Engineering Papers⌕ Search

SEARCH · Engineering Papers

Results for “Data Extrapolation”

Search indexed NASA NTRS and DOE OSTI research on propulsion, heat transfer, battery materials and energy systems. Follow report and document links to the original sources.

Quote a phrase for an exact phrase match. Source license links do not imply unrestricted reuse.

At least 487 records · Page 27

Coronagraphic Observations of the Lunar Sodium Exosphere 2018-2019

Remote observations of the lunar sodium corona have been obtained with the Goddard Lunar Coronagraph located at the Winer Observatory in Sonoita, Arizona. We previously reported the results of observations in the spring, 2017, observing season (Killen et al., 2019). We report herein the results of the 2018–2019 observing campaign. We show definitive effects on the corona - the extended lunar sodium exosphere above 150 km from the surface - of enhanced ion flux onto the Moon as measured by the ARTEMIS ElectroStatic Analyzer. The three observations in this dataset with the largest column abundances are associated with entrance of the Moon into the magnetosheath. The enhancement in the exosphere due to ion flux is not long-lived after the enhanced ion influx decreases, confirming the findings of Killen et al., 2012. The column abundance is greatest at both the dawn and dusk terminators as predicted and simulated by Smyth and Marconi, 1995. The cause of the increased scale height at the terminators is consistent with radiation pressure acceleration anti-sunward. We report a shallow decline of column abundance with increasing latitude which is also consistent with radiation pressure acceleration. Most of our measured scale heights are on the order of 800–1800 km, increasing at high latitudes, consistent with the data set published in Killen et al., 2019. Although the intensity extrapolated to the surface decreases with latitude, the scale height increases with latitude, so that the exospheric column decreases more slowly with increasing latitude than does a cosine function.

moon↗

2 mm GISMO Observations of the Galactic Center. I. Dust Emission

The central molecular zone, covering the inner 1° of the Galactic plane has been mapped at 2mm using the Goddard-IRAM Superconducting 2-Millimeter Observer (GISMO) bolometric camera on the 30 m IRAM telescope. The 21 resolution maps show abundant emission from cold molecular clouds, from star-forming regions, and from one of the Galactic center nonthermal filaments. In this work we use the Herschel Hi-GAL data to model the dust emission across the Galactic center. We find that a single-temperature fit can describe the 160-500 um emission for most lines of sight, if the long-wavelength dust emissivity scales as with 2.25. This dust model is extrapolated to predict the 2 mm dust emission. Subtraction of the model from the GISMO data provides a clearer look at the 2 mm emission of star-forming regions and the brightest nonthermal filament.

Arendt, Richard G.↗

ULF waves in the foreshock

We review our current knowledge of ULF waves in planetary foreshocks. Most of this knowledge comes from observations taken within a few Earth radii of the terrestrial bow shock. Terrestrial foreshock ULF waves can be divided into three types, large amplitude low frequency waves (approximately 30-s period), upstream propagating whistlers (1-Hz waves), and 3-s waves. The 30-s waves are apparently generated by back-streaming ion beams, while the 1-Hz waves are generated at the bow shock. The source of the 3-s waves has yet to be determined. In addition to issues concerning the source of ULF waves in the foreshock, the waves present a number of challenges, both in terms of data acquisition, and comparison with theory. The various waves have different coherence scales, from approximately 100 km to approximately 1 Earth radius. Thus multi-spacecraft separation strategies must be tailored to the phenomenon of interest. From a theoretical point of view, the ULF waves are observed in a plasma in which the thermal pressure is comparable to the magnetic pressure, and the rest-frame wave frequency can be moderate fraction of the proton gyro-frequency. This requires the use of kinetic plasma wave dispersion relations, rather than multi-fluid MHD. Lastly, and perhaps most significantly, ULF waves are used to probe the ambient plasma, with inferences being drawn concerning the types of energetic ion distributions within the foreshock. However, since most of the data were acquired close to the bow shock, the properties of the more distant foreshock have to be deduced mainly through extrapolation of the near-shock results. A general understanding of the wave and plasma populations within the foreshock, their interrelation, and evolution, requires additional data from the more distant foreshock.

Greenstadt, E. W.↗

Interpretation of Lidar and Satellite Data Sets Using a Global Photochemical Model

A primary goal of the NASA Tropospheric Chemistry Program (TCP) is to "contribute substantially to scientific understanding of human impacts on the global troposphere". In order to analyze global or regional trends and factors of the troposphere chemistry, for example, its oxidation capacity or composition, a continuous global/regional data coverage as well as model simulations are needed. The Global Tropospheric Experiment (GTE), a major component of the TCP, provides data vital to these questions via aircraft measurement of key trace chemical species in various remote regions of the world. Another component in NASA's effort are satellite projects for exploration of tropospheric chemistry and dynamics. A unique data product is the Tropospheric Ozone Residual (TOR) utilizing global tropospheric ozone data. Another key research tool are simulation studies of atmospheric chemistry and dynamics for the theoretical understanding of the atmosphere, the extrapolation of observed trends, and for sensitivity studies assessing a changing anthropogenic impact to air chemistry and climate. In the context with model simulations, field data derived from satellites or (airborne) field missions are needed for two purposes: 1. To initialize and validate model simulations, and 2., to interpret field data by comparison to model simulation results in order to analyze global or regional trends and deviations from standard tropospheric chemistry and transport conditions as defined by the simulations. Currently, there is neither a sufficient global data coverage available nor are existing well established global circulation models. The NASA LARC CTM model is currently not yet in a state to accomplish a sufficient tropospheric chemistry simulation, so that the current research under this cooperative agreement focuses on utilizing field data products for direct interpretation. They will be also available for model testing and a later interpretation with a finally utilized model.

Zenker, Thomas↗

Statistical Studies on Thin Cirrus from MODIS Data

The 1.38 micron channel on the MODerate resolution Imaging Spectroradiomater (MODIS) is an ideal channel to identify and quantify thin cirrus on a global basis. This channel is used to produce the cirrus reflectance product in MOD06 and also used extensively by the MODIS aerosol algorithms to mask clouds for the MOD04 product. The aerosol product uses a lower threshold of the 1.38 micron channel reflectance of 0.01. A cirrus channel reflectance of 0.01 corresponds to approximately an aerosol optical thickness of 0.10. Therefore, the ambiguity due to the minor cirrus contamination may introduce artificial optical thickness in the aerosol products. The questions arise: How prevalent are the thinnest cirrus clouds over the globe? Do they persist over specific regions and seasons? Can we distinguish between the noise of the channel and the actual cloudiness by extrapolating the cloudiness signal to very dark scenes, statistically. We analyze the Terra data, over land and ocean to answer these questions.

Li, Rong-Rong↗

Venus lower thermosphere studies

Studies undertaken in this project have sought to understand lower thermospheric structure and dynamics (less than or equal to 145 km), particularly the processes responsible. This is a region just below the reach of in-situ instruments onboard PVO (Pioneer Venus Orbiter) during the first few diurnal cycles. PVO remote airglow observations (nitric oxide, O2, visible, O 1304A) have been coupled with ground-based observations (CO densities, winds, temperatures, O2 IR nightglow) to address the behavior of lower thermospheric winds and chemistry over 95 to 150 km. This interpretation of PVO and related data is accomplished by using the NCAR Venus thermospheric general circulation model (VTGCM) (Bougher et al., 1988; 1990). This model has been modified over the last two years to improve its ability to calculate O, CO, and O2 densities, temperatures, nightglow, and subsolar-to-antisolar and zonal winds over 95 to 150 km (Bougher and Borucki, 1992). Our VTGCM studies show that: (1) O2 visible and IR nightglow distributions can be used to trace lower thermosphere / upper mesosphere winds over 100-130 km. Typically, weak zonal winds (less than or equal to 25 m/sec) and nightglow maximum patches near 0100 LT prevail. Occasionally, strong zonal winds (30-60 m/sec) and airglow patches peaking near 0300 LT characterize the Venus lower thermosphere. (2) It is clear that the dynamics of the Venus 90-130 km region is highly variable on time scales as short as an hour. This is most likely due to the time variable nature of upward propagating gravity waves, which grow in amplitude and eventually break. The resulting turbulence gives rise to local time variable eddy diffusion and momentum drag, both of which strongly impact global density and nightglow distributions. (3) The oxygen chemistry (O, O2, etc.) over 90-120 km is strongly dependent on HO(x) and CLO(x) tracer species that must be properly included in any coupled chemical dynamical model. (4) The density profiles of light species (O, CO, N, He) are strongly affected by large-scale transport by the winds. Strong eddy diffusion is not a suitable model parameterization for approximating these light species, especially for extrapolation into the region below 140 km where PVO in-situ data is lacking. Instead, the fully coupled chemical dynamical VTGCM model should be used to improve estimates of densities within the VTS3 empirical model (Hedin et al., 1983) below 140 km.

Bougher, Stephen W.↗

A Quantitative Comparison of Leading-edge Vortices in Incompressible and Supersonic Flows

When requiring quantitative data on delta-wing vortices for design purposes, low-speed results have often been extrapolated to configurations intended for supersonic operation. This practice stems from a lack of database owing to difficulties that plague measurement techniques in high-speed flows. In the present paper an attempt is made to examine this practice by comparing quantitative data on the nearwake properties of such vortices in incompressible and supersonic flows. The incompressible flow data are obtained in experiments conducted in a low-speed wind tunnel. Detailed flow-field properties, including vorticity and turbulence characteristics, obtained by hot-wire and pressure probe surveys are documented. These data are compared, wherever possible, with available data from a past work for a Mach 2.49 flow for the same wing geometry and angles-of-attack. The results indicate that quantitative similarities exist in the distributions of total pressure and swirl velocity. However, the streamwise velocity of the core exhibits different trends. The axial flow characteristics of the vortices in the two regimes are examined, and a candidate theory is discussed.

Wang, F. Y.↗

Modeling Measurement Error in Dose-Response Models of Community Annoyance to Low-Noise Supersonic Flight

The primary research goal of the forthcoming NASA Quesst mission community test campaign is to collect representative community response data in support of the development of supersonic overflight noise certification standards. Beginning in 2026, NASA will fly the novel X-59 demonstrator aircraft over select communities in United States in order to demonstrate the possibility of low-noise supersonic flight over land and to collect objective measurements and subjective data on the perceptual experience of this new noise source. It is believed that a regression of a binary perceptual response (‘highly annoyed’ or ‘not’) on estimated noise levels (doses, measured in decibels) will provide a useful dose-response relationship for regulators. However, as these estimated doses will be subject to measurement error, naïve estimators of regression coefficients are inconsistent and slopes may be subject to attenuation bias. In this presentation, I contrast functional modeling of measurement error via simulation extrapolation (SIMEX) with structural Bayesian measurement error models. These methods are applied to available data collected during two NASA risk reduction studies in California in 2011 and Texas in 2018. I’ll conclude noting that in the presence of nonnegligible measurement errors, probabilities of annoyance may be overpredicted for low noise levels and underpredicted for high noise levels, therefore, methods of correcting for measurement error will be necessary to improve the utility of the dose-response relationship for policy-making purposes.

simulation↗

2 mm GISMO Observations of the Galactic Center. I. Dust Emission

The Central Molecular Zone (CMZ), covering the inner ~1degree of the Galactic plane has been mapped at 2 mm using the GISMO bolometric camera on the 30 m IRAM telescope. The 21" resolution maps show abundant emission from cold molecular clouds, from star forming regions, and from one of the Galactic center nonthermal filaments. In this work we use the Herschel Hi-GAL data to model the dust emission across the Galactic center. We find that a single-temperature fit can describe the 160 - 500 mu m emission for most lines of sight, if the long-wavelength dust emissivity scales as lambda (exp beta) with beta approximately equal 2.25. This dust model is extrapolated to predict the 2 mm dust emission. Subtraction of the model from the GISMO data provides a clearer look at the 2 mm emission of star-forming regions and the brightest nonthermal lament.

Richard G Arendt↗

Comparison of three thrust calculation methods using in-flight thrust data

The gross thrust of an experimental airplane was determined by each method using the same flight maneuvers and generally the same data parameters. Coefficients determined from thrust stand calibrations for each of the three methods were then extrapolated to cruise flight conditions. The values of total aircraft gross thrust calculated by the three methods for cruise flight conditions agreed within + or - 3 percent. The disagreement in the values of thrust calculated by the different techniques manifested itself as a bias in the data. There was little scatter (0.5 percent) for the thrust levels examined in flight.

Hughes, D. L.↗

Grid-translation beam deflection systems for 5-cm and 30-cm diameter Kaufman thrusters.

A 5-cm grid translation mechanism has been developed capable of 10-deg beam deflection. A 2026-hour endurance test was run at a preset 10-deg deflection angle, and an extrapolated lifetime of better than 10,000 hours was obtained. Response time data for grid translation are presented. Preliminary results for a 30-cm diameter system are given, and results of a theoretical analysis of a dished grid system are discussed.

Lathem, W. C.↗

Abrasion and catastrophic rupture of lunar rocks - Some implications to the micrometeoroid flux at 1 AU.

Results from laboratory studies of hypervelocity impact against crystalline rocks, combined with estimates of the micrometeoroid flux at the lunar surface, provide a basis for calculating abrasion rates and survival times before catastrophic rupture of rocks on the lunar surface. The surface residence times observed for lunar rocks of the order of 10 m.y. (derived from the track densities of iron group nuclei) restrict the mass range of impacting particles of interest to masses less than about 1.01 gram. Extrapolation downward to smaller masses following flux distributions suggested by early satellite data and photographic meteor observations leads to absurd rates of abrasion. Consistent with the observed crater populations on the lunar rocks and with the Pegasus, Explorer, and Pioneer satellite data, the slope of the mass-flux distribution must decrease markedly for masses below 1 to .1 microgram.

Gault, D. E.↗

High temperature materials for space power systems

Future space power systems will largely be nuclear-driven or solar-driven Brayton cycle or thermionic converter systems. This paper presents some of the limited data available on the long-time properties of the superalloys and refractory metals that will have to be used in large parts of these systems. These data include vaporization rates of pure metals as a function of temperature, extrapolated stress for 1 percent creep in 10 years for selected superalloys, vacuum creep behavior of Mar M-509 at 900 C and 110 MN/sq m, extrapolated stress for 1 percent creep in 10 years for refractory alloys, and approximate useful temperature ranges for superalloys and refractory metals.

Gangler, J. J.↗

Objective analysis of tidal fields in the Atlantic and Indian Oceans

An objective analysis technique has been developed to extrapolate tidal amplitudes and phases over entire ocean basins using existing gauge data and the altimetric measurements which are now beginning to be provided by satellite oceanography. The technique was previously tested in the Lake Superior basin. The method has now been developed and applied in the Atlantic-Indian ocean basins using a 6 deg x 6 deg grid to test its essential features. The functions used in the interpolation are the eigenfunctions of the velocity potential (Proudman functions) which are computed numerically from a knowledge of the basin's bottom topography, the horizontal plan form and the necessary boundary conditions. These functions are characteristic of the particular basin. The gravitational normal modes of the basin are computed as part of the investigation, they are used to obtain the theoretical forced solutions for the tidal constituents, the latter provide the simulated data for the testing of the method and serve as a guide in choosing the most energetic modes for the objective analysis. The results of the objective analysis of the M2 and K1 tidal constituents indicate the possibility of recovering the tidal signal with a degree of accuracy well within the error bounds of present day satellite techniques.

Sanchez, B. V.↗

Tidal estimation in the Atlantic and Indian Oceans, 3 deg x 3 deg solution

An estimation technique was developed to extrapolate tidal amplitudes and phases over entire ocean basins using existing gauge data and the altimetric measurements provided by satellite oceanography. The technique was previously tested. Some results obtained by using a 3 deg by 3 deg grid are presented. The functions used in the interpolation are the eigenfunctions of the velocity (Proudman functions) which are computed numerically from a knowledge of the basin's bottom topography, the horizontal plan form and the necessary boundary conditions. These functions are characteristic of the particular basin. The gravitational normal modes of the basin are computed as part of the investigation; they are used to obtain the theoretical forced solutions for the tidal constituents. The latter can provide the simulated data for the testing of the method and serve as a guide in choosing the most energetic functions for the interpolation.

Sanchez, Braulio V.↗

Siderophile elements and the earth's formation

Two comments on a work by Murthy (1991) concerning the abundances of siderophile elements in the earth's mantle are presented. In the first comment it is asserted that the basis of Murthy's extrapolation is the assumption that the Gibbs free energy change for the partitioning reaction is independent of temperature, and as this is generally not a valid assumption thermodynamically, and as this is contradicted by most experimental data, the issue of mantle siderophile elements remains unresolved. In the second comment it is asserted that the extrapolation method used by Murthy does not appear to be valid thermodynamically, and that an extrapolation based on generally accepted thermodynamic assumptions yields different results. In a reply, Murthy takes issue with the comments.

Jones, J. H.↗

The Curious Behavior of PSR JO537-6910

We report results from an extensive timing monitoring campaign of PSR JO537-6910, the 16-ms pulsar in the Large Magellanic Cloud, The source has been monitored using the Rossi X-ray Timing Explorer since January, 1999, and at least 18 glitches in its rotation rate have been seen. Despite this extreme activity, phase-connected timing solutions are maintained between the glitches. In addition to its high rotation rate and frequent large glitches, the pulsar has other unusual characteristics. First, a precursor is sometimes seen before the large glitches in which a large phase error is detected several days before the glitch. with no measurable change in pulsar frequency. Second, the size of a glitch is correlated with the time since the previous glitch. Third, phases measured during observations for several weeks after a glitch are often slightly below the extrapolation of best-fit model for the subsequent post-glitch data. It appears that a small fraction of the sudden increase in frequency decays with an e-folding time scale of about a week. We discuss the implications of these phenomena.

Marshall, Francis E.↗

Magnetic Field in the Outer Heliosphere

Observed properties of the magnetic field in the outer heliosphere are generally well described by the Parker model but evidence has accumulated of significant departures in the components and field magnitude. The radial component is independent of solar latitude at both solar minimum and maximum implying non-radial solar wind flow near the Sun driven by differential magnetic pressure. The azimuthal component deviates from the Parker values at high latitudes as a result of the non-radial flow near the Sun that causes fields to originate at higher latitudes than those at which they are observed far from the Sun. A turning of the spiral angle toward the radial direction by tens of degrees is often observed inside co-rotating rarefaction regions (dwells). A recent model attributes this effect to a motion of the field across polar coronal hole boundaries that results in different solar wind speeds along parts of the field line. The north-south component can depart from zero for many days as a result of the tilting of the interface between fast and slow streams. Recent Voyager observations show that, during solar minimum, the field magnitude is smaller than extrapolations outward from 1 AU. This 'flux deficit,' seen earlier in Pioneer data, may be explained by any of several physical models.

outer heliosphere↗