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Search indexed NASA NTRS and DOE OSTI research on propulsion, heat transfer, battery materials and energy systems. Follow report and document links to the original sources.

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At least 469 records · Page 26

All sources NASA NTRS DOE OSTI

DOE OSTI2021

Future sea level change under CMIP5 and CMIP6 scenarios from the Greenland and Antarctic ice sheets

Projections of the sea level contribution from the Greenland and Antarctic ice sheets rely on atmospheric and oceanic drivers obtained from climate models. The Earth System Models participating in the Coupled Model Intercomparison Project phase 6 (CMIP6) generally project greater future warming compared with the previous CMIP5 effort. Here we use four CMIP6 models and a selection of CMIP5 models to force multiple ice sheet models as part of the Ice Sheet Model Intercomparison Project for CMIP6 (ISMIP6). We find that the projected sea level contribution at 2100 from the ice sheet model ensemble under the CMIP6 scenarios falls within the CMIP5 range for the Antarctic ice sheet but is significantly increased for Greenland. Warmer atmosphere in CMIP6 models results in higher Greenland mass loss due to surface melt. For Antarctica, CMIP6 forcing is similar to CMIP5 and mass gain from increased snowfall counteracts increased loss due to ocean warming.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗

DOE OSTI2024

Machine learning approaches for influenza A virus risk assessment identifies predictive correlates using ferret model in vivo data

In vivo assessments of influenza A virus (IAV) pathogenicity and transmissibility in ferrets represent a crucial component of many pandemic risk assessment rubrics, but few systematic efforts to identify which data from in vivo experimentation are most useful for predicting pathogenesis and transmission outcomes have been conducted. To this aim, we aggregated viral and molecular data from 125 contemporary IAV (H1, H2, H3, H5, H7, and H9 subtypes) evaluated in ferrets under a consistent protocol. Three overarching predictive classification outcomes (lethality, morbidity, transmissibility) were constructed using machine learning (ML) techniques, employing datasets emphasizing virological and clinical parameters from inoculated ferrets, limited to viral sequence-based information, or combining both data types. Among 11 different ML algorithms tested and assessed, gradient boosting machines and random forest algorithms yielded the highest performance, with models for lethality and transmission consistently better performing than models predicting morbidity. Comparisons of feature selection among models was performed, and highest performing models were validated with results from external risk assessment studies. Our findings show that ML algorithms can be used to summarize complex in vivo experimental work into succinct summaries that inform and enhance risk assessment criteria for pandemic preparedness that take in vivo data into account.

59 BASIC BIOLOGICAL SCIENCES↗

DOE OSTI2021

Machine-learning-based dynamic-importance sampling for adaptive multiscale simulations

Multiscale simulations are a well-accepted way to bridge the length and time scales required for scientific studies with the solution accuracy achievable through available computational resources. Traditional approaches either solve a coarse model with selective refinement or coerce a detailed model into faster sampling, both of which have limitations. Here, we present a paradigm of adaptive, multiscale simulations that couple different scales using a dynamic-importance sampling approach. Our method uses machine learning to dynamically and exhaustively sample the phase space explored by a macro model using microscale simulations and enables an automatic feedback from the micro to the macro scale, leading to a self-healing multiscale simulation. As a result, our approach delivers macro length and time scales, but with the effective precision of the micro scale. Our approach is arbitrarily scalable as well as transferable to many different types of simulations. Overall, our method made possible a multiscale scientific campaign of unprecedented scale to understand the interactions of RAS proteins with a plasma membrane in the context of cancer research running over several days on Sierra, which is currently the second-most-powerful supercomputer in the world.

59 BASIC BIOLOGICAL SCIENCES↗

DOE OSTI2025

Optimization-Based Dynamic Voltage Support of Microgrids Using Energy Storage Systems

A microgrid network is characterized by a high R/X ratio, making the voltage more sensitive to active power changes compared to bulk power systems, where the voltage is regulated primarily by reactive power. Due to its sensitivity, voltage control approaches for microgrids should also consider the active power input coupling, making it very different from conventional power systems. Additionally, as the energy costs associated with active and reactive powers are different and the operational conditions of microgrids connected to active distribution systems vary over time, the ideal controller to provide voltage support must be flexible enough to handle these technical and operational constraints. This paper proposes a model predictive control approach to provide dynamic voltage support using energy storage systems. This approach uses a simplified predictive model of the system to solve the model predictive control problem. By proper selection of model predictive control weighting parameters, the quality of service provided can be adjusted to achieve the desired performance. A simulation study in MATLAB/Simulink validates the proposed approach for the Cordova, Alaska microgrid. Results show that the performance of the voltage support can be adjusted depending on the choice of weight and constraints of the controller.

24 POWER TRANSMISSION AND DISTRIBUTION↗

DOE OSTI2025

Model Calibration with Markov Chain Monte Carlo Tutorial

The purpose of this tutorial is to demonstrate how to use Markov chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) to calibrate a model. By calibration, we mean the selection of model parameters (and, when relevant, structures). A common goal in model development and diagnostics is calibration, or the identification of model structures and parameters which are consistent with data. While models can be calibrated through hand-tuning parameters or minimizing simple error metrics such as root-mean-square-error (RMSE), these approaches can underrepresent the probabilistic nature of the data-generating process, as well as the potential for multiple model configurations to be consistent with the data. Probabilistic uncertainty quantification, which is the topic of this notebook, can address these concerns. This tutorial is presented as an appendix to the e-book: Addressing Uncertainty in MultiSector Dynamics Research.

Markov chain Monte Carlo↗

NASA NTRS1986

Testing experience with the National Transonic Facility

The National Transonic Facility (NTF) was designed for high productivity within the constraints of operation in a cryogenic environment using nitrogen as a test gas. This environment has a significant impact on overall operation. The facility has been operational since August, 1984, and experience has been gained with respect to the facility operation and aerodynamic testing. This paper describes the experience to date with the pretest preparation and testing operations including liquid N2 supply constraints. The instrumentation system is discussed including force, pressure, angle of attack, and model deformation measurements. Selected data from models tested in the NTF, and a status of the static calibration, are also presented.

Fuller, D. E.↗

NASA NTRS2012

Large Eddy/Reynolds-Averaged Navier-Stokes Simulations of CUBRC Base Heating Experiments

ven with great advances in computational techniques and computing power during recent decades, the modeling of unsteady separated flows, such as those encountered in the wake of a re-entry vehicle, continues to be one of the most challenging problems in CFD. Of most interest to the aerothermodynamics community is accurately predicting transient heating loads on the base of a blunt body, which would result in reduced uncertainties and safety margins when designing a re-entry vehicle. However, the prediction of heat transfer can vary widely depending on the turbulence model employed. Therefore, selecting a turbulence model which realistically captures as much of the flow physics as possible will result in improved results. Reynolds Averaged Navier Stokes (RANS) models have become increasingly popular due to their good performance with attached flows, and the relatively quick turnaround time to obtain results. However, RANS methods cannot accurately simulate unsteady separated wake flows, and running direct numerical simulation (DNS) on such complex flows is currently too computationally expensive. Large Eddy Simulation (LES) techniques allow for the computation of the large eddies, which contain most of the Reynolds stress, while modeling the smaller (subgrid) eddies. This results in models which are more computationally expensive than RANS methods, but not as prohibitive as DNS. By complimenting an LES approach with a RANS model, a hybrid LES/RANS method resolves the larger turbulent scales away from surfaces with LES, and switches to a RANS model inside boundary layers. As pointed out by Bertin et al., this type of hybrid approach has shown a lot of promise for predicting turbulent flows, but work is needed to verify that these models work well in hypersonic flows. The very limited amounts of flight and experimental data available presents an additional challenge for researchers. Recently, a joint study by NASA and CUBRC has focused on collecting heat transfer data on the backshell of a scaled model of the Orion Multi-Purpose Crew Vehicle (MPCV). Heat augmentation effects due to the presence of cavities and RCS jet firings were also investigated. The high quality data produced by this effort presents a new set of data which can be used to assess the performance of CFD methods. In this work, a hybrid LES/RANS model developed at North Carolina State University (NCSU) is used to simulate several runs from these experiments, and evaluate the performance of high fidelity methods as compared to more typical RANS models. .

Salazar, Giovanni↗

NASA NTRS2021

Future Sea Level Change Under CMIP5 and CMIP6 Scenarios From the Greenland and Antarctic Ice Sheets

Projections of the sea level contribution from the Greenland and Antarctic ice sheets (GrIS and AIS) rely on atmospheric and oceanic drivers obtained from climate models. The Earth System Models participating in the Coupled Model Intercomparison Project phase 6 (CMIP6) generally project greater future warming compared with the previous Coupled Model Intercomparison Project phase 5 (CMIP5) effort. Here we use four CMIP6 models and a selection of CMIP5 models to force multiple ice sheet models as part of the Ice Sheet Model Intercomparison Project for CMIP6 (ISMIP6). We find that the projected sea level contribution at 2100 from the ice sheet model ensemble under the CMIP6 scenarios falls within the CMIP5 range for the Antarctic ice sheet but is significantly increased for Greenland. Warmer atmosphere in CMIP6 models results in higher Greenland mass loss due to surface melt. For Antarctica, CMIP6 forcing is similar to CMIP5 and mass gain from increased snowfall counteracts increased loss due to ocean warming.

Antarctica↗

NASA NTRSDate not supplied

Comparisons of Mixing Efficiency for the Strut Fuel Injector Obtained from Large-Eddy and Reynolds-Averaged Simulations, and Experiments

Mixing efficiency is obtained for a strut fuel injector at hypervelocity flow conditions by using large-eddy simulations (LES), Reynolds-averaged simulations (RAS), and experiments. The injector and flow conditions have been previously investigated by using RAS and experiments as a part of the Enhanced Injection and Mixing Project (EIMP) at the NASA Langley Research Center (LaRC). Because the fidelity of LES is a strong function of the grid, the mixing efficiency is obtained on two grids, the coarser of which is a factor of two coarser in each of the three dimensions with respect to the fine grid. The RAS uses the two-equation linear eddy viscosity and diffusivity modeling of Menter. In RAS, the species diffusivity model exhibits a strong dependence on the turbulent Schmidt number, which is often adjusted until some metric of engineering interest, such as the mixing efficiency, matches the experimental data. In the absence of experimental data, scale-resolving simulations, such as LES, have been proposed as surrogates for experiments that could provide the data needed to “calibrate” the turbulent Schmidt number in the RAS models. This approach is followed because LES requires significantly more computational resources (CPU, data storage, and time) than RAS, making it prohibitive for use in many engineering applications and specifically for parameter exploration or optimization. Here we examine the mixing efficiency obtained from several RAS with different values of the turbulent Schmidt number, and compare the results with those obtained from the LES and experiments. In addition, the least squares fitting approach was used to demonstrate how to obtain an estimate for the turbulent Schmidt number from LES analytically. These estimates were then used together with prior knowledge about RAS model sensitivity to select a turbulence model that was expected to best match the LES data.

LES↗

NASA NTRSDate not supplied

Comparisons of Mixing Efficiency for the Strut Fuel Injector Obtained from Large-Eddy and Reynolds-Averaged Simulations, and Experiments

LES↗

DOE OSTI2025

Material Selection and Heat Transfer Model for PTUHS Device

The Path to Ultimate Heat Sink Device (PTUHS) is a passive safety system that utilizes a radiative heat transfer valve to control the rate at which heat is removed from a nuclear reactor pressure vessel (RPV) and dispersed into surrounding soil. The material selection for the PTUHS device is investigated, where the thermophysical properties are either maximized or minimized bases on what section of the PTUHS that material is being used for. Final recommendations of material choice are then presented. The heat transfer model of the PTUHS device is solved in ABAQUS, where a normal operating conditions and SCRAM conditions are solved. These temperature maps and heat flux of the system show the system's ability, where minimal heat is lost during normal operating conditions and system failure in a SCRAM scenario due to temperatures that were reached.

42 - ENGINEERING↗

NASA NTRS1979

Critical considerations for wind-tunnel testing V/STOL aircraft models

Low-speed wind-tunnel testing of V/STOL aircraft concepts to determine the aerodynamic-propulsion interaction effects during the transition between hover and wingborne flight is a necessary step in the development cycle of this type of aircraft. The paper examines factors which must be dealt with to assure that the information obtained in experiments is accurate and representative of the full-scale aircraft modeled. Areas of discussion include: (1) Proper engine simulation selection and model size constraints as a result of the selection; (2) selection of reference power-off condition for determining propulsion interaction effects; (3) modeling of realistic flight conditions to obtain a comprehensive evaluation of the entire transition performance; and (4) wind-tunnel boundary interferences and how these are highly configuration dependent.

Margason, R. J.↗

NASA NTRS2013

Rift Valley Fever Risk Map Model and Seroprevalence in Selected Wild Ungulates and Camels from Kenya

Since the first isolation of Rift Valley fever virus (RVFV) in the 1930s, there have been multiple epizootics and epidemics in animals and humans in sub-Saharan Africa. Prospective climate-based models have recently been developed that flag areas at risk of RVFV transmission in endemic regions based on key environmental indicators that precede Rift Valley fever (RVF) epizootics and epidemics. Although the timing and locations of human case data from the 2006-2007 RVF outbreak in Kenya have been compared to risk zones flagged by the model, seroprevalence of RVF antibodies in wildlife has not yet been analyzed in light of temporal and spatial predictions of RVF activity. Primarily wild ungulate serum samples from periods before, during, and after the 2006-2007 RVF epizootic were analyzed for the presence of RVFV IgM and/or IgG antibody. Results show an increase in RVF seropositivity from samples collected in 2007 (31.8%), compared to antibody prevalence observed from 2000-2006 (3.3%). After the epizootic, average RVF seropositivity diminished to 5% in samples collected from 2008-2009. Overlaying maps of modeled RVF risk assessments with sampling locations indicated positive RVF serology in several species of wild ungulate in or near areas flagged as being at risk for RVF. Our results establish the need to continue and expand sero-surveillance of wildlife species Kenya and elsewhere in the Horn of Africa to further calibrate and improve the RVF risk model, and better understand the dynamics of RVFV transmission.

Seroprevalence↗

NASA NTRS2023

The optimization of model ensemble composition and size can enhance the robustness of crop yield projections

Linked climate and crop simulation models are widely used to assess the impact of climate change on agriculture. However, it is unclear how ensemble configurations (model composition and size) influence crop yield projections and uncertainty. Here, we investigate the influences of ensemble configurations on crop yield projections and modeling uncertainty from Global Gridded Crop Models and Global Climate Models under future climate change. We performed a cluster analysis to identify distinct groups of ensemble members based on their projected outcomes, revealing unique patterns in crop yield projections and corresponding uncertainty levels, particularly for wheat and soybean. Furthermore, our findings suggest that approximately six Global Gridded Crop Models and 10 Global Climate Models are sufficient to capture modeling uncertainty, while a cluster-based selection of 3-4 Global Gridded Crop Models effectively represents the full ensemble. The contribution of individual Global Gridded Crop Models to overall uncertainty varies depending on region and crop type, emphasizing the importance of considering the impact of specific models when selecting models for local-scale applications. Our results emphasize the importance of model composition and ensemble size in identifying the primary sources of uncertainty in crop yield projections, offering valuable guidance for optimizing ensemble configurations in climate-crop modeling studies tailored to specific applications.

Agriculture↗

NASA NTRS1994

Model atmosphere analysis of selected luminous B stars

The general scientific goal of this program has been to determine whether the atmospheric structure of the B-type stars can be represented by the current generation of plane parallel, line-blanketed, LTE stellar atmosphere models sufficiently well to allow accurate effective temperatures and surface gravities to be deduced. The B stars cover a wide range of temperature and luminosity. For the hottest such stars (with T approximately 30,000 K) the applicability of the models may be compromised by departures from LTE in the stellar atmospheres ('non-LTE effects'). At the highest luminosities (the B 'super giants'), the models may be invalidated by departures from plane parallel geometry. Thus we seek to identify the temperature and luminosity range within which these effects are unimportant and where the models may be relied upon.

Fitzpatrick, Edward L.↗

NASA NTRS1976

Stimulation of a turbofan engine for evaluation of multivariable optimal control concepts

The development of control systems for jet engines requires a real-time computer simulation. The simulation provides an effective tool for evaluating control concepts and problem areas prior to actual engine testing. The development and use of a real-time simulation of the Pratt and Whitney F100-PW100 turbofan engine is described. The simulation was used in a multi-variable optimal controls research program using linear quadratic regulator theory. The simulation is used to generate linear engine models at selected operating points and evaluate the control algorithm. To reduce the complexity of the design, it is desirable to reduce the order of the linear model. A technique to reduce the order of the model; is discussed. Selected results between high and low order models are compared. The LQR control algorithms can be programmed on digital computer. This computer will control the engine simulation over the desired flight envelope.

Seldner, K.↗

DOE OSTI2020

Minimal realizations of Dirac neutrino mass from generic one-loop and two-loop topologies at d =5

We carry out a systematic investigation for the minimal Dirac neutrino mass models emerging from generic one-loop and two-loop topologies that arise from d = 5 effective operator with a singlet scalar, σ. To ensure that the tree-level Dirac mass, as well as Majorana mass terms at all orders, are absent for the neutrinos, we work in the framework where the Standard Model is supplemented by the well-motivated U(1)B-L gauge symmetry. At the one-loop level, we analyze six possible topologies, out of which two of them have the potential to generate desired Dirac neutrino mass. Adopting a systematic approach to select minimal models, we construct seventeen viable one-loop Dirac neutrino mass models. By embracing a similar methodical approach at the two-loop, we work out twenty-three minimal candidates. Among the forty selected economical models, the majority of the models proposed in this work are new. In our search, we also include the scenarios where the particles in the loop carry charges under the color group. Furthermore, we discuss the possible dark matter candidates within a given model, if any, without extending the minimal particle content.

79 ASTRONOMY AND ASTROPHYSICS↗

NASA NTRS1993

Modeling and analysis of selected space station communications and tracking subsystems

The Communications and Tracking System on board Space Station Freedom (SSF) provides space-to-ground, space-to-space, audio, and video communications, as well as tracking data reception and processing services. Each major category of service is provided by a communications subsystem which is controlled and monitored by software. Among these subsystems, the Assembly/Contingency Subsystem (ACS) and the Space-to-Ground Subsystem (SGS) provide communications with the ground via the Tracking and Data Relay Satellite (TDRS) System. The ACS is effectively SSF's command link, while the SGS is primarily intended as the data link for SSF payloads. The research activities of this project focused on the ACS and SGS antenna management algorithms identified in the Flight System Software Requirements (FSSR) documentation, including: (1) software modeling and evaluation of antenna management (positioning) algorithms; and (2) analysis and investigation of selected variables and parameters of these antenna management algorithms i.e., descriptions and definitions of ranges, scopes, and dimensions. In a related activity, to assist those responsible for monitoring the development of this flight system software, a brief summary of software metrics concepts, terms, measures, and uses was prepared.

Richmond, Elmer Raydean↗