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DOE OSTI2022

Representing Global Soil Erosion and Sediment Flux in Earth System Models

Abstract Soil erosion produces enormous amounts of sediment, carbon, and nutrient fluxes from land to rivers, thus playing crucial roles in global biogeochemical cycles and food security. To predict soil erosion in the context of climate and land use changes, we explicitly parameterize cropland management actions (i.e., irrigation, conserved agriculture, and crop residue management) and geological factors (i.e., lithology and glacier) in the Energy Exascale Earth System Model (E3SM) soil erosion module. The erosion model is calibrated using a global‐scale regionalized parameter calibration method. The spatial variabilities of the modeled and the Revised Universal Soil Loss Equation (RUSLE) based benchmark soil erosion are consistent across vegetation, climate and soil properties. Compared with independent data, our model shows a bias reduction in 59% of the observations relative to the RUSLE‐based soil erosion, with 53% of the bias reduction exceeding 50%. This improvement is mainly due to a better representation of the topographic effect on soil erosion. Our results indicate that conserved agriculture practices have effectively reduced soil erosion in cropland by over 25% in the United States and Argentina. In contrast, irrigation has increased soil erosion in many Asian countries. For upland sediment flux, our model is consistent with the WBMsed benchmark data in inter‐basin variability but could be more skillful in simulating intra‐basin variability because it couples soil erosion and sediment flux explicitly. The developed model provides useful skills for more realistic predictions of soil erosion and river sediment dynamics under environmental changes.

58 GEOSCIENCES↗

DOE OSTI2023

Scalable graphene sensor array for real-time toxins monitoring in flowing water

Abstract Risk management for drinking water often requires continuous monitoring of various toxins in flowing water. While they can be readily integrated with existing water infrastructure, two-dimensional (2D) electronic sensors often suffer from device-to-device variations due to the lack of an effective strategy for identifying faulty devices from preselected uniform devices based on electronic properties alone, resulting in sensor inaccuracy and thus slowing down their real-world applications. Here, we report the combination of wet transfer, impedance and noise measurements, and machine learning to facilitate the scalable nanofabrication of graphene-based field-effect transistor (GFET) sensor arrays and the efficient identification of faulty devices. Our sensors were able to perform real-time detection of heavy-metal ions (lead and mercury) and E. coli bacteria simultaneously in flowing tap water. This study offers a reliable quality control protocol to increase the potential of electronic sensors for monitoring pollutants in flowing water.

47 OTHER INSTRUMENTATION↗

DOE OSTI2025

Quantum simulation of boson-related Hamiltonians: techniques, effective Hamiltonian construction, and error analysis

Elementary quantum mechanics proposes that a closed physical system consistently evolves in a reversible manner. However, control and readout necessitate the coupling of the quantum system to the external environment, subjecting it to relaxation and decoherence. Consequently, system-environment interactions are indispensable for simulating physically significant theories. A broad spectrum of physical systems in condensed-matter and high-energy physics, vibrational spectroscopy, and circuit and cavity QED necessitates the incorporation of bosonic degrees of freedom, such as phonons, photons, and gluons, into optimized fermion algorithms for near-future quantum simulations. In particular, when a quantum system is surrounded by an external environment, its basic physics can usually be simplified to a spin or fermionic system interacting with bosonic modes. Nevertheless, troublesome factors such as the magnitude of the bosonic degrees of freedom typically complicate the direct quantum simulation of these interacting models, necessitating the consideration of a comprehensive plan. This strategy should specifically include a suitable fermion/boson-to-qubit mapping scheme to encode sufficiently large yet manageable bosonic modes, and a method for truncating and/or downfolding the Hamiltonian to the defined subspace for performing an approximate but highly accurate simulation, guided by rigorous error analysis. In this pedagogical tutorial review, we aim to provide such an exhaustive strategy, focusing on encoding and simulating certain bosonic-related model Hamiltonians, inclusive of their static properties and time evolutions. Specifically, we emphasize two aspects: (1) the discussion of recently developed quantum algorithms for these interacting models and the construction of effective Hamiltonians, and (2) a detailed analysis regarding a tightened error bound for truncating the bosonic modes for a class of fermion-boson interacting Hamiltonians.

bosonic Hamiltonian↗

DOE OSTI2024

STAT7 v1.2 User Guide: The STAT7 Code for Statistical Propagation of Uncertainties in Steady-State Thermal Hydraulics Analysis of Plate-Fueled Reactors

The STAT7 software was developed to perform steady-state, single-phase thermal hydraulics analysis of plate-fueled reactors based on statistical propagation of uncertainties. Application of the software is for non-power research and test reactors, including conversion to low-enriched uranium fuel of U.S. High-Performance Research Reactors such as Massachusetts Institute of Technology Research Reactor. Since it can be necessary to repeat analysis during fuel reloading, STAT7 accommodates flexibility in analyzing many realistic aspects of reactor fuel management. STAT7 uses a Monte Carlo approach to model uncertainty in common fuel fabrication parameters and other key reactor operating parameters required for thermal hydraulics analyses of research and test reactors. These safety calculations are ultimately intended to protect against high fuel plate temperatures due to critical heat flux, or onset of flow instability. STAT7 supports water properties based on the IAPWS-IF97 functions (The International Association for the Properties of Water and Steam Industrial Formulation 1997 for the Thermodynamic Properties of Water and Steam) in addition to the fit functions. STAT7 predicts axial profiles of fuel, cladding, and coolant temperature along a lateral stripe that runs the full length of the fuel plate from the bottom to the top. STAT7 can simultaneously analyze all of the axial nodes of all of the fuel plates and all of the coolant channels for one latera stripe of a fuel element. Power splits are calculated for each axial node of each plate to determine how much of the power goes out each face of the plate. By running STAT7 multiple times, full core analysis can be performed by analyzing the margin to onset of nucleate boiling and onset of flow instability for each axial node of each stripe of each plate of each fuel element in the core.

22 GENERAL STUDIES OF NUCLEAR REACTORS↗

DOE OSTI2025

Modelling the Effects of Wetland Restoration on Coastal Hydrology: A Case Study of Elkhorn Slough Watershed, California

ABSTRACT Coastal wetlands, some of the most productive ecosystems on Earth, provide critical ecosystem services, including support of biodiversity, carbon sequestration and flood protection. In recent decades, these ecosystems have experienced extensive coastal wetland loss. Coastal wetland restoration provides a beacon of hope, offering a chance to reclaim these important habitats. However, even with billions of dollars invested worldwide in restoring coastal wetlands, we still lack comprehensive knowledge about the effectiveness of these restoration efforts in recovering wetland ecosystem functions and how future climate change may affect these efforts. The ability to evaluate how these ecosystems will function in the future is vital for examining current investments and developing future protection and management plans. We selected Elkhorn Slough, a tidal estuary, in California, to investigate the impact of wetland restoration and sea level rise (SLR) on coastal hydrology using the process‐based coastal hydrologic model, Advanced Terrestrial Simulator (ATS), informed by site‐specific data. We designed a novel modelling workflow for incorporating wetland restoration features into land cover and soil properties for the model parameterization. The validation results demonstrate a strong agreement between modelled and observed data. We studied the characteristics of coastal watershed hydrology, then focused on the surface water dynamics at two wetland sites within Elkhorn Slough, a reference site and a restored site. Our simulation results indicate that the restored site successfully maintains surface elevation, resulting in reduced surface inundation. We also examined the impact of wetland restoration under expected SLR over the next few decades. The low‐lying Yampah Marsh, the reference site, is likely to be inundated due to future SLR when highest tides arrive, while a higher percentage of Hester Marsh, the restored site, would retain marsh vegetation in coming decades, regardless of tidal conditions. Our study provides important information for examining the outcome of restoration practices that include surface elevation in tidal wetlands under climate changes.

advanced terrestrial simulator↗

DOE OSTI2025

Environmental drivers of spatial variation in tropical forest canopy height: Insights from NASA’s GEDI spaceborne LiDAR

Forest canopy height is a fundamental ecosystem property—influencing patterns of forest carbon storage and forest ecosystem responses to climate variability and change. Previous studies have analyzed environmental drivers influencing spatial variation in canopy height at landscape-to-regional scales; however, far less is known about the environmental determinants underlying regional and global scale variation in forest canopy height. Using the canopy height metrics products from Global Ecosystem Dynamics Investigation (GEDI), a space-borne Light Detection and Ranging (LiDAR) instrument specifically designed to characterize forest structure, we analyze the environmental correlates of spatial variation of global tropical forest canopy height. Our study demonstrates that climate, topography, and soil properties account for 75% of the variation in tropical forest canopy height. Elevation, dry season length, and solar radiation are the most important drivers in determining canopy height both locally and regionally. These results emphasize the vulnerability of tropical forest structure to ongoing changes in the earth’s climate and provide a valuable empirical baseline for tropical forest management.

Science & Technology - Other Topics↗

DOE OSTI2023

Towards Automated Design of Polymer Precursors for Rational Design of Porous Carbon-Materials [Slides]

Overview: Developed capability enables easy building of realistic polymer structures and a straightforward evaluation of polymer properties using different computational approaches. Topics of relevance to LANL mission: fundamental understanding of gas, vapor, ion, and liquid transport in polymer materials with applications in carbon capture, clean energy, hydrogen production (e.g., fuel cells and electrolyzes); Toxic element removal; Design of polymer binders in explosives. Workforce Development: Project provided a valuable opportunity to for a PI to manage a LANL research effort, expand collaborations (e.g., MPA division), and establish research topic that aligns with the LANL mission; The capability built was highlighted in the proposal "Versatile Polyolefins-Based Ionomer Platform for Next Generation Polymer Electrolyte Membrane and Hydrogen Production" lead by InnoSense LLC in collaboration with MPA-1 and T-1 as a response to DOE's call DE-FOA-0003003: Science Foundations for Energy Earthshots.

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗

DOE OSTI2024

Integrating multi-modal remote sensing, deep learning, and attention mechanisms for yield prediction in plant breeding experiments

In both plant breeding and crop management, interpretability plays a crucial role in instilling trust in AI-driven approaches and enabling the provision of actionable insights. The primary objective of this research is to explore and evaluate the potential contributions of deep learning network architectures that employ stacked LSTM for end-of-season maize grain yield prediction. A secondary aim is to expand the capabilities of these networks by adapting them to better accommodate and leverage the multi-modality properties of remote sensing data. In this study, a multi-modal deep learning architecture that assimilates inputs from heterogeneous data streams, including high-resolution hyperspectral imagery, LiDAR point clouds, and environmental data, is proposed to forecast maize crop yields. The architecture includes attention mechanisms that assign varying levels of importance to different modalities and temporal features that, reflect the dynamics of plant growth and environmental interactions. The interpretability of the attention weights is investigated in multi-modal networks that seek to both improve predictions and attribute crop yield outcomes to genetic and environmental variables. This approach also contributes to increased interpretability of the model's predictions. The temporal attention weight distributions highlighted relevant factors and critical growth stages that contribute to the predictions. The results of this study affirm that the attention weights are consistent with recognized biological growth stages, thereby substantiating the network's capability to learn biologically interpretable features. Accuracies of the model's predictions of yield ranged from 0.82-0.93 R 2 ref in this genetics-focused study, further highlighting the potential of attention-based models. Further, this research facilitates understanding of how multi-modality remote sensing aligns with the physiological stages of maize. The proposed architecture shows promise in improving predictions and offering interpretable insights into the factors affecting maize crop yields, while demonstrating the impact of data collection by different modalities through the growing season. By identifying relevant factors and critical growth stages, the model's attention weights provide valuable information that can be used in both plant breeding and crop management. The consistency of attention weights with biological growth stages reinforces the potential of deep learning networks in agricultural applications, particularly in leveraging remote sensing data for yield prediction. To the best of our knowledge, this is the first study that investigates the use of hyperspectral and LiDAR UAV time series data for explaining/interpreting plant growth stages within deep learning networks and forecasting plot-level maize grain yield using late fusion modalities with attention mechanisms.

59 BASIC BIOLOGICAL SCIENCES↗

DOE OSTI2024

Distributionally Robust Bilevel Optimization Model for Distribution Network With Demand Response Under Uncertain Renewables Using Wasserstein Metrics

Here, we consider a distribution network integrating demand response (DR) participants in the presence of uncertain renewable suppliers and outdoor temperatures. A bilevel optimization model is proposed to capture the intricate dynamics between price-incentivized DR participants and distribution system operations, including energy procurement and active/reactive power flows. The model is formulated as a distributional robust bilevel optimization using Wasserstein metrics. We show favorable data-driven properties including out-of-sample guarantee and asymptotic consistency. Furthermore, we present a tractable mixed-integer linear programming reformulation and characterize the worst-case distribution. Computational experiments are conducted on a modified 33-bus system. Our findings underscore the efficacy of the pricing strategies derived from the proposed bilevel optimization model. These strategies not only effectively manage DR participants' behavior but also bring equity considerations among households with various characteristics to light. The results contribute to a deeper understanding of the interplay between distribution system operators and DR participants.

24 POWER TRANSMISSION AND DISTRIBUTION↗

DOE OSTI2024

pvcracks

SAND2024-00922O This software uses electroluminescence images to predict power loss due to cell cracks in photovoltaic modules. The software will incorporate trained variational autoencoder(s) to parameterize cell cracks detected in electroluminescence images of photovoltaic modules and relate cracks to electrical properties; reduced-order models of finite element simulations of electrical behavior of photovoltaic modules under thermomechanical stresses; reduced-order models of stress distributions; inside photovoltaic modules resulting from x-ray topography experiments; and image segmentation and splining methods to analyze x-ray topography measurements of cracked photovoltaic cells. Sandia National Laboratories is a multimission laboratory managed and operated by National Technology & Engineering Solutions of Sandia, LLC, a wholly owned subsidiary of Honeywell International Inc., for the U.S. Department of Energy’s National Nuclear Security Administration under contract DE-NA0003525.

Hartley, James↗

DOE OSTI2022

Environmental Share: Damage to a Cultural Site from Off-Road Driving [Slides]

Cultural resources, including archaeological sites and historic buildings, at Los Alamos National Laboratory are protected under the National Historic Preservation Act. Disclosure of archaeological site locations is prohibited by law, which can make it difficult to communicate issues or identify where these sites occur. The Laboratory Cultural Resources Management Plan describes how we work to manage and protect these resources: https://permalink.lanl.gov/object/tr?what=info:lanlrepo/lareport/LA-UR-19-21590. Recently, our cultural resources staff identified vehicle damage to a site . There were no active projects occurring in this area, but evidence that vehicles had been driving over the site was visible. It is not possible to mark the locations of all cultural resources as there are about 2000 on Laboratory property.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗

DOE OSTI2024

DE-FE0023919 Phase 5 Scientific/Technical Report

Phase 5 of the Deepwater Methane Hydrate Characterization and Scientific Assessment research project (DOE Award No. DE-FE0023919) occurred from Oct. 1, 2020 to Nov. 15, 2023. Throughout Phase 5, UT performed all aspects of project management and planning according to the award, project management plan, and statement of project objectives (Task 1). UT maintained and augmented the capability to transport, store, manipulate and analyze pressure cores (Task 13). UT’s hydrate core effective stress chamber can now run tests at effective stresses up to 20 MPa. A benchmark study was conducted and confirmed that the K0 permeameter accurately estimates geomechanical and petrophysical properties of geomaterials under uniaxial strain conditions. UT continued to analyze remaining UT-GOM2-1 pressure cores from GC955 (Task 10).

03 NATURAL GAS↗

DOE OSTI2024

Nanostructured Alumina Forming Austenitic Alloy (NAFA) Production using Advanced Manufacturing

Alumina-forming austenitic (AFA) alloys are well known for their exceptional corrosion-resistant properties due to the formation of a dense oxide scale beneficial in their application as a nuclear material. However, use of the alloys in core material applications is limited due to the high nickel-transmutation and helium generation rate in service, leading to swelling and reduced lifetimes. Enhancing the sink strength to pin gas bubbles and increasing gas management of the material may mitigate many of the degradation phenomena expected during alloy deployment (such as high-temperature helium embrittlement and cavity swelling for lead-cooled fast-reactor applications). Nanostructured materials are usually produced using a time-consuming and expensive batch process like mechanical alloying to achieve the fine homogenous distribution of nanoprecipitates throughout the matrix material. Integrating the nanoprecipitates in modern additive manufacturing processes has proven difficult, as the required nano-sizes or number densities cannot be achieved simultaneously. Efforts to increase the number density of precipitates by adding more precipitate-forming rare-earth elements led to agglomeration of such elements, while the nano-sized precipitates did not form in sufficient quantity when not enough rare-earth element was use. In this work a novel approach to advanced manufacturing and the fabrication of Nanostructured AFA (NAFA) materials was chosen. A dual precipitate-forming NAFA steel with a chemistry more suitable for advanced reactor applications was produced to create an environmentally resistant, high-sink-strength austenitic alloy for advanced reactor cladding applications.

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗

DOE OSTI2024

Nanostructured Alumina-Forming Austenitic Alloy (NAFA) Production Using Advanced Manufacturing

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗

DOE OSTI2023

Efficient Probabilistic Prediction and Uncertainty Quantification of Tropical Cyclone–Driven Storm Tides and Inundation

Abstract This study proposes and assesses a methodology to obtain high-quality probabilistic predictions and uncertainty information of near-landfall tropical cyclone–driven (TC-driven) storm tide and inundation with limited time and resources. Forecasts of TC track, intensity, and size are perturbed according to quasi-random Korobov sequences of historical forecast errors with assumed Gaussian and uniform statistical distributions. These perturbations are run in an ensemble of hydrodynamic storm tide model simulations. The resulting set of maximum water surface elevations are dimensionality reduced using Karhunen–Loève expansions and then used as a training set to develop a polynomial chaos (PC) surrogate model from which global sensitivities and probabilistic predictions can be extracted. The maximum water surface elevation is extrapolated over dry points incorporating energy head loss with distance to properly train the surrogate for predicting inundation. We find that the surrogate constructed with third-order PCs using elastic net penalized regression with leave-one-out cross validation provides the most robust fit across training and test sets. Probabilistic predictions of maximum water surface elevation and inundation area by the surrogate model at 48-h lead time for three past U.S. landfalling hurricanes (Irma in 2017, Florence in 2018, and Laura in 2020) are found to be reliable when compared to best track hindcast simulation results, even when trained with as few as 19 samples. The maximum water surface elevation is most sensitive to perpendicular track-offset errors for all three storms. Laura is also highly sensitive to storm size and has the least reliable prediction. Significance Statement The purpose of this study is to develop and evaluate a methodology that can be used to provide high-quality probabilistic predictions of hurricane-induced storm tide and inundation with limited time and resources. This is important for emergency management purposes during or after the landfall of hurricanes. Our results show that sampling forecast errors using quasi-random sequences combined with machine learning techniques that fit polynomial functions to the data are well suited to this task. The polynomial functions also have the benefit of producing exact sensitivity indices of storm tide and inundation to the forecasted hurricane properties such as path, intensity, and size, which can be used for uncertainty estimation. The code implementing the presented methodology is publicly available on GitHub.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗

DOE OSTI2022

Impact of f-element complexation on the radiolytic robustness of separations ligands

Impact of f-element complexation on the radiolytic robustness of separations ligands Gregory P. Horne, Makayla R. Baxter, Corey D. Pilgrim, Travis S. Grimes, Center for Radiation Chemistry Research, Idaho National Laboratory, P.O. Box 1625, Idaho Falls, ID, 83415, USA Cristian Celis Barros, Department of Chemistry and Biochemistry, Florida State University, Tallahassee, FL 32306, USA. E-mail: ccelisbarros@fsu.edu Andrew R. Cook, Department of Chemistry, Brookhaven National Laboratory, Upton, New York, 11973, USA Stephen P. Mezyk, Department of Chemistry and Biochemistry, California State University Long Beach, 1250 Bellflower Boulevard, Long Beach, California, 90840-9507, USA The effects of ionizing radiation are ubiquitous throughout all aspects of a nuclear fuel cycle. However, the complexity and intensity of these effects are greatest during the management of used nuclear fuel, owing to the presence of a wide spectrum of radionuclides from neutron capture and fission processes. With regards to used nuclear fuel (UNF) reprocessing, radiation-induced processes typically promote the destruction of active compounds (e.g., complexants and additives) with the concomitant formation of potentially detrimental degradation products and corresponding changes in physical and chemical properties, which ultimately impact the effectiveness and longevity of a given reprocessing system. Concerning UNF complexants, radiation chemistry studies have historically focused on their radiation robustness in the absence of the metal ions they were designed to selectively complex. This knowledge gap is worrisome as previous studies on aqueous phase complexants have demonstrated significant changes in radiolytic behavior upon metal ion complexation.1-4 More recently, the rate of reaction of the n-dodecane radical cation—believed to be the major organic phase radiation-induced transient species responsible for complexant radiolysis in n-dodecane based solvent systems—with hexa-n-octylnitrilo-triacetamide (HONTA) was shown to increase by an order-of-magnitude upon complexation of europium or americium.5 These findings have significant implications on the projected longevity of complexants in UNF reprocessing solvent systems. Consequently, a thorough understanding of metal ion complexation effects on the radiolytic integrity of UNF complexants is essential to evaluate their potential for process application. Presented here are two recent studies from the Idaho National Laboratory Center for Radiation Chemistry Research group that demonstrate the various impacts of f-element complexation (uranium, americium, and lanthanides) on the radiolytic integrity (gamma and electron pulse) of tributyl phosphate (TBP), N,N-di-(2-ethylhexyl)butyramide (DEHBA), N,N-di-2-ethylhexylisobutryamide (DEHiBA), and 2-ethylhexylphosphonic acid mono-2-ethylhexyl ester (HEH[EHP]) under UNF reprocessing conditions. References 1) Bhattacharyya and Kundu, Int. J. Radiat. Phys. Chem., 1971, 3, 1. 2) Kundu and Matuura, Int. J. Radiat. Phys. Chem., 1975, 7, 565. 3) Ilan and Czapski, Biochimica et Biophysica Acta, 1977, 498, 386. 4) Buettner, Doherty, and Patterson, Fed. Euro. Biochem. Soc., 1983, 158 (1), 143. 5) Toigawa, Peterman, Meeker, Grimes, Zalupski, Mezyk, Cook, Yamashita, Kumagai, Matsumura, Horne, PCCP, 2021, 23, 1343.

38 RADIATION CHEMISTRY, RADIOCHEMISTRY, AND NUCLEA↗

DOE OSTI2022

Server rack for improved data center management

Methods and systems for data center management include collecting sensor data from one or more sensors in a rack; determining a location and identifying information for each asset in the rack using a set of asset tags associated with respective assets; communicating the sensor and asset location to a communication module; receiving an instruction from the communication module; and executing the received instruction to change a property of the rack.

Bermudez Rodriguez, Sergio A.↗

DOE OSTI2023

Server rack for improved data center management

Bermudez Rodriguez, Sergio↗