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At least 469 records · Page 26

Toward a First-Principles Framework for Predicting Collective Properties of Electrolytes

Conspectus Given the universal importance of electrolyte solutions, it is natural to expect that we have a nearly complete understanding of the fundamental properties of these solutions (e.g., the chemical potential) and that we can therefore explain, predict, and control the phenomena occurring in them. In fact, reality falls short of these expectations. But, recent advances in the simulation and modeling of electrolyte solutions indicate that it should soon be possible to make progress toward these goals. In this Account, we will discuss the use of first-principles interaction potentials based in quantum mechanics (QM) to enhance our understanding of electrolyte solutions. Specifically, we will focus on the use of quantum density functional theory (DFT) combined with molecular dynamics simulation (DFT-MD) as the foundation for our approach. The overarching concept is to understand and accurately reproduce the balance between local or short-ranged (SR) structural details and long-range (LR) correlations, allowing the prediction of the thermodynamics of both single ions in solution as well as the collective interactions characterized by activity/osmotic coefficients. In doing so, relevant collective motions and driving forces characterized by chemical potentials can be determined. Here, in this Account, we will make the case that understanding electrolyte solutions requires a faithful QM representation of the SR nature of the ion–ion, ion–water, and water–water interactions. However, the number of molecules that is required for collective behavior makes the direct application of high-level QM methods that contain the best SR physics untenable, making methods that balance accuracy and efficiency a practical goal. Alternatives such as continuum solvent models (CSMs) and empirically based classical molecular dynamics have been extensively employed to resolve this problem but without yet overcoming the fundamental issue of SR accuracy. We will demonstrate that accurately describing the SR interaction is imperative for predicting both intrinsic properties, namely, at infinite dilution, and collective properties of electrolyte solutions. DFT has played an important role in our understanding of condensed phase systems, e.g., bulk liquid water, the air–water interface, ions in bulk, and at the air–water interface. This approach holds huge promise to provide benchmark calculations of electrolyte solution properties that will allow for the development and improvement of more efficient methods, as well as an enhanced understanding of fundamental phenomena. However, the standard protocol using the generalized gradient approximation with van der Waals (vdW) correction requires improvement in order to achieve a high level of quantitative accuracy. Simply simulating with higher level DFT functionals may not be the best route considering the significant computational cost. Alternative methods of incorporating information from higher levels of QM should be explored; e.g., using force matching techniques on small clusters, where high level benchmark calculations are possible, to develop ideal correction terms to the DFT functional is a promising possibility. We argue that DFT with statistical mechanics is becoming an increasingly useful framework enabling the prediction of collective electrolyte properties.

Duignan, Timothy T.↗

Entangled Photon Spectroscopy

Conspectus The enhanced interest in quantum-related phenomena has provided new opportunities for chemists to push the limits of detection and analysis of chemical processes. As some have called this the second quantum revolution, a time has come to apply the rules learned from previous research in quantum phenomena toward new methods and technologies important to chemists. While there has been great interest recently in quantum information science (QIS), the quest to understand how nonclassical states of light interact with matter has been ongoing for more than two decades. Our entry into this field started around this time with the use of materials to produce nonclassical states of light. Here, the process of multiphoton absorption led to photon-number squeezed states of light, where the photon statistics are sub-Poissonian. In addition to the great interest in generating squeezed states of light, there was also interest in the formation of entangled states of light. While much of the effort is still in foundational physics, there are numerous new avenues as to how quantum entanglement can be applied to spectroscopy, imaging, and sensing. These opportunities could have a large impact on the chemical community for a broad spectrum of applications. Here, we discuss the use of entangled (or quantum) light for spectroscopy as well as applications in microscopy and interferometry. The potential benefits of the use of quantum light are discussed in detail. From the first experiments in porphyrin dendrimer systems by Dr. Dong-Ik Lee in our group to the measurements of the entangled two photon absorption cross sections of biological systems such as flavoproteins, the usefulness of entangled light for spectroscopy has been illustrated. These early measurements led the way to more advanced measurements of the unique characteristics of both entangled light and the entangled photon absorption cross-section, which provides new control knobs for manipulating excited states in molecules. The first reports of fluorescence-induced entangled processes were in organic chromophores where the entangled photon cross-section was measured. These results would later have widespread impact in applications such as entangled two-photon microscopy. From our design, construction and implementation of a quantum entangled photon excited microscope, important imaging capabilities were achieved at an unprecedented low excitation intensity of 10 7 photons/s, which is 6 orders of magnitude lower than the excitation level for the classical two-photon image. New reports have also illustrated an advantage of nonclassical light in Raman imaging as well. From a standpoint of more precise measurements, the use of entangled photons in quantum interferometry may offer new opportunities for chemistry research. Experiments that combine molecular spectroscopy and quantum interferometry, by utilizing the correlations of entangled photons in a Hong–Ou–Mandel (HOM) interferometer, have been carried out. The initial experiment showed that the HOM signal is sensitive to the presence of a resonant organic sample placed in one arm of the interferometer. In addition, parameters such as the dephasing time have been obtained with the opportunity for even more advanced phenomenology in the future.

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗

Mechanisms of Three-Dimensional Solid-Phase Epitaxial Crystallization of Strontium Titanate

Strontium titanate (SrTiO 3 , STO) is a complex metal oxide with a cubic perovskite crystal structure. Due to its easily described and understood crystal structure in the cubic phase, STO is an ideal model system for exploring the mechanistic details of solid-phase epitaxy (SPE) in complex oxides. SPE is a crystallization approach that aims to guide crystal growth at low homologous temperatures to achieve targeted microstructures. Beyond planar thin films, SPE can also exploit the addition of a chemically inert, noncrystallizing, amorphous obstacle in the path of crystallization to generate complex three-dimensional structures. The introduction of this mask fundamentally alters the SPE process, inducing a transition from two- to three-dimensional geometries and from vertical to lateral crystal growth under the influence of the crystal/mask/amorphous boundary. Using a combination of molecular dynamics simulations and experiments, we identify several unique phenomena in the nanoscale growth behaviors in both conventional (unmasked) and masked SPE. Examining conventional SPE of STO, we find that crystallization at the interface is strongly correlated to, and potentially driven by, density fluctuations in the region of the amorphous STO near the crystalline/amorphous interface with a strong facet dependence. In the masked case, we find that the crystalline growth front becomes nonplanar near contact with the mask. We also observe a minimum vertical growth requirement prior to lateral crystallization. Both phenomena depend on the relative bulk and interfacial free energies of the three-phase (crystal/mask/amorphous) system.

37 INORGANIC, ORGANIC, PHYSICAL, AND ANALYTICAL CH↗

Temperature-Dependent Structural Transition in Cu-Intercalated Trigonal CuYbSe 2

Rare-earth delafossites, ARCh 2 ; A = alkali metal, R = rare-earth, Ch = chalcogen which consist of intercalated rare-earth metal dichalcogenides, host frustrated triangular lattices that are fertile ground for exotic phenomena. In most cases, the triangular rare-earth sublattice arises from R-3m (No. 166) structures with three layers of rare-earth metal dichalcogenide octahedra or P6 3 /mmc (No. 194) structures with two such layers, analogous to those found in transition metal dichalcogenides. Substituting the alkali metal with Cu + yields a distinct trigonal crystal symmetry P-3m1 (No. 164) in these structures. This symmetry change alters the coordination environment from ASe 6 octahedra in R-3m AYbSe 2 to CuSe 4 tetrahedra in CuYbSe 2 , resulting in shortened rare-earth to rare-earth separations and significantly reduced interlayer distances. Using X-ray single-crystal diffraction, powder neutron diffraction, resistance, and specific heat measurements, a structural transition slightly below room temperature (258 K) is observed. The low-temperature structure is a lower-symmetry I2/m structure, accompanied by partial Cu-site vacancy ordering. The combination of Cu disorder and the triangular lattice geometry in CuYbSe 2 provides a promising platform for investigating frustrated magnetism and unconventional transport phenomena.

Chemical structure↗

Advanced Materials for Energy-Water Systems: The Central Role of Water/Solid Interfaces in Adsorption, Reactivity, and Transport

The structure, chemistry, and charge of interfaces between materials and aqueous fluids play a central role in determining properties and performance of numerous water systems. Sensors, membranes, sorbents, and heterogeneous catalysts almost uniformly rely on specific interactions between their surfaces and components dissolved or suspended in the water-and often the water molecules themselves-to detect and mitigate contaminants. Deleterious processes in these systems such as fouling, scaling (inorganic deposits), and corrosion are also governed by interfacial phenomena. Despite the importance of these interfaces, much remains to be learned about their multiscale interactions. Developing a deeper understanding of the molecular- and mesoscale phenomena at water/solid interfaces will be essential to driving innovation to address grand challenges in supplying sufficient fit-for-purpose water in the future. In this Review, we examine the current state of knowledge surrounding adsorption, reactivity, and transport in several key classes of water/solid interfaces, drawing on a synergistic combination of theory, simulation, and experiments, and finally, provide an outlook for prioritizing strategic research directions.

37 INORGANIC, ORGANIC, PHYSICAL, AND ANALYTICAL CH↗

Continuum Modeling of Porous Electrodes for Electrochemical Synthesis

Electrochemical synthesis possesses substantial promise to utilize renewable energy sources to power the conversion of abundant feedstocks to value-added commodity chemicals and fuels. Of the potential system architectures for these processes, only systems employing 3-D structured porous electrodes have the capacity to achieve the high rates of conversion necessary for industrial scale. However, the phenomena and environments in these systems are not well understood and are challenging to probe experimentally. Fortunately, continuum modeling is well-suited to rationalize the observed behavior in electrochemical synthesis, as well as to ultimately provide recommendations for guiding the design of next-generation devices and components. In this review, we begin by presenting an historical review of modeling of porous electrode systems, with the aim of showing how past knowledge of macroscale modeling can contribute to the rising challenge of electrochemical synthesis. We then present a detailed overview of the governing physics and assumptions required to simulate porous electrode systems for electrochemical synthesis. Here, leveraging the developed understanding of porous-electrode theory, we survey and discuss the present literature reports on simulating multiscale phenomena in porous electrodes in order to demonstrate their relevance to understanding and improving the performance of devices for electrochemical synthesis. Lastly, we provide our perspectives regarding future directions in the development of models that can most accurately describe and predict the performance of such devices and discuss the best potential applications of future models.

37 INORGANIC, ORGANIC, PHYSICAL, AND ANALYTICAL CH↗

Bridging Scales in Bioenergy and Catalysis: A Review of Mesoscale Modeling Applications, Methods, and Future Directions

Between the molecular and reactor scales, which are familiar to the chemical engineering community, lies an intermediate regime, here termed the “mesoscale,” where transport phenomena and reaction kinetics compete on similar time scales. Bioenergy and catalytic processes offer particularly important examples of mesoscale phenomena owing to their multiphase nature and the complex, highly variable porosity characteristic of biomass and many structured catalysts. In this review, we overview applications and methods central to mesoscale modeling as they apply to reaction engineering of biomass conversion and catalytic processing. A brief historical perspective is offered to put recent advances in context. Applications of mesoscale modeling are described, and several specific examples from biomass pyrolysis and catalytic upgrading of bioderived intermediates are highlighted. Methods including reduced order modeling, finite element and finite volume approaches, geometry construction and import, and visualization of simulation results are described; in each category, recent advances, current limitations, and areas for future development are presented. Owing to improved access to high-performance computational resources, advances in algorithm development, and sustained interest in reaction engineering to sustainably meet societal needs, we conclude that a significant upsurge in mesoscale modeling capabilities is on the horizon that will accelerate design, deployment, and optimization of new bioenergy and catalytic technologies.

37 INORGANIC, ORGANIC, PHYSICAL, AND ANALYTICAL CH↗

Structural, Vibrational, and Electronic Properties of 1D-TlInTe 2 under High Pressure: A Combined Experimental and Theoretical Study

Analogous to 2D layered transition-metal dichalcogenides, the TlSe family of quasi-one dimensional chain materials with the Zintl-type structure exhibits novel phenomena under high pressure. In the present work, we have systematically investigated the high-pressure behavior of TlInTe 2 using Raman spectroscopy, synchrotron X-ray diffraction (XRD), and transport measurements, in combination with first principles crystal structure prediction (CSP) based on evolutionary approach. We found that TlInTe2 undergoes a pressure-induced semiconductor-to-semimetal transition at 4 GPa, followed by a superconducting transition at 5.7 GPa (with T c = 3.8 K). An unusual giant phonon mode (A g ) softening appears at ~10–12 GPa as a result of the interaction of optical phonons with the conduction electrons. The high-pressure XRD and Raman spectroscopy studies reveal that there is no structural phase transitions observed up to the maximum pressure achieved (33.5 GPa), which is in agreement with our CSP calculations. In addition, our calculations predict two high-pressure phases above 35 GPa following the phase transition sequence as I4/mcm (B37) → Pbcm → Pm$\bar{3}$m (B2). Electronic structure calculations suggest Lifshitz (L1 & L2-type) transitions near the superconducting transition pressure. Furthermore, our findings on TlInTe 2 open up a new avenue to study unexplored high-pressure novel phenomena in TlSe family induced by Lifshitz transition (electronic driven), giant phonon softening, and electron–phonon coupling.

37 INORGANIC, ORGANIC, PHYSICAL, AND ANALYTICAL CH↗

FLAMES─Fast, Low-Storage, Accurate, and Memory-Efficient Adaptive Sampling─Approach to Resolve Spatially Dependent Dynamics of Molecular Liquids

Many critical phenomena in soft matter occur at large length scales, necessitating the resolution of their structure and dynamics at low wavenumbers. However, resolving wavenumber-dependent dynamics computationally via molecular dynamics simulations presents significant challenges, as these phenomena span several orders of magnitude in both time and length scales, resulting in high computational costs and memory demands. Here, this work highlights the computational and memory challenges associated with analyzing molecular trajectories in reciprocal space and demonstrates a method to address them. We introduce FLAMESFast, Low-storage, Accurate, and Memory-Efficient adaptive Sampling, which is a direct method for calculation of structure factors, allowing us to select only the required number of wavevectors for binning. We also use wavenumber-dependent time steps to extract dynamics. Our FLAMES approach effectively mitigates computational and memory/storage bottlenecks. We demonstrate the method using simulations of a model system, liquid octane, at various temperatures. Comparisons with experimental data and real space computation show that the FLAMES technique achieves high accuracy in resolving temperature- and spatially dependent dynamics while being significantly more computationally efficient and requiring less memory and storage than methods based on a uniform wavevector grid and fixed temporal spacing.

Chen, Guang [Argonne National Laboratory (ANL), Ar↗

Density Functional Tight-Binding Enables Tractable Studies of Quantum Plasmonics

Routine investigations of plasmonic phenomena at the quantum level present a formidable computational challenge due to the large system sizes and ultrafast time scales involved. This Feature Article highlights the use of density functional tight-binding (DFTB), particularly its real-time time-dependent formulation (RT-TDDFTB), as a tractable approach to study plasmonic nanostructures from a quantum mechanical purview. We begin by outlining the theoretical framework and limitations of DFTB, emphasizing its efficiency in modeling systems with thousands of atoms over picosecond time scales. Applications of RT-TDDFTB are then explored in the context of optical absorption, nonlinear harmonic generation, and plasmon-mediated photocatalysis. We demonstrate how DFTB can reconcile classical and quantum descriptions of plasmonic behavior, capturing key phenomena such as size-dependent plasmon shifts and plasmon coupling in nanoparticle assemblies. Lastly, we showcase DFTB’s ability to model hot carrier generation and reaction dynamics in plasmon-driven H2 dissociation, underscoring its potential to model photocatalytic processes. Collectively, these studies establish DFTB as a powerful, yet computationally efficient tool to probe the emergent physics of materials at the limits of space and time.

Electrical energy↗

Nanometer-Scale Correlations in Aqueous Salt Solutions

The intermediate-range (1–4 nm) correlation of cations, an- ions, and water in aqueous alkaline earth salt solutions is measured using synchrotron X-ray diffraction. We differentiate from the entire solution structure factor, S(Q), a separate region at low Q (<1 °A-1) containing local diffraction maxima (pre-peaks) that indicate nanometer-scale oscillatory behavior. These features are quantitatively reproduced with classical molecular dynamics simulations. At high concentrations, the pre-peaks emerge from correlations arising from existence of small quasi close-packed lattice- like structures comprised of cation hydration spheres. We also analyze the concentration dependence of the pre-peak and discuss the overall results in light of the rich literature dealing with intermediate-range correlations underlying universal phenomena in concentrated electrolytes. The authors were supported by the U.S. Department of Energy, Office of Science, Office of Basic Energy Sciences, Division of Chemical Sciences, Geosciences and Biosciences. Pacific Northwest National Laboratory (PNNL) is operated by Battelle for the U.S. Department of Energy under Contract No. DE-AC05-76RL01830. Computing resources were generously allocated by PNNL's Institutional Computing program. DOE Contract No. DEAC02- 06CH11357 supports operation of the Advanced Photon Source at Argonne National Laboratory.

Chemical physics, nucleation, Madelung potential↗

Ferroelectric Switching of Pure Spin Polarization in Two-Dimensional Electron Gas

Two-dimensional electron gas (2DEG) created at compound interfaces can exhibit a broad range of exotic physical phenomena, including quantum Hall phase, emergent ferromagnetism, and superconductivity. Although electron spin plays key roles in these phenomena, the fundamental understanding and application prospects of such emergent interfacial states have been largely impeded by the lack of purely spin-polarized 2DEG. In this paper, by first-principles calculations of the multiferroic superlattice GeTe/MnTe, we find the ferroelectric polarization of GeTe is concurrent with the half-metallic 2DEG at interfaces. Remarkably, the pure spin polarization of the 2DEG can be created and annihilated by polarizing and depolarizing the ferroelectrics and can be switched (between pure spin-up and pure spin-down) by flipping the ferroelectric polarization. Given the electric-field amplification effect of ferroelectric electronics, we envision multiferroic superlattices could open up new opportunities for low-power, high-efficiency spintronic devices such as spin field-effect transistors.

37 INORGANIC, ORGANIC, PHYSICAL, AND ANALYTICAL CH↗

Anisotropic Response of Defect Bound States to the Magnetic Field in Epitaxial FeSn Films

Crystal defects, whether intrinsic or engineered, drive many fundamental phenomena and novel functionalities of quantum materials. Here, we report symmetry-breaking phenomena induced by Sn vacancy defects on the surface of epitaxial Kagome antiferromagnetic FeSn films using low-temperature scanning tunneling microscopy and spectroscopy. Near the single Sn vacancy, anisotropic quasiparticle interference patterns are observed in the differential conductance dI/dV maps, breaking the 6-fold rotational symmetry of the Kagome layer. Furthermore, the Sn vacancy defects induce bound states that exhibit anomalous Zeeman shift under an out-of-plane magnetic field, where the energy of the bound states moves linearly toward higher energy independent of the direction of the magnetic field. Under an in-plane magnetic field, the shift of the bound state energy also shows a 2-fold oscillating behavior as a function of the azimuth angle. These findings demonstrate defectenabled new functionalities in Kagome antiferromagnets for potential applications in nanoscale spintronic devices.

71 CLASSICAL AND QUANTUM MECHANICS, GENERAL PHYSIC↗

The Role of SnO2 Processing on Ionic Distribution in Double-Cation-Double Halide Perovskites

Moving toward a future of efficient, accessible, and less carbon-reliant energy devices has been at the forefront of energy research innovations for the past 30 years. Metal-halide perovskite (MHP) thin films have gained significant attention due to their flexibility of device applications and tunable capabilities for improving power conversion efficiency. Serving as a gateway to optimize device performance, consideration must be given to chemical synthesis processing techniques. Therefore, how does common substrate processing techniques influence the behavior of MHP phenomena such as ion migration and strain? Here, we demonstrate how a hybrid approach of chemical bath deposition (CBD) and nanoparticle SnO2 substrate processing significantly improves the performance of (FAPbI3)0.97(MAPbBr3)0.03 by reducing micro-strain in the SnO2 lattice, allowing distribution of K+ from K-Cl treatment of substrates to passivate defects formed at the interface and produce higher current in light and dark environments. X-ray diffraction reveals differences in lattice strain behavior with respect to SnO2 substrate processing methods. Through use of conductive atomic force microscopy (c-AFM), conductivity is measured spatially with MHP morphology, showing higher generation of current in both light and dark conditions for films with hybrid processing. Additionally, time-of-flight secondary ionization mass spectrometry (ToF-SIMS) observed the distribution of K+ at the perovskite/SnO2 interface, indicating K+ passivation of defects to improve the power conversion efficiency (PCE) and device stability. We show how understanding the role of ion distribution at the SnO2 and perovskite interface can help reduce the creating of defects and promote a more efficient MHP device.

conductive atomic force microscopy↗

Spin Texture Control and Magnetic Gap Engineering in a Ferromagnetic Insulator–Topological Insulator Sandwiched Heterostructure

Quantum materials that combine magnetism with topological order are emerging as key platforms for next-generation spintronics and low-energy electronics. They enable the realization of emergent quantum phenomena, such as the quantum anomalous Hall effect and axion insulator states. The ferromagnetic insulator (FMI)/topological insulator (TI)/FMI sandwich structure of a single-septuple layer (1SL) MnBi 2 Te 4 /four-quintuple layer (4QL) Bi 2 Te 3 /1SL MnBi 2 Te 4 holds great potential to achieve such desirable quantum phenomena at an elevated temperature, owing to its large Dirac point band gap and high Curie temperature. Here, for this work, spin- and angle-resolved photoemission spectroscopy (spin-ARPES) is employed to directly verify that the band gap arises from broken time-reversal symmetry via proximity-driven magnetization. This study demonstrates direct control of the spin state via external magnetic fields and unambiguously confirms the exchange interaction as the gap-opening mechanism. The robust magnetic gap and controllable spin texture make this heterostructure a suitable candidate for spintronic applications and magnetic topological quantum phases.

exchange gap↗

Liquid–Solid Boundaries Dominate Activity of CO 2 Reduction on Gas-Diffusion Electrodes

Electrochemical CO 2 electrolysis to produce hydrocarbon fuels or material feedstocks offers a renewable alternative to fossilized carbon sources. Gas-diffusion electrodes (GDEs), composed of solid electrocatalysts on porous supports positioned near the interface of a conducting electrolyte and CO 2 gas, have been able to demonstrate the substantial current densities needed for future commercialization. These higher reaction rates have often been ascribed to the presence of a three-phase interface, where solid, liquid, and gas provide electrons, water, and CO 2 , respectively. Conversely, mechanistic work on electrochemical reactions implicates a fully two-phase reaction interface, where gas molecules reach the electrocatalyst’s surface by dissolution and diffusion through the electrolyte. Because the discrepancy between an atomistic three-phase versus two-phase reaction has substantial implications for the design of catalysts, gas-diffusion layers, and cell architectures, the nuances of nomenclatures and governing phenomena surrounding the three-phase-region require clarification. In this paper we outline the macro, micro, and atomistic phenomena occurring within a gas-diffusion electrode to provide a focused discussion on the architecture of the often-discussed three-phase region for CO 2 electrolysis. From this information, we comment on the outlook for the broader CO 2 electroreduction GDE cell architecture.

CO2 reduction↗

Ripening of Rh Nanoparticle Catalysts in Reverse Water–Gas Shift via a Data-Driven Model Combining Physics, Theory, and Experiment

Degradation via sintering is an ongoing challenge that impedes the broad commercial success of supported metallic nanoparticle catalysts. To mitigate degradation via informed catalyst design and process operations, here we aim to disambiguate the underlying mechanisms of sintering by combining theory and experiment in a quantitative framework. While mechanistic sintering models exist, they only model a single sintering pathway, even though multiple sintering mechanisms can occur simultaneously or dominate at different stages of the process. Data-driven machine learning models have emerged as a means to represent complex processes through data regression. However, machine learning models have very large data needs and lack mechanistic insights due to their black-box encoding. To develop an interpretive model of catalyst degradation via sintering, we constructed a hybrid model combining mechanistic “physics-based” models and data-driven methods to obtain both reliable predictions and mechanistic insights regarding experimentally observed sintering phenomena. Focusing on nanoparticle sintering in the Rh–TiO 2 catalyst for the reverse water–gas shift (RWGS) reaction, the hybrid model couples a mechanistic term for Ostwald ripening with energy values calculated via density functional theory (DFT) with a parametric, data-driven discrepancy function term for unmodeled mechanisms. The hybrid model is trained using Bayesian inference with data collected from small-angle X-ray scattering (SAXS) in situ experiments wherein average nanoparticle diameter versus time was measured at three relevant operating temperatures. The calibrated hybrid model results show that an Ostwald ripening-only model parameterized with fixed DFT energies does not fully capture the time and temperature dependence of the SAXS-observed sintering kinetics, and that an additional functional contribution, or DFT energy calibration, is required to reconcile simulation and experiment. Analysis of the hybrid-model error confirms that the hybrid model outperforms both the purely mechanistic and purely data-driven alternatives in terms of expected predictive accuracy for time-evolving average particle sizes. Furthermore, the results support the hypothesis that the Ostwald ripening mechanism is less important for explaining the sintering phenomena as operating temperature increases under an assumed fixed DFT parameterization. This could be explained in one of two ways: either latent, unmodeled sintering mechanisms dominate at higher temperatures, or the DFT uncertainty increases with temperature. The proposed modeling approach directly links theory to experiments and simulations via a statistical hybrid modeling framework and can be extended to other catalytic systems to improve predictive models and mechanistic understanding.

Bayesian hybrid modeling↗