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At least 451 records · Page 25

A framework for testing soil carbon dynamics post land-use transition in a multisector dynamics model

Soil carbon plays a crucial role in the global carbon cycle. Changes in land use can determine whether carbon is stored or is emitted into the atmosphere as carbon dioxide, which has broad implications for the human and Earth systems. These feedbacks to the carbon cycle and their socio-economic drivers are modelled by many global multisector dynamics models to project future possibilities for the human-Earth system. One notable model of this class is the Global Change Analysis Model (GCAM), which uses a simplified process to model soil organic carbon (SOC) content after land-use transition across 384 land units. While the current GCAM soil carbon framework is based on scientific principles, it has not been tested against experimental data. This work examines rates of SOC change from GCAM input data. Specifically, first order rate constants derived from model inputs were compared to values from two syntheses to assess GCAM’s accuracy. Welch’s t-tests and linear models were used to determine if rate constants were consistent across all tested geographical areas and land-use transition types. While we found that there was general agreement on the direction and magnitude (i.e., rate) of SOC change, the rate constant derived from GCAM and empirical values differed strongly in a subset of specific instances. These results indicate that GCAM’s current SOC dynamics during land use transition successfully capture broad patterns of change in this critical carbon pool, but should be interpreted with caution at finer spatial scales. One potential cause of these discrepancies is our highly aggregated variable, soil timescale, which could be made more granular to improve accuracy. When using economically rooted multisector dynamics models, such as GCAM, it is critical to understand such model limitations for representing specific Earth system processes.

carbon↗

Decoupling of catalysis and transition state analog binding from mutations throughout a phosphatase revealed by high-throughput enzymology

Using high-throughput microfluidic enzyme kinetics (HT-MEK), we measured over 9,000 inhibition curves detailing impacts of 1,004 single-site mutations throughout the alkaline phosphatase PafA on binding affinity for two transition state analogs (TSAs), vanadate and tungstate. As predicted by catalytic models invoking transition state complementary, mutations to active site and active-site-contacting residues had highly similar impacts on catalysis and TSA binding. Unexpectedly, most mutations to more distal residues that reduced catalysis had little or no impact on TSA binding and many even increased tungstate affinity. These disparate effects can be accounted for by a model in which distal mutations alter the enzyme’s conformational landscape, increasing the occupancy of microstates that are catalytically less effective but better able to accommodate larger transition state analogs. In support of this ensemble model, glycine substitutions (rather than valine) were more likely to increase tungstate affinity (but not more likely to impact catalysis), presumably due to increased conformational flexibility that allows previously disfavored microstates to increase in occupancy. These results indicate that residues throughout an enzyme provide specificity for the transition state and discriminate against analogs that are larger only by tenths of an Ångström. Thus, engineering enzymes that rival the most powerful natural enzymes will likely require consideration of distal residues that shape the enzyme’s conformational landscape and fine-tune active-site residues. Biologically, the evolution of extensive communication between the active site and remote residues to aid catalysis may have provided the foundation for allostery to make it a highly evolvable trait.

59 BASIC BIOLOGICAL SCIENCES↗

NASA SPoRT Modeling and Data Assimilation Research and Transition Activities Using WRF, LIS and GSI

weather research and forecasting ===== The NASA Short‐term Prediction Research and Transition (SPoRT) program has numerous modeling and data assimilation (DA) activities in which the WRF model is a key component. SPoRT generates realtime, research satellite products from the MODIS and VIIRS instruments, making the data available to NOAA/NWS partners running the WRF/EMS, including: (1) 2‐km northwestern‐hemispheric SST composite, (2) daily, MODIS green vegetation fraction (GVF) over CONUS, and (3) NASA Land Information System (LIS) runs of the Noah LSM over the southeastern CONUS. Each of these datasets have been utilized by specific SPoRT partners in local EMS model runs, with select offices evaluating the impacts using a set of automated scripts developed by SPoRT that manage data acquisition and run the NCAR Model Evaluation Tools verification package. SPoRT is engaged in DA research with the Gridpoint Statistical Interpolation (GSI) and Ensemble Kalman Filter in LIS for soil moisture DA. Ongoing DA projects using GSI include comparing the impacts of assimilating Atmospheric Infrared Sounder (AIRS) radiances versus retrieved profiles, and an analysis of extra‐tropical cyclones with intense non‐convective winds. As part of its Early Adopter activities for the NASA Soil Moisture Active Passive (SMAP) mission, SPoRT is conducting bias correction and soil moisture DA within LIS to improve simulations using the NASA Unified‐WRF (NU‐WRF) for both the European Space Agency's Soil Moisture Ocean Salinity and upcoming SMAP mission data. SPoRT has also incorporated real‐time global GVF data into LIS and WRF from the VIIRS product being developed by NOAA/NESDIS. This poster will highlight the research and transition activities SPoRT conducts using WRF, NU‐WRF, EMS, LIS, and GSI.

Case, Jonathan L.↗

The NASA Short-term Prediction Research and Transition (SPoRT) Center: A Collaborative Model for Accelerating Research into Operations

The NASA Short-term Prediction Research and Transition (SPoRT) Center in Huntsville, Alabama was created to accelerate the infusion of NASA earth science observations, data assimilation and modeling research into NWS forecast operations and decision-making. The principal focus of experimental products is on the regional scale with an emphasis on forecast improvements on a time scale of 0-24 hours. The SPoRT Center research is aligned with the regional prediction objectives of the US Weather Research Program dealing with 0-1 day forecast issues ranging from convective initiation to 24-hr quantitative precipitation forecasting. The SPoRT Center, together with its other interagency partners, universities, and the NASA/NOAA Joint Center for Satellite Data Assimilation, provides a means and a process to effectively transition NASA Earth Science Enterprise observations and technology to National Weather Service operations and decision makers at both the global/national and regional scales. This paper describes the process for the transition of experimental products into forecast operations, current products undergoing assessment by forecasters, and plans for the future.

Goodman, S. J.↗

Power market models for the clean energy transition: State of the art and future research needs

As power systems around the world are rapidly evolving to achieve decarbonization objectives, it is crucial that power system planners and operators use appropriate models and tools to analyze and address the associated challenges. This paper provides a detailed overview of the properties of power market models in the context of the clean energy transition. We review common power market model methodologies, their readiness for low- and zero-carbon grids, and new power market trends. Based on the review, we suggest model improvements and new designs to increase modeling capabilities for future grids. The paper highlights key modeling concepts related to power system flexibility, with a particular focus on hydropower and energy storage, as well as the representation of grid services, price formation, temporal structure, and the importance of uncertainty. We find that a changing resource mix, market restructuring, and growing price uncertainty require more precise modeling techniques to adequately capture the new technology constraints and the dynamics of future power markets. In particular, models must adequately represent resource opportunity costs, multi-horizon flexibility, and energy storage capabilities across the full range of grid services. Moreover, at the system level, it is increasingly important to consider sub-hourly time resolution, enhanced uncertainty representation, and introduce co-optimization for dual market clearing of energy and grid services. Likewise, models should capture interdependencies between multiple energy carriers and demand sectors.

29 ENERGY PLANNING, POLICY, AND ECONOMY↗

Machine learning for impurity charge-state transition levels in semiconductors from elemental properties using multi-fidelity datasets

Quantifying charge-state transition energy levels of impurities in semiconductors is critical to understanding and engineering their optoelectronic properties for applications ranging from solar photovoltaics to infrared lasers. While these transition levels can be measured and calculated accurately, such efforts are time-consuming and more rapid prediction methods would be beneficial. Here, we significantly reduce the time typically required to predict impurity transition levels using multi-fidelity datasets and a machine learning approach employing features based on elemental properties and impurity positions. We use transition levels obtained from low-fidelity (i.e., local-density approximation or generalized gradient approximation) density functional theory (DFT) calculations, corrected using a recently proposed modified band alignment scheme, which well-approximates transition levels from high-fidelity DFT (i.e., hybrid HSE06). Further, the model fit to the large multi-fidelity database shows improved accuracy compared to the models trained on the more limited high-fidelity values. Crucially, in our approach, when using the multi-fidelity data, high-fidelity values are not required for model training, significantly reducing the computational cost required for training the model. Our machine learning model of transition levels has a root mean squared (mean absolute) error of 0.36 (0.27) eV vs high-fidelity hybrid functional values when averaged over 14 semiconductor systems from the II–VI and III–V families. As a guide for use on other systems, we assessed the model on simulated data to show the expected accuracy level as a function of bandgap for new materials of interest. Finally, we use the model to predict a complete space of impurity charge-state transition levels in all zinc blende III–V and II–VI systems.

37 INORGANIC, ORGANIC, PHYSICAL, AND ANALYTICAL CH↗

Evaluation of Human Spaceflight-Related Tissue Weight Relief Using Whole Body Finite Element Model Simulations

Tissue Weight Relief (TWR) is a physiological condition observed in human spaceflight. It not only impacts the injury biomechanics of soft tissue but also the physiological responses of the cardiovascular system both due to fluid redistribution and the effect of tissue-related transmural pressure on the large venous blood vessels. Understanding the effects of tissue weight relief is especially important because of the role it may play in understanding the cause of Space Associated Neuro-Ocular Syndrome (SANS). SANS can be characterized by a number of ocular changes which reduce visual acuity and SANS related symptoms occur in up to 51% of astronauts. A prevailing theory for the causation of SANS is that of headward (cephalad) fluid shift and a prolonged increase of Intracranial Pressure (ICP) similar to intracranial hypertension, which is not fully supported by the experimental data or astronaut symptom reporting. However, it is still believed that SANS is caused by a pressure change in the eye and the surrounding tissues. It has been proposed that TWR plays a substantial role in affecting internal pressures and fluid shifts in microgravity. In this effort, two whole-body Finite Element (FE) models – Elemance and THUMS – are used to ascertain the microgravity-associated TWR of the musculature surrounding the lower body veins. Elemance and THUMS are physics-based computational models that have been validated and verified for several automotive and domestic applications, and as such, can simulate the relief of soft tissue weight due to changes in the gravitation vector. Specifically, the current effort modeled the transition of the gravitational vector from 1G to 0G, applied across the whole-body model in a supine position. For each 1G to 0G transition simulation, the lower body vein’s transmural pressure-time profile was extracted and averaged around the anterior portion of the thigh muscle. The ascertained transmural pressure changes from 1G to 0G transition are given in Figure 1 for the Elemance and the THUMS FE models. The transmural pressure changes of 10 mmHg and 21 mmHg are in the same order of magnitude as Lu’s value of 44 mmHg. It is to be noted that Lu implemented a 0D to 1D lumped parameter model and the Elemance and THUMS are 3D higher order computational models. This proof-of-concept approach demonstrates that TWR pressure can be adequately estimated with in silico techniques however, further in silico investigations need to be conducted to address the unique contributions to the transmural pressure from each of the computational models.

Finite element modeling↗

Rapid-Transition Tests of a 1/4-Scale Model of the VZ-2 Tilt-Wing Aircraft

An investigation of the longitudinal stability and control characteristics of a 1/4-scale model of the VZ-2 tilt-wing vertical-take-off- and-landing aircraft during rapid transitions has been made on the Langley control-line facility. Only the longitudinal characteristics were studied because with the control-line technique the other phases of the model motion are partially restrained. The rapid transitions from hovering to forward flight could be performed easily at any of the accelerations attempted; whereas, the transitions from forward flight to hovering were generally accompanied by a strong nose up pitching moment which at times was uncontrollable because of an inadequate amount of available pitch control. The model was more difficult to control during rapid decelerations than during slow decelerations and was also more difficult to control for rearward center-of-gravity conditions than for forward ones.

Tosti, Louis P.↗

Prediction of Transitional Flows in the Low Pressure Turbine

Current turbulence models tend to give too early and too short a length of flow transition to turbulence, and hence fail to predict flow separation induced by the adverse pressure gradients and streamline flow curvatures. Our discussion will focus on the development and validation of transition models. The baseline data for model comparisons are the T3 series, which include a range of free-stream turbulence intensity and cover zero-pressure gradient to aft-loaded turbine pressure gradient flows. The method will be based on the conditioned N-S equations and a transport equation for the intermittency factor. First, several of the most popular 2-equation models in predicting flow transition are examined: k-e [Launder-Sharina], k-w [Wilcox], Lien-Leschiziner and SST [Menter] models. All models fail to predict the onset and the length of transition, even for the simplest flat plate with zero-pressure gradient(T3A). Although the predicted onset position of transition can be varied by providing different inlet turbulent energy dissipation rates, the appropriate inlet conditions for turbulence quantities should be adjusted to match the decay of the free-stream turbulence. Arguably, one may adjust the low-Reynolds-number part of the model to predict transition. This approach has so far not been very successful. However, we have found that the low-Reynolds-number model of Launder and Sharma [1974], which is an improved version of Jones and Launder [1972] gave the best overall performance. The Launder and Sharma model was designed to capture flow re-laminarization (a reverse of flow transition), but tends to give rise to a too early and too fast transition in comparison with the physical transition. The three test cases were for flows with zero pressure gradient but with different free-stream turbulent intensities. The same can be said about the model when considering flows subject to pressure gradient(T3C1). To capture the effects of transition using existing turbulence models, one approach is to make use of the concept of the intermittency to predict the flow transition. It was originally based on the intermittency distribution of Narasimha [1957], and then gradually evolved into a transport equation for the intermittency factor. Gostelow and associates [1994,1995] have made some improvements to Narasimha's method in an attempt to account for both favorable and adverse pressure gradients. Their approach is based on a linear, explicit combination of laminar and turbulent solutions. This approach fails to predict the overshoot of the skin friction on a flat plate near the end of transition zone, even though the length of transition is well predicted. The major flaw of Gostelow's approach is that it assumes the non-turbulent part being the laminar solution and the turbulent part being the turbulent solution and they do not interact across the transitional region. The technique in condition averaging the flow equations in intermittent flows was first introduced by Libby [1975] and Dopazo [1977] and further refined by Dick and associates [1988, 1996]. This approach employs two sets of transport equations for the non-turbulent part and the other for the turbulent part. The advantage of this approach is that it allows the interaction of non-turbulent and turbulent velocities through the introduction of additional source terms in the continuity and momentum equations for the non-turbulent and turbulent velocities. However, the strong coupling of the two sets of equations has caused some numerical difficulties, which requires special attention. The prediction of the skin friction can be improved by this approach via the implicit coupling of non-turbulent and turbulent velocity flelds. Another improvement of the interrmittency model can be further made by allowing the intermittency to vary in the cross-stream direction. This is one step prior to testing any proposal for the transport equation for the intermittency factor. Instead of solving the transport equation for the intermittency factor, the distribution for the intermittency factor is prescribed by Klebanoff's empirical formula [1955]. The skin friction is very well predicted by this new modification, including the overshoot of the profile near the end of the transition zone. The outcome of this study is very encouraging since it indicates that the proper description of the intermittency distribution is the key to the success of the model prediction. This study will be used to guide us on the modelling of the intermittency transport equation.

Huang, George↗

Hovering and Transition Flight Tests of a 1/5-Scale Model of a Jet-Powered Vertical-Attitude VTOL Research Airplane

An experimental investigation has been made to determine the dynamic stability and control characteristics of a 1/5-scale flying model of a jet-powered vertical-attitude VTOL research airplane in hovering and transition flight. The model was powered with either a hydrogen peroxide rocket motor or a compressed-air jet exhausting through an ejector tube to simulate the turbojet engine of the airplane. The gyroscopic effects of the engine were simulated by a flywheel driven by compressed-air jets. In hovering flight the model was controlled by jet-reaction controls which consisted of a swiveling nozzle on the main jet and a movable nozzle on each wing tip; and in forward flight the model was controlled by elevons and a rudder. If the gyroscopic effects of the jet engine were not represented, the model could be flown satisfactorily in hovering flight without any automatic stabilization devices. When the gyroscopic effects of the jet engine were represented, however, the model could not be controlled without the aid of artificial stabilizing devices because of the gyroscopic coupling of the yawing and pitching motions. The use of pitch and yaw dampers made these motions completely stable and the model could then be controlled very easily. In the transition flight tests, which were performed only with the automatic pitch and yaw dampers operating, it was found that the transition was very easy to perform either with or without the engine gyroscopic effects simulated, although the model had a tendency to fly in a rolled and sideslipped attitude at angles of attack between approximately 25 and 45 deg because of static directional instability in this range.

Smith, Charles C., Jr.↗

Hovering and Transition Flight Tests of a 1/5-Scale Model of a Jet-Powered Vertical-Attitude VTOL Research Airplane

An experimental investigation has been made to determine the dynamic stability and control characteristics of a 1/5-scale flying model of a jet-powered vertical-attitude VTOL research airplane in hovering and transition flight. The model was powered with either a hydrogen peroxide rocket motor or a compressed-air jet exhausting through an ejector tube to simulate the turbojet engine of the airplane. The gyroscopic effects of the engine were simulated by a flywheel driven by compressed-air jets. In hovering flight the model was controlled by jet-reaction controls which consisted of a swiveling nozzle on the main jet and a movable nozzle on each wing tip; and in forward flight the model was controlled by elevons and a rudder. If the gyroscopic effects of the jet engine were not represented, the model could be flown satisfactorily in hovering flight without any automatic stabilization devices. When the gyroscopic effects of the jet engine were represented, however, the model could not be controlled without the aid of artificial stabilizing devices because of the gyroscopic coupling of the yawing and pitching motions. The use of pitch and yaw dampers made these motions completely stable and the model could then be controlled very easily. In the transition flight tests, which were performed only with the automatic pitch and yaw dampers operating, it was found that the transition was very easy to perform either with or without the engine gyroscopic effects simulated, although the model had a tendency to fly in a rolled and sideslipped attitude at angles of attack between approximately 25 deg and 45 deg because of static directional instability in this range.

Smith, Charles C., Jr.↗

Phase-field model of coupled insulator-metal transitions and oxygen vacancy redox reactions

A predominant ubiquitous feature of strongly correlated oxides is the possible presence of oxygen vacancies, which has recently been shown to have profound effects on their electronic phase transitions. Here, we formulate a comprehensive phase-field model of intercoupled insulator-metal transitions and oxygen vacancy redox reactions, taking into account the valence electron state of oxygen vacancies. We use the model to study the voltage self-oscillation phenomenon in a prototypical strongly correlated oxide, VO 2 , and discover the mutual activation of the insulator-metal transition and oxygen vacancy redox reactions leading to systematic enhancement of the oscillation frequency. Furthermore, the established methodology and the mutual activation mechanism are generally applicable to understanding any insulator-metal transition dynamics in oxygen-deficient correlated oxides and improving the performance of voltage self-oscillation-based artificial neurons.

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗

Near-optimal energy transitions for energy-state trajectories of hypersonic aircraft

A problem of the instantaneous energy transition that occurs in energy-state approximation is considered. The transitions are modeled as a sequence of two load-factor bounded paths (either climb-dive or dive-climb). The boundary-layer equations associated with the energy-state dynamic model are analyzed to determine the precise location of the transition.

Ardema, M. D.↗

On the Stability of Three-Dimensional Boundary Layers: Linear and Nonlinear Stability - Part 1

The primary stability of incompressible three-dimensional boundary layers is investigated using the Parabolized Stability Equations (PSE). We compute the evolution of stationary and traveling disturbances in the linear and nonlinear region prior to transition. As model problems, we choose Swept Hiemenz Flow and the DLR Transition Experiment. The primary stability results for Swept Hiemenz Flow agree very well with computations by Malik et al. For the DLR Experiment, the mean flow profiles are obtained by solving the boundary layer equations for the measured pressure distribution. Both linear and nonlinear results show very good agreement with the experiment.

Janke, Erik↗

Computational simulation of transition to turbulence through inverse modeling

The present investigation has focused on a computational methodology for the fundamental case of transition in channel flow, in which recently published experimental data are utilized both as a stimulus and as a measure of merit of the method. The research has proceeded along three avenues in parallel. The first task has consisted of the development and verification of a computer code which calculates the mean evolution of flow in a channel similar to the one employed experimentally by Blair and Anderson. An analytical test case was created for the dual purposes of code verification and of highlighting the interactions between the Reynolds stress and the mean velocity profile. This test case generated a Reynolds stress by the residue in the momentum equation which is produced by a typical analytical velocity profile. By a substitution of this Reynolds stress into the appropriate code module, the correctness of the code may be verified, along with the accuracy of the computational method. The second task pursued has involved the development of a triple layer model for the Reynolds stress profile, which was suggested and derived from experimental velocity profiles. It is demonstrated that the innermost length scale is based on the local friction velocity, the intermediate layer corresponds to the usual logarithmic law of the wall region in which the normalized Reynolds stress is approximately unity, and the outermost layer is represented by a closed mathematical form depending explicitly on the velocity profile in the wake region. The third task was comprised of scrutiny of the excellent databases developed by Blair and others, and the planning of its incorporation into the transition analysis. These extensive measurements indicate that turbulent statistics in the transition regime may be considered to alternate between laminar and fully turbulent types, the proportions of which are quantified by a measured intermittency function.

Sepri, Paavo↗

Mental Models for Managing Grid Cybersecurity Risk - ARC Industry Forum, Cybersecurity and Energy Transition

A proper mental model of the concepts of cyber risk and its components of threat and exploitability and consequence is necessary to allocate limited resources to different security activities, especially when considered alongside reliability and regulatory and economic risks. Understanding the consequence and frequency different risks are realized also helps align the right mitigations to the right risks. Cyber-informed engineering (CIE) is an emerging method to “engineer out” cyber risk across product and system lifecycles, and INL has a portfolio of programs operationalizing CIE’s principles for the energy sector.

24 POWER TRANSMISSION AND DISTRIBUTION↗

Machine learning for fundamental spectroscopic and thermodynamic data of actinides and lanthanides

Accurately modeling optical spectra with absolute radiometric intensities is vital for nuclear forensics applications that depend on characterizing optical emissions from energetic nuclear phenomena. This requires precise knowledge of the individual atomic transition probabilities, known as Einstein A-coefficients, for each emission line. Obtaining these values theoretically or experimentally is often impractical due to the complex electronic structures and the number of transitions involved in atoms relevant to nuclear applications. In this study, we explore the use of machine learning to predict the Einstein A coefficients for atomic transitions. Seven models were evaluated that ranged from deep learning to decision tree algorithms, and found that gradient boosting performed best, specifically the Extreme Gradient Boosting (XGB) architecture, achieving a precision of 86% across transitions of 36 elements. Furthermore, the model was cross-validated using published transition probabilities reported in the literature and applied to estimate Pu plasma temperatures from a previous experiment conducted at Savannah River National Laboratory.

Atomic spectroscopy↗