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At least 469 records · Page 26

Scientific basis for the Isothermal Dendritic Growth Experiment - A USMP-2 space flight experiment

NASA has planned three flight experiments, designated as the Isothermal Dendritic Growth Experiment (IDGE), to be performed on three of the United States Microgravity Payload (USMP) flights. IDGE is designed to provide microgravity data on dendritic growth for a critical test of theory. Terrestrial gravity, g sub 0, and the associated phenomenon of buoyancy driven convection, prevent a truly quantitative test of pure, diffusocapillary dendritic growth theory. However, recent theoretical analysis provides a fluid mechanics framework for estimating the effects of reduced gravity on the dendritic solidification of pure succinonitrile (SCN), the model material selected for the first IDGE flight. The results (dendritic tip radii and velocities) of the recent fully integrated ground-based tests on the IDGE prototype engineering hardware is in general agreement with the 'historical' ground based data for SCN. At undercoolings of 0.5 K or less, a microgravity environment of approximately 10 exp -3 g sub 0 or lower would have a significant difference from the g sub 0 dendritic growth of SCN.

Glicksman, M. E.↗

CAMERA: A method for cost-aware, adaptive, multifidelity, efficient reliability analysis

Estimating probability of failure in aerospace systems is a critical requirement for flight certification and qualification. Failure probability estimation involves resolving tails of probability distributions, and Monte Carlo sampling methods are intractable when expensive high-fidelity simulations have to be queried. Here, we propose a method to use models of multiple fidelities that trade accuracy for computational efficiency. Specifically, we propose the use of multifidelity Gaussian process models to efficiently fuse models at multiple fidelity, thereby offering a cheap surrogate model that emulates the original model at all fidelities. Furthermore, we propose a novel sequential acquisition function based experiment design framework that can automatically select samples from appropriate fidelity models to make predictions about quantities of interest at the highest fidelity. We use our proposed approach in an importance sampling setting and demonstrate our method on the failure level set and probability estimation on synthetic test functions and two real-world applications, namely, the reliability analysis of a gas turbine engine blade using a finite element method and a transonic aerodynamic wing test case using Reynolds-averaged Navier-Stokes equations. We show that our method predicts the failure boundary and probability more accurately and at a fraction of the computational cost compared with using just a single expensive high-fidelity model. Finally, we show that our sequential approach is guaranteed to asymptotically converge to the true failure boundary with high probability.

97 MATHEMATICS AND COMPUTING↗

Estimating List-Mode Data Sensitivities to Nuclear Data with MCNP6

Nuclear data are a vital component of predictive simulations used in applications like experiment design, stockpile stewardship, nuclear nonproliferation/safeguards, health physics, and criticality safety. A singular simulation requires the coalescence of different areas of nuclear data such as cross sections, angular distributions, and energy distributions of emitted neutrons for different materials and energy ranges. Improving nuclear data and thus reducing the uncertainty in simulated parameters could enable smaller, better-informed safety factors and ultimately reduce operational and procedural costs. There is a constant effort to garner a better understanding of the physical quantities represented by nuclear data through experiments. Integral experiment benchmarks use simulated and measured results to validate current nuclear data values. In the past, benchmarks primarily focused on the effective multiplication factor (k eff ); however, this limited scope has caused compensating errors and areas of nuclear data that lack validation. Compensating errors are inaccuracies in nuclear data that are obfuscated by cancellation when observing integrated values such as k eff . Diverse integral benchmark experiments that look for quantities of interest other than k eff and include multiple responses minimize the possibility of compensating errors and provides validation to areas of nuclear data previously lacking experimental validation. Benchmark experiments can be optimized during the design process to be highly dependent on specific areas of nuclear data. The dependence of a response in an experiment to a specific area/type of nuclear data is defined as sensitivity. A larger sensitivity means that nuclear data uncertainties will play a larger role in the response(s) resulting in larger bias. Currently, the sensitivity capabilities of the Monte Carlo N-Particle (MCNP ®1 ) transport code are limited to responses of k eff and tallied values (e.g., flux, surface current). As a part of the EUCLID project, this work explores estimating list-mode nuclear data sensitivities that can be used to design experiments aimed to constrain and reduce compensating errors in nuclear data by focusing on responses other than k eff . Tallied values are ideal quantities that are estimated with detectors during experiments. List-mode data (a list of neutron collection times) are the direct output of detector systems in subcritical neutron noise experiments. Expanding MCNP sensitivity capabilities to include the sensitivity of responses estimated from list-mode data, such as the prompt neutron decay constant (α) and multiplicity estimates (S and D), enables more direct comparison of simulated and measured experimental quantities. Additionally, deterministic tools such as SENSMG are capable of obtaining sensitivities to a wide variety of responses; however, these tools cannot handle complex geometries due to the assumptions made in discretizing the phase-space variables of the Boltzman transport equation.

73 NUCLEAR PHYSICS AND RADIATION PHYSICS↗

Constrained Bayesian optimization of criticality experiments

The design of criticality experiments is typically an iterative process that employs a Monte Carlo transport code. The goal is to find a design that optimizes some variable, like the sensitivity of a response to a cross section, while simultaneously ensuring criticality. The high fidelity of the Monte Carlo code is a great asset, but it makes exploring the design space computationally expensive. Herein, we present how a constrained Bayesian optimization algorithm can be used to efficiently design a criticality experiment. It uses Gaussian processes as a surrogate model to probe the design space and to reduce the number of code executions that are needed to find the optimum. Furthermore, we demonstrate constrained Bayesian optimization with a Pu-239/polyethylene solution system and a TEX experiment that is designed for criticality safety validation of a nuclear waste model at the Hanford Site. For both systems, a global optimum was found within 75 Monte Carlo simulations.

42 ENGINEERING↗

Design, Analysis, and Experimental Testing of Hydrogen Lean Direct Injection Nozzles at Elevated Pressure

Abstract There are many challenges of commissioning a hydrogen combustor into future gas turbine engines; especially regarding achieving emissions goals. Previously, Escudero et al. and Tran et al. conducted a study to adapt the liquid fuel Lean Direct Injection (LDI) concept from Jet-A to gaseous natural gas-hydrogen blends and pure hydrogen [1], [2]. Experimental data was collected at atmospheric conditions using a Box Behnken design of experiments. The design of experiments suggested that biasing the air split in favor of the inner air circuit and increasing the swirl strength of this inner air passage resulted in improved NOx emissions, while the inverse was true for stability, which was quantified by studying the lean blowoff point (LBO) [1], [2]. The trends revealed by the original experiment [1], [2] provided a design direction for further iterations of the experimental hardware. The study presented herein describes the further investigation of such LDI injectors through experimental methods and computational fluid dynamic (CFD) simulations at atmospheric conditions, which were used to identify potential flow behaviors driving enhanced emissions performance. Further evaluation of select injectors from both studies was then conducted at elevated pressures up to 6 atmospheres. The results from both experiments are presented in this study, which include flame observations, emissions measurements, and operational challenges. NOx emissions results are reported on a volume basis in ppmvd corrected to 15% O2 and corrected for fuel. A predictive model for relating NOx emissions to test conditions at atmospheric conditions show high significance to adiabatic flame temperature while little to no significance to fuel composition for the best performing configurations. The results illustrate the connection between atmospheric testing and testing elevated pressures. The design direction indicated by the initial tests and CFD results in promising configurations for implementation into a Multi-point LDI array.

08 HYDROGEN↗

HALEU Experiments [Slides]

The DNCSH, through the HALEU Availability Program, needs publicly available benchmarks supporting Advanced Reactor Fuel Cycle and Transportation. LANL is uniquely positioned to support this goal, with its past experiments at TA-18, planned experiments at NCERC, experiment design capability, and ties to industry. The Deimos experiment will be executed soon and serve as a premier benchmark for the program. LANL expects to submit proposals to the call when issued (soon). Additional experiments supporting DNCSH have already been designed

21 SPECIFIC NUCLEAR REACTORS AND ASSOCIATED PLANTS↗

Physical Vapor Transport of Mercurous Chloride Crystals: Design of a Microgravity Experiment

Flow field characteristics predicted from a computational model show that the dynamical state of the flow, for practical crystal growth conditions of mercurous chloride, can range from steady to unsteady. Evidence that the flow field can be strongly dominated by convection for ground-based conditions is provided by the prediction of asymmetric velocity profiles bv the model which show reasonable agreement with laser Doppler velocimetry experiments in both magnitude and planform. Unsteady flow is shown to be correlated with a degradation of crystal quality as quantified by light scattering pattern measurements, A microgravity experiment is designed to show that an experiment performed with parameters which yield an unsteady flow becomes steady (diffusive-advective) in a microgravity environment of 10(exp -3) g(sub 0) as predicted by the model, and hence yields crystals with optimal quality.

Duval, W, M. B.↗

Optimal experimental design using eigenvalue-based criteria with Pyomo.DoE

New developments in automated optimal experimental design within the PSE+ software ecosystem. Advancements in user experience (to reduce the time taken to perform optimal experiment design) and computational capabilities (allowing more diverse experimental design) are shown with an example relevant to critical minerals and materials. Also, a small tutorial on science-based optimal experimental design and novel contributions therein are presented.

97 MATHEMATICS AND COMPUTING↗

Computer Aided Design of Computer Generated Holograms for electron beam fabrication

Computer Aided Design (CAD) systems that have been developed for electrical and mechanical design tasks are also effective tools for the process of designing Computer Generated Holograms (CGHs), particularly when these holograms are to be fabricated using electron beam lithography. CAD workstations provide efficient and convenient means of computing, storing, displaying, and preparing for fabrication many of the features that are common to CGH designs. Experience gained in the process of designing CGHs with various types of encoding methods is presented. Suggestions are made so that future workstations may further accommodate the CGH design process.

Urquhart, Kristopher S.↗

Design of Multilayer Insulation for the Multipurpose Hydrogen Test Bed

Multilayer insulation (MLI) is a critical component for future, long term space missions. These missions will require the storage of cryogenic fuels for extended periods of time with little to no boil-off and MLI is vital due to its exceptional radiation shielding properties. Several MLI test articles were designed and fabricated which explored methods of assembling and connecting blankets, yielding results for evaluation. Insight gained, along with previous design experience, will be used in the design of the replacement blanket for the Multipurpose Hydrogen Test Bed (MHTB), which is slated for upcoming tests. Future design considerations are discussed which include mechanical testing to determine robustness of such a system, as well as cryostat testing of samples to give insight to the loss of thermal performance of sewn panels in comparison to the highly efficient, albeit laborious application of the original MHTB blanket.

Marlow, Weston A.↗

JPL Genesis and Rapid Intensification Processes (GRIP) Portal

Satellite observations can play a very important role in airborne field campaigns, since they provide a comprehensive description of the environment that is essential for the experiment design, flight planning, and post-experiment scientific data analysis. In the past, it has been difficult to fully utilize data from multiple NASA satellites due to the large data volume, the complexity of accessing NASA s data in near-real-time (NRT), as well as the lack of software tools to interact with multi-sensor information. The JPL GRIP Portal is a Web portal that serves a comprehensive set of NRT observation data sets from NASA and NOAA satellites describing the atmospheric and oceanic environments related to the genesis and intensification of the tropical storms in the North Atlantic Ocean. Together with the model forecast data from four major global atmospheric models, this portal provides a useful tool for the scientists and forecasters in planning and monitoring the NASA GRIP field campaign during the 2010 Atlantic Ocean hurricane season. This portal uses the Google Earth plug-in to visualize various types of data sets, such as 2D maps, wind vectors, streamlines, 3D data sets presented at series of vertical cross-sections or pointwise vertical profiles, and hurricane best tracks and forecast tracks. Additionally, it allows users to overlap multiple data sets, change the opacity of each image layer, generate animations on the fly with selected data sets, and compare the observation data with the model forecast using two independent calendars. The portal also provides the capability to identify the geographic location of any point of interest. In addition to supporting the airborne mission planning, the NRT data and portal will serve as a very rich source of information during the post-field campaign analysis stage of the airborne experiment. By including a diverse set of satellite observations and model forecasts, it provides a good spatial and temporal context for the high-resolution, but limited in space and time, airborne observations.

Knosp, Brian W.↗

Ground demonstration of a spinning solar sail deployment concept

The dynamics of spin-deployment of a subscale solar sail concept (2.5-micron thick mylar film, 80-cm diameter) is investigated herein experimentally in the laboratory environment. To gain insight into the practicality of the deployment scheme, a tether configuration emulating the sail film was first deployed successfully, using the same experiment design. With the exception of some handling issues, the ultra-thin mylar film was also successfully deployed without entanglement. Design details and observations of both experiments are discussed. Additionally, results of analytical simulations to study the dynamics of tether deployment are given.

Leland, R.↗

Progress Towards the Reality of Low-Temperature Critical Experiments with Low-Temperature TEX

Integral benchmarks for criticality safety do not exist below room temperature. Incredible support for below room temperature benchmarks is present across the international community. Validation of low-temperature neutron cross sections is necessary to verify any operation at temperatures below room temperature which is typically observed in environments far from the equator. For example, a fissile material transportation truck may routinely observe ambient temperatures down to -40°C, which is the lower temperature bound of the normal conditions of transportation defined in the United States Title 10 Code of Federal Regulations §71.71c2. Similarly, the IAEA, which contains 176 member states, has the same requirement for subcriticality for fissile material transportation. Additionally, sub-room temperature benchmarks can validate newly produced cross sections, that include novel thermal scattering laws, from North Carolina State University. A six-case experiment designed based off the TEX-HEU baseline experiments has been proposed utilizing a chilled vacuum chamber capable of cooling the HEU stack down to -50°C. The six proposed configurations span the entire neutron fission energy range and can be tested at intermediate temperatures between room temperature and -40°C. Of the six configurations, the fastest case utilizes nearly 135 kg of HEU. Understanding the system is required prior to critical experiment operations. In order to test the functionality of the system, testing with surrogate fuel materials has been conducted. The following discusses the design of the low temperature TEX (LT-TEX) experiment as well as the progress made via surrogate testing towards a reality in which low-temperature integral benchmarks exist in the International Criticality Safety Benchmark Evaluation Project (ICSBEP).

73 NUCLEAR PHYSICS AND RADIATION PHYSICS↗

Onorbit electron beam welding experiment definition

The proposed experiment design calls for six panels to be welded, each having unique characteristics selected to yield specific results and information. The experiment is completely automated and the concept necessitated the design of a new, miniaturized, self-contained electron beam (EB) welding system, for which purpose a separate IR and D was funded by the contractor, Martin Marietta Corporation. Since future tasks beyond the proposed experiment might call for astronauts to perform hand-held EB gun repairs or for the gun to be interfaced with a dexterous robot such as the planned flight telerobotic servicer (FTS), the EB gun is designed to be dismountable from the automated system. In the experiment design, two separate, identical sets of weld panels will be welded, one on earth in a vacuum chamber and the other onorbit in the aft cargo bay of an orbiter. Since the main objective of the experiment is to demonstrate that high quality welds can be achieved under onorbit conditions, the welds produced will be subjected to a wide range of discriminating non-destructive Q.C. procedures and destructive physical tests. However, advantage will be taken of the availability of a fairly large quantity of welded material in the two series of welded specimens to widen the circle of investigative talent by providing material to academic and scientific institutions for examination.

William H. Hooper↗

The Regional Aerosol Model Intercomparison Project (RAMIP)

Changes in anthropogenic aerosol emissions have strongly contributed to global and regional trends in temperature, precipitation, and other climate characteristics and have been one of the dominant drivers of decadal trends in Asian and African precipitation. These and other influences on regional climate from changes in aerosol emissions are expected to continue and potentially strengthen in the coming decades. However, a combination of large uncertainties in emission pathways, radiative forcing, and the dynamical response to forcing makes anthropogenic aerosol a key factor in the spread of near-term climate projections, particularly on regional scales, and therefore an important one to constrain. For example, in terms of future emission pathways, the uncertainty in future global aerosol and precursor gas emissions by 2050 is as large as the total increase in emissions since 1850. In terms of aerosol effective radiative forcing, which remains the largest source of uncertainty in future climate change projections, CMIP6 models span a factor of 5, from −0.3 to −1.5 W m−2. Both of these sources of uncertainty are exacerbated on regional scales. The Regional Aerosol Model Intercomparison Project (RAMIP) will deliver experiments designed to quantify the role of regional aerosol emissions changes in near-term projections. This is unlike any prior MIP, where the focus has been on changes in global emissions and/or very idealised aerosol experiments. Perturbing regional emissions makes RAMIP novel from a scientific standpoint and links the intended analyses more directly to mitigation and adaptation policy issues. From a science perspective, there is limited information on how realistic regional aerosol emissions impact local as well as remote climate conditions. Here, RAMIP will enable an evaluation of the full range of potential influences of realistic and regionally varied aerosol emission changes on near-future climate. From the policy perspective, RAMIP addresses the burning question of how local and remote decisions affecting emissions of aerosols influence climate change in any given region. Here, RAMIP will provide the information needed to make direct links between regional climate policies and regional climate change. RAMIP experiments are designed to explore sensitivities to aerosol type and location and provide improved constraints on uncertainties driven by aerosol radiative forcing and the dynamical response to aerosol changes. The core experiments will assess the effects of differences in future global and regional (Africa and the Middle East, East Asia, North America and Europe, and South Asia) aerosol emission trajectories through 2051, while optional experiments will test the nonlinear effects of varying emission locations and aerosol types along this future trajectory. All experiments are based on the shared socioeconomic pathways and are intended to be performed with 6th Climate Model Intercomparison Project (CMIP6) generation models, initialised from the CMIP6 historical experiments, to facilitate comparisons with existing projections. Requested outputs will enable the analysis of the role of aerosol in near-future changes in, for example, temperature and precipitation means and extremes, storms, and air quality.

anthropogenic aerosol emissions↗