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Search indexed NASA NTRS and DOE OSTI research on propulsion, heat transfer, battery materials and energy systems. Follow report and document links to the original sources.

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At least 487 records · Page 27
All sourcesNASA NTRSDOE OSTI
DOE OSTI2025

Assessing the impact of climate change on rainfall-triggered landslides: a case study in California

Landslides are widespread natural hazards which take a heavy toll on lives, property, and infrastructure each year. In January 2023 and 2024, widespread landslides occurred in California as a result of extreme winter precipitation. Estimating the regional evolution of landslide hazard in a changing climate is essential for adaptation planning and risk mitigation efforts. The complex effects of climate change on landslide hazard, however, are poorly understood. Here, we use climate and landslide observations to develop a novel data-driven approach for landslide susceptibility assessment under historical and future climate conditions. We apply this framework to investigate the evolution of landslide susceptibility in California and its impacts on the roadway system based on downscaled climate projections under moderate and high greenhouse gas emission scenarios. On average, the results indicate an increase in landslide susceptibility through 2100 in regions where historical susceptibility is moderate to very high. Although the spatio-temporal variations in landslide susceptibility are sensitive to climate model uncertainties in predicting extreme rainfall, the direst impacts are largely circumvented in lower emission scenarios.

Climate Change↗
DOE OSTI2022

A Case Study of the Weather Research and Forecasting Model Applied to the Joint Urban 2003 Tracer Field Experiment. Part III: Boundary-Layer Parametrizations

Numerical weather prediction is often used to supply the mean wind and turbulence fields for atmospheric transport and dispersion plume models as they provide dense geographic coverage in comparison to typically sparse monitoring networks. Here, the Weather Research and Forecasting (WRF) model 4.0 was run over the month-long period of the Joint Urban 2003 field campaign conducted in Oklahoma City. We compare three different simulations in their ability to reproduce the observations, each using a different boundary-layer parametrization. Specifically, we examine the Mellor–Yamada–Janjic (MYJ), Yonsei University (YSU), and Mellor–Yamada–Nakanishi–Niino (MYNN) boundary-layer parametrizations. All three predict the wind speed well during the day but overpredict it at night. The MYNN parametrization is better than MYJ at predicting the daytime turbulence in the surface layer, but both underpredict the nocturnal turbulence. Additionally, the MYJ parametrization is best at predicting the reciprocal Obukhov length, while MYNN and YSU both significantly overpredict thermal stability. Reconstructing the reciprocal Obukhov length from other simulated parameters produces more accurate values for both parametrizations. All three models overpredict the boundary-layer height, particularly under convective conditions. The MYJ parametrization overestimates boundary-layer height the most, while YSU and MYNN have comparable performance with MYNN having an advantage in predicting the stable boundary-layer height. Several days were found where the WRF simulations predict significant deviations from the prevailing diurnal pattern in wind direction, which are not found in the observations.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗
DOE OSTI2020

Snowmelt Periods as Hot Moments for Soil N Dynamics: a Case Study in Maine, USA

We examined patterns of soil N availability during the vernal transition and how warming winter and ecosystem N status (N-enriched vs. N-limited) altered these patterns. Soils were sampled at the Bear Brook Watershed in Maine during 2015 and 2016. 2016 was a warmer winter with less snowfall than 2015, and therefore had earlier snowmelt and a longer vernal transition. Across both years, thaw periods consistently showed signs of being transition periods, especially evident in the N-enriched watershed — ammonium concentrations were highest during this period due to microbial community turnover and cell lysis, whereas nitrate concentrations were lowest due to flushing by meltwater. The N-enriched soils had 4–5-times more ammonium than the N-limited soils overall, although this difference was magnified during melt periods (10–14-fold). This indicates that the altered microbial community in the chronically N-manipulated soils might be more susceptible to community turnover and lysis during snowmelt. Our results indicate that ecosystem N status influences the response of forest soil N dynamics to a changing vernal transition in a time of accelerating climate change.

vernal transition, forest soils, nitrogen, N-enric↗
DOE OSTI2021

National nuclear forensics libraries: a case study on benefits and possibilities for identification of sealed radioactive sources

A National Nuclear Forensic Library (NNFL) is a useful nuclear forensics tool which consists of information and subject matter expertise on radioactive and nuclear (RN) materials produced, used or stored within a State. If RN material is found out of regulatory control the NNFL can be used as part of a nuclear forensics investigation to help identify whether or not the material is consistent with a country’s national holdings. In previous work, a number of signatures which can be useful to identify sealed sources of 241 Am were investigated. To validate the measurement results, an official query concerning information about two of the previously investigated 241 Am sources was sent to the United States Department of State, the international point-of-contact (POC) for the U.S. NNFL. The aim of this work is to show how data obtained in a characterization of a radioactive source can be used in conjunction with an NNFL to investigate the history of a source out of regulatory control.

38 RADIATION CHEMISTRY, RADIOCHEMISTRY, AND NUCLEA↗
DOE OSTI2026

A case study on the use of carbon sticky tabs for microbeam uranium isotope measurement with an emphasis on understanding the influence of subtle variations in substrate composition

In this paper we integrate laser induced breakdown spectroscopy (LIBS), large geometry secondary ion mass spectrometry (LG-SIMS), laser ablation—multi collector—inductively coupled plasma—mass spectrometry (LA-MC-ICP-MS), and trace elemental compositions obtained by bulk digestion from a suite of commercially available carbon sticky tabs to determine if subtle variations in the tab’s composition can be tied to shifts in the observed uranium isotopic composition of the IRMM-2020 standard relative to its ‘true’ value. The results suggest that, although clear differences exist in the relative abundances of carbon and hydrogen across the various carbon sticky tabs examined, as well as differences in their trace elemental and total uranium concentrations, these differences do not appear to influence the LG-SIMS or LA-MC-ICP-MS uranium isotope ratio measurements, or the appearance of the uranium mass spectrum scans. Instead, the quality (i.e., precision and accuracy) of the LG-SIMS and LA-MC-ICP-MS results are directly proportional to the observed signal intensity at the time of analysis. For the LG-SIMS measurements, there does appear to be a direct correlation between 235U1H hydride formation rates and vacuum conditions within the instrument’s analytical chamber. Furthermore, none of the carbon sticky tabs examined by LG-SIMS displayed evidence of elevated background uranium content. While a preliminary correlation was observed between the uranium isotope background signal during LA-MC-ICP-MS and the total uranium concentrations determined by isotope dilution, none of the tabs displayed a high enough analytical background to affect the isotope ratio measurements.

Zirakparvar, Alex [ORNL] (ORCID:0000000337797730)↗
DOE OSTI2026

Evaluating ecosystem water use efficiency under drought stress: a case study of the Helan Mountain region, northwest China

Context Water use efficiency (WUE) is a fundamental ecological indicator links carbon assimilation and water loss in terrestrial ecosystems. Understanding its responses to drought stress is essential for adaptive ecosystem management, particularly in climate-sensitive mountain landscapes. Objectives This study aimed to investigate drought-driven variations in WUE across major vegetation types in the Helan Mountain region of Northwest China. Specifically, we sought to identify dominant ecological drivers of WUE variability and to disentangle their relative importance and causal pathways. Methods We quantified WUE using the Moderate Resolution Imaging Spectroradiometer (MODIS) products and the Drought Severity Index (DSI) data from 2001 to 2020. To examine WUE – drought relationships across contrasting vegetation types, we employed a spatially explicit analytical framework integrating Random Forest (RF) modeling, partial correlation analysis, and structural equation modeling (SEM). Results Regional WUE exhibited relatively stable interannual dynamics, yet pronounced spatial heterogeneity that was strongly modulated by drought conditions. Vegetation properties, particularly Leaf Area Index (LAI) and Normalized Difference Vegetation Index (NDVI), emerged as the dominant determinants of WUE, with NDVI alone explaining over 20% of its spatial variance in forest and grassland during non-drought periods. SEM analyses revealed that climate forcing influenced WUE mainly through indirect pathways mediated by soil moisture availability and vegetation structural dynamics, rather than through direct climatic controls. Among all regulating factors, LAI acted as the central control node governing ecosystem carbon–water coupling. In contrast, short-term climatic stress, especially atmospheric demand and drought duration, exerted weak or negative direct effects on WUE. Ecosystem-specific responses were observed, with croplands mainly regulated by soil water availability, whereas forests and grasslands showed more sensitive to atmospheric drought stress. Together, these results reveal a hierarchical control framework where soil–vegetation interactions mediate climate impacts on WUE, driving strong spatial heterogeneity in drought responses across mountain landscapes. Conclusions Our findings highlight the pivotal role of indirect drought effects mediated by vegetation and soil processes in shaping ecosystem WUE. The identified soil–vegetation–climate regulatory hierarchy provides mechanistic insight into landscape–scale drought sensitivity and supports integrated modeling approaches for evaluating ecosystem resilience and sustainable management in arid mountain regions.

China↗
DOE OSTI2025

Explaining word embeddings with perfect fidelity: a case study in predicting research impact

The best-performing approaches for scholarly document quality prediction are based on embedding models. In addition to their performance when used in classifiers, embedding models can also provide predictions even for words that were not contained in the labelled training data for the classification model, which is important in the context of the ever-evolving research terminology. Although model-agnostic explanation methods, such as Local interpretable model-agnostic explanations, can be applied to explain machine learning classifiers trained on embedding models, these produce results with questionable correspondence to the model. We introduce a new feature importance method, Self-Model Entities Rated (SMER), for logistic regression-based classification models trained on word embeddings. We show that SMER has theoretically perfect fidelity with the explained model, as the average of logits of SMER scores for individual words (SMER explanation) exactly corresponds to the logit of the prediction of the explained model. Quantitative and qualitative evaluation is performed through five diverse experiments conducted on 50,000 research articles (papers) from the CORD-19 corpus. In conclusion, through an AOPC curve analysis, we experimentally demonstrate that SMER produces better explanations than LIME, SHAP and global tree surrogates.

Coarse-grained models↗
DOE OSTI2025

Nonpigmented PsbR is involved in the integrity of excitation landscape in higher plant photosystem II, a case study in Arabidopsis thaliana and a mutant

PsbR is a nonpigmented 10 kDa protein in Photosystem II (PSII) in algae and plants. A recent structural study clarified its enigmatic structural location in a Photosystem II megacomplex that has baffled the community for more than four decades. Our current study interrogates whether absence of PsbR affects the overall dynamics of excitation energy migration within light harvesting complexes (LHC) and PSII super assemblies using highly-active PSII membrane particles, so-called BBY particles, isolated from a PsbR deletion mutant (ΔPsbR) of Arabidopsis thaliana. A femto-second (fs)-time-resolved transient absorption experimentation recorded at 77 K with selective excitation of Chl b which is exclusively present in LHCs enabled us to resolve the temporal differences in LHC→LHC and LHC→PSII excitation energy transfer steps. By applying specific target spectro-kinetic models to the transient absorption datasets, we demonstrated that the time constants of Chl a LHC → Chl a LHC excitation transfer significantly elongates in the ΔPsbR LHC-PSII particles, suggestive of the decreased aggregation level of photosynthetic proteins in the mutant. These findings highlight excitation energy transfer integrity in LHC-PSII assembly is not only determined by the pigmented light-harvesting complexes, but also synergistically by the nonpigmented PSII components. Furthermore, the disturbed integrity in dynamics of excitation energy transfer pathway within LHC-PSII supercomplex is discussed in the context of the altered LHC-PSII megacomplexes type I and II architectures which result from the absence of the PsbR protein in higher plant PSII.

Chlorophyll↗
DOE OSTI2025

Scalable training of trustworthy and energy-efficient predictive graph foundation models for atomistic materials modeling: a case study with HydraGNN

We present our work on developing and training scalable, trustworthy, and energy-efficient predictive graph foundation models (GFMs) using HydraGNN, a multi-headed graph convolutional neural network architecture. HydraGNN expands the boundaries of graph neural network (GNN) computations in both training scale and data diversity. It abstracts over message passing algorithms, allowing both reproduction of and comparison across algorithmic innovations that define nearest-neighbor convolution in GNNs. This work discusses a series of optimizations that have allowed scaling up the GFMs training to tens of thousands of GPUs on datasets consisting of hundreds of millions of graphs. Our GFMs use multitask learning (MTL) to simultaneously learn graph-level and node-level properties of atomistic structures, such as energy and atomic forces. Using over 154 million atomistic structures for training, we illustrate the performance of our approach along with the lessons learned on two state-of-the-art US Department of Energy (US-DOE) supercomputers, namely the Perlmutter petascale system at the National Energy Research Scientific Computing Center and the Frontier exascale system at Oak Ridge Leadership Computing Facility. The HydraGNN architecture enables the GFM to achieve near-linear strong scaling performance using more than 2000 GPUs on Perlmutter and 16,000 GPUs on Frontier.

97 MATHEMATICS AND COMPUTING↗
DOE OSTI2021

Evaluating the energy impact potential of energy efficiency measures for retrofit applications: A case study with U.S. medium office buildings

Quantifying the energy savings of various energy efficiency measures (EEMs) for an energy retrofit project often necessitates an energy audit and detailed whole building energy modeling to evaluate the EEMs; however, this is often cost-prohibitive for small and medium buildings. In order to provide a defined guideline for projects with assumed common baseline characteristics, this paper applies a sensitivity analysis method to evaluate the impact of individual EEMs and groups these into packages to produce deep energy savings for a sample prototype medium office building across 15 climate zones in the United States. We start with one baseline model for each climate zone and nine candidate EEMs with a range of efficiency levels for each EEM. Three energy performance indicators (EPIs) are defined, which are annual electricity use intensity, annual natural gas use intensity, and annual energy cost. Then, a Standard Regression Coefficient (SRC) sensitivity analysis method is applied to determine the sensitivity of each EEM with respect to the three EPIs, and the relative sensitivity of all EEMs are calculated to evaluate their energy impacts. For the selected range of efficiency levels, the results indicate that the EEMs with higher energy impacts (i.e., higher sensitivity) in most climate zones are high-performance windows, reduced interior lighting power, and reduced interior plug and process loads. However, the sensitivity of the EEMs also vary by climate zone and EPI; for example, improved opaque envelope insulation and efficiency of cooling and heating systems are found to have a high energy impact in cold and hot climates.

32 ENERGY CONSERVATION, CONSUMPTION, AND UTILIZATI↗
DOE OSTI2022

Developing occupant archetypes within urban low-income housing: A case study in Mumbai, India

Rapid urbanization pressure and poverty have created a push for affordable housing within the global south. The design of affordable housing can have consequences on the thermal (dis)comfort and behaviour of the occupants, hence requiring an occupant-centric approach to ensure sustainability. This paper investigates occupant behaviour within the urban poor households of Mumbai, India and its impact on their thermal comfort and energy use. This study is a first-of-its-kind attempt to explore the socio-demographic characteristics and energy-related behaviour of low-income occupants within Indian context. Three occupant archetypes, Indifferent Consumers; Considerate Savers; and Conscious Conventionals, were identified from the behavioural and psychographic characteristics gathered through a transverse field survey. A two-step clustering approach was adopted for occupant segmentation that highlighted considerable diversity in occupants’ adaptation measures, energy knowledge, energy habits, and their pro-environmental behaviour within similar socio-economic group. Building energy simulation of the representative archetype behaviour estimated up to 37% variations for air-conditioned and up to 8% variation for fan-assisted naturally ventilated housing units during peak summer months. The results from this study establish the significance of occupant factors in shaping energy demand and thermal comfort within low-income housing and pave way for developing occupant-centric building design strategies to serve this marginalized population. The developed low-income occupant archetypes would be useful for architects and energy modelers to generate realistic energy use profiles and improve building performance simulation results.

32 ENERGY CONSERVATION, CONSUMPTION, AND UTILIZATI↗
DOE OSTI2020

Using yttrium as an indicator to estimate total rare earth element concentration: a case study of anthracite-associated clays from northeastern Pennsylvania

Abstract This study demonstrated using yttrium (Y) as an indicator to estimate the total rare earth element and Y contents (REY) in coal-associated samples and to facilitate selection of samples with high REY assays in a fast and inexpensive manner. More than 10 anthracite-associated samples were collected from each of three Pennsylvanian sites (sites B, J and C) based on Thorium gamma ray logging suggesting high REY content. Several samples from each site were analyzed by ICP-MS to determine the rare earth distribution patterns and to establish the site-specific linear equations of Y and REY. The Y contents of the remaining samples were measured by a portable X-ray fluorescence analyzer, and the REY values were estimated based on the site-specific linear equation developed earlier. R-squared values above 0.70 were obtained for all the estimation equations from all three sites on both a whole sample basis and an ash basis. Previously, ash content has been widely used as an indicator of high REY content. This may not be applicable for a specific site. Site B in this study is an example where ash contents could not be statistically correlated with REY, so using Y for estimation is more applicable. The demonstrated sample screening process is suitable for samples from sites that share more similar distribution patterns (either MREY or LREY or HREY) as well as for samples from sites that share multiple distribution patterns (LREY/MREY/HREY) depending on the desirable accuracy. The demonstrated process lowers the analytical cost from $70 to 80 dollars per sample to $10–15 per sample while significantly reducing the processing time and acid consumption for ICP digestion. This is particularly true when a relatively large sample size is involved, for example, 100 samples from one site analyzed by ICP-MS/OES.

Yang, Xiaojing↗
DOE OSTI2024

Mineral and fluid transformation of hydraulically fractured shale: case study of Caney Shale in Southern Oklahoma

This study explores the geochemical reactions that can cause permeability loss in hydraulically fractured reservoirs. The experiments involved the reaction of powdered-rock samples with produced brines in batch reactor system at temperature of 95 °C and atmospheric pressure for 7-days and 30-days respectively. Results show changes in mineralogy and chemistry of rock and fluid samples respectively, therefore confirming chemical reactions between the two during the experiments. The mineralogical changes of the rock included decreases of pyrite and feldspar content, whilst carbonate and illite content showed an initial stability and increase respectively before decreasing. Results from analyses of post-reaction fluids generally corroborate the results obtained from mineralogical analyses. Integrating the results obtained from both rocks and fluids reveal a complex trend of reactions between rock and fluid samples which is summarized as follows. Dissolution of pyrite by oxygenated fluid causes transient and localized acidity which triggers the dissolution of feldspar, carbonates, and other minerals susceptible to dissolution under acidic conditions. The dissolution of minerals releases high concentrations of ions, some of which subsequently precipitate secondary minerals. On the field scale, the formation of secondary minerals in the pores and flow paths of hydrocarbons can cause significant reduction in the permeability of the reservoir, which will culminate in rapid productivity decline. This study provides an understanding of the geochemical rock–fluid reactions that impact long term permeability of shale reservoirs.

58 GEOSCIENCES↗
DOE OSTI2022

Plant metacaspase: A case study of microcrystal structure determination and analysis

Metacaspases are highly conserved in plants and play essential roles in mediating programmed cell death, biotic and abiotic stress responses, and damage-induced innate immunity. Ca 2+ signaling induced by plant damage leads to activation of metacaspase from Arabidopsis thaliana (AtMC4), which subsequently processes a plant elicitor peptide to trigger downstream immuno-response. To understand the structural basis of AtMC4 activation by Ca 2+ , we previously determined its crystal structure and performed in-crystal Ca 2+ treatment to probe activation-associated conformational changes. To enable structure determination and in-crystal Ca 2+ activation analysis, we used microcrystals and related methods which were essential for our successful approach. Here, in this paper, we describe in detail the methods that we used for determination of AtMC4 structure using single-wavelength isomorphous replacement with anomalous signals assembled from 22 microcrystals. We also describe the method for in-crystal Ca 2+ soaking, microcrystal data collection, data assembly and analysis to obtain the activated structure of AtMC4 from 91 micro-sized crystals. The described methods may be useful to study other plant metacaspases and more broadly other plant enzymes for their structure determination and in-crystal functional characterization.

59 BASIC BIOLOGICAL SCIENCES↗
DOE OSTI2020

Revisit the VEC rule in high entropy alloys (HEAs) with high-throughput CALPHAD approach and its applications for material design-A case study with Al–Co–Cr–Fe–Ni system

Valence electron concentration (VEC) was treated as a useful parameter to predict solid solution phases, and the VEC rule was proposed for high entropy alloys (HEAs). However, this empirical rule has its limitations, which restricts its applications for phase predictions in HEAs. In this paper, we revisited the empirical VEC rule with the HT-CALPHAD approach in the Al–Co–Cr–Fe–Ni system. Our investigation showed that more than 90% compositions are observed to have BCC structures when 5.7≤VEC≤7.2 and we got 100% FCC structures when VEC≥8.4. Meanwhile, we proposed a data screening procedure to classify and discover the new HEAs. The concepts of average density (ρHEA), highest BCC/FCC temperatures ($T$ $^{max}_{BCC/FCC}$), and temperature ranges (ΔT BCC/FCC ) were introduced as useful data screening criteria to down-screen the candidate alloy compositions for specific engineering applications. In the current work, we have identified three HEA categories (refractory BCC HEAs, light-weight BCC HEA and refractory FCC HEAs) in the Al–Co–Cr–Fe–Ni system and proposed the best candidate in each group. Here, our investigation showed the HEA non-equiatomic composition space provides ample opportunities for the discovery of the next-generation HEAs.

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗