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At least 469 records · Page 26

A Multi-Probe Mission at Jupiter is Within our Reach!!

Soon after Galileo Probe mission, capabilities to manufacture and test heritage carbon-phenolic (HCP) TPS atrophied. The impact of capability loss to Outer Planet probe missions, Venus in-situ and Mars Sample Return (MSR) missions was realized after two decades. MSR (1997 – 2006) initiated a search and recover of HCP. Decadal Survey (2003) recommended JPOP mission (Jupiter Polar Orbiter and Probe), but lack of HCP TPS resulted in Juno being proposed without a probe. Decadal Survey (2013) recognized and advised NASA to close the TPS gap. With the community support, NASA initiated a technology development effort to close this gap in 2019 and today, missions to Venus, Saturn, Uranus, and MSR are enabled by new 3-D Woven TPS. Jupiter, the most demanding mission from an entry and TPS perspective ever, still lacks a viable qualified TPS. While the Science community needs to make the case for going back to Jupiter with a Probe, this work is an assessment of emerging capabilities to support such a mission when needed. Recent SOA developments are very promising to close this technology gaps. Encourage the Science Community about the feasibility of future Jupiter Multi-Probes Mission Engage the Entry System/TPS Technology Community as to the emerging capabilities and need to preserve them Educate and excite the early career and next generation students interested in future Science and technology challenge.

Ethiraj Venkatapathy↗

Combining Data with Physical Knowledge for Uncertainty Quantification in Certification and Reliability Analysis

Unifying empirical data with predictive models can enable engineering cost-savings through certification by analysis and reliability-based design. Both concepts require rigorous uncertainty quantification (UQ) and robust understanding and treatment of relevant physics. Combining sampling-based UQ algorithms with high-fidelity simulations creates a computational bottleneck that is often alleviated through the use of machine learning (ML). ML can be used to create computationally efficient surrogates for simulations of complex or high-dimensional physical interactions (e.g., multi-phase interactions associated with melt pools in laser powder bed fusion or spatially-dependent material properties in functionally graded materials). However, negative side effects of ML may include a lack of interpretability and negative correlation between event rarity and simulation accuracy due to a lack of training data. As such, it is important to infuse ML algorithms with physics-based guardrails to provide confidence in their predictions. This talk will provide a brief review of recent NASA research at this intersection of physics-based simulation, ML, and UQ with a focus on certification and reliability analysis.

uncertainty quantification↗

Phyllosilicate Formation on Early Mars Via Open-System Acid Alteration of Basaltic Glass

Smectites are widespread on Mars, but neutral/alkaline conditions favorable for smectite formation have surprisingly not led to abundant carbonates. Smectite formation on Mars could also occur in acidic environments unfavorable for carbonate formation. Acidic smectite formation has been demonstrated in batch (closed hydrologic) systems, however, the mechanisms and octahedral composition of smectite forming in acidic flow-through (open hydrologic) systems are not fully understood. Stapafell basaltic glass was hydrothermally altered (190◦C) at two flow rates corresponding to low and high water to rock ratio (W/R) and initial pH (pH_0) values of 2, 3, 4 and 6, and a batch low W/R experiment was conducted at pH_0 2. Kaolinite, montmorillonite and chlorite formed at pH_0 2 at low W/R; no phyllosilicates formed at pH_0 2 at high W/R; and lizardite formed at pH_0 ≥3 at both W/R ratios. Lizardite, kaolinite, and montmorillonite in these experiments formed by precipitation from solution and chlorite likely formed through alteration of montmorillonite and/or basalt. Saponite formed at pH_0 2 in batch conditions by alteration of basaltic glass. Comparison of experimental data with martian phyllosilicate assemblages indicated that smectite formation on Mars likely occurred under water-limited conditions. Al-rich smectite could form in open-system low W/R subsurface environments under a narrow range of pH (pH <3) while saponite could form in closed low W/R systems under acidic to alkaline conditions. Combined open and closed hydrological regimes could be responsible for development of clay mineral stratigraphies observed on Mars. The acidic conditions required for formation of Al-rich smectite were unfavorable for carbonate precipitation, but carbonate precipitation could occur together with Fe/Mg-smectite in closed systems at pH >4. The lack of carbonates occurring together with Fe/Mg-smectite could be cause by low pCO2 in subsurface closed environments and/or by overall lack of carbonate precipitation despite significant oversaturation.

S J Ralston↗

Improved Space Weather Observations and Modeling for Aviation Radiation

In recent years there has been a growing interest from the aviation community for space weather radiation forecasts tailored to the needs of the aviation industry. In 2019 several space weather centers began issuing advisories for the International Civil Aviation Organization alerting users to enhancements in the radiation environment at aviation flight levels. Due to a lack of routine observations, radiation modeling is required to specify the dose rates experienced by flight crew and passengers. While mature models exist, support for key observational inputs and further modeling advancements are needed. Observational inputs required from the ground-based neutron monitor network must be financially supported for research studies and operations to ensure real-time data is available for forecast operations and actionable end user decision making. An improved understanding of the geomagnetic field is required to reduce dose rate uncertainties in regions close to the open/closed geomagnetic field boundary, important for flights such as those between the continental US and Europe which operate in this region. Airborne radiation measurements, which are crucial for model validation and improvement, are lacking, particularly during solar energetic particle events. New measurement campaigns must be carried out to ensure progress and in situ atmospheric radiation measurements made available for real-time situational awareness. Furthermore, solar energetic particle forecasting must be improved to move aviation radiation nowcasts to forecasts in order to meet customer requirements for longer lead times for planning and mitigation.

space weather↗

Multiscale Prediction of Yarn Pullout Failure Mode in Unreinforced Textile Fabrics

Unreinforced woven fabrics have been implemented in a variety of high performance applications, including body armor, deployable structures, and as the reinforcement material in composites. Multiscale modeling techniques have significantly improved the capabilities of simulation-based tools to capture fabric mechanics efficiently and accurately, but often lack in their prediction of failure and require pairing with finite element analysis (FEA) software, limiting their application to the design of ‘fit-for-purpose’ materials. NASA’s Multiscale Analysis Tool (NASMAT) is a standalone multiscale program that has been traditionally used in the analysis of reinforced composites materials. More recently, it has been amended to simulate unreinforced fabric behavior by allowing the geometric state of the tows to change with applied loading due to the lack of a reinforcement material, such as the matrix seen in composites. Previous work has shown the ability of NASMAT to capture nonlinear macroscale behavior by predicting geometric changes in the state of each subcell as a function of the applied loading and allowing each subcell in the analysis to rotate according to these predicted changes, as well as predict nonlinear behavior due to the fiber breakage failure mode. In this work, the capability of predicting the onset and propagation of failure in plain woven fabrics in NASMAT is presented for the yarn pullout failure mode, which occurs when a fabric is loaded at an off-axis angle relative to the warp of weft tow direction. Yarn pullout behavior is initiated by determining the applied load in which the shear resistance of the contact area between yarn families is overcome. When failure is initiated, yarn pullout is determined to have occurred when the applied displacement, calculated from global strain, exceeds the deformed position of a given contact points between yarn families, determined from pin-joint kinematics. Contact points where pullout has occurred contribute to a global damage parameter used to modify the homogenized stiffness of the fabric, resulting in nonlinear behavior observed at the macroscale. The off-axis loading behavior and yarn pullout failure theory have been developed and implemented into NASMAT such that users can simulate off-axis tensile behavior of fabrics in a single, standalone multiscale tool. Simulations are compared to uniaxial tensile tests at various off-axis angles to demonstrate the capability of the tool in its prediction of both the onset of failure at each off-axis angles and the stress-strain behavior as failure progresses.

Materials↗

Developing a Radar Signal Simulator for the Community Radiative Transfer Model

Active radar instruments provide vertically resolved clouds and precipitation measurements that cannot be provided by the passive instruments. These active measurements are not conventionally assimilated into the data assimilation systems because of the lack of fast forward radiative transfer models and also difficulties in the error modelling of the measurements. This paper describes the development, evaluation, and sensitivity analysis for a forward radar model implemented in the Community Radiative Transfer Model (CRTM). The scattering properties required by the forward model are provided by the hydrometeor lookup tables that were generated using the discrete dipole approximation. The model is able to calculate both the reflectivity and the attenuated reflectivity for any given radar instrument at any given zenith angles as long as CRTM instrument specific coefficients are available. The evaluation using CloudSat measurements shows a very good agreement between the simulations and measurements as long as the input profiles of hydrometeors are consistent with the measured reflectivity profiles. Major sources contributing to the differences between the measured and simulated reflectivities are input hydrometeor profiles, scattering lookup tables, lack of melting layer in the forward model, CRTM scattering solvers, and attenuation calculations. In addition to the forward model, both Tangent Linear and Adjoint of the model are also implemented and tested within CRTM. These components may be required by some data assimilation systems for the assimilation of radar measurements.

radar↗

Enhancing Long-Term Trend Simulation of OH Through the Synergy of Model Simulations and Aura Ozone Monitoring Instrument (OMI) NO 2 and HCHO Retrievals

During the last few years, tremendous progress has been made to develop an efficient parameterization module using agile machine learning techniques. The aim of this module is to provide dynamic response of the tropospheric hydroxyl radical (OH) to its major drivers, including trace gases, aerosols, clouds, and meteorology. This module, named ECCOH (pronounced “echo”) and implemented in NASA’s GEOS-5 global model, offers an unrealized opportunity to unravel the convoluted response of OH to its underlying drivers while approaching the accuracy of full-chemistry without incurring excessive computational costs, making it suitable for climate models. However, the accurate representation of OH in ECCOH poses challenges due to the lack of representation of some of its critical inputs such as the abundance of NO 2 and HCHO concentrations. As such, we leverage the well-characterized satellite observations of NO2 and HCHO columns from Aura OMI to enhance their representation in ECCOH using an optimal interpolation method for the time period of 2005 - present. We show how the inclusion of OMI information can affect the spatiotemporal variability and long-term trends of OH, CO, and CH 4 across the globe. Additionally, we underscore the necessity of obtaining high-fidelity information regarding tropospheric ozone from the southern hemisphere from space, a region currently lacking full verification in models, posing a challenge to get a reasonable amount of chemical sink for CH 4 .

OH↗

Uncertainty Quantification using Deep Ensembles for Decision Making in Cyber-Physical-Human Systems

In this paper and its companion, Differential Equation Approximation Using Gradient-Boosted Quantile Regression, Robison et al., we examine an approach to quantifying model uncertainty with the aim of increasing the trustworthiness of computational models in human-machine interactions. In Differential Equation Approximation Using Gradient-Boosted Quantile Regression, we focus on gradient-boosted decision trees, while in this one, we give more details about deep ensembles. Uncertainty quantification is crucial for building trustworthy autonomous decision-making agents in human-machine teams. There are two types of uncertainties: aleatoric and epistemic. The former is related to the inherent stochasticity (noise) of the process, whereas the latter is associated with the lack of knowledge or representation capability of models, such as neural networks. By lack of knowledge, we mean the model’s inability to accurately predict outputs for all possible inputs. The aleatory uncertainty can be estimated fairly easily with, for example, filters, whereas epistemic uncertainty is challenging to compute. This paper uses deep ensembles to quantify both aleatory and epistemic uncertainty. It can act as an uncertainty-aware surrogate transition model for decision-making frameworks. "Uncertainty-aware" means that the surrogate transition model should make predictions along with confidence in those predictions. In the context of decision-making, the transition models are ordinary differential equations (ODEs). Since ODEs can be simulated to make one-step or multi-step predictions, a good surrogate model for them should perform reasonably well in both modes. In a multi-step approach, the trajectory sampling method TS∞ was used to propagate uncertainty over multiple steps. The cartpole dynamical system was selected to demonstrate the ability of deep ensembles as good surrogate transition models for decision-making frameworks. The deep ensembles modeled the dynamics of cartpole ODEs and made uncertainty-aware predictions in single-step and multi-step transition modes.

CPH systems↗

Mineral Dust Optical Properties for Remote Sensing and Global Modeling: A Review

Dust plays a key role in many Earth system processes and is ubiquitous in the Martian atmosphere. Various intensive field campaigns, laboratory analyses, space-based remote sensing missions, and global modeling efforts aim to characterize dust optical properties. This is a bountiful time for dust scientists, and yet the interpretation of retrievals and comparison to models remains complicated by various conflicting assumptions that are part of each algorithm. For example, the conversion of satellite radiance measurements into products like aerosol optical depth for model evaluation depends upon aerosol properties like particle size and shape that are often prescribed and not part of the retrieval. Conversely, the model calculation of aerosol optical depth often uses different assumptions. The goal of this review is to first document algorithmic assumptions by various satellite retrieval products and models, and identify where there is consistency and where there are differences. In general, the differences documented in this paper reflect uncertainties resulting from incomplete observational characterization of dust aerosols and limitations in our understanding. Second, we note what observations might reduce uncertainties in our knowledge and bring greater consistency to retrievals and models, allowing for a more rigorous and harmonious comparison. The lack of comprehensive and realistic shape models for dust is an outstanding issue, such that closure between forward modeling from particle refractive index, shape, and size and observed optical properties cannot be achieved. Limitations in the computational methods that must be applied to model scattering from complex shapes also makes accurate optical modeling for dust challenging. Field observations indicate the persistence of coarse and giant dust particles at higher altitudes and farther downwind from their source than previously expected. Remote sensing retrieval algorithms based on observations at visible wavelengths have limited sensitivity to these particles and generally do not consider them, although a recent product based on longwave radiances is encouraging. Current measurements of the refractive index of bulk dust and fundamental dust minerology components such as hematite vary widely, inhibiting attempts to represent the variability in dust optical properties and forcing, as expected from different major dust source regions on Earth that have varying mineralogical composition. Some remote sensing retrieval algorithms allow for limited refractive index variability in their inversion solutions through mixing with other fine mode aerosol models, or optimizing the single scattering albedo, but Earth system models surveyed for this paper assume a globally uniform, size-invariant refractive index. Although no Martian dust samples have yet been returned to Earth, remote sensing observations indicate that Martian dust is globally homogenous in composition, and a single spectral refractive index assumption has been widely adopted to represent Martian dust. The lack of comprehensive, statistically representative measurements of dust particle microphysical properties (size distribution, morphology, complex index of refraction spectra, internal structure heterogeneity), and the resulting optical properties, limits our ability to verify the fidelity of these assumptions. A chain of measurements is needed, ranging from characterizing individual dust mineralogy components (e.g., pure hematite and goethite) to in situ sampling of complex atmospheric aerosol mixtures. Such results could be applied to both remote sensing retrievals that characterize the optical properties of the total aerosol burden in the atmosphere from total radiance measurements, and to global models that represent the total aerosol burden in the atmosphere by building it up from the balance of individual aerosol sources and sinks.

Aeolian dust↗

Development of Machine Learning-Derived Microbiological and Immune Signatures: Applications in Adaptive Risk Assessment of Infectious Disease During Spaceflight

Infectious diseases represent an urgent risk for spaceflight with consequences ranging from loss in crew performance to crew incapacitation or loss of life should an outbreak occur. The resident environmental microbiome on the International Space Station has been monitored through routine surveillance over almost twenty years, beginning with culture-based microbial detection which has advanced to molecular methods in recent years. This has created a wealth of data that we have begun mining to define the microbial ecology of the ISS. Summarized here is our analysis of data from the historical microbial population defined by culture-based monitoring from the past two decades, organized by their likelihood to cause disease into clinical categories. As expected, many residents of the normal microflora in environments where people work and live were detected. However, some known pathogens were also detected. As the spaceflight environment can predispose humans to infection, crew health records were used to source additional data for the set to uncover clinical relevance. Data mining was performed on crew health records to capture adverse health events that may be related to infectious disease. Machine learning, specifically Random Forest analysis, was used to analyze the microbial and crew health datasets. The symptom categories were not explained by the ranked bacteria, due to lack of sufficient data for some categories and due to poor ranking of the pathogens for others. Poor ranking of the bacteria could be due to the clinical symptoms being linked to other disease-causing factors, such as allergy or viral infection. These findings suggest a lack of relationship between bacteria detected on surfaces in the ISS and historical health events experienced by astronauts.

Kristyn Hoffman↗

Computational Analysis of X-57 Rate Derivatives and Comparison to Wind Tunnel Data

Rate derivates of the wind tunnel model of X-57 were evaluated using hysteresis from computational fluid dynamics simulation and compared with that computed using the wind tunnel experimental data. To accomplish the task, hysteresis of the pitch, roll, and yaw oscillations were produced numerically using two different CFD solvers: STARCCM+ and Launch Ascent and Vehicle Analysis. The rate derivatives were computed using same parameter identification technique on CFD-based and wind tunnel-based hysteresis data. Results show CFD-based pitch rate derivatives have large error, up to 73%, while the lateral and direction derivates compared well with errors within 5% with respect to the that computed using the wind tunnel data. This may be due to lack of wind tunnel wall and sting model in the CFD simulation as well as lack of wall correction in the wind tunnel data which has larger impact on pitch than lateral and directional oscillations. Geometrical features such as the shape, slope of extremities, and enclosed area were compared between CFD-based and wind tunnel-based hysteresis. Results show that area enclosed by the hysteresis had largest influence on the accuracy of the computed rate derivatives given that shape of the hysteresis were roughly equivalent.

Seung Y. Yoo↗

Nevada Wildland Fires: Mapping Historical Burned Areas and Identifying Drivers of Fuel Load Growth to Inform Desert Tortoise Habitat Management in Southern Nevada

Wildfire frequency and intensity in the Mojave desert are increasing, driven by invasive grasses that outcompete native vegetation not well-adapted to wildfire. These grasses, primarily cheatgrass (Bromus tectorum) and red brome (Bromus rubens), and the wildfires that occur when the grasses ignite, are a serious threat to the critically endangered Mojave desert tortoise (Gopherus agassizii). Declining Mojave desert tortoise populations are of great concern to project partners, the Bureau of Land Management Southern Nevada District Office, the US Forest Service’s Rocky Mountain Research Station, and the US Department of Agriculture Agricultural Research Service’s Arid Lands Ecology Lab, who currently lack the resources for fire recovery studies essential for informed fire and invasive grass management. To address this gap, the team utilized NASA Earth observations including Aqua Moderate Resolution Imaging Spectroradiometer (MODIS), Terra MODIS, Landsat 5 Thematic Mapper (TM), and Landsat 8 Operational Land Imager (OLI), to analyze trends in burned areas over the past 20 years through historic burn maps and to examine fuel load growth drivers, with a focus on invasive vegetation. These historical burn maps revealed a pattern of precipitation anomalies that strongly correlate with higher Normalized Difference Vegetation Index (NDVI) values. Years with significant precipitation and NDVI spikes led to greater fuel load in the dry season and larger burns. Additionally, El Niño years correlated significantly with precipitation anomalies which may provide our partners with insights into burn trends and enable better allocation of fuel load treatment practices. However, while identifying drivers of fuel load growth proved feasible, a lack of in situ data hindered attempts to analyze pre-fire growth of invasive grasses compared with native grasses. Despite this limitation, the project demonstrated the feasibility of using Earth observations for wildfire and habitat management, ultimately benefiting conservation efforts for the Mojave desert tortoise.

fuel load↗

SupportU: Smart UAS Program for the Population by Offering Resources and Tools to the Unhoused

Global warming, challenging economic conditions, the opioid epidemic, and other widespread problems, have impacted people globally, particularly over the past several years. Preventable diseases like the common cold and the effects of heat stroke have become increasingly prevalent due to these issues. It is estimated that 150 million people of the world’s population are unhoused globally, with many dwelling in unsafe and unsanitary conditions while lacking access to basic hygienic items and other essentials. Unsanitary conditions coupled with this lack of access exacerbates and prolongs health problems and harms quality of life. Traditional methods of aid, such as homeless shelters and meal programs, face numerous challenges such as having limited reach and resources. To address these problems, the Smart UAS Program for the Population by Offering Resources and Tools to the Unhoused (SUPPORT U) utilizes Uncrewed Aircraft Systems (UAS) to deliver resources to the unhoused and those in need of basic aid, prior to and during extreme temperature conditions, and after natural disasters in rural, suburban, and urban areas. The UA is envisioned to be an autonomous aircraft capable of efficiently distributing essential supplies, including blankets, water, food, and medicine. The UAS fleet relies on advanced navigation and communication technologies to accurately identify unhoused people and efficiently and safely distribute materials to them. This will be done through a machine learning algorithm. By focusing on identified “homeless clusters”, places where unhoused individuals are concentrated, the UAS network increases access to critical resources, thereby helping to mitigate some of the external risks to the health of unhoused individuals. The UA can also be used during crises, such as by transporting supplies to medical tents that are stationed in difficult-to-reach areas suffering from natural disasters.

Samuel Beard↗

Trace Oxygen Measurements of Asteroid Sample Storage Desiccators

The Astromaterials Curation facility at the NASA Johnson Space Center is currently curating more than 120 g of carbonaceous asteroid Bennu material as well as over 500 mg of asteroid Ryugu [1 and 2]. These astromaterials are stored in isolating desiccators and gloveboxes under a continuous purge of pure (<1 ppm O 2 ) gaseous nitrogen. The oxygen and moisture concentrations in our OSIRIS-REx sample processing gloveboxes are continuously monitored via integrated sensors; however, our sample storage desiccators lack integrated oxygen and humidity sensors. In previous studies, we used PreSens Fibox 4 trace oxygen meters and optochemical PSt9 spot sensors to measure the oxygen concentrations in candidate asteroid sample containers that had been sealed in nitrogen; we determined that Eagle stainless steel containers inhibit the ingress of external oxygen for several weeks [3]. This optochemical sensor technology allowed us to take precise, contactless measurements within a trace range of 0 to 200 ppmv O 2 . The effectiveness of the trace oxygen sensors in our container experiments inspired us to utilize them to assess the performance of our desiccators that previously lacked trace oxygen monitoring. In this study, our goal was to determine the quality of the nitrogen purge in the isolating desiccator under normal operating conditions by measuring the trace oxygen content. Utilizing optochemical sensor technology, we determined how long the oxygen concentration takes to reach an equilibrium in the desiccator; that is, determine the rate at which the oxygen diffusion into the desiccator equals the rate at which oxygen diffuses out of the desiccator via N2 purge. Additionally, we wanted to determine the oxygen concentration at this equilibrium, the state in which our desiccators are in during normal operating conditions. We tested a custom three chamber desiccator manufactured by Germfree using a PSt9 trace oxygen sensor spot that was mounted into a ¼” National Pipe Tapered (NPT) metal flow-through cell and attached it to the desiccator exhaust. The desiccator consists of top, middle, and bottom isolating chambers. The top chamber door was opened for several minutes to simulate a sample exchange, it was sealed, and then purged ~15 Standard Cubic Feet per Hour (SCFH). Oxygen measurements were automatically recorded via the Fibox 4 trace oxygen meter in 5-minute intervals over the course of a 24-hour period. Our results indicate the desiccator reached an equilibrium value of 10-15 ppm O 2 after ~5 hours (Fig. 1). This data allows us to explore standards for purging and exchange protocols that can be applied to similar types of desiccators in Hayabusa2, OSIRIS-REx, and for sample return collections. The assessment of the internal gaseous compositions of desiccators also allows us to share with the community the N 2 environment in which many of our asteroid samples and hardware are securely curated. Future measurements will include other nitrogen flow rates and measuring the trace oxygen concentration as a function of time for the levels of the previous commercial desiccator in which the Hayabusa2 sample collection was stored. We will also analyze how long the desiccators hold N2 after being disconnected from their N2 source, an extended measurement for sample security reassurance.

Curation↗

A Novel Additive Manufacturing Process Metric for Predicting Spatter-related Porosity in Laser Powder Bed Fusion

Components fabricated using the powder bed fusion laser beam metallic (PBF) additive manufacturing (AM) process comprise a multitude of sequential weld passes. Porosity defects resulting from weld pass inconsistencies are a concern for PBF materials and have a strong adverse effect on the mechanical properties. In an effort to understand and avoid spatter induced porosity, this work aims to provide a novel computational technique that can be used to quantify and predict the sequence-sensitive impact of spatter upon the PBF process stability and consequential porosity in as-printed material. A novel spatter impact AM model-based process metric (AM-PM) is introduced to model and quantify the impact that spatter has on the PBF process. The occurrence of spatter induced porosity is studied using thermal rise, lack of fusion, and spatter impact AM-PMs synchronized with porosity measured by high-resolution X-ray computed tomography. Six cylindrical specimens were designed to compare the AM-PM correlations with porosity across two different laser powers and three hatch scanning strategies. A point field based computational approach is shown to be effective for testing the influence of the different AM-PMs and interrogating the physical process conditions underlying the porosity formation. Further, characterization using optical metallography and scanning electron microscopy indicated that both keyhole and lack of fusion porosity correlated with the spatter impact AM-PM, which can be exploited to predict and control spatter related porosity by the hatch strategy. Efforts to predict porosity composition within PBF material should incorporate the PBF process disturbances that can result from spatter. The spatter impact AM-PM can be readily incorporated into the development of defect prediction models at the part scale.

Additive Manufacturing↗

Contracting Quality Early in the Lifecycle Using AS9145 Data Deliverables

Development schedules and a highly dynamic supply chain are a challenge to developers of complex systems produced at low volume. Flaws in designs, parts and materials availability problems, poor manufacturability, and a lack of knowledge about critical items and key process attributes can be realized well before traditional second-party quality assurance activities begin. Supplier audits and product inspections may have little mitigating effect once these foundational problems have been realized. Their impacts can be significant lifecycle disruption, cost overruns, inability to deliver to plan, and even project cancellation. AS9145, Requirements for Advanced Product Quality Planning and Production Part Approval Process, can be used to drive quality engineering practices into early development lifecycles to significantly reduce this late-cycle risk and to reduce the cost of quality overall. Since its initial publication in 2016, it has had very limited adoption by the DoD, no adoption by NASA, and sparse adoption in the aerospace and defense supply chain. A task group within the Aerospace Industries Association's (AIA) Joint Strategic Quality Council (JSQC) identified that both acquirers and suppliers see as AS9145 as a cost-adder and are hesitant to use it as an alternative to late-stage-heavy quality assurance approaches. A lack of prior use creates large capability gaps in request-for-proposal (RFP) teams, proposal teams, suppliers’ quality management systems (QMS), and in experienced personnel executing the early lifecycle approach. To create a more realizable on-ramp for using AS9145 in the space and defense sectors, the AIA JSQC task team created five deliverable requirements descriptions (DRDs) that can be used in a contract to begin to engage both parties in early lifecycle quality engineering and quality assurance activities, that reduce exposure to late-stage cost and schedule collapse due to unidentified risks in design, supply chain, and manufacturability. These DRDs drive the parties to engage in planning and analysis discussions early on to understand what production risks can be known and how they will focus resources based on safety criticality and the key elements of design and construction. The suppliers and acquirers who will produce the data and information required by the DRD will be able to incrementally evolve their QMS and the acquirer will incrementally be able to track and understand the benefits of cost shifting from late to early development phases. A white paper describing this approach and the five recommended DRDs will be published by the AIA in late 2024 or early 2025.

Jeannette Plante↗

A Knowledge Graph Framework for Organizing Heterogeneous Datasets for Utilization in Classical and Quantum Computing: Current Challenges and Future Directions

"The escalating impact of climate change induced extreme weather events in urban, suburban, and rural environments demands a rethink of how we have been using the single event-based or use-case-based knowledge graph models. The lack of representation in interaction within environmental variables found in literature led to the development of a novel framework that reflects the true nature of the interconnectedness in our environment. We propose an Environmental Interaction Knowledge Graph (EIKG) framework. This general EIKG framework works as the basis for interconnected environmental events by knitting interrelated events such as hurricanes leading to storm surges, which lead to flood events that could cause mudslides, landslides, etc., The cascading nature of one event leading to another related event in the environment requires an adequate understanding of each event using contextual information before conducting any data-driven analytics. This vision paper showcases how the EIKG:floods, EIKG:wildfire EIKG:landslides, etc, can be derived from a base case framework of EIKG as those individual events are interconnected with some common denominator variables. As an example, the precipitation variable is used in the flood case study as well as in the wildfire case study, as excessive precipitation levels lead to floods, and lack of precipitation leads to droughts and wildfires. We identify the precipitation variable as a “common-denominator-variable” in extreme weather events that play a key role in modeling the environment leading to different extreme weather events based on the variability of that variable (varying values where low precipitation leads to drought, and high values lead to floods). We use the insights gained from EIKG to conduct classical and Quantum Machine Learning (QML) based data analysis on the research questions developed. Our preliminary study shows how the Variational Quantum Classifier (VQC) and Quantum Support Vector Classifier (QSVC) are used along with the classical machine learning models to compare the model accuracies. Our study elaborates on how a quantitative analysis uses state-of-the-art machine learning techniques that include implementing both classical and quantum machine learning models and developing the knowledge graph. The EIKG is used to organize heterogeneous datasets and integrate the relations to case-specific extreme weather events such as floods. The study uses datasets such as county-to-country residential mobility data, socioeconomic datasets from the US Census Bureau, climate and weather-related Earth Observational data from NASA, and critical infrastructure data from the Homeland Infrastructure datasets."

Knowledge Graphs, Quantum Computing, Heterogenous ↗

A CFD Validation Study using Artemis 1 Orbital Slosh Test Data

Advancements in liquid propellant management science and technologies are key to increasing safety, decreasing cost, and increasing payload mass of NASA space missions. Liquid propellant usually comprises a large portion of the total mass of launch vehicles and spacecraft, so predicting and controlling the motion of it are important. Computational fluid dynamics (CFD) programs are critical to predicting slosh dynamics, but CFD programs require experimental validation with physically relevant test data before the results can be trusted. Low-gravity slosh test data is lacking, and most of what exists is inadequate for CFD validation. A potential slosh risk for Orion, and the lack of validated low-gravity slosh models, led to performing on-orbit slosh tests during the Artemis 1 mission to assess the impacts of slosh on the guidance, navigation, and control of Orion. This work details the validation of a coupled slosh-motion CFD model using the Orion orbital slosh test data set.

CFD↗