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At least 451 records · Page 25

STFM: Accurate Spatio-Temporal Fusion Model for Weather Forecasting

Meteorological prediction is crucial for various sectors, including agriculture, navigation, daily life, disaster prevention, and scientific research. However, traditional numerical weather prediction (NWP) models are constrained by their high computational resource requirements, while the accuracy of deep learning models remains suboptimal. In response to these challenges, we propose a novel deep learning-based model, the Spatiotemporal Fusion Model (STFM), designed to enhance the accuracy of meteorological predictions. Our model leverages Fifth-Generation ECMWF Reanalysis (ERA5) data and introduces two key components: a spatiotemporal encoder module and a spatiotemporal fusion module. The spatiotemporal encoder integrates the strengths of convolutional neural networks (CNNs) and recurrent neural networks (RNNs), effectively capturing both spatial and temporal dependencies. Meanwhile, the spatiotemporal fusion module employs a dual attention mechanism, decomposing spatial attention into global static attention and channel dynamic attention. This approach ensures comprehensive extraction of spatial features from meteorological data. The combination of these modules significantly improves prediction performance. Experimental results demonstrate that STFM excels in extracting spatiotemporal features from reanalysis data, yielding predictions that closely align with observed values. In comparative studies, STFM outperformed other models, achieving a 7% improvement in ground and high-altitude temperature predictions, a 5% enhancement in the prediction of the u/v components of 10 m wind speed, and an increase in the accuracy of potential height and relative humidity predictions by 3% and 1%, respectively. This enhanced performance highlights STFM’s potential to advance the accuracy and reliability of meteorological forecasting.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗

Dynamic field theory and equations of motion in cosmology

We discuss a field-theoretical approach based on general-relativistic variational principle to derive the covariant field equations and hydrodynamic equations of motion of baryonic matter governed by cosmological perturbations of dark matter and dark energy. The action depends on the gravitational and matter Lagrangian. The gravitational Lagrangian depends on the metric tensor and its first and second derivatives. The matter Lagrangian includes dark matter, dark energy and the ordinary baryonic matter which plays the role of a bare perturbation. The total Lagrangian is expanded in an asymptotic Taylor series around the background cosmological manifold defined as a solution of Einstein’s equations in the form of the Friedmann–Lemaître–Robertson–Walker (FLRW) metric tensor. The small parameter of the decomposition is the magnitude of the metric tensor perturbation. Each term of the series expansion is gauge-invariant and all of them together form a basis for the successive post-Friedmannian approximations around the background metric. The approximation scheme is covariant and the asymptotic nature of the Lagrangian decomposition does not require the post-Friedmannian perturbations to be small though computationally it works the most effectively when the perturbed metric is close enough to the background FLRW metric. The temporal evolution of the background metric is governed by dark matter and dark energy and we associate the large scale inhomogeneities in these two components as those generated by the primordial cosmological perturbations with an effective matter density contrast δρ/ρ≤1. The small scale inhomogeneities are generated by the condensations of baryonic matter considered as the bare perturbations of the background manifold that admits δρ/ρ≫1. Mathematically, the large scale perturbations are given by the homogeneous solution of the linearized field equations while the small scale perturbations are described by a particular solution of these equations with the bare stress–energy tensor of the baryonic matter. We explicitly work out the covariant field equations of the successive post-Friedmannian approximations of Einstein’s equations in cosmology and derive equations of motion of large and small scale inhomogeneities of dark matter and dark energy. We apply these equations to derive the post-Friedmannian equations of motion of baryonic matter comprising stars, galaxies and their clusters.

71 CLASSICAL AND QUANTUM MECHANICS, GENERAL PHYSIC↗

An Eulerian Vlasov-Fokker–Planck algorithm for spherical implosion simulations of inertial confinement fusion capsules

Here, we present a numerical algorithm that enables a phase-space adaptive Eulerian Vlasov–Fokker–Planck (VFP) simulation of inertial confinement fusion (ICF) capsule implosions. The approach relies on extending a recent mass, momentum, and energy conserving phase-space moving-mesh adaptivity strategy to spherical geometry. In configuration space, we employ a mesh motion partial differential equation (MMPDE) strategy while, in velocity space, the mesh is expanded/contracted and shifted with the plasma’s evolving temperature and drift velocity. The mesh motion is dealt with by transforming the underlying VFP equations into a computational (logical) coordinate, with the resulting inertial terms carefully discretized to ensure conservation. To deal with the spatial and temporally varying dynamics in a spherically imploding system, we have developed a novel nonlinear stabilization strategy for MMPDE in the configuration space. The strategy relies on a nonlinear optimization procedure that optimizes between mesh quality and the volumetric rate change of the mesh to ensure both accuracy and stability of the solution. Implosions of ICF capsules are driven by several boundary conditions: (1) an elastic moving wall boundary; (2) a time-dependent Maxwellian Dirichlet boundary; and (3) a pressure-driven Lagrangian boundary. Of these, the pressure-driven Lagrangian boundary driver is new to our knowledge. The implementation of our strategy is verified through a set of test problems, including the Guderley and Van-Dyke implosion problems — the first-ever reported using a Vlasov–Fokker–Planck model.

1D2V↗

A data-driven CO 2 leakage detection using seismic data and spatial–temporal densely connected convolutional neural networks

In carbon capture and sequestration (also known as carbon capture and storage, or CCS), developing effective monitoring methods is needed to detect and respond to CO 2 leakage. CO 2 leakage detection methods rely on geophysical observations and monitoring sensor network. However, traditional methods usually require the development of site-specific physical models and expert interpretation, and the effectiveness of these methods can be limited to different application locations, operational scenarios, and conditions. Here, we developed a novel data-driven leakage detection method based on densely connected convolutional neural networks. Our method is an end-to-end detection approach, that differs from conventional leakage monitoring methods by directly learning a mapping relationship between seismic data and the CO 2 leakage mass. To account for the spatial and temporal characteristics of seismic data, our novel networks architecture combines 1D and 2D convolutional neural networks. To overcome the computational expense of solving optimization problems, we apply a densely-connecting strategy in our network architecture that reduces the number of network parameters. Based on the features generated by our convolutional neural networks, we further incorporate a long short-term memory network to utilize time-sequential information, which further improves the detection accuracy. Lastly, we employ our detection method to synthetic seismic datasets generated based on flow simulations of a hypothetical CO 2 storage scenario with injection into a partially compartmentalized sandstone storage reservoir. To evaluate method performance, we conducted multiple experiments including a random leakage test, a sequential test, and a robustness test. Numerical results show that our CO 2 leakage detection method successfully detects the leakage and accurately predicts the leakage mass, suggesting that it has the potential for application in monitoring of real CO 2 storage sites.

58 GEOSCIENCES↗

Solid face sheets enable lattice metamaterials to withstand high-amplitude impulsive loading without yielding

Owing to their ability to provide tunable mechanical responses, lattice materials are frequently studied to elucidate their response to static and dynamic loads. However, these roles are typically in opposition: static loads must be supported sufficiently far away from the onset of buckling or yielding, whereas dynamic loads are typically ameliorated by crushing of the lattice, which provides excellent energy-absorption due to the large plastic deformation accompanying densification. In contrast, this work considers the octet truss as an exemplar topology, in a structural role where it must simultaneously support static loads while enduring high-amplitude impulsive loads. This study focuses on the ability to withstand impulsive loads without yielding, an essential prerequisite to enduring dual loading. Computational studies using the ALE3D hydrocode were performed to examine the response of the octet truss under a short temporal width impulse shape associated with laser-driven shocks. A key finding was that covering the lattice with a solid face sheet and treating this face sheet thickness as a design variable allows the Taylor-like pulse to be attenuated prior to entering the weaker lattice, at the cost of added mass up front. Experimental validation was accomplished by laser-driven shock testing, using octet trusses printed out of Ti-5Al-5V-5Mo-3Cr. The results show that for a given quantity of mass, the attenuation is maximized when as much mass as possible is moved into the face sheet, leaving a more slender lattice structure. The effect of placing mass in the face sheet rather than lattice beams dominates the effect of relative density, to the point where a low-mass structure with most of the mass concentrated in the face sheet can outperform a high-mass structure with most of the mass in the lattice. Finally, by further understanding the propagation of short pulse width waves within under-dense structures, this study expand the domain of applicability of such structures, including lattice materials, to challenging dual-loading regimes spanning decades of strain rates.

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗

Space-time crystals from particle-like topological solitons

Time crystals are unexpected states of matter that spontaneously break time-translation symmetry either in a discrete or continuous manner. However, spatially mesoscale space-time crystals that break both space and time symmetries have not been reported. Here we report a continuous space-time crystal in a nematic liquid crystal driven by ambient-power, constant-intensity unstructured light. Our numerically constructed four-dimensional configurations exhibit good agreement with these experimental findings. Although meeting the established criteria to identify time-crystalline order, both experiments and computer simulations reveal a space-time crystallization phase formed by particle-like topological solitons. The robustness against temporal perturbations and spatiotemporal dislocations shows the stability and rigidity of the studied space-time crystals, which relates to their locally topological nature and many-body interactions between emergent spontaneously twisted, particle-like solitonic building blocks. Their potential technological utility includes optical devices, photonic space-time crystal generators, telecommunications and anti-counterfeiting designs, among others.

Liquid crystals↗

Quantum optical microcombs

We present that a key challenge for quantum science and technology is to realize large-scale, precisely controllable, practical systems for non-classical secured communications, metrology and, ultimately, meaningful quantum simulation and computation. Optical frequency combs represent a powerful approach towards this goal, as they provide a very high number of temporal and frequency modes that can result in large-scale quantum systems. The generation and control of quantum optical frequency combs will enable a unique, practical and scalable framework for quantum signal and information processing. Here, we review recent progress on the realization of energy–time entangled optical frequency combs and discuss how photonic integration and the use of fibre-optic telecommunications components can enable quantum state control with new functionalities, yielding unprecedented capability.

42 ENGINEERING↗

High-Frequency 3D Photoacoustic Computed Tomography Using an Optical Microring Resonator

3D photoacoustic computed tomography (3D-PACT) has made great advances in volumetric imaging of biological tissues, with high spatial-temporal resolutions and large penetration depth. The development of 3D-PACT requires high-performance acoustic sensors with a small size, large detection bandwidth, and high sensitivity. In this work, we present a new high-frequency 3D-PACT system that uses a microring resonator (MRR) as the acoustic sensor. The MRR sensor has a size of 80 μ m in diameter and was fabricated using the nanoimprint lithography technology. Using the MRR sensor, we have developed a transmission-mode 3D-PACT system that has achieved a detection bandwidth of ~23 MHz, an imaging depth of ~8 mm, a lateral resolution of 114 μ m, and an axial resolution of 57 μ m. We have demonstrated the 3D PACT’s performance on in vitro phantoms, ex vivo mouse brain, and in vivo mouse ear and tadpole. The MRR-based 3D-PACT system can be a promising tool for structural, functional, and molecular imaging of biological tissues at depths.

47 OTHER INSTRUMENTATION↗

Development of predictive capability of cycle-to-cycle variation in dual-fuel engines using supercomputing-based computational fluid dynamics

Cycle-to-cycle variation (CCV) in internal combustion engines is expected due to variabilities in operating conditions such as in-cylinder fuel stratification, mixing behavior, manifold air pressure, injection timing etc. Generally, engine experimental studies provide averaged quantities such as cylinder pressure, emissions, indicated mean effective pressure (IMEP) from multiple cycles and their CCV of IMEP, and CCV of cylinder pressure from consecutive cycles for a given test condition. Capturing 3D spatial distributions of relevant measures such as fuel-air mixing, temperature, turbulence levels and emissions from such experiments is challenging. Computational Fluid Dynamics (CFD) is an alternative to experiments, that can be used effectively to understand the spatial and temporal distributions of parameters of interest.Quantitative understanding of CCV in dual-fuel (DF) engines will accelerate the development and deployment of engines that provide fuel flexibility, economic advantage and emission compliance. Earlier work [1] performed to develop an understanding of the physics of CCV in large-bore, medium-speed, dual-fuel engines was partially successful. That effort entailed a sparse design of experiment (DOE) of full-cylinder geometry, closed-cycle, dual-fuel CFD simulations in which variabilities within some of the identified global parameters were exercised. The Coefficient of Variation (COV) of cylinder pressure was promising compared with experimental COV. This reinforced the understanding of which global parameters are significant contributors to CCV in DF combustion.The authors have used several high-performance supercomputing facilities in the process of developing predicting capability of CCV in large-bore engines, while operating in dual-fuel, diesel and natural gas (NG), combustion mode [1, 2]. In the current study CCV influencing parameters in a diesel-natural gas dual-fuel engine was studied using a 4th order DOE consisting of 137 concurrent cases. These full-geometry, closed-cycle, CFD simulations were run on the Mira supercomputing facility at the Argonne National Laboratory (ANL). This paper describes key learnings of that study along with a validation of the DOE. Further, the CCV prediction methodology, which is applicable to simulation-based design and testing, is described.

Gubba, Sreenivasa Rao↗

Resolving the Heat of Trimethylaluminum and Water Atomic Layer Deposition Half-Reactions

We report that atomic layer deposition (ALD) is a surface synthesis technique that is characterized by self-limiting reactions between gas-phase precursors and a solid substrate. Although ALD processes have been demonstrated that span the periodic table, a greater understanding of the surface chemistry that affords ALD is necessary to enable greater precision, including area- and site-selective growth. We offer new insight into the thermodynamics and kinetics of the trimethylaluminum (TMA) and H 2 O ALD half-reactions with calibrated and time-resolved in situ pyroelectric calorimetry. The half-reactions produce 3.46 and 2.76 eV/Al heat, respectively, which is greater than the heat predicted by computational models based on crystalline Al 2 O 3 substrates and closely aligned with the heat predicted by standard heats of formation. The pyroelectric thin-film calorimeter offers submilisecond temporal resolution that uniquely and clearly resolves precursor delivery and reaction kinetics. Both half-reactions are observed to exhibit multiple kinetic rates, with average TMA half-reaction rates at least 2 orders of magnitude faster than the H 2 O half-reaction kinetics. Comparing the experimental heat with published computational literature and additional first-principles modeling highlights the need to refine our models and mechanistic understanding of even the most ubiquitous ALD reactions.

37 INORGANIC, ORGANIC, PHYSICAL, AND ANALYTICAL CH↗

Benchmark of the KGMf with a coupled Boltzmann equation solver

The Kinetic Global Model framework (KGMf) is an open-source general-purpose global model (spatially averaged) simulation code developed to explore the reaction kinetics and pathways in plasma discharge systems. It contains species continuity and electron energy balance equations, with a time-dependent evaluated electron energy distribution function (EEDF) for electron impact reactions. The EEDF is utilized to determine the rate coefficients for electron impact reactions, which can have profound impact on the temporal evolutions of plasma parameters. Previously, the EEDF was commonly assumed as Maxwellian or an analytical function of the effective electron temperature. In this work, the KGMf is coupled with a Boltzmann equation (BE) solver to self-consistently compute the EEDF. The EEDF evolution frequency is determined based on relative changes of the reduced electric field. The KGMf is benchmarked with the ZDPlasKin code based on high-pressure low-temperature argon plasma discharge cases. Additionally, the temporal evolutions of reduced electric field, electron temperature, EEDF, reaction rates, and species densities, are obtained and compared under different discharge conditions, showing good agreement between the KGMf and the ZDPlasKin simulations. The application of the KGMf for predicting breakdown times in high power microwave discharges is also presented, which shows qualitative agreement with particle-in-cell simulations. The KGMf can be further applied for more complicated plasma discharge systems, where the reaction kinetics are more intricate (e.g., plasma-assisted combustion systems).

71 CLASSICAL AND QUANTUM MECHANICS, GENERAL PHYSIC↗

Risk-Informed Applications and Science – Past, Present, & Future

This is a presentation to be made at the University of Tokyo. The Idaho National Laboratory is creating the next-generation reliability- and risk-assessment methods and tools that support risk-informed decision-making by combining physics-based models with probabilistic quantification approaches. Integrating these two worlds of physics and probability using a simulation framework leads us to predictions based upon an approach called “computational risk assessment” which will serve as the technical basis for the future of reliability and risk approaches. The driving factors for this new approach includes: temporal (timing issues), spatial (location issues), mechanistic (physics issues), and topological (complexity issues). By combining phenomenology directly with stochastic quantification, we are able to perform advanced uncertainty analysis directly on both parameters and models. In addition, new tools allow for the creation of reduced order models that mimic high-fidelity engineering models while still permitting the realization of thousands of simulation iterations in short run-times on current workstation-class computers. While these advanced methods and tools can provide increased realism in our engineering safety and risk approaches, their greater benefit is to provide a risk-informed engineering framework for design and operation. This talk will briefly review the history of risk assessment and risk-informed applications, describe some of the current research and development found at the Idaho National Laboratory, and discuss potential future applications and approaches for advanced methods and tools.

97 MATHEMATICS AND COMPUTING↗

reV (The Renewable Energy Potential Model - Open Source) [SWR-21-59, SWR-20-20 and SWR-17-34]

The Renewable Energy Potential (reV) model is a platform for the detailed assessment of renewable energy resources and their geospatial intersection with grid infrastructure and land use characteristics. The reV model currently supports photovoltaic (PV), concentrating solar power (CSP), and land-based wind turbine technologies. Modules in the reV framework function at different spatial and temporal resolutions, allowing for the assessment of resource potential, technical potential, and supply curves at varying levels of detail. The platform runs on the National Renewable Energy Laboratory’s (NREL’s) high-performance computing system, providing scalable and efficient performance from a single location up to a continent, for a single year or decades of time-series resource data. Coupled with NREL’s System Advisor Model (SAM), reV supports resource assessments from 5-minute to hourly temporal resolutions and supports the analysis of long-term (i.e., year-on-year) variability of renewable generation (e.g., interannual variability and exceedance probabilities).

Maclaurin, Galen↗

Experimental measurements of fluid flow in an 84-pin hexagonal rod bundle with spacer grid for a gas-cooled fast modular reactor

A 50 MW e helium-cooled fast modular reactor (FMR) is under development, and as part of the Department of Energy Integrated Research Project (IRP), Texas A&M University is conducting the thermal-hydraulic characterization of its baseline core configuration. Here, we experimentally investigated the axial and cross flow fields characteristics in the hexagonal fuel rod bundle composed of 84 rods, a central rod, and spacer grids at a Reynolds number of 12,000. A fully transparent experimental facility resembling of one unit of the fuel assembly was constructed. Time-resolved particle image velocimetry (TR-PIV) measurements were performed to characterize hydraulic behavior downstream the spacer grid. Velocity measurements were conducted in the axial and radial direction of the rod bundle. From the PIV velocity vector fields, the full-field flow statistics were computed for the mean velocity, vorticity, and Reynolds stresses. An analysis of the energy decay downstream of the spacer grid was conducted with calculations of secondary-flow intensities, turbulent kinetic energy, power spectrum, and spatial-temporal velocity cross correlations. The vorticity field was obtained and pairs of counter-rotating vortexes were identified using a 3D reconstruction of several measurement planes. The data from this experimental campaign will be used to validate numerical models based on Computational Fluid Dynamics and other codes.

11 NUCLEAR FUEL CYCLE AND FUEL MATERIALS↗

Analyzing inference workloads for spatiotemporal modeling

Ensuring power grid resiliency, forecasting climate conditions, and optimization of transportation infrastructure are some of the many application areas where data is collected in both space and time. Spatiotemporal modeling is about modeling those patterns for forecasting future trends and carrying out critical decision-making by leveraging machine learning/deep learning. Once trained offline, field deployment of trained models for near real-time inference could be challenging because performance can vary significantly depending on the environment, available compute resources and tolerance to ambiguity in results. Users deploying spatiotemporal models for solving complex problems can benefit from analytical studies considering a plethora of system adaptations to understand the associated performance-quality trade-offs. To facilitate the co-design of next-generation hardware architectures for field deployment of trained models, it is critical to characterize the workloads of these deep learning (DL) applications during inference and assess their computational patterns at different levels of the execution stack. In this paper, we develop several variants of deep learning applications that use spatiotemporal data from dynamical systems. We study the associated computational patterns for inference workloads at different levels, considering relevant models (Long short-term Memory, Convolutional Neural Network and Spatio-Temporal Graph Convolution Network), DL frameworks (Tensorflow and PyTorch), precision (FP16, FP32, AMP, INT16 and INT8), inference runtime (ONNX and AI Template), post-training quantization (TensorRT) and platforms (Nvidia DGX A100 and Sambanova SN10 RDU). Overall, our findings indicate that although there is potential in mixed-precision models and post-training quantization for spatiotemporal modeling, extracting efficiency from contemporary GPU systems might be challenging. Instead, co-designing custom accelerators by leveraging optimized High Level Synthesis frameworks (such as SODA High-Level Synthesizer for customized FPGA/ASIC targets) can make workload-specific adjustments to enhance the efficiency.

97 MATHEMATICS AND COMPUTING↗