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At least 469 records · Page 26

Elastic functional changepoint detection of climate impacts from localized sources

Detecting changepoints in functional data has become an important problem as interest in monitoring of climate phenomenon has increased, where the data is functional in nature. Here, the observed data often contains both amplitude (y-axis) and phase (x-axis) variability. If not accounted for properly, true changepoints may be undetected, and the estimated underlying mean change functions will be incorrect. In this article, an elastic functional changepoint method is developed which properly accounts for these types of variability. The method can detect amplitude and phase changepoints which current methods in the literature do not, as they focus solely on the amplitude changepoint. This method can easily be implemented using the functions directly or can be computed via functional principal component analysis to ease the computational burden. We apply the method and its nonelastic competitors to both simulated data and observed data to show its efficiency in handling data with phase variation with both amplitude and phase changepoints. We use the method to evaluate potential changes in stratospheric temperature due to the eruption of Mt. Pinatubo in the Philippines in June 1991. Using an epidemic changepoint model, we find evidence of a increase in stratospheric temperature during a period that contains the immediate aftermath of Mt. Pinatubo, with most detected changepoints occurring in the tropics as expected.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗

Parallel Randomized Tucker Decomposition Algorithms

The Tucker tensor decomposition is a natural extension of the singular value decomposition (SVD) to multiway data. Here, we propose to accelerate Tucker tensor decomposition algorithms by using randomization and parallelization. We present two algorithms that scale to large data and many processors, significantly reduce both computation and communication cost compared to previous deterministic and randomized approaches, and obtain nearly the same approximation errors. The key idea in our algorithms is to perform randomized sketches with Kronecker-structured random matrices, which reduces computation compared to unstructured matrices and can be implemented using a fundamental tensor computational kernel. We provide probabilistic error analysis of our algorithms and implement a new parallel algorithm for the structured randomized sketch. Our experimental results demonstrate that our combination of randomization and parallelization achieves accurate Tucker decompositions much faster than alternative approaches. We observe up to a 16X speedup over the fastest deterministic parallel implementation on 3D simulation data.

Tucker decompositions↗

Generative AI in Supply Chain Management: Applications, Challenges, and Future Directions

Supply chain management (SCM) is undergoing rapid transformation due to increasing global complexity, demand volatility, and operational disruptions. Generative Artificial Intelligence (GenAI) has emerged as a powerful paradigm capable of synthesizing data, simulating operational scenarios, and enabling adaptive decision-making across supply chain networks. This paper presents a survey of GenAI’s role in SCM, focusing on its applications in predictive analytics, autonomous logistics, and fraud detection. Unlike traditional AI systems that rely primarily on predictive analytics, GenAI models, including large language models, generative adversarial networks, and diffusion-based architectures, enable the creation of synthetic supply chain scenarios and autonomous optimization strategies. This survey provides (1) a taxonomy of GenAI techniques for supply chain applications, (2) a comparative analysis of generative AI approaches with traditional machine learning, reinforcement learning, and blockchain-based methods, and (3) a discussion of key challenges such as data privacy, interpretability, and integration with legacy enterprise systems. Furthermore, we outline open research problems and propose directions for future research toward autonomous, resilient, and sustainable AI-driven supply chains.

15 - GEOTHERMAL ENERGY↗

Automated and Distributed Monte Carlo Generation for GlueX

MCwrapper is a set of systems that manages the entire Monte Carlo production workflow for GlueX and provides standards for how that Monte Carlo is produced. MCwrapper was designed to be able to utilize a variety of batch systems in a way that is relatively transparent to the user, thus enabling users to quickly and easily produce valid simulated data at home institutions worldwide. Additionally, MCwrapper supports an autonomous system that takes user’s project submissions via a custom web application. The system then atomizes the project into individual jobs, matches these jobs to resources, and monitors the jobs status. The entire system is managed by a database which tracks almost all facets of the systems from user submissions to the individual jobs themselves. Users can interact with their submitted projects online via a dashboard or, in the case of testing failure, can modify their project requests from a link contained in an automated email. Beginning in 2018 the GlueX Collaboration began to utilize the Open Science Grid (OSG) to handle a bulk of simulation tasks; these tasks are currently being performed on the OSG automatically via MCwrapper. This talk will outline the entire system of MCwrapper, its use cases, and the unique challenges facing the system.

Britton, Thomas↗

Forced Oscillation Source Location of Bulk Power Systems Using Synchrosqueezing Wavelet Transform

Forced oscillation source location (FOSL) plays a significant role in mitigating forced oscillations (FOs), which threaten the power system stability. Here, this paper proposes a data-driven approach for FOSL in power systems using synchrosqueezing wavelet transform (SWT). The proposed approach conducts SWT on the measured system responses to obtain the SWT matrix. Then, the SWT-based dissipating energy flow (DEF) model in time-frequency domain and dissipating energy spectrum (DES) model in frequency domain are derived from the traditional DEF model. Further, the characteristics of SWT-based DEF and DES are revealed by referring to the traditional DEF, and the FOSL criteria of the SWT-based DEF and DES can be hereby obtained. Using the obtained FOSL criteria, the FO source can be located from the measured responses. The performance of the proposed FOSL method is evaluated by simulation data of the WECC 179-bus test system and field-measurement PMU data of the ISO New England. The results confirm the accuracy and efficiency of the proposed method in the FOSL.

24 POWER TRANSMISSION AND DISTRIBUTION↗

Remote Sensing Low Signal-to-Noise-Ratio Target Detection Enhancement

In real-time remote sensing application, frames of data are continuously flowing into the processing system. The capability of detecting objects of interest and tracking them as they move is crucial to many critical surveillance and monitoring missions. Detecting small objects using remote sensors is an ongoing, challenging problem. Since object(s) are located far away from the sensor, the target’s Signal-to-Noise-Ratio (SNR) is low. The Limit of Detection (LOD) for remote sensors is bounded by what is observable on each image frame. In this paper, we present a new method, a “Multi-frame Moving Object Detection System (MMODS)”, to detect small, low SNR objects that are beyond what a human can observe in a single video frame. This is demonstrated by using simulated data where our technology-detected objects are as small as one pixel with a targeted SNR, close to 1:1. We also demonstrate a similar improvement using live data collected with a remote camera. The MMODS technology fills a major technology gap in remote sensing surveillance applications for small target detection. Our method does not require prior knowledge about the environment, pre-labeled targets, or training data to effectively detect and track slow- and fast-moving targets, regardless of the size or the distance.

47 OTHER INSTRUMENTATION↗

Validation of NSFsim as a Grad-Shafranov equilibrium solver at DIII-D

Plasma shape is a significant factor that must be considered for any Fusion Pilot Plant (FPP) as it has significant consequences for plasma stability and core confinement. A new simulator, NSFsim, has been developed based on a historically successful code, DINA [1], offering tools to simulate both transport and plasma shape. Specifically, NSFsim is a free boundary equilibrium and transport solver and has been configured to match the properties of the DIII-D tokamak. This paper is focused on validating the Grad-Shafranov (GS) solver of NSFsim by analyzing its ability to recreate the plasma shape, the poloidal flux distribution, and the measurements of the simulated diagnostic signals originating from flux loops and magnetic probes in DIII-D. Five different plasma shapes are simulated to show the robustness of NSFsim to different plasma conditions; these shapes are Lower Single Null (LSN), Upper Single Null (USN), Double Null (DN), Inner Wall Limited (IWL), and Negative Triangularity (NT). The NSFsim results are compared against real measured signals, magnetic profile fits from EFIT [2], and another plasma equilibrium simulator, GSevolve [3]. EFIT reconstructions of shots are readily available at DIII-D, but GSevolve was manually ran by us to provide simulation data to compare against.

70 PLASMA PHYSICS AND FUSION TECHNOLOGY↗

Temperature Rise on Liner Surfaces of Fuel Cell Electric Vehicle Tanks during Fueling Process

Herein, the temperature of the inner tank walls, or plastic liners, of composite pressure tanks in fuel cell electric vehicles during fueling using three‐dimensional computational fluid dynamics (CFD) models is evaluated. The liner materials are limited to 85.0 °C to prevent thermal stress causing material failure that would result in a hydrogen leak. Therefore, the temperature of hydrogen gas must be limited to below 85.0 °C during the fueling process as dictated by the current fueling protocol. However, there are limited experimental or simulation data confirming that the temperature changes do not exceed the threshold. Herein, the liner temperatures with CFD tank models for two sizes of type IV tanks representative of the upper and lower system bounds that are close to the SAE J2601 fueling protocol (36.0 and 244.0 L) are evaluated. First, each model's reliability is validated with experimental data and then analyzed, and the data are used to evaluate the maximum hydrogen and liner temperatures under real‐world fueling conditions. The evaluation shows that the maximum liner surface temperature of each tank model is at least 7 °C lower than that of the hydrogen. Additionally, there is at least 12 °C difference found between the upper limit and actual liner temperatures.

33 ADVANCED PROPULSION SYSTEMS↗

A robust deep learning workflow to predict multiphase flow behavior during geological C O 2 sequestration injection and Post-Injection periods

Simulation of multiphase flow in porous media is essential to manage the geologic CO 2 sequestration (GCS) process, and physics-based simulation approaches usually take prohibitively high computational cost due to the nonlinearity of the coupled physics. This paper contributes to the development and evaluation of a deep learning workflow that accurately and efficiently predicts the temporal-spatial evolution of pressure and CO 2 plumes during injection and post-injection periods of GCS operations. Based on a Fourier Neural Operator, the deep learning workflow takes input variables or features including rock properties, well operational controls and time steps, and predicts the state variables of pressure and CO 2 saturation. To further improve the predictive fidelity, separate deep learning models are trained for CO 2 injection and post-injection periods due to the difference in primary driving force of fluid flow and transport during these two phases. We also explore different combinations of features to predict the state variables. We use a realistic example of CO 2 injection and storage in a 3D heterogeneous saline aquifer, and apply the deep learning workflow that is trained from physics-based simulation data and emulate the physics process. Through this numerical experiment, we demonstrate that using two separate deep learning models to distinguish post-injection from injection period generates the most accurate prediction of pressure, and a single deep learning model of the whole GCS process including the cumulative injection volume of CO 2 as a deep learning feature, leads to the most accurate prediction of CO 2 saturation. For the post-injection period, it is key to use cumulative CO 2 injection volume to inform the deep learning models about the total carbon storage when predicting either pressure or saturation. The deep learning workflow not only provides high predictive fidelity across temporal and spatial scales, but also offers a speedup of 250 times compared to full physics reservoir simulation, and thus will be a significant predictive tool for engineers to manage the long-term process of GCS.

58 GEOSCIENCES↗

Theoretical Approach for the Fast Estimation of the Turbulent Kinematic Viscosity for Internal Flows

An analytical expression for turbulent kinematic viscosity (νt), based solely on the hydraulic Reynolds number (Re), was derived and evaluated. The analytical expression is valid for the fast estimation of νt for internal, isotropic, fully developed flows. The expression was compared with experimental and simulation data for air, water, and liquid sodium, and was shown to provide reasonable values for 2100 ≤ Re ≤ 3.6 × 106 and Prandtl number (Pr) range of 0.0107 ≤ Pr ≤ 5.65. In addition, new expressions suitable for the central portion of internal flows, away from the wall, were derived for the turbulent Reynolds number (ReT), showing its relationship to Re, as well as to the ratio of νt and the molecular kinematic viscosity (ν).

42 ENGINEERING↗

A hybrid 3D/2D field response calculation for liquid argon detectors with PCB based anode plane

Liquid Argon Time Projection Chamber (LArTPC) technology is commonly utilized in neutrino detector designs. It enables detailed reconstruction of neutrino events with high spatial precision and low energy threshold. Its field response (FR) model describes the time-dependent electric currents induced in the anode-plane electrodes when ionization electrons drift nearby. An accurate and precise FR is a crucial input to LArTPC detector simulations and charge reconstruction. Established LArTPC designs have been based on parallel wire planes. It allows accurate and computationally economic two-dimensional (2D) FR models utilizing the translational symmetry along the direction of the wires. Recently, novel LArTPC designs utilize electrodes formed on printed circuit board (PCB) in the shape of strips with through holes. The translational symmetry is no longer a good approximation near the electrodes and a new FR calculation that employs regions with three dimensions (3D) has been developed. Extending the 2D models to 3D would be computationally expensive. Fortuitously, the nature of strips with through holes allows for a computationally economic approach based on the finite-difference method (FDM). In this paper, we present a new software package pochoir that calculates LArTPC field response for these new strip-based anode designs. This package combines 3D calculations in the volume near the electrodes with 2D far-field solutions to achieve fast and precise field response computation. We apply the resulting FR to simulate and reconstruct samples of cosmic-ray muons and 39 Ar decays from a Vertical Drift (VD) detector prototype operated at CERN. We find the difference between real and simulated data within 5%. Current state-of-the-art LArTPC software requires a 2D FR which we provide by averaging over one dimension and estimate that variations lost in this average are smaller than 7%.

72 PHYSICS OF ELEMENTARY PARTICLES AND FIELDS↗

A constitutive model for sheared dense suspensions of rough particles

In a concentrated suspension, particles come into contact due to the presence of asperities on their surfaces. As a result, the contact forces and interparticle friction become one of the important factors governing the rheology of rigid particle suspensions at high concentrations. We show that a load-dependent friction model can be used to reproduce the experimentally observed shear thickening [ST—continuous and discontinuous (DST)] behavior with an increase in the asperity size. Increasing the particle surface roughness size leads to a decrease in the critical shear rate above which shear-thickening takes place, a reduction in the critical volume fraction for DST and an increase in the viscosity jump across non-shear-thickened to shear-thickened regime. In this paper, we propose a constitutive model to quantify the effect of increasing the roughness size on the rheology of dense ST suspensions as well as on the critical shear rate for ST and the critical volume fraction for DST. We fit this model to our simulation data for stress controlled shear flow of dense rough particle suspensions. Once the fitting is complete, these equations are used to predict exact volume fractions and shear stress values for transitions between three regimes on the shear stress-shear rate flow state diagram for different roughness values. Furthermore, the results of this study can be used to tune the particle surface roughness for manipulating the dense suspension rheology according to different applications.

42 ENGINEERING↗

Information content of and the ability to reconstruct dichroic X-ray tomography and laminography

Dichroic tomography is a 3D imaging technique in which the polarization of the incident beam is used to induce contrast due to the magnetization or orientation of a sample. The aim is to reconstruct not only the optical density but the dichroism of the sample. The theory of dichroic tomographic and laminographic imaging in the parallel-beam case is discussed as well as the problem of reconstruction of the sample’s optical properties. The set of projections resulting from a single tomographic/laminographic measurement is not sufficient to reconstruct the magnetic moment for magnetic circular dichroism unless additional constraints are applied or data are taken at two or more tilt angles. For linear dichroism, three polarizations at a common tilt angle are insufficient for unconstrained reconstruction. However, if one of the measurements is done at a different tilt angle than the other, or the measurements are done at a common polarization but at three distinct tilt angles, then there is enough information to reconstruct without constraints. Possible means of applying constraints are discussed. Furthermore, it is shown that for linear dichroism, the basic assumption that the absorption through a ray path is the integral of the absorption coefficient, defined on the volume of the sample, along the ray path, is not correct when dichroism or birefringence is strong. This assumption is fundamental to tomographic methods. An iterative algorithm for reconstruction of linear dichroism is demonstrated on simulated data.

Marcus, Matthew A. (ORCID:0000000325277586)↗

Determining the bubble nucleation efficiency of low-energy nuclear recoils in superheated C$_3$F$_8$ dark matter detectors

The bubble nucleation efficiency of low-energy nuclear recoils in superheated liquids plays a crucial role in interpreting results from direct searches for weakly interacting massive particle (WIMP) dark matter. The PICO Collaboration presents the results of the efficiencies for bubble nucleation from carbon and fluorine recoils in superheated C$_3$F$_8$ from calibration data taken with 5 distinct neutron spectra at various thermodynamic thresholds ranging from 2.1 keV to 3.9 keV. Instead of assuming any particular functional forms for the nuclear recoil efficiency, a generalized piecewise linear model is proposed with systematic errors included as nuisance parameters to minimize model-introduced uncertainties. A Markov-Chain Monte-Carlo (MCMC) routine is applied to sample the nuclear recoil efficiency for fluorine and carbon at 2.45 keV and 3.29 keV thermodynamic thresholds simultaneously. The nucleation efficiency for fluorine was found to be $\geq 50\, \%$ for nuclear recoils of 3.3 keV (3.7 keV) at a thermodynamic Seitz threshold of 2.45 keV (3.29 keV), and for carbon the efficiency was found to be $\geq 50\, \%$ for recoils of 10.6 keV (11.1 keV) at a threshold of 2.45 keV (3.29 keV). Simulated data sets are used to calculate a p-value for the fit, confirming that the model used is compatible with the data. The fit paradigm is also assessed for potential systematic biases, which although small, are corrected for. Additional steps are performed to calculate the expected interaction rates of WIMPs in the PICO-60 detector, a requirement for calculating WIMP exclusion limits.

46 INSTRUMENTATION RELATED TO NUCLEAR SCIENCE AND ↗

Self-similar Reynolds-averaged mechanical–scalar turbulence models for Rayleigh–Taylor, Richtmyer–Meshkov, and Kelvin–Helmholtz instability-induced mixing in the small Atwood number limit

Analytical self-similar solutions to two-, three-, and four-equation Reynolds-averaged mechanical–scalar turbulence models describing incompressible turbulent Rayleigh–Taylor, Richtmyer–Meshkov, and Kelvin–Helmholtz instability-induced mixing in planar geometry are derived in the small Atwood number (Boussinesq) limit. The models are based on the turbulent kinetic energy K and its dissipation rate ε, together with the scalar (heavy-fluid mass fraction) variance S and its dissipation rate Χ modeled either differentially or algebraically. The models allow for a simultaneous description of mechanical and scalar mixing, i.e., mixing layer growth and molecular mixing, respectively. Mixing layer growth parameters and other physical observables relevant to each instability are obtained explicitly as functions of the model coefficients. The turbulent fields are also expressed in terms of the model coefficients, with their temporal power-law scalings obtained by requiring that the self-similar equations are explicitly time-independent. The model calibration methodology is described and discussed. Expressions for a subset of the various physical observables are used to calibrate each of the two-, three-, and four-equation models, such that the self-similar solutions are consistent with experimental and numerical simulation data corresponding to these values of the observables and to specific canonical Rayleigh–Taylor, Richtmyer–Meshkov, and Kelvin–Helmholtz turbulent flows. A calibrated four-equation model is then used to reconstruct the mean and turbulent fields, and late-time turbulent equation budgets for each instability-induced flow across the mixing layer. The reference solutions derived here can provide systematic calibrations and better understanding of mechanical–scalar turbulence models and their predictions for instability-induced turbulent mixing in the very large Reynolds number limit.

42 ENGINEERING↗

Recovered supernova Ia rate from simulated LSST images

Aims.TheVera C. RubinObservatory’s Legacy Survey of Space and Time (LSST) will revolutionize time-domain astronomy by detecting millions of different transients. In particular, it is expected to increase the number of known type Ia supernovae (SN Ia) by a factor of 100 compared to existing samples up to redshift ∼1.2. Such a high number of events will dramatically reduce statistical uncertainties in the analysis of the properties and rates of these objects. However, the impact of all other sources of uncertainty on the measurement of the SN Ia rate must still be evaluated. The comprehension and reduction of such uncertainties will be fundamental both for cosmology and stellar evolution studies, as measuring the SN Ia rate can put constraints on the evolutionary scenarios of different SN Ia progenitors. Methods.We used simulated data from the Dark Energy Science Collaboration (DESC) Data Challenge 2 (DC2) and LSST Data Preview 0 to measure the SN Ia rate on a 15 deg 2 region of the “wide-fast-deep” area. We selected a sample of SN candidates detected in difference images, associated them to the host galaxy with a specially developed algorithm, and retrieved their photometric redshifts. We then tested different light-curve classification methods, with and without redshift priors (albeit ignoring contamination from other transients, as DC2 contains only SN Ia). We discuss how the distribution in redshift measured for the SN candidates changes according to the selected host galaxy and redshift estimate. Results.We measured the SN Ia rate, analyzing the impact of uncertainties due to photometric redshift, host-galaxy association and classification on the distribution in redshift of the starting sample. We find that we are missing 17% of the SN Ia, on average, with respect to the simulated sample. As 10% of the mismatch is due to the uncertainty on the photometric redshift alone (which also affects classification when used as a prior), we conclude that this parameter is the major source of uncertainty. We discuss possible reduction of the errors in the measurement of the SN Ia rate, including synergies with other surveys, which may help us to use the rate to discriminate different progenitor models.

Astronomy & Astrophysics↗

Mechanistic Modeling of TEG Dehydrator Emissions in Oil and Gas Industry

This work presents a mechanistic modeling approach for simulating methane emissions from triethylene glycol (TEG) dehydrators used in oil & gas (O&G) operations. The model was developed as a modular component of the Mechanistic Air Emissions Simulator (MAES) tool, incorporating species-specific absorption and emission dynamics through two-level, second-order polynomial regression (PR) models trained on ProMax simulation data: (1) species-level regression models that track the transfer rates of individual gas species within the dehydrator unit streams, and (2) outlet flow stream regression models that predict the fraction of inlet gas distributed among the outlet streams of the dehydrator unit. These behaviors were characterized over a range of glycol circulation ratios, wet gas pressures, and temperatures. The model was validated using root mean square error (RMSE) analysis. The species-level PR achieved low root mean square error (RMSE) values (<0.03) for light hydrocarbon species across all dehydrator components, ranging from 0.0009 for methane to 0.029 for normal pentane. Similarly, the outlet-level PR yielded RMSE values below 0.002 for the dry gas fraction, 0.001 for the flash tank fraction, and 0.002 for the still vent fraction, demonstrating strong agreement between predicted and reference ProMax values. When deployed at field facilities, the model significantly improved MAES-simulated dehydrator emissions, revealing that gas-assisted glycol pump emissions are the dominant contributors to both dehydrator-level and site-level methane emissions under uncontrolled conditions. Further analysis of the 154 dehydrator units reported by operators under the AMI 2024 project showed that 54 units (31%) used gas-driven glycol pumps, of which 6 units (11%) operated with uncontrolled flash tanks, and 22 units (40.7%) were identified as potentially oversized. Of the six dehydrator units with uncontrolled gas-assisted pumps, pump emissions accounted for 90.25% of total dehydrator emissions and 63.10% of total site-level emissions. These findings highlight substantial opportunities for emissions mitigation through equipment upgrades.

MAES↗

PATOKA: Simulating Electromagnetic Observables of Black Hole Accretion

Abstract The Event Horizon Telescope (EHT) has released analyses of reconstructed images of horizon-scale millimeter emission near the supermassive black hole at the center of the M87 galaxy. Parts of the analyses made use of a large library of synthetic black hole images and spectra, which were produced using numerical general relativistic magnetohydrodynamics fluid simulations and polarized ray tracing. In this article, we describe the PATOKA pipeline, which was used to generate the Illinois contribution to the EHT simulation library. We begin by describing the relevant accretion systems and radiative processes. We then describe the details of the three numerical codes we use, iharm , ipole , and igrmonty , paying particular attention to differences between the current generation of the codes and the originally published versions. Finally, we provide a brief overview of simulated data as produced by PATOKA and conclude with a discussion of limitations and future directions.

79 ASTRONOMY AND ASTROPHYSICS↗