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At least 451 records · Page 25

Ni and Co Incorporation in Forsterite: A Density Functional Theory Study with Hubbard Correction

Ni and Co are critical elements for the world economy and modern technologies. Mafic and ultramafic deposits represent low-grade yet abundant alternatives to traditional Ni and Co ores. Here, in this work, density functional theory (DFT) with the Hubbard U correction (DFT+U) was used to simulate the incorporation of Ni and Co in forsterite (Mg 2 SiO 4 ), the Mg endmember of olivine, a common mineral in mafic and ultramafic rocks. Hubbard U terms for Ni and Co were parametrized using a series of oxide, hydroxide, carbonate, silicate, and sulfide minerals relevant to extraction and recovery of Ni and Co from mafic and ultramafic deposits. Electronic, energetic, magnetic, and structural properties were considered in the parametrization. For each of Ni and Co, an effective Hubbard correction (U eff ) value that optimized agreement with either experimental data or a hybrid exchange-correlation functional for all of the minerals considered is reported. DFT+U ab initio molecular dynamics (AIMD) simulations of Ni and Co incorporated into the M1 and M2 octahedral sites of forsterite were then performed. Ni and Co substitution in the M1 site was more energetically favorable than substitution in the M2 site, in agreement with published partition coefficients. AIMD trajectories were used to compute extended X-ray absorption fine structure (EXAFS) spectra of Ni in the M1 and M2 sites for direct fitting to a published experimental spectrum of Ni in a natural San Carlos olivine sample. The results of the fit indicated that ordering of Ni in the M1 site was not as strong at the low Ni concentrations relevant to mafic and ultramafic silicate minerals as that at the higher concentrations of the Ni-Mg olivine solid solutions studied to date.

37 INORGANIC, ORGANIC, PHYSICAL, AND ANALYTICAL CH↗

Analysis of Small-Angle Neutron Scattering from Blends of Charged and Neutral Polymers Based on Rod–Coil Random Phase Approximation

Blends of charged and neutral polymers are of interest due to potential applications in rechargeable batteries. In this study, concentration fluctuations in blends of charged poly[lithium 3-(methacryloyloxy)propylsulfonyl-1-(trifluoromethanesulfonyl)imide] (PLiMTFSI) and neutral poly(ethylene oxide) (PEO) were investigated by small-angle neutron scattering (SANS). The scattering data were analyzed in the framework of the random phase approximation (RPA). Since ion dissociation can lead to stiffening, the charged polymers were approximated as rods, while the neutral polymers were assumed to be random coils. This approach works reasonably well at low weight fractions of charged polymers. For blends with higher weight fractions of the charged polymer, concentration fluctuations were highly suppressed, resulting in q-independent coherent structure factors that are inconsistent with the rod-coil RPA.

Lee, Jaeyong↗

Topology-Dependent Polymer Stretching and Scission in Solution at Extreme Shear Rates

There has been significant interest in the engineering of polymer topology to control rheology and mechanical stability in dilute solutions for applications involving extreme shear rate flows. However, methods to experimentally probe properties at relevant shear rates (≈ 10 4 –10 6 s –1 ) have remained ex situ, obscuring access to measures of polymer deformation and rheology that would otherwise provide mechanistic insight into the topology-dependent properties that control their behavior in extreme shear flows. In this study, we used novel in situ small angle neutron scattering measurements in a capillary rheometer (capillary rheo-SANS) to simultaneously measure solution viscosities and polymer deformations in high shear on a series of chemically homologous topology-defined polymers including linear, randomly branched, and star-shaped molecules. We demonstrate that differences in the onset of chain stretching and shear thinning of these polymers in dilute solution are controlled primarily by differences in their molecular relaxation time. These differences correlate with differences in chain scission inferred from ex situ measurements at more extreme shear rates. Together, the results demonstrate a direct coupling between chain deformation and scission, and suggest that the dominant effect of branching as a means to impart resilience against mechanical degradation is through differences in relaxation dynamics due to branching. We anticipate that these results will provide key insights to engineer topology-controlled polymers for rheological modification, mechanical stability, and controlled mechano-chemistry.

32 ENERGY CONSERVATION, CONSUMPTION, AND UTILIZATI↗

Structural Reorganization of Noncellulosic Polymers Observed In Situ during Dilute Acid Pretreatment by Small-Angle Neutron Scattering

Production of second-generation bioethanol from lignocellulosic biomass requires pretreatment to open the plant cell wall structure and improve enzyme access. Many different thermochemical pretreatments have been extensively developed and employed, but the exact nature of plant cell wall recalcitrance and the most efficient and economical approach to alter plant cell wall structure via pretreatment still remain elusive. In order to understand the role of noncellulosic switchgrass polymers on the overall efficiency of pretreatment, the structural evolution of the noncellulosic polymers of the plant cell wall were investigated during dilute acid pretreatment (DAP) by employing in-situ small-angle neutron scattering (in-situ SANS). In this study, we observed real-time structural changes not possible to observe by any other technique. To deconvolute the structural evolution of lignin and hemicellulose polymers during DAP, native switchgrass (NATV), and isolated holocellulose (HOLO) and cellulose (CELL) fractions from NATV were studied. Our results show that aggregate particles first appear around 80 °C for NATV and HOLO samples. Further, due to the low temperature and pretreatment severity condition, these particles are likely derived from hemicellulose. The formations of much larger aggregate particles, only observed in the NATV sample, were attributed to lignin. For the HOLO sample, as the temperature and pretreatment severity condition increased, hemicellulose-derived aggregate particle sizes increased, suggesting this process was the nucleation and early stage formation of pseudolignin particles. Consistent with our interpretation of structural evolutions in NATV and HOLO samples, no formation of aggregate particles was observed in CELL samples for the entire duration of the pretreatment. These results suggest that not only lignin but also hemicellulose can form aggregate particles within plant cell walls during pretreatment.

37 INORGANIC, ORGANIC, PHYSICAL, AND ANALYTICAL CH↗

Optimizing Desalination Operations for Energy Flexibility

Despite the value of energy optimization in desalination processes, modeling dynamic operations for monthly billing periods has remained a computational challenge. This work proposes a framework for energy flexibility optimization, which includes new modeling features for independent operation of parallel skids, start-up delays associated with chemical stabilization, the consideration of industrial energy tariff structures, and inclusion of hourly electrical carbon intensities. This is done using a modular and computationally efficient formulation that guarantees a globally optimal solution with standard optimization solvers. In this study, the approach is demonstrated in two distinct case studies: a seawater desalination plant in Santa Barbara, CA, and an indirect potable reuse facility in San Jose, CA. Trends predicted from the model are validated against operational facility measurements from a demand response shutdown event. Preliminary results show that optimizing energy flexibility can result in 18.51% monthly cost savings over energy efficiency-optimized operation. The value extracted from a facility-wide shutdown during peak electricity price hours is hampered by start-up delays in post-treatment chemical stabilization. In cases in which a facility does not have much excess capacity, using a flow equalization tank or operating over a wide recovery range may be cost-effective.

37 INORGANIC, ORGANIC, PHYSICAL, AND ANALYTICAL CH↗

Probing Slow Earthquakes With Deep Learning

Abstract Slow earthquakes may trigger failure on neighboring locked faults that are stressed sufficiently to break, and slow slip patterns may evolve before a nearby great earthquake. However, even in the clearest cases such as Cascadia, slow earthquakes and associated tremor have only been observed in intermittent and discrete bursts. By training a convolutional neural network to detect known tremor on a single seismic station in Cascadia, we isolate and identify tremor and slip preceding and following known larger slow events. The deep neural network can be used for the detection of quasi‐continuous tremor, providing a proxy that quantifies the slow slip rate. Furthermore, the model trained in Cascadia recognizes tremor in other subduction zones and also along the San Andreas Fault at Parkfield, suggesting a universality of waveform characteristics and source processes, as posited from experiments and theory.

58 GEOSCIENCES↗

Seasonal and Long‐Term Groundwater Unloading in the Central Valley Modifies Crustal Stress

Abstract Changes in terrestrial water content cause elastic deformation of the Earth's crust. This deformation is thought to play a role in modulating crustal stress and seismicity in regions where large water storage fluctuations occur. Groundwater is an important component of total water storage change in California, helping to drive annual water storage fluctuations and loss during periods of drought. Here we use direct estimates of groundwater volume loss during the 2007–2010 drought in California's Central Valley obtained from high resolution Interferometric Synthetic Aperture Radar‐based vertical land motion data to investigate the effect of groundwater volume change on the evolution of the stress field. We show that GPS‐derived elastic load models may not capture the contribution of groundwater to terrestrial water loading, resulting in an underestimation of nontectonic crustal stress change. We find that groundwater unloading during the drought causes Coulomb stress change of up to 5.5 kPa and seasonal fluctuations of up to 2.6 kPa at seismogenic depth. We find that faults near the Valley show the largest stress change and the San Andreas fault experiences only ~40 Pa of Coulomb stress change over the course of a year from groundwater storage change. Annual Coulomb stress change peaks dominantly in the fall, when the groundwater level is low; however, some faults experience peak stress in the spring when groundwater levels are higher. Additionally, we find that periods of increased stress correlate with higher than average seismic moment release but are not correlated with an increase in the number of earthquakes. This indicates groundwater loading likely contributes to nontectonic loading of faults, especially near the Valley edge, but is not a dominant factor in modulation of seismicity in California because the amplitude of stress change declines rapidly with distance from the Valley. By carefully quantifying and spatially locating groundwater fluctuations, we will improve our understanding of what drives nontectonic stress and forces that modulate seismicity in California.

58 GEOSCIENCES↗

Peak Ground Velocity Spatial Variability Revealed by Dense Seismic Array in Southern California

There are an infinite number of locations where seismic waves interact with Earth's surface, yet seismologists can only record a finite set of ground motions. This requires assumptions about how known measurements or predictions can be extrapolated to nearby locations. We test to what extent extrapolation is viable using an array of 1,108 geophones installed 10–20 m apart within a 0.36 km 2 study area for 1 month atop the San Jacinto Fault in Southern California. Measuring ground motions from 38 small local earthquakes, we observe peak ground velocity (PGV) variations up to 22% across the array. We find the basin structure consistently traps energy, amplifying the seismic velocities, and that the damaged region within the fault reduces the PGVs. Comparing surface and borehole measurements (148 m deep), we find PGVs recorded at the surface are 3–10 times greater than the measurements at depth. We attribute these differences to amplification from soft sediments within the basin. We show that by leveraging information from >1,000 measurements per earthquake the ground motion velocities can be tightly constrained. These results suggest the spatial extrapolation of PGVs in regions of known faults and basins, even across a small area, should be done with caution.

58 GEOSCIENCES↗

Analyzing Wildland Fire Smoke Emissions Data Using Compositional Data Techniques

By conservation of mass, the mass of wildland fuel that is pyrolyzed and combusted must equal the mass of smoke emissions, residual char and ash. For a given set of conditions, these amounts are fixed. This places a constraint on smoke emissions data which violates statistical assumptions for many of the methods currently used to analyze these data such as linear regression, analysis of variance, and t-tests. These data are inherently multivariate and non-negative parts of a whole. This paper introduces the field of compositional data analysis to the emissions community and provides examples of appropriate statistical treatment of emissions data. It is shown that modified combustion efficiency should not be used as a predictor variable for other smoke emissions because it is not an independent variable. An alternative method based on compositional linear trends to estimate trace gas composition using CO and CO2 is presented. The data used in this paper resulted from projects the DOD/DOE/EPA Strategic 586 Environmental Research and Development Program projects RC-1648 and 1649. The senior 587 author appreciates the guidance and R scripts provided by Prof. Girty at San Diego State 588 University to estimate linear trends by perturbation. J. P.-A. was supported by the Spanish 589 Ministry of Science, Innovation and Universities under the project CODAMET (RTI2018-590 095518-B-C21, 2019-2021). The data used in this study have been previously published and are 591 available in the original publications. DRW conceived the initial manuscript (70 percent) and 592 performed the bulk of the data analysis. JPA provided statistical guidance and compositional data 593 expertise and contributed 20 percent of the manuscript. TJJ and HJ were extensively involved in 594 the study that provided the data. TJJ provide smoke emissions expertise and HJ provided 595 combustion expertise. The authors declare that they have no conflict of interest. The use of trade 596 or firm names in this publication is for reader information and does not imply endorsement by 597 the U.S. Department of Agriculture of any product or service.

simplex, compositional data analysis, balance, log↗

Quantifying Fluid-Wettable Effective Pore Space in the Utica and Bakken Oil Shale Formations

Combined (ultra-) small angle neutron scattering measurements [(U)SANS] and a contrast matching technique were employed to quantify the porosity and pore size distribution from 1 nm to 10 μm and to differentiate accessible (open) pores and inaccessible (closed) pores with respect to organophilic and hydrophilic fluids for two Utica and two Bakken shale samples. Overall, the results indicate that around 40–70% of the pores in the Utica oil shales (mixed carbonate mudstone) are accessible to oil, and 34–37% of the pore surfaces are water-wet. In contrast, the Bakken oil shales (mixed siliceous mudstone and carbonate/siliceous mudstone), which have high total organic carbon contents, have a higher proportion of isolated pore space that is not preferentially wet by oil or water, with less than 36% of the pores accessible to both fluids. In addition, for both formations, pores less than 3 nm in diameter are not oil accessible (organic matter related) but water accessible (clay tactoids related).

58 GEOSCIENCES↗

Disentangling the Impact of the COVID‐19 Lockdowns on Urban NO 2 From Natural Variability

Abstract TROPOMI satellite data show substantial drops in nitrogen dioxide (NO 2 ) during COVID‐19 physical distancing. To attribute NO 2 changes to NO x emissions changes over short timescales, one must account for meteorology. We find that meteorological patterns were especially favorable for low NO 2 in much of the United States in spring 2020, complicating comparisons with spring 2019. Meteorological variations between years can cause column NO 2 differences of ~15% over monthly timescales. After accounting for solar angle and meteorological considerations, we calculate that NO 2 drops ranged between 9.2% and 43.4% among 20 cities in North America, with a median of 21.6%. Of the studied cities, largest NO 2 drops (>30%) were in San Jose, Los Angeles, and Toronto, and smallest drops (<12%) were in Miami, Minneapolis, and Dallas. These normalized NO 2 changes can be used to highlight locations with greater activity changes and better understand the sources contributing to adverse air quality in each city.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗

Periodicity Analysis of Earthquake Occurrence and Hypocenter Depth Near Parkfield, California, 1994–2002 Versus 2006–2014

In central California, periodic earthquake occurrence suggests a relationship with annual hydrological, atmospheric, thermal, and tidal loadings. Here, in catalogs of declustered earthquakes within 100 km from Parkfield, CA, we study a semiannual periodicity for the monthly number of ≤7.2-km-deep earthquakes and the monthly median hypocenter depth over 1994–2002 and 2006–2014. Peak-trough months in fitted periodic components differ between time spans and event populations. Deeper earthquakes present no semiannual and a weak annual periodicity. Although modeled pore pressure shows a Spring peak, when added to the elastic Coulomb stress from surface hydrospheric loads, it fails to predict a 6-month periodicity for 2006–2014. In 1994–2002, the pore-pressure amplitude appears to be of same order as the elastic stress and may have had a stronger effect. In 2006–2014, we did not find load model parameters explaining the observed pattern or apparent changes following the 2003 San Simeon and 2004 Parkfield earthquakes.

58 GEOSCIENCES↗

Evaluation of Atmospheric Boundary Layer Height From Wind Profiling Radar and Slab Models and Its Responses to Seasonality of Land Cover, Subsidence, and Advection

In this study, we evaluated the effect of land cover, atmospheric subsidence, and advection on the annual dynamics of atmospheric boundary layer (ABL) height from two contrasting sites. The first site is the Walker Branch forest, a deciduous forest of temperate climate, complex topography, and cloudy summers. The second site is the Sacramento-San Joaquin River Delta, a site of Mediterranean climate, flat terrain on a local scale, and clear summers. After testing a new algorithm to calculate ABL heights from 915 MHz radar wind profilers, we evaluated a hierarchy of three slab models to recreate the diurnal and annual patterns of ABL growth. We found that the lower ABL heights in the Delta, particularly during late summer, are driven by the combined effects of increased atmospheric subsidence and marine air advection. In both sites, the annual pattern of ABL height was strongly correlated to total daily incoming radiation, and in the Delta, the annual pattern of ABL height closely followed the seasonal patterns of sensible heat flux from a mosaic of different land covers. A land composite of latent and sensible heat fluxes obtained through a meso-network of eddy covariance measurements and the ECOsystem Spaceborne Thermal Radiometer Experiment on Space Station (ECOSTRESS) mission resulted in higher model skill, thus showing that land cover heterogeneity is an important driver of ABL growth. To conclude, model simulations show that in the Delta, restoring agricultural land to wetlands with large open water areas could result in a reduction of ABL height during those months with low subsidence and advection.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗

Olivine Dissolution in Simulated Lung and Gastric Fluid as an Analog to the Behavior of Lunar Particulate Matter Inside the Human Respiratory and Gastrointestinal Systems

With the Artemis III mission scheduled to land humans on the Moon in 2025, work must be done to understand the hazards lunar dust inhalation would pose to humans. In this study, San Carlos olivine was used as an analog of lunar olivine, a common component of lunar dust. Olivine was dissolved in a flow-through apparatus in both simulated lung fluid and 0.1 M HCl (simulated gastric fluid) over a period of approximately 2 weeks at physiological temperature, 37°C. Effluent samples were collected periodically and analyzed for pH, iron, silicon, and magnesium ion concentrations. The dissolution rate data derived from our measurements allow us to estimate that an inhaled 1.0 μm diameter olivine particle would take approximately 24 years to dissolve in the human lungs and approximately 3 weeks to dissolve in gastric fluid. Results revealed that inhaled olivine particles may generate the toxic chemical, hydroxyl radical, for up to 5–6 days in lung fluid. Olivine dissolved in 0.1 M HCl for 2 weeks transformed to an amorphous silica-rich solid plus the ferric iron oxy-hydroxide ferrihydrite. Olivine dissolved in simulated lung fluid shows no detectable change in composition or crystallinity. Equilibrium thermodynamic models indicate that olivine in the human lungs can precipitate secondary minerals with fibrous crystal structures that have the potential to induce detrimental health effects similar to asbestos exposure. Our work indicates that inhaled lunar dust containing olivine can settle in the human lungs for years and could induce long-term potential health effects like that of silicosis.

63 RADIATION, THERMAL, AND OTHER ENVIRON. POLLUTAN↗

Steady Long-term Slip Rate on the Blue Cut Fault: Implications for Ongoing Block Rotation in the Eastern Transverse Ranges, CA

We report the Eastern Transverse Ranges (ETR) province of California contains a system of E-W-trending left-lateral faults accommodating clockwise block rotation between the San Andreas Fault (SAF) system in the Coachella Valley and the Eastern California Shear Zone (ECSZ) in the Mojave Desert. Building upon established geometric relationships, we estimate that this rotation across the ETR may transfer right-lateral strain from the SAF to the ECSZ at a time-averaged rate of ~4.3–7.7 mm/yr. Through geomorphic mapping and the analysis of 38 10 Be surface exposure samples, we derive a long-term slip rate of 1.26 ± 0.50 (2σ) mm/yr over the late Pleistocene, yet analysis of the displacement record indicates a rate decrease ~71 kya. While a rate change on this fault could have implications for possible plate boundary reorganization in this area, we argue that this slip rate variability more likely reflects routine fluctuation about a steady lifetime slip rate.

58 GEOSCIENCES↗

Exploring Water System Vulnerabilities in California's Central Valley Under the Late Renaissance Megadrought and Climate Change

Abstract California faces cycles of drought and flooding that are projected to intensify, but these extremes may impact water users across the state differently due to the region's natural hydroclimate variability and complex institutional framework governing water deliveries. To assess these risks, this study introduces a novel exploratory modeling framework informed by paleo and climate‐change based scenarios to better understand how impacts propagate through the Central Valley's complex water system. A stochastic weather generator, conditioned on tree‐ring data, produces a large ensemble of daily weather sequences conditioned on drought and flood conditions under the Late Renaissance Megadrought period (1550–1580 CE). Regional climate changes are applied to this weather data and drive hydrologic projections for the Sacramento, San Joaquin, and Tulare Basins. The resulting streamflow ensembles are used in an exploratory stress test using the California Food‐Energy‐Water System model, a highly resolved, daily model of water storage and conveyance throughout California's Central Valley. Results show that megadrought conditions lead to unprecedented reductions in inflows and storage at major California reservoirs. Both junior and senior water rights holders experience multi‐year periods of curtailed water deliveries and complete drawdowns of groundwater assets. When megadrought dynamics are combined with climate change, risks for unprecedented depletion of reservoir storage and sustained curtailment of water deliveries across multiple years increase. Asymmetries in risk emerge depending on water source, rights, and access to groundwater banks.

Gupta, Rohini S. [School of Civil and Environmenta↗

Estimating Carbon Dioxide Emissions in Two California Cities Using Bayesian Inversion and Satellite Measurements

NASA's Orbiting Carbon Observatories (OCO-2 and OCO-3) provide measurements of column-averaged carbon dioxide concentrations (XCO 2 ) with sufficient spatial resolution and precision to constrain bottom-up estimates of CO 2 fluxes at regional scales. We use Bayesian inversion methods assimilating satellite retrievals to improve estimates of CO 2 fluxes in the South Coast Air Basin (SoCAB) which surrounds Los Angeles, and in the San Francisco Bay Area Air Basin (SFBA). We study 2020 to understand the impact of the COVID-19 lockdowns and an active wildfire season. Our results indicated that a 50% (30%) reduction in CO 2 emissions relative to 2015 during the COVID-19 lockdown period was consistent with OCO measurements for SFBA (SoCAB). We find that posterior wildfire emissions differed significantly from the prior at the scale of individual wildfires, though with large uncertainties, and that wildfire emissions in SFBA are significant, attributing 72% of the region's CO 2 emissions during August 2020 to wildfires.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗

Severe Strain‐Induced Olivine‐Ringwoodite Transformation at Room Temperature: Key to Enigmas of Deep‐Focus Earthquake

Deep‐focus earthquakes at 350–660 km are presumably caused by olivine‐spinel phase transformation (PT). This cannot, however, explain the observed high seismic strain rate, which requires PT to complete within seconds, while metastable olivine does not transform for over a million years. Recent theory quantitatively describes how severe plastic deformations (SPD) can solve this dilemma but lacking experimental proof. Here, we introduce dynamic rotational diamond anvil cell with rough diamond anvils to impose SPD on San Carlos olivine. While olivine never transformed to spinel at room temperature, we obtained reversible olivine‐ringwoodite PT under SPD at 15–28 GPa within tens of seconds. The PT pressure reduces with increasing dislocation density, microstrain, plastic strain, and decreasing crystallite size. Results demonstrate a new strain‐induced PT mechanism compared to a pressure/temperature‐induced one. Combined with SPD during olivine subduction, this mechanism can accelerate olivine‐ringwoodite PT from millions of years to timescales relevant to earthquakes.

Lin, F. [Iowa State Univ., Ames, IA (United States↗