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At least 469 records · Page 26

Formation of Planetary Systems

Stars are observed to be forming within cold regions of the galaxy called molecular clouds. A clump of gas and dust within a molecular cloud can collapse into a rotationally- supported disk orbiting the pre s sure -supported star. Such a disk has the same initial elemental composition as the growing star. At sufficient distances from the central star, it is cool enough for approx. 1 - 2% of this material to be in solid form, either remnant interstellar grains or condensates formed within the disk. During the infall stage, the disk is very active and probably highly turbulent. When the infall slows substantially or stops, the disk becomes more quiescent. The dust grows from micron-sized dust to kilometer-sized planetesimals by physical collisions, possibly aided by collective gravity. The dynamics of larger solid bodies within protoplanetary disks are better characterized. The primary perturbations on the orbits of kilometer-sized and larger planetesimals in protoplanetary disks are mutual gravitational interactions and physical collisions. These interactions lead to accretion (and in some cases erosion and fragmentation) of planetesimals. The most massive planets have the largest gravitationally-enhanced collision cross-sections, and accrete almost everything with which they collide. The size distribution of solid bodies becomes quite skewed, with a few large bodies growing much faster than the rest of the swarm, until they have accumulated most of the small bodies within their gravitational reach. Slower growth continues (at least for solid, earth-like planets) as the eccentricities of planetary embryos are pumped up by long-range mutual gravitational perturbations. As planetary masses increase, they become more efficient at stirring random velocities of neighboring bodies. If sufficiently massive and dense planets exist far enough from the star, they can eject material into interstellar space. In most models, giant planets begin their growth like terrestrial planets, but if they become massive enough before the protoplanetary disk dissipates, then they are able to accumulate substantial amounts of gas. Giant planet growth times predicted by current models are similar to estimates of the lifetime of the gaseous protoplanetary disk, so we don't know whether or not giant planets form in most protoplanetary disks. However, planets that become massive while a substantial amount of gas remains in the disk may migrate into the star as a consequence of their gravitational interactions with the disk.

Lissauer, Jack J.↗

Heating and melting of small icy satellites by the decay of 26Al

We study the effect of radiogenic heating due to 26Al on the thermal evolution of small icy satellites. Our object is to find the extent of internal melting as a function of the satellite radius and of the initial 26Al abundance. The implicit assumption, based on observations of young stars, is that planet and satellite accretion occurred on a time scale of approximately 10(6) yr (comparable with the lifetime of 26Al). The icy satellites are modeled as spheres of initially amorphous ice, with chondritic abundances of 40K, 232Th, 235U, 238U, corresponding to an ice/dust mass ratio of 1. Evolutionary calculations are carried out, spanning 4.5 x 10(9) yr, for different combinations of the two free parameters. Heat transfer by subsolidus convection is neglected for these small satellites. Our main conclusion is that the initial 26Al abundance capable of melting icy bodies of satellite size to a significant extent is more than 10 times lower than that prevailing in the interstellar medium (or that inferred from the Ca-Al rich inclusions of the Allende meteorite, approximately 7 x 10(-7) by mass). We find, for example, that an initial 26Al mass fraction of approximately 4 x 10(-8) is sufficient for melting almost completely icy spheres with radii of 800 km, typical of the larger icy planetary satellites. We also find that for any given 26Al abundance, there is a narrow range of radii below which only marginal melting occurs and above which most of the ice melts (and refreezes later). Since extensive melting may have important consequences, such as differentiation, gas release, and volcanic activity, the effect of 26Al should be included in future studies of satellite interiors.

Non-NASA Center↗

Technical Civilizations in the Galaxy

Are there other technical civilizations in the galaxy? Past analyses come to different conclusions. Cocconi and Morrison demonstrated in 1959 that interstellar radio communication was possible and Drake conducted the first search for beacons in 1960. The Drake equation estimates the number of galactic civilizations that are transmitting beacons as the product of the rate of star formation in the galaxy, the fraction of stars with planets, their average number of earthlike planets, the fraction with intelligent life and interstellar communication, and the average lifetime of a technical civilization. The Drake model of the galaxy contains many technical civilizations with communication but no interstellar travel. Michael Hart in 1975 strongly challenged this model. Starting with the fact that no extraterrestrials have been observed on Earth, and assuming that interstellar colonization is possible, he concluded that it was very likely that we are the first civilization in our galaxy and that searching or beacons is probably a waste of time and money. The Fermi paradox similarly reasons that if extraterrestrials exist: they should be here, and asks, Where are they? The Hart/Fermi model of the galaxy contains only our civilization and suggests we may colonize the galaxy. A third galactic model is that we are alone but will never develop interstellar travel. The fourth alternate model has many technical civilizations, with interstellar travel and colonization. The possibilities are clear and momentous. Either we are the only technical civilization in the galaxy or there are others. Technical civilizations will colonize the galaxy or not. We have four cosmic conjectures - one or many, colonization or not - but however unlikely they seem based on our limited evidence, one of these four models must be collect.

Jones, Harry↗

The Kuiper Belt, Exozodiacal Dust, Debris Disks: It's All About Collisions

Debris disks around other stars, like the disks around Fomalhaut, Vega, and Epsilon Eridani, are often described as more massive versions of the Kuiper Belt. But for a long time, it's been hard to test this notion, because grain-grain collisions dominate the grain lifetimes and we lacked the tools to model the effect of collisions on the appearance of the disks. I'll describe a new breakthrough that has allowed us to make 3-D models of collisions in debris disks and exozodiacal clouds for the first time, and I'll show the latest supercomputer simulations of these systems, illustrating the effects of planets and collisions in sculpting these disks. These models will be the key to interpreting debris disk images from HST, Herschel, SOFIA, JWST, and ALMA, as well as understanding the exozodiacal dust backgrounds for direct imaging of exo-Earths.

Kuchner, Marc↗

Development of Unsteady Pressure-Sensitive Paint Application on NASA Space Launch System

The key measurement to acquire for understanding unsteady flow is surface pressure. Unsteady Pressure-Sensitive Paint (uPSP) is an emerging optical technique used in wind tunnel testing to measure fluctuating surface pressures. Recently, tests were conducted on NASA’s Space Launch System in NASA Ames Research Center’s Unitary Plan Wind Tunnel to determine the aeroacoustics environment and assist in developing the buffet forcing functions. Unsteady PSP data was collected during this test campaign. Steady state PSP data, infrared thermography, shadowgraph, accelerometer data, and dynamic pressure transducer data were also collected. In all 50 TB of data were collected during the three days of testing. During these three days of testing, a repeating transonic and supersonic alpha sweep condition was acquired. This paper presents these two wind tunnel conditions and examines how the temperature influences the PSP data. In the first large demonstration of uPSP in 2015 on an NESC-, AETC-sponsored wind tunnel test, lifetime PSP results highlighted the influence the model temperature had on the PSP data. A best practice of heat soaking the model before acquiring calibration images was followed during the test campaign presented in this paper. An infrared thermography camera and thermocouples were installed in the model to collect more details of the model surface temperature. Data processing schemes for uPSP are still in development but will be briefly presented here as well.

Roozeboom, Nettie H.↗

Additional Characterization of Sonoran Pics in Support of A Stable Multi-Sensor Geostationary Imager Record

The Sonoran Desert is the most utilized Pseudo Invariant Calibration Site (PICS) located in the Americas for post-launch radiometer drift monitoring and sensor pair radiometric scaling. The Sonoran Desert is located near the US Arizona and Mexican border with an elevation of 37 m. The site has small spatial and angular variations; however, soil moisture can cause short- term periodic reflectance fluctuations. The NASA Clouds and the Earth’s Radiant Energy System (CERES) project utilizes the site to validate the GOES East and West imager calibration coefficients derived from inter-calibrating GOES with MODIS. Because the daily local noon angular solar and viewing angles repeat every year over the site, a daily exoatmospheric radiance model (DERM) can be constructed over the lifetime of a well-calibrated GOES sensor. DERM based on a well-calibrated GOES imager can then be used to determine the calibration coefficients of successive GOES imagers to provide a stable multi-sensor GOES imager record. This will ensure that the GOES retrieved clouds and derived broadband fluxes can be used to infer the regional diurnal cycle in between Terra and Aqua CERES measurements to accurately compute the daily mean regional fluxes and clouds over the 20-year CERES SYN1deg product. Although the Sonoran Desert surface reflectance and atmospheric column vary seasonally, the inter-annual variability of the seasonal cycle is small, but it adds noise to the resulting DERM calibration coefficients. We seek to reduce the uncertainty of the DERM approach by improving the clear-sky filtering and correlating the observed interannual reflectance variability with atmospheric parameters, such as precipitable water, ozone concentration, and aerosol optical depth. The additional characterization of the Sonoran Desert site DERM for both the GOES East and West positions should improve the accuracy of the CERES SYN1deg product clouds and fluxes.

Prathana Khakurel↗

The Case for a 50+ Year Radioisotope Power System

The Johns Hopkins University Applied Physics Laboratory (JHU/APL) is leading the NASA funded Interstellar Probe study to explore the “Very Local” interstellar medium. To perform this exploration the mission will be required to last at least 50 years in regions of space where solar power is no longer practical. Additionally, several new studies for the National Academies’ Planetary Science and Astrobiology Decadal Survey are planning missions lasting 20-35 years. The Decadal Survey is used to build consensus on priority of national science goals. These proposed missions are inconsistent with the NASA’s current Radioisotope Power Systems (RPS) life requirement of 14 years (flight). Paramount to these proposed long-duration missions are questions about the longevity of such a mission. Evidence exists that space-borne Radioisotope Power Systems can indeed last a long time. LES-9, Voyager I, and Voyager II are over 40 years old, LES-8, Pioneer 10, and Pioneer 11 lasted 28, 30, and 22 years, respectively, and New Horizons is still active 15 years after launch. This paper explores the need for RPS designs that are intended to last much longer than the current requirement of 14 years (17 years after fueling) and explores the historical record for actual vs design lifetimes to show the feasibility of building long lasting RPS. We also exercise a current RTG performance model of the General-Purpose Heat Source RTG using the JPL Lifetime Performance Prediction (LPP) tool to make top-level inferences about power output at end-of-mission, and discusses how reliability engineering and testing methods can be brought to bear to increase confidence in delivering sufficient power at end-of-mission.

Phan, Brian↗

Simulations of the Vertical Redistribution of HNO3 by NAT or NAD PSCs: The Sensitivity to the Number of Cloud Particles Formed and the Cloud Lifetime

Recent satellite and in situ measurements have indicated that limited denitrification can occur in the Arctic stratosphere. In situ measurements from the SOLVE campaign indicate polar stratospheric clouds (PSCs) composed of small numbers (about 3 x 10^ -4 cm^-3) of 10-20 micron particles (probably NAT or NAD). These observations raise the issue of whether low number density NAT PSCs can substantially denitrify the air with reasonable cloud lifetimes. In this study, we use a one dimensional cloud model to investigate the verticle redistribution of HNO3 by NAT/NAD PSCs. The cloud formation is driven by a temperature oscillation which drops the temperature below the NAT/NAD formation threshold (about 195 K) for a few days. We assume that a small fraction of the available aerosols act as NAT nuclei when the saturation ratio of HNO3 over NAT(NAD) exceeds 10(l.5). The result is a cloud between about 16 and 20 km in the model, with NAT/NAD particle effective radii as large as about 10 microns (in agreement with the SOLVE data). We find that for typical cloud lifetimes of 2-3 days or less, the net depletion of HNO3 is no more than 1-2 ppbv, regardless of the NAT or NAD particle number density. Repeated passes of the air column through the cold pool build up the denitrification to 3-4 ppbv, and the cloud altitude steadily decreases due to the downward transport of nitric acid. Increasing the cloud lifetime results in considerably more effective denitrification, even with very low cloud particle number densities. As expected, the degree of denitrification by NAT clouds is much larger than that by NAD Clouds. Significant denitrification by NAD Clouds is only possible if the cloud lifetime is several days or more. The clouds also cause a local maximum HNO3 mixing ratio at cloud base where the cloud particles sublimate.

Jensen, Eric J.↗

Integration of Evidence Base into a Probabilistic Risk Assessment

INTRODUCTION: A probabilistic decision support model such as the Integrated Medical Model (IMM) utilizes an immense amount of input data that necessitates a systematic, integrated approach for data collection, and management. As a result of this approach, IMM is able to forecasts medical events, resource utilization and crew health during space flight. METHODS: Inflight data is the most desirable input for the Integrated Medical Model. Non-attributable inflight data is collected from the Lifetime Surveillance for Astronaut Health study as well as the engineers, flight surgeons, and astronauts themselves. When inflight data is unavailable cohort studies, other models and Bayesian analyses are used, in addition to subject matters experts input on occasion. To determine the quality of evidence of a medical condition, the data source is categorized and assigned a level of evidence from 1-5; the highest level is one. The collected data reside and are managed in a relational SQL database with a web-based interface for data entry and review. The database is also capable of interfacing with outside applications which expands capabilities within the database itself. Via the public interface, customers can access a formatted Clinical Findings Form (CLiFF) that outlines the model input and evidence base for each medical condition. Changes to the database are tracked using a documented Configuration Management process. DISSCUSSION: This strategic approach provides a comprehensive data management plan for IMM. The IMM Database s structure and architecture has proven to support additional usages. As seen by the resources utilization across medical conditions analysis. In addition, the IMM Database s web-based interface provides a user-friendly format for customers to browse and download the clinical information for medical conditions. It is this type of functionality that will provide Exploratory Medicine Capabilities the evidence base for their medical condition list. CONCLUSION: The IMM Database in junction with the IMM is helping NASA aerospace program improve the health care and reduce risk for the astronauts crew. Both the database and model will continue to expand to meet customer needs through its multi-disciplinary evidence based approach to managing data. Future expansion could serve as a platform for a Space Medicine Wiki of medical conditions.

Saile, Lyn↗

The benefits of diligence: how precise are predicted gravitational wave spectra in models with phase transitions?

Models of particle physics that feature phase transitions typically provide predictions for stochastic gravitational wave signals at future detectors and such predictions are used to delineate portions of the model parameter space that can be constrained. The question is: how precise are such predictions? Uncertainties enter in the calculation of the macroscopic thermal parameters and the dynamics of the phase transition itself. We calculate such uncertainties with increasing levels of sophistication in treating the phase transition dynamics. Currently, the highest level of diligence corresponds to careful treatments of the source lifetime; mean bubble separation; going beyond the bag model approximation in solving the hydrodynamics equations and explicitly calculating the fraction of energy in the fluid from these equations rather than using a fit; and including fits for the energy lost to vorticity modes and reheating effects. The lowest level of diligence incorporates none of these effects. We compute the percolation and nucleation temperatures, the mean bubble separation, the fluid velocity, and ultimately the gravitational wave spectrum corresponding to the level of highest diligence for three explicit examples: SMEFT, a dark sector Higgs model, and the real singlet-extended Standard Model (xSM). In each model, we contrast different levels of diligence in the calculation and find that the difference in the final predicted signal can be several orders of magnitude. Our results indicate that calculating the gravitational wave spectrum for particle physics models and deducing precise constraints on the parameter space of such models continues to remain very much a work in progress and warrants care.

79 ASTRONOMY AND ASTROPHYSICS↗

Spatiotemporal Modeling of Real World Backsheets Field Survey Data: Hierarchical (Multilevel) Generalized Additive Models: Preprint

Assessing photovoltaic module backsheet durability is critical to increasing module lifetime. Lab based accelerating testing has recently failed to predict large scale failures of widely adopted polymeric materials. Field surveyed data is critical to assess the performance of component lifetime. Using a documented field survey protocol, 13 field surveys where conducted. Each measurement is encoded with it's spatial location in respect to the other modules. By combining field survey data on degradation predictors with real time satellite weather data, data-driven predictive models of backsheet degradation were trained. LOESS models were constructed to investigate the spatial dependence of measurements. It was found that micro-climatic effects like treelines, ground surface changes, and elevation changes effected the magnitude and variance of the measurements. A GAM model was created to predict the value of degradation based on measured predictors. The model includes variables on the climate of the system and the location of each measurement in the PV mounting structure. The model performed well with an adj:R2 of 0:95 for yellowness index prediction. The model was cross-validated using k-folds.

backsheet↗

Mechanism-based Modeling of Long-term Degradation

The use of composites in high temperature, long lifetime applications requires a basic understanding of composite degradation mechanisms, advances in analytical capabilities, and accurate accelerated and scaled tests. To advance all of these goals, models are proposed based on a variety of fundamental material mechanisms. Thermal, oxygen, and moisture diffusion, chemical reactions, composite micromechanics; modified laminated plate theory, and future mechanics based damage models are used. All models attempt to stay as simple and fundamental as possible. All are coupled, so that interactions between various effects are modeled implicitly. Ongoing efforts at MIT are reviewed here, with some reference to other work, but no attempt is made to do a comprehensive review. Mechanism based models are yielding understanding of the mechanisms behind observed degradation phenomena, are helping to design accelerated tests, and are the first steps towards a predictive capability.

McManus, H. L.↗

Evolution of Bromoform in a Global Chemistry and Transport Model

It is well known that many chlorine and bromine compounds that are inert in the troposphere are destroyed in the stratosphere and contribute to the stratospheric burden of reactive chlorine and bromine species. But the contribution from those chlorine and bromine compounds which are reactive in the troposphere is less certain because it is not known whether convection can transport these gases to the upper troposphere rapidly enough to overcome their short tropospheric lifetimes. We examine this issue using a three-dimensional chemistry and transport model to simulate the evolution of three gases which have surface sources, bromoform (CHBr3), methyl chloroform (CH3CCl3), and carbon dioxide (CO2). Our objective is to determine if CHBr3 might enhance the lower stratospheric burden of reactive bromine. The other two gases provide tests of the quality of the simulation. Both CHBr3 and CH3CCl3 are destroyed in the troposphere by reaction with hydroxyl (OH), whose latitudinal and monthly variation is provided by a two-dimensional model and upon which a diurnal variation is imposed. Comparison of the lifetime of CH3CCl3 computed from observations (5 years) with the lifetime computed from the simulation provides an integrated test of the model's transport and photochemistry. Observations also show that CO2 exhibits a strong seasonal cycle in the northern hemisphere troposphere that is not propagated directly across the tropopause into the lower stratosphere. Thus, maintenance of the observed troposphere-stratosphere distinctness of CO2 in the presence of convection is a critical benchmark for meeting our objective.

Douglass, Anne R.↗

Cometary atmospheres: Modeling the spatial distribution of observed neutral radicals

The dependencies on heliocentric velocity for the solar photodissociation lifetime and the solar fluorescence rate of the OH radical were incorporated into the Monte Carlo particle trajectory model for cometary radicals. For the case of CN a study was initiated on the effects of using several different adopted models on the calculation of production rates from filter photometry. Progress in these areas is discussed. A comparison of two different sets of scale length data for cometary C2 and CN is also presented.

Combi, M. R.↗

Lithium-Ion Battery Life Model with Electrode Cracking and Early-Life Break-in Processes

This paper develops a physically justified reduced-order capacity fade model from accelerated calendar- and cycle-aging data for 32 lithium-ion (Li-ion) graphite/nickel-manganese-cobalt (NMC) cells. The large data set reveals temperature-, charge C-rate-, depth-of-discharge-, and state of charge (SOC)-dependent degradation patterns that would be unobserved in a smaller test matrix. Model structure is informed by incremental capacity analysis that shows loss of lithium inventory and cathode-material loss as the dominant capacity fade mechanisms. The model includes terms attributable to solid-electrolyte interface (SEI) growth, electrode cracking, cycling-driven acceleration of SEI growth, and "break-in" mechanisms that slightly decrease or increase available Li inventory early in life. The study explores what mathematical couplings of these mechanisms best describe calendar aging, cycle aging, and mixed calendar/cycle aging. Various approaches are discussed for extracting relevant stress factors from complex cycling profiles to predict lifetime during real-world battery loads using models trained on constant-current laboratory test results. The complexity of the present human-driven model identification process motivates future work in machine learning to more widely search and statistically discern the optimal model that correctly extrapolates capacity fade based on physical knowledge.

25 ENERGY STORAGE↗

Isomers in Tl 203 and core excitations built on a five-nucleon-hole structure

Isomers with three- and five-nucleon-hole configurations have been established in 203 Tl These include newly identified levels with a three-nucleon-hole structure: I π = (15/2 – ) with T 1/2 = 7.9(5) ns and I π = (35/2 – ) with T 1/2 = 4.0(5) ns. In addition, five-nucleon-hole states have also been established: I π = (39/2 – ) with T 1/2 = 1.9(2) ns and I π = (49/2 + ) with T 1/2 = 3.4(4) ns. The previously determined long-lived decay, T 1/2 = 6.6(3) μs from this work, is associated with isomerism of the I π = (29/2 + ) state. Levels above this long-lived isomer have been identified through a delayed-prompt γ–γ coincidence measurement. Five-nucleon-hole states with excitation energies E x ≈ 7 MeV have been established as well as possible octupole excitations of the 208Pb core built on these levels. Furthermore, the level scheme of 203 Tl is extended up to E x ≈ 11 MeV with the inclusion of 25 new transitions. Empirical and shell-model calculations have been performed to aid in the description of the observed states which are found to be of intrinsic character.

190 ≤ A ≤ 219↗

Distance Dependence of Förster Resonance Energy Transfer Rates in 2D Perovskite Quantum Wells via Control of Organic Spacer Length

Two-dimensional (2D) semiconductors are attractive candidates for a variety of optoelectronic applications owing to the unique electronic properties that arise from quantum confinement along a single dimension. Incorporating nonradiative mechanisms that enable directed migration of bound charge carriers, such as Forster resonance energy transfer (FRET), could boost device efficiencies provided that FRET rates outpace undesired relaxation pathways. However, predictive models for FRET between distinct 2D states are lacking, particularly with respect to the distance d between a donor and acceptor. We approach FRET in systems with binary mixtures of donor and acceptor 2D perovskite quantum wells (PQWs), and we synthetically tune distances between donor and acceptor by varying alkylammonium spacer cation lengths. FRET rates are monitored using transient absorption spectroscopy and ultrafast photoluminescence, revealing rapid picosecond lifetimes that scale with spacer cation length. We theoretically model these binary mixtures of PQWs, describing the emitters as classical oscillating dipoles. Finally, we find agreement with our empirical lifetimes and then determine the effects of lateral extent and layer thickness, establishing fundamental principles for FRET in 2D materials.

37 INORGANIC, ORGANIC, PHYSICAL, AND ANALYTICAL CH↗