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How History can inform an Analysis of Alternatives Study

How might History inform likely implementation of Decadal 2020 Recommendations & Suggestions How do the 2020 Decadal Recommendations & Suggestions compare with History? - Maturation of Mission Concepts - Technology Development

astrophysics↗

DESI Observations of the Andromeda Galaxy: Revealing the Immigration History of Our Nearest Neighbor

We present Dark Energy Spectroscopic Instrument (DESI) observations of the inner halo of M31, which reveal the kinematics of a recent merger—a galactic immigration event—in exquisite detail. Of the 11,416 sources studied in 3.75 hr of on-sky exposure time, 7438 are M31 sources with well-measured radial velocities. The observations reveal intricate coherent kinematic structure in the positions and velocities of individual stars: streams, wedges, and chevrons. While hints of coherent structures have been previously detected in M31, this is the first time they have been seen with such detail and clarity in a galaxy beyond the Milky Way. We find clear kinematic evidence for shell structures in the Giant Stellar Stream, the Northeast Shelf, and Western Shelf regions. The kinematics are remarkably similar to the predictions of dynamical models constructed to explain the spatial morphology of the inner halo. The results are consistent with the interpretation that much of the substructure in the inner halo of M31 is produced by a single galactic immigration event 1–2 Gyr ago. Significant numbers of metal-rich stars ([Fe/H] > − 0.5) are present in all of the detected substructures, suggesting that the immigrating galaxy had an extended star formation history. We also investigate the ability of the shells and Giant Stellar Stream to constrain the gravitational potential of M31, and estimate the mass within a projected radius of 125 kpc to be (log 10 ) (M NEW ) (<125 kpc)/(M ꙩ ) =(11.80 +0.12 −0.10 ). The results herald a new era in our ability to study stars on a galactic scale and the immigration histories of galaxies.

Arjun Dey↗

History and Development of the USAF Agriculture Meteorology Modeling System and resulting USAF-NASA Strategic Partnership

The USAF Weather (AFW) supports a number of military and U.S. government agencies by providing authoritative weather analysis and forecast products for any location globally, including soil moisture analyses. The long history of supporting soil moisture products and partnering with other U.S. government agencies led to the partnering between the U.S. Air Force (USAF) and NASA Goddard Space Flight Center, resulting in a merger of those organizations’ modeling systems, collaborative development of the Land Information System (LIS), and operational fielding of the system within the USAF 557th Weather Wing [557 WW; formerly, Headquarters Air Force Weather Agency (HQ AFWA)]. In 2009, the USAF implemented the NASA LIS and later made it the primary software system to generate global soil hydrology and energy budget products. The implementation of LIS delivered a significant upgrade over the existing Land Data Assimilation System (LDAS) the USAF operated, the Agriculture Meteorology (AGRMET) system. Implementation enabled the rapid integration of new LDAS technology into USAF operations, and led to a long-term NASA–USAF partnership resulting in continued development, integration, and implementation of new LIS capabilities. This paper documents both the history of the USAF Weather organization capabilities enabling the generation of soil moisture and other land surface analysis products, and describes the USAF–NASA partnership leading to the development of the merged LIS-AGRMET system. The article also presents a successful example of a mutually beneficial partnership that has enabled cutting-edge land analysis capabilities at the USAF, while transitioning NASA software and satellite data into USAF operations.

John Eylander↗

The Complex Exhumation History of Jezero Crater Floor Unit and Its Implication for Mars Sample Return

During the first year of NASA's Mars 2020 mission, Perseverance rover has investigated the dark crater floor unit of Jezero crater and four samples of this unit have been collected. The focus of this paper is to assess the potential of these samples to calibrate the crater-based Martian chronology. We first review the previous estimation of crater-based model age of this unit. Then, we investigate the impact crater density distribution across the floor unit. It reveals that the crater density is heterogeneous from areas which have been exposed to the bombardment during the last 3 Ga to areas very recently exposed to bombardment. It suggests a complex history of exposure to impact cratering. We also display evidence of several remnants of deposits on the top of the dark floor unit across Jezero below which the dark floor unit may have been buried. We propose the following scenario of burying/exhumation: the dark floor unit would have been initially buried below a unit that was a few tens of meters thick. This unit then gradually eroded away due to Aeolian processes from the northeast to the west, resulting in uneven exposure to impact bombardment over 3 Ga. A cratering model reproducing this scenario confirms the feasibility of this hypothesis. Due to the complexity of its exposure history, the Jezero dark crater floor unit will require additional detailed analysis to understand how the Mars 2020 mission samples of the crater floor can be used to inform the Martian cratering chronology.

Mars 2020↗

Surface Exposure History of Asteroid Bennu Based on Cosmogenic Radionuclides in OSIRIS-Rex Samples

The surface of asteroid Bennu changes over time because of impacts, mass movement, and particle ejections [1-4]. The OSIRIS-REx samples were collected from a 20-m-diameter crater on Bennu called Hokioi. One of the driving hypotheses of the mission is that Hokioi is part of a population of small (<25 m) craters that are less than 0.1 Myr old and contain relatively unweathered material [1,4]. Our goal is to understand the recent surface exposure history of Bennu, utilizing radionuclides (10Be, 26Al, 36Cl, 41Ca) produced by both galactic and solar cosmic rays. We received ~12 mg of aggregate sample OREX-803014-0. We picked five of the larger particles with masses ranging from 0.24 to 0.68 mg. We dissolved each particle, along with 0.15 mg Be and 1.0 mg Cl carrier, in HF/HNO3 mixture, and did the same for the remaining aggregate sample of 9.8 mg. After dissolution, we took a small aliquot for chemical analysis, added 0.7 mg of Al carrier, and separated Be, Al, and Cl for analysis of cosmogenic 10Be, 26Al, and 36Cl by accelerator mass spectrometry [5]. Preliminary 26Al results show concentrations of 21–27 dpm/kg for the Bennu samples, with an average of 22.5 ± 0.6 dpm/kg for the five particles and 21.1 ± 0.7 dpm/kg for the remaining aggregate. These values are close to the expected 26Al saturation values of 25–30 dpm/kg for the top 1 m of Bennu’s regolith, suggesting a minimum exposure age of 1.5–2.0 Myr near the surface. Our initial Bennu results also resemble those found for Ryugu samples [6,7]; thus, we can hypothesize that the two asteroids have had similar surface exposure histories.

K C Welten↗

Formational History and Geomorphic Preservation of Sea Level Highstands Over the Last 150 ky Near Cape Canaveral, Florida, USA

Cape Canaveral, Florida, is perhaps one of the most important stretches of coastline in the United States of America (USA) due to its critical strategic role in the pursuit of space exploration and as the locus of advanced technological innovation. Due to its geographical setting, the entirety of Cape Canaveral, including its infrastructure, facilities, and important natural habitats (e.g., wetlands, estuaries and dunes) is vulnerable to coastal hazards such as continued sea level rise, storm surges, erosion and flooding. As such, accurate sea level characterization and coastal resiliency predictions are essential to promoting long-term coastal planning and sustainability in the area. This study aims to better understand the temporal and spatial evolution of this area with the purpose of more accurately documenting historical sea level fluctuations and calibrating more localized projections at this site. The Cape Canaveral coastline is situated on a passive margin mostly affected by oceanic (sea level change and wave impact) and atmospheric (aeolian) alteration. This sector is part of the east Florida coast microtidal (1.2 m) setting and low wave energy (1.2-1.6 m and 6.1-8.2 sec for average significant waves) regime and is defined by a well delineated set of beach ridge or cape systems. While the name “Cape Canaveral” is often used as a generic term to describe the geographic area, it is actually an amalgamation or complex of multiple preserved capes. The preserved Cape Canaveral beach ridge plain has largely documented the paleo-sea level highstand history over the last 150 ky. High-resolution mapping of these beach ridges is completed using GPS, LiDAR, aerial, as well as satellite imagery. In order to reconstruct the formational history of the Cape Kennedy Complex and the preserved record of sea level highstands, these detailed geomorphological observations are integrated with OSL and C14 dating techniques. The chronological framework delineated by the OSL dates coupled with detailed geomorphological mapping allows for the creation of high-resolution calibrated site-specific sea level curves that reflect the local environmental and geological conditions. This refinement has the potential to improve the understanding of past sea level variability which is crucial for predicting future trends and assessing the impacts on coastal regions such as Cape Canaveral.

geomorphology↗

Effect of Control Blade History, and Axial Coolant Density and Burnup Profiles on BWR Burnup Credit

A technical basis for peak reactivity boiling water reactor (BWR) burnup credit (BUC) methods was recently generated, and the technical basis for extended BWR BUC is now being developed. In this paper, a number of effects related to extended BWR BUC are analyzed, including three major operational effects in BWRs: the coolant density axial distribution, the use of control blades during operation, and the axial burnup profile. Specifically, uniform axial moderator density profiles are analyzed and compared to previous results and an additional temporal fidelity study combing moderator density profiles for three different fuel assemblies is presented. Realistic control blade histories and cask criticality results are compared to previously generated constructed control blade histories. Finally, a preliminary study of the axial burnup profile is provided.

Marshall, William BJ J↗

History of gradient advances in SRF

Radio frequency (RF) superconductivity has become a key technology for many modern particle accelerators. One of its most salient features of this technology is the ability of superconducting RF cavities to deliver high accelerating gradients in continuous-wave and long-pulse modes of operation. However, reaching the current state of the technology was not an easy fit. Over many years scientists and engineers had to overcome several serous performance limitations. In this paper, I attempt to the best of my knowledge to trace the history of accelerating gradients evolution in the field of superconducting radio frequency. I will restrict the scope to primary innovations along with some of the ensuing developments in developing cavities made of bulk niobium. But I will not cover all the many applications and findings over the subsequent decades of progress that were based on the primary discoveries and inventions. I will also not cover a number of other important topics in the history of cavity developments, such as the drive for higher Q values, or the push for lower cavity costs via Nb/Cu cavities or large grain Nb cavities.

43 PARTICLE ACCELERATORS↗

Extract useful information from building permits data to profile a city’s building retrofit history

Building retrofit is one of the key strategies for cities to reduce energy use and GHG emissions. The historical information about changes to buildings is crucial to infer the buildings’ current energy system efficiency levels and to identify candidate buildings for retrofit. In general, a building permit is required before the start of any construction activity of a building, such as changing building structure, remodeling, or installing new equipment. Moreover, many large cities provide public datasets of building permits in history. Therefore, the permits are a potentially good resource for mining information on the city’s retrofit history. In this study, we use the permit dataset from the city of San Francisco as a case study. Location and time information from the dataset is also used to depict the retrofit timeline of each building and the whole building stock. The type of work of the permit is inferred from the descriptive text by a machine learning model. At last, the limitations of the current permit dataset and potential improvements on the permit data management are discussed to better utilize the information in the future.

Zhang, Wanni↗

Technical and Economic Evaluation of the First Ever Polymer Flood Field Pilot to Enhance the Recovery of Heavy Oils on Alaska's North Slope via Machine Assisted History Matching

Polymer flooding has become globally established as a potential enhanced oil recovery method for heavy oils. To determine whether this technology may be useful in developing the substantial heavy oil resources on the Alaska North Slope, a polymer flood field pilot commenced at the Milne Point Unit in August 2018. This study seeks to evaluate the results of the field pilot on a technical and economic basis. A reservoir simulation model is constructed and calibrated to predict the oil recovery performance of the pilot through machine-assisted reservoir simulation techniques. To replicate the early water breakthrough observed during waterflooding, transmissibility contrasts are introduced into the simulation model, forcing viscous fingering effects. In the ensuing polymer flood, these transmissibility contrasts are reduced to replicate the restoration of injection conformance during polymer flooding. Transmissibility contrasts are later reinstated to replicate fracture overextension interpreted in one of the producing wells. The calibrated simulation models produced at each stage of the history matching process are used to forecast oil recovery. These forecasts are used as input for economic analysis, incremental to waterflooding expectations. The simulation forecasts indicate that polymer flooding significantly increases the heavy oil production for this field pilot compared to waterflooding alone, yielding attractive project economics. However, meaningful variations between simulation scenarios demonstrate that a simulation model is only valid for prediction if flow behavior in the reservoir remains consistent with that observed during the history matched period. Critically, this means that a simulation model calibrated for waterflooding may not fully capture the technical and economic benefits of an enhanced oil recovery process such as polymer flooding. Subsequently, the simulation model and economic model are used in conjunction to conduct a sensitivity analysis for polymer flood design parameters, from which recommendations are provided for both the continued operation of the current field pilot and future polymer flood designs. The results demonstrate that a higher polymer concentration can be injected due to the development of fractures in the reservoir. The throughput rate should remain high without exceeding operating constraints. A calculated point-forward polymer utilization parameter demonstrates the decreasing efficiency of the polymer flood at later times in the pattern life. Future projects will benefit from starting polymer injection earlier in the pattern life. A pattern with tighter horizontal well spacing will observe a greater incremental benefit from polymer flooding.

Keith, Cody↗

The Pahrump Valley Museum Yucca Mountain History Exhibit - 12389

As part of its management of the Yucca Mountain project, the Department of Energy maintained several information centers to provide public access to information about the status of the Yucca Mountain project. Those information centers contained numerous displays, historical information, and served as the location for the Department's outreach activities. As the Department of Energy dealt with reduced budgets in 2009 following the Obama Administration's intent to terminate the program, it shut down its information centers. Nye County considered it important to maintain a public information center where people would be able to find information about what was happening with the Yucca Mountain project. Initially the Nye County assumed responsibility for the information center in Pahrump; eventually the County made a decision to move that information center into an expansion of the existing Pahrump Valley Museum. Nye County undertook an effort to update the information about the Yucca Mountain project and modernize the displays. A parallel effort to create a source of historical information where people could find out about the Yucca Mountain project was undertaken. To accompany the Yucca Mountain exhibits in the Pahrump Valley Museum, Nye County also sponsored a series of interviews to document, through oral histories, as much information about the Yucca Mountain project as could be found in these interviews. The paper presents an overview of the Yucca Mountain exhibits in the Pahrump Valley Museum, and the accompanying oral histories. An important conclusion that can be drawn from the interviews is that construction of a repository in Nevada should have been conceptualized as but the first step in transforming the economy of central Nevada by turning part of the Nevada National Security Site and adjoining area into a world-class energy production and energy research center. (authors)

12 MANAGEMENT OF RADIOACTIVE AND NON-RADIOACTIVE W↗

Reconstruction of Irradiation History of Am-241/Be Startup Sources for Disposal at WIPP - 18644

The National Nuclear Security Administration, Global Material Security (GMS)/ Off-site Source Recovery Program (OSRP) requires an approved final disposition pathway for sealed neutron startup sources with undocumented or questionable irradiation histories. To obtain approval for WIPP disposal, a reliable method is required to determine yields of transmutation, as well as fission and activation products contained within the source at the time of disposal. This paper presents a method to reconstruct the irradiation history of americium beryllium (Am/Be) reactor startup sources using gamma spectroscopy, ORIGEN modeling and the initial composition of the source. Using this method, measured isotopes in the Am/Be startup sources are related to the WIPP disposal requirements. Maximum allowable measurement uncertainties have been quantified and related to uncertainties in the WIPP required isotopes. Characterization calculations and experimental measurements of irradiated Am/Be sources are discussed. (authors)

12 MANAGEMENT OF RADIOACTIVE AND NON-RADIOACTIVE W↗

GPU Acceleration of History-Based Multigroup Monte Carlo

Accurate solutions of the radiation transport equation play an important role in the analysis of many nuclear systems. Because there is no need to discretize the problem, Monte Carlo methods offer the most accurate possible solutions to the transport equation. However, significant computational effort is required to reduce the stochastic noise inherent to Monte Carlo methods. Current trends in high performance computing are moving towards vectorized, single instruction multiple data (SIMD), architectures such as Intel Xeon Phis and graphics processing units (GPUs) due to their favorable ratio of performance to power consumption. The challenge of adapting Monte Carlo transport to vectorized computing architectures was first addressed by Brown with an algorithm known as event-based Monte Carlo. In this approach, rather than simulating individual particle histories from birth to death, groups of particles are processed one event at a time. This allows each event batch to perform the same operations in lockstep, enabling use of the vector hardware. Although modern vectorized hardware is more versatile than the early vector machines, reducing so-called thread divergence is nonetheless still an important consideration for algorithm design. Many of the algorithms proposed so far for Monte Carlo transport on advanced architectures have focused on variants of event-based transport. Some evidence, however, suggests that low-level thread divergence, resulting from short-lived branching statements, may not be detrimental to overall performance on GPUs as long as the effect on achievable memory bandwidth is considered. This paper characterizes the performance of a traditional history-based Monte Carlo algorithm on GPUs. We show that with only minor modifications to traditional algorithms, significant performance gains relative to CPUs are possible. (authors)

73 NUCLEAR PHYSICS AND RADIATION PHYSICS↗

History of Nutrition in Space Flight: Overview

Major accomplishments in nutritional sciences for support of human space travel have occurred over the past 40 y. This article reviews these accomplishments, beginning with the early Gemini program and continuing through the impressive results from the first space station Skylab program that focused on life sciences research, the Russian contributions through the Mir space station, the US Shuttle life sciences research, and the emerging International Space Station missions. Nutrition is affected by environmental conditions such as radiation, temperature, and atmospheric pressures, and these are reviewed. Nutrition with respect to space flight is closely interconnected with other life sciences research disciplines including the study of hematology, immunology, as well as neurosensory, cardiovascular, gastrointestinal, circadian rhythms, and musculoskeletal physiology. These relationships are reviewed in reference to the overall history of nutritional science in human space flight. Cumulative nutritional research over the past four decades has resulted in the current nutritional requirements for astronauts. Space-flight nutritional recommendations are presented along with the critical path road map that outlines the research needed for future development of nutritional requirements.

Circadian rhythms↗

Land-use history, fire regime, and large-mammal herbivory affect deer-preferred plant diversity in longleaf pine woodlands

Since ecological systems often experience multiple disturbances, understanding changes in important ecological interactions, such as plant-herbivore interactions, may require studies capable of disentangling the unique and interactive effects of multiple forms of disturbance. For example, understanding how mammalian herbivores affect plant communities may require understanding how widespread past disturbances, such as agricultural land use, interact with contemporary disturbances, such as prescribed fire. Here, we tested if past agricultural land use and contemporary fire regime modified the effects of mammalian herbivory on focal plant communities by measuring the richness of plant species preferred by deer at 26 longleaf pine woodlands containing paired open and large-mammal exclusion plots. Land-use history significantly affected the community composition of deer-preferred species, and focal species were 8.19 times more likely to be present in post-agricultural sites than non-agricultural sites. Large-mammal herbivory only affected plant species richness in woodlands with low fire frequencies wherein focal species were on average 2.23 times more likely to be present in exclusion plots than open plots. These results suggest that past and present disturbances can mediate contemporary plant-animal interactions and may explain spatial patterns in the intensity of large-mammal herbivory. Our findings also suggest that common management practices, such as use of prescribed burns, may indirectly promote plant species richness by reducing deer herbivory.

60 APPLIED LIFE SCIENCES↗

On the correlation between plastic strain and misorientation in polycrystalline body-centered-cubic microstructures with an emphasis on the grain size, loading history, and crystallographic orientation

In this work, the correlation between plastic strain and crystallographic misorientation, grain size, grain orientation, distance from grain boundary, and loading history were investigated experimentally and numerically for body-centered-cubic (BCC) polycrystalline microstructures based on a misorientation deviation (MD) approach. Nine monotonic tensile experiments were performed on two BCC titanium alloys inside a scanning electron microscope (SEM). The influence of reference orientation was explored both at the grain scale and at the mesoscale using electron backscattered diffraction (EBSD). The correlation between global plastic strain and the MD was quantified. The tendency for orientation change was quantified as a function of plastic strain and grain orientation for three crystallographic orientations (i.e., [100], [110], and [111]) with respect to tensile direction. The subpopulation of small grains exhibited a lower level of misorientation dispersion compared with larger grains, and this discrepancy became more pronounced at higher strains. An empirical equation was proposed to estimate the level of misorientation dispersion for individual grains as a function of grain size and global plastic strain level. Two interrupted in-situ SEM experiments were performed, and this resulted in a significantly increased misorientation compared with uninterrupted tests performed to similar plastic strain levels.

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗