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At least 469 records · Page 26

Magnetic field transport in propagating thermonuclear burn

High energy gain in inertial fusion schemes requires the propagation of a thermonuclear burn wave from hot to cold fuel. We consider the problem of burn propagation when a magnetic field is orthogonal to the burn wave. Using an extended-MHD model with a magnetized α energy transport equation, we find that the magnetic field can reduce the rate of burn propagation by suppressing electron thermal conduction and α particle flux. Magnetic field transport during burn propagation is subject to competing effects: the field can be advected from cold to hot regions by ablation of cold fuel, while the Nernst and α particle flux effects transport the field from hot to cold fuel. These effects, combined with the temperature increase due to burn, can cause the electron Hall parameter to grow rapidly at the burn front. This results in the formation of a self-insulating layer between hot and cold fuel, which reduces electron thermal conductivity and α transport, increases the temperature gradient, and reduces the rate of burn propagation.

70 PLASMA PHYSICS AND FUSION TECHNOLOGY↗

Water and Climate Impacts on ERCOT Long-Term Systems Assessment

Water and climate change pose many potential challenges to the electric power system. Substantial water is withdrawn every day to support thermoelectric power generating unit operations, and changes to water supply have the potential to affect generation dispatch. Climate change can accelerate growing demand for electricity, which can necessitate additional generating capacity, often in locations with limited water supply. Drought conditions also threaten thermoelectric power plant operations due to streamflow and reservoir levels dropping below intake structures, or water temperatures exceeding a power plants' permitted operating conditions. Here we explore how future climate change might influence decisions related to electricity capacity expansion planning in Electric Reliability Council of Texas (ERCOT) using a multi-model framework. Specifically, water resource modeling is used to simulate climate impacts on the future water supply for thermoelectric and hydropower generation for four future climate projections. Separately, temperature impacts on electricity load are evaluated for these scenarios. These climate impacts are applied to five alternative electricity futures in an electricity capacity expansion model that projects future generation and transmission capacity additions in ERCOT. Results indicate that climate has a measurable influence on future generation and transmission capacity needs, with temperature-driven increases in peak and average load resulting in 5-15 GW additional generating capacity and up to 1 GW additional transmission capacity. Additional capacity is a diverse mix of PV, natural gas, and wind, depending on the makeup of economic, policy and technology assumptions. Climate impacts increase total system costs 2-5%, while the marginal cost of energy and emissions are not affected substantially by climate change effects.

29 ENERGY PLANNING, POLICY, AND ECONOMY↗

Outgassing of casted and 3D printed silicones

Outgassing of 3D printed and casted silica-filled silicones was studied using a standard ASTM E-595 procedure and a modified Soreq’s method that allows very sensitive measurements of the outgassing kinetics even at low temperatures, 20 – 50 °C. We studied three different silica-filled silicones, non-porous cased M9787, and 3D printed LL50 and 40P materials. The present report shows that vacuum outgassing products of polysiloxane-based materials include multiple species. In addition to chemisorbed and physisorbed water outgassing, previously studied by TPD, polymer fragments of varying sizes evaporate as well. The chemical composition of the condensable volatile species collected on a Germanium substrate, was analyzed by FTIR. It was shown that all studied materials produce mostly PDMS-based outgassing products that form stable droplet-like structure on the Ge substrate. The highest amount of the condensable volatile species was measured for LL50. Isothermal TGA in nitrogen atmosphere of the LL50 material was compared to the standard vacuum outgassing. The results of TGA showed lower mass loss and higher water regain. The kinetics of the outgassing at relatively low temperatures of 20, 30 and 50 °C was studied using Thermoelectric Quartz Crystal Microbalance (TQCM). The TQCM surface was held at -10 °C to enhance condensation of the outgassed moisture. The analysis presented here, when combined with the extensive previous work on moisture outgassing, provides a better understanding of the aging mechanism of polysiloxane-based materials. In this work we show that outgassing techniques, usually applied for qualification of polymers for space-related applications, may be used as a complementary method to study thermal degradation and aging of silica-based silicones. Our results indicate that the long-term degradation mechanics and thermal degradation products depend primarily on the chemical composition of silicone-based material and only slightly affected by the manufacturing process. Surprisingly, the surface-to-volume ratio of the 3D printed vs. casted/molded materials showed only minor effect on the outgassing kinetic parameters.

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗

A figure of merit for AMTEC electrodes

As a method to compare the results of alkali metal thermoelectric converter (AMTEC) electrode performance measured under different conditions, an AMTEC figure of merit called ZA is proposed. This figure of merit is the ratio of the experimental maximum power for an electrode to a calculated maximum power density as determined from a recently published electrode performance model. The calculation of a maximum power density assumes that certain loss terms in the electrode can be reduced to essentially zero by improved cell design and construction, and that the electrochemical exchange current is determined from a standard value. Other losses in the electrode are considered inherent to the electrode performance. Thus, these terms remain in the determination of the calculated maximum power. A value of ZA near one, then, indicates an electrode performance near the maximum possible performance. The primary limitation of this calculation is that the small electrode effect cannot be included. This effect leads to anomalously high values of ZA. Thus, the electrode area should be reported along with the figure of merit.

Underwood, M. L.↗

Ultralow Thermal Conductivity and Thermoelectric Properties of Rb 2 Bi 8 Se 13

Complex bismuth chalcogenides are narrow band gap semiconductors with intrinsic low thermal conductivity, which exhibit high potential as highly efficient thermoelectric materials. Here, we assess the basic thermoelectric properties of polycrystalline Rb 2 Bi 8 Se 13 in the temperature range 300-823 K as well as performance-optimizing strategies. We find that the as-made bulk samples are single phase with the monoclinic crystal structure (P2 1 /m) and crystallize in layer morphology. The pristine sample exhibits an exceedingly low lattice thermal conductivity of 0.6- 0.46 W·m -1 ·K -1 at 300-823 K, which derives from strong lattice anharmonicity, large Grüneisen parameters, and low phonon velocities induced by the complex crystal structure with heavy atom Bi and a large unit cell. Here, the Cl doping successfully enhances the carrier concentration in Rb 2 Bi 8 Se 13 with a negligible impact on the electronic band structure, displaying common doping behaviors. Se vacancy, on the contrary, leads to n-type doping and enhances the effective mass and power factors more significantly. Consequently, a maximum ZT of ~0.75 at 823 K for the 0.3% Se-vacancy-doped sample is obtained.

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗

Nonequilibrium Thermodynamics of Colloidal Gold Nanocrystals Monitored by Ultrafast Electron Diffraction and Optical Scattering Microscopy

Metal nanocrystals exhibit important optoelectronic and photocatalytic functionalities in response to light. These dynamic energy conversion processes have been commonly studied by transient optical probes to date, but an understanding of the atomistic response following photoexcitation has remained elusive. In this paper, we use femtosecond resolution electron diffraction to investigate transient lattice responses in optically excited colloidal gold nanocrystals, revealing the effects of nanocrystal size and surface ligands on the electron–phonon coupling and thermal relaxation dynamics. First, we uncover a strong size effect on the electron–phonon coupling, which arises from reduced dielectric screening at the nanocrystal surfaces and prevails independent of the optical excitation mechanism (i.e., inter- and intraband). Second, we find that surface ligands act as a tuning parameter for hot carrier cooling. Particularly, gold nanocrystals with thiol-based ligands show significantly slower carrier cooling as compared to amine-based ligands under intraband optical excitation due to electronic coupling at the nanocrystal/ligand interfaces. Finally, we spatiotemporally resolve thermal transport and heat dissipation in photoexcited nanocrystal films by combining electron diffraction with stroboscopic elastic scattering microscopy. Taken together, we resolve the distinct thermal relaxation time scales ranging from 1 ps to 100 ns associated with the multiple interfaces through which heat flows at the nanoscale. Our findings provide insights into optimization of gold nanocrystals and their thin films for photocatalysis and thermoelectric applications.

37 INORGANIC, ORGANIC, PHYSICAL, AND ANALYTICAL CH↗

Large spin Hall effect in Si at room temperature

Silicon's weak intrinsic spin-orbit coupling and centrosymmetric crystal structure are a critical bottleneck to the development of Si spintronics, because they lead to an insignificant spin Hall effect (spin current generation) and inverse spin Hall effect (spin current detection). In this work, we undertake current, magnetic field, crystallography dependent magnetoresistance, and magnetothermal transport measurements to study the spin transport behavior in freestanding Si thin films. We observe a large spin Hall magnetoresistance in both $\mathcal{p}$ – Si and $\mathcal{n}$ – Si at room temperature and it is an order of magnitude larger than that of Pt. One explanation of the unexpectedly large and efficient spin Hall effect is spin-phonon coupling instead of spin-orbit coupling. The macroscopic origin of the spin-phonon coupling can be large strain gradients that can exist in the freestanding Si films. This discovery in a light, earth abundant and centrosymmetric material opens a new path of strain engineering to achieve spin dependent properties in technologically highly developed materials.

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗

Computationally Guided Discovery of Axis-Dependent Conduction Polarity in NaSnAs Crystals

Most electronic materials exhibit a single dominant charge carrier type, either holes or electrons, along all crystallographic directions. However, there are a small number of compounds, mostly metals, that exhibit simultaneous p-type and n-type conduction behavior along different crystallographic directions. We demonstrate that the experimental discovery of semiconductors with this axis-dependent conduction polarity can be facilitated by identifying a large anisotropy of either the electron or hole effective masses (m*) or both, providing the electron and hole masses dominate along different crystallographic directions. We calculated the layered semiconductor NaSnAs to have a lower electron m* in-plane than the cross-plane and a very large hole m* in-plane and small hole m* cross-plane. We established the growth of >3 mm-sized NaSnAs crystals via Sn flux and confirmed the band gap to be 0.65 eV, in agreement with theory. NaSnAs exhibits p-type thermopowers cross-plane and n-type thermopowers in-plane, confirming that the large anisotropy in the effective mass at the band edges is an excellent indicator for axis-dependent conduction polarity. Altogether, this work shows that the discovery of semiconductors with such a phenomenon can be accelerated by computationally evaluating the anisotropic curvatures of the band edges, paving the way for their future discovery and application.

30 DIRECT ENERGY CONVERSION↗

An Innovative Zero-Liquid Discharge Intermediate-Cold-Liquid Eutectic-Freeze Desalination System

A novel freeze desalination technology is presented for purification of water produced from various industrial processes, including oil and gas extraction. The main innovative idea is introducing a water-immiscible intermediate-cold-liquid (ICL) medium which absorbs the cold from a refrigeration cycle and transfers it to a freezing chamber where it is mixed with brine. The cold ICL enters the freezing chamber at temperatures between -10°C to -30°C. Precooled brine in injected into the freezing chamber and pure water freezes out of the brine upon mixing with the ICL. The rate of freezing inside the chamber is controlled by adjusting the flow rate of the cold ICL relative to the inlet brine. Both eutectic freeze and non-eutectic freezing are possible by controlling the temperature of the freezing chamber. The solid-liquid slurry created in the freezing chamber flows to a filter separation unit after passing through a separation column. The ice crystals are separated from the liquid by a rotary filter device. The collected ice is rinsed by a centrifugal unit. The rinsed ice is melted to produce fresh water. The developed technology resolves the issues common to current freeze-desalination systems while offering superior heat transfer performance ascribed to direct-contact between the cooling medium and the brine in addition to producing solid salt and pure water. The system operates under atmospheric pressure. The low operation temperature minimizes the corrosion issues common in systems exposed to brine. Also, due to the low operating temperature, there are no concerns about evaporation of volatile organics from the produced water during the treatment. The developed technology effectively eliminates the use of chemicals for pretreatment of brine. The system can be constructed from commercially available components. Extensive testing using a lab-scale prototype by using synthetic brine and actual produced water with TDS values from 50,000 ppm to 300,000 ppm showed that freshwater could be achieved with relatively small dependency on the quality of the input brine. The quality of the treated water was found to be mainly a function of the duration of the centrifugal process. Treated water with TDS as low as 200 ppm could be achieved in the tests. Thermo-economic modeling coupled with system level thermochemical process model were developed for prediction of the LCOW. The LCOW was predicted to be $\$$0.50 to $\$$0.90 per barrel of produced water. The potential markets for deployment of the technology are the oil and gas, in-land thermoelectric powerplants, RO desalination plants, and mining industry.

29 ENERGY PLANNING, POLICY, AND ECONOMY↗

Understanding and Controlling Photothermal Responses in MXenes

MXenes have the potential for efficient light-to-heat conversion in photothermal applications. To effectively utilize MXenes in such applications, it is important to understand the underlying nonequilibrium processes, including electron–phonon and phonon–phonon couplings. Here, we use transient electron and X-ray diffraction to investigate the heating and cooling of photoexcited MXenes at femtosecond to nanosecond time scales. Our results show extremely strong electron–phonon coupling in Ti 3 C 2 -based MXenes, resulting in lattice heating within a few hundred femtoseconds. We also systematically study heat dissipation in MXenes with varying film thicknesses, chemical surface terminations, flake sizes, and annealing conditions. We find that the thermal boundary conductance (TBC) governs the thermal relaxation in films thinner than the optical penetration depth. In conclusion, we achieve a 2-fold enhancement of the TBC, reaching 20 MW m –2 K –1 , by controlling the flake size or chemical surface termination, which is promising for engineering heat dissipation in photothermal and thermoelectric applications of the MXenes.

77 NANOSCIENCE AND NANOTECHNOLOGY↗

Test results on re-use of reclaimed shower water: Summary

A microgravity whole body shower (WBS) and waste water recovery systems (WWRS) were evaluated in three separate closed loop tests. Following a protocol similar to that anticipated for the U.S. Space Station, test subjects showered in a prototype whole body shower. The WWRS processes evaluated during the test series were phase change and reverse osmosis (RO). A preprototype Thermoelectric Integrated Hollow Fiber Membrane Evaporation Subsystem phase change process was used for the initial test with chemical pretreatment of the shower water waste input. The second and third tests concentrated on RO technologies. The second test evaluated a dynamic RO membrane consisting of zirconium oxide polyacrylic acid (ZOPA) membranes deposited on the interior diameter of 316L porous stainless steel tubes while the final test employed a thin semipermeable RO membrane deposited on the interior surface of polysulfone hollow fibers. All reclaimed water was post-treated for purity using ion exchange and granular activated carbon beds immediately followed by microbial control treatment using both heat and iodine. The test hardware, controls exercised for whole body showering, types of soaps evaluated, shower subject response to reclaimed water showering, and shower water collection and chemical pretreatment (if required) for microbial control are described. The WWRS recovered water performance and the effectiveness of the reclaimed water post-treatment techniques used for maintaining water purity and microorganism control are compared. Results on chemical and microbial impurity content of the water samples obtained from various locations in the shower water reuse system are summarized.

Verostko, C. E.↗

Scaling laser preheat for MagLIF with the Z-Beamlet laser

Optimizing the performance of the Magnetized Liner Inertial Fusion (MagLIF) platform on the Z pulsed power facility requires coupling greater than 2 kJ of preheat energy to an underdense fuel in the presence of an applied axial magnetic field ranging from 10 to 30 T. Achieving the suggested optimal preheat energies has not been experimentally achieved so far. In this work, we explore the preheat design space for cryogenically cooled MagLIF targets, which represent a viable candidate for increasing preheat energies. Using 2D and 3D HYDRA MHD simulations, we first discuss the various physical effects that occur during laser preheat, such as laser energy deposition, self-focusing, and filamentation. After identifying the changes that different phase plates, gas-fill densities, and magnetic fields bring to the aforementioned physical effects, we, then, consider higher laser energies that are achievable with modest upgrades to the Z Beamlet laser. Lastly, with a 6.0-kJ upgraded laser, 3D calculations suggest that it is possible to deliver 4.25 kJ into the MagLIF fuel, resulting in an expected deuterium neutron yield of Y DD ≃ 1.5 × 10 14 , or roughly 50 kJ of DT equivalent yield, at 20-MA current drive. This represents a 10-fold increase in the currently achieved yields for MagLIF.

70 PLASMA PHYSICS AND FUSION TECHNOLOGY↗

Exploring layer thinning of exfoliated β-tellurene and room temperature photoluminescence with large exciton binding energy revealed in β-TeO 2

Due to its tunable bandgap, anisotropic behavior, and superior thermoelectric properties, device applications using layered tellurene (Te) are becoming more attractive. Here, we report a thinning technique for exfoliated tellurene nanosheets using thermal annealing in an oxygen environment. We characterize different thinning parameters, including temperature and annealing time. Based on our measurements, we show that controlled layer thinning occurs in the narrow temperature range of 325–350 °C. We also show a reliable method to form β-tellurene oxide (β-TeO 2 ), which is an emerging wide bandgap semiconductor with promising electronic and optoelectronic properties. This wide bandgap semiconductor exhibits a broad photoluminescence (PL) spectrum with multiple peaks covering the range of 1.76–2.08 eV. This PL emission, coupled with Raman spectra, is strong evidence of the formation of 2D β-TeO 2 . We discuss the results obtained and the mechanisms of Te thinning and β-TeO 2 formation at different temperature regimes. We also discuss the optical bandgap of β-TeO 2 and show the existence of pronounced excitonic effects evident by the large exciton binding energy in this 2D β-TeO 2 system that reach 1.54–1.62 eV for bulk and monolayer, respectively. Our work can be utilized to have better control over the Te nanosheet thickness. It also sheds light on the formation of well-controlled β-TeO 2 layered semiconductors for electronic and optoelectronic applications.

42 ENGINEERING↗

First Principle based Thermal Conductivity Modeling of Metal Alloys with Applications on Uranium Alloys

Thermal conductivity is an important materials property related to heat transport, which is essential to many applications, ranging from thermoelectrics to nuclear reactor materials. High- quality thermal conductivity data is critical to these materials and their associated technologies, including the nuclear fuel materials like traditional oxide fuels and metallic uranium (U) fuels, e.g. U-Zr and U-Mo alloys. And thermal conductivity modeling is widely used to interpolate or extrapolate experimental data, to obtain high-quality thermal conductivity data over wide temperature and composition range, and to understand the impacts of different factors including defects and microstructures. However, a general thermal conductivity model for metal alloys which can work regrading different phase components is still missing. Also, for U alloys, a thermal conductivity model working with different phases is needed. Therefore, in this work, we developed thermal conductivity models for metal alloys, based on ab-initio calculations, semi-classical physics rules, and limited experimental data. The goals of these models are to help obtain high- quality thermal conductivity data within a little experimental input as possible, have models that are extendable to varying microstructures, including different types of irradiation effects, and provide mechanistic understanding of heat transfer in the modeled alloys. In this work, our model solves several challenges in the development. The DFT-BTE approach is applied to decrease the reliance on experimental data and make the model extendable to composition changes and defects. A practical and efficient way to combine the DFT inputs with physics rules is pointed out in this work too. A staged approach, which starts from simple cases of elemental metals, then extends to solid solutions, different compound phases, and multi-phase mixtures, is presented to work with the metal alloys in different phase components. Our models are demonstrated respectively on aU for elemental metal model, on U-Zr and U-Mo alloys in aU temperature range for multi-phase mixture model, on high-temperature U-Zr, U-Nb, and U-Mo alloys in the body-centered cubic phase for concentrated solid solution model, and on irradiated U-Mo alloys for irradiated metal alloy model. All models show great agreement with experimental data. In these demonstrations, our model shows its advantages compared to previous empirical fitting model. Our model requires fewer experimental data, due to the inputs from DFT. The quantitative insights into the different physical factors are provided in our model, as it incorporates the electron and phonon scattering mechanisms. Our model also can be extended to incorporate the contributions of point defects, grain boundaries, and noble gas bubbles, to integrate their effects on heat transfer. This model can serve as both a foundation for understanding the more complex thermal conductivity of realistic U alloy fuels and a useful tool to guide further modeling of thermal conductivity to aid materials and device design.

11 - NUCLEAR FUEL CYCLE AND FUEL MATERIALS↗

Role of Eu-Doping in the Electron Transport Behavior in the Zintl Thermoelectric Ca 5-x-y Yb x Eu y Al 2 Sb 6 System

A series of Eu-doped Zintl compounds belonging to theCa 5-x-y Yb x Eu y Al 2 Sb 6 (x = 0, 1.12; 0 ≤ y ≤ 0.63(2)) system have been successfully synthesized by both the arc-melting and the molten Pb-flux methods. All of the five title compounds initially crystallized in the Ca 5 Ga 2 As 6 -type phase (space group Pbam, Z = 2, Pearson code oP26) and maintained their original structure even after the post-heat treatment, unlike the recently reported n-type Zintl analogues in the Ca 5-x-y Yb x RE y Al 2 Sb 6 (RE = Pr, Nd, Sm) systems, which underwent a phase transition from the Ca 5 Ga 2 As 6 -type to the Ca 5 Al 2 Bi 6 -type phase after annealing. This research aimed to understand the origin of the structural preference of the title Ca 5-x-y Yb x Eu y Al 2 Sb 6 system, whether it was affected by the valence electron count or the cationic size. Electrical transport property measurements showed an increase in electrical conductivities and a decrease of Seebeck coefficients for Ca 4.89(1) Eu 0.11 Al 2 Sb 6 , Ca 4.82(1) Eu 0.18 Al 2 Sb 6 , and Ca 4.62(1) Eu 0.38 Al 2 Sb 6 , compared to the parental compound Ca 5 Al 2 Sb 6 . Hole effect measurements proved that these changes should be attributed to the reduced carrier concentration and enhanced carrier mobility. The comprehensive density functional theory calculations including electron density map analysis for the hypothetical model Ca 4.5 Eu 0.5 Al 2 Sb 6 revealed that the polarity between Al and Sb forming the anionic frameworks decreased as the Eu-dopants were introduced, which eventually affected the carrier mobility in the anionic frameworks. Thermal conductivity measurements proved that the Eu-doping successfully lowered the lattice thermal conductivity because of the enhanced atomic disordering. In conclusion, the magnetization measurements for Ca 4.37(2) Eu 0.63 Al 2 Sb 6 showed a typical Curie–Weiss behavior with weak antiferromagnetic nearest-neighbor interactions with θ p = -5.07 K.

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗

Defect Engineering of Bi 2 SeO 2 Thermoelectrics

Abstract Bi 2 SeO 2 is a promising n ‐type semiconductor to pair with p ‐type BiCuSeO in a thermoelectric (TE) device. The TE figure of merit zT and, therefore, the device efficiency must be optimized by tuning the carrier concentration. However, electron concentrations in self‐doped n ‐type Bi 2 SeO 2 span several orders of magnitude, even in samples with the same nominal compositions. Such unsystematic variations in the electron concentration have a thermodynamic origin related to the variations in native defect concentrations. In this study, first‐principles calculations are used to show that the selenium vacancy, which is the source of n ‐type conductivity in Bi 2 SeO 2 , varies by 1–2 orders of magnitude depending on the thermodynamic conditions. It is predicted that the electron concentration can be enhanced by synthesizing under more Se‐poor conditions and/or at higher solid‐state reaction temperatures ( T SSR ), which promote the formation of selenium vacancies without introducing extrinsic dopants. The computational predictions are validated through solid‐state synthesis of Bi 2 SeO 2 . More than two orders of magnitude increase are observed in the electron concentration simply by adjusting the synthesis conditions. Additionally, a significant effect of grain boundary scattering on the electron mobility in Bi 2 SeO 2 is revealed, which can also be controlled by adjusting T SSR . By simultaneously optimizing the electron concentration and mobility, a zT of ≈0.2 is achieved at 773 K for self‐doped n ‐type Bi 2 SeO 2 . The study highlights the need for careful control of thermodynamic growth conditions and demonstrates TE performance improvement by varying synthesis parameters according to thermodynamic guidelines.

Novitskii, Andrei [MANA, National Institute for Ma↗

Relaxation time approximations in PAOFLOW 2.0

Abstract Regardless of its success, the constant relaxation time approximation has limited validity. Temperature and energy dependent effects are important to match experimental trends even in simple situations. We present the implementation of relaxation time approximation models in the calculation of Boltzmann transport in 2.0 and apply those to model band-structures. In addition, using a self-consistent fitting of the model parameters to experimental conductivity data, we provide a flexible tool to extract scattering rates with high accuracy. We illustrate the approximations using simple models and then apply the method to GaAs, Si, $$\hbox {Mg}_3\hbox {Sb}_2$$ Mg 3 Sb 2 , and $$\hbox {CoSb}_3$$ CoSb 3 .

72 PHYSICS OF ELEMENTARY PARTICLES AND FIELDS↗

Modeling the impact of extreme summer drought on conventional and renewable generation capacity: Methods and a case study on the Eastern U.S. power system

Across recent years, there has been a growing prevalence of extreme weather events throughout the United States, posing significant challenges to the reliable and resilient operation of power systems. Specifically, summer droughts threaten to severely reduce available generation capacity to meet regional electricity demand, potentially leading to power outages. This underscores the importance of accurate resource adequacy (RA) assessment to ensure the reliable operation of the nation’s energy infrastructure. Accurately evaluating the usable capacity of regional generation fleets is a challenging undertaking due to the intricate interactions between power systems and hydro-climatic systems. Here, this paper proposes a systematic and analytical framework to evaluate the impacts of extreme summer drought events on the available capacity of various generating technologies, incorporating both meteorological and hydrologic factors. The framework provides detailed plant-level capacity derating models for hydroelectric, thermoelectric, and renewable power plants, facilitating evaluations with high temporal and spatial resolution. The application of the proposed impact assessment framework to the 2025 generation fleet of the real-world power system within the PJM and SERC regions of the United States yields insightful results. By analyzing the daily usable capacity of 6,055 at-risk generators across the study region, it shows that the summer capacity deration is most significant for hydroelectric and once-through thermal power plants, followed by recirculating thermal power plants and combustion turbines. In the event of the recurrence of the 2007 southeastern summer drought event in the near future, the generation fleet could experience a substantial reduction in available capacity, estimated at approximately 8.5 GW, compared to typical summer conditions. The sensitivity analysis reveals that the usable capacity of the generation fleet would suffer an even more significant decrease under conditions of increasingly severe summer droughts. The proposed approach and the findings of this study provide valuable methodologies and insights, empowering stakeholders to bolster the resilience of power systems against the potentially devastating effects of future extreme drought events.

24 POWER TRANSMISSION AND DISTRIBUTION↗