the inner to the outer disk over time. Ages of basaltic achondrites show that silicate differentiation on small bodies was well underway within the first few million years (Ma) of our solar system. Their age record, however, reveals inconsistencies between different chronometers, partly caused by (i) secondary disturbances due to thermal metamorphism, aqueous alteration, or impacts, (ii) the presence of xenolithic minerals, and (iii) potentially variable initial 26 Al abundances due to disturbances at the mineral scale. Nucleosynthetic isotope data indicate that parent bodies of iron and stony meteorites formed in two distinct regions within the protoplanetary disk: the inner, non-carbonaceous (NC) and the outer, carbonaceous (CC) region. Based on Hf-W chronometry it has been demonstrated that NC and CC parent bodies of magmatic iron meteorites segregated their cores within ∼1–3 Ma after CAI formation, implying that parent body accretion occurred within <1 Ma in both reservoirs. Combining accretion ages with nucleosynthetic data further reveals that, at first order, NC and CC reservoirs in the solar protoplanetary disk were established within 1 Ma and existed over several Ma with limited exchange between them. In the CR chondrite accretion region of the disk, planetary bodies formed over at least 3 Ma, while in most other regions, formation spanned at least 1 Ma, with minimal changes in nucleosynthetic isotope compositions. Aerodynamical size sorting of dust likely introduced or amplified some of these variations.

26Al distribution↗
DOE OSTI2021

The impact of development priorities on power system expansion planning in sub-Saharan Africa

Sub-Saharan Africa faces unique barriers to electricity development due to the large proportion of the population that is un-electrified and the prevalence of rural populations. Typically, power system expansion planning models assume all potential consumers can be immediately electrified. This assumption is unrealistic in sub-Saharan Africa, where electrification will likely be a gradual process over a number of years. Furthermore, since a large proportion of the population in sub-Saharan Africa is located in rural regions, the prioritization of these regions may impact how the grid develops. In this research, we develop a multi-period optimization model for power generation and transmission system expansion planning in sub-Saharan Africa. In contrast to existing models, which assume full electrification, we consider a variety of electrification policies and analyze the impact of varying the electrification rate and policy on the cost and resources selected for power system expansion. We test our model on a case study of Rwanda. We find that varying the year in which full electrification is reached has a larger impact on cost and generation capacity than varying the electrification policy does, although, when urban and rural regions are considered equitably, more rooftop solar is built. Varying the electrification policies has a larger impact on transmission expansion than on generation expansion and this impact is amplified when starting from zero initial system capacity rather than the original Rwanda system. Additionally, a sensitivity analysis shows that tightening the bounds on CO 2eq emissions has a large impact on the generation portfolio and cost.

97 MATHEMATICS AND COMPUTING↗
DOE OSTI2021

Hall–Petch strengthening limit through partially active segregation in nanocrystalline Ag-Cu alloys

The breakdown from grain-size strengthening to softening mechanisms is generally well understood for high-purity nanocrystalline materials when the mean grain size decreases to the nanometer range. In nanocrystalline alloys, however, the stabilization of nanosized grains by grain-boundary solute segregation complicates the above mechanisms. Moreover, current segregation models have little predictive power for determining the optimal solute content that maximizes Hall-Petch strengthening effects. In this article, using large-scale hybrid Monte-Carlo/molecular dynamic simulations, we present a systematic study of the Hall–Petch breakdown in Cu-segregated Ag alloys with grain sizes ranging from 8 nm to 59 nm, where three concentration-dependent regimes of plasticity are described: (1) Classical segregation strengthening behavior at low solute contents, (2) shear band-induced softening at high solute contents, and (3) a previously unknown, but extended plateau of maximum strengths for intermediate solute contents from 4 to 15 at.%, which we term as nanocrystalline Sterling silver. We find that flow strengths in nanocrystalline Sterling alloys naturally exhibit a zero-slope limit at the smallest grain sizes that is well below the ideal Hall–Petch strengthening trend. This phenomenon results from partially active grain-boundary segregation that acts to influence interfacial plasticity in some, but not all, grain boundary regions. Our findings amplify the atomic nature of solute segregation and interaction at grain boundaries and its complex roles on grain boundary-mediated plasticity mechanisms in nanocrystalline alloys.

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗
DOE OSTI2022

What explains the year-to-year variation in growing season timing of boreal black spruce forests?

Amplified climate warming in high latitudes is expected to affect growing season timing of the vast boreal biome. It is unclear whether the presence of permafrost (perennially frozen ground) might have an influence on changes in growing season timing. Here, this study examined how different environmental variables explained, either directly or indirectly, the variation in growing season timing of boreal forest stands with and without permafrost. We expected that environmental variables explaining the variation in growing season timing differed or had different explanatory power depending on permafrost presence or absence. The growing season was delineated from daily gross primary productivity (GPP) time series derived from 40 site-year data of net ecosystem carbon dioxide exchange measured with eddy covariance techniques over five black spruce (Picea mariana [Mill.])-dominated boreal forest stands in North America. In permafrost-free forest stands, a combination of start in canopy ‘green-up’ in spring and the timing of air and soil temperature increasing above freezing explained the start-of-season (SOS GPP ). Results from commonality analysis and structural equation modeling suggest that canopy ‘green-up’ and air temperature directly affected SOS GPP in permafrost-free forest stands. In addition, soil temperature acted as mediator for an indirect effect of air temperature on SOS GPP . In contrast, none of the environmental variables, or their combination, explained the variation in SOS GPP in forest stands with permafrost. The explanatory power of environmental variables was more consistent regarding the end-of-season (EOS GPP ). In both, forest stands with and without permafrost, EOS GPP was directly explained by mean soil water content in the fall and the first day of continuous snowpack formation. A better understanding how environmental variables control SOS GPP and EOS GPP in forest stands with and without permafrost will help to refine parameterizations of the boreal biome in Earth system models.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗
DOE OSTI2025

Better practices for inferring ecosystem water use strategy from eddy covariance data

Eddy covariance data are critical for inferring ecosystem water use strategies. Yet, such inferences are sensitive to a range of assumptions applied across studies, hindering our understanding of water use strategies within and across eddy covariance sites. A recent analysis across 151 FLUXNET2015 and AmeriFlux-FLUXNET datasets found that poor model performance was the key driver of non-robust inferences of ecosystem water use strategies. Here, we leverage this previous analysis to (i) identify the specific assumptions that improve inference model performance across most sites, (ii) explain the mechanisms behind the performance improvements, and (iii) check whether better performance improves water use inference. We find that the common practice of fitting a model to canopy conductance (G c ) derived from the evapotranspiration (ET) observations, rather than to observed ET itself, artificially amplifies data errors and degrades the model performance. Next, accounting for vegetation dynamics by applying a growing season filter or incorporating satellite LAI data improves performance, but the former practice may remove soil water stress periods. Lastly, using the leaf-to-air vapor pressure deficit (VPD l ) derived from ET observations as a model input may artificially inflate performance. Based on these results, we recommend selecting observed ET (rather than derived G c ) as the response variable, carefully accounting for vegetation dynamics, and avoiding derived VPD l as a model input; these best practices improve model performance by c. 20% and robustness by c. 80% across all eddy covariance sites. Nevertheless, the performance improvements do not always correspond to more robust inference of water use strategies, as model parameter selection and surface energy budget closure corrections still strongly influence the ecosystem water use parameter estimation in a site-specific manner.

AmeriFlux↗
DOE OSTI2020

Enhanced carbon-transfer and -utilization efficiencies achieved using membrane carbonation with gas sources having a range of CO 2 concentrations

The economic viability of microalgal biofuels relies on increasing productivity in a cost-effective manner. As microalgal biomass contains > 50% carbon, a high rate of CO 2 delivery is required for high productivity, and inefficient CO 2 delivery amplifies operating costs. Membrane carbonation using non-porous hollow fiber membranes can ideally deliver CO 2 without bubble formation and high carbon transfer efficiency. Because CO 2 streams from industrial resources are not 100% CO 2 , the buildup of inert gasses can significantly lower the CO 2 delivery rate when the distal end of the membrane is closed. To overcome the buildup of inert gases, we managed the distal end of the membranes with three different approaches: fully open end, restricted bleed valve, and restricted bleed valve with pH-actuated venting. For all approaches, CO 2 was delivered to membranes ondemand based on a pH set point. Evaluating a wide range of CO 2 concentrations (10% to 100%), we found that all approaches eliminated the buildup of inert gases, could maintain target pH values and gave the same biomass productivities and carbon distributions. However, carbon transfer efficiency depended on the operation of the distal end. Fully open-end operation gave a poor carbon transfer efficiency because of excessive loss of CO 2 from the distal end. However, restricting the exit flow rate to ≤4 cm 3 /min mitigated the problems of excessive CO 2 loss, but without incurring a large loss of CO 2 -delivery flux. For the continuous cultivation, combining a restricted bleed valve with pH-actuated venting improved the carbon-transfer efficiency and -utilization efficiencies up to 85% and 67%, respectively, with a sufficient CO 2 delivery flux.

42 ENGINEERING↗
DOE OSTI2021

ResNet and CycleGAN for pulse shape discrimination of He-4 detector pulses: Recovering pulses conventional algorithms fail to label unanimously

Pulse shape discrimination (PSD) capable detectors, such as He-4, that respond to neutron and gamma-ray 7 interactions have a threshold deposited energy value below which n/γ discrimination vanishes when using 8 conventional PSD algorithms. Recent attempts in applying supervised learning based artificial neural 9 networks for PSD use the pulses in the separated regions to train the networks so they can be used to classify 10 another set of separated pulses. In doing so, pulses previously indistinguishable are not recovered for 11 classification, which would have increased the number of neutron and gamma-ray pulses that could be used 12 for further analysis. Assuming the reason why conventional PSD algorithms have unseparated regions is 13 because the parameter space of the algorithms fail to capture the intrinsic (but subtle) distinguishing 14 behavior of some of the neutron and gamma-ray pulses, a cycle-consistent generative adversarial network 15 (CycleGAN) was trained to amplify those differences and extract well separated neutron and gamma-ray 16 clusters. Results show that, once the network is trained with pulses from separated and unseparated regions, 17 it was able to transform the pulses in the unseparated region to improve the PSD. Subsequent n/γ 18 classification was performed using deep residual network (ResNet) that takes pulses with 512 data points 19 as an input. Two different ResNets were explored – simple ResNet and modified ResNet which takes 20 segmented pulse inputs in the first layer and the corresponding time axis values in the last hidden layer. 21 The later approach enables the network to extract time correlated pulse features to enhance its ability to 22 capture the pulse behaviors relevant for PSD. Although it achieves slightly lower accuracy, 99.41% versus 23 99.89%, based on simply counting the number of correct n/γ labels assigned, compared to the simple 24 ResNet, the modified ResNets architecture was able to decreases the cross-entropy loss function by half, 25 which implies that the correct n/γ labels assigned are less likely to be accidental. PSD parameter 26 distributions based on n/γ classification by ResNet before and after transforming unseparated pulses using 27 CycleGAN show that by enhancing the separation between neutrons and gamma-rays, the transformation 28 helps improve the performance of classifier networks that are trained using labeled dataset. The 29 enhancement of neutron and gamma-ray separation by the CycleGAN increased the PSD figure of merit 30 (FOM) by up to 70% in some regions. Here, the results show that, if a given detector achieves clear separation 31 between neutron and gamma-ray pulses in any energy region, such neural network approaches can help 32 lower the energy threshold for the separation and increasing the number of neutron and gamma-ray pulses 33 that can be used for further analysis.

4He↗
DOE OSTI2025

Microbially mediated nitrification improves modeled temperate forest responses to declining nitrogen deposition

As nitrogen deposition declines across the US, uncertainty remains in whether temperate forests will continue to sequester carbon. This uncertainty is amplified by ecosystem models that inaccurately capture the microbial mechanisms that drive soil carbon sequestration and nitrogen loss. Further, even soil process models that represent decomposer microbes and better capture soil carbon retention under nitrogen deposition broadly underrepresent microbial nitrogen transformations. To address this limitation, we leveraged three decades of biogeochemical cycling data from a whole-watershed nitrogen fertilization experiment to incorporate microbially-driven nitrification in the FUN-CORPSE (Fixation and Uptake of Nitrogen-Carbon, Organisms, Rhizosphere, and Protection in the Soil Environment) model. Our objectives include: 1) Reproducing key ecosystem responses to fertilization, 2) Integrating microbially-explicit nitrification in FUN-CORPSE, and 3) Assessing modeled soil C and N under projected N deposition shifts. FUN-CORPSE accurately represented soil C and streamwater N losses under ambient N deposition and captured how fertilization induced a 25 % decline in plant C cost of N acquisition, reducing decomposition and increasing soil C. Furthermore, with microbially-explicit nitrification, FUN-CORPSE captured the 100 % increase in nitrification rates and the 50 % increase in streamwater nitrate loss under N fertilization. Specifically, incorporating microbial nitrification improved modeled streamwater N leaching from R 2 = 0.01 to R 2 = 0.57. Under declining N deposition, FUN-CORPSE simulates that N losses recover more quickly than soil C pools. However, the predicted return of soil C to pre-fertilized levels suggests that additional C sequestered due to N deposition may be vulnerable to loss over the next century.

Microbial nitrification model↗
DOE OSTI2025

Urban heat islands can influence the wind energy resource during heatwaves

Urban wind energy is critical for sustainable electricity generation in cities. However, little research has explored how the urban heat island (UHI) effect influences wind energy, particularly in heatwaves when energy demand surges. In this study, we examine wind energy distribution in the Boston–Providence metropolitan area during heatwaves, using Weather Research and Forecasting (WRF) model integrated with Building Energy Parameterization/Building Energy Model (BEP/BEM). Two scenarios, a realistic case and a hypothetical case without urban warmth, were compared to isolate UHI impacts. Results reveal that UHI induces a "wind energy loss zone" in this urban area, reducing wind power density (WPD) by 20–30 W/m 2 at 50–100 m, while suburban/rural areas exhibit a "wind energy gain zone," with WPD increases up to 40 W/m 2 at 150–200 m. These losses diminish with distance from urban centers and become negligible beyond main urban and suburban sprawl. Heatwave expands the urban "loss zone", while amplifying wind energy gains in suburban/rural areas, driven by stronger thermal gradients and weakened background winds that intensify air convergence in urban and urban-rural circulations, thereby exacerbating urban wind energy losses by 15–20 %. An analysis of 235 wind farms using turbine power curves reveals that built areas dependent on stand-alone or off-grid turbines face significant energy deficits during a heatwave. Wind energy drops by up to 25 %, while cooling-related building energy demand rises 30–40 % during a heatwave. These findings underscore the need for strategic urban wind energy planning to ensure reliable power during extreme heat.

Energy - Wind↗
DOE OSTI2024

Mesophase pitch-based high performance carbon fiber production using coal extracts from mild direct coal liquefaction

Mild direct coal liquefaction (autogenous pressure, no catalyst, no H2 gas) of Springfield coal in fluid catalytic cracking decant oil is shown to effectively produce coal extract precursors to spinnable mesophase pitch. Here this work demonstrates that the coal extract can be thermally treated to obtain mesophase pitch in a facile one-step process, bypassing the production of an intermediate isotropic pitch. Furthermore, the presence of 25 wt.% coal in the initial slurry can increase the yield to mesophase pitch nearly twofold and yield to carbon fiber by approximately 70%. The coal extract-derived mesophase pitch was melt-spun and heat treated to produce carbon fiber with graphitic texture, high modulus (>400 GPa) and tensile strength up to 943 MPa. Overall, this work demonstrates that coal can be effectively utilized to markedly amplify the mesophase pitch and carbon fiber yield from fluid catalytic cracking decant oil by relatively simple processing, while conserving utility as a precursor to high performance carbon fiber and potentially other high value graphitic products.

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗
DOE OSTI2021

A proteogenomic portrait of lung squamous cell carcinoma

Lung squamous cell carcinoma (LSCC) remains a leading cause of cancer death with few therapeutic options. We characterized the proteogenomic landscape of LSCC, providing a deeper exposition of LSCC biology with potential therapeutic implications. We identify NSD3 as an alternative driver in FGFR1-amplified tumors and low-p63 tumors overexpressing the therapeutic target survivin. SOX2 is considered undruggable, but our analyses provide rationale for exploring chromatin modifiers such as LSD1 and EZH2 to target SOX2-overexpressing tumors. Our data support complex regulation of metabolic pathways by crosstalk between post-translational modifications including ubiquitylation. Numerous immune-related proteogenomic observations suggest directions for further investigation. Proteogenomic dissection of CDKN2A mutations argue for more nuanced assessment of RB1 protein expression and phosphorylation before declaring CDK4/6 inhibition unsuccessful. Finally, triangulation between LSCC, LUAD, and HNSCC identified both unique and common therapeutic vulnerabilities. These observations and proteogenomics data resources may guide research into the biology and treatment of LSCC.

60 APPLIED LIFE SCIENCES↗
DOE OSTI2021

Efficient and reversible electron bifurcation with either normal or inverted potentials at the bifurcating cofactor

A longstanding mystery surrounding electron bifurcation is the significance of inverted (or “crossed”) reduction potentials of the two-electron bifurcating cofactor. Using a many-electron open-system kinetic model, we show that reversible and efficient electron bifurcation is possible without inverted reduction potentials at the bifurcating site if the absolute value of the difference between first and second reduction potentials of the bifurcating species is sufficiently large (on the scale of the redox-potential span of the high- and low-potential branches). Surprisingly, the case with strong, normally ordered potentials at the bifurcating cofactor can produce electron bifurcation that is just as effective as the case with strongly inverted potentials. Lastly, this finding amplifies the puzzle surrounding the recruitment of inverted potentials in the few well-characterized bifurcating systems of nature and suggests that electron bifurcating cofactors without strongly inverted potentials may yet be discovered.

37 INORGANIC, ORGANIC, PHYSICAL, AND ANALYTICAL CH↗
DOE OSTI2025

Turbulent burning velocity of lean premixed hydrogen/air flames at engine conditions: Effects of turbulence intensity and length scale

For turbulent lean premixed hydrogen flames with strong thermodiffusively instabilities, most previous studies have focused on the influence of turbulence intensity, whereas the role of turbulence length scale is less well understood. Here, this study addresses this gap by conducting direct numerical simulations (DNS) of statistically planar turbulent premixed flames for a lean (ϕ=0.35) hydrogen/air mixture under independently varied turbulence intensity (u') and length scale (l T ) at engine-relevant thermodynamics conditions. Results show that as u' increases, the flame front becomes increasingly wrinkled, forming smaller cellular structures. In contrast, l T variations do not significantly alter the size of these structures. For the turbulent burning velocity (S T ), the normalized S T (i.e., S T /S L , where S L is the laminar flame speed) increases linearly with u', driven by both enhanced flame surface wrinkling (i.e., increased A T /A L ) and enhanced local burning rate (i.e., increased I 0 ). However, increasing l T reduces I 0 , despite a continued increase in A T /A L , resulting in only a marginal increase in S T /S L . To reveal the underlying mechanisms, especially the decreasing trend of I 0 with l T , local flame dynamics analyses are performed. It is found that as l T increases, the interaction between thermodiffusive effects and turbulence weakens due to the reduced tangential strain rate, while the flame curvature remains largely unchanged. This suppresses local reactivity enhancement and thus decreases I 0 , In contrast, an increase in u' enhances the interaction by amplifying both curvature fluctuation and tangential strain rate, leading to increased local reactivity (increased I 0 ). Finally, based on the DNS data, several new scaling models are proposed for the three global properties, S T /S L , A T /A L , and I 0 , and showed improvements compared to existing models. These findings provide new insights into the flame-turbulence interactions in thermodiffusively unstable hydrogen flames. The DNS dataset is also useful for the development of turbulent combustion models applicable to practical engine simulations.

Engine-relevant condition↗
DOE OSTI2022

Natural gas maximal load delivery for multi-contingency analysis

An increasing dependence on natural gas has amplified existing vulnerabilities to the power grid, including disruptions to gas transmission networks from natural and man-made disasters. To address the operational challenges arising from these disruptions, we, in this study, consider the problem of estimating the steady-state operating capacity of a damaged gas pipeline network while ensuring the maximal delivery of load. Specifically, we formulate the mixed-integer nonconvex maximal load delivery (MLD) problem, which proves difficult to solve on large-scale networks. To address this challenge, we present a relaxation of the MLD problem and use it to determine bounds on the transport capacity of a gas pipeline system. A rigorous computational evaluation over network models ranging in size from 11 to 4,197 junctions shows that the relaxation-based method is suitable for analyzing the impacts of multi-contingency network disruptions, often converging to the optimal solution of the relaxation in less than ten seconds.

03 NATURAL GAS↗
DOE OSTI2024

Non-photosynthetic lineages sibling to Cyanobacteria associate with eukaryotes in the open ocean

Margulisbacteria are elusive uncultivated bacteria that have illuminated evolutionary transitions in the progenitor of Cyanobacteria, the latter being a critically important phylum that underpins oxygenic photosynthesis. The non-photosynthetic Margulisbacteria were discovered in a sulfidic spring and later in other habitats. Currently, this candidate phylum partitions into the Riflemargulisbacteria, primarily from sediments and groundwater, the Termititenax from insect gut microbiomes, and the Marinamargulisbacteria, from marine samples. We found that Marinamargulisbacteria amplicons were unusually distributed in size-fractionated samples from the sunlit photic and dark twilight zones of the ocean. Further, sequencing of wild marine protists rendered genomic information for distinct marinamargulisbacterial clades co-associated with uncultivated, non-photosynthetic Stramenopila and Opisthokonta protists. Phylogenomic analyses combining these data and available metagenome-assembled genomes (MAGs) and single-amplified genomes (SAGs) from sorted bacteria revealed new Marinamargulisbacteria lineages. The lineages delineate by their environment, forming clades comprising freshwater, marine pelagic, or sediment/hypoxic taxa. In conclusion, the remarkable diversity of Margulisbacteria indicates success in colonizing various habitats, potentially in a conserved strategy involving eukaryotic cells.

59 BASIC BIOLOGICAL SCIENCES↗
DOE OSTI2021

Integrated modeling analysis of estuarine responses to extreme hydrological events and sea-level rise

Estuaries are vulnerable to climate change and are particularly sensitive to extreme river discharge (RD) and sea-level rise (SLR). To understand the effects of extreme RD and SLR on estuaries, an integrated modeling approach is adopted to simulate hydrodynamic changes in the Yangtze River Estuary. Model results showed that SLR will intensify the estuarine hydrodynamics in water level, currents, and salinity. Water level, current speed, and salinity increased linearly with the magnitude of SLR. The hydrological model suggested a lower RD in the future. This will increase the saltwater intrusion, which will be more severe during the lower RD and drought extreme hydrological event (EHE) conditions. Model results also suggested that the saltwater intrusion is more sensitive to RD than SLR. In addition, the interplay between the RD and SLR will exacerbate the impacts of coastal oceans on estuarine hydrodynamics, especially during extremely low RD conditions. Moreover, the decrease of RD and deepening of the channel due to human activities will also amplify the effects of SLR on the Estuary, increasing the risk of coastal disasters.

3-D hydrodynamic model, extreme climate, draught, ↗