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At least 451 records · Page 25

The good, the bad, and the ugly: Data-driven load profile discord identification in a large building portfolio

Reducing the overall energy consumption and associated greenhouse gas emissions in the building sector is essential for meeting our future sustainability goals. Recently, smart energy metering facilities have been deployed to enable monitoring of energy consumption data with hourly or subhourly temporal resolution. This unprecedented data collection has created various opportunities for advanced data analytics involving load profiles (e.g., building energy benchmarking programs, building-to-grid integration, and calibration of urban-scale energy models). These applications often need preprocessing steps to detect daily load profile discords, such as: 1) outliers due to system malfunctions (the bad) and 2) irregular energy consumption patterns, such as those resulting from holidays (the ugly) compared to normal consumption patterns (the good). However, current preprocessing methods predominantly focus on filtering using statistical threshold values, which fail to capture the contextual discords of daily profiles. In addition, discord detection algorithms in building research are often aimed at finding individual building-level discords, which are not suitable at a large scale. Thus, here, we develop a method for automated load profile discord identification (ALDI) in a large portfolio of buildings (more than 100 buildings). Specifically, ALDI 1) uses the matrix profile (MP) method to quantify the similarities of daily subsequences in time series meter data, 2) compares daily MP values with typical-day MP distributions using the Kolmogorov-Smirnov test, and 3) identifies daily load profile discords in a large building portfolio. We evaluate ALDI using the metering data of both an academic campus and a residential neighborhood. Our results demonstrate that ALDI efficiently discovers measurement errors by system malfunctions and low energy consumption days in the academic campus portfolio, and it detects unique load shape patterns likely driven by occupant behavior and extreme weather conditions in the residential neighborhood.

32 ENERGY CONSERVATION, CONSUMPTION, AND UTILIZATI↗

Physics-Informed Gaussian Process Regression for States Estimation and Forecasting in Power Grids

Real-time state estimation and forecasting are critical for the efficient operation of power grids. In this paper, a physics-informed Gaussian process regression (PhI-GPR) method is presented and used for forecasting and estimating the phase angle, angular speed, and wind mechanical power of a three-generator power grid system using sparse measurements. In standard data-driven Gaussian process regression (GPR), parameterized models for the prior statistics are fit by maximizing the marginal likelihood of observed data. In the PhI-GPR method, we propose to compute the prior statistics offline by solving stochastic differential equations (SDEs) governing the power grid dynamics. The short-term forecast of a power grid system dominated by wind generation is complicated by the stochastic nature of the wind and the resulting uncertainty in wind mechanical power. Here, we assume that the power grid dynamics are governed by swing equations, with the wind mechanical power fluctuating randomly in time. We solve these equations for the mean and covariances of the power grid states using the Monte Carlo simulation method. We demonstrate that the proposed PhI-GPR method can accurately forecast and estimate observed and unobserved states. For the considered problem, PhI-GPR has computational advantages over the ensemble Kalman filter (EnKF) method: In PhI-GPR, ensembles are computed offline and independently of the data acquisition process, whereas for EnFK, ensembles are computed online with data acquisition, rendering real-time forecast more challenging. We also demonstrate that the PhI-GPR forecast is more accurate than the EnKF forecast when the random mechanical wind power is non-Markovian. In contrast, the two methods produce similar forecasts for the Markovian mechanical wind power. For observed states, we show that PhI-GPR provides a forecast comparable to the standard data-driven GPR; both forecasts are significantly more accurate than the autoregressive integrated moving average (ARIMA) forecast. We also show that the ARIMA forecast is more sensitive to observation frequency and measurement errors than the PhI-GPR forecast.

24 POWER TRANSMISSION AND DISTRIBUTION↗

Development of metallic nuclear material purification process via simultaneous chlorination and volatilization

Here, a purification process involving simultaneous chlorination and volatilization is reported using aluminum, iron, gallium, and uranium separation from cerium metal as the demonstration system. Anhydrous Cl 2 gas was reacted with the metal after it had been converted to small particles of hydride at temperatures ranging from 523 to 973 K. Each of the impurities should form chlorides with relatively high saturated vapor pressures. The objective of the process was to volatilize these chlorides after first achieving near-complete conversion of the metals to hydride and then chlorides. Complete conversion of hydrides to chlorides could not be achieved using relatively low-grade (99.5%) Cl 2 . High decontamination factors for all of the metal impurities required near complete conversion to chloride. It was concluded that oxygen contamination of the feed gas stream likely limits the conversion to chlorides by forming oxides instead, which then limits the volatilization of contaminants. Uranium was particularly challenging to remove in experiments suspected of having high oxygen contamination in the feed gas stream. After switching to ultra-high purity (99.999%) Cl 2 , complete conversion to chlorides within the measurement error was possible for the entire temperature range studied. Decontamination factors for aluminum, iron, gallium, and uranium were found to have average values of 1.9, 9.8, 14, and 5, respectively, at 973 K. While the process was most extensively studied using a once-through gas flow, recycling unreacted Cl 2 gas succeeded at minimizing waste while still maintaining complete conversion and similar decontamination factors.

37 INORGANIC, ORGANIC, PHYSICAL, AND ANALYTICAL CH↗

A metal-ceramic coaxial cable with multipoint Fabry-Pérot interferometers for monitoring distributed high temperature

A metal ceramic coaxial cable (MCCC) sensor containing multiple Fabry-Pérot interferometers (FPIs) has been designed, fabricated, and evaluated for measuring distributed high temperatures. The MCCC sensor demonstrated here consists of stainless steel tube and wire conductors, alumina tube insulator, and three pairs of air gap reflectors distributed along the cable. The multipoint sensor operation is realized by the joint time-frequency domain technique, which combines the functions of time-domain reflectometry and frequency division multiplexing to enable the measurement of spatially distributed temperature. The 3-point MCCC-FPI sensor has been demonstrated for distributed temperature measurements between 250 and 550 °C and operability up to 1000 °C. The sensor offers high sensitivity of >0.18 MHz/°C with a measurement resolution of 1 Hz and reasonably small high temperature measurement error range of ±3 °C.

42 ENGINEERING↗

Inadequacy of current approaches for characterizing membrane transport properties at high salinities

Cost optimal design of osmotic membrane processes requires an accurate estimate of membrane transport parameters across their full operational range. However, standard approaches for estimating these parameters rely on empirical methods, the accuracy of which remains unquantified as a function of temperature, salinity, and measurement error. Herein, we present a systematic accuracy analysis of previously developed methods for estimation of membrane transport properties in reverse osmosis, high-pressure reverse osmosis, forward osmosis, pressure retarded reverse osmosis, and osmotically assisted reverse osmosis. We use a Monte Carlo approach to sample the full range of feasible membrane water permeabilities, salt permeabilities, structural parameters, and operating conditions for these processes. These material and process parameters are then incorporated into a physical transport model for each process. Our analysis shows that the statistical uncertainty of current empirical methods for estimating membrane parameters increases by 5 times from low-salinity to high-salinity conditions. Here, the result of this work demonstrates that empirical methods are inadequate for precisely estimating membrane transport properties at high salinity and highlight a critical need for the development of statistically validated higher accuracy methods.

42 ENGINEERING↗

Accounting for erroneous model structures in biokinetic process models

In engineering practice, model-based design requires not only a good process-based model, but also a good description of stochastic disturbances and measurement errors to learn credible parameter values from observations. However, typical methods use Gaussian error models, which often cannot describe the complex temporal patterns of residuals. Consequently, this results in overconfidence in the identified parameters and, in turn, optimistic reactor designs. Here, we assess the strengths and weaknesses of a method to statistically describe these patterns with autocorrelated error models. This method produces increased widths of the credible prediction intervals following the inclusion of the bias term, in turn leading to more conservative design choices. However, we also show that the augmented error model is not a universal tool, as its application cannot guarantee the desired reliability of the resulting wastewater reactor design.

42 ENGINEERING↗

Experimental characterization of extreme temperature granular flows for solar thermal energy transport and storage

High-temperature, dense granular flows along an inclined plane were considered for solar thermal energy transport and storage with sintered bauxite particles. A series of experiments was performed for particle inlet temperatures of ~ 200, 400, 600, and 800 °C to understand the mechanisms of granular flows at extreme temperatures. Mass flow rates were measured using a load cell and free-surface velocities were measured and computed using particle image velocimetry. Surface temperatures were measured using infrared cameras. A significant decrease in steady-state particle mass flow rate was observed with increasing temperature due to changing flow properties. A decrease in bulk particle free-surface velocities was observed at higher temperatures. Free-surface velocity measurement error between experiments were within 20% of the average. The particle surface temperatures decreased from inlet to outlet with larger gradients at higher temperatures observed due to increasing convection and radiative heat losses. Here, a decrease in temperature was observed along the side walls due to a decrease in particle velocities.

14 SOLAR ENERGY↗

A flexible class of priors for orthonormal matrices with basis function-specific structure

Statistical modeling of high-dimensional matrix-valued data motivates the use of a low-rank representation that simultaneously summarizes key characteristics of the data and enables dimension reduction. Low-rank representations commonly factor the original data into the product of orthonormal basis functions and weights, where each basis function represents an independent feature of the data. However, the basis functions in these factorizations are typically computed using algorithmic methods that cannot quantify uncertainty or account for basis function correlation structure a priori. While there exist Bayesian methods that allow for a common correlation structure across basis functions, empirical examples motivate the need for basis function-specific dependence structure. We propose a prior distribution for orthonormal matrices that can explicitly model basis function-specific structure. The prior is used within a general probabilistic model for singular value decomposition to conduct posterior inference on the basis functions while accounting for measurement error and fixed effects. We discuss how the prior specification can be used for various scenarios and demonstrate favorable model properties through synthetic data examples. Finally, we apply our method to two-meter air temperature data from the Pacific Northwest, enhancing our understanding of the Earth system’s internal variability.

97 MATHEMATICS AND COMPUTING↗

Multiresolution Quantum Chemistry: Nonlinear Response Properties at the Basis Set Limit

We benchmark the accuracy of Dunning correlation-consistent Gaussian basis sets for computing frequencydependent second-order hyperpolarizabilities relevant to second-harmonic generation (SHG), using multiresolution analysis (MRA) as a reference. Basis set errors are analyzed using a unit-sphere representation of the effective hyperpolarizability vector, enabling direct assessment of directional error structure. We introduce a relative RMS total error metric that integrates directional deviations over the unit sphere and complement it with signed projection errors that distinguish over- and underestimation. Unsupervised clustering based on these signed directional metrics reveals four distinct convergence behaviors across a set of 68 molecules. Unitsphere visualizations of representative systems show that basis set errors are often highly anisotropic and localized along specific bond directions, even when global error measures appear small. Doubly augmented basis sets consistently outperform singly augmented ones, and core-polarization functions are required for uniform convergence in second-row systems. Overall, this work demonstrates that directional analysis combined with clustering provides a robust framework for understanding basis set convergence in nonlinear optical response properties.

Basis sets↗

Author Correction: Proton irradiation-decelerated intergranular corrosion of Ni-Cr alloys in molten salt

In the original version of this article, numbers for the beam current densities were incorrectly given as 1.5, 2.0, and 2.5 mA cm -2 in various locations, instead of the correct values 0.3, 0.4, and 0.5 mA cm -2 . This was owing to a measurement error coming from the indirect correspondence between the Faraday cup and the beam profile monitor (BPM) on the accelerator as the proton beam traveling along the beamline resulted in mismatching between calculated values and real beam currents, which were obtained by ex-situ calibration. The following changes have been made in the correct version. The eighth sentence of the Results, and the figure legend of Fig. 2j state '0.3, 0.4, 0.5 mA cm -2 ' in place of '1.5, 2.0, 2.5 mA cm -2 '. The figure legend of Fig. 1j–l states '0.5, 0.4, 0.3 mA cm -2 ' in place of '2.5, 2.0, 1.5 mA cm -2 '. Figure 1e states '0.5 mA cm -2 ' in place of '2.5 mA cm -2 ', Fig. 1h states '0.4 mA cm -2 ' in place of '2.0 mA cm -2 ', and Fig. 1k states ‘0.3 mA cm -2 ' in place of ‘1.5 mA cm -2 '. Figure 2c states '0.5 mA cm -2 ' in place of '2.5 mA cm -2 ', Fig. 2d states '0.4 mA cm -2 ' in place of '2.0 mA cm -2 ', and Fig. 2e states '0.3 mA cm -2 ' in place of '1.5 mA cm -2 '. Figure 2j and k states ‘0.3 mA cm -2 ', '0.4 mA cm -2 ', '0.5 mA cm -2 ' in place of '1.5 mA cm -2 ', '2.0 mA cm -2 ', and '2.5 mA cm -2 ', respectively. The figure legend of Fig. 3b states '0.4 mA cm -2 ' in place of '2.0 mA cm -2 '. The figure legend of Supplementary Fig. 1 states '0.5 mA cm -2 ' in place of '2.5 mA cm -2 '. This has been corrected in the PDF and HTML versions of the Article.

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗

Parallelized telecom quantum networking with an ytterbium-171 atom array

The integration of quantum computers and sensors into a quantum network enables new capabilities in quantum information science. Most networks with atom-like qubits operate at visible or near-ultraviolet wavelengths and require conversion to the telecom band for long-distance communication, which reduces efficiency and potentially introduces noise. In this article we report high-fidelity entanglement between ytterbium-171 atoms and optical photons generated directly in the telecommunication band, where fibre loss is low. The nuclear spin of the atom is entangled with a single photon in the time-bin basis, yielding a high atom-measurement-corrected atom–photon Bell state fidelity. This can be further improved by addressing photon measurement errors. By imaging the atom array onto an optical fibre array, we also implement a parallelized networking protocol that can increase the remote entanglement rate proportionately with the number of channels. We also preserve coherence on a memory qubit during operations on communication qubits. These results support the integration of atomic systems into scalable quantum networks.

73 NUCLEAR PHYSICS AND RADIATION PHYSICS↗

APOGEE-2S Mg–Al anti-correlation of the metal-poor globular cluster NGC 2298

We present detailed elemental abundances and radial velocities of stars in the metal-poor globular cluster (GC) NGC 2298, based on near-infrared high-resolution ($R$ ~ 22 500) spectra of 12 members obtained during the second phase of the Apache Point Observatory Galactic Evolution Experiment (APOGEE-2) at Las Campanas Observatory as part of the seventeenth Data Release (DR 17) of the Sloan Digital Sky Survey IV (SDSS-IV). We employed the Brussels Automatic Code for Characterizing High accuracy Spectra (BACCHUS) software to investigate abundances for a variety of species including α elements (Mg, Si, and Ca), the odd-Z element Al, and iron-peak elements (Fe and Ni) located in the innermost regions of NGC 2298. We find a mean and median metallicity [Fe/H] = -1.76 and -1.75, respectively, with a star-to-star spread of 0.14 dex, which is compatible with the internal measurement errors. Thus, we find no evidence for an intrinsic [Fe/H] abundance spread in NGC 2298. The typical $α$-element enrichment in NGC 2298 is overabundant relative to the Sun, and it follows the trend of other metal-poor GCs. We confirm the existence of an Al-enhanced population in this cluster, which is clearly anti-correlated with Mg, indicating the prevalence of the multiple-population phenomenon in NGC 2298.

79 ASTRONOMY AND ASTROPHYSICS↗

Beyond optimization—supervised learning applications in relativistic laser-plasma experiments

We explore the applications of machine learning techniques in relativistic laser-plasma experiments beyond optimization purposes. We predict the beam charge of electrons produced in a laser wakefield accelerator given the laser wavefront change caused by a deformable mirror. Machine learning enables feature analysis beyond merely searching for an optimal beam charge, showing that specific aberrations in the laser wavefront are favored in generating higher beam charges. Supervised learning models allow characterizing the measured data quality as well as recognizing irreproducible data and potential outliers. Furthermore, we also include virtual measurement errors in the experimental data to examine the model robustness under these conditions. This work demonstrates how machine learning methods can benefit data analysis and physics interpretation in a highly nonlinear problem of relativistic laser-plasma interaction.

71 CLASSICAL AND QUANTUM MECHANICS, GENERAL PHYSIC↗

Thomson scattering on the large plasma device

We have developed a non-collective Thomson scattering diagnostic for measurements of electron density and temperature on the Large Plasma Device. A triple grating spectrometer with a tunable notch filter is used to discriminate the faint scattering signal from the stray light. In this paper, we describe the diagnostic and its calibration via Raman scattering and present the first measurements performed with the fully commissioned system. Depending on the discharge conditions, the measured densities and temperatures range from 4.0 × 10 12 to 2.8 × 10 13 cm -3 and from 1.2 to 6.8 eV, respectively. The variation of the measurement error with plasma parameters and discharges averaged is also discussed.

47 OTHER INSTRUMENTATION↗

Machine learning based unfolding of x-ray spectra from filter stack spectrometer data

We demonstrate the application of neural networks to perform x-ray spectra unfolding from data collected by filter stack spectrometers. A filter stack spectrometer consists of a series of filter-detector pairs, where the detectors behind each filter measure the energy deposition through each layer as photo-stimulated luminescence (PSL). The network is trained on synthetic data, assuming x-rays of energies < 1 MeV and of two different distribution functions (Maxwellian and Gaussian) and the corresponding measured PSL values obtained from five different filter stack spectrometer designs. Predicted unfolds of single distributions are near identical reproductions of the ground truth spectra, with differences in the values lower than 20% at the higher energy end in some cases. The neural network has also demonstrated robustness to experimental measurement errors of < 5% and some capability of performing unfolds for linear combinations of the two distributions without previous training. The network can perform unfolds at rates > 1 Hz, ideal for application to some high-repetition-rate systems.

47 OTHER INSTRUMENTATION↗

4D beam matrix reconstruction in particle accelerators

Transverse beam parameters in particle accelerators are commonly described using the Twiss parameters, which are experimentally accessible yet inherently limited because they neglect correlations between different transverse coordinates. Such correlations frequently arise from uncompensated cathode magnetic fields or misaligned focusing quadrupoles, affecting beam quality and accelerator performance. To address this limitation, we propose and validate a novel diagnostic method for the complete four-dimensional (4D) transverse beam matrix. Our method involves passing the beam through a beamline comprising both conventional and skew quadrupole magnets, followed by downstream measurements of the resulting two-dimensional (2D) beam profiles. These measurements represent distinct 2D projections of the underlying 4D transverse phase–space distribution. By systematically varying quadrupole strengths, multiple independent projections of the beam phase space are obtained. We reconstruct the original 4D beam matrix from these measured projections using an optimization-based least-square fit, providing fast and robust reconstruction regardless of the specific beamline configuration. Through extensive numerical simulations and realistic particle-tracking studies, we demonstrate the diagnostic’s accuracy, robustness, and capability to achieve reconstruction uncertainties smaller than measurement errors, particularly when employing sufficient numbers of quadrupole scans. This method presents a powerful and flexible approach for comprehensive beam characterization and accelerator tuning.

43 PARTICLE ACCELERATORS↗

Label-free quantum super-resolution imaging using entangled multi-mode squeezed light

Abstract In this study, we explore the theoretical application of entangled multi-mode squeezed light for label-free optical super-resolution imaging. By generating massively entangled multi-mode squeezed light through an array of balanced beam splitters, using a single-mode squeezed light input, we create a multi-mode quantum light state with exceptional entanglement and noise suppression below the shot noise level. This significantly reduces imaging measurement errors compared to classical coherent state light imaging when the same number of photons are used on the imaging sample. We demonstrate how to optimize the imaging system’s parameters to achieve the Heisenberg imaging error limit, taking into account the number of entangled modes and photons used. We also examine the effects of optical losses in the imaging system, necessitating adjustments to the optimized parameters based on the degree of optical loss. In practical applications, this new quantum imaging approach reduces the number of photons needed to achieve the same image quality by two orders of magnitude compared to classical imaging methods that use non-entangled, non-squeezed coherent state light.

Soh, Daniel (ORCID:0000000325625675)↗

Fringing Analysis and Simulation for the Vera C. Rubin Observatory’s Legacy Survey of Space and Time

Abstract The presence of fringing in astronomical Charge-Coupled Device (CCD) images will have an impact on photometric quality and measurements. Yet its impact on the Vera C. Rubin Observatory’s Legacy Survey of Space and Time (LSST) has not been fully studied. We present a detailed study on fringing for CCDs already implemented on the Rubin Observatory LSST Camera’s focal plane. After making physical measurements and knowing the compositions, we developed a model for the e2v CCDs. We present a method to fit for the internal height variation of the epoxy layer within the sensors based on fringing measurements in a laboratory setting. This method is generic enough that it can be easily modified to work for other CCDs. Using the derived fringing model, we successfully reproduce comparable fringing amplitudes that match the observed levels in images taken by existing telescopes with different optical designs. This model is then used to forecast the expected level of fringing in a single LSST y -band sky background exposure with Rubin telescope optics in the presence of a realistic time-varying sky spectrum. The predicted fringing amplitude in LSST images ranges from 0.04% to 0.2% depending on the location of a CCD on the focal plane. We find that the predicted variation in surface brightness caused by fringing in LSST y -band sky background images is about 0.6 μ Jy arcsec − 2 , which is 40 times larger than the current measurement error. We conclude that it is necessary to include fringing correction in the Rubin’s LSST image processing pipeline.

Astronomy & Astrophysics↗