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At least 469 records · Page 26

Modeling the corrosion of steel casing and the damage of well cement in a borehole system

This work presents the effect of chloride-induced corrosion in an underground borehole system, specifically considering the steel casing and further damage to the surrounding cement. In the past four decades, oil well cement has been successfully used for underground construction. However, high concentrations of chloride ions gradually degrade the functionality and durability of well cement. Gasses and liquids can leak from deterioration caused by chloride ions, and thus motivate this study. The chemo-mechanical coupling diffusion model and a classical fracture mechanics model are applied. The model is validated with OPC concrete corrosion data from literature, and then applied to well cement using experimentally obtained material property data. The time when crack initiation, peak pressure, and complete fracture is reached in the model of the cement sheath provides a quantification of the expected service life of the borehole system.

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗

O’Hare Airport Short-Term Ground Transportation Modal Demand Forecast Using Gaussian Processes

Here, the principal objective of this study is to analyze the spatial and temporal variation of ground transportation airport demand and provide demand forecast to inform planning capability and explore alternatives for investments to accommodate airport growth. Because of its good adaptability and strong generalization ability for dealing with high-dimensional input, small-sample, and nonlinear spatial data, Gaussian process (GP) regression is used to provide forecast estimates using data from transportation network company (TNC) trips and urban rail passengers at Chicago's O'Hare International Airport. TNC airport trips differ significantly, with three times more distance, more than twice the travel time, and half of the share requests compared with nonairport trips. This highlights the need for separate demand models. Hourly analysis of the rail service indicates that this is likely heavily used by airport workers, whereas TNC services focus on travelers because of variations in the peak demand hours. Heteroscedastic GP regression is implemented because of differences in trip variance between night and day hours. Estimates are given for weekdays and weekend trips, and the 95% confidence intervals are calculated. The introduction of flight schedule information into the models shows marginal improvements in their performance. However, fitting a GP regression becomes computationally expensive with increased sample size and the introduction of spatial components. Transportation planners and policymakers can use the results and methods implemented in this study to optimize transportation assets and provide long-range simulations of the current and future conditions in the area.

42 ENGINEERING↗

Component Importance and Interdependence Analysis for Transmission, Distribution and Communication Systems

For critical infrastructure restoration planning, the real-time scheduling and coordination of system restoration efforts, the key in decision-making is to prioritize those critical components that are out of service during the restoration. For this purpose, there is a need for component importance analysis. While it has been investigated extensively for individual systems, component importance considering interdependence among transmission, distribution and communication (T&D&C) systems has not been systematically analyzed and widely adopted. In this study, we propose a component importance assessment method in the context of interdependence between T&D&C networks. Analytic methods for multilayer networks and a set of metrics have been applied for assessing the component importance and interdependence between T&D&C networks based on their physical characteristics. The proposed methodology is further validated with integrated synthetic Illinois regional transmission, distribution, and communication (T&D&C) systems, the results reveal the unique characteristics of component/node importance, which are strongly affected by the network topologies and cross-domain node mapping.

24 POWER TRANSMISSION AND DISTRIBUTION↗

ESGF Future Architecture Report (V.1.1)

This document reports the findings of the Earth System Grid Federation Future Architecture Face-to-Face Meeting held in the UK 5-7 November 2019, attended by technical representatives from the ESGF partner organisations. ESGF is an International federated archive that provides access to Earth science data. It is fundamentally a distributed file management system with its main function being data dissemination through the provision of services for efficient replication and search. It has been in operation for over ten years and has undergone continuous improvements and enhancements over this time span. The Future Architecture is a major review of the software system including a fundamental reassessment of its requirements with a view to develop a new overall system architecture. This has been initiated in the light of challenges around the maintenance of the existing software legacy and a changing technology landscape and practices in the communities it serves. The work is being carried out under the oversight of the ESGF Executive Committee1,2 and is coordinated activity between ESGF and the European IS-ENES3 project.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗

Demonstration and Evaluation of Lightweight High Performance Quad-Pane Windows

Ten high-performance quad-pane windows (five quad-pane with suspended film and five quad-pane with thin glass) were installed at Building 41 of the Denver Federal Center in Colorado as part of a demonstration project to assess their thermal performance, life cycle costs, and deployment potential for replacing older single-pane windows. The U.S. Department of Energy's National Renewable Energy Laboratory performed several different evaluations to assess the viability of the quad-pane windows for GSA applications. Some of these assessments were performed with models, while others required onsite evaluations including time series measurements.

32 ENERGY CONSERVATION, CONSUMPTION, AND UTILIZATI↗

Resilience Enhancements through Deep Learning Yields

This report documents the Resilience Enhancements through Deep Learning Yields (REDLY) project, a three-year effort to improve electrical grid resilience by developing scalable methods for system operators to protect the grid against threats leading to interrupted service or physical damage. The computational complexity and uncertain nature of current real-world contingency analysis presents significant barriers to automated, real-time monitoring. While there has been a significant push to explore the use of accurate, high-performance machine learning (ML) model surrogates to address this gap, their reliability is unclear when deployed in high-consequence applications such as power grid systems. Contemporary optimization techniques used to validate surrogate performance can exploit ML model prediction errors, which necessitates the verification of worst-case performance for the models.

24 POWER TRANSMISSION AND DISTRIBUTION↗

Improving the Representation of Hydropower in Production Cost Models

One of the challenges of a high-renewable, low-carbon system is that grid operators will no longer be able to count on fossil-fired generation should wind miss its forecast or modeling errors create shortage issues, and this change has operational and reliability implications that affect variable renewable energy integration. Hydropower can help in that it can provide many of the services that have been traditionally provided by fossil generation. However, getting the most from hydropower can be challenging in that its capabilities vary with time and are affected by other water users' needs, two complexities that are not well represented in most of today's production cost models (PCMs). This work is an early step in addressing these gaps and making the most of hydropower's capabilities.

cost model↗

It's Not Just About the Megawatts - ARC Industry Forum, The Future of Power Generation

As the world transitions to less carbon intensive energy portfolios, much of the attention understandably centers on generating capacity – replacing megawatts of fossil fuel with megawatts of solar, wind, nuclear, hydroelectric, hydrogen, and more. The actual operation of a reliable grid needs more than just megawatts though: adequate quantities of a portfolio of essential reliability services; flexible and capable power delivery systems; governance to operate in 5-10 minute intervals, forecast hourly, and plan and build on a generational time horizon; and dependable and secure communications. We can choose our fuel mix for climate reasons, but the grid itself and the society that relies upon it impose constraints on those choices that we ignore at our peril.

13 HYDRO ENERGY↗

If you build it, will they come? Insect community responses to habitat establishment at solar energy facilities in Minnesota, USA

Abstract Global declines in insect populations have important implications for biodiversity and food security. To offset these declines, habitat restoration and enhancement in agricultural landscapes could mutually safeguard insect populations and their pollination services for crop production. The expansion of utility-scale solar energy development in agricultural landscapes presents an opportunity for the dual use of the land for energy production and biodiversity conservation through the establishment of grasses and forbs planted among and between the photovoltaic solar arrays (‘solar-pollinator habitat’). We conducted a longitudinal field study across 5 years (2018–2022) to understand how insect communities responded to newly established habitat on solar energy facilities in agricultural landscapes by evaluating (1) temporal changes in flowering plant abundance and diversity; (2) temporal changes in insect abundance and diversity; and (3) the pollination services of solar-pollinator habitat by comparing pollinator visitation to agricultural fields near solar-pollinator habitat with other agricultural field locations. We found increases over time for all habitat and biodiversity metrics: floral rank, flowering plant species richness, insect group diversity, native bee abundance, and total insect abundance, with the most noticeable temporal increases in native bee abundance. We also found positive effects of proximity to solar-pollinator habitat on bee visitation to nearby soybean ( Glycine max ) fields. Bee visitation to soybean flowers adjacent to solar-pollinator habitat were comparable to bee visitation to soybeans adjacent to grassland areas enrolled in the Conservation Reserve Program, and greater than bee visitation to soybean field interior and roadside soybean flowers. Our observations highlight the relatively rapid (<4 year) insect community responses to grassland restoration activities and provide support for solar-pollinator habitat as a feasible conservation practice to safeguard biodiversity and increase food security in agricultural landscapes.

14 SOLAR ENERGY↗

Advanced Power-Hardware-in-the-Loop Evaluation of Inverter-Based Resources (IBRs)

Power-hardware-in-the-loop evaluation of IBRs has become more and more important as it provides reliable testing results to investigate the real responses of inverters with interconnected systems. A successful laboratory PHIL testing gives confidence of the hardware system to be deployed and de-risk technology integration prior to field deployment. So far, there are two important applications for PHIL evaluation: (1) test stability and functionality of large utility inverters into the system when it interconnects to the distribution systems/microgrids; and (2) test the collective grid service that inverters can provide to the grid. For the first application, the PHIL evaluation has high requirements for the stability and accuracy of the PHIL interface as the close-loop in digital real time simulator (DRTS) should replicate the actual current and voltage dynamics in the inverter. This is challenging because of the delays, sensing errors, nonlinearities of inverters, and hardware bandwidth limitations of the elements in the HIL loop. For the second application, multiple inverters will be tested resulting in multiple PCCs, which naturally causes competing dynamics and oscillations among hardware inverters if traditional PHIL interface is used. Therefore, new PHIL interface should be developed to compromise between stability and accuracy and represent the dispatched grid services for the hardware inverters. In this presentation, we will share our latest work in developing PHIL interface in these two applications to address the two key challenges.

DERMS↗

Strain Gauge Diagnostic Development for use in Vessel Health Monitoring for Hydro-shots

Six-foot vessels are a crucial component to protecting high fidelity equipment at DARHT. Analysis shows these vessels have a limited life span (~10 shots) due to fatigue, ratcheting, and damage accumulation. Vessel health monitoring and diagnostics can help inform decision on a vessel’s fitness for service. Strain gauges are an easy and effective sensor for use in vessel health monitoring. In early March, J-2 executed a qualification shot, uniform blast loading with minimal fragments, with bi-axial strain gauges fielded at four locations around vessel. Several damage features were extracted from the data, and frequency content helps to validate computer modelling of the vessel response. Permanent plastic strain at each location was significant with location one having the most strain at the end state, with 230 micro-strain. However, residual pressure in the vessel could be a major factor in this strain. PEEQ is a measure of total plastic equivalent strain accumulation. The equivalent strain at location one exceeded the plastic strain limit four times and accumulated the most PEEQ with 2036 micro-strain. As expected, this qualification shot did contribute to damage in the vessel, and should be considered in its fitness for service, but not critical enough to pull it from service. Frequency content also gave valuable information on the modal response of the vessel and contributes to the understanding of how the vessel responds to the initial blast load with an expected lower frequency membrane/breathing mode and transitioning to higher frequency bending modes in the vessel wall.

42 ENGINEERING↗

Assessment of Aging Degradation Mechanisms of Alloy 709 for Sodium Fast Reactors

This project was initiated in October 2015 to investigate the creep and creep-fatigue behavior of Alloy 709 for structural components in Gen IV sodium cooled fast spectrum reactors. The goal of this project is to develop an understanding of the mechanisms responsible for the behavior of austenitic stainless steel alloy 709 under accelerated testing conditions to confidently predict long term creep and creep-fatigue behavior at the times (500,000 hours) and temperatures (550°C) of interest for fast reactor structural applications. Alloy 709 has exhibited significantly better creep resistance than Alloy 316H, which is currently specified in design of fast reactor structural components. However, the alloy has not been code qualified for elevated temperature nuclear design. The elevated temperature microstructure stability and creep and creep-fatigue behavior need to be better understood so service life can be accurately predicted. Alloy 709 was developed for fossil boiler applications, which operate at a higher temperature than the nuclear components. Thus, there is a strong need to characterize its creep and creep-fatigue behavior at these lower temperatures and corresponding longer service lifetimes. The overall objective of this project is to develop sufficient understanding of the mechanisms responsible for behavior of Alloy 709 under accelerated testing conditions to confidently predict long term creep and creep-fatigue behavior at the times (500,000 hours) and temperatures (550°C) of interest for fast reactor structural applications. The following report summarizes the findings of the creep-fatigue and creep behavior with respect to the research questions identified during the course of the project. Additionally, the training and professional development that occurred through the project and the products resulting from the project are summarized.

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗

Advancing ocean monitoring and knowledge for societal benefit: the urgency to expand Argo to OneArgo by 2030

The ocean plays an essential role in regulating Earth’s climate, influencing weather conditions, providing sustenance for large populations, moderating anthropogenic climate change, encompassing massive biodiversity, and sustaining the global economy. Human activities are changing the oceans, stressing ocean health, threatening the critical services the ocean provides to society, with significant consequences for human well-being and safety, and economic prosperity. Effective and sustainable monitoring of the physical, biogeochemical state and ecosystem structure of the ocean, to enable climate adaptation, carbon management and sustainable marine resource management is urgently needed. The Argo program, a cornerstone of the Global Ocean Observing System (GOOS), has revolutionized ocean observation by providing real-time, freely accessible global temperature and salinity data of the upper 2,000m of the ocean (Core Argo) using cost-effective simple robotics. For the past 25 years, Argo data have underpinned many ocean, climate and weather forecasting services, playing a fundamental role in safeguarding goods and lives. Argo data have enabled clearer assessments of ocean warming, sea level change and underlying driving processes, as well as scientific breakthroughs while supporting public awareness and education. Building on Argo’s success, OneArgo aims to greatly expand Argo’s capabilities by 2030, expanding to full-ocean depth, collecting biogeochemical parameters, and observing the rapidly changing polar regions. Providing a synergistic subsurface and global extension to several key space-based Earth Observation missions and GOOS components, OneArgo will enable biogeochemical and ecosystem forecasting and new long-term climate predictions for which the deep ocean is a key component. Driving forward a revolution in our understanding of marine ecosystems and the poorly-measured polar and deep oceans, OneArgo will be instrumental to assess sea level change, ocean carbon fluxes, acidification and deoxygenation. Emerging OneArgo applications include new views of ocean mixing, ocean bathymetry and sediment transport, and ecosystem resilience assessment. Implementing OneArgo requires about $100 million annually, a significant increase compared to present Argo funding. OneArgo is a strategic and cost-effective investment which will provide decision-makers, in both government and industry, with the critical knowledge needed to navigate the present and future environmental challenges, and safeguard both the ocean and human wellbeing for generations to come.

ARGO↗

Model predictive control for integrated control of air-conditioning and mechanical ventilation, lighting and shading systems

Modern buildings are increasingly automated and often equipped with multiple building services (e.g., air-conditioning and mechanical ventilation (ACMV), dynamic shading, dimmable lighting). These systems are conventionally controlled individually without considering their interactions, affecting the building’s overall energy inefficiency and occupant comfort. A model predictive control (MPC) system that features a multi-objective MPC scheme to enable coordinated control of multiple building services for overall optimized energy efficiency, indoor thermal and visual comfort, as well as a hybrid model for predicting indoor visual comfort and lighting power is proposed. The MPC system was implemented in a test facility having two identical, side-by-side experimental cells to facilitate comparison with a building management system (BMS) employing conventional reactive feedback control. The MPC system coordinated the control of the ACMV, dynamic façade and automated dimmable lighting systems in one cell while the BMS controlled the building services in the other cell in a conventional manner. The MPC side achieved 15.1–20.7% electricity consumption reduction, as compared to the BMS side. Simultaneously, the MPC system improved indoor thermal comfort by maintaining the room within the comfortable range (-0.5 < predicted mean vote < 0.5) for 98.3% of the time, up from 91.8% of the time on the BMS side. Visual comfort, measured by indoor daylight glare probability (DGP) and horizontal illuminance level at work plane height, was maintained for the entire test period on the MPC side, improving from having visual comfort for 94.5% and 85.7% of the time, respectively, on the BMS side.

32 ENERGY CONSERVATION, CONSUMPTION, AND UTILIZATI↗

Decomposing sources of value for electricity and negative emissions technologies in net-zero power systems

Deep decarbonization of the US power system would require rapid deployment of variable renewable energy (VRE) resources, which are projected to provide a substantial share of electricity generation at the time of net-zero emissions. However, the exact share of generation met by VRE and the roles of other technologies in supplying key electricity services—energy and firm capacity—remain uncertain. This study employs a detailed model of the US power sector to decompose the provision and value of electricity services, including negative emissions, by technology across a range of deep decarbonization scenarios. Results indicate that while technology deployment and the share of services provided by each technology vary significantly depending on future technological and market conditions, the value composition and future roles of individual technologies remain consistent. These findings offer guidance for research and development priorities and provide insights to inform electricity policy and planning.

29 ENERGY PLANNING, POLICY, AND ECONOMY↗

A Survey of Direct Heating Equipment Market Actors in California

Direct Heating Equipment (DHE) is a category of ductless space heating appliances that provide warm air directly to the space where they are installed. We investigate, from the perspective of the DHE supply chain in California, what types of DHE are marketed in the state, how they are sold and serviced, and whether any potential barriers to adoption of high-efficiency DHE exist. We find that the market for DHE in the state is almost exclusively a replacement market, with some additional repair and maintenance services. We also find that, even though manufacturers sell high-efficiency DHE models in California, most contractors report installing baseline models most of the time. Contractors say their customers do not see any value in high-efficiency units, and they (contractors) do not believe that high-efficiency DHE is worth the additional cost to their customers. In addition, the majority of contractors purchase DHE from distributors and, therefore, distributors are a key piece of the supply chain that can constrain DHE purchase choice. Distributors do not see a demand for high-efficiency DHE and, hence, do not keep stock of these units. They argue that, since the market is driven mostly by replacements and these replacements occur typically in an unplanned way, homeowners are unwilling to pay for any additional costs associated with a high-efficiency model. Rather, homeowners usually prefer to replace the failed unit with a new unit that can fit in the same location with no- or minimal additional replacement costs. Considering that most DHE purchases are made by contractors, on behalf of their customers, informing contractors (and homeowners) of the potential cost-effectiveness of efficient DHE could help mitigate some of the barriers to the adoption of high-efficiency DHE in the state. In addition, monetary incentives and more stringent building codes that apply to DHE replacements can contribute to increasing adoption of high-efficiency DHE in California. This will not only reduce energy costs, but also increase safety and comfort to DHE users.

32 ENERGY CONSERVATION, CONSUMPTION, AND UTILIZATI↗

Characterization of Harsh Environments, At-Risk Microgrid Components, and Hardening Technologies (Report Version 0.1)

Microgrid implementation can help improve electrical service, reliability, and resilience for localized communities. However, they may be susceptible to damage from natural disasters and extreme weather events, which often coincide with times of greater community dependence on microgrids due to likely increased vulnerability of equipment on the main grid. Microgrid equipment can be protected against these hazards through various hardening techniques. The selection of hardening mitigations may depend on the actual risk of the hazard in the specific location and for the specific type of system, as well as cost and feasibility factors. This report summarizes a framework that can be used to characterize risk to a microgrid system from a list of natural hazards enumerated by FEMA. We also describe hardening techniques and mitigations that can be used for specific energy generation, storage, loads, and power delivery elements within a microgrid.

24 POWER TRANSMISSION AND DISTRIBUTION↗

Scalable DAQ system operating the CHIPS-5 neutrino detector

The CHIPS R&D project focuses on development of low-cost water Cherenkov neutrino detectors through novel design strategies and resourceful engineering. This work presents an end-to-end DAQ solution intended for a recent 5 kt CHIPS prototype, which is largely based on affordable mass-produced components. Much like the detector itself, the presented instrumentation is composed of modular arrays that can be scaled up and easily serviced. A single such array can carry up to 30 photomultiplier tubes (PMTs) accompanied by electronics that generate high voltage in-situ and deliver time resolution of up to 0.69 ns. In addition, the technology is compatible with the White Rabbit timing system, which can synchronize its elements to within 100 ps. While deployment issues did not permit the presented DAQ system to operate beyond initial evaluation, the presented hardware and software successfully passed numerous commissioning tests that demonstrated their viability for use in a large-scale neutrino detector, instrumented with thousands of PMTs.

46 INSTRUMENTATION RELATED TO NUCLEAR SCIENCE AND ↗