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At least 469 records · Page 26

Future Changes in Midwest Extreme Precipitation Depend on Storm Type

Midwestern U.S. extreme precipitation is associated with multiple storm types including mesoscale convective systems (MCSs) and/or training thunderstorms, tropical cyclone (TC) remnants, and winter storms. Anthropogenic warming is expected to increase climatological precipitation globally, however, there may be little correspondence with regional storm-based changes. Furthermore, uncertainty remains in precipitation-temperature scaling due to use of convective parameterization in most global models. In this study, we investigated historically impactful extreme precipitation events from multiple types of Midwest storms using the Weather Research and Forecasting model at convection-permitting resolution. We simulated five-member ensembles of historical hindcasts and experiments representing the storms in the future using the pseudo-global warming method. We found that future precipitation changes depend on storm type, with increases near Clausius-Clapeyron (CC) for winter storms, no consensus for MCSs and/or training thunderstorms, and sub-CC increases for TC remnants. This research highlights the importance of considering storm type in future extreme precipitation projections.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗

The Summertime Precipitation Bias in E3SM Atmosphere Model Version 1 over the Central United States

This study analyzes the summertime precipitation bias over the Central United States and its relationship to the simulated large-scale environment and the convection scheme in the Energy Exascale Earth System Model Atmosphere Model version 1. This relationship is mainly examined in a set of short-term hindcasts initialized with realistic large-scale conditions for the summer of 2011. Besides the uniform 1° model resolution, we adopt Regionally Refined Meshes to increase the model resolution to 0.25°over the contiguous United States. Additional five-year Atmospheric Model Intercomparison Project simulations are conducted to confirm that the results from the hindcasts are consistent with the climate runs. We find that the summertime dry precipitation bias over the Great Plains and the wet bias over the Rockies cannot be reduced simultaneously by changing resolution or tuning parameters. As for the diurnal cycle, Energy Exascale Earth System Model Atmosphere Model version 1 captures the general diurnal variation of the large-scale moisture transport and the large-scale upward motion over the Central United States. However, the diurnal cycle of precipitation over the Great Plains is out of phase with the diurnal variation of the large-scale environment because the convective precipitation dominates the total precipitation and its diurnal cycle, and it does not directly respond to the local moisture convergence and the large-scale upward motion. These results reemphasize the importance of improving the coupling of the convection to the large-scale environment in reducing the summer precipitation bias over the Central United States in climate models with the resolution of ~0.25°.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗

Transmutation-induced precipitation in tungsten irradiated with a mixed energy neutron spectrum

Transmutation-induced precipitation in neutron-irradiated tungsten is an important performance concern for its application as plasma facing material in fusion reactors. In this study, segregation and precipitation of transmutant elements in single crystal and polycrystal tungsten irradiated at 460–1100 °C to 0.02–2.4 displacements per atom (dpa) in the High Flux Isotope Reactor were investigated using transmission electron microscopy. The results indicated that nanoscale W-Re-Os clusters were identified in the low dose regime from 0.02 to 0.44 dpa with irradiation temperature lower than 800 °C while acicular-shape precipitates formed when irradiation dose is higher than 1.5 dpa. A tentative roadmap of the kinetics process of the transmutation-induced precipitation in neutron-irradiated tungsten is presented characterizing the defect features (i.e., W-Re-Os clusters and precipitates) consisting of transmutant elements in tungsten irradiated to various doses. All TEM-visible voids were associated with the acicular-shape precipitates. Voids were formed prior to the formation of acicular-shape precipitates and act as strong trapping sites for mobile species involved in the precipitation together with dislocations. Thermal stability of W-Re-Os clusters was assessed by performing a 2-h anneal at 1200 °C on tungsten irradiated to 0.44 dpa at 705 °C. In conclusion, the kinetics process of transmutant elements and radiation defects are discussed to reveal the underlying mechanisms controlling the formation of precipitates in tungsten.

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗

Resistivity-Microstructure Relationships in Nickel Base Superalloys Used in Gas Turbine Engines for Power Generation and as Interconnects in Solid Oxide Fuel Cells

This report summarizes the results accomplished during this 3-year with funds from this grant. The most important new contribution was the development of a microstructural model, based on analysis of the small angle scattering spectra that can relate the measured electrical resistivity to the precipitate population present in a nickel base superalloy in a quantitative way. A total of 24 research articles were published or were in press at the time the final report was written.

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗

BIRDIE beryllium-10 and -7 measurements from 2022 summer deep convection rain at ARM SGP

Water samples were manually collected from 11 SGP ARM sites in the early summer of 2022 to measure cosmogenic isotopes of beryllium. The water samples were brought back to the Center for Accelerator Mass Spectrometry (CAMS) at LLNL and analysed for beryllium-10 and beryllium-7 as well as for chlorine-37, chlorine-36, and tritium. A total of six storm events were measured over three weeks. At least five of those storms included overshooting cloud events. Available data include precipitation amount, beryllium-10 concentration, beryllium-7 concentration, and 10/7Be ratio. Spatial and temporal variability in the cosmogenic isotopes was relatively high but could not directly be linked to precipitation amount. Analysis is on-going to explain the measured variability and to see if it can be linked to cloud top height and overshooting depth.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗

Open-Source Science-Driven Development of the Science Data System (SDS) for Earth System Observatory (ESO) Atmospheric Missions

The NASA Earth System Observatory (ESO) atmospheric missions will provide space-based and suborbital observations of collocated cloud, dynamic, precipitation and aerosol processing leading to improved weather, air quality, and climate predictions. The Science Data System (SDS) will deploy the adaptive processing system (APS) developed within the Cloud to manage the research and operational processing of ESO atmospheric mission orbital and suborbital sensors and curate these data for near real-time and collection reprocessing and transfer them to a NASA Distributed Active Archive Center (DAAC) for long-term storage and distribution. Further, the SDS will follow guidelines provided by NASA Earth Science Data Systems (ESDS) program including standard conventions for data file formats, naming, and metadata to improve data interoperability, interpretability, usability, discovery, provenance, and spatiotemporal representativeness. The SDS follows NASA’s commitment to Open-Source Science (OSS) including the sharing of data, software, and knowledge in an open and timely manner. Each of the SDS system components will be developed with open-source concepts including components of APS itself as well as ESO atmospheric mission algorithms. This presentation describes the framework of the SDS and its integral part in facilitating OSS within the ESO atmospheric missions.

David M. Giles↗

Science Performance Comparison Between a Spaceborne HSRL and CALIOP

NASA operates airborne and spaceborne lidar systems to answer aerosol and cloud related science questions. NASA Langley Research Center has extensive experience operating lidar systems in both regimes. These include High Spectral Resolution Lidar (HSRL) systems, which have been operating on airborne systems,and CALIOP, the spaceborne elastic backscatter lidar system on board CALIPSO. In support of NASA’s ACCP Study Plan to address the Aerosol (A) and Cloud, Convection, and Precipitation (CCP) Designated Observables called out in the 2017 Earth Science Decadal Survey, LaRC is using lidar simulation tools to evaluate the performance of spaceborne systems using both the HSRL and elastic backscatter techniques. The LaRC high-fidelity simulator tool models both HSRL and elastic backscatter lidar systems by modeling the effects of the instrument specifications and producing backscatter signals generated from molecules, aerosols, clouds, ocean surface, and ocean subsurface. It derives the solar background signals from the scene specific aerosol and cloud characteristics, surface type, and sun elevation. The tool models both random and systematic uncertainties in the retrieved geophysical parameters. In this study, we will present simulated results that compare and contrast the performance of spaceborne HSRL systems to the performance of CALIOP. As recommended by the Decadal Study, ACCP is seeking advances over performance that has been achieved by A-Train. This study will provide a description of the HSRL and elastic backscatter techniques and demonstrate how and why the performance of these HSRL systems exceeds the performance of CALIOP.

Kathleen A Powell↗

A study of cloud microphysics and precipitation over the Tibetan Plateau by radar observations and cloud-resolving model simulations

Cloud microphysical properties and precipitation over the Tibetan Plateau (TP) are unique because of the high terrains, clean atmosphere, and sufficient water vapor. With dual-polarization precipitation radar and cloud radar measurements during the Third Tibetan Plateau Atmospheric Scientific Experiment (TIPEX-III), the simulated microphysics and precipitation by the Weather Research and Forecasting model (WRF) with the Chinese Academy of Meteorological Sciences (CAMS) microphysics and other microphysical schemes are investigated through a typical plateau rainfall event on 22 July 2014. Results show that the WRF-CAMS simulation reasonably reproduces the spatial distribution of 24-h accumulated precipitation, but has limitations in simulating time evolution of precipitation rates. Here, the model-calculated polarimetric radar variables have biases as well, suggesting bias in modeled hydrometeor types. The raindrop sizes in convective region are larger than those in stratiform region indicated by the small intercept of raindrop size distribution in the former. The sensitivity experiments show that precipitation processes are sensitive to the changes of warm rain processes in condensation and nucleated droplet size (but less sensitive to evaporation process). Increasing droplet condensation produces the best area-averaged rain rate during weak convection period compared with the observation, suggesting a considerable bias in thermodynamics in the baseline simulation. Increasing the initial cloud droplet size causes the rain rate reduced by half, an opposite effect to that of increasing droplet condensation.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗

gvr (s1)

The G-band vapor radiometer (GVR) provides time-series measurements of brightness temperatures from four double sideband channels around the 183.31-GHz water vapor line. Atmospheric emission in this spectral region is primarily due to water vapor, with some influence from liquid water. The GVR is approximately 30 times more sensitive to water vapor than the two-channel microwave radiometer (MWR) for a precipitable water vapor (PWV) amount of less than 2.5 mm. Measurements from this instrument are, therefore, especially useful during low-humidity conditions (PWV < 5 mm). Data products include mentor-processed data.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗

Global Precipitation Measurement (GPM): Unified Precipitation Estimation From Space

Global Precipitation Measurement (GPM) is an international satellite mission that uses measurements from an advanced radar/radiometer system on a Core Observatory as reference standards to unify and advance precipitation estimates through a constellation of research and operational microwave sensors. GPM is a science mission focusing on a key component of the Earth's water and energy cycle, delivering near real-time observations of precipitation for monitoring severe weather events, freshwater resources, and other societal applications. This work presents the GPM mission design, together with descriptions of sensor characteristics, inter-satellite calibration, retrieval methodologies, ground validation activities, and societal applications.

satellite↗

Role of Precipitates in Recrystallization Mechanisms of Nb-Mo Microalloyed Steel

Recrystallization behavior of a Nb-Mo microalloyed steel has been investigated using double-hit compression tests. A suitable reheating temperature and soaking time were established for the complete dissolution of the microalloying precipitates prior to hot deformation. The influence of hot deformation conditions on the flow behavior and the effect of alloying elements, Nb in particular, on austenite recrystallization kinetics are highlighted. The strain-induced precipitation has been found to play an important role in hindering recrystallization kinetics. Post-deformation microstructural analysis indicates that strain-induced grain boundary migration (SIMB) is one of the mechanisms for the formation of recrystallized grains. Retardation of recrystallization has been explained by estimating pinning force of Nb(C, N) precipitates and recrystallization driving force at 1000 °C, which is in good agreement with the experimental observations in the present study as well as other reported data. The study brings out a better understanding on the influence of strain-induced precipitates on recrystallization behavior.

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗

Fast Response of East Asian Precipitation in June 2020 to Local and Remote Aerosol Emission Reductions during COVID-19

Here, in this study, the fast response of East Asian summer precipitation to COVID-19–induced aerosol emission reductions is examined using the Community Earth System Model, version 2.2 (CESM2.2). The emission reductions decreased aerosol optical depth and cloud cover over northern China in June 2020. The troposphere became warmer, strengthening the land–sea thermal contrast and anomalous southerly winds. The subtropical westerly jet accelerated and shifted southward, favoring low-level convergence, upward air motions, and subsequent condensational heating over the Yangtze River basin (YRB). The feedback of condensational heating in return strengthened the convergence and ascent. The western North Pacific subtropical high was intensified, which further enhanced the moisture advection and convergence over the YRB. Both the enhanced moisture convergence and ascent increased precipitation over the YRB during June 2020. Furthermore, local and remote emission reductions show different impacts on convection and moisture transport over the YRB. The emission reductions over China caused stronger convective precipitation (1.15 vs 0.63 mm day −1 ) but weaker larger-scale precipitation (1.17 vs 2.24 mm day −1 ) than the emission reductions outside China. In addition to the emission reductions, the sea surface temperature (SST) anomalies in 2020 also play an important role in increasing precipitation over the YRB, contributing about 42.8%. The relative contribution of SST anomalies also increases under the COVID-19–induced emission scenario.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗

Wetter California Projected by CMIP6 Models With Observational Constraints Under a High GHG Emission Scenario

As the world's fifth-largest economy entity, California (CA) is vulnerable to climate changes especially the magnitude of winter (wet season) precipitation that is closely linked to regional drought severity, vegetation growth, and wildfire activities. However, the fate of CA precipitation in the future remains highly uncertain, for example, the state-of-the-art Earth system models (ESMs) from the Coupled Model Intercomparison Project Phase 6 (CMIP6) projected –3% to +42% and –27% to +63% precipitation changes in northern and central-southern CA, respectively, under the high greenhouse gas (GHG) emission scenario (SSP585). In this work, we applied the Pareto optimality concept and used observed teleconnection patterns (causal relationships between ocean regions and CA precipitation) to mechanistically constrain CMIP6 projected CA precipitations. We estimated that precipitation will robustly increase by 0.4–1.3 mm d –1 (10–34%) over northern CA and increase by 0.1–0.5 mm d –1 (7–32%) over central-southern CA by the end of the 21st century compared with present-day. Up to 71% of ESM projection uncertainties were reduced mainly due to the strong and consistent causal relationship between North American west coast sea level pressure and CA precipitation in both observations and CMIP6 models. Our results suggest that teleconnection patterns are powerful mechanistic constraints that can help explain and reduce uncertainties in ESM projections.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗

Open Science Approach to Analyze Climate-Crop Relationships in the US Leveraging GES DISC and Galaxy Workflows

Understanding the intricate relationship between climate variability and agricultural production is crucial for ensuring food security. This study investigates the impact of climate parameters, such as temperature, precipitation, and soil moisture, on major US crop yields. Adopting an open science approach, the study analyzes the impact of climate on agricultural production in the United States. The Galaxy workflow engine serves as the primary tool for integrating climate data from the Goddard Earth Sciences Data and Information Services Center (GES DISC), retrieved via the Giovanni system, with yield statistics from the United States Department of Agriculture’s National Agricultural Statistics Service (USDA NASS). Extensions for reading, preprocessing, and analyzing external data have been developed, enabling the creation of workflows within the Galaxy platform. The development of a reproducible workflow allows for the calculation of seasonal climate averages, which are then assessed for their correlation with crop yields. This methodology ensures the replicability of the research, promoting transparency and collaboration in the scientific community. Correlational and regression analyses have been applied to different sub-zones and crops. The findings from this research offer valuable insights into the relationship between climate parameters and crop yields. These insights contribute to a deeper understanding of climate-crop relationships, providing a solid foundation for informed decision-making in the agricultural sector. The high correlation values indicate a significant relationship between climate parameters and crop yields, underscoring the importance of considering climate factors in agricultural planning and policymaking. This research also exemplifies the power of open science in advancing our understanding of complex environmental and agricultural phenomena. By leveraging open data and services, it provides a robust and replicable framework for future studies in this critical field.

Open science↗

Earth Science Data Analysis in the Era of Big Data

Anyone with even a cursory interest in information technology cannot help but recognize that "Big Data" is one of the most fashionable catchphrases of late. From accurate voice and facial recognition, language translation, and airfare prediction and comparison, to monitoring the real-time spread of flu, Big Data techniques have been applied to many seemingly intractable problems with spectacular successes. They appear to be a rewarding way to approach many currently unsolved problems. Few fields of research can claim a longer history with problems involving voluminous data than Earth science. The problems we are facing today with our Earth's future are more complex and carry potentially graver consequences than the examples given above. How has our climate changed? Beside natural variations, what is causing these changes? What are the processes involved and through what mechanisms are these connected? How will they impact life as we know it? In attempts to answer these questions, we have resorted to observations and numerical simulations with ever-finer resolutions, which continue to feed the "data deluge." Plausibly, many Earth scientists are wondering: How will Big Data technologies benefit Earth science research? As an example from the global water cycle, one subdomain among many in Earth science, how would these technologies accelerate the analysis of decades of global precipitation to ascertain the changes in its characteristics, to validate these changes in predictive climate models, and to infer the implications of these changes to ecosystems, economies, and public health? Earth science researchers need a viable way to harness the power of Big Data technologies to analyze large volumes and varieties of data with velocity and veracity. Beyond providing speedy data analysis capabilities, Big Data technologies can also play a crucial, albeit indirect, role in boosting scientific productivity by facilitating effective collaboration within an analysis environment. To illustrate the effects of combining a Big Data technology with an effective means of collaboration, we relate the (fictitious) experience of an early-career Earth science researcher a few years beyond the present, interlaced and contrasted with reminiscences of its recent past (i.e., the present).

Kuo, K.-S.↗

Coherent-Precipitation-Stabilized Phase Formation in Over-Stoichiometric Rocksalt-Type Li Superionic Conductors

Rationalizing synthetic pathways is crucial for material design and property optimization, especially for polymorphic and metastable phases. Over-stoichiometric rocksalt (ORX) compounds, characterized by their face-sharing configurations, are a promising group of materials with unique properties; however, their development is significantly hindered by challenges in synthesizability. Here, taking the recently identified Li superionic conductor, over-stoichiometric rocksalt Li–In–Sn–O (o-LISO) material as a prototypical ORX compound, the mechanisms of phase formation are systematically investigated. It is revealed that the spinel-like phase with unconventional stoichiometry forms as coherent precipitate from the high-temperature-stabilized cation-disordered rocksalt phase upon fast cooling. This process prevents direct phase decomposition and kinetically locks the system in a metastable state with the desired face-sharing Li configurations. This insight enables us to enhance the ionic conductivity of o-LISO to be >1 mS cm -1 at room temperature through low-temperature post-annealing. This work offers insights into the synthesis of ORX materials and highlights important opportunities in this new class of materials.

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗