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Search indexed NASA NTRS and DOE OSTI research on propulsion, heat transfer, battery materials and energy systems. Follow report and document links to the original sources.

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At least 451 records · Page 25

Communicating Metrics of Land Surface Temperature Variability Using Multi-sensor Machine Learning

Land surface temperature (LST) is a key climate observable used to detect changes in the Earth’s surface energy budget that influence carbon and water cycles. Land surface temperature exhibits strong diurnal variability, which geostationary satellites can observe at scale thanks to their temporal resolution. Due to anthropogenic climate and land use changes, the surface energy balance has been considerably modified and may be described by changes in diurnal temperature range and extremes. Using high performance computing and datasets from the NASA Earth Exchange, we exploit co-located, co-temporal observations from low-earth orbit (LEO) and geostationary (GEO) sensors to develop a deep learning-based method for LEO-to-GEO algorithm emulation. Our model is trained to predict MODIS Terra LST from GOES-16 thermal bands and achieves validation error <2K. Application of the model to unseen times of day (observed by MODIS Aqua) and a new GEO sensor (Himawari-8) observing an unseen spatial domain, demonstrate the generalization of the deep learning model across space, time and spectra. Further, time series clustering approaches are examined with the objective of identifying key indicators of change in diurnal cycling and extremes on a continental scale. Communicating LST variability observed by geostationary satellites can have impacts in multiple disciplines, from understanding of snow, vegetation and soil dynamics, to recognizing trends in heat events relevant to human health.

Kate Duffy↗

A generalizable machine learning approach to predict land surface temperature

Monitoring of land surface and atmospheric states is highly reliant on satellite data. Traditionally, data products are generated using carefully tuned and validated algorithms for low-earth orbit (LEO) sensors. However, the emerging constellation of geostationary (GEO) sensors contributes global, high temporal resolution observations which can better capture the diurnal variability of key observables like land surface temperature (LST). Using high performance computing and datasets from the NASA Earth Exchange, we exploit co-located, co-temporal observations from LEO and GEO satellites to develop a deep learning-based method for sensor-to-sensor algorithm emulation. Our model is trained on GOES-16 thermal bands to predict MODIS Terra LST and achieves a validation error <2K. Further, application of the model to unseen times of day and a second GEO sensor observing an unseen spatial domain demonstrate the generalization of the deep learning model across space, time and spectra. We anticipate that the synergies between a variety of active orbit configurations can be used to accelerate application of existing algorithms to new datasets.

Kate Marie Duffy↗

Simons Observatory HoloSim-ML: Machine Learning Applied to the Efficient Analysis of Radio Holography Measurements of Complex Optical Systems

Near-field radio holography is a common method for measuring and aligning mirror surfaces for millimeter andsub-millimeter telescopes. In instruments with more than a single mirror, degeneracies arise in the holographymeasurement, requiring multiple measurements and new fitting methods. We present HoloSim-ML, a Pythoncode for beam simulation and analysis of radio holography data from complex optical systems. This code usesmachine learning to efficiently determine the position of hundreds of mirror adjusters on multiple mirrors with fewmicrometer accuracy. We apply this approach to the example of the Simons Observatory 6 m telescope.

Grace E Chesmore↗

A Novel Machine Learning Method for Surface PM2.5 Estimations from Geostationary Satellites

Particulate matter (PM) with a diameter of less or equal to 2.5 μm, known as PM , affects human health as it penetrates the respiratory system. The Environmental Protection Agency (EPA) measures the atmospheric concentration of PM using air quality monitors stationed throughout the Continental United States (CONUS). Such measurements are points on a spatial domain and therefore, might not be representative of the air quality at nearby areas considering that the composition of the atmosphere is highly variable from place to place. Satellite based AOD permits a spatially uniform means of estimating PM and new geostationary satellites provide high temporal and spatial resolution estimation of AOD. However, the concentration of PM is non-linearly dependent on other atmospheric parameters that include relative humidity, temperature, and height of the planetary boundary layer. This information may be estimated at similar spatial and temporal resolutions as AOD from numerical modeling such as from the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration’s (NOAA) High Resolution Rapid Refresh (HRRR) model which resolves near real-time atmospheric conditions over the CONUS. The estimation of PM concentration is a multi-parametric problem that considers the effect of temporal dependencies among the different parameters. Deep learning approaches are appropriate for such complex estimation problems as they intrinsically capture relations among multiple non-linear parameters. This study compares deep-learning methods to traditional regression analysis to demonstrate the capabilities of these methods in predicting PM2.5 concentrations. Additionally, a novel ensemble learning approach is employed to identify scientific processes that could further improve the estimation of PM concentration. Utilizing Long Short-Term Memory (LSTM) neural networks, which are suitable for multivariate time series estimation problems as they are capable of learning long-term dependencies, individual models are created for each EPA station and trained on the aforementioned dataset collocated over each station. Individual station models are merged if the model's performance is improved by reducing the root mean squared error (RMSE) metric. This ensemble training method ultimately reduces the RMSE value. Evaluation of these results provide insights into physical processes and related observable parameters that may contribute to PM concentrations. Identified parameters evaluated to be statistically different between the merged and unmerged models are expected to improve overall performance. These new parameters are then utilized for reevaluation of the deep learning methods with an extreme gradient boosting model with an RMSE of 5.5 providing the best results.

George Priftis↗