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DOE OSTI2025

Investigating the Impact of Temporal and Directional Traffic Distribution on Crash Frequencies

Safety Performance Functions (SPFs) are mathematical models that establish relationships between the frequency of various crash types and site-specific characteristics, serving as essential tools for traffic safety analysis and roadway design. Traditional SPFs, however, often overlook the temporal fluctuations in traffic flow (such as peak-hour surges) and directional imbalances between opposing traffic streams. These traffic patterns can exacerbate congestion, disrupt driver behavior, and create unexpected conflict points, potentially leading to increased crash frequencies and more severe accidents. In light of this gap, this study aims to explore the potential of incorporating K-factors (representing peak-hour traffic proportions) and D-factors (reflecting the imbalance of directional traffic) into the development of SPFs to assess whether these factors can effectively represent the impact of temporal and spatial traffic distribution on roadway safety. Using crash data from Pennsylvania urban-suburban collector roadways, it is found that the D-factor plays a significant role in predicting the frequency of total crashes, fatal + injury crashes, and angle crashes, with positive coefficient signs indicating that higher directional imbalances correspond to increased crash risks. Similarly, the K-factor emerges as a critical predictor for fatal + injury crashes and rear-end crashes, with negative coefficients suggesting that a more pronounced traffic peak is associated with a reduction in expected crash frequencies. These results highlight the importance of accounting for uneven traffic distribution in both time and direction when developing SPFs, offering deeper insights into crash patterns and supporting more effective safety interventions and roadway designs.

Xu, Guanhao [ORNL] (ORCID:0000000214326357)↗

DOE OSTI2025

U.S. Efforts in Support of Examinations at Fukushima Daiichi - September 2024 Meeting Notes

Information obtained from Fukushima Daiichi Nuclear Power Station (Daiichi) is required to inform future Decontamination and Decommissioning (D&D) activities, improving the ability of the Tokyo Electric Power Company Holdings, Incorporated (TEPCO Holdings) to characterize potential hazards and to ensure the safety of workers involved with cleanup activities. This information also has important implications for the safety and operation of U.S. Commercial nuclear power plants. A collaborative U.S. and Japanese effort was initiated in 2014 by the Department of Energy Office of Nuclear Energy to identify Daiichi examination needs and evaluate recent Daiichi examination data to address these needs. This document summarizes information presented at and findings, action items, and recommendations by U.S. and Japanese experts in reactor safety and plant operations during the September 2024 Forensics Effort meeting. Significant safety insights were obtained in several areas: system and component performance, radionuclide surveys and sampling, debris end-state location, combustible gas effects, and plant operations and maintenance. In addition to reducing uncertainties and knowledge gaps in severe accident modeling progression, these insights continue to be used to assess whether additional updates are needed in guidance for severe accident prevention, mitigation, and emergency planning. Furthermore, Daiichi-related activities, such as code modeling improvements and analysis, testing, and new technology deployment efforts, have the potential to offer additional safety and economic benefits to the operating fleet and new light water reactor (LWR) and non-LWR designs.

12 MANAGEMENT OF RADIOACTIVE AND NON-RADIOACTIVE W↗

DOE OSTI2020

Effect of Anode Porosity and Temperature on the Performance and Lithium Plating During Fast-Charging of Lithium-Ion Cells

Twenty-four single-layer approximate to 32 mAh pouch cells are tested to determine the effect of electrode porosity on lithium plating. Twelve cells contain a graphite electrode that is 26% porous, and 47% for the other twelve. The cells are cycled using a 6-C charge and a C/2 discharge protocol at temperatures in the range of 20-50 degrees C. A macro-homogeneous electrochemical model and microstructure analysis tool set are used to help interpret experimental observations for the effect of anode porosity and ambient temperature on fast-charging performance. Additionally, comparison between the two also highlights gaps in current theoretical understanding that need to be addressed. In post-test examination, lithium plating is seen in all cells, regardless of porosity. Elevated temperature is shown to reduce the amount of lithium plating and improve initial fast-charge capacity, but also changes the rate of other, less well-understood degradation mechanisms. Apparent kinetic rate laws, At + Bt 1/2 , where A and B are constants, can be fit to most of the capacity loss and resistance increase data. The relative magnitudes of A and B change with temperature and porosity. The capacity loss data at 50 degrees C from the high-porosity cells are fit by a logistics rate law.

25 ENERGY STORAGE↗

DOE OSTI2020

Feasibility of Operating a Heavy-Duty Battery Electric Truck Fleet for Drayage Applications

Vehicle fleet electrification is regarded as one major pathway toward achieving energy independence and reducing air pollution and greenhouse gas emissions. Compared to light-duty and medium-duty vehicles, electrification of heavy-duty vehicles, especially Class 8 trucks, is more challenging owing to the battery size required to attain the driving range necessary for their operating goals. As drayage trucks generally have a limited daily mileage, return to a home base every night, and spend a large amount of time creeping and idling, drayage operation has been the first targeted application for Class 8 electric trucks. The feasibility of operating battery electric drayage trucks at the individual vehicle level has recently been demonstrated. However, questions remain as to whether these trucks are capable of meeting the needs of typical drayage operation at the fleet level. Here we present a feasibility analysis of operating an electric truck fleet based on real-world operation data of a diesel drayage operator in Southern California. Second-by-second activity data collected from 20 trucks in the fleet were used to estimate the corresponding electric energy consumption and the state of charge of the battery using a microscopic electric energy consumption model. An algorithm for generating tours of drayage activity from the collected data was developed and implemented. Multiple scenarios with different battery charging and truck scheduling assumptions were analyzed. The results show that 85% of the tours could be served by electric trucks if there is opportunity for charging at the home base during the time gap between consecutive tours.

33 ADVANCED PROPULSION SYSTEMS↗

DOE OSTI2024

Accelerating the identification of novel secondary metabolites in bioenergy plant root exudates using MicroED

Small molecule metabolites drive inter- and intraspecies communication and dependencies in diverse biological systems, yet a large proportion of these important chemical compounds remain uncharacterized in plants and microbes. Approximately 90% of the metabolites in root exudate profiles are unknown compounds, despite the importance of root exudate composition in plant-microbe interactions. We need advanced analytical capabilities that will support rapid discovery and structural elucidation of metabolites from biological samples that may be limited in quantity and high in complexity. To fill this gap, this project aimed to develop an integrated workflow involving metabolite extraction, separation, and crystallization from plant root exudates followed by characterization using nuclear magnetic resonance (NMR) spectroscopy, mass spectrometry, and microcrystal electron diffraction (MicroED). Using crude root exudates from sorghum, this project successfully developed higher throughput exudate fractionation strategies to obtain pure compounds for crystallization and identified crystals in multiple fractions that diffracted. Additional efforts to increase the throughput of high-quality crystal generation for MicroED, such as crystallization screening and crystallization chaperone exploration, will be needed to further advance root exudate metabolite identification. The overall optimized sample preparation process can then be integrated with the existing data collection and data analysis pipelines for MicroED at PNNL to facilitate more rapid natural product discovery.

59 BASIC BIOLOGICAL SCIENCES↗

DOE OSTI2025

Predictive Modeling and Uncertainty Quantification in Condition Monitoring of Active Components: A Reactor Coolant Pump Use Case

This work develops data-driven models for onset of thermal barrier leakage in reactor coolant pumps. It incorporates uncertainty quantification to enhance the reliability and robustness of pre- dictions. Using synthetic data generated by the Generic Pressurized Water Reactor simulator, realistic degradation scenarios were simulated across lifecycle stages—beginning, middle, and end of life. Key variables, including differential pressure, flow rate, vibration, and temperatures, were analyzed using machine learning framework. The fully connected neural network models demonstrated exceptional performance, achieving R2 scores exceeding 0.99 and root mean square errors as low as around 8.23 × 10-2 gallon per minute (gpm) for the three stages of the lifecy- cle. UQ analysis further validated the model’s robustness, with narrow uncertainty bounds during steady-state operations and appropriately wider bounds during transitional phases, reflecting the physical behavior of the system. This work addresses important gaps in real-time condition moni- toring and regulatory compliance by integrating advanced condition monitoring technologies with UQ into IST programs. The ability to detect thermal barrier leakage early and quantify prediction reliability supports optimizing maintenance strategies while ensuring nuclear power plants’ safe and reliable operation.

99 - GENERAL AND MISCELLANEOUS↗

DOE OSTI2023

Deciphering Fingerprints of Stellar Nucleosynthesis Through Nuclear Reaction Rate Measurements and Isotopic Analyses of Stardust

Microscopic stardust grains, found in trace amounts in primitive meteorites, afford a unique opportunity to study stellar nucleosynthesis in the laboratory by measuring their heavy element isotopic compositions. Applying LLNL’s state-of-the art material characterization capabilities to these micrometer-sized grains yields large new datasets with unprecedented precision. However, the astrophysical models necessary to interpret the isotopic record require improved nuclear physics data to constrain stellar nucleosynthesis conditions. For example, the branch point in the s-process path at 95 Zr controls the relative amounts of heavier nuclides but is poorly understood. We conducted a coordinated effort across disciplines to combine a new determination of the neutron capture cross section of 95 Zr with the laboratory analysis of hundreds of stardust grains to yield a view into stellar interiors. We developed new methods to quantify multiple isotopic systems simultaneously (e.g., Zr, Ba, and W) in stardust grains and improved the determination of the neutron capture cross section of unstable 95 Zr via the surrogate reaction method. This interdisciplinary approach is allowing us to fill gaps in our understanding of the environments in which elements are produced while enhancing LLNL’s experimental and theoretical capabilities relevant to nuclear threat reduction missions.

38 RADIATION CHEMISTRY, RADIOCHEMISTRY, AND NUCLEA↗

DOE OSTI2023

Deciphering Fingerprints of Stellar Nucleosynthesis Through Nuclear Reaction Rate Measurements and Isotopic Analyses of Stardust

38 RADIATION CHEMISTRY, RADIOCHEMISTRY, AND NUCLEA↗

DOE OSTI2023

Nucleon form factors and the pion-nucleon sigma term

This talk summarizes the progress made since Lattice 2021 in understanding and controlling the contributions of towers of multihadron excited states with mass gaps starting lower than of radial excitations, and in increasing our confidence in the extraction of ground state nucleon matrix elements. The most clear evidence for multihadron excited state contributions (ESC) is in axial/pseudoscalar form factors that are required to satisfy the PCAC relation between them. The talk examines the broader question--which and how many of the theoretically allowed positive parity states N(p)π(−p), N(0)π(0)π(0), N(p)π(0), N(0)π(p), … make significant contributions to a given matrix element? New data for the axial, electric and magnetic form factors are presented. They continue to show trends observed in Ref.[1]. The N2LO χPT analysis of the ESC to the pion-nucleon sigma term, σπN, has been extended to include the Δ as an explicit degree of freedom [2]. The conclusion reached in Ref.[3] that Nπ and Nππ states each contribute about 10 MeV to σπN, and the consistency between the lattice result with Nπ state included and the phenomenological estimate is not changed with this improvement.

Gupta, Rajan↗

DOE OSTI2026

Online and Offline Analytical Techniques to Quantify Chloride Salts

This report serves as the deliverable for Milestone- M3FT-26AN080502017: Summary of Accomplishments for Online and Offline Analytical Qualification of Chloride Fuel Salts. The qualification of chloride fuel salts is a critical challenge for the development and deployment of molten salt reactors (MSRs), requiring precise control and verification of chemical and isotopic composition to ensure predictable neutronics, manageable radiological behavior, and safe plant operation. Currently, there is no universally accepted standard for fuel salt qualification, particularly for chloride-based systems, which underscores the need for robust, science-based analytical methodologies. This report presents a comprehensive evaluation of both online and offline techniques for quantifying chloride fuel salts, including multielectrode array voltammetry, differential thermal analysis (DTA) probes, inert gas fusion (IGF) analyzers, and gamma spectrometry using the Mirion NAIS-2x2 NaI(Tl) detector. The integration of these methods enables real-time monitoring of actinide concentrations, redox state, and thermophysical properties, as well as high-precision measurement of impurities and isotopic composition. The acquisition of advanced instruments such as the Bruker Leonardo G6 for IGF and the Mirion NaI detector enhances analytical capabilities, supporting the establishment of operational envelopes and impurity thresholds. These approaches provide essential data for neutronic impact evaluation, feedstock documentation, and compliance with nuclear safety standards. The methodologies developed and validated in this report lay the groundwork for future standardized protocols, bridging the gap between laboratory research and commercial reactor operation, and advancing the safe and efficient deployment of chloride-fueled MSRs.

Polke, Amber↗

DOE OSTI2024

Latent Stochastic Differential Equations for Modeling Quasar Variability and Inferring Black Hole Properties

Quasars are bright and unobscured active galactic nuclei (AGN) thought to be powered by the accretion of matter around supermassive black holes at the centers of galaxies. The temporal variability of a quasar’s brightness contains valuable information about its physical properties. The UV/optical variability is thought to be a stochastic process, often represented as a damped random walk described by a stochastic differential equation (SDE). Upcoming wide-field telescopes such as the Rubin Observatory Legacy Survey of Space and Time (LSST) are expected to observe tens of millions of AGN in multiple filters over a ten year period, so there is a need for efficient and automated modeling techniques that can handle the large volume of data. Latent SDEs are machine learning models well suited for modeling quasar variability, as they can explicitly capture the underlying stochastic dynamics. In this work, we adapt latent SDEs to jointly reconstruct multivariate quasar light curves and infer their physical properties such as the black hole mass, inclination angle, and temperature slope. Our model is trained on realistic simulations of LSST ten year quasar light curves, and we demonstrate its ability to reconstruct quasar light curves even in the presence of long seasonal gaps and irregular sampling across different bands, outperforming a multioutput Gaussian process regression baseline. Our method has the potential to provide a deeper understanding of the physical properties of quasars and is applicable to a wide range of other multivariate time series with missing data and irregular sampling.

79 ASTRONOMY AND ASTROPHYSICS↗

DOE OSTI2023

FY23 status report on the development of new ASME Section III, Division 5 Class B rules

This report summarizes the work done in Fiscal Year 2023 on the development of the new American Society of Mechanical Engineers Boiler and Pressure Vessel Code, Section III, Division 5, Class B rules to address the gaps identified for high temperature reactor designs. The summary of the design-by-analysis strain limit evaluation and creep-fatigue damage assessment is presented. The proposed design-by-analysis creep-fatigue damage calculation approach uses a new elastic follow-up-based Isochronous Stress Strain Curve stress relaxation procedure. This approach captures the elastic follow-up generated due to interactions of components with adjacent components, supports, and other connections in the power plant. A set of sample problems are selected to validate the proposed design-by-analysis rules for creep-fatigue damage assessment. The proposed Class B rules are evaluated against the Class A elastic design rules, and the experimental data obtained from a family of Simplified Model Test based key-feature test results. The proposed Class B creep-fatigue damage assessment methodology yields conservative design cycles estimates compared to the experimental results.

22 GENERAL STUDIES OF NUCLEAR REACTORS↗

DOE OSTI2021

2021 GeoAI Workshop Report: The Trillion Pixel Challenge

The convergence of geospatial big data with advancements from artificial intelligence, cloud infrastructure, and high-performance computing continues to revolutionize mapping and analysis of Earth's surface in unprecedented detail. Rapid innovations in sensing technologies will soon collect geospatial data in even higher resolution and throughput. These developments offer the potential for breakthroughs in science, policy, and national security via end-to-end GeoAI systems that can provide fresh insights into how humans occupy and alter their environment over time. At the 2021 GeoAI Trillion Pixel workshop, international subject matter experts from government, academia, industry, and nonprofit organizations gathered virtually to discuss the Trillion Pixel GeoAI Challenge. The event focused on six major themes currently influencing scientific innovation and breakthroughs. Particular focus was paid to societal impacts. As an additional takeaway message, the gathering identified remaining application gaps and challenges that are in need of stronger community partnerships and collaborations.

58 GEOSCIENCES↗

DOE OSTI2025

A Comparison Between Industrial Energy Efficiency Measures in Guatemala and the United States

Energy auditing has been cited as a key tool in closing the gap between the actual energy consumption in industrial facilities and what should be at an environmentally sustainable level. Several factors affect the likelihood that energy audits will be effective in closing that gap, and more analysis is needed to understand these factors, especially for developing nations. This study compares three energy efficiency measures (EEMs) frequently recommended in both the United States and Guatemala, namely, installing solar panels to generate electricity, installing higher-efficiency lighting, and upgrading to premium efficiency motors. The implementation of each of these EEMs contributes to more sustainable energy consumption, and each of these EEM’s payback periods is affected by capital costs, energy costs, and other local factors analyzed in this study. Projected payback periods for each EEM based on Guatemalan and U.S. capital cost and energy cost ranges are assessed via EEM-specific payback period calculations and compared to the energy audit data from each country. While lower capital costs incentivize EEM implementation and reduce payback periods, there is an interplay between energy cost and capital cost that impacts the trends in the U.S. and Guatemala. As in the case of the solar panel installation EEM, though Guatemalan companies pay ~110% more for electricity than U.S. companies, when Guatemalan capital costs are lower, payback periods are lower than in the U.S. Conversely, in cases where Guatemalan capital costs are higher—as for higher-efficiency lighting and motor installation—Guatemalan payback periods are roughly the same as those in the U.S. because of the higher Guatemalan energy costs.

Khosla, Radhika↗

DOE OSTI2025

Origin of Stabilization of Ligand-Centered Mixed Valence Ruthenium Azopyridine Complexes: DFT Insights for Neuromorphic Applications

Redox-driven conductance changes are critical processes in molecular- and coordination-complex-based memristive thin films and devices that are envisioned for neuromorphic technologies, but fundamental mechanisms of conductance switching are not fully understood. Here, we explore charge disproportionation (CD) processes in [Ru II L 2 ](PF 6 ) 2 molecular systems that intrinsically involve interfragment charge transfer (IFCT). Using a combination of ab initio molecular dynamics simulation (AIMD), time-dependent density functional theory (TD-DFT), and density functional theory (DFT) calculations, we investigate the electron transfer mechanisms and the roles of temperature and cell volumetric expansion in facilitating the counterion movements and electronic transitions required for low-cost IFCT and charge redistribution. A detailed analysis of the density of states and TD-DFT calculations highlights that unpaired electrons play a crucial role in low-energy transitions, with the azo (N=N) groups of the ligand serving as the primary sites for electronic transport between molecular fragments, further stabilizing the asymmetric state. Localization of added electrons on azo ligands occurs with negligible change at the Ru centers, supported by atomic volume expansions up to +4.74 bohr 3 , and goes along with a progressive reduction of the HOMO−LUMO gap across redox states, suggesting enhanced conductivity. The TD-DFT analysis reveals a dominant IFCT excitation at 2082.76 nm in the doubly reduced (22) state, while a stabilization energy of 1.20 eV of the asymmetric (13) state relative to the symmetric (22) state is predicted by constrained DFT. Periodic DFT and AIMD simulations emulating a molecular film show that the stabilization of the asymmetric state, relative to a symmetric one, translates in net charge separation values (order of ∼0.33 e) that are strongly linked to increased counterion mobility (average counterion displacements exceeding 0.7 Å per atom during CD events) and the involvement of azo groups in electron redistribution. These findings, which align with previously reported experimental and computational data, provide key insights into the IFCT mechanisms and electronic transport facilitated by azo groups, with important implications for redox-driven memristive and neuromorphic technologies.

37 INORGANIC, ORGANIC, PHYSICAL, AND ANALYTICAL CH↗

DOE OSTI2021

Optimizing Error-Bounded Lossy Compression for Scientific Data by Dynamic Spline Interpolation

Today's scientific simulations are producing vast volumes of data that cannot be stored and transferred efficiently because of limited storage capacity, parallel I/O bandwidth, and network bandwidth. The situation is getting worse over time because of the ever-increasing gap between relatively slow data transfer speed and fast-growing computation power in modern supercomputers. Error-bounded lossy compression is becoming one of the most critical techniques for resolving the big scientific data issue, in that it can significantly reduce the scientific data volume while guaranteeing that the reconstructed data is valid for users because of its compression-error-bounding feature. In this paper, we present a novel error-bounded lossy compressor based on a state-of-the-art prediction-based compression framework. Our solution exhibits substantially better compression quality than all of the existing error-bounded lossy compressors, with comparable compression speed. Specifically, our contribution is threefold. (1) We provide an in-depth analysis of why the best-existing prediction-based lossy compressor can only minimally improve the compression quality. (2) We propose a dynamic spline interpolation approach with a series of optimization strategies that can significantly improve the data prediction accuracy, substantially improving the compression quality in turn. (3) We perform a thorough evaluation using six real-world scientific simulation datasets across different science domains to evaluate our solution vs. all other related works. Experiments show that the compression ratio of our solution is higher than that of the second-best lossy compressor by 20%similar to 460% with the same error bound in most of the cases.

Zhao, Kai↗

DOE OSTI2025

Operando XPS in reactive plasmas: The importance of the wall reactions

In this article, advancements in differential pumping and electron optics over the past few decades have enabled x-ray photoelectron spectroscopy (XPS) measurements at (near-)ambient pressures, bridging the pressure gap for characterizing realistic sample chemistries. Recently, we have demonstrated the capabilities of an ambient pressure XPS setup for in situ plasma environment measurements, allowing plasma-surface interactions to be studied in operando rather than using the traditional before-and-after analysis approach. This new “plasma-XPS” technique facilitates the identification of reaction intermediates critical for understanding plasma-assisted surface processes relevant to semiconductor nanomanufacturing, such as physical vapor deposition, etching, atomic layer deposition, and many other plasma applications. In this paper, we apply the plasma-XPS approach to monitor real-time surface chemical changes on a model Ag(111) single crystal exposed to oxidizing and reducing plasmas. We correlate surface-sensitive data with concurrent gas-phase XPS measurements and residual gas mass-spectrum analysis of species generated during plasma exposure, highlighting the significant role of plasma-induced chamber wall reactions. Ultimately, we demonstrate that plasma-XPS provides comprehensive insights into both surface and gas-phase chemistry, establishing it as a versatile and dynamic characterization tool with broad applications in microelectronics research. Finally, we outline potential enhancements and future metrology directions to advance plasma-XPS investigations further.

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗

DOE OSTI2023

Identification of hidden N4-like viruses and their interactions with hosts

The N4-like viruses, which were recently assigned to the novel viral family Schitoviridae in 2021, belong to a podoviral-like viral lineage and possess conserved genomic characteristics and a unique replication mechanism. Despite their significance, our understanding of N4-like viruses is primarily based on viral isolates. To address this knowledge gap, this study has established a comprehensive N4-like viral data sets comprising 342 high-quality N4-like viruses/proviruses (144 viral isolates, 158 uncultured viruses, and 40 integrated N4-like proviruses). These viruses were classified into 97 subfamilies (89 of which are newly identified), 148 genera (100 of which are newly identified), and 253 species (177 of which are newly identified). The study reveals that N4-like viruses inhibit the polar region, oligotrophic open oceans, and the human gut, where they infect various bacterial lineages, such as Alpha/Beta/Gamma/Epsilon-proteobacteria in the Proteobacteria phylum. Although N4-like viral endogenization appears to be prevalent in Proteobacteria, it has also been observed in Firmicutes. Additionally, the phylogenetic analysis has identified evolutionary divergence within the hallmark genes of N4-like viruses, indicating a complex origin of the different conserved parts of viral genomes. Moreover, 1,101 putative auxiliary metabolic genes (AMGs) were identified in the N4-like viral pan-proteome, which mainly participate in nucleotide and cofactor/vitamin metabolisms. Of these AMGs, 27 were found to be associated with virulence, suggesting their potential involvement in the spread of bacterial pathogenicity. The findings of this study are significant, as N4-like viruses represent a unique viral lineage with a distinct replication mechanism and a conserved core genome. This work has resulted in a comprehensive global map of the entire N4-like viral lineage, including information on their distribution in different biomes, evolutionary divergence, genomic diversity, and the potential for viral-mediated host metabolic reprogramming. As such, this work significantly contributes to our understanding of the ecological function and viral-host interactions of bacteriophages.

60 APPLIED LIFE SCIENCES↗