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At least 487 records · Page 27

Monsoon Depression Amplification by Horizontal Shear and Humidity Gradients: A Shallow Water Perspective

Transient, synoptic-scale vortices produce a large fraction of total rainfall in most monsoon regions and are often associated with extreme precipitation. However, the mechanism of their amplification remains a topic of active research. For monsoon depressions, which are the most prominent synoptic-scale vortex in the Asian–Australian monsoon, recent work has suggested that meridional gradients in zonal wind in the vortex environment may produce growth through barotropic instability, while meridional gradients in environmental humidity have also been proposed to cause amplification through coupling with precipitating convection. Here, a two-dimensional shallow water model on a sphere with parameterized precipitation is used to examine the relative role played by these two environmental gradients. By systematically varying the meridional moisture gradient and meridional wind shear for both weak, quasi-linear waves and finite-amplitude isolated vortices, we show that rotational winds in the initial vortex are amplified most strongly by meridional shear of the environmental zonal wind, while vortex precipitation rates are most sensitive to environmental moisture gradients. The growth rate in the presence of both gradients is less than the sum of growth rates in the presence of isolated gradients, as the phase relation between moisture and vorticity anomalies becomes distorted with increasing shear. In conclusion, these results suggest that background meridional gradients in both zonal wind and environmental humidity can contribute to the amplification of vortices to monsoon depression strength, but with some degree of decoupling of the dry rotational flow and the moist convection.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗

Influence of simple terrain on the spatial variability of a low-level jet and wind farm performance in the AWAKEN field campaign

In wind energy research, scientific challenges are often associated with complex terrain sites, where orography, vegetation, and buildings disrupt flow uniformity. However, even sites characterized as simple terrain can exhibit significant spatial variability in wind speed, particularly during stable boundary layers (SBLs) and low-level jets (LLJs). This study investigates these terrain interactions using both simulations and observations from the American WAKe ExperimeNt (AWAKEN). We employ a multiscale Weather Research and Forecasting (WRF) model simulation, integrating mesoscale forcing in the coarse domains and representing three rows of turbines from the King Plains wind farm as generalized actuator disks (GAD) in the large-eddy simulation (LES) domains. During a nocturnal LLJ event on 3 April 2023, the downstream, wake-affected turbine rows outperformed the upstream, unwaked row by 25 %–51 %. This counterintuitive result arises from terrain-induced streamwise variations in hub-height wind speed of approximately 4 m s −1 over 5 km – equivalent to ∼50 % of the upstream reference speed. This enhancement outweighs the wake-induced reduction in mean wind speed (∼12 %) and global blockage effects reported in the literature (∼1 %–3.4 %). The multiscale simulations capture the intra-farm spatial variability in power performance observed in SCADA data. Terrain-induced vertical displacement of the LLJ, coupled with large wind shear below the jet maximum, drives the substantial streamwise acceleration within the wind farm. These findings underscore the importance of accounting for spatial variability related to terrain, even in simple landscapes, particularly during LLJ conditions. Incorporating such effects into reduced-order modeling frameworks for wind farm design and control could significantly enhance their effectiveness.

17 WIND ENERGY↗

Zonal and meridional circulation of the lower atmosphere of Venus determined by radio interferometry

The results of the Pioneer Venus differential long-baseline interferometry experiment are presented. The velocity component of the Pioneer probes as they fell to the surface of Venus was calculated from the Doppler shift of the received signal, and the other two orthogonal components were determined by long-baseline interferometry. The ambient wind velocity was about 1 m/s or less near the surface of the planet and about 100 m/s at an altitude of about 65 km at all four probe locations. Strata of high wind shear were found at altitudes of 15, 45, and 60 km. The wind velocity was always directed within a few degrees of due west except at a few km above the surface. The dominant motion of the lower atmosphere seems to be a retrograde zonal rotation, and eddies appear to account for most of the instantaneous meridional velocity. The data suggest that, within the clouds, a thermally driven mean meridional circulation is superimposed upon the much more rapid zonal rotation.

Counselman, C. C., III↗

Addressing Critical Knowledge Gaps on Wildland Fires with UAS Technology

To better predict and respond to extreme fire behavior, wind shear, and superheated gases, there is a need for enhanced tactical microclimate wind forecasting. Collecting real-time or near-real-time three-dimensional atmospheric data during wildland fire suppression is vital for both ground firefighters and aviation safety. The use of balloons for soundings is not allowed due to aircraft operations, so new technology must be used. To address this need, the NASA FireSense Project has invested in co-developing and transitioning advanced technologies for atmospheric data collection to operational platforms to support decisions for wildland fire management. One of these technology investments has been with Uninhabited Aerial Systems (UAS) for atmospheric soundings. In collaboration with MITRE Corporation, a technology demonstration of Uninhabited Aerial Systems (UAS) for atmospheric soundings was held in Missoula, MT. This demonstration featured a NASA-designed payload on a Freefly Alta-X UAS, consistent with USFS UAS operations, balloon-borne soundings for data validation, and microscale modeling efforts. Results of this effort will be presented including comparison of forecasted conditions to data collection values as well as the impact on forecasts given real-time mixing heights and dispersion levels.

Jennifer Fowler↗

The Power Curve Working Group's assessment of wind turbine power performance prediction methods

Wind turbine power production deviates from the reference power curve in real-world atmospheric conditions. Correctly predicting turbine power performance requires models to be validated for a wide range of wind turbines using inflow in different locations. The Share-3 exercise is the most recent intelligence-sharing exercise of the Power Curve Working Group, which aims to advance the modeling of turbine performance. The goal of the exercise is to search for modeling methods that reduce error and uncertainty in power prediction when wind shear and turbulence digress from design conditions. Herein, we analyze data from 55 wind turbine power performance tests from nine contributing organizations with statistical tests to quantify the skills of the prediction-correction methods. We assess the accuracy and precision of four proposed trial methods against the baseline method, which uses the conventional definition of a power curve with wind speed and air density at hub height. The trial methods reduce power-production prediction errors compared to the baseline method at high wind speeds, which contribute heavily to power production; however, the trial methods fail to significantly reduce prediction uncertainty in most meteorological conditions. For the meteorological conditions when a wind turbine produces less than the power its reference power curve suggests, using power deviation matrices leads to more accurate power prediction. We also determine that for more than half of the submissions, the data set has a large influence on the effectiveness of a trial method. Overall, this work affirms the value of data-sharing efforts in advancing power curve modeling and establishes the groundwork for future collaborations.

17 WIND ENERGY↗

Wind profile estimation from point to point laser distortion data

The author's results on the problem of using laser distortion data to estimate the wind profile along the path of the beam are presented. A new model for the dynamics of the index of refraction in a non-constant wind is developed. The model agrees qualitatively with theoretical predictions for the index of refraction statistics in linear wind shear, and is approximated by the predictions of Taylor's hypothesis in constant wind. A framework for a potential in-flight experiment is presented, and the estimation problem is discussed in a maximum likelihood context.

Leland, Robert↗

Equivalent Neutral Wind

The definition of equivalent neutral wind and the rationale for using it as the geophysical product of a spaceborne scatterometer are reviewed. The differences between equivalent neutral wind and actual wind, which are caused by atmospheric density stratification, are demonstrated with measurements at selected locations. A method of computing this parameter from ship and buoy measurements is described and some common fallacies in accounting for the effects of atmospheric stratification on wind shear are discussed. The computer code for the model to derive equivalent neutral wind is provided.

Liu, W. Timothy↗

The Influence of Shear on Deep Convection Initiation. Part II: Simulations

Abstract This study evaluates a hypothesis for the role of vertical wind shear in deep convection initiation (DCI) that was introduced in Part I by examining behavior of a series of numerical simulations. The hypothesis states, “Initial moist updrafts that exceed a width and shear threshold will ‘root’ within a progressively deeper steering current with time, increase their low-level cloud-relative flow and inflow, widen, and subsequently reduce their susceptibility to entrainment-driven dilution, evolving toward a quasi-steady self-sustaining state.” A theoretical model that embodied key elements of the hypothesis was developed in Part I, and the behavior of this model was explored within a multidimensional environmental parameter space. Remarkably similar behavior is evident in the simulations studied here to that of the theoretical model, both in terms of the temporal evolution of DCI and in the sensitivity of DCI to environmental parameters. Notably, both the simulations and theoretical model experience a bifurcation in outcomes, whereby nascent clouds that are narrower than a given initial radius R 0 threshold quickly decay and those above the R 0 threshold undergo DCI. An important assumption in the theoretical model, which states that the cloud-relative flow of the background environment V CR determines cloud radius R , is scrutinized in the simulations. It is shown that storm-induced inflow is small relative to V CR beyond a few kilometers from the updraft edge, and V CR therefore plays a predominant role in transporting conditionally unstable air to the updraft. Thus, the critical role of V CR in determining R is validated.

58 GEOSCIENCES↗

The Influence of Shear on Deep Convection Initiation. Part I: Theory

Abstract This article introduces a novel hypothesis for the role of vertical wind shear (“shear”) in deep convection initiation (DCI). In this hypothesis, initial moist updrafts that exceed a width and shear threshold will “root” within a progressively deeper steering current with time, increase their low-level cloud-relative flow and inflow, widen, and subsequently reduce their susceptibility to entrainment-driven dilution, evolving toward a quasi-steady self-sustaining state. In contrast, initial updrafts that do not exceed the aforementioned thresholds experience suppressed growth by shear-induced downward pressure gradient accelerations, will not root in a deep-enough steering current to increase their inflow, will narrow with time, and will succumb to entrainment-driven dilution. In the latter case, an externally driven lifting mechanism is required to sustain deep convection, and deep convection will not persist in the absence of such lifting mechanism. A theoretical model is developed from the equations of motion to further explore this hypothesis. The model indicates that shear generally suppresses DCI, raising the initial subcloud updraft width that is necessary for it to occur. However, there is a pronounced bifurcation in updraft growth in the model after the onset of convection. Sufficiently wide initial updrafts grow and eventually achieve a steady state. In contrast, insufficiently wide initial updrafts shrink with time and eventually decay completely without external support. A sharp initial updraft radius threshold discriminates between these two outcomes. Thus, consistent with our hypothesis and observations, shear inhibits DCI in some situations, but facilitates it in others.

42 ENGINEERING↗

Survey of Workshops on Meteorological and Environmental Inputs to Aviation Systems

Various aspects of aviation meteorology are discussed with respect to their relative effects on aircraft terminal operations. Existing data on turbulence and wind shear from aircraft and towers are summarized. The significance of obtaining more real time wind and temperature information is emphasized. The application and testing of various radiometer devices are also described. Airborne methods to indicate wind differences at flight altitude and at touchdown are reported.

Frost, W.↗

The UTRC wind energy conversion system performance analysis for horizontal axis wind turbines (WECSPER)

The theory for the UTRC Energy Conversion System Performance Analysis (WECSPER) for the prediction of horizontal axis wind turbine performance is presented. Major features of the analysis are the ability to: (1) treat the wind turbine blades as lifting lines with a prescribed wake model; (2) solve for the wake-induced inflow and blade circulation using real nonlinear airfoil data; and (3) iterate internally to obtain a compatible wake transport velocity and blade loading solution. This analysis also provides an approximate treatment of wake distortions due to tower shadow or wind shear profiles. Finally, selected results of internal UTRC application of the analysis to existing wind turbines and correlation with limited test data are described.

Egolf, T. A.↗

Coherent Lidar Design and Performance Verification

This final report summarizes the investigative results from the 3 complete years of funding and corresponding publications are listed. The first year saw the verification of beam alignment for coherent Doppler lidar in space by using the surface return. The second year saw the analysis and computerized simulation of using heterodyne efficiency as an absolute measure of performance of coherent Doppler lidar. A new method was proposed to determine the estimation error for Doppler lidar wind measurements without the need for an independent wind measurement. Coherent Doppler lidar signal covariance, including wind shear and turbulence, was derived and calculated for typical atmospheric conditions. The effects of wind turbulence defined by Kolmogorov spatial statistics were investigated theoretically and with simulations. The third year saw the performance of coherent Doppler lidar in the weak signal regime determined by computer simulations using the best velocity estimators. Improved algorithms for extracting the performance of velocity estimators with wind turbulence included were also produced.

Frehlich, Rod↗

Kelvin-Helmholtz waves in the ocean

Large amplitude short waves confined near the crests of a swell have been observed when a stiff breeze was blowing against the swell. This would seem to imply the existence of both a wavelength-selective generating mechanism and a trapping mechanism, neither of which is to be expected of surface gravity waves of the observed length. It is suggested that there are significant changes in the dynamics of such waves if allowance is made for the dynamic coupling between wind and waves. For a Kelvin-Helmholtz model it is shown that energy transfer rates from the turbulent pressure fluctuations are greatly enhanced for subcritical conditions by the inclusion of the dynamic coupling. The group velocity of subcritical waves is profoundly affected, becoming infinite at the stability boundary. Thus subcritical waves could be trapped on a swell. An examination of the effects of wind shear suggest that Kelvin-Helmholtz type instability could still be present, although for stronger winds, particularly for rather longer waves.

Mahony, J. J.↗

Thermal structure and dynamics of Saturn and Jupiter

High resolution Voyager IRIS measurements for Saturn and Jupiter are assembled in meridional cross sections of the retrieved upper tropospheric temperatures. The calculated thermal wind shear in the upper troposphere is highly correlated on both planets with the cloud top winds derived from imaging data. In contrast, temperatures below approximately 300 mbar are not simply related to the zonal jet structure. The upper tropospheric temperatures seem to have been more consistently correlated with cloud top winds than with major albedo features at the time of the Voyager encounters.

Pirraglia, J. A.↗

On cloud street development in three dimensional parallel and Rayleigh instabilities

Expected orientation angles and horizontal wavelengths of boundary layer rolls or cloud streets are determined from an analysis of a truncated spectral model of three dimensional shallow moist Boussinesq convection in a shearing environment. The nonlinear secondary circulations are organized into two dimensional forms by the height dependent wind field, and these rolls may develop from the combined effects of thermal stratification and mean wind shear. The associated thermal and parallel instability mechanisms are shown to be special cases of a single one. Only one mode is found when the stratification is unstable or neutral, but a second one is possible when the stratification is weakly stable. The first corresponds to relatively broadly spaced rolls having orientations for which the Fourier component of the roll perpendicular shear is nearly zero, but the second corresponds to relatively narrowly spaced rolls having orientations for which the Fourier coefficients of both the perpendicular and the parallel components of the shear are nearly equal.

Shirer, H. N.↗

On cloud street development in three dimensions - Parallel and Rayleigh instabilities

Expected orientation angles and horizontal wavelengths of boundary layer rolls or cloud streets are determined from an analysis of a truncated spectral model of three dimensional shallow moist Boussinesq convection in a shearing environment. The nonlinear secondary circulations are organized into two dimensional forms by the height dependent wind field, and these rolls may develop from the combined effects of thermal stratification and mean wind shear. The associated thermal and parallel instability mechanisms are shown to be special cases of a single one. Only one mode is found when the stratification is unstable or neutral, but a second one is possible when the stratification is weakly stable. The first corresponds to relatively broadly spaced rolls having orientations for which the Fourier component of the roll perpendicular shear is nearly zero, but the second corresponds to relatively narrowly spaced rolls having orientations for which the Fourier coefficients of both the perpendicular and the parallel components of the shear are nearly equal.

Shirer, H. N.↗

Estimating Atmospheric Turbulence From Flight Records

Method for estimation of atmospheric turbulence encountered by airplanes utilizes wealth of data captured by multichannel digital flight-data recorders and air-traffic-control radar. Developed as part of continuing effort to understand how airplanes respond to such potentially hazardous phenomena as: clear-air turbulence generated by destabilized wind-shear layers above mountains and thunderstorms, and microbursts (intense downdrafts striking ground), associated with thunderstorms. Reconstructed wind fields used to predict and avoid future hazards.

Wingrove, R. C.↗

Study of automatic flare and decrab guidance and control system for the space shuttle

The automatic landing of an unpowered space shuttle vehicle was studied along with the design of the guidance and flight controls, selection of the ground reference component of the landing system (signals in space), and evaluation of the performance of the overall system. The study was carried out by means of an all-digital simulation which incorporated wind shears, gusts and error models for the hardware components. The performance of the landing system operating in winds and turbulence and with hardware errors was determined by Monte Carlo techniques. It was found that the interactions of turbulence and vehicle characteristics were the limiting factors on system performance. The touchdown errors due to the measurement errors of the ground reference system were less significant. The guidance designed was predictive in the longitudinal direction and fixed path in the lateral direction.

Cockayne, W.↗