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At least 451 records · Page 25

Smokescreen: A Python package for data vector blinding and encryption in cosmological analyses

Smokescreen is an open-source Python library for data-vector concealment (blinding) in cosmological analyses. Data-vector blinding works by applying cosmology-dependent shifts to the observed data vector, moving it away from the true cosmological signal without affecting its statistical properties, so that analysts cannot infer the true result until the analysis is frozen and the blinding is lifted. The package computes these shifts using Firecrown likelihoods applied to data vectors stored in the SACC format, ensuring that the theoretical model used for blinding is identical to that used for inference whilst remaining agnostic to the specific observable being blinded. To prevent accidental unblinding, the original SACC file, containing the true cosmology, is encrypted. Although developed for the Vera C. Rubin Observatory Legacy Survey of Space and Time (LSST), Smokescreen is applicable to any experiment using Firecrown likelihoods and the SACC data format.

Loureiro, Arthur [Stockholm U., OKC; Imperial Coll↗

Fisher Forecasting for the DESC with $\texttt{Augur}$

The Vera C. Rubin Observatory Legacy Survey of Space and Time (LSST) has begun its ten-year survey of the entire visible southern hemisphere. To ensure robust cosmological measurements, computationally inexpensive investigations of modeling choices must be made to gauge the performance of proposed cosmological analyses. In this paper, we introduce the $\texttt{Augur}$ tool of the Dark Energy Science Collaboration (DESC), which provides Fisher forecasts for cosmological inference for the LSST using software frameworks designed for DESC science. We test the pipeline by comparing it to forecasts produced by external code and direct sampling of the posterior via nested sampling methods, finding good agreement between all methods. We additionally investigate a range of modeling and hyperparameter choices for a 3$\times$2pt investigation in harmonic space, providing users with diagnostics to obtain reliable forecasts. $\texttt{Augur}$ will be continually updated to be compatible with the other tools in the DESC software ecosystem as additional probes and functionality become available.

Rogozenski, Paul [Carnegie Mellon U.; Arizona U.] ↗

Moving Beyond Mortality: Development and Application of a Desirability of Outcome Ranking (DOOR) Endpoint for Hospital-Acquired Bacterial Pneumonia and Ventilator-Associated Bacterial Pneumonia

Abstract Background Hospital-acquired and ventilator-associated bacterial pneumonia (HABP/VABP) are frequently caused by multidrug-resistant organisms. Patient-centered endpoints in clinical trials are needed to develop new antibiotics for HABP/VABP. Desirability of outcome ranking (DOOR) is a paradigm for the design, analysis, and interpretation of clinical trials based on a patient-centered, benefit-risk evaluation. Methods A multidisciplinary committee created an infectious diseases DOOR endpoint customized for HABP/VABP, incorporating infectious complications, serious adverse events, and mortality. We applied this to 2 previously completed, large randomized controlled trials for HABP/VABP. ZEPHyR compared vancomycin to linezolid and VITAL compared linezolid to tedizolid. For each trial, we evaluated the DOOR distribution and probability, including DOOR component and partial credit analyses. We also applied DOOR in subgroup analyses. Results In both trials, the HABP/VABP DOOR demonstrated similar overall clinical outcomes between treatment groups. In ZEPHyR, the probability that a participant treated with linezolid would have a more desirable outcome than a participant treated with vancomycin was 50.2% (95% confidence interval [CI], 45.1%­−55.3%). In VITAL, the probability that a participant treated with tedizolid would have a more desirable outcome than a participant treated with linezolid was 48.7% (95% CI, 44.8%–52.6%). The DOOR component analysis revealed that participants treated with tedizolid had a less desirable outcome than those treated with linezolid when considering clinical response alone. However, participants with decreased renal function had improved overall outcomes with tedizolid. Conclusions The HABP/VABP DOOR provided more granular information about clinical outcomes than is typically presented in clinical trials. HABP/VABP trials would benefit from prospectively using DOOR.

Immunology↗

Improving Traditional Registrational Trial End Points: Development and Application of a Desirability of Outcome Ranking End Point for Complicated Urinary Tract Infection Clinical Trials

Abstract Background Traditional end points used in registrational randomized, controlled trials (RCTs) often do not allow for complete interpretation of the full range of potential clinical outcomes. Desirability of outcome ranking (DOOR) is an approach to the design and analysis of clinical trials that incorporates benefits and risks of novel treatment strategies and provides a global assessment of patient experience. Methods Through a multidisciplinary committee of experts in infectious diseases, clinical trial design, drug regulation, and patient experience, we developed a DOOR end point for infectious disease syndromes and demonstrated how this could be applied to 3 registrational drug trials (ZEUS, APEKS-cUTI, and DORI-05) for complicated urinary tract infections (cUTIs). ZEUS compared fosfomycin to piperacillin/tazobactam, APEKS-cUTI compared cefiderocol to imipenem, and DORI-05 compared doripenem to levofloxacin. Using DOOR, we estimated the probability of a more desirable outcome with each investigational antibacterial drug. Results In each RCT, the DOOR distribution was similar and the probability that a patient in the investigational arm would have a more desirable outcome than a patient in the control arm had a 95% confidence interval containing 50%, indicating no significant difference between treatment arms. DOOR facilitated improved understanding of potential trade-offs between clinical efficacy and safety. Partial credit and subgroup analyses also highlight unique attributes of DOOR. Conclusions DOOR can effectively be used in registrational cUTI trials. The DOOR end point presented here can be adapted for other infectious disease syndromes and prospectively incorporated into future clinical trials.

Immunology↗

First observation and study of the $K^± → π^0π^0μ^±ν$ decay

The NA48/2 experiment at CERN reports the first observation of the $K^± → π^0π^0μ^±$ν decay based on a sample of 2437 candidates with 15% background contamination collected in 2003–2004. The decay branching ratio in the kinematic region of the squared dilepton mass above 0.03 GeV 2 /c 4 is measured to be (0.65 ± 0.03) × 10 –6 . The extrapolation to the full kinematic space, using a specific model, is found to be (3.45 ± 0.16) × 10 –6 , in agreement with chiral perturbation theory predictions.

72 PHYSICS OF ELEMENTARY PARTICLES AND FIELDS↗

Azimuthal single- and double-spin asymmetries in semi-inclusive deep-inelastic lepton scattering by transversely polarized protons

A comprehensive set of azimuthal single-spin and double-spin asymmetries in semi-inclusive leptoproduction of pions, charged kaons, protons, and antiprotons from transversely polarized protons is presented. These asymmetries include the previously published HERMES results on Collins and Sivers asymmetries, the analysis of which has been extended to include protons and antiprotons and also to an extraction in a three-dimensional kinematic binning and enlarged phase space. They are complemented by corresponding results for the remaining four single-spin and four double-spin asymmetries allowed in the one-photon-exchange approximation of the semi-inclusive deep-inelastic scattering process for target-polarization orientation perpendicular to the direction of the incoming lepton beam. Among those results, significant non-vanishing cos ( Φ–Φ S ) modulations provide evidence for a sizable worm-gear (II) distribution, ${g}_{1\mathrm{T}}^q\left(x,{\mathrm{p}}_T^2\right)$. Most of the other modulations are found to be consistent with zero with the notable exception of large sin ( Φ S ) modulations for charged pions and K + .

72 PHYSICS OF ELEMENTARY PARTICLES AND FIELDS↗

Dry cooling retrofits at existing fossil fuel-fired power plants in a water-stressed region: Tradeoffs in water savings, cost, and capacity shortfalls

This study (completed by US Department of Energy, National Energy Technology Laboratory) investigates the performance, cost, and generating capacity impacts of switching from wet cooling towers to dry cooling systems to reduce consumptive water use at existing fossil fuel-fired power plants in a water-stressed region. Here, retrofit analysis of dry cooling is conducted on a unit-by-unit basis for both coal-fired and gas-fired power plants in several western U.S. states. Based on regional averages, retrofitting dry cooling systems in lieu of wet cooling towers decreases total annual plant water consumption at existing coal- and gas-fired power plants by 93% and 100%, respectively, while increasing the levelized cost of electricity generation by approximately 12% and 18%, respectively. Over the year, the change in monthly net regional generating capacity from dry cooling retrofits exhibits a seasonal pattern, with the largest shortfalls occurring in July. Dry cooling retrofits thus lead to tradeoffs in water savings, cost, and capacity shortfalls, which vary with power plant characteristics. The tradeoffs identified here can inform electric power industry water management plans and decision-making for alternative cooling options in water-stressed regions.

32 ENERGY CONSERVATION, CONSUMPTION, AND UTILIZATI↗

Long-range transported North American wildfire aerosols observed in marine boundary layer of eastern North Atlantic

Wildfire is a major source of biomass burning aerosols, which greatly impact Earth climate. Tree species in North America (NA) boreal forests can support high-intensity crown fires, resulting in elevated injection height and longer lifetime (on the order of months) of the wildfire aerosols. Given the long lifetime, the properties of aged NA wildfire aerosols are required to understand and quantify their effects on radiation and climate. Here we present comprehensive characterization of climatically relevant properties, including optical properties and cloud condensation nuclei (CCN) activities of aged NA wildfire aerosols, emitted from the record-breaking Canadian wildfires in August 2017. Despite the extreme injection height of ~12 km, some of the wildfire plumes descended into the marine boundary layer in the eastern North Atlantic over a period of ~2 weeks, owing to the dry intrusions behind mid-latitude cyclones. The aged wildfire aerosols have high single scattering albedos at 529 nm (ω 529 ; 0.92–0.95) while low absorption Ångström exponents (Å abs ) at 464 nm/648 nm (0.7–0.9). In comparison, Å abs of fresh/slightly aged ones are typically 1.4–3.5. This low Å abs 529 and low Å abs ~110 nm diameter) with thick non-absorbing coatings. The accelerated descent of the wildfire plume also led to strong increase of CCN concentration at the supersaturation levels representative of marine low clouds. The hygroscopicity parameter, κ CCN , of the aged wildfire aerosols varies from 0.2 to 0.4, substantially lower than that of background marine boundary layer aerosols. However, the high fraction of particles with large diameter (i.e., within accumulation size ranges, ~100–250 nm) compensates for the low values of κ, and as a result, the aged NA wildfire aerosols contribute more efficiently to CCN population. These results provide direct evidence that the long-range transported NA wildfires can strongly influence CCN concentration in remote marine boundary layer, therefore the radiative properties of marine low clouds. Given the expected increases of NA wildfire intensity and frequency and regular occurrence of dry intrusion following mid-latitude cyclones, the influence of NA wildfire aerosols on CCN and clouds in remote marine environment need to be further examined.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗

An analytical expression for temperature in a thermodynamically consistent model with a Mie-Gruneisen equation for pressure

The objective of this paper is to develop an analytical expression for temperature in a thermodynamically consistent model with a Mie-Gruneisen equation for pressure. This expression for the temperature is obtained for both constant and variable specific heat models and can be used in common models for the material yield strength that include thermal softening due to increase in temperature. Additionally, the material parameters in the model can easily be calibrated to match known experimental data and the model has been used to determine the value of the shock pressure at the onset of melting during shock loading.

42 ENGINEERING↗

Modeling the dynamic response of rock masses with multiple compliant fluid saturated joint sets - Part II: Continuum modeling

Part I of this two-part paper describes enhancements of a mesoscale model to include: many non-persistent fluid saturated joints with finite area, normal compliance with hysteresis and the weakening effects of angular deviation in the joint sets and of fluid pressure in the joints. The objective of this Part II is to use the results of the mesoscale model as simulated data to inspire functional forms in a continuum model for rock masses with multiple compliant fluid saturated joint sets which include these enhancements. Also, an algorithm is proposed for reducing the number of joint sets being modeled. Examples are presented here which show that the continuum model can predict similar anisotropic response to that observed in mesoscale simulations. In contrast with the mesoscale model, the continuum model can be used for large scale simulations of real applications, smoothly transitioning from coupled inelastic thermomechanical response near an explosive source to orthotropic elastic response far from the source.

58 GEOSCIENCES↗

Modeling the dynamic response of rock masses with multiple compliant fluid saturated joint sets—Part I: Mesoscale simulations

Recently a mesoscale model was developed that includes thermomechanically consistent constitutive equations with dissipation due to porous compaction, inelastic distortional deformation rate, and slipping on persistent dry joint surfaces. In this Part I of a two-part paper, we describe enhancements of the mesoscale model which include: normal compliance with hysteresis, non-persistent joints with finite area, joint sets with angular deviation, and the weakening effect of fluid pressure in the joints. Examples study the influences of these effects on average strength. These computationally expensive simulations are used to inspire functional forms in a continuum model, described in Part II, which is needed for large scale simulations of real applications.

42 ENGINEERING↗

Proton transfer reactions in donor site mutants of ESR, a retinal protein from Exiguobacterium sibiricum

Light-driven proton transport by microbial retinal proteins such as archaeal bacteriorhodopsin involves carboxylic residues as internal proton donors to the catalytic center which is a retinal Schiff base (SB). The proton donor, Asp96 in bacteriorhodopsin, supplies a proton to the transiently deprotonated Schiff base during the photochemical cycle. Subsequent proton uptake resets the protonated state of the donor. Here this two step process became a distinctive signature of retinal based proton pumps. Similar steps are observed also in many natural variants of bacterial proteorhodopsins and xanthorhodopsins where glutamic acid residues serve as a proton donor. Recently, however, an exception to this rule was found. A retinal protein from Exiguobacterium sibiricum, ESR, contains a Lys residue in place of Asp or Glu, which facilitates proton transfer from the bulk to the SB. Lys96 can be functionally replaced with the more common donor residues, Asp or Glu. Proton transfer to the SB in the mutants containing these replacements (K96E and K96D/A47T) is much faster than in the proteins lacking the proton donor (K96A and similar mutants), and in the case of K96D/A47T, comparable with that in the wild type, indicating that carboxylic residues can replace Lys96 as proton donors in ESR. We show here that there are important differences in the functioning of these residues in ESR from the way Asp96 functions in bacteriorhodopsin. Reprotonation of the SB and proton uptake from the bulk occur almost simultaneously during the M to N transition (as in the wild type ESR at neutral pH), whereas in bacteriorhodopsin these two steps are well separated in time and occur during the M to N and N to O transitions, respectively.

37 INORGANIC, ORGANIC, PHYSICAL, AND ANALYTICAL CH↗

The fast non-ferric kicker system for the Muon g–2 Experiment at Fermilab

Here we describe the installation, commissioning, and characterization of the new injection kicker system in the Muon g – 2 Experiment (E989) at Fermilab, which makes a precision measurement of the muon magnetic anomaly. Three Blumlein pulsers drive each of the 1.27-m-long non-ferric kicker magnets, which reside in a storage ring vacuum (SRV) that is subjected to a 1.45 T magnetic field. The new system has been redesigned relative to Muon g – 2 ’s predecessor experiment, and we present those details in this manuscript.

43 PARTICLE ACCELERATORS↗