Engineering Papers⌕ Search

SEARCH · Engineering Papers

Results for “predictive simulation”

Search indexed NASA NTRS and DOE OSTI research on propulsion, heat transfer, battery materials and energy systems. Follow report and document links to the original sources.

Quote a phrase for an exact phrase match. Source license links do not imply unrestricted reuse.

At least 487 records · Page 27

Decadal climate variability in the tropical Pacific: Characteristics, causes, predictability, and prospects

Decadal climate variability and change affects nearly every aspect of our world, including weather, agriculture, ecosystems, and the economy. Predicting its expression is thus of critical importance on multiple fronts. Power et al. review what is known about tropical Pacific decadal climate variability and change, the degree to which it can be simulated and predicted, and how we might improve our understanding of it. Here, more accurate projections will require longer and more detailed instrumental and paleoclimate records, improved climate models, and better data assimilation methods. —HJS.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗

Accelerating Hanford Site Cleanup through Operations Research Modeling - 20238

The Hanford Site cleanup effort will require the integration of dozens of unique facilities and processes, many of which will be first-of-a-kind in implementation and design. Each facility will be governed by its own set of operating logic, configured with a unique array of unit operations, and subject to a set of constraints that will affect its behavior. The collection of facilities have multiple points of interface, making the operations of any one facility potentially significant to the operations of other up- or downstream processes. It is therefore highly desirable to accurately predict these operations, as it allows for Site officials to identify and preempt bottlenecks and vulnerabilities before they unexpectedly inhibit the cleanup mission. With the quantity and complexity of the processes that will be on Site, building a pen-and-paper or even a spreadsheet-assisted model of the cleanup mission quickly becomes overwhelming in scope and inaccurate in execution. The Engineering organization for the Site's Tank Operations Contract (TOC) has therefore implemented the use of operations research (OR) modeling to simulate and predict future operations of Site facilities. These models are created using a discrete event simulation tool that allows for the development of detailed, versatile, and robust models. Not only can these models account for complex logical behaviors, but they can also simulate process details down to the level of vessel sizing, labor utilization, equipment reliability, and resource availability. To date, the TOC has developed OR models for several facilities on Site, including for single-shell tank (SST) farms, double-shell tank (DST) farms, the Effluent Treatment Facility (ETF), and the waste transfer system. These models have focused on identifying bottlenecks and operational constraints, and have been used to quantify the effects of implementing process changes. This latter point is particularly valuable, as it allows for several alternatives to be studied in a virtual setting before committing resources to making a change in the field. The decision to develop OR models has gained tremendous support from the Site's stakeholders and the U.S. Department of Energy (DOE) management, and has prompted the use of the tool to support additional internal and external initiatives. Recently, an initiative was proposed to use the models to help identify and provide quantitative backing for risks and opportunities for the TOC. This application of OR could not only help inform how the TOC manages its risks (e.g. quantities and types of spare parts), but could also help drive process improvements whose benefits might otherwise be hard to quantify. The models have also been used to drive the TOC's cloud computing, artificial intelligence (AI), and machine learning (ML) initiatives. These initiatives will not only improve the ability of the TOC to more rapidly respond to the needs of its customers, but it will also aid in the ability of the TOC to analyze and improve the processes it studies. Partnership with two external software development and consulting companies (Lanner and Ynformed) has furthered not only the application of AI and ML within the TOC, but has also spurred the development of new/improved software tools and platforms used by the companies. These partnerships have proven to be mutually beneficial and productive, and have set a precedent for the types of gains that can be made by exploring such options. (authors)

12 MANAGEMENT OF RADIOACTIVE AND NON-RADIOACTIVE W↗

Predicting wind farm operations with machine learning and the P2D‐RANS model: A case study for an AWAKEN site

Abstract The power performance and the wind velocity field of an onshore wind farm are predicted with machine learning models and the pseudo‐2D RANS model, then assessed against SCADA data. The wind farm under investigation is one of the sites involved with the American WAKE experimeNt (AWAKEN). The performed simulations enable predictions of the power capture at the farm and turbine levels while providing insights into the effects on power capture associated with wake interactions that operating upstream turbines induce, as well as the variability caused by atmospheric stability. The machine learning models show improved accuracy compared to the pseudo‐2D RANS model in the predictions of turbine power capture and farm power capture with roughly half the normalized error. The machine learning models also entail lower computational costs upon training. Further, the machine learning models provide predictions of the wind turbulence intensity at the turbine level for different wind and atmospheric conditions with very good accuracy, which is difficult to achieve through RANS modeling. Additionally, farm‐to‐farm interactions are noted, with adverse impacts on power predictions from both models.

17 WIND ENERGY↗

Origin of Heating-Induced Softening and Enthalpic Reinforcement in Elastomeric Nanocomposites

Molecular simulations demonstrate that the enthalpic softening of elastomeric nanocomposites upon heating can arise naturally from a Poisson’s ratio mismatch between elastomer and nanoparticle networks, providing a more parsimonious explanation for this phenomenon than the widely accepted interpretation based on glassy interparticle bridging. Despite a century of use, the mechanism of nanoparticle-driven mechanical reinforcement of elastomers is unresolved. Here, a major hypothesis attributes it to glassy interparticle bridges, supported by an observed inversion of the variation of the modulus E(T) on heating – from entropic stiffening in elastomers to enthalpic softening in nanocomposites. Here, molecular simulations reveal that elastomer enthalpic softening can instead emerge from a competition over the preferred volumes between elastomer and nanoparticulate networks. A theory for this competition accounting for softening of the bulk modulus on heating predicts the simulated E(T) inversion, suggesting that reinforcement is driven by a volume-competition mechanism unique to cocontinuous systems of soft and rigid networks.

Biopolymers↗

Nanoparticle Injection Technology for Remediating Leaks of CO 2 Storage Formation (Final Report)

Leakage of a well can occur through the wellbore, the annulus between well tubing and steel casing, or on the outside of the casing. The overall goal of the project is to develop a new technology that can repair or reduce the leakage of wellbore. The new technology is based on simultaneously injecting nanoparticles electrochemically and removing some of the harmful ions in the system so the distressed cement materials can be densified and the corrosion risk of steel casing can be reduced. There were two objectives. One is the development of the injection technology for leakage repair and the other is the development of new numerical simulation models that can simulate and predict the performance of the new repair technology. An electro-migration testing unit and a in-house wellbore testing system were developed; healing agents with nanoparticles were selected, numerical models were developed to simulate the electro-migration technology, and the effectiveness of the new technology were evaluated.

42 ENGINEERING↗

Nanoparticle Injection Technology for Remediating Leaks of CO 2 Storage Formation (Final Technical Report)

Leakage of a well can occur through the wellbore, the annulus between well tubing and steel casing, or on the outside of the casing. The overall goal of the project is to develop a new technology that can repair or reduce the leakage of wellbore. The new technology is based on simultaneously injecting nanoparticles electrochemically and removing some of the harmful ions in the system so the distressed cement materials can be densified and the corrosion risk of steel casing can be reduced. There were two objectives. One is the development of the injection technology for leakage repair and the other is the development of new numerical simulation models that can simulate and predict the performance of the new repair technology. An electro-migration testing unit and an in-house wellbore testing system were developed; healing agents with nanoparticles were selected, numerical models were developed to simulate the electro-migration technology, and the effectiveness of the new technology was evaluated.

42 ENGINEERING↗

Monte Carlo N-Particle Transport Performance of Predicting Digital Radiographic IQI Inspection

The identification of porosity, geometric noncompliance, and other defect types are critical to the qualification of materials and components. X-ray radiographic nondestructive testing is a common industrial inspection method for process quality control and component qualification and certification. Digital radiography provides a quick and efficient alternative when compared to traditional film-based inspection. The quality of radiographic inspection is dependent on equipment specifications, such as the source spot size and detector pixel size, and the specific parameters selected for use for the radiographic technique. To evaluate if an x-ray system and technique is sufficient for a given requirement, a radiographic image quality indicator (IQI) can be used. Radiographic IQIs in hard to machine materials or hard to manufacture defects can be time consuming and expensive to manufacture. This study was conducted to evaluate current Savannah River National Laboratory (SRNL) x-ray imaging systems with a custom tantalum IQI and using Monte Carlo simulations to predict the performance of future systems. The tantalum IQI was tested using a Siefert Isovolt 420 keV x-ray tube with a Perkin Elmer XRD 1611 flat panel with 100-micron pixels. Using the Monte Carlo N-Particle transport software, the radiographic tally was used to simulate the photon flux through an identical tantalum IQI. These simulations provided a benchmark as to the best theoretical identification on a given system using our tantalum IQI. The simulations were refined to match SRNL’s current systems’ noise levels, leading to confidence in their ability to predict the performance of other systems that may be purchased and deployed in the future at the Savannah River Site. Future studies will be conducted to prove this research can be extended to artificially evaluate the ability for systems to identify critical defect sizes through x-ray radiographic inspection, drastically reducing the cost and time burdens of producing high-fidelity radiographic test articles.

digital X-ray radiography↗

High-Fidelity CFD Modeling of Cryogenic Hydrogen Isotope Extrusion for Fusion Reactor Pellet Fueling

This study investigates the extrusion processes of deuterium and protium using ANSYS-Polyflow. The geometries and computational fluid dynamics (CFD) settings closely replicate the experimental setups and data acquired from the extruder experiments at Oak Ridge National Laboratory (ORNL) for validation purposes. We explore the impacts of (1) slip versus non-slip boundary conditions and (2) the use of constant, temperature-, and shear rate–dependent viscosities, concluding that the implementation of non-slip wall boundary conditions combined with shear rate–dependent viscosity produced more accurate predictions. The simulations achieved excellent agreement with the experimental data, with relative differences of only 5% for deuterium, and 3% to 6% for protium. This is the first time that experimental extrusion data at ORNL have been accurately predicted through high-fidelity CFD modeling. In conclusion, the advancements offer valuable insights and a foundational modeling tool for optimizing pellet injectors for ITER and other future reactor-scale devices.

ANSYS-Polyflow↗

Optimization of ray-tracing simulations to confirm performance of the GP-SANS instrument at the High-Flux Isotope Reactor

The CG-2 beamline at the High Flux Isotope Reactor (HFIR) exhibits a notable discrepancy between observed count rates and the count rates we would expect based on a Monte-Carlo neutron ray-trace simulation. These simulations consistently predict count rates approximately five times greater than those observed in four separate experimental runs involving different instrument configurations. This discrepancy suggests that certain factors are causing losses in measurements that are not adequately accounted for in the simulation, in particular guide reflectivity or misalignment. To investigate these discrepancies, a high-dimensional simulation parameter approach is applied in order to understand the losses. Region of Interest (ROI) groups along the instrument are assigned to different surfaces of the guide components within the simulation. This allows the parameters of those guide components to be varied as a group to minimize the complexity of the search space. The result is an optimization of simulation parameters using an iterative scheme that aims to minimize the difference between experimentally measured count rates and simulated count rates across all tested collimator combinations. This proposed methodology holds the potential to reveal previously unrecognized sources of intensity loss in the CG-2 beamline at HFIR and improve the accuracy of simulations, leading to enhanced understanding and performance of the beamline for various scientific applications.

21 SPECIFIC NUCLEAR REACTORS AND ASSOCIATED PLANTS↗

Computational and experimental analysis of structural and Thermophysical properties of LiX-KX (X = chloride, iodide, or bromide) molten salts

Molten salts containing lithium (Li) and potassium (K) halides, including chlorides (Cl), bromides (Br), and iodides (I), are pivotal in advanced technological applications including nuclear reactor technologies, thermal batteries, and industrial pyrochemical processes. Despite their significance, the availability of the temperature-dependent structural and thermophysical properties of these molten salts remain scarce. Here, this study addresses this knowledge gap by predicting and measuring the key properties such as coordination number, radial distribution function, density, heat capacity, and volumetric thermal expansion of molten LiI-KI, LiBr-KBr and LiCl-KCl eutectic mixtures. Utilizing ab initio molecular dynamics (AIMD) simulations, we predict these properties of LiX-KX (X=Br,I, Cl) across various temperatures, with chlorides as a benchmark. Experimental measurements using Archimedes methods and Differential Scanning Calorimetry validate the densities and heat capacities of these molten salts. Our comprehensive analysis of the structural and thermophysical properties provides critical insights into the behavior of these molten salts at various temperatures, enhancing the understanding necessary for their application in advanced technologies.

36 - MATERIALS SCIENCE↗

Stellarator Design Exploration Using Symbolic-Regression Neutronics Surrogates

Systems codes require fast, simplified models to rapidly evaluate fusion power plant concepts, but neutronics analyses are often a computational bottleneck. Here, to address this, surrogate models for key neutronics responses have been developed using 3-D neutronics-ready models built with the open-source code ParaStell from a database of stellarator equilibria. Neutronics responses such as tritium breeding ratio (TBR), nuclear heating, and neutron-induced radiation damage displacements per atom (dpa) were simulated using OpenMC. Through sensitivity analysis and symbolic regression (SR), simple power-law formulas were derived connecting these neutronics responses to global stellarator parameters, including fusion power, plasma surface area, and plasma elongation. Validation shows these formulas can predict the simulation results with low error, enabling quick and accurate assessment of neutronics requirements in stellarator design exploration activities with systems codes.

Modeling↗

Position-dependent matter density probability distribution function

Here, we introduce the position-dependent probability distribution function (PDF) of the smoothed matter field as a cosmological observable. In comparison to the PDF itself, the spatial variation of the position-dependent PDF is simpler to model and has distinct dependence on cosmological parameters. We demonstrate that the position-dependent PDF is characterized by variations in the local mean density, and we compute the linear response of the PDF to the local density using separate universe N-body simulations. The linear response of the PDF to the local density field can be thought of as the linear bias of regions of the matter field selected based on density. We provide a model for the linear response, which accurately predicts our simulation measurements. We also validate our results and test the separate universe consistency relation for the local PDF using global universe simulations. We find excellent agreement between the two, and we demonstrate that the separate universe method gives a lower variance determination of the linear response.

72 PHYSICS OF ELEMENTARY PARTICLES AND FIELDS↗

Laser transport and backscatter in low-density SiO 2 and Ta2O 5 foams

Experiments using a single 527 nm wavelength beam interacting with sub- and supercritical density SiO 2 and Ta 2 O 5 foams examined laser propagation and backscatter from laser–plasma instabilities such as Stimulated Brillouin Scattering (SBS). Two densities of each material were examined, and multiple diagnostics were used to characterize the propagation and backscatter. For 5 mg/cc SiO 2 (n e /n c = 0.375), the laser propagation distance was well approximated by treating the foam as a gas. However, for the 2 mg/cc SiO 2 foam (n e /n c = 0.15), the same model over-predicts the propagation distance by ~40%. Furthermore, existing analytical theories on propagation through subcritical foams were able to account for this difference. The laser heat wave propagated ~1/2 as far in Ta 2 O 5 than SiO 2 foams with similar electron density. We showed that this difference is due to the increased radiation losses in the higher Z foam. The fraction of backscattered light scales linearly with incident laser intensity for the range of intensities examined. Ta 2 O 5 foams had significantly lower levels of backscatter (1–3%) than the SiO 2 (4–8%), which is consistent with estimates of large Landau damping due to the presence of the oxygen atoms. The measured fraction of SBS backscattered laser energy for a 2 mg/cc SiO 2 foam shot was ~4 times lower than predicted by simulations assuming a gas-like foam. We found that we needed to assume increased ion heating such that T i /T e ~1.2–1.5 in the plasma to agree with the measured SBS reflectivity. Analytical models of laser-heated foams predict preferential heating of the ions as has been observed in previous experiments.

70 PLASMA PHYSICS AND FUSION TECHNOLOGY↗

Perturbative model for the saturation of energetic-particle-driven modes limited by self-generated zonal modes

We present a simplified energy-conserving approach to incorporate wave–wave nonlinear effects within the framework commonly used to describe wave–particle nonlinearities. In particular, the effects of zonal mode (ZM) generation on the determination of the saturation amplitude of energetic particle (EP)-driven Alfvénic instabilities is studied. The model assumes that the zonal perturbations grow at a rate twice that of the original (pump) wave, consistent with a beat-driven (or force-driven) generation mechanism. The evolution and saturation of the mode amplitude are investigated both analytically and numerically within our reduced model assumptions, in both the collisionless and scattering-dominated regimes. These studies underscore the crucial role of sources and sinks in capturing the impact and the role of beat-driven zonal perturbations on mode evolution. In the realistic case of saturation set by sources and sinks, we discuss the role of a finite amplitude ZM in reducing microturbulent particle scattering, thus limiting the energy source for the resonant mode. We then discuss comparisons between the model’s predictions and simulation results. The model reproduces key features observed in gyrokinetic simulations as the reduction in saturated mode amplitude and the onset of wave–wave nonlinear effects as functions of mode growth rate and amplitude. Thanks to its simplicity, it can be readily implemented into codes based on reduced models, thereby improving their predictive capability for strongly driven instabilities.

Alfvén eigenmodes↗

Simulations of Criticality Control Overpack Container Compaction at the Waste Isolation Pilot Plant

Criticality Control Overpack (CCO) containers are being considered for the disposal of defense-related nuclear waste at the Waste Isolation Pilot Plant (WIPP). At WIPP, these containers would be placed in underground disposal rooms, which will naturally close and compact the containers closer to one another over several centuries. This report details simulations to predict the final container configuration as an input to nuclear criticality assessments. Each container was discretely modeled, including the plywood and stainless steel pipe inside the 55-gallon drum, in order to capture its complex mechanical behavior. Although these high-fidelity simulations were computationally intensive, several different material models were considered in an attempt to reasonably bound the horizontal and vertical compaction percentages. When exceptionally strong materials were used for the containers, the horizontal and vertical closure respectively stabilized at 43:9 % and 93:7 %. At the other extreme, when the containers completely degraded and the clay seams between the salt layers were glued, the horizontal and vertical closure reached respective final values of 48:6 % and 100 %.

12 MANAGEMENT OF RADIOACTIVE AND NON-RADIOACTIVE W↗

Survey of Modeling and Simulation Techniques for Advanced Manufacturing Technologies Volume I – Predicting Initial Microstructures

This report summarizes the current state of modeling and simulation methods for predicting the initial structure and properties of material in components assembled using advanced manufacturing technologies (AMTs). The report is the first volume in a two-volume series. This first volume focuses on predicting initial microstructures of AM material. The second volume discusses predicting material properties given the initial microstructure. The focus is on technologies of particular relevance to the design and manufacture of nuclear reactor components. The purpose of the report is to help develop the technical knowledge base to support regulatory decisions that will be needed to assess nuclear components manufactured with AMTs as these components are installed at nuclear power plants (NPPs). The report develops a list of AMTs of particular interest to the NRC and summarizes the key microstructural features and corresponding processing parameters relevant to each technology. Further sections describe available physically-based and data-driven prediction methods and survey widely available software tools. The report concludes with a summary of gaps that may be of particular interest to the NRC when evaluating modeling and simulation methods for AMTs.

22 GENERAL STUDIES OF NUCLEAR REACTORS↗

Parametric analysis of anodic degradation mechanisms for fast charging lithium batteries with graphite anode

In this work, we report the impact of the temperature-driven synergistically-coupled anodic degradation mechanisms on the electrochemical performance of lithium batteries with graphite anode over multiple cycles. Temperature dependence of electrochemical reactions and damage mechanisms, such as solid electrolyte interface (SEI) growth, lithium plating/stripping, dead lithium storage/dissolution, and film cracking are incorporated into the degradation model. Results of a parametric analysis are presented, evaluating the effects of charging rates (1–6 C), operating temperatures (-15 – 45°C) and electrode design parameters, on the relative performance fade in the lithium-ion battery. Thermo-electrochemical process maps are developed to provide insights into the relationship between electrode performance and failure mechanisms. The simulation results predict a severe capacity loss due to lithium plating at low temperatures, which is further aggravated at high charging rates. A common strategy for mitigating lithium plating, through charging at high temperatures, also results in rapid capacity loss due to accelerated SEI formation. Simulation results are used to identify the combination of operating conditions and electrode design parameters that improve the electrochemical performance of the battery. These results demonstrate an opportunity to design safe and high-performance lithium-ion batteries, guided by anodic degradation models.

Battery design↗

Structural uncertainty assessment for low-Mach wall-resolved large-eddy simulations: Plane Channel and Periodic Hill Use Cases

A structural uncertainty assessment is provided for a set of wall-resolved large-eddy simulations (WRLES) using a turbulent channel flow (𝑅𝑒 𝜏 395) and a periodic hill in the turbulent regime (𝑅𝑒 𝑏 2800) validation suite. The standard one-equation subgrid scale turbulent kinetic energy model (𝑘 𝑠𝑔𝑠 ) using both a static and dynamic coefficient approach along with Wall Adapting Local Eddy Viscosity (WALE) are exercised. The 𝑘 𝑠𝑔𝑠 model activated in this study also allows for a correction that supports theoretical turbulent viscosity and total kinetic energy scaling (cubit and quadratic, respectively) in the near-wall regime. Channel and hill results showcase very good agreement between prediction and simulation for the WALE and the dynamic coefficient 𝑘 𝑠𝑔𝑠 model. The study also demonstrates that near-wall damping improves predictivity for the static coefficient 𝑘 𝑠𝑔𝑠 model, while proving an unnecessary additional contribution for the dynamic coefficient 𝑘 𝑠𝑔𝑠 model as near-wall scaling is naturally captured. Overall conclusions are that this suite of WRLES models are well suited for production usage in the Sierra-based low-Mach codes.

97 MATHEMATICS AND COMPUTING↗