Role of communications satellites in the fiber era
Systenm descriptions of satellite and fiber optic networks are developed for the benchmark years 1983 and 1986, and forecasts are made for the years 1990 and 1995. Based on this information, the impact of fiber optics on satellite communications in the years 1995 and 2000 is assessed. Ten services are identified which are likely to be supplied at least in part by satellite in the 1995-2000 time frame. Estimates are made of the probability of existence and the number of transponders used by these future satellite services.