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446 records · Page 25

The Science Case for Spacecraft Exploration of the Uranian Satellites: Candidate Ocean Worlds in an Ice Giant System

The 27 satellites of Uranus are enigmatic, with dark surfaces coated by material that could be rich in organics. Voyager 2 imaged the southern hemispheres of Uranus’s five largest “classical” moons—Miranda, Ariel, Umbriel, Titania, and Oberon, as well as the largest ring moon, Puck—but their northern hemispheres were largely unobservable at the time of the flyby and were not imaged. Additionally, no spatially resolved data sets exist for the other 21 known moons, and their surface properties are essentially unknown. Because Voyager 2 was not equipped with a near-infrared mapping spectrometer, our knowledge of the Uranian moons’ surface compositions, and the processes that modify them, is limited to disk-integrated data sets collected by ground- and space-based telescopes. Nevertheless, images collected by the Imaging Science System on Voyager 2 and reflectance spectra collected by telescope facilities indicate that the five classical moons are candidate ocean worlds that might currently have, or had, liquid subsurface layers beneath their icy surfaces. To determine whether these moons are ocean worlds, and to investigate Uranus’s ring moons and irregular satellites, close-up observations and measurements made by instruments on board a Uranus orbiter are needed.

Richard J. Cartwright↗

Decoding the effects of synonymous variants

Synonymous single nucleotide variants (sSNVs) are common in the human genome but are often overlooked. However, sSNVs can have significant biological impact and may lead to disease. Existing computational methods for evaluating the effect of sSNVs suffer from the lack of gold-standard training/evaluation data and exhibit over-reliance on sequence conservation signals. We developed synVep (synonymous Variant effect predictor), a machine learning-based method that overcomes both of these limitations. Our training data was a combination of variants reported by gnomAD (observed) and those unreported, but possible in the human genome (generated). We used positive-unlabeled learning to purify the generated variant set of any likely unobservable variants. We then trained two sequential extreme gradient boosting models to identify subsets of the remaining variants putatively enriched and depleted in effect. Our method attained 90% precision/recall on a previously unseen set of variants. Furthermore, although synVep does not explicitly use conservation, its scores correlated with evolutionary distances between orthologs in cross-species variation analysis. synVep was also able to differentiate pathogenic vs. benign variants, as well as splice-site disrupting variants (SDV) vs. non-SDVs. Thus, synVep provides an important improvement in annotation of sSNVs, allowing users to focus on variants that most likely harbor effects.

Zishuo Zeng↗

The Variable Detection of Atmospheric Escape around the Young, Hot Neptune AU Mic b

Photoevaporation is a potential explanation for several features within exoplanet demographics. Atmospheric escape observed in young Neptune-sized exoplanets can provide insight into and characterize which mechanisms drive this evolution and at what times they dominate. AU Mic b is one such exoplanet, slightly larger than Neptune (4.19 R ⊕ ). It closely orbits a 23 Myr pre-main-sequence M dwarf with an orbital period of 8.46 days. We obtained two visits of AU Mic b at Lyα with Hubble Space Telescope (HST)/Space Telescope Imaging Spectrograph. One flare within the first HST visit is characterized and removed from our search for a planetary transit. We present a nondetection in our first visit, followed by the detection of escaping neutral hydrogen ahead of the planet in our second visit. The outflow absorbed ∼30% of the star’s Lyα blue wing 2.5 hr before the planet’s white-light transit. We estimate that the highest-velocity escaping material has a column density of 10 13.96 cm −2 and is moving 61.26 km s −1 away from the host star. AU Mic b’s large high-energy irradiation could photoionize its escaping neutral hydrogen in 44 minutes, rendering it temporarily unobservable. Our time-variable Lyα transit ahead of AU Mic b could also be explained by an intermediate stellar wind strength from AU Mic that shapes the escaping material into a leading tail. Future Lyα observations of this system will confirm and characterize the unique variable nature of its Lyα transit, which, combined with modeling, will tune the importance of stellar wind and photoionization.

Exoplanets↗

Flood Detection with Synthetic Aperture Radar: A Case Study of Houston, Texas Following Hurricane Harvey (2017) using C- and X-Band Observations

Hurricane Harvey produced record-breaking rainfall of up to 60 inches resulting in extensive flooding in Houston, Texas, in late August and early September of 2017. The slow forward motion of the storm following landfall left much of the area unobservable to optical remote sensing instruments for several days due to cloud cover. The active nature of Synthetic Aperture Radar (SAR) instruments allows for observations through clouds, which can supplement efforts to estimate hurricane-induced flood impacts. A growing fleet of SAR constellations has helped lower the latency of imagery following a hurricane, allowing for more timely detections of flooding to help support emergency response efforts. In this study, we leverage publicly available C-band SAR observations from the European Space Agency’s Sentinel-1B (S1B) satellite, collected on 30 August, and X-band SAR imagery collected on 1 September by the Airbus TanDEM-X (TDX) satellite made available through the NASA Commercial Smallsat Data Acquisition (CSDA) program. For each dataset, one co-polarized, StripMap, Radiometric Terrain Corrected (RTC) image was used to create a binary water/no water classification map by referencing permanent water in the Cropland Data Layer (CDL) dataset to determine thresholds. A validation dataset of randomly distributed “ground truth” points was generated using optical imagery from PlanetScope on 31 August, where the domain had relatively little cloud cover. We found that the S1B- and TDX-derived open water maps achieved overall accuracies of 94.17% and 91.57%, respectively. The variation in performance is attributed to both the penetrative abilities of C- and X-band SAR wavelengths in vegetated areas and the increased spatial resolution of the commercial SAR (~3 m) over Sentinel-1 (30 m). While publicly available Sentinel-1 observations are commonly relied upon in response and recovery efforts, these results suggest that including commercial X-band SAR imagery could be beneficial by providing both increased spatial resolution and more frequent revisits when deriving post-event flood mapping products.

Alexander M Melancon↗

Noise Prediction of Multi-stream Internally Mixed Jets with External and Internal Plugs using Large-Eddy Simulation

This paper presents results from ongoing research on jet noise prediction using wall-modeled large eddy simulations (WMLES) conducted within the Launch Ascent and Vehicle Aerodynamics (LAVA) computational framework. The study primarily focuses on the aeroacoustic implications of multi-stream nozzle configurations with internal mixing and both internal and external plugs, at a Reynolds number of 1×10 6 based on the nozzle exit diameter. While internal mixing nozzles have long been considered for jet noise reduction, the complexities of their impact on overall noise levels remain insufficiently understood. This research applies established best practices for WMLES to these complex nozzle configurations, aiming to assess their efficacy and identify limitations in accurately predicting noise behaviors. Through detailed comparisons with experimental data obtained from NASA’s Glenn Research Center, initial findings underscore the challenges inherent in current simulation practices when confronted with intricate geometric and operational conditions. Responding to these challenges, the study explores innovative computational approaches to rectify discrepancies noted between experimental outcomes and CFD predictions. Once example is the introduction of a resonating sound source in the simulation environment to mimic potential unobserved acoustic phenomena.A second example is the strategic modifications to the geometry of external plugs to account for real-world deformations caused by heating and gravity. These novel strategies aim to enhance the accuracy and reliability of noise predictions from supersonic jets, advancing our understanding and capability to effectively reduce jet noise in commercial supersonic aircraft

CST↗

A Low-Cost Innovative Observatory for the Reionization Explorer Mission (REX)

The early universe, from 400 to 800 million years after the Big Bang, or “Cosmic Dawn,” is characterized by large scale distributions of neutral and ionized intergalactic gas undergoing reionization on a cosmic scale at redshifts effectively unobservable through Earth’s atmosphere. Characterizing this active period of cosmological history requires wide-field, narrow passband surveys of galactic Lyman-alpha light red-shifted to the near infrared. REX combines low noise Near Infrared detectors and wide field optics to rapidly map large areas of space during the crucial Cosmic Dawn epoch of 400-800 million years after the Big Bang (Red Shift z=7 to z=10+).

T Casey↗

The Mega-MUSCLES Treasury Survey: X-Ray to Infrared Spectral Energy Distributions of a Representative Sample of M Dwarfs

We present 5–1 × 107 Å spectral energy distributions (SEDs) for 12 M dwarf stars covering spectral types M0–M8. Our SEDs are provided for community use as a sequel to the Measurements of the Ultraviolet Spectral Characteristics of Low-mass Exoplanetary Systems (MUSCLES) survey. The 12 stars include eight known exoplanet hosts and four stars chosen to fill out key parameter space in spectral type and rotation period. The SEDs are constructed from Hubble Space Telescope ultraviolet spectroscopy and XMM Newton, Chandra, and/or Swift X-ray observations, and completed with various model data, including Lyα reconstructions, PHOENIX optical models, APEC coronal models, and differential emission measure models in the currently-unobservable extreme ultraviolet. We provide a complete overview of the Mega-MUSCLES program, including a description of the observations, models, and SED construction. The SEDs are available as MAST high-level science products and we describe the various data products here. We also present ensemble measurements from our sample that are of particular relevance to exoplanet science, including the high-energy fluxes in the habitable zone and the farultraviolet to near-ultraviolet ratio. Combined with MUSCLES, Mega-MUSCLES provides SEDs covering a wide range of M dwarf spectral types and ages such that suitable proxies for any M dwarf planet host of interest may be found in our sample. However, we find that ultraviolet and X-ray fluxes can vary even between stars with similar parameters, such that observations of each exoplanet host star will remain the gold standard for interpreting exoplanet atmosphere observations.

David J. Wilson↗

On Performance Prediction of Big Data Transfer in High-performance Networks

Big data generated by large-scale scientific and industrial applications need to be transferred between different geographical locations for remote storage, processing, and analysis. High-speed dedicated connections provisioned in High-performance Networks (HPNs) are increasingly utilized to carry out such big data transfer. HPN management highly relies on an important capability of performance (mainly throughput) prediction to reserve sufficient bandwidth and meanwhile avoid over-provisioning that may result in unnecessary resource waste. This capability is critical to improving the resource (mainly bandwidth) utilization of dedicated connections and meeting various user requests for data transfer. Conventional methods conduct performance prediction by fitting prior observed transfer history with predefined loss functions, without considering unobservable latent factors such as competing loads on end hosts. Such latent factors also have a significant impact on the application-level data transfer performance, which may result in an inaccurate prediction model. In this paper, we first investigate the impact of latent factors and propose a clustering-based method to eliminate their negative impact on performance prediction. We then develop a robust machine learning-based performance predictor by: i) incorporating the proposed latent factor elimination method into data preprocessing, and ii) adopting a customized domain guided loss function. Extensive experimental results show that our predictor achieves significantly higher prediction accuracy than several other state-of-the-art methods.

Liu, Wuji↗

Attention for Causal Relationship Discovery from Biological Neural Dynamics

This paper explores the potential of the transformer models for learning Granger causality in networks with complex nonlinear dynamics at every node, as in neurobiological and biophysical networks. Our study primarily focuses on a proof-of-concept investigation based on simulated neural dynamics, for which the ground-truth causality is known through the underlying connectivity matrix. For transformer models trained to forecast neuronal population dynamics, we show that the cross-attention module effectively captures the causal relationship among neurons, with an accuracy equal to or superior to that of the most popular Granger causality discovery method. While we acknowledge that real-world neurobiology data will bring further challenges, including dynamic connectivity and unobserved variability, this research offers an encouraging preliminary glimpse into the utility of the transformer model for causal representation learning in neuroscience.

Lu, Ziyu↗

Joint Factorization of QCD and QED Radiation in Lepton-Hadron Scattering

The factorization theorem plays an important role in the analysis of high energy quantum chromodynamic (QCD) processes, separating the nonperturbative hadronic interaction into the universal parton distribution functions (PDFs) and fragmentation functions (FFs) and the process-dependent interactions into short distance perturbative calculations, with any interference power suppressed. With a virtual photon exchange, lepton-hadron deep inelastic scattering (DIS) provides an electromagnetic hard probe for the partonic structure of colliding hadrons and has played an important role in the development of QCD factorization. However, the collision induced QED radiation can change the momentum of the exchanged but unobserved virtual photon, making the photon-hadron frame, where the factorization formalism for DIS and semi-inclusive DIS (SIDIS) was derived, ill defined. A new analogous factorization approach has been introduced to separate the leading power process-independent QED radiative contributions to the single photon exchange by introducing lepton distribution functions (LDFs) and lepton fragmentation functions (LFFs), while process-dependent effects are perturbatively calculated with large logarithms removed [J. High Energ. Phys. 2021, 157 (2021)]. These LDFs and LFFs are considered global, as they appear in many different interactions, such as e+e-, DIS and SIDIS, so data from experiments can be used to fit and describe these functions across a wide range of lepton scattering. In this work, I will apply this new hybrid factorization approach to lepton-hadron DIS and SIDIS. For DIS, I derive the NLO short distance perturbative contribution to the cross section and demonstrate the effects the QED radiation has on the cross section using this approach using the CTEQ parameterization for the QCD functions. As part of the SIDIS analysis, I study the cross-section in two different kinematic regions: (1) the scattered lepton and observed hadron are not near back-to-back, and (2) they are close to back-to-back, where collinear QCD factorization works for (1) and TMD QCD factorization for (2) while collinear QED factorization works for both. As part of this work, I show the effects on the SIDIS cross section using fixed order calculations for the unpolarized structure function by first showing the effect of the radiative corrections on the main kinematic variables, especially how the internal transverse momentum is significantly correlated to the external angular dependence, and then the unpolarized structure function (or cross section) with matching between the descriptions for low and high transverse momentum. This work will impact the calculations for predictions for data from COMPASS and various Jefferson Lab experiments.

Cammarota, Justin [Univ. of Kentucky, Lexington, K↗

Dynamic Matrix Completion Based State Estimation in Distribution Grids

The power distribution network is undergoing tremendous transformation due to an increase in the penetration of renewable energy resources and electric vehicles. These changes have resulted in greater uncertainty and dynamics in the distribution grid states. Therefore, the ability to track and monitor system states has become a critical need for accurate and timely control actions. In this paper, we propose two dynamic sparsity-based state estimation approaches for distribution systems: (1) locally weighted matrix completion (LW-MC) and (2) Bayesian matrix completion with Kalman filter prediction (BMC-KF). The performance of the proposed dynamic state estimation strategies is compared with the classic/static matrix completion (static-MC) approach using the IEEE 37 and IEEE 123 bus test systems. Finally, results indicate that BMC-KF approach outperforms both LW-MC as well as static-MC even when 30% of the measurement data is available. Computational complexity associated with both approaches is quantified.

42 ENGINEERING↗

Recursive Gaussian Process over graphs for Integrating Multi-timescale Measurements in Low-Observable Distribution Systems

The transition to a smarter grid is empowered by enhanced sensor deployments and smart metering infrastructure in the distribution system. Measurements from these sensors and meters can be used for many applications, including distribution system state estimation (DSSE). However, these measurements are typically sampled at different rates and could be intermittent due to losses during the aggregation process. These multi timescale measurements should be reconciled in real-time to perform accurate grid monitoring. This paper tackles this problem by formulating a recursive multi-task Gaussian process (RGP-G) approach that sequentially aggregates sensor measurements. Specifically, we formulate a recursive multi-task GP with and without network connectivity information to reconcile the multi time-scale measurements in distribution systems. Here, the proposed framework is capable of aggregating the multi-time scale measurements batch-wise or in real-time. Following the aggregation of the multi time-scale measurements, the spatial states of the consistent time-series are estimated using matrix completion based DSSE approach. Simulation results on IEEE 37 and IEEE 123 bus test systems illustrate the efficiency of the proposed methods from the standpoint of both multi time-scale data aggregation and DSSE.

42 ENGINEERING↗