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Tropical Cyclone Information System

The JPL Tropical Cyclone Infor ma tion System (TCIS) is a Web portal (http://tropicalcyclone.jpl.nasa.gov) that provides researchers with an extensive set of observed hurricane parameters together with large-scale and convection resolving model outputs. It provides a comprehensive set of high-resolution satellite (see figure), airborne, and in-situ observations in both image and data formats. Large-scale datasets depict the surrounding environmental parameters such as SST (Sea Surface Temperature) and aerosol loading. Model outputs and analysis tools are provided to evaluate model performance and compare observations from different platforms. The system pertains to the thermodynamic and microphysical structure of the storm, the air-sea interaction processes, and the larger-scale environment as depicted by ocean heat content and the aerosol loading of the environment. Currently, the TCIS is populated with satellite observations of all tropical cyclones observed globally during 2005. There is a plan to extend the database both forward in time till present as well as backward to 1998. The portal is powered by a MySQL database and an Apache/Tomcat Web server on a Linux system. The interactive graphic user interface is provided by Google Map.

Li, P. Peggy↗

Efficient Web Services Policy Combination

Large-scale Web security systems usually involve cooperation between domains with non-identical policies. The network management and Web communication software used by the different organizations presents a stumbling block. Many of the tools used by the various divisions do not have the ability to communicate network management data with each other. At best, this means that manual human intervention into the communication protocols used at various network routers and endpoints is required. Developing practical, sound, and automated ways to compose policies to bridge these differences is a long-standing problem. One of the key subtleties is the need to deal with inconsistencies and defaults where one organization proposes a rule on a particular feature, and another has a different rule or expresses no rule. A general approach is to assign priorities to rules and observe the rules with the highest priorities when there are conflicts. The present methods have inherent inefficiency, which heavily restrict their practical applications. A new, efficient algorithm combines policies utilized for Web services. The method is based on an algorithm that allows an automatic and scalable composition of security policies between multiple organizations. It is based on defeasible policy composition, a promising approach for finding conflicts and resolving priorities between rules. In the general case, policy negotiation is an intractable problem. A promising method, suggested in the literature, is when policies are represented in defeasible logic, and composition is based on rules for non-monotonic inference. In this system, policy writers construct metapolicies describing both the policy that they wish to enforce and annotations describing their composition preferences. These annotations can indicate whether certain policy assertions are required by the policy writer or, if not, under what circumstances the policy writer is willing to compromise and allow other assertions to take precedence. Meta-policies are specified in defeasible logic, a computationally efficient non-monotonic logic developed to model human reasoning. One drawback of this method is that at one point the algorithm starts an exhaustive search of all subsets of the set of conclusions of a defeasible theory. Although the propositional defeasible logic has linear complexity, the set of conclusions here may be large, especially in real-life practical cases. This phenomenon leads to an inefficient exponential explosion of complexity. The current process of getting a Web security policy from combination of two meta-policies consists of two steps. The first is generating a new meta-policy that is a composition of the input meta-policies, and the second is mapping the meta-policy onto a security policy. The new algorithm avoids the exhaustive search in the current algorithm, and provides a security policy that matches all requirements of the involved metapolicies.

Vatan, Farrokh↗

The Primordial Inflation Explorer (PIXIE) Mission

The Primordial Inflation Explorer (PIXIE) is an Explorer-class mission to map the absolute intensity and linear polarization of the cosmic microwave background and diffuse astrophysical foregrounds over the full sky from frequencies 30 GHz to 6 THz (I cm to 50 I-tm wavelength). PIXIE uses a polarizing Michelson interferometer with 2.7 K optics to measure the difference spectrum between two orthogonal linear polarizations from two co-aligned beams. Either input can view either the sky or a temperature-controlled absolute reference blackbody calibrator. The multimoded optics and high etendu provide sensitivity comparable to kilo-pixel focal plane arrays, but with greatly expanded frequency coverage while using only 4 detectors total. PIXIE builds on the highly successful COBEIFIRAS design by adding large-area polarization-sensitive detectors whose fully symmetric optics are maintained in thermal equilibrium with the CMB. The highly symmetric nulled design provides redundant rejection of major sources of systematic uncertainty. The principal science goal is the detection and characterization of linear polarization from an inflationary epoch in the early universe, with tensor-to-scalar ratio r much less than 10(exp -3). PIXIE will also return a rich data set constraining physical processes ranging from Big Bang cosmology, reionization, and large-scale structure to the local interstellar medium. Keywords: cosmic microwave background, polarization, FTS, bolometer

Kogut, Alan J.↗

Uncertainty Quantification of GEOS-5 L-band Radiative Transfer Model Parameters Using Bayesian Inference and SMOS Observations

Uncertainties in L-band (1.4 GHz) radiative transfer modeling (RTM) affect the simulation of brightness temperatures (Tb) over land and the inversion of satellite-observed Tb into soil moisture retrievals. In particular, accurate estimates of the microwave soil roughness, vegetation opacity and scattering albedo for large-scale applications are difficult to obtain from field studies and often lack an uncertainty estimate. Here, a Markov Chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) simulation method is used to determine satellite-scale estimates of RTM parameters and their posterior uncertainty by minimizing the misfit between long-term averages and standard deviations of simulated and observed Tb at a range of incidence angles, at horizontal and vertical polarization, and for morning and evening overpasses. Tb simulations are generated with the Goddard Earth Observing System (GEOS-5) and confronted with Tb observations from the Soil Moisture Ocean Salinity (SMOS) mission. The MCMC algorithm suggests that the relative uncertainty of the RTM parameter estimates is typically less than 25 of the maximum a posteriori density (MAP) parameter value. Furthermore, the actual root-mean-square-differences in long-term Tb averages and standard deviations are found consistent with the respective estimated total simulation and observation error standard deviations of m3.1K and s2.4K. It is also shown that the MAP parameter values estimated through MCMC simulation are in close agreement with those obtained with Particle Swarm Optimization (PSO).

MCMC↗

Gemini Near Infrared Field Spectrograph Observations of the Seyfert 2 Galaxy MRK 573: In Situ Acceleration of Ionized and Molecular Gas Off Fueling Flows

We present near-infrared and optical emission-line and stellar kinematics of the Seyfert 2 galaxy Mrk 573 using the Near-Infrared Field Spectrograph (NIFS) at Gemini North and Dual Imaging Spectrograph at Apache Point Observatory, respectively. By obtaining full kinematic maps of the infrared ionized and molecular gas and stellar kinematics in approximately 700 x 2100 pc(exp 2) circumnuclear region of Mrk 573, we find that kinematics within the Narrow-Line Region are largely due to a combination of both rotation and in situ acceleration of material originating in the host disk. Combining these observations with large-scale, optical long-slit spectroscopy that traces ionized gas emission out to several kpcs, we find that rotation kinematics dominate the majority of the gas. We find that outflowing gas extends to distances less than 1 kpc, suggesting that outflows in Seyfert galaxies may not be powerful enough to evacuate their entire bulges.

galaxies: active – galaxies: individual (Mrk 573↗

A 3D Active Learning Application for NeMO-Net, the NASA Neural Multi-Modal Observation and Training Network for Global Coral Reef Assessment

NeMO-Net, the NASA neural multi-modal observation and training network for global coral reef assessment, is an open-source deep convolutional neural network and interactive active learning training software aiming to accurately assess the present and past dynamics of coral reef ecosystems through determination of percent living cover and morphology as well as mapping of spatial distribution. We present an interactive video game prototype for tablet and mobile devices where users interactively label morphology classifications over mm-scale 3D coral reef imagery captured using fluid lensing to create a dataset that will be used to train NeMO-Nets convolutional neural network. The application currently allows for users to classify preselected regions of coral in the Pacific and will be expanded to include additional regions captured using our NASA FluidCam instrument, presently the highest-resolution remote sensing benthic imaging technology capable of removing ocean wave distortion, as well as lower-resolution airborne remote sensing data from the ongoing NASA CORAL campaign. Active learning applications present a novel methodology for efficiently training large-scale Neural Networks wherein variances in identification can be rapidly mitigated against control data. NeMO-Net periodically checks users input against pre-classified coral imagery to gauge their accuracy and utilize in-game mechanics to provide classification training. Users actively communicate with a server and are requested to classify areas of coral for which other users had conflicting classifications and contribute their input to a larger database for ranking. In partnering with Mission Blue and IUCN, NeMO-Net leverages an international consortium of subject matter experts to classify areas of confusion identified by NeMO-Net and generate additional labels crucial for identifying decision boundary locations in coral reef assessment.

NeMO=NET↗

Integrating Cloud-Based Workflows in Continental-Scale Cropland Extent Classification

Accurate information on cropland spatial distribution is required for global-scale assessments and agricultural land use policies. Cloud computing platforms such as Google Earth Engine (GEE) provide unprecedented opportunities for large-scale classifications of Landsat data. We developed a novel method to fuse pixel-based random forest classification of continental-scale Landsat data on GEE and an object-based segmentation approach known as recursive hierarchical segmentation (RHSeg). Using our fusion method, we produced a continental-scale cropland extent map for North America at 30m spatial resolution for the nominal year 2010. The total cropland area for North America was estimated at 275.18 million hectares (Mha). The overall accuracies of the map are>90% across the continent. This map also compares well with the United States Department of Agriculture (USDA) cropland data layer (CDL), Agriculture and Agri-food Canada (AAFC) annual crop inventory (ACI), and the Mexican government agency Servicio de Informacion Agroalimentaria y Pesquera (SIAP)'s agricultural boundaries. Furthermore, our map compared well with sub-country statistics including state-wise and county-wise cropland statistics in regression models resulting in R2 > 0.84. This key contribution paves the way for more detailed products such as crop intensity, crop type, and crop irrigation, and provides a method for creating high-resolution cropland extent maps for other countries where spatial information about croplands are not as prevalent.

Massey, Richard↗

FluidCam 1 & 2 - UAV-based Fluid Lensing Instruments for High-Resolution 3D Subaqueous Imaging and Automated Remote Biosphere Assessment of Reef Ecosystems

We present NASA ESTO FluidCam 1 & 2, Visible and NIR Fluid-Lensing-enabled imaging payloads for Unmanned Aerial Vehicles (UAVs). Developed as part of a focused 2014 earth science technology grant, FluidCam 1&2 are Fluid-Lensing-based computational optical imagers designed for automated 3D mapping and remote sensing of underwater coastal targets from airborne platforms. Fluid Lensing has been used to map underwater reefs in 3D in American Samoa and Hamelin Pool, Australia from UAV platforms at sub-cm scale, which has proven a valuable tool in modern marine research for marine biosphere assessment and conservation. We share FluidCam 1&2 instrument validation and testing results as well as preliminary processed data from field campaigns. Petabyte-scale aerial survey efforts using Fluid Lensing to image at-risk reefs demonstrate broad applicability to large-scale automated species identification, morphology studies and reef ecosystem characterization for shallow marine environments and terrestrial biospheres, of crucial importance to improving bathymetry data for physical oceanographic models and understanding climate change’s impact on coastal zones, global oxygen production, carbon sequestration.

Chirayath, Ved↗

Automatically Finding Ship-Tracks to Enable Large-Scale Analysis of Aerosol-Cloud Interactions

Ship tracks appear as long winding linear features in satellite images and are produced by aerosols from ship exhausts changing low cloud properties. They are one of the best examples of aerosol‐cloud interaction experiments. However, manually finding ship tracks from satellite data on a large scale is prohibitively costly while a large number of samples are required to improve our understanding. Here we train a deep neural network to automate finding ship tracks. The neural network model generalizes well as it not only finds ship tracks labeled by human experts but also detects those that are occasionally missed by humans. It finds more ship tracks than all previous studies combined and produces a map of ship track distributions off the California coast that matches well with known shipping traffic. Our technique will enable studying aerosol effects on low clouds using ship tracks on a large scale, which will potentially narrow the uncertainty of the aerosol‐cloud interactions.

aerosol cloud interactions↗

The Atacama Cosmology Telescope: DR4 maps and cosmological parameters

We present new arcminute-resolution maps of the Cosmic Microwave Background temperature and polarization anisotropy from the Atacama Cosmology Telescope, using data taken from 2013{2016 at 98 and 150 GHz. The maps cover more than 17,000 deg(^2), the deepest 600 deg(^2) with noise levels below 10µK-arcmin. We use the power spectrum derived from almost 6,000 deg(^2) of these maps to constrain cosmology. The ACT data enable a measurement of the angular scale of features in both the divergence-like polarization and the temperature anisotropy, tracing both the velocity and density at last-scattering. From these one can derive the distance to the last-scattering surface and thus infer the local expansion rate, H0. By combining ACT data with large-scale information from WMAP we measure H0 = 67:6±1:1 km/s/Mpc, at 68% confidence, in excellent agreement with the independently measured Planck satellite estimate (from ACT alone we find H0 = 67:9± 1:5 km/s/Mpc). The ΛCDM model provides a good fit to the ACT data, and we find no evidence for deviations: both the spatial curvature, and the departure from the standard lensing signal in the spectrum, are zero to within 1σ; the number of relativistic species, the primordial Helium fraction, and the running of the spectral index are consistent with ΛCDM predictions to within 1.5{2.2σ. We compare ACT, WMAP, and Planck at the parameter level and find good consistency; we investigate how the constraints on the correlated spectral index and baryon density parameters readjust when adding CMB large-scale information that ACT does not measure. The DR4 products presented here will be publicly released on the NASA Legacy Archive for Microwave Background Data Analysis.

Simone Aiola↗

Development of a Terrain Mapping/Crater Evolution Measurement using Diffractive Optical Elements

When landing on the moon, understanding the interaction of the engine exhaust plume with the lunar surface is critical for the success of the descent and landing flight phases. Two evaluation tools currently used are computational simulations and ground test measurements. Computational simulations require experimental measurements for comparison/validation, but ground test measurements cannot accurately emulate all aspects of an actual lunar landing; flight tests remain the only method of obtaining fully representative data. A terrain mapping/crater evolution measurement system was developed for potential inclusion on a future lander mission. This system uses two stereo cameras viewing a laser dot grid pattern projected on the ground, where the grid is created by shining a laser through one or two diffractive optical elements. CAD simulations of the stereo imaging system are first used to validate the proposed design. Laboratory testing of the system using both a large-scale fixed-geometry crater and a small-scale evolving-geometry crater validate the use of the system for terrain mapping measurements, and for its potential inclusion on a future lander mission.

Joshua M Weisberger↗

Development of a Terrain Mapping/Crater Evolution Measurement using Diffractive Optical Elements

When landing on the moon, understanding the interaction of the engine exhaust plume with the lunar surface is critical for the success of the descent and landing flight phases. Two evaluation tools currently used are computational simulations and ground test measurements. Computational simulations require experimental measurements for comparison/validation, but ground test measurements cannot accurately emulate all aspects of an actual lunar landing; flight tests remain the only method of obtaining fully representative data. A terrain mapping/crater evolution measurement system was developed for potential inclusion on a future lander mission. This system uses two stereo cameras viewing a laser dot grid pattern projected on the ground, where the grid is created by shining a laser through one or two diffractive optical elements. CAD simulations of the stereo imaging system are first used to validate the proposed design. Laboratory testing of the system using both a large-scale fixed-geometry crater and a small-scale evolving-geometry crater validate the use of the system for terrain mapping measurements. High-speed, front-illumination shadow particle tracking of particles ejected from the evolving geometry crater is also performed, demonstrating another diagnostic that can be used to further the understanding of plume-surface interactions.

Joshua M Weisberger↗

Achieving Large-Scale, High-Resolution, Full Shell Replicated X-Ray Optics: Budgeting for Sources of Spatial Resolution Errors

Technology for a large-area, high-angular resolution mirror module for a future Great Observatory x-ray mission is progressing along different paths. To date, none of these are fully developed. Work at the Marshall Space Flight Center (MSFC) seeks to leverage the benefits of full shell optics while exploring the limits of using shell replication technology for optics production. Here, we provide an updated accounting of spatial-resolution-constraining error terms to give context to recent improvements in MSFC replicated optics, as well as guidance and justification for current and future directions of research. Content includes strawman error allocations for an optical system that is parametrically Lynx-like, where the replicated-optics technology stands relative to these allocations, and methodology for mapping development plans to efficiently identify the limiting factors and approaches to overcoming these.

error budget↗

Cosmological Shocks Around Galaxy Clusters: A Coherent Investigation With DES, SPT & ACT

We search for signatures of cosmological shocks in gas pressure profiles of galaxy clusters using the cluster catalogues from three surveys: the Dark Energy Survey (DES) Year 3, the South Pole Telescope (SPT) SZ survey, and the Atacama Cosmology Telescope (ACT) data releases 4, 5, and 6, and using thermal Sunyaev–Zeldovich (SZ) maps from SPT and ACT. The combined cluster sample contains around 105 clusters with mass and redshift ranges 10 13.7 200m /M ⊙ <10 15.5 and 0.1 < z < 2, and the total sky coverage of the maps is ≈15000deg 2 ⁠. We find a clear pressure deficit at R/R 200m ≈ 1.1 in SZ profiles around both ACT and SPT clusters, estimated at 6σ significance, which is qualitatively consistent with a shock-induced thermal non-equilibrium between electrons and ions. The feature is not as clearly determined in profiles around DES clusters. We verify that measurements using SPT or ACT maps are consistent across all scales, including in the deficit feature. The SZ profiles of optically selected and SZ-selected clusters are also consistent for higher mass clusters. Those of less massive, optically selected clusters are suppressed on small scales by factors of 2–5 compared to predictions, and we discuss possible interpretations of this behaviour. An oriented stacking of clusters – where the orientation is inferred from the SZ image, the brightest cluster galaxy, or the surrounding large-scale structure measured using galaxy catalogues – shows the normalization of the one-halo and two-halo terms vary with orientation. Finally, the location of the pressure deficit feature is statistically consistent with existing estimates of the splashback radius.

galaxies↗

Geochemical Insights Into Volcanic and Lithospheric Evolution of Mars

Introduction: The Martian lithosphere plays a pivotal role in volcanic processes, altering surface features, climate shifts, and the planet's early habitability. Crucially, the rigid lithosphere significantly influences Mars' long-term thermal conditions. Studying various geological eons’ volcanic compositions unveils how the lithosphere has evolved, even though understanding the early Noachian volcanic chemistry remains challenging due to weathering and resurfacing. In this study, newly discovered Noachian volcanic terranes[1-2] along with Hesperian and Amazonian volcanic terranes[3] are considered(Figure 1), to infer the evolution of the Martian lithosphere. Figure 1:Mars topographic map derived from MOLA-HRSC data [4] highlights the study regions including the Noachian volcanic terranes, Arabia Terra (AT), Thaumasia Minor (TM), and the Southwest Margin of Icaria Planum (SWIP)[5].Additionally, the Hesperian volcanic terranes such as Syrtis Major (SM), Hesperia Planum (HP), and, the Amazonian volcanic terranes encompass Elysium Mons (EM), Alba Patera (AP), and Olympus Mons (OM) are marked. Methods and Datasets: We use the most recent elemental mass fraction maps derived from gamma spectroscopy data from the Mars Odyssey 2001mission [6]to ascertain the bulk composition of the Martian landscape. Utilizing the updated geochemical provinces dataset of Mars[7], we consider bulk chemistry variations within our study regions. The maps, at a resolution of 50×50, encompass elements like Al, Ca, Fe, Si, K, Th, H2O, Cl, and S, detected through Gamma-Ray Spectroscopy (GRS) with decimeter scale depth sensitivity[6].Additional major and minor elements like Mg, Na, Ti, P, and Mn, using mass balance methods [8]serve as inputs for melting and crystallization simulations. We employ the pMELTS model with FMQ-3to FMQ oxygen fugacity to estimate the Pressure(P)and melting degree(F)in various eons of volcanic terranes. We have also used conventional thermobarometric calculations to determine their formation P-T conditions, using silica activity and olivine-melt Mg-exchange thermometry[9-10]. Results: Chemical Composition of Studied Volcanic Terranes: To assess formation conditions, we have investigated if GRS-measured compositions signify primary igneous processes by evaluating weathering through the Chemical Index of Alteration (CIA), K/Th ratios, and ternary plots for aqueous alteration. Consistent K/Th ratios and low CIA (<50) across volcanic regions suggest minimal large-scale weathering, affirming well-preserved igneous material extending at decimeter depths. In addition, the calculated bulk compositions align with Martian mantle equilibrium, confirming studied volcanic terranes-Arabia Terra, Thaumasia Minor, and SWIP -as primary or less altered compositions, reinforcing their representativeness at a regional GRS scale on Mars. We have also estimated the bulk compositions of Hesperian and Amazonian volcanic terranes shown in Figure 1. All volcanic terranes represent the primary or minimally altered composition. Temporal Evolution of Martian Volcanic Terranes: Our results show P-T conditions ranging from 1.3-1.6 GPa and 1350-1390°C for Noachian terranes, while Hesperian volcanic terranes vary from 1.6-1.7 GPa and 1370-1395°C, and Amazonian volcanic terranes range between 1.9-2.8 GPa and 1380-1415°C. Our analyses correspond to lithospheric thicknesses/ depth of melting for Noachian which ranges from110-135 km, 120-235 km for Hesperian terranes, and 160-235 km for Amazonian terranes. Partial melting percentages (F) range from 8-12% for Noachian, 10-11% for Hesperian, and 10-12% for Amazonian. We have also calculated mantle potential temperatures (Tp) to show variations across epochs(Figure 2). Heat flux estimation shows variations from 51-65 mW/m2 for Noachian, 38-45 mW/m2for Hesperian, and 27-39 mW/m2for Amazonian terranes, implying temporal changes in lithospheric thickness and heat flow. Comparison of Noachian volcanic terranes with Hesperian and Amazonian reveals variations in lithospheric thickness and heat flux, indicating potential implications for Martian surface conditions, including volcanic activity, climate evolution, and early habitability. Figure 2: P-T diagram displays formation conditions of studied Martian volcanic regions using GRS data, alongside Noachian-age surface basalt samples from Gusev, Gale, and Jezero. Dashed lines represent Martian mantle potential temperatures, calculated by adding the latent heat of fusion to the equilibrium temperature at which melt and solid mantle coexist and subtracting the Martian adiabatic gradient corresponding to the depth of melt. The solid line shows the Martian mantle solidus [11].Discussion& Implication: The study explores Martian volcanic activity across eons. Uniform lithospheric thickness from the Noachian to Hesperian eons suggests persistent weak plumes until Hesperian, influencing heat flow variations. Noachian's high heat flux, likely due to concentrated radioactive elements, shows spatial heterogeneity, indicating early Mars' differentiated mantle. Volcanic outgassing plays avital role in the formation of the Martian climate, likely sustained water on the surface, influencing warm-wet or cold-dry conditions. Hesperian's favorable lithospheric heat flow (45 mW/m2) supports extended water existence, resembling Earth's conditions. Whereas, Amazonian's diminished heat flux (25 mW/m2) corresponds to water loss and arid climate. Hesperian's similar lithospheric thickness to mid-Noachian implies prolonged water retention, influencing climate and potential for astrobiological research, expanding perspectives for future Martian missions. Future work: As volcanism was active throughout its history. The emergence of Mars' extensive volcanic regions, known as large igneous provinces, which are linked to intermittent volcanic activity driven by mantle plumes, poses challenges to understanding the scale and persistence of these phenomena in Martian convection models. Therefore, understanding the regional-scale changes in eruptive processes within Martian volcanic provinces over time remains unclear and crucial for deciphering the evolution of the Martian interior without Earth-like plate tectonics. We will continue this work with petrological and thermoelastic analyses to study the compositional and spatiotemporal evolution of the Elysium Volcanic Province.

A Rani↗

Evaluating Machine Learning Approaches to Plume Tracking

On July 15, 2022, the Hunga Tonga-Hunga Ha’apai (HTHH) submarine volcano erupted, propelling trace gasses and ash through the troposphere and up into the stratosphere. Previous studies manually tracked the aerosol and trace gas plumes over time across different positions in the southern hemisphere. Using imagery from NASA’s Earth Observing System, including MODIS aerosol products and OMI sulfur dioxide products, this research demonstrates how open-source machine learning (ML) models, like Meta’s Segment Anything Model (SAM), can perform automatic plume tracking following the Hunga Tonga eruption. This extensible methodology, and modular data processing and modeling pipeline, establishes a framework for systematically and rapidly studying natural disasters, including additional volcanic eruptions and large-scale wildfires. By combining advanced machine learning techniques, such as SAM’s zero-shot learning, with large volumes of NASA’s Earth Observation and remote sensing data, this work shows how AI and open science can accelerate research and generate actionable results, even for unprecedented events. The tools and technologies presented here can help translate earth science to action from NASA’s current and future Earth observing satellite missions, and assist researchers and stakeholders in understanding, mapping, and responding to natural disasters in a changing world.

machine learning↗

Tracking the Hunga Tonga-Hunga Ha’apai Eruption Stratospheric Aerosol and Trace Gas Plumes Using Machine Learning

On January 15, 2022, the Hunga Tonga-Hunga Ha’apai (hereafter, Hunga Tonga) submarine volcano had an explosive eruption that thrusted ash, gases, and water vapor through the troposphere into the stratosphere and mesosphere. Previous studies manually tracked the aerosol and trace gas plumes over time across different positions in the southern hemisphere. Using data retrieved from low earth orbiting satellite instruments (e.g., OMPS, OMI, and CALIPSO), this research demonstrates how open-source machine learning (ML) models, like Meta’s Segment Anything Model (SAM), with prompt engineering can perform automatic plume tracking following the Hunga Tonga eruption. This extensible methodology, and modular data processing and modeling pipeline using NASA Earthdata and Openscapes, establishes a framework for systematically and rapidly studying extreme events, including volcanic eruptions and large-scale wildfires. By combining advanced machine learning techniques, such as SAM’s zero-shot learning, with large volumes of remote sensing data, this work demonstrates how AI and open science can accelerate research and generate actionable results. The tools and technologies presented here can help translate earth science to action from NASA’s current and future Earth observing satellite missions (e.g., the Atmosphere Observing System (AOS)), and assist researchers and stakeholders in understanding, mapping, and responding to natural disasters and extreme events in a changing world.

David M. Giles↗

Precision Kinematic Sunyaev--Zel'dovich Measurements Across Halo Mass and Redshift with DESI DR2 and ACT DR6: Part II. Bright Galaxy Survey and Emission-Line Galaxies

We present the first high-significance spectroscopic stacked kinetic Sunyaev-Zel'dovich (kSZ) measurements of circumgalactic gas profiles for both Bright Galaxy Survey (BGS) and Emission Line Galaxy (ELG) tracers, combining DESI Data Release 2 with ACT Data Release 6. Using reconstructed line-of-sight velocities from the DESI galaxies and high-resolution ACT temperature maps, we detect the kSZ signal at high significance, reaching signal-to-noise ratios of up to $\sim$9 for BGS and $\sim$7.5 for ELGs in optimal stellar-mass selections. Together with the LRG measurements presented in Paper I, these constitute the most significant kSZ detections from any spectroscopic survey to date. We perform the analysis in both real and harmonic space, obtaining consistent results. By splitting both tracers into stellar-mass bins, we study the scaling of the kSZ amplitude with galaxy properties. Combining the kSZ measurements with ACT Data Release 6 (DR6) CMB lensing maps enables a joint calibration of the galaxy-halo connection and the gas fractions of host halos. For the BGS galaxies, we observe low gas fractions around the virial radius relative to standard expectations, likely attributable to active galactic nuclei (AGN) activity. We find some evidence for higher-mass halos retaining a larger fraction of their baryons, consistent with more efficient feedback in lower-mass systems. For the ELG sample, dominated by blue, star-forming galaxies, we provide the first detection of the gas distribution in ELG host halos. The ELGs appear to exhibit relatively high gas fractions, which points to the possibility of weaker feedback (due to e.g. low AGN and supernova feedback activity) at their mass scale. Finally, we present generalized Navarro-Frenk-White (GNFW) fits to the harmonic-space measurements, providing a compact parametrization of gas profiles for forward modeling in large-scale structure analyses.

Hadzhiyska, B. [Cambridge U.; Cambridge U., Inst. ↗