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At least 487 records · Page 27

Analysis and prediction of severe storms environment

Using the special data set collected in Project SESAME (1979), an analysis and modeling efforts to test the hypothesis that a unique combination of terrain, boundary layer processes, and synoptic-scale circulations result in a preferred region of latent instability that determines the location of severe thunderstorm outbreaks are described. Because the relevant circulations are large scale, it is hypothesized that a model that contains the necessary physics will be able to predict the location of these severe storms at least 24 h in advance. Through detailed analysis of the SESAME data set and a series of numerical forecasts, the above hypothesis is being tested and it is hoped that quantitative understanding of the processes leading to the development of severe thunderstorms in the midwestern United States will be gained.

Carlson, T. N.↗

Doctor Fujita's microburst analysis at Chicago

Doppler radar measurements of an intense wind shear occurance are discussed. The data suggest the presence of an incredibly strong low level jet outflow component of the microburst event, reaching 60 knots only 50 meters above the surface. Evidence also suggests that microbursts more typically occur in very weak thunderstorms that have hardly reached thunderstorm stage.

Mccarthy, J.↗

Stereographic observations from geosynchronous satellites - An important new tool for the atmospheric sciences

Observations of cloud geometry using scan-synchronized stereo geostationary satellites having images with horizontal spatial resolution of approximately 0.5 km, and temporal resolution of up to 3 min are presented. The stereo does not require a cloud with known emissivity to be in equilibrium with an atmosphere with a known vertical temperature profile. It is shown that absolute accuracies of about 0.5 km are possible. Qualitative and quantitative representations of atmospheric dynamics were shown by remapping, display, and stereo image analysis on an interactive computer/imaging system. Applications of stereo observations include: (1) cloud top height contours of severe thunderstorms and hurricanes, (2) cloud top and base height estimates for cloud-wind height assignment, (3) cloud growth measurements for severe thunderstorm over-shooting towers, (4) atmospheric temperature from stereo heights and infrared cloud top temperatures, and (5) cloud emissivity estimation. Recommendations are given for future improvements in stereo observations, including a third GOES satellite, operational scan synchronization of all GOES satellites and better resolution sensors.

Hasler, A. F.↗

On the reliability of hook echoes as tornado indicators

A study of radar echoes associated with the tornadoes of the 3 April 1974 outbreak was performed to evaluate the usefulness of echo shape as an indicator of tornadic thunderstorms. The hook shape was usually successful in characterizing an echo as tornadic, with a false alarm rate of 16%. Because hook echoes were relatively rare, however, a less restrictive shape called distinctive was more successful at detecting tornadic thunderstorms, identifying 65% of the tornadic echoes. An echo had a distinctive shape if it possessed a marked appendage on its right rear flank or was in the shape of a spiral, comma or line echo wave pattern (LEWP). Characteristics of the distinctive echo are given.

Forbes, G. S.↗

Operational procedures relative to severe weather

Severe weather impact on both safety and the economics of all types of aviation, and reduction of elimination are discussed. The functions and responsibilities of the dispatcher are outlined. All surface weather reports showing inclement weather, SIGMET REPORTS, forecasting turbulence or icing, convective SIGMETS: (1) tornadoes; (2) hail 3/4 of an inch or greater; (3) imbedded thunderstorms; (4) squall lines or (5) an area of level four or greater thunderstorms. This information along with PIREPs of severe weather are relayed to affected flights. It is concluded that operational procedures must be timely and well conceived to assure the least amount of impact on airline operations.

Sullivan, J. F.↗

The Joint Airport Weather Studies Project

A block diagram of the joint airport weather studies program is presented. Background leading to the development of the program is reviewed. Basic studies, aircraft performance, and detection and warning techniques used to develop fine scale structure of thunderstorm dynamics and kinematics in the vicinity of a major airport; effect of thunderstorm low level wind shear on aircraft performance; and development of real time testing of flow level wind shear detection and warning techniques and displays are described.

Mccarthy, J.↗

Detection of heavy convective precipitation using rapid interval digital radar and satellite data

A study was carried out to investigate the evolution of thunderstorms with short-interval (5 min) geosynchronous digital satellite data and with digital radar data (12 min interval) in order to determine the potential and limitations of using the satellite data to detect regions of heavy convective precipitation. Initial results indicate that satellite-based estimates of thunderstorm updraft intensity are related to storm precipitation rate as indicated in the digital radar data. The conclusions give support to the effort to use satellite data for detection of heavy convective precipitation, but emphasize the need for high time resolution (5 min) data.

Negri, A. J.↗

High latitude stratospheric electrical measurements in fair and foul weather under various solar conditions

Stratospheric electric field and conductivity measurements are presented for sites of latitude greater than 50 deg N GG, during the months of either April or August, in a variety of weather and solar conditions. Vertical electric field data from balloon flights with an average duration of 18 hours at ceiling, in fair weather, are shown to be appropriately modeled by a simple, exponential, altitude-dependent equation. Data collected over electrified clouds and thunderstorms are presented, along with a discussion of the thunderstorm-related electric currents. Current surges in the atmosphere due to DC currents as well as the spheric are calculated, and it is found that in over 1000 hours of balloon data, no direct solar influence is identified except during major flares.

Holzworth, R. H.↗

Simulation of phugoid excitation due to hazardous wind shear

Computer and manned flight simulator studies of the effect of thunderstorm wind shear on the excitation of phugoid oscillations of commercial-type aircraft are reported. Previous studies have suggested that the characteristic scale of thunderstorm wind shear drives commercial-type aircraft at the critical phugoid frequency. To further investigate this phenomenon, aircraft performance in a hypothetical sinusoidal wind shear was investigated. Sinusoidal winds at the phugoid frequency and with frequencies above and below this value were studied both analytically and in manned flight simulators. Results indicate that excessive oscillations in flight path amplitude predicted by computer analyses were not fully collaborated by the manned flight simulator studies. Some resolution of this problem is given and additional research necessary to further identify the discrepancies between the flight simulator and the computer analysis is outlined.

Frost, W.↗

Lightning detection and ranging

A lightning detector and ranging (LDAR) system developed at the Kennedy Space Center and recently transferred to Wallops Island is described. The system detects pulsed VHF signals due to electrical discharges occurring in a thunderstorm by means of 56-75 MHz receivers located at the hub and at the tips of 8 km radial lines. Incoming signals are transmitted by wideband links to a central computing facility which processes the times of arrival, using two independent calculations to determine position in order to guard against false data. The results are plotted on a CRT display, and an example of a thunderstorm lightning strike detection near Kennedy Space Center is outlined. The LDAR correctly identified potential ground strike zones and additionally provided a high correlation between updrafts and ground strikes.

Lennon, C. L.↗

The Joint Airport Weather Studies (JAWS) project

A block diagram of the joint airport weather studies program is presented. Background leading to the development of the program is reviewed. Basic studies, aircraft performance, and detection and warning techniques used to develop fine scale structure of thunderstorm dynamics and kinematics in the vicinity of a major airport; effect of thunderstorm low level wind shear on aircraft performance; and development of real time testing of flow level wind shear detection and warning techniques and displays are described.

Mccarthy, J.↗

Applications of stereoscopic height computations from dual geosynchronous satellite data/joint NASA-Japan stereo project

Stereoscopic heights of the top of an Oklahoma thunderstorm were computed, finding that high cloud tops are not always characterized by very cold IR temperature. The identical method was also applied to the computation of stereo heights based on GOES West and GMS stereo pairs obtained under the NASA-JAPAN cooperative program. It was found that stereo techniques are extremely useful in understanding the structure of thunderstorms in the United States, as well as that of hurricanes over the South Pacific.

Fujita, T. T.↗

Observations of severe in-flight environments on airplane composite structural components

The development of relatively inexpensive, highly sophisticated avionics systems makes it now possible for general aviation aircraft to fly under more severe weather conditions than formerly. Increased instrument flying increases exposure of aircraft to potentially severe thunderstorm activity such as high rain rates, hail stones, and lightning strikes. In particular, the effects of lightning on aircraft can be catastrophic. Interest in aircraft lightning protection has been stimulated by the introduction of advanced composites as an aircraft structural material. The present investigation has the objective to report experiences with three composite components which have flown in thunderstorms, taking into account three F-106B composite fin caps. The only visible lightning strike damage to a flame sprayed aluminum coated glass/epoxy fin cap was a small area of the aluminum which was burned. Visible lightning strike damage to a Kevlar/epoxy fin cap was limited to the exterior ply of aluminum coated glass fabric. In the case of a graphite/epoxy fin cap, lightning currents could be conducted.

Howell, W. E.↗

The NASA F-106B Storm Hazards Program

During the NASA LRC Storm Hazards Program, 698 thunderstorm precipitations were made from 1980 to 1983 with an F-106B aircraft in order to record direct lightning strike data and the associated flight conditions. It was found that each of the three composite fin caps tested experienced multiple lightning attachments with only minor cosmetic damage. The maximum current level was only 20 ka, which is well below the design standard of 200 ka; however, indications are that the current rate of rise standard has been approached and may be exceeded in a major strike. The peak lightning strike rate occurred at ambient temperatures between -40 and -45 C, while most previously reported strikes have occurred at or near the freezing level. No significant operational difficulties or major aircraft damage resulting from the thunderstorm penetrations have been found.

Neely, W. R., Jr.↗

A model for equatorial explosive spread F

Explosive spread F was first described by Woodman and LaHoz (1976). In such events the 50 MHz radar signal rises at Jicamarca to 10-20 dB above the noise level within a few milliseconds but then disappears within 100 ms or less. It has been suggested that electric fields from thunderstorms might drive a plasma instability which could cause these echoes, and recent observations (Woodman and Kudeki, 1984) provide convincing evidence for this triggering. Here, the instability mechanism is discussed and it is shown that transient thunderstorm electric fields comparable to those recently observed by rockets in the midlatitude ionosphere could excite a rapidly growing two-stream plasma instability that is driven by the ExB drift of the F region electrons in the short period (less than the ion gyroperiod) before the ions reach the same velocity.

Kelley, M. C.↗

Analysis of airborne Doppler lidar, Doppler radar and tall tower measurements of atmospheric flows in quiescent and stormy weather

The first experiment to combine airborne Doppler Lidar and ground-based dual Doppler Radar measurements of wind to detail the lower tropospheric flows in quiescent and stormy weather was conducted in central Oklahoma during four days in June-July 1981. Data from these unique remote sensing instruments, coupled with data from conventional in-situ facilities, i.e., 500-m meteorological tower, rawinsonde, and surface based sensors, were analyzed to enhance understanding of wind, waves and turbulence. The purposes of the study were to: (1) compare winds mapped by ground-based dual Doppler radars, airborne Doppler lidar, and anemometers on a tower; (2) compare measured atmospheric boundary layer flow with flows predicted by theoretical models; (3) investigate the kinematic structure of air mass boundaries that precede the development of severe storms; and (4) study the kinematic structure of thunderstorm phenomena (downdrafts, gust fronts, etc.) that produce wind shear and turbulence hazardous to aircraft operations. The report consists of three parts: Part 1, Intercomparison of Wind Data from Airborne Lidar, Ground-Based Radars and Instrumented 444 m Tower; Part 2, The Structure of the Convective Atmospheric Boundary Layer as Revealed by Lidar and Doppler Radars; and Part 3, Doppler Lidar Observations in Thunderstorm Environments.

Bluestein, H. B.↗

Tropical convection, ionospheric potentials and global circuit variation

The ionospheric potential (VI), a measure of the earth's overall electric field intensity, correlates with the classic 'Carnegie curve' diurnal variation in electric field caused by the global distribution of thunderstorms. A comparison of VI variation with satellite images of high tropical cloud fields indicates that equatorial thunderstorms over the continents are dominant in maintaining the earth's electric field. VI time series obtained at just one location may provide a high-resolution measure of intense tropical convection.

Markson, R.↗

The Cooperative Huntsville Meteorological Experiment (COHMEX)

The Satellite Precipitation and Cloud Experiment, the Microburst and Severe Thunderstorm, and the FAA Lincoln Laboratories Operational Weather Studies of the COHMEX are described. The precipitation and cloud experiment focuses on the prestorm period in order to observe the physical processes leading to the formation of small convective systems. Aircraft, remote sensing and rewinsonde data are utilized to determine various storm/environment characteristics. Doppler velocity and reflectivity of microburst clouds are studied to evaluate the three-dimensional structure of microbursts from thunderstorms. The weather studies are designed to develop and test automatic algorithms for wind shear detection using Doppler weather radars. The application of satellite systems to data collection for these experiments is discussed.

Dodge, J.↗