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At least 451 records · Page 25

Improving and testing machine learning methods for benchmarking soil carbon dynamics representation of land surface models

Representation of soil organic carbon (SOC) dynamics in Earth system models (ESMs) is a key source of uncertainty in predicting carbon climate feedbacks. The magnitude of this uncertainty can be reduced by accurate representation of environmental controllers of SOC stocks in ESMs. In this study, we used data of environmental factors, field SOC observations, ESM projections and machine learning approaches to identify dominant environmental controllers of SOC stocks and derive functional relationships between environmental factors and SOC stocks. Our derived functional relationships predicted SOC stocks with similar accuracy as the machine learning approach. We used the derived relationships to benchmark the coupled model intercomparison project phase six ESM representation of SOC stocks. We found divergent environmental control representation in ESMs in comparison to field observations. Representation of SOC in ESMs can be improved by including additional environmental factors and representing their functional relationships with SOC consistent with observations.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗

pnnl/glad

The Graph-based Learning of Aerosol Dynamics (GLAD) package implements a Graph Network-based Simulator (GNS), a machine learning framework that has been used to simulate particle-based fluid dynamics models

Smith, Ian [@pnnl]↗

Two-Layer Dynamic Recycling Model (2L-DRM): Learning from Moisture Tracking Models of Different Complexity

Atmospheric moisture tracking models are used to identify and quantify sources and sinks of water in the atmospheric branch of the hydrologic cycle. These models are primarily used to investigate the origin of moisture resulting in precipitation for particular regions around the globe. Moisture tracking models vary widely in their level of complexity, depending on the number of physical processes represented. Complex models are comprehensive in their physical representation, but computationally much more expensive than simple models, which only focus on specific physical processes and use simplifying assumptions. We present the mathematical derivation of the new two-layer dynamical recycling model (2L-DRM), a simple analytical moisture tracking model that relaxes the vertically-integrated formulation of the original one-layer DRM (Dominguez et al., 2006). By comparing the simple DRM to a very complex moisture tracking model that uses water vapor tracers embedded within the Weather Research and Forecast regional climate model (WRF-WVT) for the North American Monsoon region, we pinpoint the absence of vertical wind shear as the main deficiency in the simple DRM. When comparing both simple models (DRM and 2L-DRM) to the WRF-WVT (which we treat as ‘truth’), the 2L-DRM better captures the spatial extent, the net amount and the temporal variability of precipitation that originates from oceanic and local terrestrial sources. The 2L-DRM is well suited to study the large-scale climatological sources of moisture, and for these applications, performs on-par with the much more complex and computationally demanding WRF-WVT model.

Dominguez, Francina↗

Graph Learning in Physical-informed Mesh-reduced Space for Real-world Dynamic Systems

This Git repository contains codes for the 'Graph Learning in Physical-informed Mesh-reduced Space for Real-world Dynamic Systems' paper that will be published in 2023 SIGKDD. This work uses physical-informed prior (PiP) information to learn and predict fluid dynamics in a reduced mesh space. We propose a two-stage graph-based model for fluid velocity field reconstruction and prediction. In the first stage, we learn a subgraph autoencoder to summarize the information in a mesh-reduced space using physical-informed priors. In the second stage, we learn a dynamics predictor to predict subgraph evolution. We demonstrate the effectiveness of our model on two fluid flow datasets: lid-driven cavity flow data and cylinder flow data. This code is also applicable for any other dynamic systems with corresponding data.

Lei, Bo↗

COVID-19 dynamics across the US: A deep learning study of human mobility and social behavior

This paper presents a deep learning framework for epidemiology system identification from noisy and sparse observations with quantified uncertainty. The proposed approach employs an ensemble of deep neural networks to infer the time-dependent reproduction number of an infectious disease by formulating a tensor-based multi-step loss function that allows us to efficiently calibrate the model on multiple observed trajectories. The method is applied to a mobility and social behavior-based SEIR model of COVID-19 spread. The model is trained on Google and Unacast mobility data spanning a period of 66 days, and is able to yield accurate future forecasts of COVID-19 spread in 203 US counties within a time-window of 15 days. Interestingly, a sensitivity analysis that assesses the importance of different mobility and social behavior parameters reveals that attendance of close places, including workplaces, residential, and retail and recreational locations, has the largest impact on the effective reproduction number. Furthermore, the model enables us to rapidly probe and quantify the effects of government interventions, such as lock-down and re-opening strategies. Taken together, the proposed framework provides a robust workflow for data-driven epidemiology model discovery under uncertainty and produces probabilistic forecasts for the evolution of a pandemic that can judiciously provide information for policy and decision making. All codes and data accompanying this manuscript are available at https://github.com/PredictiveIntelligenceLab/DeepCOVID19.

60 APPLIED LIFE SCIENCES↗

Linear Discriminant Analysis-Based Machine Learning and All-Atom Molecular Dynamics Simulations for Probing Electro-Osmotic Transport in Cationic-Polyelectrolyte-Brush-Grafted Nanochannels

Deciphering the correct mechanisms governing certain phenomena in polyelectrolyte (PE) brush grafted systems, revealed through atomistic simulations, is an extremely challenging problem. In a recent study, our all-atom molecular dynamics (MD) simulations revealed a non-linearly large electroosmotic (EOS) flow (in the presence of an applied electric field) in nanochannels grafted with PMETAC [Poly(2-(methacryloyloxy)ethyl trimethylammonium chloride] brushes. Given the lack of any formal procedure that would have directed us to identify the correct factors responsible for such an occurrence, we needed to spend several months and devote significant analyses to unravel the involved mechanisms. In this paper, we propose a Linear Discriminant Analysis (LDA) based Machine Learning (ML) approach to address this gap. At first, we obtain data on certain basic features from the all-atom MD data. These basic features represent the number of atoms of certain species around one atom of another (or same) species. Here, we obtain such data on basic features for a reference case (case of an EOS flow in PMETAC-brush-grafted nanochannels with a smaller electric field) and a perturbed case (case of an EOS flow in PMETAC-brush-grafted nanochannels with a larger electric field) in bins in which the nanochannel half height has been divided into. These datasets are high-dimensional dataset, to which the LDA is applied. This leads to the projection of the data (between the reference and the perturbed states) in a highly separated form on a 1D line. From such LDA calculations, we are able to identify the relative importance of the different basic features in ensuring this separation of the data (between the reference and the perturbed states) on the 1D line. This relative importance of the different basic features is quantified as “importance scores” for the different features, which in turn tell us what to study and where to study. Such knowledge enables us to rapidly identify the key factors responsible for the non-linearly large EOS transport in PMETAC-brush-grafted nanochannels.

37 INORGANIC, ORGANIC, PHYSICAL, AND ANALYTICAL CH↗

Fault Detection for Dynamical Systems using Differential Geometric and Concurrent Learning Approach

This paper presents a fault identification and estimation approach that brings together the differential geometric concept of observability codistribution with data driven concurrent learning. In order to identify faults in presence of unknown disturbances, we utilize the differential geometric approach to design a coordinate transformation, to find a subspace in which the effect of disturbances and system faults can be segregated. We then use concurrent learning to estimate magnitude of the constant fault. We illustrate the approach to fault isolation for a linear helicopter dynamics and a spherical pendulum dynamics. We use Lyapunov stability analysis to show that the fault estimate by concurrent learning converges to the actual fault value, and then illustrate the design of a recovery controller.

Fault detection and diagnosis↗

Decomposition of Nonlinear Dynamical Systems Using Koopman Gramians

In this paper we propose a new Koopman operator approach for nonlinear model decomposition using Koopman gramians. We introduce Koopman operators and discuss the notion of a input-Koopman operator. We show how input-Koopman operators can be used to cast a nonlinear system into the classical state-space form, as well as conditions under which input and state observable functions are well separated. We extend an existing method of dynamic mode decomposition for learning Koopman operators from data known as deep dynamic mode decomposition, for systems with control or disturbances. We illustrate the accuracy of the method on learning an input-state separable Koopman operator for an example system, even when the underlying system exhibits mixed state-input terms. Finally, we introduce a nonlinear decomposition algorithm, based on Koopman gramians, that maximizes internal subsystem observability and disturbance rejection from unwanted noise in other subsystems. To relieve the NP-hardness of the decomposition problem, we derive a relaxation based on Koopman gramians and multi-way partitioning. We illustrate our algorithm on a swing dynamics model for a IEEE 39 bus and discuss our findings.

Learning, Control, Distributed Control, koopman op↗

Learning Distributed Geometric Koopman Operator for Sparse Networked Dynamical Systems

Koopman operator theory provides an alternative to study nonlinear networked dynamical systems by mapping the state space to an abstract higher dimensional space where the system evolution is linear. Recent works show the application of graph neural networks (GNNs) to learn state to object-centric embeddings and achieve centralized block-wise computation of Koopman operator (KO) under additional assumptions on the underlying agents properties and constraints on the KO structure. However, the computational complexity of learning the Koopman increases exponentially for networked systems where the number of possible system states grows in a combinatorial fashion with the number of nodes. The learning challenge is further amplified for sparse networks by two factors: 1) sample sparsity for learning the Koopman operator in the non-linear space, and 2) the divergence in the dynamics of individual nodes or from one subgraph to another. Our work aims to address these challenge by formulating the representation learning of networked dynamical systems into a multi-agent paradigm and learning the Koopman operator in a distributive manner. The computational as well as performance advantages of distributed Koopman is predominant for sparse networks whereas for fully connected networks, it is shown to coincide with the centralized one. The empirical study on rope system, network of oscillators and a synthetic power system show comparable and superior performance along with computational benefits with the state-of-the-art methods.

Mukherjee, Sayak↗

Harnessing deep reinforcement learning to construct time-dependent optimal fields for quantum control dynamics

Here, we present an efficient deep reinforcement learning (DRL) approach to automatically construct time-dependent optimal control fields that enable desired transitions in dynamical chemical systems. Our DRL approach gives impressive performance in constructing optimal control fields, even for cases that are difficult to converge with existing gradient-based approaches. We provide a detailed description of the algorithms and hyperparameters as well as performance metrics for our DRL-based approach. Our results demonstrate that DRL can be employed as an effective artificial intelligence approach to efficiently and autonomously design control fields in quantum dynamical chemical systems.

37 INORGANIC, ORGANIC, PHYSICAL, AND ANALYTICAL CH↗

Learning from Non-Linear Ecosystem Dynamics Is Vital for Achieving Land Degradation Neutrality

Land Degradation Neutrality is one of the Sustainable Development Goal targets, requiring on-going degradation to be balanced by restoration and sustainable land management. However, restoration and efforts to prevent degradation have often failed to deliver expected benefits,despite enormous investments. Better acknowledging the close relationships between climate, land management and non-linear ecosystem dynamics can help restoration activities to meet their intended goals, while supporting climate change adaptation and mitigation. This paper is the first to link ecological theory of non-linear ecosystem dynamics to Land Degradation Neutrality offering essential insights into appropriate timings, climate-induced windows of opportunities and risks and the financial viability of investments. These novel insights are pre-requisites for meaningful o and monitoring of progress towards Land Degradation Neutrality

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗