Operational risk quantification of power grids using graph neural network surrogates of the DC OPF
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Zhang, Yadong↗
SEARCH · Engineering Papers
Results for “surrogates”
Search indexed NASA NTRS and DOE OSTI research on propulsion, heat transfer, battery materials and energy systems. Follow report and document links to the original sources.
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Data augmentation for disruption prediction via robust surrogate models
The goal of this work is to generate large statistically representative data sets to train machine learning models for disruption prediction provided by data from few existing discharges. Such a comprehensive training database is important to achieve satisfying and reliable prediction results in artificial neural network classifiers. Here, we aim for a robust augmentation of the training database for multivariate time series data using Student t process regression. We apply Student t process regression in a state space formulation via Bayesian filtering to tackle challenges imposed by outliers and noise in the training data set and to reduce the computational complexity. Thus, the method can also be used if the time resolution is high. We use an uncorrelated model for each dimension and impose correlations afterwards via colouring transformations. We demonstrate the efficacy of our approach on plasma diagnostics data of three different disruption classes from the DIII-D tokamak. To evaluate if the distribution of the generated data is similar to the training data, we additionally perform statistical analyses using methods from time series analysis, descriptive statistics and classic machine learning clustering algorithms.
70 PLASMA PHYSICS AND FUSION TECHNOLOGY↗
REMOVAL OF CRO42-, A NONRADIOACTIVE SURROGATE OF 99TCO4-, USING LDH?MO3S13 NANOSHEETS
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TAYLOR-PASHOW, KATHRYN M.↗
Direct Deoxygenation of Phenol over Fe-Based Bimetallic Surfaces Using On-the-Fly Surrogate Models
We present an accelerated nudged elastic band (NEB) study of phenol direct deoxygenation (DDO) on Fe-based bimetallic surfaces using a recently developed Gaussian process regression (GPR) calculator. Our test calculations demonstrate that the GPR calculator achieves up to 3 times speedup compared to conventional density functional theory calculations while maintaining high accuracy, with energy barrier errors below 0.015 eV. Using GPR-NEB, we systematically examine the DDO mechanism on pure Fe(110) and surfaces modified with Co and Ni in both top and subsurface layers. Our results show that subsurface Co and Ni substitutions preserve favorable thermodynamics and kinetics for both C–O bond cleavage and C–H bond formation, comparable to those on the pure Fe(110) surface. In contrast, top-layer substitutions generally increase the C–O bond cleavage barrier, render the step endothermic, and result in significantly higher reverse reaction rates, making DDO unfavorable on these surfaces. This work demonstrates the effectiveness of GRR-accelerated transition state searches for complex surface reactions and provides insights into rational design of bimetallic catalysts for selective deoxygenation.
Aromatic compounds↗
Porous Iron Electrodes Reduce Energy Consumption During Electrocoagulation of a Virus Surrogate: Insights into Performance Enhancements Using Three-Dimensional Neutron Computed Tomography
Electrocoagulation has attracted significant attention as an alternative to conventional chemical coagulation because it is capable of removing a wide range of contaminants and has several potential advantages. In contrast to most electrocoagulation research that has been performed with nonporous electrodes, in this study, we demonstrate energy-efficient iron electrocoagulation using porous electrodes. In batch operation, investigation of the external pore structures through optical microscopy suggested that a low porosity electrode with sparse connection between pores may lead to mechanical failure of the pore network during electrolysis, whereas a high porosity electrode is vulnerable to pore clogging. Electrodes with intermediate porosity, instead, only suffered a moderate surface deposition, leading to electrical energy savings of 21% and 36% in terms of electrocoagulant delivery and unit log virus reduction, respectively. Neutron computed tomography revealed the critical role of electrode porosity in utilizing the electrode’s internal surface for electrodissolution and effective delivery of electrocoagulant to the bulk. Energy savings of up to 88% in short-term operation were obtained with porous electrodes in a continuous flow-through system. Further investigation on the impact of current density and porosity in long-term operation is desired as well as the capital cost of porous electrodes.
42 ENGINEERING↗
Absolute Templating of M(111) Cluster Surrogates by Galvanic Exchange
The precise preparation of monodisperse nanomaterials is among the most fundamental tasks in inorganic synthesis and materials science. Achieving this goal by galvanic exchange is hardly predictable, and often results in major structural changes and polydisperse mixtures. Here, taking advantage of the enhanced stability imparted by ambiphilic carbenes, we report and rationalize the absolute templating — the complete exchange of metals in a template — of group 11 clusters across the entire coinage metal family by means of galvanic exchange. We further delineate that these species provide a molecular model for better understanding the reduction of CO 2 at M(111) coinage metal surfaces.
37 INORGANIC, ORGANIC, PHYSICAL, AND ANALYTICAL CH↗
Lanthanide surrogate development for actinide aerosol waste.
Abstract not provided.
Boyle, Timothy J.↗
Ground Heat Flux Reconstruction Using Bayesian Uncertainty Quantification Machinery and Surrogate Modeling
Ground heat flux (G 0 ) is a key component of the land-surface energy balance of high-latitude regions. Despite its crucial role in controlling permafrost degradation due to global warming, G 0 is sparsely measured and not well represented in the outputs of global scale model simulation. In this study, an analytical heat transfer model is tested to reconstruct G 0 across seasons using soil temperature series from field measurements, Global Climate Model, and climate reanalysis outputs. The probability density functions of ground heat flux and of model parameters are inferred using available G 0 data (measured or modeled) for snow-free period as a reference. When observed G 0 is not available, a numerical model is applied using estimates of surface heat flux (dependent on parameters) as the top boundary condition. These estimates (and thus the corresponding parameters) are verified by comparing the distributions of simulated and measured soil temperature at several depths. Aided by state-of-the-art uncertainty quantification methods, the developed G 0 reconstruction approach provides novel means for assessing the probabilistic structure of the ground heat flux for regional permafrost change studies.
54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗
Uncertainty propagation in pore water chemical composition calculation using surrogate models
Performance assessment in deep geological nuclear waste repository systems necessitates an extended knowledge of the pore water chemical conditions prevailing in host-rock formations. In the last two decades, important progress has been made in the experimental characterization and thermodynamic modeling of pore water speciation, but the influence of experimental artifacts and uncertainties of thermodynamic input parameters are seldom evaluated. In this respect, we conducted an uncertainty propagation study in a reference geochemical model describing the pore water chemistry of the Callovian-Oxfordian clay formation. Nineteen model input parameters were perturbed, including those associated to experimental characterization (leached anions, exchanged cations, cation exchange selectivity coefficients) and those associated to generic thermodynamic databases (solubilities). A set of 13 quantities of interest were studied by the use of polynomial chaos expansions built non-intrusively with a least-squares forward stepwise regression approach. Training and validation sets of simulations were carried out using the geochemical speciation code PHREEQC. The statistical results explored the marginal distribution of each quantity of interest, their bivariate correlations as well as their global sensitivity indices. The influence of the assumed distributions for input parameters uncertainties was evaluated by considering two parametric domain sizes.
37 INORGANIC, ORGANIC, PHYSICAL, AND ANALYTICAL CH↗
Production and radiochemistry of the in vivo PET generator 140 Nd/ 140 Pr as an imaging surrogate for F-block therapeutic radionuclides
Theranostics, a combined approach of diagnostics and therapeutics, often employs F-block therapeutic radionuclides including 225 Ac, 177 Lu, and 161 Tb. While there is a lack of F-block PET imaging radionuclides, the in vivo PET generator pair 140 Nd/ 140 Pr can act as a theranostic imaging counterpart to the F-block therapeutic radionuclides. In this study, we explored the production and separation of high purity 140 Nd via the 141 Pr(p,2n) 140 Nd reaction route. Monoisotopic 141 Pr targets irradiated with 20 MeV protons for 10 min with 10 µA beam current yielded 21.45 ± 0.82 MBq (580 ± 22 µCi) of 140 Nd. A two-step separation method was developed for the purification of 140 Nd from the 141 Pr target material. Recoveries of 27.4 ± 2.1% 140Nd were obtained upon separation with < 20 ppb of 141 Pr target material in the final product. Radiolabeling of Macropa and DOTA chelators with 140 Nd resulted in [ 140 Nd]Nd-Macropa with a molar activity of 74.0 MBq/µmol (2.0 mCi/µmol) and [ 140 Nd]Nd-DOTA with a molar activity of 70.3 MBq/µmol (1.9 mCi/µmol). An imaging study with a phantom indicated the PET spatial resolution of 140 Nd/ 140 Pr was distinguishable down to 2.4 mm. This study sets the stage for the 140 Nd/ 140 Pr in vivo PET generator to be explored in radiopharmaceutical applications.
F-block↗
Comparison of machine learning techniques to optimize the analysis of plutonium surrogate material via a portable LIBS device
The utilization of machine learning techniques has become commonplace in the analysis of optical emission spectra. These methods are often limited to variants of principal components analysis (PCA), partial-least squares (PLS), and artificial neural networks (ANNs). A plethora of other techniques exist and are well established in the world of data science, yet are seldom investigated for their use in spectroscopic problems. In this study, machine learning techniques were used to analyze optical emission spectra of laser-induced plasma from ceria pellets doped with silicon in order to predict silicon content. Additionally, a boosted regression ensemble model was created, and its predictive accuracy was compared to that of traditional PCA, PLS, and ANN regression models. Boosted regression tree ensembles yielded fits with R-squared (R2) values as high as 0.964 and mean-squared errors of prediction (MSEPs) as low as 0.074, providing the most accurate predictive model. Neural networks performed with slightly lower R2 values and higher MSEPs compared to the ensemble methods, thus indicating susceptibility to overfitting.
37 INORGANIC, ORGANIC, PHYSICAL, AND ANALYTICAL CH↗
Machine learning surrogate models for Landau fluid closure
The first result of applying the machine/deep learning technique to the fluid closure problem is presented in this letter. As a start, three different types of neural networks (multilayer perceptron (MLP), convolutional neural network (CNN) and two-layer discrete Fourier transform (DFT) network) were constructed and trained to learn the well-known Hammett-Perkins Landau fluid closure in configuration space. We found that in order to train a well-preformed network, a minimum size of training data set is needed; MLP also requires a minimum number of neurons in the hidden layers equals to the degrees of freedom in Fourier space despite training data is fed in configuration space. Out of three models DFT performs the best for the clean data most likely due to the existence of nice Fourier expression for Hammett-Perkins closure but it is least robust with respect to input noise. Overall, with appropriate tuning and optimization, all three neural networks are able to accurately predict Hammett-Perkins closure and reproduce the inherit nonlocal feature, suggesting a promising path to calculate more sophisticated closures with the machine/deep learning technique.
70 PLASMA PHYSICS AND FUSION TECHNOLOGY↗
Diagnosing hot-spot symmetry in surrogate ignition experiments via secondary DT-neutron spectroscopy at the NIF
The directional energy spectrum of neutrons generated from the in-flight fusion reaction of 1-MeV tritons contains information about the hot-spot symmetry. The National Ignition Facility (NIF) fields Symmetry Capsule (Symcap) implosions, which have historically measured the symmetry of the radiation, drive by measuring the hot-spot shape via x-ray self-emission. Symcaps are used to tune the hot-spot symmetry for ignition experiments at the NIF. This work shows the relationship between directional secondary DT-n spectra and x-ray imaging data for a large database of Symcap implosions. A correlation is observed between the relative widths of the DT-n spectra measured with nTOFs and the shape measured with x-ray imaging. A Monte Carlo model, which computes the directional secondary DT-n spectrum, is used to interpret the results. A comparison of the x-ray and secondary DT-n data with the Monte Carlo model indicates that 56% of the variance between the two datasets is explained by a P2 asymmetry. More advanced simulations using HYDRA suggest that the unaccounted variance is due to P1 and P4 asymmetries present in the hot spot. The comparison of secondary DT-n data and x-ray imaging data to the modeling shows the DT-n data contain important information that supplements current P2 measurements and contain new information about the P1 asymmetry.
70 PLASMA PHYSICS AND FUSION TECHNOLOGY↗
An efficient surrogate model of secondary electron formation and evolution
This work extends the adjoint-deep learning framework for runaway electron (RE) evolution, developed by McDevitt et al. [Phys. Plasmas 32, 042503 (2025)], to account for large-angle collisions. By incorporating large-angle collisions, the framework allows the avalanche of REs to be captured, an essential component of RE dynamics. This extension is accomplished by using a Rosenbluth–Putvinski approximation to estimate the distribution of secondary electrons generated by large-angle collisions. By evolving both the primary and multiple generations of secondary electrons, the present formulation can capture both the detailed temporal evolution of a RE population beginning from an arbitrary initial momentum space distribution, along with providing approximations to the saturated growth and decay rates of the RE population. Predictions of the adjoint-deep learning framework are verified against a traditional RE solver, with good agreement present across a broad range of parameters.
70 PLASMA PHYSICS AND FUSION TECHNOLOGY↗