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Search indexed NASA NTRS and DOE OSTI research on propulsion, heat transfer, battery materials and energy systems. Follow report and document links to the original sources.

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At least 451 records · Page 25
All sourcesNASA NTRSDOE OSTI
DOE OSTI2020

A Geometric Measure Theory Approach to Identify Complex Structural Features on Soft Matter Surfaces

The structural features that protrude above or below a soft matter interface are well-known to be related to interfacially mediated chemical reactivity and transport processes. It is a challenge to develop a robust algorithm for identifying these organized surface structures, as the morphology can be highly varied and they may exist on top of an interface containing significant interfacial roughness. A new algorithm that employs concepts from geometric measure theory, algebraic topology, and optimization is developed to identify candidate structures at a soft matter surface, and then, using a probabilistic approach, to rank their likelihood of being a complex structural feature. The algorithm is tested for a surfactant laden water/oil interface, where it is robust to identifying protrusions responsible for water transport against a set identified by visual inspection. To our knowledge, this is the first example of applying geometric measure theory to analyze the properties of a chemical/materials science system.

37 INORGANIC, ORGANIC, PHYSICAL, AND ANALYTICAL CH↗
DOE OSTI2021

Lattice Dynamics and Optoelectronic Properties of Vacancy-Ordered Double Perovskite Cs 2 TeX 6 (X = Cl – , Br – , I – ) Single Crystals

The soft, dynamic lattice of inorganic lead halide perovskite CsPbX 3 (X = Cl ⁻ , Br ⁻ , I ⁻ ) leads to the emergence of many interesting photophysical and optoelectronic phenomena. However, probing their lattice dynamics with vibrational spectroscopy remains challenging. The influence of the fundamental octahedral building block in the perovskite lattice can be better resolved in zero-dimensional (0D) vacancy-ordered double perovskites of form A 2 BX 6 . Here we study Cs 2 TeX 6 (X = Cl ⁻ , Br ⁻ , I ⁻ ) single crystals to yield detailed insight into the fundamental octahedral building block and to explore the effect that its isolation in the crystal structure has on structural and electronic properties. The isolated [TeX 6 ] 2- octahedral units serve as the vibrational, absorbing, and emitting centers within the crystal. Serving as the vibrational centers, the isolated octahedra inform the likelihood of a random distribution of 10 octahedral symmetries within the mixed-halide spaces, as well as the presence of strong exciton-phonon coupling and anharmonic lattice dynamics. Serving as the absorbing and emitting centers, the isolated octahedra exhibit compositionally tunable absorption (1.50-3.15 eV) and emission (1.31-2.11 eV) energies. Due to greater molecular orbital overlap between neighboring octahedra with increasing halide anion size, there is a transition from a more molecule-like electronic structure in Cs 2 TeCl 6 and Cs 2 TeBr 6 -as expected from the effective 0D nature of these single crystals-to a dispersive electronic structure in Cs 2 TeI 6 , typical of three-dimensional (3D) bulk single crystals.

37 INORGANIC, ORGANIC, PHYSICAL, AND ANALYTICAL CH↗
DOE OSTI2025

Fundamental Interactions of Bimetallic Cu x Pd y ( x + y = 4) Clusters Supported on the α-WC(0001) Surface and Their Performance for CO 2 Adsorption and Dissociation

The tungsten carbide α-WC(0001) surface, an active system for the activation of H 2 and important hydrogenation processes involving unsaturated hydrocarbons, can serve as a support of bimetallic clusters to produce materials with unique catalytic properties, opening routes for a wide range of technical applications. In particular, Cu x Pd y clusters are of particular interest because they combine metals with different properties. A stochastic method was applied to obtain the geometry of Cu x Pd y (x + y = 4) bare clusters, evaluating thousands of possibilities to obtain stable structures, yielding one isomer for Cu 4 , Cu 2 Pd 2 , Cu 1 Pd 3 , and Pd 4 and two isomers for Cu 3 Pd 1 . These clusters were supported on C and W terminations of the tungsten carbide (0001) surface, exploring all of the binding possibilities. The adsorption energies on the C and W terminations are in the ranges from −2.51 to −3.02 eV and from −2.26 to −3.30 eV, respectively. The strongest and weakest binding was seen for monometallic Cu 4 and Pd 4 clusters on both C and W terminations, while the Cu-Pd bimetallics have intermediate adsorption energies but lack a clear trend in terms of composition. The location of Cu x Pd y clusters over the (0001) surface induces a decrease in the work function relative to the pristine surface, while the cluster-surface Bader charge transfer and variations in the partial density of states point to changes in the electronic structure of the carbide atoms upon binding of the metallic clusters. The d-band center of the Cu x Pd y deposited on WC(0001) indicates an intermediate reactivity among Cu(111) and Pd(111) surfaces, modulating the reactivity with small numbers of Cu and Pd atoms, i.e., atom economy in catalyst design. The likelihood of existence of the most stable Cu x Pd y (x + y = 4) clusters in the temperature range of 298-400 K is 100%. The composite Cu x Pd y /α-WC(0001) (x + y = 4), is a nontrivial system since 22 isomers are needed to completely describe its structural properties. Among the isomers, seven structures are necessary to represent Cu 3 Pd 1 /α-WC(0001), five for Pd 4 /α-WC(0001), two for Cu 4 /α-WC(0001), and four for Cu 2 Pd 2 /α-WC(0001) and Cu 1 Pd 3 /α-WC(0001). The large number of cluster isomers supported on the tungsten carbide surface opens the door for several applications in the heterogeneous catalysis of the Cu x Pd y /α-WC(0001) composite, with the possibility of modulating the geometric, electronic, and chemical properties according to a desired application. Test studies for the adsorption of CO 2 indicate that the Cu x Pd y /α-WC(0001) composites are highly active for the adsorption and decomposition of the molecule, with bimetallic and admetal-carbide interactions playing a key role in the binding performance. In conclusion, this high activity indicates that these systems should be useful as catalysts for the conversion of CO 2 to oxygenates or light alkanes.

37 INORGANIC, ORGANIC, PHYSICAL, AND ANALYTICAL CH↗
DOE OSTI2023

Mechanistic Insights into Processive Polyethylene Hydrogenolysis through In Situ NMR

Chemical polymer upcycling by processive catalysts is a promising plastic waste remediation strategy, with the capability of producing selective, high-value products from waste plastics with minimal energy input. We previously designed a novel processive catalyst with a mesoporous SiO 2 shell/Pt nanoparticle/SiO 2 core architecture (mSiO 2 /Pt/SiO 2 ) that deconstructs polyolefins within narrow pores. Here, in this paper, we elucidate the mechanism of processive polyolefin hydrogenolysis using in situ magic-angle spinning (MAS) nuclear magnetic resonance (NMR) spectroscopy and coarse-grained molecular dynamics simulations. We observe that most polyethylene–Pt interactions do not lead to C–C bond cleavage but rather to the release of the polymer via a dehydrogenation–rehydrogenation cycle. The porous architecture increases the likelihood that a released polymer is later cleaved and enables the catalyst to perform multiple successive cleavages to the same polymer chain. Both experiment and simulation show that the extent of processivity is strongly correlated with the length of the pores, with longer pores leading to a higher processivity.

37 INORGANIC, ORGANIC, PHYSICAL, AND ANALYTICAL CH↗
DOE OSTI2021

Influence of Calendering on the Electrochemical Performance of LiNi 0.9 Mn 0.05 Al 0.05 O 2 Cathodes in Lithium-Ion Cells

Electrode calendering is a necessary process used in industry to improve the volumetric capacity of lithium-ion batteries. However, calendering high-nickel cathodes leads to electrode particle pulverization, raising concerns of a reduced cycle life due to parasitic side reactions. We present here an investigation of the impact of calendering on the morphology and electrochemical performance of the cobalt-free layered oxide cathode LiNi 0.9 Mn 0.05 Al 0.05 O 2 (NMA-90). We find that secondary particle pulverization and fusion simultaneously occur at sufficiently high pressures. The initial surface area of the cathode is shown to increase with the degree of calendering, despite the higher likelihood of secondary particle fusion. Long-term cycling of full coin cells assembled with the NMA-90 cathode and the graphite anode indicates that cells with higher degrees of cathode calendering exhibit lower capacity fade compared to uncalendered cathodes. Hybrid pulse-power tests demonstrate that the usable capacity range of cells with calendered cathodes far exceeds those with uncalendered cells after long-term cycling. The improved capacity retention and pulse-power performance are attributed to the enhanced mechanical properties of the electrode after calendering that prevents loss of the primary particle contact during long-term cycling. As a result, we find that calendering high-nickel NMA-90 to industrially relevant densities does not have a detrimental effect on capacity fade, marking an important step toward commercial adoption.

25 ENERGY STORAGE↗
DOE OSTI2024

Aircraft Measurements from a U.S. Western Wildfire Demonstrating Day and Night Differences in the Chemical Composition and Optical Properties of Biomass Burning Aerosols and Their Atmospheric Evolution

The composition and transformations of biomass burning aerosols (BBA) have been measured onboard the NOAA Twin Otter research aircraft during the Fire Influence on Regional to Global Environments and Air Quality field study. Here, we analyze real-time aerosol mass spectrometry measurements across three flights during the afternoon, late afternoon, and night of August 28, 2019, for one midsized wildfire. Analysis of several metrics showed that the aerosol composition and optical properties varied depending on the burning conditions at the fire zone and the time of day the BBA was emitted, with substantial variations in the available sunlight. The total aerosol mass loadings were dominated by organic components with a much smaller contribution from inorganic species. A gradual buildup of organic material was observed during the afternoon as the plume aged, indicating the condensation of photochemically formed low-volatility oxidized organic compounds. Highly hygroscopic ammonium nitrate was the main inorganic component, suggesting potential water content in BBA particles and the likelihood of their aqueous-phase reactivity. Depletions of particle-phase NO 3 – and Cl – relative to carbon monoxide were observed in the late afternoon and nighttime plumes, respectively, aligning with known gas-particle partitioning thermodynamics and the heterogeneous chemistry of dissolved nitrate and chloride. The wavelength-dependent light absorption by aerosol species was higher for the plume sampled at night and showed no significant changes with plume age, despite observed trends in composition and mass downwind. These differences in particle composition and optical properties demonstrate that the processes involved in BBA aging are not uniform for the same wildfire over the course of the day and depend highly on when the BBA was emitted, as well as the burning phase at the emissions source.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗
DOE OSTI2025

Reproducibility of Radiokrypton in Deep Desert Aquifers: Insights from a Decade of Research

Great technical advances have been achieved since the first atom-trap trace analysis (ATTA) -based radiokrypton application in Egypt, where 1 Myr old groundwater was discovered. Beyond advances in ATTA measurement capabilities, including reduction in sample size, analysis duration, and analytical uncertainty, major progress has been achieved over the past two decades in the sample collection and preparation techniques. These advances paved the expansion of ATTA-based noble gas applications to many other aquifers worldwide, illuminating the nature and flow pattern of deep groundwater systems. While the potential of this new analytical technique for old groundwater dating is well recognized, another important aspect yet to be examined is the reproducibility of radiokrypton in aquifers over time, i.e., how representative is a discrete groundwater sample, collected at a specific time and location, for the natural groundwater system? The likelihood of a negative answer is increased by flow-field disturbance in aquifers following massive groundwater abstraction. Here, in this work, we present repeated 81 Kr sampling and measurements in twenty-one sites over Israel, mostly of deep (up to 1 km) wells tapping confined aquifers in the arid to hyperarid Negev desert. The results demonstrate that radiokrypton measurements are indeed reproducible, even in cases where samples were collected as long as nine years apart and from highly productive (∼1 Mm 3 /yr order) pumping wells. Furthermore, many of the repeated measurements in this study (17 out of the 21 sites) were conducted with different ATTA Instruments in two different laboratories using slightly different sampling, preparation, and analysis techniques, yet with an overall good agreement. The consistency in the ATTA-based 81 Kr-dating results over time highlights the robustness of this state-of-the-art technique as a tool to unravel groundwater flow patterns and encourages further applications to many other yet-to-be-explored deep aquifers.

atom-trap trace analysis↗
DOE OSTI2021

Diversifying Composition Leads to Hierarchical Composites with Design Flexibility and Structural Fidelity

Although significant progress has been made in the self-assembly of nanostructures, present successes heavily rely on precision in building block design, composition, and pair interactions. These requirements fundamentally limit our ability to synthesize macroscopic materials where the likelihood of impurity inclusion escalates and, more importantly, to access molecular-to-nanoscopic-to-microscopic-to-macroscopic hierarchies, since the types and compositions of building blocks vary at each stage. Inspired by biological blends and high-entropy alloys, we hypothesize that diversifying the blend’s composition can overcome these limitations. Increasing the number of components increases mixing entropy, leading to the dispersion of different components and, as a result, enhances interphase miscibility, weakens the dependence on specific pair interactions, and enables long-range cooperativity. This hypothesis is validated in complex blends containing small molecules, block copolymer-based supramolecules, and nanoparticles/colloidal particles. Hierarchically structured composites can be obtained with formulation flexibility in the filler selection and blend composition. It is worth noting that, by adding small molecules, we can solve the size constraint that plagues traditional block copolymer/nanoparticle blends. Detailed characterization and simulation further confirm that each component is distributed to locally mediate unfavorable interactions, cooperatively mitigate composition fluctuations, and retain structural fidelity. Furthermore, the blends have sufficient mobility to access tunable microstructures without compromising the order of the nanostructure. Besides establishing a kinetically viable pathway to release current constraints in the composite design and to navigate uncertainties during structure formation over multiple length scales, the present study demonstrates that entropy-driven behaviors can be realized in systems beyond high-entropy alloys despite inherent differences between metal alloys and organic/inorganic hybrids.

37 INORGANIC, ORGANIC, PHYSICAL, AND ANALYTICAL CH↗
DOE OSTI2025

Beyond Optimization: Exploring Novelty Discovery in Autonomous Experiments

Autonomous experiments (AEs) are transforming how scientific research is conducted by integrating artificial intelligence with automated experimental platforms. Current AEs primarily focus on the optimization of a predefined target; while accelerating this goal, such an approach limits the discovery of unexpected or unknown physical phenomena. Here, we introduce a novel framework, INS 2 ANE (Integrated Novelty Score−Strategic Autonomous Non-Smooth Exploration), to enhance the discovery of novel phenomena in autonomous microscopy experimentation. Our method integrates two key components: (1) a novelty scoring system that evaluates the uniqueness of experimental results and (2) a strategic sampling mechanism that promotes exploration of under-sampled regions even if they appear less promising by conventional criteria. We validate this approach on a preacquired data set with a known ground truth comprising of image−spectral pairs. We further implement the process on autonomous scanning probe microscopy experiments. INS 2 ANE significantly increases the diversity of explored phenomena in comparison to conventional optimization routines, enhancing the likelihood of discovering previously unobserved phenomena. These results demonstrate the potential for autonomous microscopy experiments to enhance the scientific discovery by navigating complex experimental spaces to uncover novel phenomena.

Materials↗
DOE OSTI2022

Novel Amorphous Carbons for the Adsorption of Phosphate: Part I. Elucidation of Chemical Structure of N-Metal-Doped Chars

Due to phosphate’s necessity in agriculture and its danger to the environment, the development of adsorbents for its removal has been the subject of intensive research activity. Although the introduction of nitrogen functionality to chars and modification of biochar with metals have proven to change the character of the char structure, making it more active toward nutrients, there is no study regarding the doping of biochar with metals and nitrogen simultaneously for the adsorption of phosphates. This paper is the first of two in which we report the production, characterization, and evaluation of N-metal-doped biochars from cellulose for phosphate removal from liquid effluents. In this part, we describe the production and characterization of N-Ca-, N-Fe-, and N-Mg-doped biochars. The elemental composition and surface area of each of the materials produced is reported. Elemental and surface characterization of the chars are reported with the largest N content appearing at a temperature of 800 °C (12.5 wt %) and a maximum surface area for biochar produced at 900 °C (1314 m2/g). All of the adsorbents were visualized by scanning electron microscope (SEM), confirming that although there are some crystals on the surface of the biochar produced, most of the N, Mg, and Ca are part of the polyaromatic ring structure. Transmission electron microscope (TEM) images clearly show the formation of nanoclusters with the metals in the case of N-Fe and N-Ca biochars. The N-Mg biochars show a uniform distribution of the Mg through the carbon surface. X-ray photoelectron spectroscopy (XPS) studies of the biochars produced with metals and varying nitrogen levels clearly show Mg and Ca peaks shifting their position in the presence of N, suggesting the formation of stable structures between metals and N in the carbon polyaromatic ring system. To elucidate the nature of these structures, we conducted DFT-based calculations on different configurations of the nitrogenated structures. The calculated binding energy shifts were found to closely match the XPS experimental binding energy, confirming the likelihood of these structures in biochar. Finally, based on our experimental and modeling results, we hypothesize that an important fraction of the Mg and Ca is introduced to these biochars at the edges. Another fraction of Mg and Ca is in the form of phthalocyanine-like internal structures. More experimental studies are needed to confirm the formation of these very interesting structures and their potential use as adsorbents or catalysts.

37 INORGANIC, ORGANIC, PHYSICAL, AND ANALYTICAL CH↗
DOE OSTI2022

The Single Residue K12 Governs the Exceptional Voltage Sensitivity of Mitochondrial Voltage-Dependent Anion Channel Gating

The voltage-dependent anion channel (VDAC) is a β-barrel channel of the mitochondrial outer membrane (MOM) that passively transports ions, metabolites, polypeptides, and single-stranded DNA. VDAC responds to a transmembrane potential by “gating,” i.e. transitioning to one of a variety of low-conducting states of unknown structure. The gated state results in nearly complete suppression of multivalent mitochondrial metabolite (such as ATP and ADP) transport, while enhancing calcium transport. Voltage gating is a universal property of β-barrel channels, but VDAC gating is anomalously sensitive to transmembrane potential. Here, we show that a single residue in the pore interior, K12, is responsible for most of VDAC’s voltage sensitivity. Using the analysis of over 40 μs of atomistic molecular dynamics (MD) simulations, we explore correlations between motions of charged residues inside the VDAC pore and geometric deformations of the β-barrel. Residue K12 is bistable; its motions between two widely separated positions along the pore axis enhance the fluctuations of the β-barrel and augment the likelihood of gating. Single channel electrophysiology of various K12 mutants reveals a dramatic reduction of the voltage-induced gating transitions. The crystal structure of the K12E mutant at a resolution of 2.6 Å indicates a similar architecture of the K12E mutant to the wild type; however, 60 μs of atomistic MD simulations using the K12E mutant show restricted motion of residue 12, due to enhanced connectivity with neighboring residues, and diminished amplitude of barrel motions. We conclude that β-barrel fluctuations, governed particularly by residue K12, drive VDAC gating transitions.

59 BASIC BIOLOGICAL SCIENCES↗
DOE OSTI2022

Molecular-Level Control over Ionic Conduction and Ionic Current Direction by Designing Macrocycle-Based Ionomers

Poor ionic conductivity of the catalyst-binding, submicrometer- thick ionomer layers in energy conversion and storage devices is a huge challenge. However, ionomers are rarely designed keeping in mind the specific issues associated with nanoconfinement. Here, we designed nature-inspired ionomers (calix-2) having hollow, macrocyclic, calix[4]arene-based repeat units with precise, sub-nanometer diameter. In ≤100 nm-thick films, the in-plane proton conductivity of calix-2 was up to 8 times higher than the current benchmark ionomer Nafion at 85% relative humidity (RH), while it was 1-2 orders of magnitude higher than Nafion at 20-25% RH. Confocal laser scanning microscopy and other synthetic techniques allowed us to demonstrate the role of macrocyclic cavities in boosting the proton conductivity. The systematic self-assembly of calix-2 chains into ellipsoids in thin films was evidenced from atomic force microscopy and grazing incidence small-angle X-ray scattering measurements. Moreover, the likelihood of alignment and stacking of macrocyclic units, the presence of one-dimensional water wires across this macrocycle stacks, and thus the formation of long-range proton conduction pathways were suggested by atomistic simulations. We not only did see an unprecedented improvement in thin-film proton conductivity but also saw an improvement in proton conductivity of bulk membranes when calix-2 was added to the Nafion matrices. Nafion-calix-2 composite membranes also took advantage of the asymmetric charge distribution across calix[4]arene repeat units collectively and exhibited voltage-gating behavior. The inclusion of molecular macrocyclic cavities into the ionomer chemical structure can thus emerge as a promising design concept for highly efficient ion-conducting and ion-permselective materials for sustainable energy applications.

37 INORGANIC, ORGANIC, PHYSICAL, AND ANALYTICAL CH↗
DOE OSTI2020

Microphysical Sensitivity of Superparameterized Precipitation Extremes in the Contiguous United States Due to Feedbacks on Large-Scale Circulation

Superparameterized (SP) global climate models have been shown to better simulate various features of precipitation relative to conventional models, including its diurnal cycle as well as its extremes. While various studies have focused on the effect of differing microphysics parameterizations on precipitation within limited-area cloud-resolving models, we examine here the effect on contiguous U.S. (CONUS) extremes in a global SP model. We vary the number of predicted moments for hydrometeor distributions, the character of the rimed ice species, and the representation of raindrop self-collection and breakup. Using a likelihood ratio test and accounting for the effects of multiple hypothesis testing, we find that there are some regional differences, particularly during spring and summer in the Southwest and the Midwest, in both the current climate and a warmer climate with uniformly increased sea surface temperatures. These differences are most statistically significant and widespread when the number of moments is changed. To determine whether these results are due to (fast) local effects of the different microphysics or the (slower) ensuing feedback on the large-scale atmospheric circulation, we run a series of short, 5-day simulations initialized from reanalysis data. We find that the differences largely disappear in these runs and therefore infer that the different parameterizations impact precipitation extremes indirectly via the large-scale circulation. Finally, we compare the present-day results with hourly rain gauge data and find that SP underestimates extremes relative to observations regardless of which microphysics scheme is used given a fixed model configuration and resolution.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗
DOE OSTI2020

Bounding Global Aerosol Radiative Forcing of Climate Change

Abstract Aerosols interact with radiation and clouds. Substantial progress made over the past 40 years in observing, understanding, and modeling these processes helped quantify the imbalance in the Earth's radiation budget caused by anthropogenic aerosols, called aerosol radiative forcing, but uncertainties remain large. This review provides a new range of aerosol radiative forcing over the industrial era based on multiple, traceable, and arguable lines of evidence, including modeling approaches, theoretical considerations, and observations. Improved understanding of aerosol absorption and the causes of trends in surface radiative fluxes constrain the forcing from aerosol‐radiation interactions. A robust theoretical foundation and convincing evidence constrain the forcing caused by aerosol‐driven increases in liquid cloud droplet number concentration. However, the influence of anthropogenic aerosols on cloud liquid water content and cloud fraction is less clear, and the influence on mixed‐phase and ice clouds remains poorly constrained. Observed changes in surface temperature and radiative fluxes provide additional constraints. These multiple lines of evidence lead to a 68% confidence interval for the total aerosol effective radiative forcing of ‐1.6 to ‐0.6 W m −2 , or ‐2.0 to ‐0.4 W m −2 with a 90% likelihood. Those intervals are of similar width to the last Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change assessment but shifted toward more negative values. The uncertainty will narrow in the future by continuing to critically combine multiple lines of evidence, especially those addressing industrial‐era changes in aerosol sources and aerosol effects on liquid cloud amount and on ice clouds.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗
DOE OSTI2020

Understanding the Spatial Organization of Simultaneous Heavy Precipitation Events Over the Conterminous United States

We introduce the idea of simultaneous heavy precipitation events (SHPEs) to understand whether extreme precipitation has a spatial organization manifested as specified tracks or contiguous fields with inherent scaling relationships. For this purpose, we created a database of SHPEs using ground-based precipitation observations recorded by the daily Global Historical Climatology Network across the conterminous United States during 1900–2014. SHPEs are examined for their seasonality, spatial manifestation, orientation, and areal extent. We quantified the spatial distribution of the centroids and principal axes of SHPEs and their quasi-elliptical manifestations, azimuthal orientations, and areal extents on the ground. Four seasons, December-January-February (DJF), March-April-May (MAM),June-July-August (JJA), and September-October-November (SON) are considered to examine the spatial patterns and associated large-scale atmospheric circulations. Results indicate that there are 54, 58, 103, and204 SHPEs in DJF, MAM, JJA, and SON seasons, and their longest stretches range on average between 650and 1,600, between 850 and 1,500, between 950 and 1,550, and between 750 and 1,450 km, respectively. SHPEs in the DJF, MAM, and JJA seasons occur mostly over the Pacific coast and central and midwestern United States, respectively. The atmospheric circulation patterns and mechanisms of precipitable water vapor and moisture transport in the atmosphere are also discussed in relation to these SHPEs. Power laws explain SHPEs' underlying area scaling behavior in all the four seasons, with stronger evidence in DJF and MAM. A seasonal spatial risk model is developed to predict the likelihood of SHPEs. Quantifying the characteristics of SHPEs and modeling their footprints can improve the projections of flood risk and understanding of damages to interconnected infrastructure systems.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗
DOE OSTI2021

Tropical Cyclone Frequency

Abstract The frequency with which tropical cyclones (TCs) occur controls all other aspects of tropical cyclone risk since a storm that does not occur can do no harm. Yet this frequency is poorly understood. There is no accepted theory that explains the average number of TCs that occur each year on the Earth, nor how that number will change with global warming. Arguments based on global budgets of heat or moisture do not yet appear helpful, nor does a detailed understanding of the physical processes of TC genesis. Empirical indices that predict TC frequency as a function of large‐scale environmental variables can explain some of its relative variations in space and time, but not its absolute value. Global numerical models with horizontal grid spacings on the order of 25–50 km have allowed much improved simulations of TC activity, however. Many such models project a decrease in frequency with warming, but some project an increase. Idealized simulations, including those at higher resolutions, offer promise by allowing a systematic, deductive investigation of the roles of individual environmental factors. In addition to the larger‐scale environmental modulation of genesis likelihood, precursor disturbances, or “seeds”, may exert an independent influence on TC frequency.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗
DOE OSTI2022

Earthquake Phase Association Using a Bayesian Gaussian Mixture Model

Earthquake phase association algorithms aggregate picked seismic phases from a network of seismometers into individual seismic events and play an important role in earthquake monitoring and research. Dense seismic networks and improved phase picking methods produce massive seismic phase datasets, particularly for earthquake swarms and aftershocks occurring closely in time and space, making phase association a challenging problem. Here, we present a new association method, the Gaussian Mixture Model Association (GaMMA), that combines the Gaussian mixture model with earthquake location, origin time, and magnitude estimation. We treat earthquake phase association as an unsupervised clustering problem in a probabilistic framework, where each earthquake corresponds to a cluster of P and S phases with a hyperbolic moveout of arrival times and a decay of amplitude with distance. We use the multivariate Gaussian distribution to model the collection of phase picks of an event; and the mean of the multivariate Gaussian distribution is given by the predicted arrival time and amplitude from the causative event. We carry out the pick assignment to each earthquake and determine earthquake source parameters (i.e., earthquake location, origin time, and magnitude) under the maximum likelihood criterion using the Expectation-Maximization algorithm. The GaMMA method does not require typical association steps of other algorithms, such as grid-search or supervised training. The results for both synthetic tests and for the 2019 Ridgecrest earthquake sequence show that GaMMA effectively associates phases from a temporally and spatially dense earthquake sequence while producing useful estimates of earthquake location and magnitude.

58 GEOSCIENCES↗
DOE OSTI2021

Vertical Variations of Cloud Microphysical Relationships in Marine Stratocumulus Clouds Observed During the ACE‐ENA Campaign

Abstract This study examines the vertical variations of cloud microphysical relationships and their implications to cloud microphysical processes in marine stratocumulus clouds using in‐situ aircraft observations during the Aerosol and Cloud Experiments in Eastern North Atlantic (ACE‐ENA) field campaign. A new diagram with a coordinate system based on cloud droplet liquid water content (L c ) and phase relaxation time scale is proposed to investigate mixing mechanisms. This new diagram analysis shows that the inhomogeneous mixing trait is dominant near the cloud top, but homogeneous mixing trait is stronger at lower altitudes. The relevant scale parameters (i.e., transition length scale and transition scale number) also indicate a high likelihood of inhomogeneous mixing. The relationship between L c and standard deviation of droplet radius (σ R ) clearly shows the vertical transition: the correlation between L c and σ R is positive at lower cloud altitudes, but it becomes negative as altitude increases. Such a vertical transition is consistent with the vertical circulation mixing, modulating the cloud microphysical relationships to suggest homogeneous mixing at a significant depth from the cloud top.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗