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At least 487 records · Page 27

Application of Artificial Intelligence in Detection and Mitigation of Human Factor Errors in Nuclear Power Plants: A Review

Human factors and ergonomics have played an essential role in increasing the safety and performance of operators in the nuclear energy industry. In this critical review, we examine how artificial intelligence (AI) technologies can be leveraged to mitigate human errors, thereby improving the safety and performance of operators in nuclear power plants (NPPs). First, we discuss the various causes of human errors in NPPs. Next, we examine the ways in which AI has been introduced to and incorporated into different types of operator support systems to mitigate these human errors. We specifically examine (1) operator support systems, including decision support systems, (2) sensor fault detection systems, (3) operation validation systems, (4) operator monitoring systems, (5) autonomous control systems, (6) predictive maintenance systems, (7) automated text analysis systems, and (8) safety assessment systems. Finally, we provide some of the shortcomings of the existing AI technologies and discuss the challenges still ahead for their further adoption and implementation to provide future research directions.

21 SPECIFIC NUCLEAR REACTORS AND ASSOCIATED PLANTS↗

An ab initio molecular dynamics investigation of the thermophysical properties of molten NaCl-MgCl 2

Molten salts have many applications in the nuclear and solar energy industries for thermal storage and heat transfer applications. However, there is a knowledge gap in molten salt thermophysical properties which hinders the technical readiness level of molten salt applications, especially in the nuclear industry. A common method of investigating new materials is through ab initio Molecular Dynamics (AIMD) simulations which is an effective tool to investigate structural and thermophysical properties at realistic temperatures. NaCl-MgCl 2 is an inexpensive salt that is a good candidate for use as a heat transfer medium in solar power applications or in the secondary loop of a nuclear reactor. In this article, the thermophysical properties of NaCl-MgCl 2 are computed via AIMD calculations to supplement the limited experimental studies in the literature. Here a wide range of compositions and temperatures for the pseudo-binary NaCl-MgCl 2 were used to calculate the density, heat capacity, compressibility, enthalpy of mixing, and volumetric thermal expansion coefficient. AIMD is shown to accurately model the densities of molten NaCl-MgCl 2 as there is good agreement with the available literature. This work observed a transition to a monotonic increase of the density with respect to MgCl 2 composition occurring above 1100 K. The heat capacity values increase uniformly with respect to concentration of MgCl 2 at a rate of 2.85 J/mol-K per 10 mol% of MgCl 2 . Select thermophysical properties are fit to a Redlich-Kister expansion for utilization in multiphysics simulations.

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗

Promoting regulatory acceptance of combined ion and neutron irradiation testing of nuclear reactor materials: Modeling and software considerations

As the needs for the nuclear energy industry continue to evolve in the 21st century, timely adoption of new technological solutions acceptable to regulatory agencies is critical. Quantitative prediction of radiation damage in materials and its impact on mechanical properties is a key component of licensing and regulatory decisions regarding nuclear power plants. Accelerated testing methodologies such as combined ion and neutron irradiation data sets are crucial for the development and deployment of new materials and new manufacturing methods (e.g., additive manufacturing). However, regulatory acceptance of accelerated testing methodologies is necessary for their adoption. Further, the present work discusses the fundamental basis for comparing ion- and neutron-induced material microstructures, the theory behind interpreting radiation damage across length and time scales and radiation types, and the codes, standards, and quality assurance concerns surrounding different modeling methods and software. In particular, recommendations are given as to the path forward that will enable national laboratories, academia, and industry to develop the modeling and software basis for regulatory acceptance of the combined use of ion and neutron irradiation for material performance evaluation.

11 NUCLEAR FUEL CYCLE AND FUEL MATERIALS↗

RESULTS OF A VIRTUAL ROUND ROBIN STUDY TO ESTIMATE PROBABILITY OF DETECTION FOR DISSIMILAR METAL WELDS

This paper presents efforts to overcome challenges with empirical probability of detection (POD) estimations in the nuclear power industry through the utilization of a novel virtual flaw method. A virtual round robin (VRR) study was conducted under the Program for Investigation Of NDE by International Collaboration (PIONIC), organized by the United States Nuclear Regulatory Commission (NRC) utilizing data generated by the virtual flaw method. Analysis of results from the VRR was performed by teams from Pacific Northwest National Laboratory (PNNL), Electric Power Research Institute (EPRI), and Aalto University. Empirically derived POD estimations are presented, and challenges associated with obtaining these estimations are discussed. The virtual flaw method is introduced and some details of its implementation for the VRR activity are described. Results from POD analysis of the VRR data by PNNL, EPRI, and Aalto University are presented and a discussion regarding differences in analysis results is provided. Finally, potential future efforts to improve the application of the virtual flaw method and its estimation of POD are discussed.

Probability of detection, Dissimilar Metal Weld, P↗

Panel Session 1: WMS 2020 Plenary Session

The plenary panel focused on government and industry world leaders speaking on the pressing issues facing radioactive waste management in 2020 and beyond. Panelists included an OECD/ NEA representative for the international community, a Huntington Ingalls Industries representative for the commercial sector, and the US DOE Senior Advisor to the Under Secretary of Science representing DOE Environmental Management. Panelists with presentations: WM2020 Speech (Michael Lempke); Optimization: A Better Path toward Managing Nuclear Decommissioning and Legacies (William Magwood); Update On the DOE Environmental Management Program (William White)

12 MANAGEMENT OF RADIOACTIVE AND NON-RADIOACTIVE W↗

Review and Summary of Corrosion Behavior for Aluminum-Clad Spent Nuclear Fuel in Dry Storage

A description of the corrosion behavior of aluminum alloys used for cladding on aluminum-based, aluminum-clad nuclear fuel used in research reactors under potential dry storage conditions has been compiled. An evaluation is made of potential additional corrosion with water postulated to not be removed during drying. The relative humidity (RH) produced by typical dryness criteria for industrial spent nuclear fuel drying is expected to be low, particularly at high temperatures (17% RH at 20°C and lower at higher temperatures). Existing corrosion data suggests that negligible vapor-phase corrosion of aluminum is expected at such low humidity, even for nominally bare aluminum surfaces. That is, the predicted relative humidity from free water (e.g., 17% RH) is below the “critical” relative humidity (~40% RH at room temperature), below which no significant corrosion is observed for bare aluminum. Furthermore, reported room-temperature corrosion rates are very low even under saturated (100% RH) water vapor. Existing results showing significant vapor-phase corrosion corresponded specifically to conditions of high temper ed with high relative humidity. A relatively large reservoir of (chemically bound) water exists in the aluminum (oxy)hydroxide films on the SNF cladding surface. The estimated total could saturate the gas even at relatively high temperature if fully released; however, its release as molecular water is expected to only be plausible if the temperature during storage exceeds both the drying temperature and the threshold for thermal decomposition of the trihydroxides (~220°C). Therefore, the combination of high temperature and high relative humidity that could drive significant corrosion is considered implausible during sealed dry storage following an appropriate drying process, to include >220°C drying for canisters that may approach or exceed this temperature during storage. Vapor-phase testing of aluminum samples with an adherent (oxy)hydroxide layer, prepared in liquid water to resemble those on actual aluminum-clad spent nuclear fuel (ASNF), did not observe evidence of additional corrosion even at combined high-temperature (up to 180°C) and high-humidity (up to 100% RH) conditions. Instead, small net mass losses were observed for most specimens and attributed to dehydration of the samples, which had been air-dried only prior to testing. ASNF being moved to dry storage is expected to have an existing (oxy)hydroxide film, suggesting that the cladding will be less prone to additional corrosion than bare aluminum metal. If significant corrosion did occur during sealed storage, the overall extent and impact is expected to be small. Corrosion post-closure of a canister would not alter the total amount of hydrogen in the canister, so it would have no effect on the maximum H 2 release already assessed in existing bounding calculations. In addition, the total amount of water in a 25-µm dense bayerite film would consume a only ~8 µm additional aluminum metal on average, if fully consumed by oxidizing aluminum metal to Al 2 O 3 . These conclusions are consistent with ASNF-in-canister simulations to date, which included a reaction pathway for corrosion using kinetics from previous literature and believed to be conservative and predicted very low rates of corrosion.

11 NUCLEAR FUEL CYCLE AND FUEL MATERIALS↗

BISON Fuel Fragmentation Relocation and Dispersal (FFRD) Assessment Database for Eventual Use in Bayesian Calibration

Existing light-water reactor (LWR) fuel vendors have been interested in seeking increased discharge burnups of nuclear fuel rods for improved economics for quite a few years. With increased burnups come additional challenges that must be addressed. It has been experimentally observed that average burnups higher than the current regulatory limit of 62 MWd/kgU may undergo fuel fragmentation, relocation, and dispersal (FFRD) during a loss-of-coolant accident (LOCA). Industry must demonstrate approaches to mitigate FFRD. In an effort to support industry, the Nuclear Energy Advanced Modeling and Simulation (NEAMS) program within the U.S. Department of Energy (DOE) has for several years invested in developing multiscale models and creating a validation/assessment database for these models to study the mechanisms driving FFRD. This report provides an update on changes made to the assessment database and new models added to BISON to support the study of fuel rod behavior during FFRD. An effort has been initiated this year to begin adding dedicated inputs to the publicly available Virtual Test Bed (VTB) repository for industry use. A section of this report details the efforts made in this area. NEAMS has recently developed new capabilities in the Multiphysics Object-Oriented Simulation Environment (MOOSE) framework’s stochastic tools module for calibration using Bayesian inference. The goal in the future is to use these capabilities to calibrate and identify weaknesses in the existing BISON models for FFRD. The report concludes with a discussion on the models most likely to benefit the most from such calibration.

11 NUCLEAR FUEL CYCLE AND FUEL MATERIALS↗

Panel Session 37: The Wants and Needs of Graduating Students and New Engineers: Are Companies Even Listening? (R8.1)

This panel focused on new hires, graduating scientists and engineers having open lines of communication with employers. Considering the projected shortfalls in the workforce, effective communication of wants-and-needs of both the employer and employee must exist. Do these needs differ between industries and/or generations? Currently, it seems that both sides must work harder to achieve this level of communication. With this new approach, both sides can express their wants and needs for a more satisfied workforce and a better work environment. Panelists with presentations: The Future of Work: What Employers Seek From Recent Graduates (Melody Bell); Graduating Students and New Engineers - Wants and Needs - Are Companies Even Listening? (Joseph Aylor); Industry and Education: Bridging the Gap (Arthur Baranovskiy)

96 KNOWLEDGE MANAGEMENT AND PRESERVATION↗

Nuclear Safety [Vol. 30, No. 3, July-September 1989]

Nuclear Safety is a review journal that covers significant developments in the field of nuclear safety. Its scope includes the analysis and control of hazards associated with nuclear energy, operations involving fissionable materials, and the products of nuclear fission and their effects on the environment. Primary emphasis is on safety in reactor design, construction, and operation; however, the safety aspects of the entire fuel cycle, including fuel fabrication, spent-fuel processing, nuclear waste disposal, handling of radioisotopes, and environmental effects of these operations, are also treated. Table of Contents for this issue follows. GENERAL SAFETY CONSIDERATIONS: 325 Safety of Framatome Advanced Nuclear Steam Supply Systems Designs by J. A. Charles and D. Lange, 333 Book Review of Nuclear Accidents: Intervention Levels for the Protection of the Public by H. B. Piper; ACCIDENT ANALYSIS: 335 Living PRA Computer Systems by S. C. Dinsmore and H.-P. Balfanz, 343 Summary of ICAP Assessments of RELAP5/MOD2 by W. E. Driskell and R. G. Hanson; CONTROL AND INSTRUMENTATION: 352 Thermal Performance Monitoring System at Maanshan Nuclear Power Plant by H.-J. Chao, Y.-P. Lin, G.-H. Jou, L.-Y. Liao, and Y.-B. Chen; DESIGN FEATURES: 358 Warning Systems for Nuclear Power Plant Emergencies by J. H. Sorensen and D. S. Mileti; WASTE AND SPENT FUEL MANAGEMENT: 371 Activities Related to Waste Management Compiled by E G. Silver; OPERATING EXPERIENCES: 382 Steam Generator Tube Performance: Experience with Water-Cooled Nuclear Power Reactors During 1985 by O. S. Tatone and R. L. Tapping, 400 Systems Interaction Analyses: Concepts and Techniques (Part II) by M. D. Muhlheim and G. A. Murphy, 413 Reactor Shutdown Experience Compiled by J. W. Cletcher, 416 Operating U.S. Power Reactors Compiled by E G. Silver; RECENT DEVELOPMENTS: 440 General Administrative Activities Compiled by E G. Silver, 460 Reports, Standards, and Safety Guides by D. S. Queener, 466 Status of Power-Reactor Licensing Activities Compiled by E G. Silver, 470 Proposed Rule Changes as of Mar. 31, 1989; ANNOUNCEMENTS: 334 Proceedings Published, 351 CEC Seminar on Methods and Codes for Assessing the Off-Site Consequences of Nuclear Accidents, 357 Short Course on Multiphase Flow and Heat Transfer: Bases and Applications in A: The Nuclear Power Industry B: The Process Industries, 357 International Conference on Probabilistic Safety Assessment and Management, 478 International Topical Meeting on the Safety, Status, and Future of Non-Commercial Reactors and Irradiation Facilities, 475 The Authors.

11 NUCLEAR FUEL CYCLE AND FUEL MATERIALS↗

Nuclear Safety [Vol. 30, No. 3, July-September 1989]

Nuclear Safety is a review journal that covers significant developments in the field of nuclear safety. Its scope includes the analysis and control of hazards associated with nuclear energy, operations involving fissionable materials, and the products of nuclear fission and their effects on the environment. Primary emphasis is on safety in reactor design, construction, and operation; however, the safety aspects of the entire fuel cycle, including fuel fabrication, spent-fuel processing, nuclear waste disposal, handling of radioisotopes, and environmental effects of these operations, are also treated. Table of Contents for this issue follows. GENERAL SAFETY CONSIDERATIONS: 325 Safety of Framatome Advanced Nuclear Steam Supply Systems Designs by J. A. Charles and D. Lange, 333 Book Review of Nuclear Accidents: Intervention Levels for the Protection of the Public by H. B. Piper; ACCIDENT ANALYSIS: 335 Living PRA Computer Systems by S. C. Dinsmore and H.-P. Balfanz, 343 Summary of ICAP Assessments of RELAP5/MOD2 by W. E. Driskell and R. G. Hanson; CONTROL AND INSTRUMENTATION: 352 Thermal Performance Monitoring System at Maanshan Nuclear Power Plant by H.-J. Chao, Y.-P. Lin, G.-H. Jou, L.-Y. Liao, and Y.-B. Chen; DESIGN FEATURES: 358 Warning Systems for Nuclear Power Plant Emergencies by J. H. Sorensen and D. S. Mileti; WASTE AND SPENT FUEL MANAGEMENT: 371 Activities Related to Waste Management Compiled by E G. Silver; OPERATING EXPERIENCES: 382 Steam Generator Tube Performance: Experience with Water-Cooled Nuclear Power Reactors During 1985 by O. S. Tatone and R. L. Tapping, 400 Systems Interaction Analyses: Concepts and Techniques (Part II) by M. D. Muhlheim and G. A. Murphy, 413 Reactor Shutdown Experience Compiled by J. W. Cletcher, 416 Operating U.S. Power Reactors Compiled by E G. Silver; RECENT DEVELOPMENTS: 440 General Administrative Activities Compiled by E G. Silver, 460 Reports, Standards, and Safety Guides by D. S. Queener, 466 Status of Power-Reactor Licensing Activities Compiled by E G. Silver, 470 Proposed Rule Changes as of Mar. 31, 1989; ANNOUNCEMENTS: 334 Proceedings Published, 351 CEC Seminar on Methods and Codes for Assessing the Off-Site Consequences of Nuclear Accidents, 357 Short Course on Multiphase Flow and Heat Transfer: Bases and Applications in A: The Nuclear Power Industry B: The Process Industries, 357 International Conference on Probabilistic Safety Assessment and Management, 478 International Topical Meeting on the Safety, Status, and Future of Non-Commercial Reactors and Irradiation Facilities, 475 The Authors.

11 NUCLEAR FUEL CYCLE AND FUEL MATERIALS↗

Material Control and Accounting Regulatory and Technical Considerations for Microreactors

New microreactors must comply with the Material Control and Accounting (MC&A) regulations in 10CFR74. The objective of MC&A is to verify that the nuclear material is not stolen or diverted to unauthorized users. Microreactors have unique features which pose new challenges to addressing these regulations. This work considers general approaches and methods for microreactor MC&A based on the reactor life cycles which have been proposed by microreactor vendors. One key aspect of MC&A is measurement of the nuclear material. Measurement of microreactor fuel could be especially important because the cores may be sealed for up to 20 years, preventing direct visual confirmation. Measurements could also be especially challenging due to the thick shielding designed around microreactors. This work evaluates a range of techniques used in medical, industrial, and nuclear fields. The cost, time, and performance of the techniques were estimated. Finally, for a promising technique of using in-core neutron detectors, the feasibility was analyzed in detail.

11 NUCLEAR FUEL CYCLE AND FUEL MATERIALS↗

Evaluation of Machine Learning Models for Automated Data Analysis in In-Service Nuclear Power Plant Inspections

The commercial nuclear power industry is facing a potential shortage of certified nondestructive evaluation (NDE) analysts to meet future in-service inspection demands. Automated data analysis (ADA) currently supports human inspectors in tasks such as eddy current evaluations for steam generator examinations. Machine learning (ML) systems are nearing the capability to pass performance demonstration tests for ultrasonic testing (UT) inspections of reactor pressure vessel upper head penetrations in nuclear power plants (NPPs). Current research and development is focused on assisted analysis (AA) of ADA versus fully automated examinations. This presentation will cover assessment of ML flaw detection on dissimilar metal weld (DMW) piping joints.

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗

Unraveling Anion-Specific Inhibition and Structural Modulation of Gibbsite Crystallization: Implications for Aluminum Mobility in Natural and Engineered Systems

Gibbsite (α-Al(OH) 3 , sometimes designated as γ-Al(OH) 3 ) plays a crucial role in the chemistry of aluminum in the environment and industry, yet its crystallization behavior under multianionic conditions is not well understood. Here, in this study, we investigate how six common anions─fluoride (F – ), chloride (Cl – ), bromide (Br – ), nitrate (NO 3 – ), sulfate (SO 4 2– ), and phosphate (PO 4 3– )─influence the mineralization, structure, and morphology of gibbsite at room temperature. The results show that PO 4 3– , SO 4 2– , and F – strongly inhibit gibbsite formation, stabilizing amorphous or alternative crystalline phases such as nordstrandite and cryolite. On the contrary, Cl – , Br – , and NO 3 – allow partial to complete crystallization of gibbsite without significant morphological changes. Solid-state 27 Al magic angle spinning nuclear magnetic resonance provides crucial insight into aluminum coordination environments in both crystalline and amorphous phases, distinguishing between octahedral, pentahedral, and tetrahedral Al species. The density functional theory calculations reveal a direct correlation between the Al–X bond strength and the inhibition of crystallization, following the order: PO 4 3– > SO 4 2– > F – > NO 3 – > Cl – > Br – . These findings offer molecular-scale insights into anion-specific effects on aluminum hydroxide nucleation and transformation, improving the understanding of gibbsite formation and aluminum cycling in soils, phosphate retention, contaminant immobilization, and waste treatment strategies in nuclear and industrial settings. These insights can also guide the controlled synthesis of aluminum hydroxide materials with tailored crystallinity and morphology via liquid-assisted methods.

Anions effect↗

Radiation Testing for High-Resolution Radiation-Hardened Camera System (Final CRADA Report)

The nuclear energy industry needs higher-image quality and higher rad-hard vision systems for refueling and inspection operations that are required every 12-18 months for all operating commercial reactors. During refueling operations, the serial numbers of fuel assemblies need to be visually verified in a challenging high radiation environment with dose rates on the order of 1kGy/hr. at the top of the core (approximately 10 days after shutdown). Vega Wave Systems has developed and built a radiation hard vision system that: 1. has high radiation hardness, 2. demonstrated best in the industry image quality, 3. has small size and weight, and 4. does not suffer from radiation-induced noise. ANL-1060 (02/13/2023) The proprietary Enduray vision system from Vega Wave Systems, Inc. is designed to withstand more than 400x the radiation level of the Vidicon-based systems, currently the highest radiation tolerant system in use today. The Van De Graaff (VDG) electron accelerator at Argonne National Laboratory is ideally suited for testing of Enduray vision system. VDG provides a broad band (up to 3 MeV) x-ray source that reasonably approximates the energy and spectrum of the gamma radiation expected at the top of a nuclear core 10 days after shutdown (~1kGy/hr.), is easily controlled for variable tests, and will not activate the parts under radiation for ease of timely and close inspection and characterization of the system in case of operational issues.

11 NUCLEAR FUEL CYCLE AND FUEL MATERIALS↗

Leveraging the High Flux Isotope Reactor for nuclear fuel development: a review of experiments, facilities, and capabilities

Materials testing reactors (MTRs) have been used to develop in-core nuclear fuels and materials since the outset of the nuclear power industry. However, the closure of prominent MTRs worldwide and protracted construction timelines for new facilities have increased reliance on existing infrastructure for near-term irradiation testing needs. One facility that can support these needs is the High Flux Isotope Reactor (HFIR) at Oak Ridge National Laboratory. HFIR boasts the highest steady-state neutron flux in the Western Hemisphere and, among other roles, has been used to rapidly administer high fluences on fuels and materials for fission and fusion reactor applications. This paper reviews HFIR facilities and infrastructure, fuel-bearing irradiation experiments conducted in HFIR, and select nonfueled experiments that demonstrate advanced techniques transferable to fuels experiments. Collectively, these examples underscore HFIR's potential role as a nuclear fuels testbed supporting both the existing reactor fleet and advanced reactor fuel development.

Fuel qualification↗

Material Control & Accountancy for Molten Salt Reactors (FY2021 Report)

There is significant domestic and international interest, investment, and research and development momentum to pursue advanced nuclear reactor technologies. Molten salt reactor (MSR) concepts display the largest variability in fuel type and design features among the current advanced concepts. MSRs have been proposed with various core designs, sizes (power), and fuel cycles. Salt-fueled molten salt systems represent the only advanced reactor type with fuel that is not in a solid form during operation. These “liquid-fueled” MSRs are unique from perspectives of fuel fabrication, spent irradiated fuel and waste components, licensing, and material control and accountability (MC&A) including the potential of fissile material holdup. The liquid fuel salt is the defining distinction in comparison to other advanced reactors that propose TRI-structural ISOtropic particle fuel pebbles, various coolant options (e.g., molten salts or metals, high temperature gas), or small modular alternatives using solid fuel variants including both light water reactors and non-light water reactors. MSRs are appealing to the nuclear energy industry because of the diverse reactor characteristics they can support including various neutron energy spectra, fueling requirements, fuel cycles, and/or fuel utilization. However, because of the significant deviation and diversity of a salt-fueled system compared to traditional solid fuel light water-cooled reactors (LWRs), the history, regulatory licensing framework, modeling capabilities, and supporting engineering technology are either lacking or, in some cases, nonexistent. Therefore, the research community is actively supporting advanced MSR development on many of these fronts in particular to assist MSR vendors with licensing requirements. ORNL is leading the research and development of respective MC&A approaches for salt-fueled MSRs. This report summarizes the research performed at Oak Ridge National Laboratory (ORNL) under the US Department of Energy, Office of Nuclear Energy, Advanced Reactor Safeguards (ARS) program to investigate safeguards and security by design concepts, licensing and regulatory considerations, and dynamic system-level modeling to understand radioisotope concentrations for salt-fueled MSRs. The report builds upon the previous research and literature, identifies the MC&A challenges inherent to a salt-fueled MSR, reviews current regulatory frameworks for LWRs and their applicability towards salt-fueled MSRs, summarizes the status and progress of an MSR dynamic modeling tool, and discusses a prospective MC&A approach based on the Molten Salt Demonstration Reactor (MSDR) model.

21 SPECIFIC NUCLEAR REACTORS AND ASSOCIATED PLANTS↗

A Comparison of Three Types of Computer-Based Procedures: An Experiment Using the Rancor Microworld Simulator

The nuclear power industry has historically used paper-based procedures, but a shift towards computer-based procedures (CBPs) has the potential to reduce human errors, alleviate mental workload, and improve work performance. Twenty-seven participants were randomly assigned to one of three CBP types using the Rancor Microworld Simulator, and each performed two different types of operational scenarios (startup and loss of feedwater). The three CBP types varied in levels of digitalization. It was hypothesized that there would be less favorable impressions of the most basic procedures, and that these would demonstrate lower usability than types with greater digitalization. Overall, our predictions were partially supported with some interesting caveats, specifically with some performance benefits for CBPs that provided indicators but not embedded controls. We discuss our findings in terms of optimal levels of digitalization/automation within nuclear operations and suggest pathways for future directions.

46 INSTRUMENTATION RELATED TO NUCLEAR SCIENCE AND ↗

Explaining System-Level Prognostics with Established Machine Learning Methods

System-level prognostics is crucial for ensuring reliability and enabling predictive maintenance in complex systems with interconnected components. This study presents a framework that integrates data-driven methods to predict the remaining useful life (RUL) of a subsystem under multiple and concurrent faults within a nuclear power plant system with explainable artificial intelligence (XAI). A nuclear power plant (NPP) operation was simulated to model the degradation behavior of NPP components, and four machine learning models—Gradient Boosting Regressor (GBR), Support Vector Regressor (SVR), Fully Connected Neural Network (FCNN), and Long Short-Term Memory (LSTM)—were evaluated for prognostics with a novel system RUL parameter. The LSTM model demonstrated potential superior repeatability, while SHAP (SHapley Additive exPlanations) for explainability provided consistent and trustworthy global explanations. In contrast, LIME (Local Interpretable Model-agnostic Explanations) offered localized interpretability but showed reduced stability for sequential data. Key findings include the interplay between component-level degradation and system-wide performance, with LSTM effectively capturing these dynamics through sequence-level predictions. The XAI techniques enhanced transparency by identifying critical features influencing model predictions and aligning with domain knowledge. Furthermore, this framework has significant implications for improving trust and understanding in predictive maintenance, particularly in safety-critical industries like nuclear energy.

22 GENERAL STUDIES OF NUCLEAR REACTORS↗