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At least 451 records · Page 25

CIS Project 22359, Final Technical Report. Discretized Posterior Approximation in High Dimensions

Our primary aim in this work is to understand how to efficiently obtain reliable uncertainty quantification in automatic learning algorithms with limited training datasets. Standard approaches rely on cross-validation to tune hyper parameters. Unfortunately, when our datasets are too small, holdout datasets become unreliable—albeit unbiased—measures of prediction quality due to the lack of adequate sample size. We should not place confidence in holdout estimators under conditions wherein the sample variance is both large and unknown. More poigniantly, our training experiments on limited data (Duersch and Catanach, 2021) show that even if we could improve estimator quality under these conditions, the typical training trajectory may never even encounter generalizable models.

97 MATHEMATICS AND COMPUTING↗

Discrete modeling of a transformer with ALEGRA

We report progress on a task to model transformers in ALEGRA using the “Transient Magnetics” option. We specifically evaluate limits of the approach resolving individual coil wires. There are practical limits to the number of turns in a coil that can be numerically modeled, but calculated inductance can be scaled to the correct number of turns in a simple way. Our testing essentially confirmed this “turns scaling” hypothesis. We developed a conceptual transformer design, representative of practical designs of interest, and that focused our analysis. That design includes three coils wrapped around a rectangular ferromagnetic core. The secondary and tertiary coils have multiple layers. The tertiary has three layers of 13 turns each; the secondary has five layers of 44 turns; the primary has one layer of 20 turns. We validated the turns scaling of inductance for simple (one-layer) coils in air (no core) by comparison to available independent calculations for simple rectangular coils. These comparisons quantified the errors versus reduced number of turns modeled. For more than 3 turns, the errors are <5%. The magnetic field solver failed to converge (within 5000 iterations) for >10 turns. Including the core introduced some complications. It was necessary to capture the core surfaces in thin grid sheaths to minimize errors in computed magnetic energy. We do not yet have quantitative benchmarks with which to compare, but calculated results are qualitatively reasonable.

42 ENGINEERING↗

Finite Volume Discretization of the Euler Equations in Pronghorn

Modeling flow and heat transfer in high temperature gas reactors (HTGR) requires the ability to model a wide range of flow speeds from slow (natural convection), to intermediate (forced-flow conditions), to supersonic regimes (depressurization) for a wide range of geometries including the pebble bed, upper and lower plenum, and risers. In previous work, Pronghorn has effectively modeled low-to-medium speed flows in scenarios such as the one described in the two-dimensional PBMR-400 benchmark, using its finite-element-based streamline-upwind Petrov-Galerkin (SUPG) stabilized implementation of the Euler equations. However, limitations of this method become apparent when dealing with more complicated geometries (e.g. imposing slip boundary conditions at nodes belonging to two different boundaries) and when gas speeds are fast enough for shocks and supersonic flow to occur. For these problems, the finite-element-based solver lacks robustness and is plagued by slow iterative convergence or even divergence. In order to address these challenges, the Pronghorn code at INL has been updated with new, modified versions of its original equations. The new Pronghorn models are built on the finite volume method with a Harten-Lax-van Leer-Contact (HLLC) Riemann solver based numerical flux method, which (1) allows imposing slip boundary conditions much more robustly and (2) performs well for a wide range of flow speeds. The finite-volume-based flow solver will form the basis for a robust coarse-mesh thermal-hydraulics capability in Pronghorn.

97 MATHEMATICS AND COMPUTING↗