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476 records · Page 27

Findings on Subtask 3.1 - Bakken Rich Gas Enhanced Oil Recovery Project

Total in-place oil for the Bakken petroleum system (BPS) (which includes the Bakken and Three Forks Formations) has been estimated to be 600 billion barrels (bbl). However, BPS wells have decline rates as high as 85% over the first 3 years of their lives, and primary recovery factors typically range from 3% to 10% of original oil in place. Given the low initial recovery rates, even small incremental productivity improvements could dramatically increase technically recoverable oil in the BPS. One potential solution is enhanced oil recovery (EOR) using gas injection, such as carbon dioxide (CO2) or hydrocarbon (HC) gases. While commonly used in conventional reservoirs, CO2 EOR in unconventional tight oil reservoirs has been limited to pilot tests. EOR using rich gas (mixture of methane, ethane, and propane) has also been employed in numerous pilots in several unconventional plays and has recently been successfully applied in the Eagle Ford play. If successful, large-scale gas-based EOR in the BPS could dramatically increase oil productivity and recovery factors and extend the life of the play for decades. While CO2 may be a technically suitable working fluid for EOR in the BPS, supplies are limited and costs for using CO2 in EOR pilots are prohibitively high. Meanwhile, produced gas flaring has presented challenges for BPS operators in North Dakota. Analysis conducted by the North Dakota Pipeline Authority indicates that the current gas-gathering infrastructure in North Dakota is insufficient to accommodate all of the associated gas that is produced from the BPS. The geographically isolated location of North Dakota relative to large natural gas markets, combined with suppressed natural gas prices, has made it economically challenging for industry to invest capital in expanding gas-gathering infrastructure in the state. These circumstances led to a research program conducted by the Energy & Environmental Research Center (EERC) in partnership with Liberty Resources Management Company LLC (LR) to examine the potential to use rich gas injection for EOR and mitigate flaring. A rich gas EOR pilot test was designed and executed by LR at its Stomping Horse development area in Williams County, North Dakota. From July 2018 through May 2019, a total of 160 million standard cubic feet (MMscf) of rich produced gas was injected into the BPS using five different wells in a sequential injection strategy. LR’s Leon–Gohrick drill spacing unit (DSU) was used as the test site. Regulatory oversight was provided by the North Dakota Industrial Commission (NDIC). Technical support was provided by the EERC through a series of laboratory, modeling, and field-based activities, and additional post-pilot research activities incorporated learnings from the test, developed new laboratory data, improved fracture modeling methods, and developed machine learning and big data analytics. The results from the Stomping Horse rich gas EOR pilot activities indicate that developing an effective, economical EOR approach for the BPS will require more field tests. Another key lesson learned from the Stomping Horse tests is that detailed pre- and posttest data on reservoir conditions and fluids production are essential. Robust reservoir characterization provides information that is crucial to creating realistic geomodels and conducting valid dynamic simulations of potential EOR scenarios. A detailed understanding of the completions and production history of offset wells is also necessary for valid test result interpretations. This knowledge is essential to designing the operational parameters of injectivity tests and interpreting the results. A conformance control strategy is also essential to success. Laboratory-based examinations of rich gas interactions with reservoir fluids and rocks were conducted, with an emphasis on determining the ability to mobilize oil in the tight reservoir rocks and shales of the BPS. Injection fluid composition was shown to have a positive impact on reducing reservoir oil minimum miscibility pressure (MMP), reducing interfacial tension (IFT), and altering wettability. IFT and contact angle measurements demonstrated that wettability can be altered in the presence of rich gas, suggesting the potential to improve oil recovery. Iterative modeling of surface infrastructure and reservoir performance using data generated by the various project activities was conducted. A geologic model of the Stomping Horse area was built; history-matched oil, gas, and water production was used in simulations of various EOR scenarios. Early programmatic modeling results were used to support LR’s design and operation of the EOR pilot and to provide insight regarding optimization of future commercial-scale BPS EOR design and operations. Post-pilot modeling focused on alternative methods of understanding complex fracture networks and accelerating simulation time. These led to improved simulation run times and provide excellent history-matching results. Several of these iterative models were used as the bases for developing algorithms into machine learning and big data analytics. History matching in reservoir simulation is time-consuming and computer processing-intensive. Machine learning algorithms were created, and an automated history-matching tool was developed. A large set of synthetic reservoir simulations were created to generate well responses (oil, gas, and water production, well bottomhole pressure [BHP], and tracer or propane breakthrough) for a set of EOR operating parameters that included offset well status (open or closed), injectate (rich gas or propane), injection rate, and injection well BHP. A user interface was developed to provide real-time visualization. Machine learning-based models were developed to provide rapid forecasting of well performance given a set of user-defined EOR operating parameters. These predictive models allow the user to modify the offset well status, injection rate, and injection well BHP and rapidly forecast future production performance. The combination of real-time visualization tools with real-time forecasting tools provides a framework for real-time control—operational changes that the EOR site operator can enact (e.g., changing gas injection rates) to affect the observed performance and potentially improve the EOR outcome. There is great reason to be optimistic about the future of EOR in the Bakken. The results of the laboratory studies suggest significant potential for high rates of oil mobilization using produced field gas injection under the right conditions. The results of the lab studies, combined with rigorous statistical analysis of well production data and associated modeling efforts, confirm the notion that fluid mobility within the reservoir is controlled by fractures. As more knowledge is gained about the nature and distribution of fracture networks in the Bakken, the industry will be in a better position to predict and, ultimately, influence fluid mobility. New field tests are necessary to develop a more complete understanding of those conditions. Thoughtful and creatively engineered field tests within a well-characterized geologic setting will yield the fundamental knowledge needed to take Bakken oil production to the next level. This subtask was cofunded through the EERC–U.S. Department of Energy Joint Program on Research and Development for Fossil Energy-Related Resources Cooperative Agreement No. DE-FE0024233. Nonfederal funding was provided by the North Dakota Industrial Commission’s Oil and Gas Research Program and Computer Modelling Group.

04 OIL SHALES AND TAR SANDS↗

Real-time Ridesharing for Transportation Hubs with Demand and Supply Uncertainty

Transportation hubs in major cities generate a significant amount of trips by taxis and for-hail vehicles (FHV), with many of the trips sharing similar destinations. This suggests promising opportunities to leverage the collective travel needs with dedicated ridesharing solutions to reduce the externalities of excessive traffic at transportation hubs. In this study, we develop a novel dynamic ridesharing approach to serve trips from the transportation hub by considering (1) demand (new passengers) and supply (newly available vehicles) in the near future and (2) the uncertainty of future predictions. Our approach consists of two stages. In the first stage, we develop a data structure called hub mobility tree to generate potential combinations of shareable trips as candidate schedules efficiently. Then the generated schedules are used in the second stage to formulate the stochastic hub-based ridesharing problem (SHRP), which is a stochastic integer programming problem with the objective to maximize the total expected ridesharing profit over time. Due to the prohibitive number of shareable trips, we then approximately solve SHRP by the sample average approximate method (SAA), and a dual Lagrangian technique is implemented to further improve the scalability of the solution approach. We demonstrate the performances of the proposed method by simulating the ridesharing service at JFK airport using NYC taxi and FHV data. The results indicate that the proposed method outperforms the myopic ridesharing (maximize profit for a single time step) and the rolling horizon method with point estimation of future demand and supply.

dynamic ridesharing↗

Development and Validation of Resistance-Capacitance Model (RCM) for Phase Change Material (PCM) Embedded in 3D Periodic Structures

The low thermal conductivity of Phase Change Materials (PCM) can be improved with extended surfaces such as additively manufactured 3D periodic lattice structures. Three different aluminum alloy-based lattices (base sizes 10, 20, and 40 mm) with average porosity of 0.95 filled with paraffin wax, with a nominal phase change temperature of 55°C, were experimentally investigated. In this work, a computationally efficient 2D Resistance Capacitance-based model (RCM) was developed for predicting the thermal characteristics of these geometries. Non-uniform porosity in the PCM-metal domain was estimated using image processing and served as model input. The solver does not solve for higher-order physics as in CFD but still can provide a good prediction of thermal resistance and energy storage at a very low computational cost. The simulation-to-real-time factor for this geometry is of the order of 10-4, while CFD simulations typically have a real-time factor greater than 1. The model was validated against the experimental data for melting under three different heat fluxes (6250 W/m2, 12500 W/m2, and 18750 W/m2). The mean deviation of the predicted average PCM temperature was between 1.34 K-2.81 K for different cases. The maximum average temperature deviation of 5.45 K was observed for the 20 mm geometry at the highest heat flux test condition. The effects of natural convection were neglected in the model, but the predicted PCM temperature and energy storage still showed good agreement with the experimental data.

25 ENERGY STORAGE↗

Automated tracking of prefabricated components for areal-time evaluator to optimize and automateinstallation

Trade associations for prefabricated construction estimate that about 50% of prefabricated wall projects have alignment problems that lead to defects and rework. Additionally, component installation times average between 30 and 60 minutes per component. To address these issues, a real-time evaluator (RTE) system was introduced to decrease cost and automate prefabricated component installation by reducing the installation time, decreasing rework, and enhancing energy performance through higher installation quality. The RTE uses commonly available hardware and software to perform autonomous tracking to measure the real-time location and orientation of components as they are crane-lifted and installed. The hardware, software, and algorithms that allow the autonomous tracking of components are detailed. An algorithm to automate the initial search for a component with three attached retroreflectors is proposed. Algorithms to automate the measurement of component position and orientation are also proposed. Simple lab-scale proof-of-concept experiments were conducted to assess the algorithms for automation of component searching, measurement of real-time movement, and measurement of component orientation. With additional development, the system can be used as a tool to generate the commands for autonomous crane operation or single-task construction robots.

Hayes, Nolan↗

Conservation of Helium while Maintaining High System Purity

Recent helium shortages and helium price increases have lead to an increased emphasis being placed on conserving helium. The need to conserve helium must be balanced with need to maintain the high levels of purity necessary to prevent operational problems caused by contamination. Helium losses and contamination control are especially important for test stands that have cryogenic distribution systems operating continuously with frequent changeover of cryogenic temperature components that are being tested. This paper describes a mathematical model to estimate the quantity of helium lost and the purity of the helium after the pump and backfill procedure is complete. The process to determine the optimal time during pump down to cut off pumping and start backfilling is described. There is a tradeoff between trying to achieve the lowest possible pressure during pumping and the quantity of air leaking into the volume while pumping is occurring. An additional benefit of careful selection of pump and backfill parameters in conjunction with real-time pressure monitoring can reduce the labor and time required to complete a successful pump and backfill procedure. This paper is intended to be a tool for engineers to review their pump and backfill procedures and measured data to optimize helium losses, system purity, and labor required.

46 INSTRUMENTATION RELATED TO NUCLEAR SCIENCE AND ↗

Use Probabilistic Forecasts in Reliable and Economic Electricity Market Scheduling and Operations

The value of probabilistic forecasts in electricity market operations is being increasingly recognized lately, however, the use is still limited. This study demonstrates two cases of using probabilistic forecasts in scheduling and operations of the California electricity market. We first develop a data-driven method to give weather-informed estimates of ramping reserves based on short-term probabilistic solar irradiance forecasts. By using forecasts across multiple sites, our proposed method presents advantages over the real-world baseline in terms of system reliability and economics. Our second case uses probabilistic hydro power forecasts in the scheduling of a hydro power plant under economic and environmental constraints. By optimizing the bids into both the day-ahead and real-time markets, our results demonstrate considerable economic benefits.

13 HYDRO ENERGY↗

A CHIL Validation of Machine Learning-Assisted Methods for Real-Time Controls of Solar PV for Grid Services: Preprint

Recent research has highlighted the potential for solar to act as a zero-marginal-cost and zero-emission flexibility resource on the bulk power system when operated with advanced control systems. To increase the performance of these systems, leading technologies, including machine learning (ML) and hierarchical inverter set point allocation, have been proposed; however, these technologies lack comprehensive validation under real-world application scenarios. This paper addresses this gap by designing and developing a controller-hardware-in-the-loop framework to evaluate the performance of different flexible solar technologies in responding to automatic generation control signals in a closed-loop fashion. Simulation results indicate the superior performance of an ML-based approach compared to the conventional reference-control grouping-based approach, showcasing its potential to support grid stability and operational efficiency.

closed-loop validation↗

In situ monitoring of lanthanide reactions with oxide species via combined absorption spectroscopy and electrochemical methods

Molten salts for engineering scale applications of spent nuclear fuel pyrochemical processing will inevitably have some level of oxygen impurities which can form various insoluble oxide and oxychloride species with uranium and fission products. This work demonstrates real-time concentration monitoring of two trivalent lanthanide (Ln3+) fission products, Nd3+ and Pr3+, and their reactions with oxygen (O2-) impurities to form insoluble products in LiCl-NaCl-KCl eutectic salt. A combination of high-temperature absorption spectroscopy and electrochemical testing were used to track lanthanide concentrations. O2- impurity levels were controlled in the range of 0.001 M to 0.5 M by adding Li2O to lanthanide-salt solutions. After the introduction of O2- impurities, Ln3+ concentrations were monitored via time-resolved absorption spectroscopy. Concentrations of both Ln3+ species in solution decreased with time as insoluble products formed. The initial impurity concentration controlled whether insoluble products were predominantly oxychlorides (LnOCl) or mixtures of oxychlorides and oxides (Ln2O3). However, absorption spectroscopy is limited for weakly absorbing species, such as Pr3+, and under conditions of high impurity concentrations where solutions can be turbid. To circumvent this limitation, the concentrations of Pr3+ were monitored with square wave voltammetry (SWV). Estimated reaction rates and extent of Pr3+ removal from solution as monitored by SWV agreed to within ~10% of the results found from absorption spectroscopy monitoring. This demonstrates that simultaneous electrochemical testing complements and expands the capabilities of absorption spectroscopy to monitor reactions of fission products in molten salts.

11 - NUCLEAR FUEL CYCLE AND FUEL MATERIALS↗