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DOE OSTI2022

Deconvolving the roles of E × B shear and pedestal structure in the energy confinement quality of super H-mode experiements

Analysis of “super H-mode” experiments on DIII-D has put forward that high plasma toroidal rotation, not high pedestal, plays the essential role in achieving energy confinement quality H 98y2 >>1. Recently, super H-mode experiments with variable input torque have confirmed that high rotation shear discharges have very high levels of H 98y2 (>1.5), independent of the pedestal height, and that high pedestal discharges with low rotation shear have levels of H 98y2 only slightly above 1 (≤1.2). Although some increase in stored energy with higher pedestal occurs, the energy confinement quality mainly depends on the toroidal rotation shear, which varies according to different levels of injected neutral beam torque per particle. Here, quasi-linear gyrofluid modeling achieves a good match of the experiment when including the E×B shear; without including plasma rotation, the modeling predicts a confinement quality consistent with the empirical observation of H 98y2 ~1.2 at low rotation. Nonlinear gyrokinetic transport modeling shows that the effect of E×B turbulence stabilization is far larger than other mechanisms, such as the so-called hot-ion stabilization (T i /T e ) effect. Consistent with these experimental and modeling results are previous simulations of the ITER Baseline Scenario using a super H-mode pedestal solution, which showed the potential to exceed the Q=10 target if the pedestal density could be increased above the Greenwald limit. A close look at these simulations reveals that the predicted energy confinement quality is below 1 even at the highest pedestal pressure. The improvement in Q at higher pedestal density is due to the improved fusion power generation at the higher core density associated with higher pedestal density, not to an improved energy confinement quality.

70 PLASMA PHYSICS AND FUSION TECHNOLOGY↗

DOE OSTI2025

Steady-state mixing state of black carbon aerosols from a particle-resolved model

Abstract. Black carbon (BC) exerts a notable warming effect due to its strong light absorption, largely influenced by its “mixing state”. However, due to computational constraints, the mixing state is challenging to accurately represent in large-scale models. In this study, we employ a particle-resolved model to simulate the evolution of BC mixing state based on field observation. Our result shows that aerosol compositions, coating thickness (CT) distribution, and optical properties of BC aerosols all exhibit a tendency toward a steady state with a characteristic timescale of less than 1 d, considerably shorter than the BC atmospheric lifetime. The rapid attainment of a steady state suggests that it is reasonable to disregard this pre-steady-state period and instead concentrate on the average properties of BC across extensive spatial and temporal scales. The distribution of CT follows an exponential linear distribution and can be characterized by a single slope parameter k. This distribution is independent of the BC core's distribution. In the model simulation, the mean CT, equivalent to the 1/k, is 62 nm, which is consistent with the statistical results indicating a mean CT of 63 nm. Utilizing the slope parameter k, which effectively characterizes the CT distribution under the steady-state simplifying assumption, the BC absorption enhancement closely corresponds to the results obtained via the particle-resolved method. This study simplifies the BC mixing state description and yields a precise evaluation of the BC optical properties, which has the potential utility for modeling efforts in the refinement of the assessment of BC's radiative effects.

Zhang, Zhouyang↗

NASA NTRSDate not supplied

Design and Comparison of Lunar Sample Return Options

Returning lunar samples to earth is a high priority for NASA in order to better understand Lunar Geology, Lunar formation, and potential resource utilization. Core samples of frozen volatiles from permanently shadowed regions are sought after, but require intensive cryogenic cooling to preserve. Returning samples to Earth using the Orion capsule is restrictive for moderate amounts of mass/volume and thus alternate means of transport are investigated in this paper. The trade-space of potential options includes varying: sample mass amount, sample containment conditions, transfer path from Lunar surface to Earth surface, and various vehicle system trades. An integrated solver is applied with parametric estimators and known system heuristics to effectively estimate size, mass, and power of various subsystems. Modeled subsystems include sample containment, EDL technologies(heat shield, parachute, recovery), power, thermal, avionics, structures, and propulsive systems. Transfer path options include various trajectory options, transfer methods, staging points, and vehicle staging options. A Design of Experiments was conducted to explore the tradespace, to identify sensitivities, and to identify promising designs. Results are detailed for various stakeholder objectives including total mass, sample mass, science return, architecture impacts, and operational flexibility.

Lunar outpost↗

DOE OSTI2023

Using Low-Field Nuclear Magnetic Resonance and X-Ray Computed Microtomography Imaging to Explore Potential of Microbially-Induced Calcium Carbonate Precipitation Treatment to Seal Shale Fractures

Microbially-induced calcium carbonate precipitation (MICP) is a biological process in which microbially produced urease enzymes convert urea and calcium into solid calcium carbonate (CaCO 3 ) deposits. Studies have shown that MICP can be used to seal fractures in shale, raising the possibility of applying this technology to restimulate fracking wells by plugging underperforming fractures. For this and other applications to become a reality, non-invasive tools are needed to determine how effectively MICP seals shale fractures under subsurface conditions. In this study, a 2.54 cm wide and 5.08 cm long Marcellus shale core with a single, ~1 mm wide fracture held open by sand "proppant" underwent MICP-treatment at 60°C until reaching three orders of magnitude permeability reduction. Low-field nuclear magnetic resonance (LF-NMR) and X-Ray computed microtomography (μ-CT) techniques were used to assess the extent of biomineralization within the fracture. These tools revealed that while CaCO 3 precipitation occurred throughout the fracture, there was preferential precipitation around proppant, and the core sealed at the effluent end before filling most of the fracture. Both tools were able to independently calculate of the amount of solid biomineral formed inside the fracture. Furthermore, this study found that the distribution of proppant within the shale fracture was an important parameter controlling the degree of biomineralization.

clastic rock↗

DOE OSTI2021

Computational design of passivants for CdTe grain boundaries

CdTe is the second most-widely deployed photovoltaic (PV) material due to its high efficiency and low manufacturing costs. Currently, polycrystalline CdTe (poly-CdTe) has a record efficiency of similar to 22%, which is still well below the theoretical limit (similar to 30%). Polycrystalline CdTe films that have incorporated Cl or Se show higher efficiency, possibly due to the segregation of these ions to the grain boundaries (GBs), where they may passivate the dangling bonds. However, the efficiency enhancement mechanisms of passivants in CdTe GBs, and the feasibility of employing alternative passivants, have not been well explored. Here, we present a systematic computational study of CdTe GBs with potential passivants, namely S, P, As, Se, and Sb on Te sites, and Na, Mg, Al, Sc, Cu, and Zn on Cd sites. Density functional theory (DFT) calculations were performed on GB dislocation core structures derived from scanning transmission electron microscopy (STEM) images of a model GB (bicrystal). We computed the segregation thermodynamics, electronic density of states, and charge variations near doped CdTe GBs. We find that segregation of impurities to GBs is thermodynamically favorable. For a Te-terminated core, Se, S, and P on Te sites effectively reduce midgap states. For both Cd-and Te-terminated dislocation cores, Sc and Al reduce midgap states when substituted for Cd atoms. Overall, the greatest improvement was achieved with co-doping, i.e. simultaneously substituting Te with Se and substituting Cd with Cu or Al. The elimination of midgap states is predicted to increase the photovoltaic efficiency of CdTe by reducing the recombination at grain boundaries.

14 SOLAR ENERGY↗

DOE OSTI2020

Resonant propagation of x rays from the linear to the nonlinear regime

We present a theoretical study of temporal, spectral, and spatial reshaping of intense, ultrafast x-ray pulses propagating through a resonant medium. Our calculations are based on the solution of a three-dimensional time-dependent Schrodinger-Maxwell equation, with the incident x-ray photon energy on resonance with the core-level is-3p transition in neon. We study the evolution of the combined incident and medium-generated field, including the effects of stimulated emission, absorption, ionization, and Auger decay, as a function of the input pulse energy and duration. We find that stimulated Raman scattering between core-excited states 1s -1 3p and 2p -1 3p occurs at high x-ray intensity, and that the emission around this frequency is strongly enhanced when also including the similar 1s -1 -2p -1 response of the ion. We also explore the dependence of x-ray self-induced transparency (SIT) and self-focusing on the pulse intensity and duration, and we find that the stimulated Raman scattering plays an important role in both effects. Finally, we discuss how these nonlinear effects may potentially be exploited as control parameters for pulse properties of x-ray free-electron laser sources.

74 ATOMIC AND MOLECULAR PHYSICS↗

DOE OSTI2023

Regional biogeography versus intra-annual dynamics of the root and soil microbiome

Abstract Background Root and soil microbial communities constitute the below-ground plant microbiome, are drivers of nutrient cycling, and affect plant productivity. However, our understanding of their spatiotemporal patterns is confounded by exogenous factors that covary spatially, such as changes in host plant species, climate, and edaphic factors. These spatiotemporal patterns likely differ across microbiome domains (bacteria and fungi) and niches (root vs. soil). Results To capture spatial patterns at a regional scale, we sampled the below-ground microbiome of switchgrass monocultures of five sites spanning > 3 degrees of latitude within the Great Lakes region. To capture temporal patterns, we sampled the below-ground microbiome across the growing season within a single site. We compared the strength of spatiotemporal factors to nitrogen addition determining the major drivers in our perennial cropping system. All microbial communities were most strongly structured by sampling site, though collection date also had strong effects; in contrast, nitrogen addition had little to no effect on communities. Though all microbial communities were found to have significant spatiotemporal patterns, sampling site and collection date better explained bacterial than fungal community structure, which appeared more defined by stochastic processes. Root communities, especially bacterial, were more temporally structured than soil communities which were more spatially structured, both across and within sampling sites. Finally, we characterized a core set of taxa in the switchgrass microbiome that persists across space and time. These core taxa represented < 6% of total species richness but > 27% of relative abundance, with potential nitrogen fixing bacteria and fungal mutualists dominating the root community and saprotrophs dominating the soil community. Conclusions Our results highlight the dynamic variability of plant microbiome composition and assembly across space and time, even within a single variety of a plant species. Root and soil fungal community compositions appeared spatiotemporally paired, while root and soil bacterial communities showed a temporal lag in compositional similarity suggesting active recruitment of soil bacteria into the root niche throughout the growing season. A better understanding of the drivers of these differential responses to space and time may improve our ability to predict microbial community structure and function under novel conditions.

59 BASIC BIOLOGICAL SCIENCES↗

NASA NTRS2010

Smart Sensor Demonstration Payload

Sensors are a critical element to any monitoring, control, and evaluation processes such as those needed to support ground based testing for rocket engine test. Sensor applications involve tens to thousands of sensors; their reliable performance is critical to achieving overall system goals. Many figures of merit are used to describe and evaluate sensor characteristics; for example, sensitivity and linearity. In addition, sensor selection must satisfy many trade-offs among system engineering (SE) requirements to best integrate sensors into complex systems [1]. These SE trades include the familiar constraints of power, signal conditioning, cabling, reliability, and mass, and now include considerations such as spectrum allocation and interference for wireless sensors. Our group at NASA s John C. Stennis Space Center (SSC) works in the broad area of integrated systems health management (ISHM). Core ISHM technologies include smart and intelligent sensors, anomaly detection, root cause analysis, prognosis, and interfaces to operators and other system elements [2]. Sensor technologies are the base fabric that feed data and health information to higher layers. Cost-effective operation of the complement of test stands benefits from technologies and methodologies that contribute to reductions in labor costs, improvements in efficiency, reductions in turn-around times, improved reliability, and other measures. ISHM is an active area of development at SSC because it offers the potential to achieve many of those operational goals [3-5].

Schmalzel, John↗

DOE OSTI2021

Investigation of high-pressure turbulent jets using direct numerical simulation

Direct numerical simulations of free round jets at a Reynolds number (Re D ) of 5000, based on jet diameter (D) and jet-exit bulk velocity (U e ), are performed to study jet turbulence characteristics at supercritical pressures. The jet consists of nitrogen (N 2 ) that is injected into N 2 at the same temperature. To understand turbulent mixing, a passive scalar is transported with the flow at unity Schmidt number. Two sets of inflow conditions that model jets issuing from either a smooth contraction nozzle (laminar inflow) or a long pipe nozzle (turbulent inflow) are considered. By changing one parameter at a time, the simulations examine the jet-flow sensitivity to the thermodynamic condition (characterized in terms of the compressibility factor ($Z$) and the normalized isothermal compressibility), inflow condition and ambient pressure (p ∞ ) spanning perfect- to real-gas conditions. The inflow affects flow statistics in the near field (containing the potential core closure and the transition region) as well as further downstream (containing fully developed flow with self-similar statistics) at both atmospheric and supercritical p ∞ . The sensitivity to inflow is larger in the transition region, where the laminar-inflow jets exhibit dominant coherent structures that produce higher mean strain rates and higher turbulent kinetic energy than in turbulent-inflow jets. Decreasing $Z$ at a fixed supercritical p ∞ enhances pressure and density fluctuations (non-dimensionalized by local mean pressure and density, respectively), but the effect on velocity fluctuations depends also on the local flow dynamics. When $Z$ is reduced, large mean strain rates in the transition region of laminar-inflow jets significantly enhance velocity fluctuations (non-dimensionalized by local mean velocity) and scalar mixing, whereas the effects are minimal in jets from turbulent inflow.

42 ENGINEERING↗

DOE OSTI2025

Transient Modeling and Simulation of a Generic Stable Salt Reactor

A SAM system-level model of a generic stable salt reactor has been developed to investigate thermal-hydraulic behavior and safety performance under steady and transient conditions. The model integrates information generated from a reactor physics analysis using PROTEUS and PERSENT, and a computation fluid dynamics (CFD) analysis using STAR-CCM+. A loose, iterative coupling scheme between PROTEUS and SAM is implemented to calculate the equilibrium power and temperature distributions in the steady-state critical core condition. The converged steady-state model is then used in PERSENT to calculate the four reactivity feedback temperature coefficients (Doppler, fuel density, coolant density, and core radial expansion) and kinetic parameters that are needed in SAM to model the temperature feedback effects in transient simulations. Within the fully enclosed liquid fuel pins, natural convection is the dominant heat transfer mechanism. The STAR-CCM+ model of the fuel pin considers conjugate heat transfer from the liquid fuel salt to the pin cladding and external reactor coolant. The CFD results of the axial and radial temperature profiles are used to empirically determine an effective fuel salt thermal conductivity in the SAM fuel pin model so that the temperatures predicted by the SAM model match as closely as possible the CFD results. In the central region of the fuel pin, the effective thermal conductivity is as high as similar to 60 times the physical fuel salt thermal conductivity. The whole-plant SAM model is then used to simulate an unprotected station blackout transient. The results of this simulation showed that the large negative fuel axial expansion reactivity feedback reduces fission power to similar to 2.4% nominal power. The core is cooled by natural circulation, which removes heat in the core to the emergency heat removal system, and ultimately, to the ambient. However, peak fuel salt and cladding temperatures can potentially reach as high as 1500 K, albeit briefly, if the shutdown mechanism fails to operate.

stable salt reactor; transient simulations; system↗

DOE OSTI2025

Thermally induced structural competitiveness and metastability of body-centered-cubic iron under nonequilibrium conditions

The structure and stability of iron near melting at multi-megabar pressures are of significant interest in high pressure physics and earth and planetary sciences. While the body-centered cubic (BCC) phase is generally recognized as unstable at lower temperatures, its stability relative to the hexagonal close-packed (HCP) phase at high temperatures (approximately 0.5 eV) in the Earth’s inner core (IC) remains a topic of ongoing theoretical and experimental debate. Motivated by a series of studies attempting to understand the state of the IC and resulting in contradictory findings, we aim to explore the physical factors that may contribute to this confusion in a broader context. Our ab initio calculations show a significant drop in energy, the emergence of a plateau and a local minimum in the potential energy surface, and stabilization of all phonon modes of BCC iron at elevated electron temperatures (>1–1.5 eV). These effects increase the competition among the BCC, HCP, and the face-centered cubic (FCC) phases and lead to the metastability of the BCC structure. Furthermore, at pressure-temperature conditions relevant to the IC, we can expect substantial coexistence of FCC and HCP iron due to their similar free energies and low transition barrier (∼0.2 eV/atom), and the thermodynamic stability of BCC iron is enhanced by its substantial lattice vibration entropy. In conclusion, these findings provide a clear theoretical framework for understanding iron phase relations and solidification processes, both experimentally and in the IC.

75 CONDENSED MATTER PHYSICS, SUPERCONDUCTIVITY AND↗

DOE OSTI2022

Review of Potential Wigner Effect Impacts on the Irradiated Graphite in Decommissioned Hanford Reactors

This review of is motivated by the need to consider future disposal of the nine surplus Hanford Site production reactors (B, C, D, DR, F, H, KE, KW, and N) that are decommissioned as part of the Hanford Site Composite Analysis. The B Reactor has been designated as a museum. The other eight reactors will be evaluated in a future performance assessment before a final disposal facility can be authorized to construction or to receive this waste form. After a performance assessment is available, then the Hanford Site Composite Analysis would be updated to account for this additional source term. Disposal is currently assumed to occur in calendar year 2070 by one-piece removal to a projected disposal facility in the 200 West Area of the Hanford Site Central Plateau. The N Reactor core may also be disposed analogously to the single-pass reactors. It will further assume that the B Reactor will remain a museum permanently. The U.S. Department of Energy studied at least five decommissioning alternatives for long-term, safe management of radionuclide-contaminated materials inside the eight single-pass reactors (DOE/EIS-0119-FEIS, Decommissioning of Eight Surplus Production Reactors at the Hanford Site, Richland, Washington).

11 NUCLEAR FUEL CYCLE AND FUEL MATERIALS↗

NASA NTRS1980

The reduction, verification and interpretation of Magsat magnetic data over Canada

The primary concern of this investigation is to detect and study variations in the magnetic field originating in the solid Earth, as measured by Magsat. Most of this field originates in the core, but an important part of the field is of lithospheric origin. Magnetic anomalies of lithospheric origin are weak at Magsat altitudes (20 to 30 nT at most), and they can easily be masked by much larger effects caused by field aligned and other currents at high latitudes. Most of Canada lies under the influence of ionospheric currents in the auroral zone and polar cap. Therefore, before Magsat data had become available, but after the October 30, 1979 launch, criteria were developed for selecting times when subsets of potentially usable Magsat data could be expected. Subsequently, as Magsat data became available, these critieria were applied.

Coles, R. L.↗

NASA NTRS2019

Sense and Avoid Characterization of the Independent Configurable Architecture for Reliable Operations of Unmanned Systems

Abstract—Independent Configurable Architecture for Reliable Operations of Unmanned Systems (ICAROUS) is a distributed software architecture developed by NASA Langley Research Center to enable safe autonomous UAS operations. ICAROUS consists of a collection formally verified core algorithms for path planning, traffic avoidance, geofence handling, and decision making that interface with an autopilot system through a publisher-subscriber middleware. The ICAROUS Sense and Avoid Characterization (ISAAC) test was designed to evaluate the performance of the onboard Sense and Avoid (SAA) capability to detect potential conflicts with other aircraft and autonomously maneuver to avoid collisions, while remaining within the airspace boundaries of the mission. The ISAAC tests evaluated the impact of separation distances and alerting times on SAA performance. A preliminary analysis of the effects of each parameter on key measures of performance is conducted, informing the choice of appropriate parameter values for different small Unmanned Aircraft Systems (sUAS) applications. Furthermore, low-power Automatic Dependent Surveillance – Broadcast (ADS-B) is evaluated for potential use to enable autonomous sUAS to sUAS deconflictions as well as to provide usable warnings for manned aircraft without saturating the frequency spectrum.

Consiglio, Maria↗

NASA NTRS2019

Observations of Surface Mass Balance on Pine Island Glacier, West Antarctica, and the Effect of Strain History in Fast-Flowing Sections

Surface mass balance (SMB) is the net input of mass on a glacier's upper surface, composed of snow deposition, melt and erosion processes, and is a major contributor to the overall mass balance. Pine Island Glacier (PIG) in West Antarctica has been dynamically imbalanced since the early 1990s, indicating that discharge of solid ice into the oceans exceeds snow deposition. However, observations of the SMB pattern on the fast flowing regions are scarce, and are potentially affected by the firn's strain history. Here, we present new observations from radar-derived stratigraphy and a relatively dense network of firn cores, collected along a ~900 km traverse of PIG. Between 1986 and 2014, the SMB along the traverse was 0.505 m w.e. a−1 on average with a gradient of higher snow deposition in the South-West compared with the North-East of the catchment. We show that along ~80% of the traverse the strain history amounts to a misestimation of SMB below the nominal uncertainty, but can exceed it by a factor 5 in places, making it a significant correction to the SMB estimate locally. We find that the strain correction changes the basin-wide SMB by ~0.7 Gt a−1 and thus forms a negligible (1%) correction to the glacier's total SMB.

ice core↗

DOE OSTI2022

Distinct Bimetallic Cooperativity Among Water Reduction Catalysts Containing [Co III Co III ], [Ni II Ni II ], and [Zn II Zn II ] Cores

We report three binuclear species [LCo III 2 (μ-Pz) 2 ](ClO 4 ) 3 (1), [LNi II 2 (CH 3 OH) 2 Cl 2 ]ClO 4 (2), and [LZn II 2 Cl 2 ]PF 6 (3) supported by the deprotonated form of the ligand 2,6-bis[bis(2-pyridylmethyl) amino-methyl]-4-methylphenol were synthesized, structurally characterized as solids and in solution, and had their electrochemical and spectroscopic behavior established. Species 1–3 had their water reduction ability studied aiming to interrogate the possible cooperative catalytic activity between two neighboring metal centers. Species 1 and 2 reduced H 2 O to H 2 effectively at an applied potential of -1.6 V Ag/AgCl , yielding turnover numbers of 2,820 and 2,290, respectively, after 30 minutes. Species 3 lacked activity and was used as a negative control to eliminate the possibility of ligand-based catalysis. Pre- and post-catalytic data gave evidence of the molecular nature of the process within the timeframe of the experiments. Species 1 showed structural, rather than electronic cooperativity, while species 2 displayed no obvious cooperativity. DFT methods complemented the experimental results determining plausible mechanisms.

37 INORGANIC, ORGANIC, PHYSICAL, AND ANALYTICAL CH↗

DOE OSTI2020

Biexciton Condensation in Electron-Hole-Doped Hubbard Bilayers: A Sign-Problem-Free Quantum Monte Carlo Study

The bilayer Hubbard model with electron-hole doping is an ideal platform to study excitonic orders due to suppressed recombination via spatial separation of electrons and holes. However, suffering from the sign problem, previous quantum Monte Carlo studies could not arrive at an unequivocal conclusion regarding the presence of phases with clear signatures of excitonic condensation in bilayer Hubbard models. Here, we develop a determinant quantum Monte Carlo algorithm for the bilayer Hubbard model that is sign-problem-free for equal and opposite doping in the two layers and study excitonic order and charge and spin density modulations as a function of chemical potential difference between the two layers, on-site Coulomb repulsion, and interlayer interaction. In the intermediate coupling regime and in proximity to the SU(4)-symmetric point, we find a biexcitonic condensate phase at finite electron-hole doping, as well as a competing (π, π) charge density wave state. In this study, we extract the Berezinskii-Kosterlitz-Thouless transition temperature from superfluid density and a finite-size scaling analysis of the correlation functions and explain our results in terms of an effective biexcitonic hard-core boson model.

75 CONDENSED MATTER PHYSICS, SUPERCONDUCTIVITY AND↗

NASA NTRS2024

Development of a Data Fusion Methodology for Lineload Aerodynamic Databases for a Launch Vehicle during Liftoff and Transition

The need for databases for the distributed loading on launch vehicles during the early portion of flight necessitates the use of expensive computational flows in regimes where wake effects dominate. While also being expensive, this is a regime that computational tools tend to historically have problems simulating accurately. To help tackle this problem, a method of data fusion to combine computational results to wind tunnel derived force and moment data is developed. Using this method, significant reduction in computational costs and increases in confidence of the final product is possible and has been used to generate several databases for the Space Launch System (SLS) at NASA. While the full details of database generation are not part of this work, the crucial method at its core is developed here. Two SLS geometries are used throughout the work to demonstrate the techniques. These are two of the larger geometries and represent both planned crewed missions to the Moon as well as potential cargo missions to deep space. The method uses principal component analysis (PCA) to generate a reduced ordered model (ROM) to help fill in the full parameter space. Other similar techniques are explored, but were not found to have a significant result on the predictions of the ROM. Because the full number of components are kept to generate the model, this lack of difference is expected. This method is then extended to ensure that predicted surfaces match trusted force and moment data derived from wind tunnel testing. This extension is done by setting up a constrained optimization problem in order to minimize the deviation from the surface resolved computational data while still integrating to the desired values. When generating the constrained optimization problem, a weighting factor to balance these competing needs is introduced. The work compares previously introduced weighting terms from similar work to the proposed terms and shows that the previously used terms do not have as desirable behavior in this flow regime. This method is then expanded by developing a technique to incorporate uncertainty quantification into the developed data fusion methodology. This expansion takes a two pronged approach. One examines transferring the uncertainties in the force and moment database and characterizes how those adjustments change the predicted lineloads. The second looks at model form error and looks how rebuilding the model using slightly different data changes the predictions. These two terms are then combined in order to create an uncertainty model that takes both effects into account. The limitations of the proposed methods is then discussed as well as possible techniques to address these shortcomings.

Launch Vehicles↗