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Search indexed NASA NTRS and DOE OSTI research on propulsion, heat transfer, battery materials and energy systems. Follow report and document links to the original sources.

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At least 451 records · Page 25
All sourcesNASA NTRSDOE OSTI
DOE OSTI2026

Dynamic Validation of CNN-Based Surrogate Models for Inverter-Based Resources in Open-Source Solvers

Traditionally, distribution system planning has focused on steady-state analyses, with limited consideration of dynamic behavior. However, as large or medium-scale inverter-based resources (IBRs), particularly grid-following (GFL) inverters in commercial or industry buildings, become more prevalent, understanding their dynamic impact is essential for grid planning and operation. This article presents an innovative deep-learning (DL)-approach using convolutional neural networks technique to model the GFL inverters. Developed from real grid-tied commercial IBR transient data, these dynamic DL models overcome proprietary constraints by requiring minimal knowledge of internal converter physics while maintaining high accuracy and flexibility. To demonstrate their applicability, the models were incorporated into GridLAB-D, an open-source, three-phase distribution analysis tool. This integration enables dynamic simulations of large-scale distribution networks with high IBR penetration stability analysis. Rigorous testing and validation, aligned with industry standards, confirmed the reliability and efficiency of this approach, paving the way for enhanced planning and operational assessments of modern power systems.

Deep-learning↗
DOE OSTI2023

Transfer Learning of High-Fidelity Opacity Spectra in Autoencoders and Surrogate Models

Simulations of high energy density physics are expensive, largely in part for the need to produce nonlocal thermodynamic equilibrium opacities. High-fidelity spectra may reveal new physics in the simulations not seen with low-fidelity spectra, but the cost of these simulations also scales with the level of fidelity of the opacities being used. Neural networks are capable of reproducing these spectra, but neural networks need data to train them, which limits the level of fidelity of the training data. Here this article demonstrates that it is possible to reproduce high-fidelity spectra with median errors in the realm of 3%–4% using as few as 50 samples of high-fidelity Krypton data by performing transfer learning on a neural network trained on many times more low-fidelity data.

71 CLASSICAL AND QUANTUM MECHANICS, GENERAL PHYSIC↗
DOE OSTI2021

Inverse Design of Two-Dimensional Airfoils Using Conditional Generative Models and Surrogate Log-Likelihoods

Abstract This paper shows how to use conditional generative models in two-dimensional (2D) airfoil optimization to probabilistically predict good initialization points within the vicinity of the optima given the input boundary conditions, thus warm starting and accelerating further optimization. We accommodate the possibility of multiple optimal designs corresponding to the same input boundary condition and take this inversion ambiguity into account when designing our prediction framework. To this end, we first employ the conditional formulation of our previous work BézierGAN–Conditional BézierGAN (CBGAN)—as a baseline, then introduce its sibling conditional entropic BézierGAN (CEBGAN), which is based on optimal transport regularized with entropy. Compared with CBGAN, CEBGAN overcomes mode collapse plaguing conventional GANs, improves the average lift-drag (Cl/Cd) efficiency of airfoil predictions from 80.8% of the optimal value to 95.8%, and meanwhile accelerates the training process by 30.7%. Furthermore, we investigate the unique ability of CEBGAN to produce a log-likelihood lower bound that may help select generated samples of higher performance (e.g., aerodynamic performance). In addition, we provide insights into the performance differences between these two models with low-dimensional toy problems and visualizations. These results and the probabilistic formulation of this inverse problem justify the extension of our GAN-based inverse design paradigm to other inverse design problems or broader inverse problems.

Engineering↗
DOE OSTI2023

AL-ASMR: Active Learning of Atomistic Surrogate Models for Rare Events

Atomistic simulation with artificial intelligence (AI) is an emerging tool for understanding materials' properties and behaviors and predicting novel materials with optimized/targeted properties. Neural network potentials (NNPs) are outstanding in this field as they have shown a comparable accuracy to ab initio electronic structure calculations for reproducing potential energy surfaces while being several orders of magnitude faster. However, such NNPs can perform poorly outside of their training domain and typically fail catastrophically in the prediction of rare events in molecular dynamics (MD) simulations. For effective AL loops to distinguish the informative data from enhanced sampled configurations, we developed a decision engine by configurational similarity and uncertainty quantification (UQ) with data augmentation.

Jung, Gang Seob↗
DOE OSTI2025

mphys-surrogate-model

This repository contains python scripts for building and studying reduced-order-modeling representations of droplet coalescence for eventual use in atmospheric models. The included data are generated from high-fidelity superdroplet methods and are utilized by machine learning pipelines to build data-driven models of droplet size distributions that evolve under coalescence. This repository further includes scripts to determine prediction (uncertainty) intervals on the data-driven model products based on conformal prediction.

Katona, JonasE [Lawrence Livermore National Labora↗
DOE OSTI2022

Quantification of Lanthanides in a Molten Salt Reactor Surrogate Off-Gas Stream Using Laser-Induced Breakdown Spectroscopy

To enable the deployment of molten salt reactor technology, the development of off-gas treatment systems and advanced monitoring tools capable of operating with high temperatures and radiation fields while delivering near real-time information is necessary. Here, we aim to fulfill this requirement and proposes laser-induced breakdown spectroscopy (LIBS) for monitoring molten salt aerosol streams. A sheath gas measuring method was developed to protect optical elements from aerosol particles and to ensure a relatively constant aerosol stream for measurement. An aqueous system was studied to demonstrate the utility of LIBS for monitoring possible fission products in an aerosol stream: Gd, Nd, and Sm up to 2000 parts per million (ppm). A calibration model was built using partial least squares (PLS) regression with five, six, and nine latent variables for Gd, Nd, and Sm, respectively. This calibration model successfully estimated the concentrations of three test samples, which were validated with inductively charged plasma optical emission spectroscopy measurements at a 99.9% confidence interval. To enhance these models, a genetic algorithm was used to filter the spectra before entering the PLS model, thereby limiting the spectral features being regressed to those with greater correlations to concentration. This allowed for the number of latent variables used in the PLS models to be reduced to four, three, and three for Gd, Nd, and Sm, respectively. Finally, the genetic algorithm-filtered PLS models were used to predict the concentrations of the aerosol stream on a real-time dataset and resulted in a 73%, 18%, and 25% improvement in root mean squared error of prediction compared to the original PLS models developed.

22 GENERAL STUDIES OF NUCLEAR REACTORS↗
DOE OSTI2023

A Surrogate-Based Asynchronous Decomposition Technique for Realistic Security-Constrained Optimal Power Flow Problems

Here we present a decomposition approach for obtaining good feasible solutions for the security-constrained, alternating-current, optimal power flow (SC-AC-OPF) problem at an industrial scale and under real-world time and computational limits. The approach was designed while preparing and participating in ARPA-E’s Grid Optimization Competition (GOC) Challenge 1. The challenge focused on a near-real-time version of the SC-AC-OPF problem, where a base operating point is optimized, taking into account possible single-element contingencies, after which the system adapts its operating point following the response of automatic frequency droop controllers and voltage regulators. Our solution approach for this problem relies on state-of-the-art nonlinear programming algorithms, and it employs nonconvex relaxations for complementarity constraints, a specialized two-stage decomposition technique with sparse approximations of recourse terms and contingency ranking and prescreening. The paper describes and justifies our approach and outlines the features of its implementation, including functions and derivatives evaluation, warm-starting strategies, and asynchronous parallelism. We discuss the results of the independent benchmark of our approach by ARPA-E’s GOC team in Challenge 1, where it was found to consistently produce high-quality solutions across a wide range of network sizes and difficulty, and conclude by outlining future extensions of the approach.

97 MATHEMATICS AND COMPUTING↗
DOE OSTI2024

The Completion of Surrogate Testing for Low-Temperature TEX and a Look Towards the Future

To address the mounting need for below room temperature nuclear data validation, the Low-Temperature Thermal Epithermal eXperiments (LT-TEX) have been designed. Validation of low-temperature neutron cross sections is necessary to verify any operation at temperatures below room temperature which is typically observed in environments far from the equator. For example, a fissile material transportation truck may routinely observe ambient temperatures down to -40°C, which is the lower temperature bound of the normal conditions of transportation defined in the United States Title 10 Code of Federal Regulations §71.71c2. Additionally, sub-room temperature benchmarks can validate newly produced cross sections, that include novel thermal scattering laws, from North Carolina State University.

73 NUCLEAR PHYSICS AND RADIATION PHYSICS↗
DOE OSTI2022

Development of advanced machine learning models for analysis of plutonium surrogate optical emission spectra

This work investigates and applies machine learning paradigms seldom seen in analytical spectroscopy for quantification of gallium in cerium matrices via processing of laser-plasma spectra. Ensemble regressions, support vector machine regressions, Gaussian kernel regressions, and artificial neural network techniques are trained and tested on cerium-gallium pellet spectra. A thorough hyperparameter optimization experiment is conducted initially to determine the best design features for each model. The optimized models are evaluated for sensitivity and precision using the limit of detection (LoD) and root mean-squared error of prediction (RMSEP) metrics, respectively. Gaussian kernel regression yields the superlative predictive model with an RMSEP of 0.33% and an LoD of 0.015% for quantification of Ga in a Ce matrix. This study concludes that these machine learning methods could yield robust prediction models for rapid quality control analysis of plutonium alloys.

Rao, Ashwin P. (ORCID:0000000319312568)↗
DOE OSTI2020

Surrogate Model Development of Spent Fuel Degradation for Repository Performance Assessment

In model simulations of deep geologic repositories, UO 2 fuel matrix degradation typically begins as soon as the waste package breaches and groundwater contacts the fuel surface. The initial degradation rate depends on the timing of these events, burnup of the fuel, temperature, and concentrations of dissolved reactants. Estimating the initial rate of degradation is fairly straightforward, but as UO 2 corrosion products precipitate on the fuel surface and the movement of dissolved species between the fuel surface and environment is impeded by the precipitated solids, the rate is more difficult to quantify. At that point, calculating the degradation rate becomes a reactive-transport problem in which a large number of equations must be solved by iteration for a large number of grid cells at each time step. The consequence is that repository simulations, which are already expensive, become much more expensive, especially when hundreds or thousands of waste packages breach. The Fuel Matrix Degradation (FMD) model is the process model of the Spent Fuel and Waste Science and Technology (SFWST) campaign of the US Department of Energy (DOE). It calculates spent fuel degradation rates as a function of radiolysis, redox reactions, electrochemical reactions, alteration layer growth, and diffusion of reactants through the alteration layer. Like other similar fuel degradation process models, it is a complicated model requiring a large number of calculations and iterations at each time step.

11 NUCLEAR FUEL CYCLE AND FUEL MATERIALS↗
DOE OSTI2020

Surrogate Suspension-Resuspension Study

The objective of this study was to conduct a series of tests looking at the deposition and resuspension of aerosol particles deposited onto multiple representative substrate surfaces for a range of particle sizes under varying environmental conditions. The benefit of this study is to provide additional insight into the understanding of early time resuspension from different mechanisms and compare to existing literature. The resuspension methods utilized in this study were full-scale and the substrates were representative of real- world ground level conditions. Multiple experiments were conducted to assess the impact on resuspension from the varying substrates and mechanisms. The results of this study show variations in the size distribution of aerosol as a function of height from the source resuspension factors. Additionally, the aerosolized mass concentration and resuspension factor were evaluated. The maximum resuspension factor was found to be on the order of 10 -4 m -1 which is higher than most resuspension factors found in literature but represents idealized conditions due to the well constrained experimental setup.

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗
DOE OSTI2021

Surrogate multi-fidelity data and model fusion for scientific discovery and uncertainty quantification in Earth System Models

This whitepaper addresses the Earth and Environmental Systems Sciences Division (EESSD)’s predictability challenges in modeling the integrated water cycle and data-model integration. Specifically, it focuses on reducing and characterizing the uncertainty in the representation of process models for unresolved physics, either due to model resolution or limited by the physical under standing or computational efficiency, and the use of observational data for in-situ process parameter optimization within ESM. The described methods may also be used to determine the nature of responses (e.g. strength and direction), and hence to identify critical processes that drive the overall ESM responses to perturbation in the forcing

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗