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At least 487 records · Page 27

Induced seismicity red-light thresholds for enhanced geothermal prospects in the Netherlands

Prospects for geothermal energy in the Netherlands have renewed concerns around induced earthquakes. Risks from induced earthquakes are managed by traffic light protocols (TLPs), where the red-light is chosen as the stop-point before exceeding a tolerance to risk. Here, we simulate post-shut-in earthquake scenarios based on realistic information for the Netherlands. We focus on three risk metrics: aggregates like nuisance and damage impacts and also local personal risk (LPR) – a likelihood of building collapse fatality for an individual. Our results show that the severity of these risks varies spatially by orders of magnitude. Prior induced seismicity (e.g., the 2012 Huizinge event) provides a reference baseline to calibrate the Dutch earthquake risk tolerances. We find that these calibrated risk tolerances are similar to those observed in North America, suggesting an underlying sociological ‘license to operate.’ Furthermore, the use of calibrated risk tolerances results in nuisance concerns completely eclipsing the other two metrics. We compare our results to a hypothetical Groningen geothermal operation and find that our approach sets red-light thresholds approximately one magnitude unit below the ML 3.6 Huizinge event. Overall, our results provide a first-order recommendation for red-light thresholds and proactive management of Dutch enhanced geothermal induced seismicity.

15 GEOTHERMAL ENERGY↗

Rapid preparation of nanodiscs for biophysical studies

Nanodiscs, which are disc-shaped entities that contain a central lipid bilayer encased by an annulus of amphipathic helices, have emerged as a leading native-like membrane mimic. The current approach for the formation of nanodiscs involves the creation of a mixed-micellar solution containing membrane scaffold protein, lipid, and detergent followed by a time consuming process (3–12 h) of dialysis and/or incubation with sorptive beads to remove the detergent molecules from the sample. In contrast, the methodology described herein provides a facile and rapid procedure for the preparation of nanodiscs in a matter of minutes (<15 min) using Sephadex® G-25 resin to remove the detergent from the sample. A panoply of biophysical techniques including analytical ultracentrifugation, dynamic light scattering, gel filtration chromatography, circular dichroism spectroscopy, and cryogenic electron microscopy were employed to unequivocally confirm that aggregates formed by this method are indeed nanodiscs. We believe that this method will be attractive for time-sensitive and high-throughput experiments.

59 BASIC BIOLOGICAL SCIENCES↗

MOSIQS: Persistent Memory Object Storage With Metadata Indexing and Querying for Scientific Computing

Scientific applications often require high-bandwidth shared storage to perform joint simulations and collaborative data analytics. Shared memory pools provide a chance to satisfy such needs. Recently, a high-speed network such as Gen-Z utilizing persistent memory (PM) offers an opportunity to create a shared memory pool connected to compute nodes. However, there are several challenges to use scientific applications on the shared memory pool directly such as scalability, failure-atomicity, and lack of scientific metadata-based search and query. In this paper, we propose MOSIQS, a persistent memory object storage framework with metadata indexing and querying for scientific computing. We design MOSIQS based on the key idea that memory objects on PM pool can live beyond the application lifetime and can become the sharing currency for applications and scientists. MOSIQS provides an aggregate memory pool atop an array of persistent memory devices to store and access memory objects to accelerate scientific computing. MOSIQS uses a lightweight persistent memory key-value store to manage the metadata of memory objects, which enables memory object sharing. To facilitate metadata search and query over millions of memory objects resident on memory pool, we introduce Group Split and Merge (GSM), a novel persistent index data structure designed primarily for scientific datasets. GSM splits and merges dynamically to minimize the query search space and maintains low query processing time while overcoming the index storage overhead. MOSIQS is implemented on top of PMDK. We evaluate the proposed approach on many-core server with an array of real PM devices. Experimental results show that MOSIQS gains a 100% write performance improvement and executes multi-attribute queries efficiently with 2.7× less index storage overhead offering significant potential to speed up scientific computing applications.

97 MATHEMATICS AND COMPUTING↗

Game Theory Approaches for System-level Incentive Design

This report presents a generalized Stackelberg game framework for designing and evaluating financial incentives that enhance power system resilience through strategic deployment of distributed energy resources(DERs) under various contingencies. The proposed approach addresses the challenge of coordinating individual community investment decisions to meet system-wide resilience objectives. The framework is demonstrated in a three-community test system subjected to two transmission contingency scenarios: inter-community line failure (Case 1) and complete main grid disconnection (Case 2). In both cases, three incentive levels are compared: a Base case with no financial incentives, and low and high incentive cases. In Case 1, the Base case (no incentives) results in a total installed DER capacity of 217.2 MW, with no load shedding due to alternative routing, but community costs remain high. Increasing incentives raises DER deployment to 286.9 MW, lowers aggregate community costs by $22M annually, and completely avoids the need for costly new transmission line construction. In Case 2, the Base case results in 24.3 MWh of unserved load; introducing incentives eliminates all load shedding and ensures up to 89 MWh of battery storage is available for emergency reserve. These results demonstrate that targeted incentives can dramatically improve grid resilience and cost-effectiveness. The framework thus offers policymakers and system planners a robust tool to quantify and compare the effectiveness of incentive programs for multi-community transmission networks behavior, system resilience, and economic efficiency.

24 POWER TRANSMISSION AND DISTRIBUTION↗

A Kinetic Monte Carlo Approach for Simulating Cascading Transmission Line Failure

In this work, cascading transmission line failures are studied through a dynamical model of the power system operating under fixed conditions. The power grid is modeled as a stochastic dynamical system where first-principles electromechanical dynamics are excited by small Gaussian disturbances in demand and generation around a specified operating point. In this context, a single line failure is interpreted in a large deviation context as a first escape event across a surface in phase space defined by line security constraints. The resulting system of stochastic differential equations admits a transverse decomposition of the drift, which leads to considerable simplification in evaluating the quasipotential (rate function) and, consequently, computation of exit rates. Tractable expressions for the rate of transmission line failure in a restricted network are derived from large deviation theory arguments and validated against numerical simulations. Extensions to realistic settings are considered, and individual line failure models are aggregated into a Markov model of cascading failure inspired by chemical kinetics. Cascades are generated by traversing a graph composed of weighted edges representing transitions to degraded network topologies. Numerical results indicate that the Markov model can produce cascades with qualitative power-law properties similar to those observed in empirical cascades.

Kinetic Monte Carlo, rare events, Cascading Failur↗

Structural Reorganization of Noncellulosic Polymers Observed In Situ during Dilute Acid Pretreatment by Small-Angle Neutron Scattering

Production of second-generation bioethanol from lignocellulosic biomass requires pretreatment to open the plant cell wall structure and improve enzyme access. Many different thermochemical pretreatments have been extensively developed and employed, but the exact nature of plant cell wall recalcitrance and the most efficient and economical approach to alter plant cell wall structure via pretreatment still remain elusive. In order to understand the role of noncellulosic switchgrass polymers on the overall efficiency of pretreatment, the structural evolution of the noncellulosic polymers of the plant cell wall were investigated during dilute acid pretreatment (DAP) by employing in-situ small-angle neutron scattering (in-situ SANS). In this study, we observed real-time structural changes not possible to observe by any other technique. To deconvolute the structural evolution of lignin and hemicellulose polymers during DAP, native switchgrass (NATV), and isolated holocellulose (HOLO) and cellulose (CELL) fractions from NATV were studied. Our results show that aggregate particles first appear around 80 °C for NATV and HOLO samples. Further, due to the low temperature and pretreatment severity condition, these particles are likely derived from hemicellulose. The formations of much larger aggregate particles, only observed in the NATV sample, were attributed to lignin. For the HOLO sample, as the temperature and pretreatment severity condition increased, hemicellulose-derived aggregate particle sizes increased, suggesting this process was the nucleation and early stage formation of pseudolignin particles. Consistent with our interpretation of structural evolutions in NATV and HOLO samples, no formation of aggregate particles was observed in CELL samples for the entire duration of the pretreatment. These results suggest that not only lignin but also hemicellulose can form aggregate particles within plant cell walls during pretreatment.

37 INORGANIC, ORGANIC, PHYSICAL, AND ANALYTICAL CH↗

Elucidating the formation mechanisms of zeolites using data-driven modelling and in-situ characterization

Zeolites are the main solid catalysts used by the chemical industry. The use of zeolites in separations and as shape selective catalysts requires control of the width and connectivity of their pores. 235 distinct zeolite frameworks have been synthesized to date, of over 2 million that have been proposed. Recent work indicates that the limitation is in large part kinetic: new synthetic pathways are required to access new zeolites. Organic cations are used to direct the synthesis towards specific zeolites. However, the molecular mechanisms by which cations direct the nucleation towards specific zeolites is not known. Elucidating these mechanisms is key to realize new zeolites for catalysis and separations, and is the focus of this project. This project developed and implemented a synergistic, data-driven computational and experimental approach to resolve the molecular pathways of nucleation, growth, and polymorph selection of zeolites and the role of organic cations in directing their formation. The project developed computationally efficient and accurate models for the study of the nucleation and growth of pure silica zeolites in molecular simulations, using machine learning with data from experiments. Simulations with these models were integrated with scanning tunneling electron microscopy, computer vision, and deep learning to unveil the molecular pathways of formation of a zeolite. Of particular interest in this project was to elucidate the role of amorphous precursors in the nucleation of the zeolite. Previous experiments indicate that zeolites are born within non-crystalline aggregates in which the silicates and organic cations have local and medium range order similar to that of the zeolite. The organic cations that direct the formation of zeolites and those that direct the formation of ordered mesoporous silicas are similar. We hypothesized that the frustrated attraction that for large organic cations leads to the formation of stable mesophases that direct the synthesis of mesoporous silicas, could promote the formation of metastable mesophases that can assist in the nucleation and polymorph selection of zeolites. The simulations resolved how structure directing agents build crystalline order and showed that mesoscopic pre-ordering occurs is not required to facilitate the nucleation of zeolites, because the synthesis occurs at high driving forces, where the barriers for nucleation are negligible. This project unveiled that polymorph selection in zeolite synthesis occurs after nucleation, opening a distinct area of control through the kinetics of growth and not through nucleation barriers.

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗

High-temperature 2D ferromagnetism in conjugated microporous porphyrin-type polymers

The need for magnetic 2D materials that are stable to the enviroment and have high Curie temperatures is very important for various electronic and spintronic applications. We have found that two-dimensional porphyrin-type aza-conjugated microporous polymer crystals are such a material (Fe-aza-CMPs). Fe-aza-CMPs are stable to CO, CO 2 , and O 2 atmospheres and show unusual adsorption, electronic, and magnetic properties. Indeed, they are semiconductors with small energy band gaps ranging from 0.27 eV to 0.626 eV. CO, CO 2 , and O 2 molecules can be attached in three different ways where single, double, or triple molecules are bound to iron atoms in Fe-aza-CMPs. For different attachment configurations we find that for CO and CO 2 a uniform distribution of the molecules is most energetically favorable while for O 2 molecules aggregation is most energetically preferable. The magnetic moments decrease from 4 to 2 to 0 for singly, doubly, triply occupied configurations for all gasses respectively. The most interesting magnetic properties are found for O 2 molecules attached to the Fe-aza-CMP. For a single attachment configuration we find that an antiferromagnetic state is favorable. When two O 2 molecules are attached, the calculations show the highest exchange integral with a value of J = 1071 μeV. This value has been verified by two independent methods where in the first method J is calculated by the energy difference between ferromagnetic and anitferromagnetic configurations. The second method is based on the frozen magnon approach where the magnon dispersion curve has been fitted by the Ising model. Finally, for the second method J has been estimated at J = 1100 μeV in excellent agreement with the first method.

37 INORGANIC, ORGANIC, PHYSICAL, AND ANALYTICAL CH↗

A Customizable Metric to Provide a Comprehensive Picture of the Mobility Potential of a Location

Accessibility in a geo-spatial context refers to the ease of reaching a variety of opportunities from a given location. Accessibility theories (and resulting metrics) have traditionally focused on quantifying access to specific opportunities (such as jobs), or focused on specific modes (such as car, bike, etc.). Such approaches often fall short of providing a comprehensive picture of the true accessibility potential of a location as a combination of multiple modes to multiple types of destinations. Addressing this drawback, a novel metric labeled the ‘Mobility Energy Productivity (MEP) Metric’ was developed at the National Renewable Energy Laboratory to quantify the mobility potential of a location to connect people to goods, services, and employment using a variety of modes, while accounting for time, energy, and affordability. The MEP metric has been integrated with advance travel behavior models to compute the changes in mobility potential for various future scenarios, such as introduction of automated vehicles, and/or electric vehicles—but does so at the aggregate, or average-citizen level. The MEP in its initial iteration is not customized to the particular socio-economic contingents, or even to an individual whose modal availability or pattern of trip making may substantially differ from the average. Addressing this gap, this research effort extends the MEP framework from a static state to a more tailored and dynamic state, one in which an individual, or group can customize the metric for their unique characteristics, such as modes, activity patterns, and time-of-day preferences. The extended MEP metric framework can now be integrated to assess the customized mobility energy productivity of an individual.

ADVANCED PROPULSION SYSTEMS,ENERGY PLANNING, POLIC↗

The Cost of Saving Electricity: A Multi-Program Cost Curve for Programs Funded by U.S. Utility Customers

This study analyzed the cost performance of electricity efficiency programs implemented by 116 investor-owned utilities between 2009 and 2015 in 41 states, representing about three-quarters of the total spending on U.S. efficiency programs. We applied our typology to characterize efficiency programs along several dimensions (market sector, technology, delivery approach, and intervention strategy) and report the costs incurred by utilities and other program administrators to achieve electricity savings as a result of the programs. Such cost performance data can be used to compare relative costs of different types of efficiency programs, evaluate efficiency options alongside other electricity resources, benchmark local efficiency programs against regional and national cost estimates, and assess the costs of meeting state efficiency policies. The savings-weighted average cost of saved electricity for the period was $0.025/kilowatt-hour (kWh). The cost of saved electricity for programs that targeted residential customers was $0.021/kWh, compared to $0.025/kWh for programs for commercial and industrial customers. Ultimately, we developed an aggregate program savings “cost curve” for the actual electricity efficiency resource during the period that provides insights into the relative costs of various types of efficiency programs and the savings contribution of each program type to the efficiency resource at a national level.

29 ENERGY PLANNING, POLICY, AND ECONOMY↗

Simulation of PV Variability as a Function of PV Generation and Plant Size: Preprint

The deployment of photovoltaic (PV) systems continues to show significant expansion; however, this growth has brought added attention to issues around the variability of the solar resource. Both spatial and temporal variability exist. Temporal scales can range from the sub-second to multiyear, whereas spatial scales can range from a few meters to tens of kilometers. There are multiple methods described in the literature to quantify PV variability at various spatial and temporal scales. This study focuses on short-term temporal variability and uses similar approaches with the addition of PV plant size a parameter to quantify variability. The method employed here incorporates the normalization of clear- and cloudy-sky conditions and PV plant size to quantify nominal variability metrics. The distribution and fluctuations of these metrics provide relevant information that is useful for system operations. The National Solar Radiation Database (NSRDB) is used to simulate PV variability as a function of PV generation and plant size. Hypothetical but realistic system information at 33 locations is used to model PV generation by feeding NSRDB solar irradiance data to the National Renewable Energy Laboratory’s System Advisor Model (SAM). Over the selected region, it is found that the aggregated ramp rates for the 1-minute data are associated with standard deviations ranging from 0.002–0.055 on a daily basis; however, hourly intervals induce higher aggregated ramp rates than the other timescales. Even though minute-to-minute variations are significant for the 1-minute timescale, the standard deviation aggregated into a daily metric is smaller because of the cancellation of values.

41 EE - Solar Energy Technologies Office (EE-4S)↗

Simulation of PV Variability as a Function of PV Generation and Plant Size

The deployment of photovoltaic (PV) systems continues to show significant expansion; however, this growth has brought added attention to issues around the variability of the solar resource. Both spatial and temporal variability exist. Temporal scales can range from the sub-second to multiyear, whereas spatial scales can range from a few meters to tens of kilometers. There are multiple methods described in the literature to quantify PV variability at various spatial and temporal scales. This study focuses on short-term temporal variability and uses similar approaches with the addition of PV plant size a parameter to quantify variability. The method employed here incorporates the normalization of clear-and cloudy-sky conditions and PV plant size to quantify nominal variability metrics. The distribution and fluctuations of these metrics provide relevant information that is useful for system operations. The National Solar Radiation Database (NSRDB) is used to simulate PV variability as a function of PV generation and plant size. Hypothetical but realistic system information at 33 locations is used to model PV generation by feeding NSRDB solar irradiance data to the National Renewable Energy Laboratory’s System Advisor Model (SAM). Over the selected region, it is found that the aggregated ramp rates for the 1-minute data are associated with standard deviations ranging from 0.002–0.055 on a daily basis; however, hourly intervals induce higher aggregated ramp rates than the other timescales. Even though minute-to-minute variations are significant for the 1-minute time-scale, the standard deviation aggregated into a daily metric is smaller because of the cancellation of values.

irradiance↗

Influence of substrate composition on size and chemical state of ion beam synthesised Co nanoparticles – Towards fabrication of electrodes for energy devices

A one-step approach to synthesize ultrafine transition metal particles (size < 5 nm) in carbon substrates is highly desirable for fabricating electrodes for energy devices. Herein, cobalt ion implantation into amorphous carbon films (a:C) and hydrogenated amorphous carbon films (a:CH) was explored, with the aim of synthesizing ultrafine metallic cobalt nanoparticles at room temperature. Co ions of 30 keV energy were implanted into the carbon films to achieve a Co areal density of 1.0 ± 0.1 × 10 17 atoms cm -2 . Rutherford backscattering measurements revealed that hydrogenated amorphous carbon films gave a broader Co depth distribution compared to the amorphous carbon films. Further, cross-sectional TEM analysis revealed that hydrogenated carbon films suppressed metallic Co nanoparticle aggregation, leading to the creation of ultrafine Co nanoparticles (size < 5 nm). Co L-edge X-ray absorption spectroscopy measurements confirmed the formation of predominantly metallic Co nanoparticles by ion implantation. Results conclusively demonstrate that the presence of hydrogen (~ 28 at%) in the carbon matrix facilitates the synthesis of ultrafine metallic Co nanoparticles during Co ion implantation.

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗

Probing Molecular Assembly of Small Organic Molecules during Meniscus-Guided Coating Using Experimental and Molecular Dynamics Approaches

Evaporation-based thin-film coating processes are ubiquitous in fields such as organic electronics, dye coatings, and the pharmaceutical industry. Based on experimental observations of enhanced thin-film alignment during meniscus-guided coating (MGC), a molecular dynamics simulation was developed to describe the thin-film formation that occurs due to the interplay between evaporation and fluid dynamics. The process of solvent evaporation from solution is first examined, which leads to the formation of a solid thin film after evaporation is complete. Next, an MGC process was simulated by introducing a flow profile coupled with the evaporative system. In this work, we gain insights into how molecules respond and reorient in the presence of a flow profile. These results indicate that both the evaporation and the flow profile have an impact on orienting small molecules in a thin film during the MCG process. Combining experimental techniques with simulations helps enhance the understanding of the forces that are significant in directing molecular aggregation during coating processes.

37 INORGANIC, ORGANIC, PHYSICAL, AND ANALYTICAL CH↗

Achieving High Alignment of Conjugated Polymers by Controlled Dip-Coating

Realizing high polymer chain orientation and ordered thin-film microstructures is beneficial for efficient charge transport of conjugated polymers. However, achieving a high alignment degree remains a challenge due to the sensitive nature of polymers to the processing conditions. By simply varying concentrations during a dip-coating method, the component of polymer aggregates that adopt the planar backbones is enlarged and the ensuing assembly process is promoted. Herein, highly oriented polymer thin films of an isoindigo-based conjugated polymer (PII-2T) are prepared to enhance polymer orientation resulting in a drastic booming in carrier mobilities of organic field-effect-transistors (OFETs). The maximum mobility from aligned polymer films increases by up to 8.3 cm 2 V -1 s -1 , which is tenfold beyond the value evaluated from the unaligned direction or traditional spin-coated samples. The enhanced orientation can also reduce the adverse effects of the contact resistance and facilitate charge transport in transistors. This work demonstrates that the highly aligned conjugated polymer films can be approached by the dip-coating method while offers a latent cornerstone toward understanding the critical role of processing-related parameters in determining morphology of solution-coated thin films.

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗

Geospatial mapping of distribution grid with machine learning and publicly-accessible multi-modal data

Abstract Detailed and location-aware distribution grid information is a prerequisite for various power system applications such as renewable energy integration, wildfire risk assessment, and infrastructure planning. However, a generalizable and scalable approach to obtain such information is still lacking. In this work, we develop a machine-learning-based framework to map both overhead and underground distribution grids using widely-available multi-modal data including street view images, road networks, and building maps. Benchmarked against the utility-owned distribution grid map in California, our framework achieves > 80% precision and recall on average in the geospatial mapping of grids. The framework developed with the California data can be transferred to Sub-Saharan Africa and maintain the same level of precision without fine-tuning, demonstrating its generalizability. Furthermore, our framework achieves a R 2 of 0.63 in measuring the fraction of underground power lines at the aggregate level for estimating grid exposure to wildfires. We offer the framework as an open tool for mapping and analyzing distribution grids solely based on publicly-accessible data to support the construction and maintenance of reliable and clean energy systems around the world.

24 POWER TRANSMISSION AND DISTRIBUTION↗

A machine learning approach to emulation and biophysical parameter estimation with the Community Land Model, version 5

Abstract. Land models are essential tools for understanding and predicting terrestrial processes and climate–carbon feedbacks in the Earth system, but uncertainties in their future projections are poorly understood. Improvements in physical process realism and the representation of human influence arguably make models more comparable to reality but also increase the degrees of freedom in model configuration, leading to increased parametric uncertainty in projections. In this work we design and implement a machine learning approach to globally calibrate a subset of the parameters of the Community Land Model, version 5 (CLM5) to observations of carbon and water fluxes. We focus on parameters controlling biophysical features such as surface energy balance, hydrology, and carbon uptake. We first use parameter sensitivity simulations and a combination of objective metrics including ranked global mean sensitivity to multiple output variables and non-overlapping spatial pattern responses between parameters to narrow the parameter space and determine a subset of important CLM5 biophysical parameters for further analysis. Using a perturbed parameter ensemble, we then train a series of artificial feed-forward neural networks to emulate CLM5 output given parameter values as input. We use annual mean globally aggregated spatial variability in carbon and water fluxes as our emulation and calibration targets. Validation and out-of-sample tests are used to assess the predictive skill of the networks, and we utilize permutation feature importance and partial dependence methods to better interpret the results. The trained networks are then used to estimate global optimal parameter values with greater computational efficiency than achieved by hand tuning efforts and increased spatial scale relative to previous studies optimizing at a single site. By developing this methodology, our framework can help quantify the contribution of parameter uncertainty to overall uncertainty in land model projections.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗

Performance Evaluation of Distributed Energy Resource Management Systems Using Software- and Hardware-in-the-Loop

Distributed energy resource management systems (DERMS) are an important emerging technology for coordinating distributed energy resources (DERs) integrated in power distribution networks. These solutions implement a software platform to monitor, control, and coordinate DERs in real time to provide aggregate grid services to the electric utility or distribution system operator. To move DERMS technology forward, research and performance validation in a laboratory environment are needed to ensure proper function of DERMS prior to field deployment. This presentation presents a generic hardware-in-the-loop (HIL) platform to evaluate performance of DERMS using software-in-the-loop (SIL) and power HIL. The platform provides realistic testing in a laboratory environment, including accurate modeling of full-scale distribution systems, DERMS software controllers, and at-power distributed energy resources (DERs), such as solar and battery inverters. Two case studies are presented to demonstrate how the platform can be used independently as an integrated development and validation approach for different projects. Laboratory testing results are included to showcase the voltage regulation performance of each study and the benefits of implementing such a platform for DERMS evaluation.

DERMS↗