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Search indexed NASA NTRS and DOE OSTI research on propulsion, heat transfer, battery materials and energy systems. Follow report and document links to the original sources.

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At least 487 records · Page 27

Long-Term Outcomes of Radical Radiation Therapy with Hypoxia Modification with Biomarker Discovery for Stratification: 10-Year Update of the BCON (Bladder Carbogen Nicotinamide) Phase 3 Randomized Trial (ISRCTN45938399)

Many muscle-invasive bladder cancers are hypoxic, which limits the efficacy of radiation therapy. Hypoxia modification using carbogen and nicotinamide has been tested in a phase 3 trial, Bladder Carbogen Nicotinamide. We present mature follow-up data with biomarker predictions of outcomes.

62 RADIOLOGY AND NUCLEAR MEDICINE↗

The Role of Adjuvant Chemoradiotherapy in Nonhilar Extrahepatic Bile Duct Cancer: A Long-Term Single-Institution Analysis

Despite frequent use in the clinical setting, especially for patients with high-risk factors for relapse, the role of adjuvant treatment has not been clarified in nonhilar extrahepatic bile duct cancer (NH-EHBDC). The goal of this study is to identify the role of adjuvant chemoradiotherapy (CRT) in NH-EHBDC patients after radical surgery.

62 RADIOLOGY AND NUCLEAR MEDICINE↗

CO 2 geological storage: Critical insights on plume dynamics and storage efficiency during long-term injection and post-injection periods

In the quest for net-zero greenhouse gas emission, CO 2 capture and storage technologies play a prominent role. Estimates suggest a potential of sequestering up to several thousand metric gigatons of CO 2 . However, some of the main challenges in its development are an assessment of reservoir-specific storage capacities due to variabilities and heterogeneities in the underlying properties (structure, formations, facies, petrophysics, reservoir architecture, and others) and understanding the migration of CO 2 in the subsurface. How much CO 2 can be stored in a reservoir, and how quickly can it be injected? What will be the dominant storing (trapping) mechanisms? These questions, among others, remain as challenges to the commercial deployment of this technology. This article critically investigates CO 2 plume characteristics and determines the evolving contributions of different trapping mechanisms during a 100-year injection period. Here, simulation results on the CO 2 plume dynamics indicate that lateral propagation is much larger than vertical propagation. The ratio of average lateral to vertical dispersion ranged between 6.3 and 18.8 for the cases investigated. On average, for all the scenarios investigated, the free phase (mobile supercritical CO 2 ) is the dominant trapping mechanism (in terms of the amount of CO 2 stored) during the injection period, accounting up to 45% of the CO 2 injected. Both residual (30%) and solubility (25%) trapping storage ratios decline with time during injection, and no significant mineral trapping appeared during the 100-year injection period. However, the behavior of CaCO 3 suggests a predominant dissolution of CaCO 3 , especially in the vicinity of the injection well.

03 NATURAL GAS↗

Long-term durability test of highly efficient membrane electrode assemblies for anion exchange membrane seawater electrolyzers

Direct seawater electrolysis faces fundamental electrochemical challenges, such as suppression of chlorine adsorption and/or evolution reactions that poison the current state-of-the-art anode catalysts and accelerate the degradation of the anion exchange membrane (AEM). The technically favored solution path for addressing these issues includes development of novel selective catalysts and implementation of limited operating conditions. Therefore, development of highly active, selective, cost-effective, and stable seawater-splitting catalysts is required for a successful commercialization of the AEM water electrolyzers (AEMWEs). In this work, we report for the first-time an extended operation for over 1000 h of advanced AEMWEs, operating directly with seawater. To fabricate the membrane electrode assemblies (MEAs), catalyst coated electrodes (CCEs) are assembled with Sustainion® X37-50 grade T anion exchange membranes. The anode CCEs are fabricated by spraying an ink prepared from nanostructured NiFe-layered double hydroxide (LDH) catalyst that are synthesized by the solvothermal method and deposited directly onto platinized titanium porous transport layers (PTLs). The cathode CCEs are prepared by spraying an ink prepared from commercial Renay-Nickel catalyst onto a nickel fiber felt. As prepared AEM electrolyzer cells operated with seawater and demonstrated better than previously reported in the literature performance of over 1000 h of operation at a constant current density of 300 mA cm –2 .

25 ENERGY STORAGE↗

Estimate long-term impact on battery degradation by considering electric vehicle real-world end-use factors

Many estimates of battery capacity degradation are based on accelerated lab tests that involve charge-discharge cycles or rely on data or electrochemical modeling. These methods are reasonable for technology benchmarking but rarely consider real-world end-use factors. To address this issue, this study develops the Battery Run-down under Electric Vehicle Operation (BREVO) model. It links the driver's travel pattern to physics-based battery degradation and powertrain energy consumption models. The model simulates the impacts of charging behavior, charging rate, driving patterns, and multiple energy management modules on battery capacity degradation. It finds that, over a 10-year timespan, firstly, for a random driver situated in the New England area, daily direct-current fast charging (60 kW) could lead to up to 22% less battery capacity when compared to daily Level-1 charging (1.8 kW). Second, the battery thermal management system can delay battery degradation by approximately 0.5% in the New England area. Third, warmer ambient temperatures enhance BEV battery usage. The model indicates that the battery capacity in the Los Angeles area is 6% higher than that in the New England area. The BREVO model provides crucial information for consumers and BEV manufacturers on range anxiety, BEV battery design, and decision support of battery warranty.

25 ENERGY STORAGE↗

Ride-hailing and taxi versus walking: Long term forecasts and implications from large-scale behavioral data

Introduction: Although ride-hailing and taxi trips can potentially reduce single-occupant vehicle trips and auto ownership, they can also replace pedestrian trips. Because physical activity is associated with improved health outcomes, the extent to which ride-hailing and taxi travel captures walking's mode share is of interest to policymakers. Methods: Based on large-scale behavioral data from the 2017 U.S. National Household Travel Survey, this paper reports on the development of a full Bayesian logistic regression model for determining the mode split between (1) ride-hailing and taxi and (2) walk while accounting for unobserved heterogeneity. The results from the stand-alone model inform two longer-term travel forecasting scenarios: a) higher risk of walk trips converting to ride-hailing and taxi, specifically in the future with high prevalence of automated vehicles, b) higher probability of such trips remaining as walking. Results: The results revealed that some of the important characteristics that increase the likelihood of a traveler using the ride-hailing and taxi mode versus walking include having a longer trip, using a smartphone to access the internet, having an interest in technologies, having a medical condition, and living in a metropolitan area with rail access. Further, the results from the first scenario suggest that an overall increase of up to 2.9% in the ride-hailing and taxi mode share may be expected. The second scenario shows that between 68% and 76% of ride-hailing and taxi trips could be diverted to walking if supportive pedestrian infrastructure were provided in the case study locations. The planning process can be adapted to consider not only congestion, crash, and emissions impacts of such shifts but also the effects of a loss of physical activity. Conclusions: The study findings show how the ride-hailing and taxi mode competes with walking. Further, the findings enable planners to update their regional travel forecasting models; policy makers can thus encourage active travel by prioritizing pedestrian infrastructure investments that may divert ride-hailing and taxi trips to walking. However, equity should be a key consideration to ensure that addressing the competition between these two modal choices does not hinder the provision of pedestrian facilities in communities that depend on walking.

99 GENERAL AND MISCELLANEOUS↗

Ultra long-term cosmology and astrophysics

In this work, we examine astronomical observations that would be achievable over a future timeline corresponding to the documented history of human civilization so far, ~ 10 4 years. We examine implications for measurements of the redshift drift, evolution of the CMB, and cosmic parallax. A number of events that are rare on the scale of centuries will become easily observable on a timescale ~ 10 4 years. Implications for several measurements related to gravity are discussed.

79 ASTRONOMY AND ASTROPHYSICS↗

Impact of duration and missing data on the long-term photovoltaic degradation rate estimation

Accurate quantification of photovoltaic (PV) system degradation rate (R D ) is essential for lifetime yield predictions. Although R D is a critical parameter, its estimation lacks a standardized methodology that can be applied on outdoor field data. The purpose of this paper is to investigate the impact of time period duration and missing data on R D by analyzing the performance of different techniques applied to synthetic PV system data at different linear R D patterns and known noise conditions. The analysis includes the application of different techniques to a 10-year synthetic dataset of a crystalline Silicon PV system, with emulated degradation levels and imputed missing data. Here, the analysis demonstrated that the accuracy of ordinary least squares (OLS), year-on-year (YOY), autoregressive integrated moving average (ARIMA) and robust principal component analysis (RPCA) techniques is affected by the evaluation duration with all techniques converging to lower R D deviations over the 10-year evaluation, apart from RPCA at high degradation levels. Moreover, the estimated R D is strongly affected by the amount of missing data. Filtering out the corrupted data yielded more accurate R D results for all techniques. It is proven that the application of a change-point detection stage is necessary and guidelines for accurate R D estimation are provided.

14 SOLAR ENERGY↗