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At least 487 records · Page 27

The effects of bias, drift, and trends in calculating anomalies for evaluating skill of seasonal-to-decadal initialized climate predictions

In initialized seasonal to decadal (S2D) predictions, model hindcasts rapidly drift away from the initial observed state and converge toward a preferred state characterized by systematic error, or bias. Bias and drift are among the greatest challenges facing initialized prediction today. Differences in trends between initial states and drifted states, combined with bias and drift, introduce complexities in calculating anomalies to assess skill of initialized predictions. We examine several methods of calculating anomalies using the Decadal Prediction Large Ensemble (DPLE) using the Community Earth System Model (CESM) initialized hindcasts and focus on Pacific and Atlantic SSTs to illustrate issues with anomaly calculations. Three methods of computing anomalies, one as differences from a long term model climatology, another as bias-adjusted differences from the previous 15 year average from observations, and a third as differences from the previous 15 year average from the model, are contrasted and each is shown to have limitations. For the first, trends in bias and drift introduce higher skill estimates earlier and later in the hindcast period due to the trends that contribute to skill. For the second, higher skill can be introduced in situations where low frequency variability in the observations is large compared to the hindcasts on timescales greater than 15 years, while lower skill can result if the predicted signal is small and the bias-correction itself produces a transition of SST anomalies to the opposite sign of those that are observed. The third method has somewhat lower skill compared to each of the others, but has less difficulties with not only the long term trends in the model climatology, but also with the unrealistic situational skill from using observations as a reference. However, the first 15 years of the hindcast period cannot be evaluated due to having to wait to accumulate the previous 15 year model climatology before the method can be applied. Here, the IPO transition in the 2014–2016 time frame from negative to positive (predicted by Meehl et al. in in Nat Commun, 10.1038/NCOMMS11718, 2016) did indeed verify using all three methods, though each provides somewhat different skill values as a result of the respective limitations. There is no clear best method, as all are roughly comparable, and each has its own set of limitations and caveats. However, all three methods show generally higher overall skill in the AMO region compared to the IPO region.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗

An improved method for direct incident solar radiation calculation from hourly solar insolation data in building energy simulation

Solar radiation considerably influences the energy consumption of buildings and the power production of building integrated photovoltaic (BIPV) systems. Hourly solar insolation (Wh/m 2 ), represented as the amount of solar irradiance collected on the ground during a 1-h period, is the most common solar radiation data available and widely used in weather files applied in building energy modeling programs (BEMPs). Because the solar beam and position vary over time, the use of hourly insolation data as the input might result in errors in the estimation of the direct incident solar radiation on a particular surface. In this study, methods used in BEMPs for direct incident solar radiation calculations are first analyzed, and an improved method adopting a new algorithm for estimating the solar irradiance is proposed. Furthermore, the algorithm assumes that the solar irradiance changes linearly within a 1-h period and can be estimated based on the solar irradiance at the half clock and slope. The collected direct normal solar irradiance data of 2016 from eight solar radiation stations in China were used to demonstrate the proposed method and evaluate its performance by comparing the results with those from three conventional methods used in BEMPs along with the ground truth measurements. In addition, in this study, factors affecting the accuracy of the calculation results are explored. The results of the estimated direct incident solar radiation show that the proposed method achieves the best accuracy, followed by the methods used in DOE-2, EnergyPlus, and DeST. The proposed method guarantees that the hourly direct solar insolation will remain the same and reflects the variation in the direct solar irradiance across a 1-h time frame. The proposed method can be adopted in BEMPs to improve the accuracy of the solar radiation calculation, thereby improving the accuracy of the simulated building performance and the BIPV production.

14 SOLAR ENERGY↗

First-principles calculation of lattice distortions in four single phase high entropy alloys with experimental validation

Exceptional properties of high entropy alloys (HEAs) are attributed to the disordered random solid solution of multiple alloying elements. Despite numerous studies, the fundamental understanding at the electronic and atomic levels is still missing. We report a comparative study of four fcc HEAs of NiFeCoCr and NiFeCoCrX (X = Mn, Cu, or Pd) based on ab initio calculations using large supercells with 500 atoms in equal composition. After fully optimizing their structures using the VASP package, their electronic structure, interatomic bonding, partial charge distribution, and mechanical properties are calculated and compared, revealing the intricate interdependence among them. A novel parameter based on the quantum mechanical metric for internal cohesion, the total bond order density (TBOD), is used to interpret the calculated properties. The highest TBOD is found in Cantor alloy NiFeCoCrMn but lower in NiFeCoCrPd. The atomic radii vary depending on their local chemical environment. The resulting lattice distortions is validated experimentally in NiFeCoCrMn and NiFeCoCrPd. Moreover, modeling of Cu and Pd clustering in the supercell shows they have lower total energy in agreement with the observation of Cu-enhanced nano-participates in NiFeCoCrCu and Pd-induced concentration wave in NiFeCoCrPd HEAs.

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗

Energy Transfer Mechanisms in Large Low-Bandgap Polymers from Time-Resolved Experiments and Nonadiabatic Molecular Dynamics Calculations

Conjugated polymers offer unprecedented chemical tunability for modulating energy transfer in a multitude of infrared light applications. In this work, we use a combination of time-resolved spectroscopic experiments and nonadiabatic molecular dynamics calculations to probe the photochemistry and nonradiative transitions in a recently synthesized narrow bandgap donor–acceptor conjugated polymer based on alternating cyclopentadithiophene and electronegative benzothiadiazole heterocycles. Using large-scale semi-empirical nonadiabatic molecular dynamics, which can treat a large 260-atom hexamer, we calculate an S 5 → S 1 lifetime of 34.75 fs, which is consistent with our time-resolved spectroscopic data. Our simulations suggest that vibronic motions of the central carbons in the cyclopentadithiophene functional groups are predominantly involved in the nonradiative transitions, and the excitation becomes more localized on a monomer fragment over time. The combined use of time-resolved experiments and nonadiabatic molecular dynamics calculations in this work provides mechanistic insight into chemical functionalities that can be tuned to enhance energy transfer in other prospective low-bandgap polymer materials.

37 INORGANIC, ORGANIC, PHYSICAL, AND ANALYTICAL CH↗

Elucidating Biomass-Derived Pyrolytic Lignin Structures from Demethylation Reactions through Density Functional Theory Calculations

Pyrolytic lignin is a fraction of pyrolysis oil that contains a wide range of phenolic compounds that can be used as intermediates to produce fuels and chemicals. However, the characteristics of the raw lignin structure make it difficult to establish a pyrolysis mechanism and determine pyrolytic lignin structures. Herein this study proposes dimer, trimer, and tetramer structures based on their relative thermodynamic stability for a hardwood lignin model in pyrolysis. Different configurations of oligomers were evaluated by varying the positions of the guaiacyl (G) and syringyl (S) units and the bonds βO4 and β5 in the hardwood model lignin through electronic structure calculations. The homolytic cleavage of βO4 bonds is assumed to occur and generate two free radical fragments. These can stabilize by taking hydrogen radicals that may be in solution during the intermediate liquid (pathway 1) formation before the thermal ejection. An alternative pathway (pathway 2) could occur when the radicals use intramolecular hydrogen, turning themselves into stable products. Subsequently, a demethylation reaction can take place, thus generating a methane molecule and new oligomeric lignin-derived molecules. The most probable resulting structures were studied. We used FTIR and NMR spectra of selected model compounds to evaluate our calculation approach. Thermophysical properties were calculated using group contribution methods. The results give insights into the lignin oligomer structures and how these molecules are formed. They also provide helpful information for the design of pyrolysis oil separation and upgrading equipment.

09 BIOMASS FUELS↗

GPU Acceleration of Large-Scale Full-Frequency GW Calculations

Many-body perturbation theory is a powerful method to simulate electronic excitations in molecules and materials starting from the output of density functional theory calculations. By implementing the theory efficiently so as to run at scale on the latest leadership high-performance computing systems it is possible to extend the scope of GW calculations. Here, we present a GPU acceleration study of the full-frequency GW method as implemented in the WEST code. Excellent performance is achieved through the use of (i) optimized GPU libraries, e.g., cuFFT and cuBLAS, (ii) a hierarchical parallelization strategy that minimizes CPU-CPU, CPU-GPU, and GPU-GPU data transfer operations, (iii) nonblocking MPI communications that overlap with GPU computations, and (iv) mixed precision in selected portions of the code. A series of performance benchmarks has been carried out on leadership high-performance computing systems, showing a substantial speedup of the GPU-accelerated version of WEST with respect to its CPU version. Good strong and weak scaling is demonstrated using up to 25 920 GPUs. Finally, we showcase the capability of the GPU version of WEST for large-scale, full-frequency GW calculations of realistic systems, e.g., a nanostructure, an interface, and a defect, comprising up to 10 368 valence electrons.

37 INORGANIC, ORGANIC, PHYSICAL, AND ANALYTICAL CH↗

Efficient Calculation of NMR Shielding Constants Using Composite Method Approximations and Locally Dense Basis Sets

This paper presents a systematic study of applying composite method approximations with locally dense basis sets (LDBS) to efficiently calculate NMR shielding constants in small and medium-sized molecules. The pcSseg-n series of basis sets are shown to have similar accuracy to the pcS-n series when n ≥ 1 and can slightly reduce computational costs. We identify two different LDBS partition schemes that perform very effectively for density functional calculations. Here, we select a large subset of the recent NS372 database containing 290 H, C, N, and O shielding values evaluated by reference methods on 106 molecules to carefully assess methods of the high, medium, and low computational costs to make practical recommendations. Our assessment covers conventional electronic structure methods (density functional theory and wave function) with global basis calculations, as well as their use in one of the satisfactory LDBS approaches, and a range of composite approaches, also with and without LDBS. Altogether 99 methods are evaluated. On this basis, we recommend different methods to reach three different levels of accuracy and time requirements across the four nuclei considered.

37 INORGANIC, ORGANIC, PHYSICAL, AND ANALYTICAL CH↗

Comparison of Computational Strategies for the Calculation of the Electronic Coupling in Intermolecular Energy and Electron Transport Processes

Electronic couplings in intermolecular electron and energy transfer processes calculated by six different existing computational techniques are compared to nonorthogonal configuration interaction for fragments (NOCI-F) results. The paper addresses the calculation of the electronic coupling in diketopyrrolopyrol, tetracene, 5,5'-difluoroindigo, and benzene–Cl for hole and electron transport, as well as the local exciton and singlet fission coupling. NOCI-F provides a rigorous computational scheme to calculate these couplings, but its computational cost is rather elevated. The here-considered ab initio Frenkel–Davydov (AIFD), Dimer projection (DIPRO), transition dipole moment coupling, Michl–Smith, effective Hamiltonian, and Mulliken–Hush approaches are computationally less demanding, and the comparison with the NOCI-F results shows that the NOCI-F results in the couplings for hole and electron transport are rather accurately predicted by the more approximate schemes but that the NOCI-F exciton transfer and singlet fission couplings are more difficult to reproduce.

37 INORGANIC, ORGANIC, PHYSICAL, AND ANALYTICAL CH↗

Performance of Diffusion Monte Carlo Calculations for Predicting the Relative Energies of Quinoidal and Nonquinoidal Species

Coupled cluster singles and doubles with perturbative triples [CCSD(T)] and single determinant fixed-node diffusion Monte Carlo (SD-DMC) have emerged as two of the most useful methods for providing benchmark reaction and interaction energies of chemical systems without strong static correlation. The errors in DMC energies are dominated by an inexact description of the nodal surfaces for electron exchange. One of the main approaches to addressing the fixed-node error is to use multideterminant (MD) trial wave functions. We consider here the energy differences between pairs of related molecules with aromatic and quinoidal structures as well as between quinoidal isomers. Quinoidal systems tend to have some diradical character, leading one to anticipate that SD-DMC calculations may face challenges in accurately describing their energetics. The MD trial wave functions were generated from the complete active space calculations. A comparison is made with the predictions of well-converged CCSD(T) calculations.

basis sets↗

An investigation of high entropy alloy conductivity using first-principles calculations

The Kubo–Greenwood equation, in combination with the first-principles Korringa–Kohn–Rostoker coherent potential approximation (KKR-CPA) can be used to calculate the DC residual resistivity of random alloys at T = 0 K. We implemented this method in a multiple scattering theory based ab initio package, MuST, and applied it to the ab initio study of the residual resistivity of the high entropy alloy Al x CoCrFeNi as a function of x. The calculated resistivities are compared with experimental data. We also predict the residual resistivity of refractory high entropy alloy MoNbTaV x W. Furthermore, the calculated resistivity trends are also explained using theoretical arguments.

75 CONDENSED MATTER PHYSICS, SUPERCONDUCTIVITY AND↗

Revisiting the pseudo-supercritical path method: An improved formulation for the alchemical calculation of solid–liquid coexistence

Alchemical free energy calculations via molecular dynamics have been applied to obtain thermodynamic properties related to solid–liquid equilibrium conditions, such as melting points. In recent years, the pseudo-supercritical path (PSCP) method has proved to be an important approach to melting point prediction due to its flexibility and applicability. In the present work, we propose improvements to the PSCP alchemical cycle to make it more compact and efficient through a concerted evaluation of different potential energies. The multistate Bennett acceptance ratio (MBAR) estimator was applied at all stages of the new cycle to provide greater accuracy and uniformity, which is essential concerning uncertainty calculations. In particular, for the multistate expansion stage from solid to liquid, we employed the MBAR estimator with a reduced energy function that allows affine transformations of coordinates. Free energy and mean derivative profiles were calculated at different cycle stages for argon, triazole, propenal, and the ionic liquid 1-ethyl-3-methyl-imidazolium hexafluorophosphate. Comparisons showed a better performance of the proposed method than the original PSCP cycle for systems with higher complexity, especially the ionic liquid. Furthermore, a detailed study of the expansion stage revealed that remapping the centers of mass of the molecules or ions is preferable to remapping the coordinates of each atom, yielding better overlap between adjacent states and improving the accuracy of the methodology.

25 ENERGY STORAGE↗

Non-Hermitian Quantum Mechanics Approach for Extracting and Emulating Continuum Physics Based on Bound-State-like Calculations

Here, this Letter introduces a unified emulation framework for studying continuum physics in finite quantum systems. Using a reduced basis method, we construct powerful emulators for the inhomogeneous Schrödinger equation that operate in a combined parameter space of complex energy (𝐸) and other inputs (𝜽). Within the space, the emulators simultaneously perform analytical continuation in 𝐸—extracting continuum physics from numerically simpler bound-state-like calculations—and interpolate this entire process across 𝜽. This yields a small, non-Hermitian system whose properties (e.g., resonances and scattering observables) can be rapidly predicted for any 𝜽. Crucially, the complex-𝐸 emulation provides a pathway to compute continuum observables for complex systems where advanced bound-state methods exist but direct continuum calculations are yet to be developed, while the 𝜽 emulation enables rapid parameter-space exploration and can be adapted to accelerate other existing continuum calculations. Demonstrations with two- and three-body systems highlight the method’s effectiveness and suggest its connection to (near-)optimal rational approximation. This Letter presents the key results, with further details reserved for a companion paper.

ab initio calculations↗

Relativistic configuration-interaction and many-body-perturbation-theory calculations of U i hyperfine constants

Neutral uranium (U i) is a very difficult atom for theoretical calculations due to a large number (six) of valence electrons, strong valence-valence and valence-core correlations, high density of states, and relativistic effects. Configuration-interaction many-body perturbation theory (CI-MBPT) can efficiently treat valence-core correlations and relativistic effects, but because the formalism was developed for a Dirac-Hartree-Fock (DHF) starting potential that does not contain valence electrons, quite large CI space is needed to compensate for the + 6 charge of such a potential. Much more efficient is the relativistic configuration-interaction (RCI) approach, which uses a relatively accurate starting DHF potential that includes some valence electrons to make the valence-electron Hamiltonian diagonally dominated for some states. Here we report calculations of U i hyperfine constants of several low-energy states using the RCI method with the starting potential that includes four f valence electrons. With this starting potential, it is possible to use the single-configuration approximation or small basis sets to obtain quite accurate results for hyperfine-structure constants. In fact, by scaling the nuclear magnetic moment, the agreement for five levels was within 5% and a new magnetic moment can be recommended, 0.43(2). When two states are mixed, it is difficult to predict the exact mixing fractions, so in this case we proposed a method in which the mixing fraction is found by optimization of one parameter in the MBPT correction to obtain correct g factors. The resulting hyperfine constants are significantly improved. Finally, the CI-MBPT approach was also tested, with some success for low-energy states, with the limited basis set. The methods investigated here can be further developed to include more extensive data sets to improve accuracy and can be applied to other atoms and for calculations of other properties, for example, relevant to fundamental symmetry tests.

73 NUCLEAR PHYSICS AND RADIATION PHYSICS↗

Quasiparticle self-consistent $GW$ energy band calculations for $\mathrm{Ge_3N_4}$ phases

Quasiparticle self-consistent GW (G Green's function, W screened Coulomb interaction) band structure calculations are presented for the α, β, and γ phases of Ge 3 N 4 . The GW corrections to the gap are substantial and the gaps are found to be 3.85, 3.86, and 3.56 eV for α, β, γ respectively, at the experimental lattice constants. Only the β phase has a direct gap. The α and β phases, which are closely related to each other in crystal structure, are consequently also found to have rather similar band structures. Nonetheless, some significant differences are found near the valence band maximum, which are related to the different interlayer interactions in the c direction. In the cubic spinel phase, the conduction band minima of s and p character are found close to each other. Effective masses are calculated for the relevant valence and conduction band edges and for the cubic case analyzed in terms of the Kohn-Luttinger effective Hamiltonian. Finally, the optical response functions from direct interband transitions are calculated.

75 CONDENSED MATTER PHYSICS, SUPERCONDUCTIVITY AND↗

$O(N)$ ab initio calculation scheme for large-scale moiré structures

Here we present a two-step method specifically tailored for band structure calculation of the small-angle moiré-pattern materials which contain tens of thousands of atoms in a unit cell. In the first step, the self-consistent field calculation for the ground state is performed with the O(N) Krylov subspace method implemented in openmx. Second, the crystal momentum-dependent Bloch Hamiltonian and overlap matrix are constructed from the results obtained in the first step and only a small number of eigenvalues near the Fermi energy are solved with shift-invert and Lanczos techniques. By systematically tuning two key parameters, the cutoff radius for electron hopping interaction and the dimension of the Krylov subspace, we obtained the band structures for both rigid and corrugated twisted bilayer graphene structures down to the first magic angle (θ = 1.08°) with high enough accuracy at affordable costs. The band structures are in good agreement with those from tight-binding models, continuum models, plane-wave pseudopotential based ab initio calculations, and experimental observations. This method is also shown to be efficient in twisted double-bilayer graphene and bilayer WSe 2 . We think this two-step method can play a crucial role in other twisted two-dimensional materials, especially those with much more complex band structure and where the effective model is hard to construct.

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗

Ab initio calculations of third-order elastic coefficients

Third-order elasticity (TOE) theory predicts strain-induced changes in second-order elastic coefficients (SOECs) and can model elastic wave propagation in stressed media. Although third-order elastic tensors have been determined based on first principles in previous studies, their current definition is based on an expansion of thermodynamic energy in terms of the Lagrangian strain near the natural, or zero pressure, reference state. This definition is inconvenient for predictions of SOECs under significant initial stresses. Therefore, when TOE theory is necessary to study the strain dependence of elasticity, the seismological community has resorted to an empirical version of the theory. This study reviews the thermodynamic definition of the third-order elastic tensor and proposes using an “effective” third-order elastic tensor. An explicit expression for the effective third-order elastic tensor is given and verified. Additionally, we extend the ab initio approach to calculate third-order elastic tensors under finite pressure and apply it to two cubic systems, namely, NaCl and MgO. As applications and validations, we evaluate (a) strain-induced changes in SOECs and (b) pressure derivatives of SOECs based on ab initio calculations. Good agreement between third-order elasticity-based predictions and numerically calculated values confirms the validity of our theory.

75 CONDENSED MATTER PHYSICS, SUPERCONDUCTIVITY AND↗

Time-dependent density-functional-theory calculations of the nonlocal electron stopping range for inertial confinement fusion applications

Nonlocal electron transport is important for understanding laser-target coupling for laser-direct-drive (LDD) inertial confinement fusion (ICF) simulations. Current models for the nonlocal electron mean free path in radiation-hydrodynamic codes are based on plasma-physics models developed decades ago; improvements are needed to accurately predict the electron conduction in LDD simulations of ICF target implosions. Here we utilized time-dependent density functional theory (TD-DFT) to calculate the electron stopping power (SP) in the so-called conduction-zone plasmas of polystyrene in a wide range of densities and temperatures relevant to LDD. Compared with the modified Lee-More model, the TD-DFT calculations indicated a lower SP and a higher stopping range for nonlocal electrons. We fit these electron SP calculations to obtain a global analytical model for the electron stopping range as a function of plasma conditions and the nonlocal electron kinetic energy. This model was implemented in the one-dimensional radiation-hydrodynamic code LILAC to perform simulations of LDD ICF implosions, which are further compared with simulations by the standard modified Lee-More model. In conclusion, results from these integrated simulations are discussed in terms of the implications of this TD-DFT-based mean-free-path model to ICF simulations.

70 PLASMA PHYSICS AND FUSION TECHNOLOGY↗

Voltage Calculations in Secondary Distribution Networks via Physics-Inspired Neural Network Using Smart Meter Data

The increasing penetration of distributed energy resources (DERs) leads to voltage issues across distribution networks, necessitating voltage calculations by utilities. Electric model-free voltage calculation offers an enticing solution. However, most researches mainly focus on primary distribution networks ignoring secondary distribution networks and commonly overlook extreme voltage case calculations, which require the model’s extrapolation abilities. Here, in addressing the gaps, this paper presents a customized physics-inspired neural network (PINN) model, the structure of which is inspired by the derived coupled power flow model of primary-secondary distribution networks. To ensure precision and rapid convergence, a crafted training framework for the PINN model is proposed. The PINN’s “structure-mimetic” design enables superior extrapolation for unseen scenarios and enhances physical information awareness. We demonstrate this through two applications: hosting capacity analysis and customer-transformer connectivity. The effectiveness and advantages of the proposed PINN model are validated on two public testing systems and one utility distribution feeder model.

Distribution network↗