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At least 451 records · Page 25

Artificial Intelligence/Machine Learning Technology in Power System Applications

The primary purpose of this report is to provide an overview of the advancement in artificial intelligence and machine learning (AI/ML) technologies and their applications in power systems. It offers a foundation for understanding the transformative role of AI/ML in power systems and aims to stimulate further research and development in this area. This report begins with a historical perspective of AI/ML technologies, then explores their advancement to today’s prominence. The document highlights key contributors to the success of AI/ML technologies, including increased computational power, greater data availability, innovative algorithms, and advanced tools. It further introduces various AI/ML techniques, including supervised, unsupervised and reinforcement learning, graph neural networks, and generative AI. It also emphasizes the critical importance of ensuring the safety, security, and trustworthiness of these AI/ML techniques within this sector. The report reviews the recent representative advancements in various power system applications enhanced by AI/ML techniques, underscoring key developments and their transformative impact as evidenced by numerous studies. It also explores both the opportunities and challenges associated with the application of AI/ML technologies to improve power system applications. While the report extensively covers AI/ML applications in power systems, focusing primarily on the technical and operational aspects, it may not thoroughly explore the sociopolitical, economic, and broader regulatory implications of AI/ML integration in power systems. AI/ML techniques hold significant potential for enhancing power system applications; however, they are not omnipotent. It is crucial to acknowledge their limitations and understand that they may not be able to address all challenges in the power system domain. Various factors must be considered that influence the implementation, adoption, and effectiveness of AI/ML solutions, including but not limited to safety, security, transparency, and trustworthiness. Additionally, the incorporation of advanced human–machine interfaces is essential, as it enables humans to validate the effectiveness of AI/ML solutions while remaining actively engaged, fostering trust in AI/ML deployment. Finally, the report summarizes AI/ML research activities supported by the Department of Energy (DOE) Office of Electricity (OE) through the Advanced Grid Modeling (AGM) program. The work aligns with the interests and mission of DOE-OE AGM, with the report serving as a resource for identifying existing progress and for pinpointing future applications within AI/ML that need further exploration and support.

24 POWER TRANSMISSION AND DISTRIBUTION↗

Advanced Algorithms for Scrutiny of Mandatory State Reports Declarations to the IAEA (Final Project Report)

In compliance with their Comprehensive Safeguards Agreements, based on INFCIRC/153 (corrected) (International Atomic Energy Agency, 1972), States Party to the Treaty on the NonProliferation of Nuclear Weapons (NPT) are obligated to declare to the International Atomic Energy Agency (IAEA) all changes in their nuclear material inventory as well as movement of the material across boundaries of IAEA recognized material balance areas (MBA), inventories and nuclear material balances. This project addresses capabilities to detect irregularities in State reports, thus ensuring their accuracy and completeness, and in the broader context, States’ compliance with safeguards obligations of the NPT. A recent study (Henzl et al., 2022) (lead by this project’s PI) demonstrated how analysis of dynamic correlations in nuclear material movement within the entire fuel cycle of a State (viewed as a single system) can reveal variances consistent with and indicative of “irregular” activities. Expanding on this concept, novel ways to analyze State declarations themselves—again, for the State as a whole entity—will help the IAEA draw accurate safeguards conclusions and trust the validity and authenticity of Stategenerated declaration reports. Introducing new declaration analyses capabilities explored in this project will help to provide credible assurance of both the non-diversion of nuclear material from declared activities and of the absence of undeclared nuclear material and activities in the State in general.

45 MILITARY TECHNOLOGY, WEAPONRY, AND NATIONAL DEF↗

Technical Assistance for Rural Alaska Tribal Energy Solutions (Final Technical Report)

The original intent of this project was to provide technical assistance (TA) to rural Tribal communities across all regions of Alaska with a focus on public infrastructure. The Alaska Native Tribal Health Consortium (ANTHC) met this goal by providing more than 48 instances of energy-related technical assistance to rural Alaska Native communities, many of which led to them securing funding and implementing new projects that contributed to reducing the high cost of energy. Additionally, the Department of Energy (DOE) Office of Indian Energy staff saw the benefits of the energy technical assistance services being provided by ANTHC and, recognizing the value of having a trusted tribal non-profit entity providing technical support to its membership, amended the project to include standardization of TA services, internal capacity building, and regional outreach. This amended scope allowed ANTHC to streamline and standardize its technical assistance process, provide outreach to rural Alaska Native communities about DOE and ANTHC’s technical assistance program, and improve the ability of staff to provide even higher quality technical deliverables in support of energy projects. Overall, this project was successful in using technical assistance to empower both rural Alaska Native communities and the Alaska Native Tribal Health Consortium to develop and deploy energy efficiency and renewable energy solutions that will reduce the extremely high energy cost burdens facing Tribal communities in Alaska.

29 ENERGY PLANNING, POLICY, AND ECONOMY↗

Energetic Particles - microturbulence interaction thrust (EP SIWG white paper)

This white paper outlines a strategic approach to Energetic Particle (EP) research, aimed at applying the results to the future burning devices such as ITER. Our goal is to deepen the understanding of the interplay between plasma background microturbulence and diverse species of energetic ions in burning plasma devices. This strategy is poised to advance our knowledge in this crucial area of fusion science, paving the way for significant breakthroughs in plasma physics and fusion energy research. We consider the confinement of energetic ions such as auxiliary heating beams, minority ions from ICRH, and fusion product alpha particles. Recent studies have underscored the potential of EP/microturbulence interaction to enhance fusion plasma performance by stabilizing microturbulence. However, it also poses risks, such as exacerbating Alfvénic eigenmode (AE) instabilities, which could compromise the sustainability of plasma discharge by causing EP losses. The interplay between EPs and background microturbulence is evident in the phenomenon of effective pitch angle scattering, a crucial aspect of the quasilinear (QL) theory. This theory is integral to developing numerically-efficient yet comprehensive and self-consistent approaches, recently employed to investigate the relaxation of energetic particle populations in the holistic modeling of fusion-grade plasmas. The primary objectives of this white paper thrust encompass a dual focus. First is that we need to delve into the mechanisms through which microturbulence engenders effective pitch angle scattering. This investigation will entail the examination of the presence of known or self-consistently predicted spectra of modes accountable for microturbulence. In these explorations, electrostatic microturbulence serves as a logical initial stride towards achieving the trust's objectives. This endeavor is anticipated to yield formulations expressing the parametric dependencies of the effective pitch angle scattering frequency on variables such as thermal plasma electron and/or ion temperatures, as well as their respective thermal conductivities. In our second objective, we aim to delve into the intricate formation of zonal flow (ZF) structures amidst the complex interplay of microturbulence and Alfvenic eigenmodes (AEs). This endeavor poses greater challenges as we seek to unravel the macroscopic manifestations influenced by microturbulence, termed as zonal structures (ZS), stemming from microturbulence-induced ZF. Drawing from this understanding, we anticipate employing a QL approach to yield comprehensive insights into the distribution function of energetic particles (EP) within phase space. This method entails resolving the dominant multidimensional phase space diffusion processes while effectively averaging over the rapid ballistic responses. Nevertheless, substantial strides remain imperative to realize a comprehensive whole-device modeling framework. This entails meticulous verification and validation exercises against experimental observations, as well as rigorous benchmarking against theoretical frameworks and numerical simulations.

70 PLASMA PHYSICS AND FUSION TECHNOLOGY↗

Review of Irrigation Modernization and Conduit Hydropower Funding and Support Programs

This memo reviews and evaluates existing funding mechanisms that support off-farm irrigation modernization and conduit hydropower projects. Irrigation modernization projects, both on and off-farm, can be challenging to move through planning, permitting, development and installation processes and some evidence indicates that funding mechanisms can be a barrier to successful deployments. This memo is important because access to equitably and efficiently deployed project planning and development funding may be a key pre-requisite to increasing the pace and scale of irrigation modernization project deployments that incorporate hydropower. We evaluated an array of federal and state funding programs and took a close look at Energy Trust of Oregon’s funding mechanisms due to the organization’s apparent success in increasing the pace and scale of modernization in its state.

13 HYDRO ENERGY↗

Study of Electric Vehicle Range Loss Associated with Replacement Tires

The FuelEconomy.Gov website has become a trusted source for consumers to find information pertaining to fuel economy and fuel-efficient vehicles. As electric vehicles are an increasingly important part of the light-duty fleet in the U.S., there is a need to expand the website content that is targeted to electric vehicle (EV) owners. This report addresses a concern about which several anecdotal reports have come to the attention of the website support staff. Specifically, some EV owners have observed a sudden, noticeable decrease in their all-electric range when they replace the tires that came with their vehicle when it was new. This change has reportedly led some owners to take their vehicles to the dealership service department out of concern that something had gone wrong with the vehicle.

33 ADVANCED PROPULSION SYSTEMS↗

Safely Exploring Solar: A Guide for Austin Energy Customers

It's easy to get overwhelmed as you start to explore your solar options. There is a wealth of information available out there, particularly online, and it can be hard to know who to trust. This informational guide has been adapted from Austin Energy's Solar Education Course and other national best practice resources, as of May 1, 2023. It will help you understand some of the key concepts and resources available to help you on your solar journey if you have a home in Austin Energy's service territory and are considering installing solar. This document includes: (1) Austin Energy Programs and Services Related to Solar; (2) Tips for Spotting a Solar Scam; (3) Things to Know When Designing Your System; (4) Key Considerations When Shopping for a Solar Contractor; and (5) Final Takeaways.

14 SOLAR ENERGY↗

AI Foundation Models for Science [Slides]

This presentation deals with three main points: why answer science questions with AI, trusting AI for science, and foundation models for science.

97 MATHEMATICS AND COMPUTING↗

FY2023 NSTTF Annual Report

The National Solar Thermal Test Facility (NSTTF) is a DOE Core Capability and Technology Deployment Center located in Albuquerque, NM. It is operated by Sandia National Laboratories (Sandia) for the U.S. Department of Energy (DOE). The NSTTF is the only multi-mission, multi-use, multi-story test facility of its type in the United States. The NSTTF was founded in 1978 and began testing with high heat flux that same year. Over the past 45 years, the NSTTF has been at the forefront of the research, design, fabrication, and testing of many of the critical Concentrating Solar Power (CSP) technologies. These technologies have allowed costs to be dramatically reduced from over $\$ $0.40 /kWh to $\$$0.12 /kWh since the conception of this renewable energy technology. The NSTTF has worked to make the Solar Energy Generating Systems (SEGS) parabolic trough plants successful, while also working with the Solar One and Solar Two facilities for successful implementation. Over the four decades since its founding, the mission of the NSTTF has grown to include new receiver technologies, like our generation 3 falling particle system (G3P3 Tower), optical metrology techniques like SOFAST, molten salt testing, thermal energy storage, solar thermal chemistry, and more. We continue to expand our capabilities in pursuit of the DOE SETO mission and the DOE SunShot 2030 goals: unsubsidized LCOE of $\$$0.05/kWh for CSP that includes 12 or more hours of thermal energy storage. To support both the DOE SETO mission and support the CSP sector as a whole, we are working to develop our operations and maintenance framework to provide a world class testing facility in support of our technological achievements. To accomplish both of these missions, the NSTTF draws on the decades of experience and expertise of our staff along with the world-class facilities at Sandia National Laboratories to further the science of concentrated solar thermal technologies in diverse applications. We remain a trusted partner for high-quality and impactful research in both fundamental and applied arenas. We are able to provide our partners with both one-of-a-kind testing platforms as well as world-class analytics.

14 SOLAR ENERGY↗

Analysis of Neural Networks as Random Dynamical Systems

In this report we present our findings and outcomes of the NNRDS (analysis of Neural Networks as Random Dynamical Systems) project. The work is largely motivated by the analogy of a large class of neural networks (NNs) with a discretized ordinary differential equation (ODE) schemes. Namely, residual NNs, or ResNets, can be viewed as a discretization of neural ODEs (NODEs) where the NN depth plays the role of the time evolution. We employ several legacy tools from ODE theory, such as stiffness, nonlocality, autonomicity, to enable regularization of ResNets thus improving their generalization capabilities. Furthermore, armed with NN analysis tools borrowed from the ODE theory, we are able to efficiently augment NN predictions with uncertainty overcoming wellknown dimensionality challenges and adding a degree of trust towards NN predictions. Finally, we have developed a Python library QUiNN (Quantification of Uncertainties in Neural Networks) that incorporates improved-architecture ResNets, besides classical feed-forward NNs, and contains wrappers to PyTorch NN models enabling several major classes of uncertainty quantification methods for NNs. Besides synthetic problems, we demonstrate the methods on datasets from climate modeling and materials science.

97 MATHEMATICS AND COMPUTING↗

Developing an intrinsically secure information barrier for arms control verification through machine learning

Near-term solutions are needed to allow for flexible engagement in future nuclear arms control discussions. This project developed a method for implementing an information barrier (IB) on commercial systems, shortening the research and development lifecycle for warhead verification technologies while offering improved and inherently flexible capabilities. The crux of the verification challenge remains the difficulty in developing an authenticatable IB which prevents sensitive host country information from inadvertent transmission to an inspector. Many concepts for IB’s rely on dedicated “trusted” processor modules developed with dedicated custom radiation detection systems and associated algorithms. Without a priori knowledge of the treaty item, the parameter space for measurements can be nearly infinite and robustness against spoofing without the ability to view sensitive data is key. This project has produced an unclassified framework capable of ingesting data from common gamma detectors and identifying the presence of weapons grade nuclear material at over 90% accuracy.

45 MILITARY TECHNOLOGY, WEAPONRY, AND NATIONAL DEF↗

Non-conformity Scores for High-Quality Uncertainty Quantification from Conformal Prediction

High-quality uncertainty quantification (UQ) is a critical component of enabling trust in deep learning (DL) models and is especially important if DL models are to be deployed in high-consequence applications. Conformal prediction (CP) methods represent an emerging nonparametric approach for producing UQ that is easily interpretable and, under weak assumptions, provides a guarantee regarding UQ quality. This report describes the research outputs of an Exploratory Express Laboratory Directed Research and Development (LDRD) project at Sandia National Laboratories. This project focused on how best to implement CP methods for DL models. This report introduces new methodology for obtaining high-quality UQ from DL models using CP methods, describes a novel system of assessing UQ quality, and provides experimental results that demonstrate the quality of the new methodology and utility of the UQ quality assessment system. Avenues for future research and discussion of potential impacts at Sandia and in the wider research community are also given.

97 MATHEMATICS AND COMPUTING↗

Active High Assurance Authentication Protocol (AHAAP)

The AHAAP Maturation Project involves maturation and evaluation of a patented zero-trust tamper-resistant high-assurance session-less dynamic and active device authentication protocol that simultaneously authenticates identity and provides integrity verification in a single step, substantially reducing the risk of cyberattack, and eliminating the need for costly and complex conventional communication security systems requirements (i.e., cryptography, Public Key Infrastructure (PKI), and key management). These cybersecurity attributes of the technology must be preserved when applying the technology to different cybersecurity solutions, including Command & Control (C&C), Over-the-Air (OTA) update, Common Access Card (CAC), and distributed energy resource (DER) implementations, among others. The technology research objective is to test and verify that the cybersecurity attributes of the technology are not degraded in different cybersecurity applications. The primary technology development objective is to build minimum viable products to demonstrate the technology addresses today’s cybersecurity threats so that prospective investors, strategic partners, regulatory agencies, and commercial customers can interact with and assess the protection assured by the technology. The AHAAP Maturation Project goal is to develop, test, and validate one or more AHAAP implementations. The AHAAP Maturation Project tasks are: (i) engineer AHAAP implementation software, (ii) build a functional prototype that implements the AHAAP software for demonstration, testing, analysis, and evaluation purposes, and (iii) generate a report detailing the results of the AHAAP C&C software and hardware implementation. The final project deliverables are: (i) AHAAP software implementation and prototype, (ii) a report from Sandia National Laboratories detailing the results of the AHAAP implementations.

97 MATHEMATICS AND COMPUTING↗

Testing Paired Neural Network Models for Aftershock Identification

Aftershock sequences are a burden to real-time seismic monitoring. Cross-correlation can be used because aftershocks exhibit similar waveforms, but the method is computationally expensive. Deep learning may be an alternative, as it is computationally efficient, but great attention to training and testing is required in order to trust that the model can generalize to new aftershock sequences. This is problematic for aftershock sequences, because large-magnitude earthquakes are unpredictable and are globally widespread. Here, we test several paired neural network (PNN) models trained on a augmented (noise-added) earthquake dataset, to determine whether they can be generalized to process real aftershock sequences. Two aftershock datasets that were originally detected by cross-correlation and subsequently validated by an expert analyst were used. We found that current PNN models struggle to generalize to aftershock sequences. However, we identify approaches to improve training future PNN models and believe that improvements may be achieved by transfer learning.

58 GEOSCIENCES↗

The Synchronic Web

The Synchronic Web is a distributed network for securing data provenance on the World Wide Web. By enabling clients around the world to freely commit digital information into a single shared view of history, it provides a foundational basis of truth on which to build decentralized and scalable trust across the Internet. Its core cryptographical capability allows mutually distrusting parties to create and verify statements of the following form: “I commit to this information—and only this information—at this moment in time.” The backbone of the Synchronic Web infrastructure is a simple, small, and semantic-free blockchain that is accessible to any Internet-enabled entity. The infrastructure is maintained by a permissioned network of well-known servers, called notaries, and accessed by a permissionless group of clients, called journals. Through an evolving stack of flexible and composable semantic specifications, the parties cooperate to generate synchronic commitments over arbitrary data. When integrated with existing infrastructures, adapted to diverse domains, and scaled across the breadth of cyberspace, the Synchronic Web provides a ubiquitous mechanism to lock the world’s data into unique points in discrete time and digital space. This document provides a technical description of the core Synchronic Web system. The distinguishing innovation in our design—and the enabling mechanism behind the model—is the novel use of verifiable maps to place authenticated content into canonically defined locations off-chain. While concrete specifications and software implementations of the Synchronic Web continue to evolve, the information covered in the body of this document should remain stable. We aim to present this information clearly and concisely for technical non-experts to understand the essential functionality and value proposition of the network. In the interest of promoting discourse, we take some liberty in projecting the potential implications of the new model.

97 MATHEMATICS AND COMPUTING↗

2024 OES-Environmental 2024 State of the Science Report, Chapter 5: Stakeholder Engagement for Marine Renewable Energy

Stakeholder engagement is a critical piece of any new development project that affects public or private interests. Effective, thoughtful engagement and participatory activities early in the planning process of a project can help planners and project developers understand local concerns, adjust designs to avoid negative environmental impacts, select the best site for a project, answer questions, reduce delay, enhance opportunities and benefits, and build support for a project (Cuppen et al. 2016; Portman 2009; Wiersma & DevineWright 2014). On the other hand, cursory or inadequate engagement that is viewed as “checking the box” or tokenism is unlikely to be effective, and can result in project failures, diminished trust, strong opposition, or costly, drawn-out processes (Butcher & MacLennan 2020; Garard & Kowarsch 2017; Gill & Rand 2022; Jolivet & Heiskanen 2010; Pizzi et al. 2021; Sterling et al. 2017).

16 TIDAL AND WAVE POWER↗

Scale-Bridging Optimization Framework for Desalination Integrated Produced Water Networks

In this work, we develop a Pyomo-based non-linear optimization strategy that includes rigorous MVR models. The detailed desalination unit is integrated into the multiperiod produced water network problem using the trust region filter (TRF) method. TRF decomposes the integrated problem into a master problem consisting of the network variables and a simplified surrogate model for the detailed desalination unit. The surrogate is updated using zero and first-order corrections from the optimal solution of the detailed models at every iteration. This framework allows us to co-optimize the design of the desalination units and operating policy for the multiperiod network. A common design is ensured across all periods using global capacity constraints. We validate the solution obtained using the TRF method by solving the full integrated problem for small network instances and show our results on real case studies on produced water networks from the Permian and Appalachian basins. In this work, we describe our TRF formulation, give details on our implementation in Pyomo, and analyze the results obtained by solving the optimization problem using IPOPT. We also present a discussion on the computational efficiency and scaling using the TRF approach against a full-scale integration of the rigorous models within the water network.

Naik, Sakshi↗

Multi-Rigor Agile Verification and Rapid Prototyping for Formally Verified Software

We propose a novel approach to developing formally verified systems through Multi-rigor Agile Verification. Multi-rigor Agile Verification is rooted in the hypothesis of Rigor Independence, that a system’s specification and verification architecture depend primarily on the system requirements to be verified, and they depend very little on the rigor level of the methods used to verify those requirements. Due to its iterative nature, Multi-rigor Agile Verification promises to mitigate many of the high upfront design costs experienced by formally verified systems and to deliver a better-architected, and thus better-trusted, system in the end. We then discuss the tooling needed to perform Multi-rigor Agile Verification and go in depth to build one of those tools, which directly generates executable prototype code from declarative formal specifications using the Maude rewrite-logic framework.

97 MATHEMATICS AND COMPUTING↗