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At least 451 records · Page 25

Investigation into Stimulated Microgravity Techniques used to Study Biofilm Growth

Bacterial growth in liquid media in microgravity conditions is not well understood. Trends such as a shortened lag phase, longer log phase, slower growth rate, and a higher final population concentration have been noted but the underlying cause remains unclear. At the single cell level, it is predicted that bacteria are less gravity-sensitive than larger species. The effects on their immediate environment, including the lack of cell settlement and slower mass transfer of nutrients due to lack of density driven convection, could help explain the trends. Ground-based spaceflight analogs, or simulated microgravity devices, are often employed to achieve different attributes of weightlessness to study effects on bacterial growth. Though these technologies could isolate gravity’s role in various biological processes, they cannot replicate all its effects and underlying mechanisms. Hence, interpretation of results could be misleading, even if similar to spaceflight. In this study two common simulated microgravity devices were investigated to determine whether they could simulate relevant microgravity conditions for bacterial growth. A bioreactor, the high aspect ratio vessel (HARV), was used with dyes of different density mounted on a random positioning machine (RP machine) or a rotating wall vessel (RWV). The RP machine displayed higher mixing rates than the RWV. The RWV was further tested at different rotations per minute (RPM). The range to minimize effects of density driven convection (low speeds) or centrifugal forces (high speeds) was between a range of 15-20 RPM. These results will help inform the selection of simulated microgravity device as well as interpretation of subsequent biofilm growth results.

Angie M. Diaz↗

Hyperspectral Sounder Products: SiFSAP and ClimFiSP

Infrared hyperspectral sounders have demonstrated to provide very high value information for a range of weather and climate applications. Traditional retrieval algorithms of hyperspectral sounders use the ‘cloud clearing’ methodology in the retrieval process due to the lack of means to account for cloud scattering effect. The corresponding Level-2 data products are therefore limited by two major factors: the degradation of spatial resolution as compared with the native resolution of the instruments and the lack of ‘radiance closure’ that is critically needed for climate trend studies. The single field-of-view (FOV) sounder atmospheric products (SiFSAP) algorithm has been developed to supplement existing operational products. The SiFSAP algorithm uses the principal component based radiative transfer model (PCRTM) that is ultra-fast and has been extensively validated for the cloud scattering simulation capability. The cloud properties are physically retrieved along with profiles of temperature, moisture, and trace gases of interest, surface properties simultaneously by fitting single FOV spectral measurements. Therefore, SiFSAP ensure the radiometric consistency between the retrieved geophysical properties and the top-of-atmosphere (TOA) spectral measurements. This presentation provides a general introduction of SiFSAP and details about the physical retrieval algorithm. Also introduced here is a derivative data product of SiFSAP, the climate fingerprinting Sounder Products (ClimFiSP). ClimFiSP include the space-time averaged properties of key climate variables that are derived from the space-time averaged radiances via the spectral fingerprinting scheme. The spectral fingerprinting method allows a low latency data update on ClimFiSP following any potential calibration update on satellite measurements. ClimFiSP also include the rigorously defined uncertainty characterization for trends or anomalies of climate variables, being critical for the construction of long-term climate data record. Both SiFSAP and ClimFiSP will be available to users through NASA's Goddard Earth Sciences Data and Information Services Center (GES DISC).

Wan Wu↗

Haiti Agriculture II: Evaluating the Success of Reforestation Practices in Haiti

The Caribbean country of Haiti has an extensive history of deforestation and environmental degradation stemming from French colonization. Over the past 33 years, the Haiti Reforestation Partnership (HRP) and their partners, Comprehensive Development Program (CODEP), have planted approximately 15.52 million trees. However, these efforts lacked scientific guidance to ensure successful forest stand survival. The NASA DEVELOP team partnered with the HRP to create a habitat suitability model (HSM) by using PlanetScope and Sentinel-2 Multispectral Instrument (MSI) imagery. The team also incorporated Landsat 8 and 9 OLI surface temperature, Centre National de L’Information Geo-Spatiale (CNIGS) Airborne Lidar, and ancillary datasets to analyze areas suitable for future reforestation efforts. The habitat model suggested locations with higher forest stand survival based on topography, soil health, climate, and feasibility to access suggested locations. We confirmed the HSM through a cross-analyzation of high enhanced vegetation index (EVI) values. Areas with lower EVI values and higher suitability based on the HSM were suggested for future planting as they lack well-established forest stands but have optimal conditions for growth. Through the creation of the HSM, the team provided the HRP with static maps of high suitability, a 3D printed elevation model, and a guidebook for animators. Additionally, the team provided a structured video highlighting the HRP’s efforts. Effective reforestation and better forest stand survival would help to achieve the goal of securing community food security. This would also serve as a guide to expand planting efforts into other locations and communities.

Kelli Roberts↗

Leveraging Pre-storm Soil Moisture Estimates for Enhanced Land Surface Model Calibration in Ungauged Hydrologic Basins

Despite long-standing efforts, hydrologists still lack robust tools for calibrating land surface model (LSM) streamflow estimates within ungauged basins. Using surface soil moisture estimates from the Soil Moisture Active Passive Level 4 Soil Moisture (L4_SM) product, precipitation observations, and streamflow gauge measurements for 617 medium-scale (200-10,000 km2) basins in the contiguous United States, we measure the temporal (Spearman) rank correlation between antecedent (i.e., pre-storm) surface soil moisture (ASM) and the storm-scale runoff coefficient (RC; the fraction of storm-scale precipitation accumulation converted into streamflow). In humid and semi-humid basins, this rank correlation is shown to be sufficiently strong to allow for the substitution of storm-scale RC observations (available only in basins that are both lightly regulated and gauged) with high-quality ASM values (available quasi-globally from L4_SM) in streamflow calibration procedures. Using this principle, we define a new, basin-wise LSM streamflow calibration approach based on L4_SM alone and successfully apply it to identify LSM configurations that produce a high rank correlation with observed RC. However, since the approach cannot detect RC bias, it is less successful in identifying LSM configurations with low mean-absolute error. Plain Text Summary Accurately forecasting the fraction of rainfall that runs off into streams, as opposed to infiltrates into the soil, is critical for flash-flood prediction, water-resource monitoring, and tracking the transport of nutrients from agricultural fields into local waterways. Such forecasting is typically performed by hydrologic models that attempt to represent the physical processes responsible for surface runoff generation. However, to provide accurate streamflow forecasts, these models typically need to be calibrated against actual streamflow observations. This is problematic given the relatively poor, and declining, global availability of stream gauges. This paper presents a novel model calibration strategy that uses soil moisture from remote sensing and numerical modeling in place of streamflow observations during calibration. This transition has significant practical advantages because, unlike streamflow observations, the soil moisture data are continuously available across space. Our results demonstrate that this new approach can significantly improve hydrologic models within humid and semi-humid basins lacking sufficient ground-based instrumentation for traditional streamflow calibration.

hydrologic models↗

Assessment of the Accuracy and Consistency of Cloud Property Retrievals from Passive Radiometers with Varying Spectral Information

Over the past few decades, space-based passive radiometers have been used to study the spatial distribution of clouds and some of their basic properties. Modern radiometers have significantly higher spatial resolution and collect more spectral information (i.e., have more spectral bands) than early instruments, and these advances have allowed researchers to characterize cloud physical and microphysical properties with greater detail. There is significant interest in utilizing as much of the existing satellite record as possible to study global and regional changes in cloud occurrence and distribution as well as the associated changes in reflected shortwave and outgoing longwave fluxes. Cloud property retrieval algorithms such as the NASA Satellite Cloud Optical and Radiative Property System (SatCORPS) have traditionally utilized as much spectral information as possible in order to maximize the accuracy of the retrievals. However, changes to the retrieval algorithm over time in order to take advantage of progressively more spectral information results in inconsistencies in cloud properties which in turn results in inconsistencies with products derived from these properties. It is not possible to implement modern state-of-the-art algorithms to earlier instruments which lack diverse spectral information, but many instruments since the early 2000s generally have approximately similar spectral bands in the visible (~0.65 microns), longwave infrared (~11 microns), and in many cases, the midwave infrared (~3.8 microns) and water vapor absorption (~6.7 microns), portions of the electromagnetic spectrum. Different versions of SatCORPS have been implemented with either the full set of spectral information collected by imagers such as GOES-16 and MODIS or with a reduced set of spectral bands in order to be more consistent with past imagers that lack such diverse spectral information. This study uses independent cloud property retrievals from the Cloud-Aerosol Lidar with Orthogonal Polarization (CALIOP) to assess the accuracy of the retrievals (e.g., cloud fraction, thermodynamic phase, altitude) from the different retrieval methods and to demonstrate the advantages and disadvantages of using a reduced set of common spectral bands in order to achieve temporal and spatial consistency across different instruments.

Christopher R. Yost↗

Empirical Hydrometeor Type Identification from GMI Brightness Temperature Measurements

Brightness temperatures (TB) from GMI and related sensors contain information about the types and amounts of precipitation particles in a column. Approaches like GPROF or machine learning are good for providing precipitation estimates and other quantified information, but it can be difficult to understand why / how a given set of TBs traces to a given retrieval solution. Outlier TBs that are not well-represented in a training sample can lead to dubious solutions. Our goal is to use the scattering signatures at multiple frequencies to determine whether hail is present, or otherwise graupel, or otherwise snow, or otherwise liquid rain without a substantial precipitation ice component. (A hierarchical approach is employed, so a prediction of hail can include the presence of all other categories, but a prediction of snow implies a lack of graupel or hail, and a prediction of liquid rain implies a lack of any detectable precipitation ice.)

Daniel J. Cecil↗

National Campaign (NC)-1 Strategic Conflict Management Simulation (X4) Community Based Rules

Projected demand for transportation services in the urban environment has led to the development of several Concepts of Operation for Urban Air Mobility, or UAM. UAM is a concept for the transportation of people and goods in the metropolitan environment using small, efficient aircraft over short distances as part of an expanding multimodal transportation network. UAM will leverage emerging technologies including electric Vertical Takeoff and Landing (eVTOL) aircraft, increasing levels of automation and a new operational paradigm in dense airspace where a set of agreed-upon rules govern the procedures and interactions defining a cooperative environment in which operators are entrusted with a range of functions typically conducted by Air Traffic Control (ATC). These rules, proposed in the FAA NextGen Office’s UAM Concept of Operations [1], were originally termed Community Based Rules or Community Business Rules (CBRs), and will in the future termed Cooperative Operating Practices (COPs); this document uses the original term, CBR. CBRs are a set of rules, developed by the UAM community and (where necessary) approved by the FAA that govern the interactions between UAM entities and limit the need for ATC services including, but not limited to, separation control by ATC, addressing a fundamental challenge to scaling UAM operations. UAM community development of CBRs is anticipated to accelerate the adoption of new practices while retaining the regulatory authority of the FAA within required domains (e.g., NAS safety, security and equal access). However, there currently exists no agreed industry forum or defined procedures for CBR development. Investigation of best practices for the development of UAM CBRs was identified by NASA and the FAA NextGen Office as a research need. In collaboration with seven industry partners, NASA participated in a series of simulations that investigated elements of the envisioned UAM operations, with a primary focus on Strategic Conflict Management (SCM). The development and conduct of cooperative UAM simulations with seven industry partners provided a unique opportunity to investigate CBR development practices. Development of CBRs for the UAM SCM simulations was conducted in parallel with simulation capability development and was closely related to requirements definition for the simulations. As such, the CBR development effort presented herein had two objectives: explore CBR development practices in collaboration with the industry partners and develop an initial set of UAM CBRs to support simulation requirements definition and development. Consensus was achieved among NASA and the industry partners on 24 CBRs that were developed to support the cooperative simulation operations across five topic areas: General (related to test requirements), Operational Intent, Conformance Monitoring, Demand Capacity Balancing, and Airspace Constraint Management. Additional topic areas and CBRs were discussed but were deemed outside the scope of the simulation; these are included in the appendices. A collaborative, iterative process was employed for developing the CBRs engaging both NASA and Industry; because CBR development is envisioned to be community-driven, opportunities were sought that provided industry partners leadership roles in developing CBRs. The following key observations and recommendations may aid the UAM industry in future CBR development efforts: - The lack of a defined process proved challenging initially. Stakeholder engagement in the early stages of CBR development was intermittent and may have been due to the lack of a clear definition of roles and responsibilities of those involved in the effort. - Industry leadership of CBR topic areas proved successful. Discussions in these topic areas were engaging, with alternate viewpoints freely discussed and detailed CBRs resulting. This points to the importance of identifying the best-suited leadership in technical areas for CBR development. - Discussions within a CBR topic area were typically dominated by only a few participants. Whereas all industry partners contributed to CBR development, within each topic area, technical leadership was evident even when not formally established. This observation may indicate that smaller, focused groups may be more effective in initial CBR development than an open forum or large standards development effort (although both maybe required prior to FAA review and approval for some CBRs). - Identifying suitable forums for initial UAM CBR development and identifying the most effective industry participants and leadership will be crucial for successful CBR development. Although the operational need for UAM CBRs may not be immediate, establishing the forums and leadership to define the processes for CBR development is a prudent early step to UAM realization.

Community Based Rules↗

Analog Environments for Venus Aerosol Instrument and Mission Concept Testing

The most common hypothesis discussed for life on Venus is a habitat in the dense, persistent clouds, which are primarily sulfuric acid with a secondary water component. Although Earth lacks a complete Venus analog environment, several partial analogs exist which can inform our understanding of the requirements for cloud habitability as well as serving as potential testbeds for future Venus instruments or missions. Earth’s tropospheric clouds have larger particles, more water, and shorter lifetimes than Venus’s; however, they have a partial overlap in pressure and temperature, and are our only example of an airborne habitat.They can inform how particle residence time and microbial generation time constrain habitable atmospheric regions. On the biological side, this includes available nutrients and energy, environmental stressors such as radiation, osmotic potential and acidity, and time spent in protective but inactive forms (endospores, cysts, akinetes); on the physical side, gravity, air density and viscosity, thermal lofting, gravity waves, scavenging due to precipitation, and other airflow dynamics, as well as effective particle radius and electrical charge. They can also enable sampling strategy tests for airborne life detection, ranging from10 2 to10 8 viable cells/mL (10 -3 to 10 -9 cells/particle). Conversely, Earth's stratospheric sulfate layer lacks an active microbial presence, and is at a colder and less dense altitude but has partially analogous values in terms of H2SO4 and water concentration, particle size, and number density. These aerosols are accessible to aircraft and high-altitude balloons. Even more accessible potential analogs include sea spray, which overlaps with the smaller (haze) particle sizes and densities at Venus and contains trace organic constituents; marine fog, which at higher densities can match Venus’s larger (Mode 2) particle properties and contains a range of trace compounds including ammonia, phosphates, sulfates, and nitrates; and spray from acidic hydrothermal systems, which can cover a wide variety of sizes, densities, and chemical compositions. These analogs could improve the development of Venus cloud sampling instruments or sondes, including field tests of material compatibility, particle capture efficiency, and analysis sensitivity.

Analog↗

Developing the CRTM Active Sensor Module

Active sensors provide vertically resolved atmospheric and cloud information, however the assimilation of such observations into NWP models has been limited for several reasons including lack of reliable forward model. We present the development of CRTM active sensor module including its adjoint and tangent linear by taking advantage of current CRTM modules for calculating atmospheric transmittance and cloud absorption and scattering. Current CRTM cloud coefficients lack cloud backscattering information, thus we have implemented a new cloud scattering database generated using the discrete dipole technique that include backscattering coefficients. The radar simulator is currently being tested within the JEDI/GEOS data assimilation framework to facilitate the assimilation of radar measurements such as CloudSat CPR and GPM DPR into the NASA GEOS model.

CRTM↗

High Resolution Imaging and Analysis of Terrestrial Impact Glass: Amorphous Materials, Phyllosilicates and Everything in Between

Introduction: Impact cratering is one of the most ubiquitous geologic processes shaping the surface of all solid bodies in our solar system. Impacts are also a major source of clay minerals, poorly crystalline clay-like phases and amorphous (i.e., lacking long-range atomic order) materials on Earth and Mars. Phyllosilicates and amorphous materials have consistently formed a major component (~20-70 wt%) of every single drilled rock and soil sample in Gale Crater on Mars, as determined by the CheMin instrument on Curiosity. The origin of the amorphous component is speculative, but could be primary impact or volcanic-produced glass(es) deposited via aeolian or fluvial processes, secondary aqueous alteration products or chemical precipitates; it is likely to be a combination of all three possibilities. Efforts to determine the composition of these materials across the rover’s traverse through Gale Crater are ongoing. Naturally occurring amorphous phases are found in a variety of environments on Earth, and terrestrial analogue studies may help shed light on how they may have formed on Mars. Primary and altered impact glass are likely widespread on Mars and may have contributed to the amorphous component found throughout Gale Crater. In its pristine, unaltered state, impact glass (i.e., melt glass) is considered amorphous. However, truly unaltered glass is rarely preserved in crater fill impactites as it quickly alters in the post-impact environ-ment, commonly forming a mixture of hydrated aluminosilicate phases whose structures are not always discernable at the microscale (i.e., they may be amorphous or contain short-range order). These phases are part of an incredibly complex group of materials; differences in their composition and crystalline structure (or lack thereof) and genetic relationship to the more well-crystalline clay minerals are often only discernable at the nanoscale, beyond the resolution of traditional X-ray diffractometers (XRD) and scanning electron microscopes/microprobes (SEM/EPMA) alone. In this contribution, we summarize recent results from ongoing characterization of clay minerals, poorly crystalline clay-like phases, and amorphous materials preserved in altered terrestrial impact glass from the Chicxulub (~66 Ma) and Ries (~15 Ma) impact structures. This work has been performed using a combination of high-resolution transmission electron microscopy (HR-TEM), SEM, microprobe/EPMA, Raman spectroscopy and XRD.

Impact crater↗

Potential Discovery of Amphibole in Miller Range (MIL) 090292 via Raman Spectroscopy

Ungrouped carbonaceous chondrites have the potential to provide insights into processes on their parent bodies that may not be accessible through studying established groups. Miller Range (MIL) 090292 is an extensively aqueously altered ungrouped carbonaceous chondrite, which provides the potential to reveal new information about alteration processes on carbonaceous chondrite-like asteroids. The meteorite MIL090292 was initially classified as a CR1 chondrite. It experienced heavy aqueous alteration and, texturally, the meteorite is highly brecciated. MIL 090292 was reclassified as a C1 ungrouped chondrite after it was found that the Δ17O values of its magnetite grains do not plot along the CR mixing line. Furthermore, there is a lack of calcium carbonate grains in the sample, which are common in aqueously altered CRs –calcium is found in andradite and hedenbergite (which are not found in CRs) and phosphates. However, beyond this basic mineralogical information, there is a lack of knowledge about the petrogenetic history of the meteorite or its parent body.

Meteorite↗

Chapter 10 - Remote Sensing Measurements of Aerosol Properties

Satellite instruments have proven especially capable at monitoring the quantity of airborne particles in columns of atmosphere, globally. This chapter describes the principles of satellite measurements and retrieval algorithms, and surveys current instruments and their capabilities. We outline the issues associated with retrieval algorithms, such as surface characterization and aerosol proximity to clouds, and the challenges with interpretation of the results. The relationship between measured aerosol properties and climate-relevant aerosol properties simulated in models is outlined, as well as how measurements are used to evaluate models. Most space-based aerosol instruments are passive sensors that measure reflected sunlight at multiple wavelengths, some at multiple viewing angles. A few are active sensors that send out their own laser light and measure the returned signal. Except when clouds are present, the excess amount of light scattered back to space, beyond that expected from the surface and atmospheric gas, is attributed to aerosol. Satellite measurements are used in many ways in aerosol research. They often provide the only method for monitoring hazardous phenomena such as major wildfire and volcanic eruption plumes, especially in remote areas. Stable, long-term, near-global-scale satellite data records make it possible to identify regional and global aerosol trends. Aerosol radiative effects on climate can be quantified on a near-global scale and used to estimate the strength of aerosol–radiation and aerosol–cloud interactions as well as to evaluate climate model simulations of these interactions. Aerosol-type mapping from satellite imagery is helpful for source attribution, model validation, and to constrain particle light-absorption properties that are essential for radiative forcing calculations. The range of aerosol properties retrieved from satellite observations has grown considerably since the first global estimates of aerosol optical depth (τ a) over ocean were made in the late 1970s. Methods for retrieving particle size and light-absorption properties were explored in the 1990s using multispectral, multi-angle observations, and polarization in visible and near-infrared wavelengths. Sensitivity to particle light absorption, primarily from black or brown carbon content, improved with the inclusion of UV channels, and sensitivity to very thin aerosol layers in the upper troposphere and lower stratosphere was advanced with the use of limb-sounding instruments and active sensors. There are limitations to every measurement technique, including satellite aerosol remote sensing. For wide-swath, passive instruments, aerosol retrievals near clouds can present substantial challenges as far as 15 km away due to cloud-scattered light contaminating the signal. In nearly all cases, retrievals over bright snow and ice surfaces are precluded because surface reflectance uncertainties can overwhelm the aerosol signal. Similarly, meteorological cloud is identified and masked out where possible. Data from passive sensors also lack vertical resolution except those that view toward the limb or where multi-angle imagery is acquired over plumes from wildfires, erupting volcanoes, and wind-blown dust. Yet, passive sensors provide vastly more coverage than the active instruments that mitigate these issues. Particle microphysical information is qualitative from all remote sensing techniques, relying on proxies to infer particle composition, hygroscopicity, and the amount of light-absorbing material. Further, particles smaller than about 200 nm diameter cannot be distinguished from atmospheric gas molecules with remote sensing, which hinders studies of cloud condensation nuclei and their effects on clouds. Most satellite instruments dedicated to aerosol observations are in low-Earth, near-polar, sun-synchronous orbits, which means they cross the equator at the same local time each day. Most are set on cycles that repeat approximately every 16 days, which makes it difficult to monitor aerosol evolution locally. Geostationary satellites make it possible to observe changes occurring from minutes to hours over regions up to 8000 km in size, but lack coverage of high latitudes, and often provide more limited constraints on aerosol properties. Ground-truth data are vital for satellite aerosol-retrieval validation. The AErosol RObotic NETwork (AERONET) of sun photometers was created in 1993 and has become an established global network of over 350 instruments for validating satellite measurements. The network, as well as global networks of ground-based lidars, solar flux radiometers and other sun photometers, are widely used for evaluating global satellite retrievals and model simulations. NASA's Earth Observing System (EOS) program beginning in 1999 led to improvements in reliability, spatial resolution, and spectral resolution (and hence, to improved particle size discrimination and light absorption properties). Satellite payloads include advanced broad-swath and multi-angle imagers, along with the first space-based active sensor focused largely on long-term aerosol monitoring. Since about 2002, Europe's SENTINEL and operational meteorological satellite fleets are also providing sustained aerosol observations, with planned continuation until at least 2030. Satellite remote sensing instruments offer valuable data for evaluating aerosol representations in global climate models. They have been used to assess aerosol optical and physical properties, trends and distributions, and are applied increasingly as direct model constraints in data assimilation to create global aerosol reanalysis products. Aerosol optical depth is the most common quantity adopted for routine model evaluation, including multiwavelength data to loosely constrain particle-size distributions. These evaluations of multiple models have revealed general biases in their regional aerosol amounts and seasonal patterns of transport and removal. Although satellite measurements have near-global coverage, substantial errors can be introduced into the model observation comparison unless attention is paid to spatial and temporal collocation, cloud screening, subgrid-scale variability, and measurement uncertainties that vary with retrieval conditions.

aerosol properties↗

Testing Cosmic Microwave Background Anomalies in E-mode Polarization with Current and Future Data

In this paper, we explore the power of the cosmic microwave background (CMB) polarization (E-mode) data to corroborate four potential anomalies in CMB temperature data: the lack of large angular-scale correlations, the alignment of the quadrupole and octupole (Q–O), the point-parity asymmetry, and the hemispherical power asymmetry. We use CMB simulations with noise representative of three experiments—the Planck satellite, the Cosmology Large Angular Scale Surveyor (CLASS), and the LiteBIRD satellite—to test how current and future data constrain the anomalies. We find the correlation coefficients ρ between temperature and E-mode estimators to be less than 0.1, except for the point-parity asymmetry (ρ = 0.17 for cosmic-variance-limited simulations), confirming that E-modes provide a check on the anomalies that is largely independent of temperature data. Compared to Planck component-separated CMB data (smica), the putative LiteBIRD survey would reduce errors on E-mode anomaly estimators by factors of ∼3 for hemispherical power asymmetry and point-parity asymmetry, and by ∼26 for lack of large-scale correlation. The improvement in Q–O alignment is not obvious due to large cosmic variance, but we found the ability to pin down the estimator value will be improved by a factor ≳100. Improvements with CLASS are intermediate to these.

Cosmic microwave background radiation↗

Future Pathways for Arctic Forest Fires

Wildfires are expected to become more common and more severe in the Arctic states due to climate change. Main cause for the fires is human activity, even in the boreal and Arctic forests. Therefore, activities such forest management and tourism, together with firefighting capacity and readiness, can have a significant impact on future wildfire risks and impacts. To assess the impacts of these factors we have created pathways for future wildfires up to 2050 for the Arctic states. We explore high and low fire activity and risk pathways for all the Arctic states and suggest most our best guess pathways for each state separately. The low activity and fire risk pathway assumes active fire suppression via population participation and official land management, efficient fuel treatments to reduce fire risk, and active firefighting. The high activity and fire risk pathway assumes the opposite due to lack of government and community response, with addition of lacking response to climate-driven changes to wildfire risks. In the Nordic countries, human ignition sources, such as timber extraction, tourism, summer cottages, and expanding wildland-urban intermix due to exurban growth may increase. In addition to these in Canada and Alaska, expansion of agriculture increases the likelihood of open burning of agricultural waste, increasing risk of the fire spreading to wildlands. Drier fuels due to climate change increase the risk of fires, and there is a growing risk of extreme heat conditions, creating favorable conditions for extreme wildfires from any ignition source. Throughout the Arctic lightning is expected to increase, increasing the risk of tundra (specifically grassland) fires, with potential to occur in hard-to-reach locations for firefighting. In short, policy actions and education play a crucial role in future wildfire management and adaptation.

Future↗

The Open Data Repository - an Open Science Platform for Long-Tail Research Data

Introduction: ‘Long-tail’ research is performed by individual PIs and small research teams, producing what are often highly diverse, but relatively small da-tasets that span a variety of traditional scientific disci-plines. ‘Long-tail’ research is a fundamental part of realizing NASA’s goals in planetary sciences and a key input feeding into mission life cycles. The ‘long-tail’ has traditionally lacked the resources (available to larg-er groups and missions) to overcome barriers inhibit-ing the adoption of open science practices, including lack of acknowledgment, time, money, guidance, ex-pertise, and trust in available platforms1. Here we show how the Open Data Repository’s (ODR) data publish-ing platform could help lower some of these barriers and accelerate the adoption of open-science practices in planetary science.

‘Long-tail’ research↗

Synergies Between Venus and Exoplanetary Observations

• How can Venus help inform Exoplanetary studies? 1. Volatile Cycling & Weathering on Venus Through Time (Foley, Höning) a) Weathering on Venus : surface water, land area, tectonic state i. Evidence for running water in tesserae? Khawja et al. 2020 ii. D/H Ratio? Hoffman et al. 1980 b) Volcanism & Outgassing: Is SO2 a proxy for on-going volcanism? c) Volatile in-gassing: Does subduction occur today? (Davaille et al.) 2. Venus’ Magnetic Field (O’Rourke) a) Is Venus’ slower interior cooling responsible for lack of magnetic field? b) Lack of a late energetic impactor (Jacobsson et al.): stable density gradients? c) Is mass a factor: larger super-Venus/Earth more likely to have magnetic field?

Exoplanets↗

Hydrometeor Identification from GMI Radiometer, Trained Using Polarimetric Radar

Brightness temperatures (TB) from GMI and related sensors contain information about the types and amounts of precipitation particles in a column. Approaches like GPROF or machine learning are good for providing precipitation estimates and other quantified information, but it can be difficult to understand why / how a given set of TBs traces to a given retrieval solution. Outlier TBs that are not well-represented in a training sample can lead to dubious solutions. Our goal is to use the scattering signatures at multiple frequencies to determine whether hail is present, or otherwise graupel, or otherwise snow, or otherwise liquid rain without a substantial precipitation ice component. (A hierarchical approach is employed, so a prediction of hail can include the presence of all other categories, but a prediction of snow implies a lack of graupel or hail, and a prediction of liquid rain implies a lack of any detectable precipitation ice.)

Daniel J. Cecil↗

Harnessing Artificial Intelligence for Medical Diagnosis and Treatment During Space Exploration Missions

From May 8th to June 9th, 2023, I had the opportunity to participate in an experiential learning experience at Johnson Space Center in Houston, TX with Exploration Medical Capability (ExMC), an element of the NASA Human Research Program. During this research experience, I was not only able to work on the above titled research project, but also gain an immense exposure to the field of aerospace medicine, make numerous connections within the field, tour NASA facilities, as well as travel to the Aerospace Medical Association Annual Conference (AsMA) in New Orleans. To briefly introduce my project, it is well understood that the medical capabilities available to crew medical officers (CMOs) on the International Space Station will be different than the capabilities available and needed during deep space exploration missions to the Moon, Mars, and beyond. Ground support is particularly limited due to distance, communication delays (or lack of communication), and lack of resupply. Therefore, to support medical care by CMOs on these missions, robust clinical decision support systems (CDSSs) must be designed. The recent publication and public launch of generative artificial intelligence (AI) tools based upon large language models (LLM) such as ChatGPT provides the opportunity to create a smart assistant for onboard triage, diagnosis, and treatment of medical conditions. Ultimately, the overall purpose of the project was to research what AI tools currently exist or are in development, and to see how they might be implemented onboard during exploration class spaceflights of the future. The ExMC element is actively developing several tools to be used in preparation for and during deep space exploration missions. One of those tools, known as IMPACT, is a probabilistic risk assessment model which can be used to propose a desired medical system (based on mass and volume) and suggest the clinical outcomes likely to occur for a design reference mission (DRM). The group recently presented the IMPACT model and a DRM of interest titled “Modified Long Duration Lunar Orbital and Lunar Surface” (mLDLOLS) at the recent AsMA conference. The mLDLOLS mock mission is a 9 month and 6-day deep space exploration mission consisting of time in Moon’s orbit (3 months on the Gateway space station), on the lunar surface (3 months within habitat), and another 3 months on Gateway before return to Earth. For this DRM, IMPACT ultimately outlined a preferred medical system that was then associated with medical conditions considered to be most likely based on frequency, most likely to cause astronaut task time loss (TTL), most likely to cause return to definitive care (RTDC), and most likely cause loss of crew life (LOCL). IMPACT also highlighted the medical capabilities/skills that would be required to care for those medical conditions, such as performing a history of present illness or musculoskeletal exam with ultrasound. The primary objective of the project was to perform a survey of the AI tools and systems applicable to the conditions outlined for the proposed mLDLOLS mission. Using PubMed (including most relevant MeSH terms) and Google Scholar, we then created a robust annotated bibliography organized by condition. The 56-page and over 500 reference annotated bibliography was subsequently used to create a review outline that would become the basis for drafting of a future publication. For the review outline, we took those medical conditions researched within the annotated bibliography (condition-based approach) and deployed a systems-based approach, combining those medical conditions and related tools into ten categories. These categories included general/all-purpose CDSSs, tools to diagnose or manage respiratory, dermatologic, neurologic, auditory and vestibular, ophthalmic, musculoskeletal, infection-associated, and gynecologic conditions, as well as tools that could be deployed in the setting of trauma/emergency. With the completion of the 30-page outline, we then began drafting the review paper. To conclude the research experience, I presented the findings from our survey to the ExMC Clinical and Science team. With these objectives, I ultimately learned about the number of AI tools that exist today to assist medical professionals with the triage, diagnosis, and management of several medical conditions. These tools can span from chatbot assistants to help triage knee pain to vision transformer models that can identify ophthalmic conditions based on ocular surface images captured with a cell phone. We also highlighted the current gaps that exist in the literature alongside the advancements that are needed to make the desired CDSS for deep space exploration missions. With this experience, I certainly confirmed an existing career goal and identified several additional skills needed to become an aerospace medical doctor including knowledge of critical care in an extreme medicine setting, aerospace engineering and human integration systems, artificial intelligence, machine learning, and risk models. I also identified numerous transferable skills for this career goal including the basic knowledge of medicine (MD), deployment of the scientific method for critical thought about new scientific questions (PhD), review of published literature, including creating an annotated bibliography (PhD), as well as detailed scientific writing (PhD). The results of my research will likely guide the design of an all-encompassing onboard medical assistant for use during deep space exploration missions of the future. I plan on sharing the outcomes from this experience with my peers at a student seminar in the Fall semester on August 30th. During the seminar, I will detail the project, my experience at NASA and AsMA, as well as offer best practice guidelines for students entertaining similar experiences or careers. In conclusion, I would like to thank the WVU School of Medicine, Research and Graduate Education office, as well as NASA ExMC for the unwavering support of this life-changing experience.

Ryan A. Lacinski↗