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At least 469 records · Page 26

Uncertainty Quantification for Polynomial Systems via Bernstein Expansions

This paper presents a unifying framework to uncertainty quantification for systems having polynomial response metrics that depend on both aleatory and epistemic uncertainties. The approach proposed, which is based on the Bernstein expansions of polynomials, enables bounding the range of moments and failure probabilities of response metrics as well as finding supersets of the extreme epistemic realizations where the limits of such ranges occur. These bounds and supersets, whose analytical structure renders them free of approximation error, can be made arbitrarily tight with additional computational effort. Furthermore, this framework enables determining the importance of particular uncertain parameters according to the extent to which they affect the first two moments of response metrics and failure probabilities. This analysis enables determining the parameters that should be considered uncertain as well as those that can be assumed to be constants without incurring significant error. The analytical nature of the approach eliminates the numerical error that characterizes the sampling-based techniques commonly used to propagate aleatory uncertainties as well as the possibility of under predicting the range of the statistic of interest that may result from searching for the best- and worstcase epistemic values via nonlinear optimization or sampling.

Crespo, Luis G.↗

Freshwater ice thickness observations using passive microwave sensors

Walden Reservoir, a freshwater lake in north-central Colorado, was overflown six times by a NASA C-130 aircraft between January 1977 and April 1980. The aircraft was equipped with four microwave radiometers operating between 0.81 and 6.0 cm in wavelength (37.0 to 5.0 GHz). The 6.0-cm radiometer data showed a good relationship with ice thickness based on a sample of four ice thickness values. The 1.67- and 1.35-cm radiometer data showed weaker relationships with ice thickness. The 0.81-cm sensor data showed no positive relationship with ice thickness. None of the relationships was statistically significant because of the small sample size. The 6.0-cm sensor data in the nadir-viewing mode was found to have the most potential of all the wavelengths studied, for use in remotely determining ice thickness. The 6.0-cm radiometer probably sensed the entire thickness of the ice on the reservoir (ranging from 25.4 to 67.3 cm in thickness) and was apparently not significantly affected by the snow overlying the ice. The shorter wavelengths are scattered by the snow overlying the ice and are more suitable for snow studies than for ice thickness studies.

Hall, D. K.↗

Can a shock-induced phonon up-pumping model relate to impact sensitivity of molecular crystals, polymorphs and cocrystals?

Impact sensitivity engineering of high-energy molecular crystals requires accurate predictive models. For this purpose, the promising multi-phonon based approach is selected, assessing a bit more its strengths and weaknesses. Presently used with high-quality phonon calculations of 22 molecular crystals, using a physics-based criterion to determine the phonon bath extent, the resulting intrinsic shock sensitivity index (SSI) is compared to the most common marker of impact sensitivity, h 50 , as determined from drop-weight impact tests. Selecting a data subset from experiments performed under very similar conditions (2.5 kg hammer with grit and 30–40 mg samples), the model can predict h 50 values for mono-molecular crystals with very good accuracy, including the ability to discriminate the polymorphs of HMX and CL20. This very good agreement validates an initial indirect up-pumping mechanism occurring under these conditions, where the doorway modes also interact with the phonon bath. However, the phonon bath criterion for mono-molecular crystals does not transfer well to cocrystals. Owing to the vibrational coupling of the co-molecules, it seems a broader phonon bath should be considered. Additionally recalling experimental uncertainty and various experimental factors affecting h 50 values for a given compounds, we recommend that the density of the sample, granularity and morphology be systematically considered and reported along with measurements, which will in turn allow for more systematic data and predictive capabilities for sensitivity models.

37 INORGANIC, ORGANIC, PHYSICAL, AND ANALYTICAL CH↗

Validation of the VUV-reflective coating for next-generation liquid xenon detectors

Abstract Coating detector materials with films highly reflective in the vacuum ultraviolet region improves sensitivity of the next-generation rare-event detectors that use liquid xenon. In this work, we investigate the MgF 2 -Al-MgF 2 coating designed to achieve high reflectance at 175 nm, the mean wavelength of liquid xenon (LXe) scintillation. The coating was applied to an unpolished, passivated copper substrate mimicking a realistic detector component of the proposed nEXO experiment, as well as to two unpassivated substrates with “high” and “average” levels of polishing. After confirming the composition and morphology of the thin-film coating using TEM and EDS, the samples underwent reflectance measurements in LXe and gaseous nitrogen (GN2). Measurements in LXe exposed the coated samples to -100°C for several hours. No peeling of the coatings was observed after several thermal cycles. Polishing is found to strongly correlate with the measured specular reflectance (R spec ). In particular, 5.8(5)% specular spike reflectance in LXe was measured for the realistic sample at 20° of incidence, while the values for similar angles of incidence on the high and average polish samples are 62.3(1.3)% and 27.4(7)%, respectively. At large angles (66°–75°), theR spec in LXe for the three samples increases to 23(5)%, 80(8)%, and 84(18)%, respectively. The R spec at around 45° was measured in both GN2 and LXe for average polish sample and shows a reasonable agreement. Importantly, the total reflectance of the samples is comparable and estimated to be 92(8)%, 85(8)%, and 83(8)% in GN2 for the realistic, average, and high polish samples, respectively. This is considered satisfactory for the next-generation LXe experiments that could benefit from using reflective films, such as nEXO and DARWIN, thus validating the design of the coating.

Instruments & Instrumentation↗

Radio-to-Gamma-Ray Monitoring of the Narrow-line Seyfert 1 Galaxy PMN J0948+0022 from 2008 to 2011

We present more than three years of observations at different frequencies, from radio to high-energy γ-rays, of the Narrow-Line Seyfert 1 (NLS1) Galaxy PMN J0948+0022 (z = 0.585). This source is the first NLS1 detected at energies above 100 MeV and therefore can be considered the prototype of this emerging new class of γ-ray emitting active galactic nuclei (AGN). The observations performed from 2008 August 1 to 2011 December 31 confirmed that PMN J0948+0022 generates a powerful relativistic jet, which is able to develop an isotropic luminosity at gamma-rays of the order of 1048 erg per second, at the level of powerful quasars. The evolution of the radiation emission of this source in 2009 and 2010 followed the canonical expectations of relativistic jets with correlated multiwavelength variability (gamma-rays followed by radio emission after a few months), but it was difficult to retrieve a similar pattern in the light curves of 2011. The comparison of gamma-ray spectra before and including 2011 data suggested that there was a softening of the highenergy spectral slope. We selected five specific epochs to be studied by modelling the broad-band spectrum, which are characterised by an outburst at gamma-rays or very low/high flux at other wavelengths. The observed variability can largely be explained by changes in the injected power, the bulk Lorentz factor of the jet, or the electron spectrum. The characteristic time scale of doubling/halving flux ranges from a few days to a few months, depending on the frequency and the sampling rate. The shortest doubling time scale at gamma-rays is 2.3 +/- 0.5 days. These small values underline the need of highly sampled multiwavelength campaigns to better understand the physics of these sources.

monitoring↗

Determining and analyzing the strength and impact resistance of high modulus glass

An error was noticed recently in the computer program used to reduce the laboratory sonic measurements to tabulated values of Young's modulus of the bulk samples of experimental glasses. Correction of this error gave revised values for the last fifty experimental glasses prepared in this laboratory. This corrected data, when examined as input material for the calculation of Young's modulus of bulk glasses from composition by the C. J. Phillips procedure, resulted in new values for the contribution per mol of several oxides. The new value for the zinc oxide molal factor is especially significant since it is slightly greater than the factor for beryllia for the types of glasses melted in the UARL research program. This discovery provides a new tool in the search for nontoxic, i.e. without beryllia, high modulus glass fibers particularly when coupled with recent measurements that showed zinc oxide contributes significantly to increased impact strength. New glass compositions prepared in this period and the latest impact strength values measured are also included.

Bacon, J. F.↗

Role of scan strategies and heat treatment on grain structure evolution in Fe-Si soft magnetic alloys made by laser-powder bed fusion

A major goal in printing soft magnetic Fe-Si steels using additive manufacturing is to take advantage of the potential for complex geometric designs and site-specific grain control. One major step in the processing of these alloys is understanding how processing parameters might impact how the as-built microstructure responds to annealing (i.e. the annealing response). The impact of scan strategy on the annealing response for thin wall geometries is specifically explored. Two scan strategies were explored for a thin wall geometry that produced a strongly columnar grain structure and equiaxed grain structure. Additionally, samples from both scan strategies annealed at 1200 °C showed a marked difference in annealing response with the more equiaxed sample seeing full recrystallization and grain growth, while the more columnar grain structure saw little change in microstructure. After analysis through characterization techniques and thermal-mechanical simulations Differences in internal energy within the grains were ruled out because calculated GND density values were similar for both samples. The formation of secondary particles was ruled out as a contributing factor due to the type of oxide formations and their size. It was concluded that the contributing factor to the difference in the annealing response were a difference in the resulting grain size and the density of high angle grain boundaries. These two differences were largely attributed to differences in the thermal gradient conditions due to grains preferentially growing in the direction of the steepest thermal gradient.

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗

Reconstruction of Six-Dimensional Phase Space

A phase space is a mathematical representation of all possible physical states of a system. Particle beams at Fermilab exist within a six-dimensional (6D) phase space defined by three positional components, (x, y, z) and three momentum components, (px, py, pz). To reconstruct this space implies taking measurement data from detectors and mapping out particle behavior using computational methods. The beam detectors, however, are only able to detect spatial distribution among the events of the beam, therefore being limited to positional data. Also, due to the vast number of events in a particle beam, it is extremely difficult to analyze and differentiate every single one’s behavior. However, with Machine Learning (ML), which can distinguish between patterns and map out particle behavior more efficiently. We first used the particle beam software, G4beamline, to simulate a 10,000-event muon beam, adjusting parameters such as initial momentum magnitude (p¬0) and virtual detector position. Using ten virtual detectors, we analyzed p0 values such that minimum 9,990 events were analyzed by every detector. We then input the data from these beam simulations to a C++ program, that randomly selects 100 events, and creates a 2D histogram based on spatial distribution, detector position, and event intensity. This process is repeated 100 times to create 100 histograms per p0 value. These images were then input to a modified ResNet18 Convolutional Neural Network (CNN) for training, and to predict p0 from some unseen set of histograms. The model was accurate when trained on momentum increments of 5 MeV/c and provided with denser training samples around highly variable test values. These results displayed machine learning being able to accurately predict p0 from being trained on different particle behaviors.

Shirlee, Jermain [Fermilab]↗

Investigation of the Effect of Chrome and Nickel Concentrations During Two-Piston Splat Quenching of Austenitic Stainless Steels

For solidification rates at or near equilibrium solidification conditions the effects of chrome (Cr) and nickel (Ni) on stainless steel solidification modes and microstructures are well detailed. However, fusion-based additive manufacturing (FBAM) processes that rely on faster, more rapid solidification rates call for a more in-depth understanding of the effects of rapid solidification on the solidification behavior and how these change with variations in alloy composition. Eleven custom stainless steel (SS) alloys with unique compositions based on 316L were made using targeted alloying element additions to generate feedstock with Cr/Ni eq ratios ranging from 0.9 to 2.1. Two-piston splat quenching (SQ) was used to produce rapid solidification conditions similar to those achieved in powder bed fusion processes in a fraction of the time and cost of traditional methods. Employing heat transfer simulations, SEM, TEM, and STEM characterization techniques, the SQ process was found to consistently produce solidification rates estimated to be between ~ 0.4 and 1.6 m/s. Five unique solidification microstructures were identified within the rapidly solidified SQ samples (primary austenite, massively transformed ferrite to austenite, primary austenite and massively transformed ferrite to austenite, primary ferrite, and primary ferrite and massively transformed ferrite to austenite). Both the primary ferrite solidification mode and primary ferrite phase were found to form at lower Cr/Ni eq values than previously predicted. SQ samples with compositions that were within the compositional specifications for 316L SS, an alloy which is commonly used in FBAM processes, demonstrated a wider range of potential solidification modes and microstructures that could form at rapid solidification rates than expected. Finally, by using SQ as a means to simulate rapid solidification conditions similar to those observed in FBAM processes, potential new alloy compositions can be screened faster and more cost effectively than purchasing and running test batches of the metallic powder.

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗

EXPERIMENTAL EVALUATION OF ULTRASONIC VELOCITIES AND ANISOTROPY IN THE TUSCALOOSA MARINE SHALE FORMATION

Tuscaloosa Marine Shale (TMS) formation is a clay- and organic-rich emerging shale play with a considerable amount of hydrocarbon resources. Despite the substantial potential, there have been only a few wells drilled and produced in the formation over the recent years. The analyzed TMS samples contain an average of 50 wt% total clay, 27 wt% quartz and 14 wt% calcite and the mineralogy varies considerably over the small intervals. The high amount of clay leads to pronounced anisotropy and the frequent changes in mineralogy result in the heterogeneity of the formation. We studied the compressional (V P ) and shear-wave (V S ) velocities to evaluate the degree of anisotropy and heterogeneity, which impact hydraulic fracture growth, borehole instabilities, and subsurface imaging. The ultrasonic measurements of P- and S-wave velocities from five TMS wells are the best fit to the linear relationship with R 2 = 0.84 in the least-squares criteria. We observed that TMS S-wave velocities are relatively lower when compared to the established velocity relationships. Most of the velocity data in bedding-normal direction lie outside constant V P /V S lines of 1.6–1.8, a region typical of most organic-rich shale plays. For all of the studied TMS samples, the S-wave velocity anisotropy exhibits higher values than P-wave velocity anisotropy. In the samples in which the composition is dominated by either calcite or quartz minerals, mineralogy controls the velocities and V P /V S ratios to a great extent. Additionally, the organic content and maturity account for the velocity behavior in the samples in which the mineralogical composition fails to do so. The results provide further insights into TMS Formation evaluation and contribute to a better understanding of the heterogeneity and anisotropy of the play.

Geochemistry & Geophysics↗

Data-Driven Method for Groundwater-Level Mapping and Monitoring-Well Network Optimization at Hanford

This report summarizes the initial results and outcomes of a physics-informed, data-driven groundwater level (GWL) mapping capability for the Hanford Site. GWL mapping at Hanford is typically conducted annually and requires a significant amount of computational and expert resources, and it does not allow assessment of the informational value of specific monitoring wells. The proposed method produces spatially and temporally resolved fields consistent with sparse, irregularly sampled, and nonuniformly distributed well measurements. Implemented successfully, this capability will allow rapid mapping of groundwater levels and provide an opportunity to optimize monitoring activities (both location and sampling frequency) based on data information value evaluation. The approach integrates a diffusion-based generative model – trained on MODFLOW simulation data from the Plateau-to-River (P2R) model – with score-based data assimilation (SDA), allowing observation-conditioned mapping without retraining for each monitoring-network layout.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗

Near-Complete Sampling of Forest Structure from High-Density Drone Lidar Demonstrated by Ray Tracing

Drone lidar has the potential to provide detailed measurements of vertical forest structure throughout large areas, but a systematic evaluation of unsampled forest structure in comparison to independent reference data has not been performed. Here, we used ray tracing on a high-resolution voxel grid to quantify sampling variation in a temperate mountain forest in the southwest Czech Republic. We decoupled the impact of pulse density and scan-angle range on the likelihood of generating a return using spatially and temporally coincident TLS data. We show three ways that a return can fail to be generated in the presence of vegetation: first, voxels could be searched without producing a return, even when vegetation is present; second, voxels could be shadowed (occluded) by other material in the beam path, preventing a pulse from searching a given voxel; and third, some voxels were unsearched because no pulse was fired in that direction. We found that all three types existed, and that the proportion of each of them varied with pulse density and scan-angle range throughout the canopy height profile. Across the entire data set, 98.1% of voxels known to contain vegetation from a combination of coincident drone lidar and TLS data were searched by high-density drone lidar, and 81.8% of voxels that were occupied by vegetation generated at least one return. By decoupling the impacts of pulse density and scan angle range, we found that sampling completeness was more sensitive to pulse density than to scan-angle range. There are important differences in the causes of sampling variation that change with pulse density, scan-angle range, and canopy height. Our findings demonstrate the value of ray tracing to quantifying sampling completeness in drone lidar.

47 OTHER INSTRUMENTATION↗

Magnetic coercivity and ferromagnetic species in lunar materials

Lunar samples have reduced coercive force, high values of R sub H (ratio of remanent coercive force to coercive force), and constriction in their magnetic hysteresis loops due to the presence of superparamagnetic and multidomain iron grains. The high R sub H values are also attributable to the magnetic shape effects of the iron grains. Spheres, cubes, and needles, as well as more irregular metal grains were observed. The coercive force values are quite meaningless unless the size and shape distributions are determined. The R sub H and the ratio of saturation remanence to saturation magnetization values can be considered characteristic of the size and shape modes of the ferromagnetic grains in a natural sample, and a classification of natural materials based on their hysteresis characteristics is presented with special reference to lunar samples.

Wasilewski, P.↗

HYPERSAMP

Hypergeometric Attribute Sampling System Based on Risk and Fraction Defective (HYPERSAMP) computer program demonstrates attribute sampling system developed to determine minimum sample size required for any preselected value for consumer's risk and fraction of nonconforming units. Used in place of MIL-STD-105E sampling plans when minimum sample size desirable, such as when tests are destructive or expensive. Written for IBM PC-compatible computers.

Desalvo, Louis J.↗

Characterizing Thermal Properties of Melting Te Semiconductor: Thermal Diffusivity Measurements and Simulation

Tellurium is an element for many II-VI and I-III-VI(sub 2) compounds that are useful materials for fabricating many devices. In the melt growth techniques, the thermal properties of the molten phase are important parameter for controlling growth process to improve semiconducting crystal quality. In this study, thermal diffusivity of molten tellurium has been measured by a laser flash method in the temperature range from 500 C to 900 C. A pulsed laser with 1064 nm wavelength is focused on one side of the measured sample. The thermal diffusivity can be estimated from the temperature transient at the other side of the sample. A numerical simulation based on the thermal transport process has been also performed. By numerically fitting the experimental results, both the thermal conductivity and heat capacity can be derived. A relaxation phenomenon, which shows a slow drift of the measured thermal conductivity toward the equilibrium value after cooling of the sample, was observed for the first time. The error analysis and the comparison of the results to published data measured by other techniques will be discussed.

Zhu, Shen↗

Characterizing Thermal Properties of Melting Te Semiconductor: Thermal Diffusivity Measurements and Simulation

Tellurium is an element for many II-VI and I-III-VI(sub 2) compounds that are useful materials for fabricating many devises. In the melt growth techniques, the thermal properties of the molten phase are important parameter for controlling growth process to improve semiconducting crystal quality. In this study, thermal diffusivity of molten tellurium has been measured by a laser flash method in the temperature range from 500 C to 900 C. A pulsed laser with 1064 nm wavelength is focused on one side of the measured sample. The thermal diffusivity can be estimated from the temperature transient at the other side of the sample. A numerical simulation based on the thermal transport process has been also performed. By numerically fitting the experimental results, both the thermal conductivity and heat capacity can be derived. A relaxation phenomenon, which shows a slow drift of the measured thermal conductivity toward the equilibrium value after cooling of the sample, was observed for the first time. The error analysis and the comparison of the results to published data measured by other techniques will be discussed in the presentation.

Zhu, Shen↗

Metropolis-style random sampling of quantum gates for the estimation of low-energy observables

In this work, we propose a quantum algorithm to compute low-energy expectation values of a quantum Hamiltonian by sampling a partition function associated with the average energy of that Hamiltonian. For any given quantum circuit-Hamiltonian pair, there is an associated average energy. The sampling is done through an accept/reject Metropolis-style algorithm on the quantum gates of the circuit itself. Observables calculated under the canonical ensemble from these samples of circuits are extrapolated from higher energies to the ground state.

72 PHYSICS OF ELEMENTARY PARTICLES AND FIELDS↗

Photographic consulting services for earth resources program at NASA Goddard Space Flight Center

A comparison of prints from ERTS photography revealed significant differences in the image quality produced at GSFC, the EROS facility at Sioux Falls, and Eastman Kodak in Rochester. Based on this survey photographic quality was improved significantly at Sioux Falls, and improvements were suggested for optical and contact printers at the GSFC. Based on a test in which 365 meters of Eastman Electron Recording Film (ESTAR Base) SO-438 were processed the 1-sigma variation in process control from all sources is about + or - 0.04 at a density of 1.0. Variations from film and from processing were approximately equal contributors to the overall tolerance. Distortion produced by the Kodak Colorado printer at GSFC covers a range of about 0.04%, a small value compared to that caused by other factors in the ERTS system. The edge fringing inherent in the color film materials used at GSFC also seems to be a small factor in the unsharpness of ERTS color prints. MTF and granularity measurements were made on processed film samples supplied by GSFC. MTF values were above 0.70 out to 42 cycles/mm for all stages of contact printing in the ERTS system.

Source record↗