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At least 487 records · Page 27

How Can TOLNet Help to Better Understand Tropospheric Ozone? A Satellite Perspective

Potential sources of a priori ozone (O3) profiles for use in Tropospheric Emissions: Monitoring of Pollution (TEMPO) satellite tropospheric O3 retrievals are evaluated with observations from multiple Tropospheric Ozone Lidar Network (TOLNet) systems in North America. An O3 profile climatology (tropopause-based O3 climatology (TB-Clim), currently proposed for use in the TEMPO O3 retrieval algorithm) derived from ozonesonde observations and O3 profiles from three separate models (operational Goddard Earth Observing System (GEOS-5) Forward Processing (FP) product, reanalysis product from Modern-Era Retrospective analysis for Research and Applications version 2 (MERRA2), and the GEOS-Chem chemical transport model (CTM)) were: 1) evaluated with TOLNet measurements on various temporal scales (seasonally, daily, hourly) and 2) implemented as a priori information in theoretical TEMPO tropospheric O3 retrievals in order to determine how each a priori impacts the accuracy of retrieved tropospheric (0-10 km) and lowermost tropospheric (LMT, 0-2 km) O3 columns. We found that all sources of a priori O3 profiles evaluated in this study generally reproduced the vertical structure of summer-averaged observations. However, larger differences between the a priori profiles and lidar observations were observed when evaluating inter-daily and diurnal variability of tropospheric O3. The TB-Clim O3 profile climatology was unable to replicate observed inter-daily and diurnal variability of O3 while model products, in particular GEOS-Chem simulations, displayed more skill in reproducing these features. Due to the ability of models, primarily the CTM used in this study, on average to capture the inter-daily and diurnal variability of tropospheric and LMT O3 columns, using a priori profiles from CTM simulations resulted in TEMPO retrievals with the best statistical comparison with lidar observations. Furthermore, important from an air quality perspective, when high LMT O3 values were observed, using CTM a priori profiles resulted in TEMPO LMT O3 retrievals with the least bias. The application of time-specific (non-climatological) hourly/daily model predictions as the a priori profile in TEMPO O3 retrievals will be best suited when applying this data to study air quality or event-based processes as the standard retrieval algorithm will still need to use a climatology product. Follow-on studies to this work are currently being conducted to investigate the application of different CTM-predicted O3 climatology products in the standard TEMPO retrieval algorithm. Finally, similar methods to those used in this study can be easily applied by TEMPO data users to recalculate tropospheric O3 profiles provided from the standard retrieval using a different source of a priori.

Satellite↗

Long-Term Ozone Variability and Trends from Reanalyses

Stratospheric ozone has a profound impact on radiation and chemistry over various spatial and temporal scales. The evolution of stratospheric ozone over the 21st century, however, is not well understood, especially in the lower stratosphere. Highly vertically resolved ozone data from satellite-borne limb sounders have proved to be invaluable for studying ozone in the middle and upper stratosphere but it was not until recently that these measurements were successfully incorporated in atmospheric reanalyses. Validation and comparison studies have demonstrated that the addition of observations from the Microwave Limb Sounder (MLS) on EOS (Earth Observing System) Aura greatly improved the quality of ozone fields in MERRA-2 (Modern-Era Retrospective analysis for Research and Applications, Version 2) making these assimilated data sets more useful for scientific research. In this presentation we demonstrate that multidecadal lower-stratospheric ozone variability and trends can be derived from NASA's MERRA-2 reanalysis ozone. In particular, the reanalysis ozone bias-corrected using a chemistry model simulation as a transfer function agrees very well with recently reprocessed long ozonesonde records. Ozone trends in the lower stratosphere will be discussed in the context of recent findings (Ball et al., 2018) and interpreted in connection with long-term circulation changes in the lower stratosphere. Next, we show that the use of ozone data retrieved from the next generation OMPS (Ozone Mapping Profiler Suite) instruments, including the OMPS Limb Profiler, can successfully extend the reanalyses into the future allowing comprehensive monitoring of global ozone and interpretation of its evolution during the critical period of expected ozone recovery and climate change from increasing concentration of greenhouse gases.

ozone↗

NASA's Black Marble Product Suite: Validation Strategy

NASA's Black Marble nighttime lights product suite (VNP46) is available at 500m resolution since January 2012 with data fro the Visible Infrared Imaging Radiometer Suite (VIIRS) Day/Night Band (DNB) onboard the Suomi National Polar-orbiting Platform (SNPP). The retrieval algorithm, developed and implemented for routine global processing at NASA's Land Science Investigator-led Processing System (SIPS), utilizes all high-quality, cloud-free, atmospheric-terrain, vegetation, snow, lunar and stray light corrected radiances to estimate daily nighttime lights (NTL) and other intrinsic surface optical properties. Extensive benchmark tests at representative spatial and temporal scales were conducted on the VNP46 time series record to characterize the uncertainties stemming from upstream data sources. Current and planned validation activities under the Group on Earth Observations (GEO) Human Planet Initiative are aimed at evaluating the products at difference geographic locations and time periods representing the full range of retrieval conditions.

GEO Human Planet↗

Synergy of Observations and Dynamo Models to Understand and Predict Solar Activity Cycles

The long-standing problem of understanding the evolution of the global magnetic fields that drive solar activity through different temporal scales is becoming more tractable because, in addition to 400 years of sunspot records, we now have almost 4 solar cycles of magnetic field observations. These observations allow us to discern physical connections between dynamo model variables and observations using data assimilation analysis. In particular, the Ensemble Kalman Filter approach takes into account uncertainties in both observations and modeling and allows us to make reliable forecasts of solar cycle activity cycles by using a relatively simple non-linear dynamical model of the solar dynamo. To expand this approach for more complex 2D and 3D dynamo modeling, it is necessary to decompose the observed synoptic magnetograms into poloidal and toroidal field components. In this presentation I will present initial results on magnetogram decomposition and assimilation of magnetogram data into dynamo modeling.

Synergy↗

Magnetospheric Constellation: Leveraging Space 2.0 for Big Science

Earth's magnetosphere is a large magnetic cavity formed through the interaction of the solar wind and Earth's intrinsic magnetic field. Solar wind energy enters this cavity through a boundary - the magnetopause - separating Earth's field from the solar wind. This energy leads to many forms of "space weather", including the aurora, geomagnetic storms, and energization of the Van Allen radiation belts. Despite decades of research, we still do not understand the extent of dayside reconnection sites, nor do we have a quantifiable understanding of how much energy enters the magnetosphere during different solar wind conditions - necessary for space weather prediction. On the nightside, impulsive flows at various spatial and temporal scales occur frequently during storms and substorms, and couple to the ionosphere through still unresolved physical mechanisms. Because the magnetosphere is so large, it has been understood since the dawn of the space age that a full understanding of this complex region could only be achieved with a large fleet of in situ spacecraft. NASA has studied one such constellation, the socalled "Magnetospheric Constellation" (MagCon), since the1990's, but it is deemed too expensive to implement using traditional approaches. The CubeSat/ SmallSat revolution represents a fundamental disruption to traditional mission architectures, and in this paper I will discuss how, by leveraging innovation in spacecraft subystems, advanced manufacturing, and access to space, we can finally realize this long-term vision of exploration and discovery. The proposed modular approach, utilizing rideshare and propulsive ESPAs, would also enable worldwide participation in the mission, and is applicable to any constellation mission, including Earth Science missions.

Kepko, Emil Larry↗

Synergy of Observations and Dynamo Models to Understand and Predict Solar Activity Cycles

The long-standing problem of understanding the evolution of the global magnetic fields that drive solar activity through different temporal scales is becoming more tractable because, in addition to 400 years of sunspot records, we now have almost 4 solar cycles of magnetic field observations. These observations allow us to discern physical connections between dynamo model variables and observations using data assimilation analysis. In particular, the Ensemble Kalman Filter approach takes into account uncertainties in both observations and modeling and allows us to make reliable forecasts of solar cycle activity by using a relatively simple non-linear dynamical model of the solar dynamo. To expand this approach for more complex 2D and 3D dynamo modeling, it is necessary to decompose the observed synoptic magnetograms into poloidal and toroidal field components. In this presentation I will present initial results on magnetogram decomposition and assimilation of magnetogram data into dynamo modeling.

Kitiashvili, Irina N.↗

Solar Magnetic Activity and Solar-Stellar Connections

Prediction of solar magnetic activity on various temporal scales is a fundamental element of space weather, which requires a wide range of theoretical and observational expertise in solar phenomena from the deep interior to the corona. Historical observations have revealed many features of cyclic variations of the solar activity; but these data are dramatically insufficient to draw a physical picture of global magnetic field evolution. New observational data, currently available from space missions and ground-based observatories, provide us with detailed information about solar dynamics and magnetism. However, because of the relatively short duration of data series and the great variety of data types and quality, it is challenging to assimilate these data in theoretical models and make reliable forecasts. The recent unexpectedly weak solar activity cycles, as well as observations of rotational and magnetic topology transitions in solar-type stars, suggest that the Sun and its magnetic dynamo are currently in a very interesting evolutionary stage. This could relate to the difficulty in getting a model of the Sun to produce solar-like – rather than anti-solar-like – differential rotation, to reproduce the rotation profile obtained from helioseismology, and to predict solar activity cycles.

magnetic↗

Observations, Modeling, and Predictions of Solar Activity From the Deep Interior to the Corona

Solar activity is a manifestation of magnetic self-organization processes that involve complex dynamical coupling of various layers of the Sun acting over a broad range of spatial and temporal scales. Synergy of observational, theoretical, and modeling efforts is key to understanding solar activity variation, dynamics, and evolution and to developing reliable physics-based forecasts of long-term solar cycles and short-term activity manifestations, “seasons of solar activity”, such as periods of enhanced flaring and CME activity. The session welcomes observers, modelers, and theoreticians to share their results and ideas and to discuss current challenges, development of emerging fields (such as data assimilation), and the analysis of historical and modern observational data using theoretical modeling, interpretations, and predictions.

Deep Interior↗

Revealing the Multiscale Nature of Turbulence in Space Plasmas with an Innovative Swarm of Spacecraft

Abstract: Turbulence is fundamentally a multiscale phenomena, with energy, mass, and momentum being transported across both spatial and temporal scales. In a magnetized collisionless plasma, there are unresolved questions about the structure of the turbulent transfer of energy, as well as how the energy is extracted from the cascade and dissipated as heat in the constituent charged particles. The plasma in the solar wind acts as an accessible natural laboratory to study these processes, and much progress has indeed been made since the dawn of the space age in understanding turbulence via in situ observations of turbulent plasmas near Earth. However, to date, these observations have been limited to a single, or at best, a tight cluster of points, leading to ambiguities in at what scales energy is contained, how it is transported, and by what mechanism it is dissipated. In this presentation, we describe a heliophysics mission concept aimed at understanding turbulence that is enabled by a swarm of small satellites. The proposed "HelioSwarm" mission will measure turbulent fields and flows and charged particles simultaneously at many points spanning size and time scales from the fluid to sub-ion regime. In doing so, we will be able to disentangle how the turbulence depends on time and space, directly observe the change in internal energy in the plasma, and definitively capture the dynamic relation between turbulence and structures. While the processes under examination are universal, arising throughout our solar system and universe, they are difficult to reproduce in either terrestrial laboratories or numerical simulations, meaning that the only a multipoint observatory in the near-Earth heliosphere will be able to study them in sufficient detail to discern the underlying physics. In this talk, we highlight the enabling role that small satellites play in providing closure on these long-standing but critically important science questions.

Spence, H. E.↗

Numerical Reanalyses as a Gateway to Arctic Synthesis

Reanalyses are regularly gridded, retrospective depictions of the physical earth system, which are produced through the correction of a short-term forecast to available observations. In the Arctic, reanalyses are particularly well suited to marshal the sparse observing network to provide a plausible, multivariate representation of conditions. Atmospheric reanalyses such as MERRA-2 (NASA Modern-Era Retrospective analysis for Research and Applications, version 2) and ocean reanalyses such as SODA3 (Univ. Maryland Simple Ocean Data Assimilation version 3) are widely used in Arctic research for diagnostic studies of circulation, model evaluation, and as boundary conditions for a variety of process models. Here, we provide examples that illustrate the utility of reanalyses for providing information on the spatial and temporal scales of recent, rapid changes in the Arctic. Recent trends in Arctic surface temperatures, surface melt over Greenland and Arctic glaciers, and evolving freshwater conditions in the Arctic Ocean are examples where reanalyses can provide information that cannot easily be obtained via other means. These examples provide information on the scale, magnitude, and the uncertainty of recent Arctic change and provide a context for future scenarios. We further quantify uncertainties in key reanalyses variables and approaches for addressing these issues.

Arctic↗

Nasa GeneLab Computomics Reveal Horizontal Gene Transfer on International Space Station Environmental Metagenomes

Prokaryotic lifeforms can be observed to demonstrate many keen adaptive advantages, perhaps facilitated by a nature simplistic relative to divergent domains of life. In particular, decompartmentalized gene expression facilitates adaptation by allowing free exchange of genetic material, albeit at the cost of increased susceptibility to genetic damage. Thus, these lifeforms must compensate by embracing diverse investment strategies in an attempt to “brute force” the evolvability equation through precipitous genesis, lean metabolic efficiency, and sheer population. This prokaryotic archetype also enables symbiotic relationships with secondary mobile genetic elements known as plasmids, which have been shown to drive evolution on rapid temporal scales through processes such as conjugation and transformation. This study attempts to decipher whether these mechanisms of horizontal gene transfer (HGT) are major factors in determining prokaryote fitness within a unique isolated environment, the International Space Station (ISS). The ISS Microbial Tracking (MT) project has generated a wealth of data concerning the successive reigns of microbial genera that appear to thrive amidst harsh conditions for life. Despite relatively higher doses of ionizing radiation as compared to Earth, complications associated with microgravity, and the anti-microbial mélange deployed, microbial life still persists in this environment. The NASA GeneLab serves as a data repository and analysis platform to enable researchers to access space flight factor related data. With the use of GeneLab’s modern computational suites (computomics), phylogenetic and functional genomic investigations of HGT events were conducted on the data generated from the MT-1 project. The putative data concerning the plasmid population (plasmidome) of the ISS was algorithmically derived and compared to those of habitats with similar environmental dynamics- such as living quarters and hospitals- to investigate whether these HGT elements may play crucial role(s) in shaping the microbiome of this closed habitat that serves as the only inhabited structure in space.

Bense, Nicholas↗

The Effects of an Improved Dynamic Vegetation Phenology Representation in a Global Land Surface Model

Evapotranspiration (ET) is a major driver of the interaction between the land surface and the atmosphere through its component mechanisms, including plant transpiration (T) and soil evaporation. To accurately capture land-atmosphere interactions in global Earth System Models, it is thus critical that the underlying land surface models accurately model both the land hydrology as well as the dynamic response of vegetation to environmental drivers. In an effort to introduce a more realistic vegetation representation, the NASA Catchment land surface model, which is part of the Goddard Earth Observing System (GEOS), has previously been merged with the carbon and nitrogen physics modules of the Community Land Model version 4, resulting in the new Catchment-CN model. Catchment-CN has inherited the advanced treatment of land surface hydrology of Catchment, but is additionally able to dynamically model the response of vegetation to environmental drivers, in contrast to the fixed vegetation climatology that was prescribed in Catchment. Recently, the parameterization of Catchment-CN vegetation has been augmented to better account for variability of vegetation responses to external forcings within existing plant functional types, and vegetation parameters have been calibrated against Moderate Resolution Imaging Spectrometer observations of the fraction of absorbed photosynthetically radiation. These efforts have led to a significant reduction in the RMSE of modeled photosynthetic activity with respect to observations.This presentation investigates the effect of the improved vegetation representation on the partitioning of ET within Catchment-CN. Specifically, we compare global maps of the T:ET ratio across different temporal scales in (1) the original Catchment model, (2) the original Catchment-CN model, and (3) the augmented and calibrated Catchment-CN model. The modeled T and ET estimates are compared against a comprehensive set of ground observations from various field studies, as well as independent global T:ET estimates from different ET algorithms provided in the context of the Water Cycle Observation Multi-mission Strategy ? Evapotranspiration (WACMOS-ET) initiative.

Kolassa, J.↗

Metrics for Improved Reanalyses in Polar Regions

Atmospheric reanalyses are widely used for a variety of scientific endeavors in the Arctic and Antarctic. Reanalyses are used as boundary conditions for a regional and process-based models, for climate model validation, and for diagnostic analysis of physical processes, weather and climatic events. However, reanalyses are typically global and often do not account for specific, regional considerations, such as for polar regions. In this work, we provide a brief evaluation of a prototype for a new GMAO reanalysis, which incorporates higher spatial resolution, an updated approach for data assimilation, and a revised atmospheric model. We identify differences in the representation of the Arctic atmosphere in comparison to recent reanalyses. Furthermore, we provide a forum for Arctic scientists to consider the future improvements for reanalyses, and seek feedback for the following questions: 1) What are important performance factors to consider in evaluating new reanalyses? 2) What physical processes should be incorporated into new reanalyses? 3) What spatio-temporal scales should be considered?

Parker, Chelsea L.↗

Current and Future Remote Sensing of Harmful Algal Blooms in the Chesapeake Bay to Support the Shellfish Industry

Harmful algal bloom (HAB) species in the Chesapeake Bay can negatively impact fish, shellfish, and human health via the production of toxins and the degradation of water quality. Due to the deleterious effects of HAB species on economically and environmentally important resources, such as oyster reef systems, Bay area resource managers are seeking ways to monitor HABs and water quality at large spatial and fine temporal scales. The use of satellite ocean color imagery has proven to be a beneficial tool for resource management in other locations around the world where high-biomass, nearly monospecific HABs occur. However, remotely monitoring HABs in the Chesapeake Bay is complicated by the presence of multiple, often co-occurring, species and optically-complex waters. Here we present a summary of common marine and estuarine HAB species found in the Chesapeake Bay, Alexandrium monilatum, Karlodinium veneficum, Margalefidinium polykrikoides, and Prorocentrum minimum, that have been detected from space using multispectral data products from the Ocean and Land Color Imager (OLCI) sensor on the Sentinel-3 satellites and identified based on historic phytoplankton data, in situ sampling, and ecological associations. We review how future hyperspectral instruments will improve discrimination of potentially harmful species from other phytoplankton communities and present a framework in which satellite data products could aid Chesapeake Bay resource managers with monitoring water quality and protecting shellfish resources.

Chesapeake Bay, satellite remote sensing, harmful ↗

Synergistic Use of SMAP and OCO-2 Data in Assessing the Responses of Ecosystem Productivity to the 2018 U.S. Drought

Soil moisture and gross primary productivity (GPP) estimates from the Soil Moisture Active Passive (SMAP) and solar-induced chlorophyll fluorescence (SIF) from the Orbiting Carbon Observatory-2 (OCO-2) provide new opportunities for understanding the relationship between soil moisture and terrestrial photosynthesis over large regions. Here we explored the potential of the synergistic use of SMAP and OCO-2 based data for monitoring the responses of ecosystem productivity to drought. We used complementary observational information on root-zone soil moisture and GPP (9 km) from SMAP and fine-resolution SIF (0.05°; GOSIF) derived from OCO-2 SIF soundings. We compared the spatial pattern and temporal evolution of anomalies of these variables over the conterminous U.S. during the 2018 drought, and examined to what extent they could characterize the drought-induced variations of flux tower GPP and crop yield data. Our results showed that SMAP GPP and GOSIF could well capture the spatial extent and dynamics of drought indicated by the U.S. Drought Monitor maps and the SMAP root-zone soil moisture deficit. Over the U.S. Southwest, monthly anomalies of soil moisture showed significant positive correlations with those of SMAP GPP (R2=0.44, p<0.001) and GOSIF (R2=0.76, p<0.001), demonstrating strong water availability constraints on plant productivity across dryland ecosystems. We further found that SMAP GPP and GOSIF captured the impact of drought on tower GPP and crop yield. Our results suggest that synergistic use of SMAP and OCO-2 data products can reveal the drought evolution and its impact on ecosystem productivity and carbon uptake at multiple spatial and temporal scales, and demonstrate the value of SMAP and OCO-2 for studying ecosystem function, carbon cycling, and climate change.

Soil Moisture Active Passive↗

Saharan Dust Aerosols Change Deep Convective Cloud Prevalence, Possibly by Inhibiting Marine New Particle Formation

Deep convective clouds (DCCs) are important to global climate, atmospheric chemistry, and precipitation. Dust, a dominant aerosol type over the tropical North Atlantic, has potentially large microphysical impacts on DCCs over this region. However, dust effects are difficult to identify, being confounded by co-varying meteorology and other factors. Here, a method is developed to quantify DCC responses to dust and other aerosols at large spatial and temporal scales despite these uncertainties. Over 7 million tropical North Atlantic cloud, aerosol, and meteorological profiles from CloudSat satellite data and MERRA-2 reanalysis products are used to stratify cloud observations into meteorological regimes, objectively select a priori assumptions, and iteratively test uncertainty sensitivity. Dust is robustly associated with a 54% increase in DCC prevalence. However, marine aerosol proxy concentrations are five times more predictive of dust-associated increases in DCC prevalence than the dust itself, or any other aerosol or meteorological factor. Marine aerosols are also the most predictive factor for the even larger increases in DCC prevalence (61-87%) associated with enhanced dimethyl sulfide and combustion and sulfate aerosols. Dust-associated increases in DCC prevalence are smaller at high dust concentrations than at low concentrations. These observations suggest that not only is dust a comparatively ineffective CCN source, but it may also act as a condensation/coagulation sink for chemical precursors to CCN, reducing total CCN availability over large spatial scales by inhibiting new particle formation from marine emissions. These observations represent the first time this rocess, previously predicted by models, is supported and quantified by measurements.

Aerosol-cloud interactions↗

Presentation Summary: State of the AGN: Progress Toward Understanding Black Hole Accretion Processes

Accretion of plasma onto black holes power some of the most powerfulsystems in the cosmos. Supermassive black holes at the centers ofgalaxies represent the high-mass limit of these objects and so accountfor the most luminous accretors. As a result, their influence spansvast spatial and temporal scales of cosmic phenomena: intraclusterheating, intergalactic media, galactic feedback and star formation,kiloparsec-scale jets/outflows, variability over time scales of minutesto centuries, and luminous multi-wavelength electromagnetic emissionextending all the way down to its event horizon. Their intrigue isheightened by the fact that they lie at the intersection of variousphysical laws---e.g., general relativistic gravity,magnetohydrodynamics, radiation, high-energy particle physics,thermodynamics, and photo-ionization---which all must be reconciled toarrive at a fundamental understanding and probe for new physics, liketests of general relativity. These physics ingredients must beincorporated into simulations performed somehow on dynamical scalesranging from that of the event horizon to parsec-scales. Fortunately,new computational and theoretical techniques---such as GPU computing,radiation transport, and and novel gridding techniques---are enablingprogress to larger scales, more degrees of freedom, and even to binarysystems. Some of the topics we will survey include recent progress onsimulating the relationship between the disk-jet interaction, howtilted black holes behave, radiation-dominated flow, and how binaryAGN affect the standard picture of black hole accretion. Along theway, we will highlight how new technologies have enabled thesescientific rewards. Future directions and open questions will beprovided to inspire discussion and interaction during the session.

Black Holes↗

State of the AGN: Progress Toward Understanding Black Hole Accretion Processes

Accretion of plasma onto black holes power some of the most powerful systems in the cosmos. Supermassive black holes at the centers of galaxies represent the high-mass limit of these objects and so account for the most luminous accretors. As a result, their influence spans vast spatial and temporal scales of cosmic phenomena: intracluster heating, intergalactic media, galactic feedback and star formation, kiloparsec-scale jets/outflows, variability over time scales of minutes to centuries, and luminous multi-wavelength electromagnetic emission extending all the way down to its event horizon. Their intrigue is heightened by the fact that they lie at the intersection of various physical laws---e.g., general relativistic gravity, magnetohydrodynamics, radiation, high-energy particle physics, thermodynamics, and photo-ionization---which all must be reconciled to arrive at a fundamental understanding and probe for new physics, like tests of general relativity. These physics ingredients must be incorporated into simulations performed somehow on dynamical scales ranging from that of the event horizon to parsec-scales. Fortunately, new computational and theoretical techniques---such as GPU computing, radiation transport, and and novel gridding techniques---are enabling progress to larger scales, more degrees of freedom, and even to binary systems. Some of the topics we will survey include recent progress on simulating the relationship between the disk-jet interaction, how tilted black holes behave, radiation-dominated flow, and how binary AGN affect the standard picture of black hole accretion. Along the way, we will highlight how new technologies have enabled these scientific rewards. Future directions and open questions will be provided to inspire discussion and interaction during the session.

LISA↗